# NZL to Kenya HS 271019 new corridor signal

This page reviews a reported new-corridor signal for hs 271019. It separates reported trade observations from calculated indicators and access context.

## Signal summary

- Signal type: New corridor
- Signal strength: 17/100
- Reported period: 2024
- Buyer market imports: $1.9B
- Buyer market growth: -4.1%
- Current exporter share: 0.0%
- Share gap: 28.0%

## What the signal means

The signal points to a newly observed exporter-to-buyer relationship in the available reporting. It is a prompt for market research, not a forecast, order, or guarantee of commercial access. Compare demand, suppliers, access, and route history together before acting.

## Market opportunity

- Latest buyer imports: $1.9B
- Three-year buyer-import projection: $2.4B
- Supplier countries observed: 72
- Average buyer imports: $1.2B
- Historical buyer-import peak: $3.0B
- Full-history buyer-import CAGR: +7.8%
- Latest buyer-import annual change: -4.1%

## Competition landscape

- Top supplier: ARE
- Top supplier share: 28.0%
- Market concentration: 1,929
- Exporter share: 0.0%
- Share gap to peer benchmark: 28.0%

## Access profile

- Applied tariff: Not reported
- MFN tariff: Not reported
- Preferential tariff: Not reported
- Approximate distance: 13,473 km
- Trade agreement: Not reported
- Business entry time: 23 days
- Shared spoken language score: 0.1

## Buyer economy

- GDP per person: $2.0K
- GDP per-person growth: +10.5%
- Population: 54,986k
- GDP: $110.3B
- GDP five-year CAGR: Not reported
- Investment rate: 19.7%
- Savings rate: 6.4%

## Product-level history

| Year | Product exports | Year-on-year |
| ---: | ---: | ---: |
| 2024 | $5.8 | +0.0% |

## Broader route context

Broader NZL to Kenya route exports provide route context only; they are not presented as HS 271019 product-level trade.

| Year | Route exports | Year-on-year |
| ---: | ---: | ---: |
| 1995 | $1.8M | +0.0% |
| 1996 | $819.5K | -55.2% |
| 1997 | $2.4M | +193.0% |
| 1998 | $1.7M | -27.4% |
| 1999 | $1.4M | -20.6% |
| 2000 | $1.0M | -27.3% |
| 2001 | $1.8M | +81.6% |
| 2002 | $1.5M | -17.8% |
| 2003 | $1.7M | +11.7% |
| 2004 | $1.9M | +13.1% |
| 2005 | $2.5M | +29.4% |
| 2006 | $3.6M | +48.3% |
| 2007 | $5.4M | +47.4% |
| 2008 | $6.4M | +19.0% |
| 2009 | $19.4M | +203.6% |
| 2010 | $11.3M | -41.6% |
| 2011 | $10.6M | -6.5% |
| 2012 | $12.2M | +15.5% |
| 2013 | $7.6M | -38.0% |
| 2014 | $13.2M | +75.0% |
| 2015 | $7.6M | -42.5% |
| 2016 | $5.9M | -22.5% |
| 2017 | $8.6M | +45.6% |
| 2018 | $7.6M | -11.3% |
| 2019 | $5.6M | -26.9% |
| 2020 | $4.0M | -27.3% |
| 2021 | $4.1M | +2.4% |
| 2022 | $2.4M | -42.9% |
| 2023 | $1.7M | -30.2% |
| 2024 | $4.5M | +170.9% |

## Related new-corridor signals

| Exporter to buyer | Product | Signal type | Buyer imports | Page |
| --- | --- | --- | ---: | --- |
| NZL to CHN | HS 120190 | New corridor | $47.8B | [Review this signal](https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/nzl-chn-120190) |
| NZL to Japan | HS 260300 | New corridor | $12.6B | [Review this signal](https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/nzl-jpn-260300) |
| NZL to Belgium | HS 300215 | New corridor | $5.2B | [Review this signal](https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/nzl-bel-300215) |
| NZL to Germany | HS 293379 | New corridor | $4.2B | [Review this signal](https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/nzl-deu-293379) |
| NZL to CHN | HS 903141 | New corridor | $4.2B | [Review this signal](https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/nzl-chn-903141) |
| NZL to KOR | HS 880240 | New corridor | $2.0B | [Review this signal](https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/nzl-kor-880240) |
| NZL to Japan | HS 120190 | New corridor | $1.7B | [Review this signal](https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/nzl-jpn-120190) |
| NZL to Taiwan | HS 870380 | New corridor | $1.5B | [Review this signal](https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/nzl-twn-870380) |

## Frequently asked questions

### What does a new corridor signal mean?

It identifies an exporter, buyer market, and HS6 combination included in the available new-corridor signal set for 2024. It is a research prompt, not a guarantee of demand or sales.

### Is the market opportunity reported trade?

Reported buyer imports and exporter share are observations. Any projection or share-gap measure is calculated from the available data and should not be treated as an order or forecast.

### What should exporters check next?

Validate product fit, buyers, tariffs, standards, logistics, pricing, competition, and the depth of product-level history before pursuing the route.

## Method

The signal is a calculated research indicator based on available reported trade observations. It is not a confirmed order, sales forecast, or guarantee of market entry. Validate buyers, tariffs, standards, logistics, pricing, and competition before acting.

## Data sources

- Primary trade series: OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-09-02). [OECD Data Explorer](https://data-explorer.oecd.org/) - [OECD Terms & Conditions](https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/)
- CEPII BACI bilateral trade flows (202601): [dataset page](https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37) - [BACI documentation](https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html) - [Etalab 2.0 Open Licence](https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf)

This page presents derived Yugalinks views of reported observations and calculated indicators.