# New Caledonia to Poland HS 851712 new corridor signal

This page reviews a reported new-corridor signal for telephones for cellular networks or for other wireless networks. It separates reported trade observations from calculated indicators and access context.

## Signal summary

- Signal type: New corridor
- Signal strength: 32/100
- Reported period: 2024
- Buyer market imports: $5.9B
- Buyer market growth: +12.2%
- Current exporter share: 0.0%
- Share gap: 50.3%

## What the signal means

The signal points to a newly observed exporter-to-buyer relationship in the available reporting. It is a prompt for market research, not a forecast, order, or guarantee of commercial access. Compare demand, suppliers, access, and route history together before acting.

## Market opportunity

- Latest buyer imports: $5.9B
- Three-year buyer-import projection: $9.4B
- Supplier countries observed: 95
- Average buyer imports: $2.0B
- Historical buyer-import peak: $5.9B
- Full-history buyer-import CAGR: +16.9%
- Latest buyer-import annual change: +12.2%

## Competition landscape

- Top supplier: CHN
- Top supplier share: 50.3%
- Market concentration: 2,964
- Exporter share: 0.0%
- Share gap to peer benchmark: 50.3%

## Access profile

- Applied tariff: Not reported
- MFN tariff: Not reported
- Preferential tariff: Not reported
- Approximate distance: 15,584 km
- Trade agreement: Reported yes
- Business entry time: 37 days
- Shared spoken language score: 0

## Buyer economy

- GDP per person: $17.8K
- GDP per-person growth: +13.6%
- Population: 37,781k
- GDP: $674.0B
- GDP five-year CAGR: Not reported
- Investment rate: 22.7%
- Savings rate: 22.4%

## Product-level history

| Year | Product exports | Year-on-year |
| ---: | ---: | ---: |
| 2024 | $38.8 | +0.0% |

## Broader route context

Broader New Caledonia to Poland route exports provide route context only; they are not presented as HS 851712 product-level trade.

| Year | Route exports | Year-on-year |
| ---: | ---: | ---: |
| 1998 | $107.2K | +0.0% |
| 1999 | $108.7K | +1.4% |
| 2002 | $47.7K | -56.2% |
| 2004 | $23.0K | -51.7% |
| 2005 | $12.7K | -44.6% |
| 2006 | $92.4K | +624.9% |
| 2007 | $141.2K | +52.8% |
| 2008 | $236.0K | +67.1% |
| 2009 | $1.0M | +342.2% |
| 2010 | $16.4K | -98.4% |
| 2011 | $261.8K | +1494.1% |
| 2012 | $11.2K | -95.7% |
| 2013 | $7.9K | -28.9% |
| 2014 | $79.5K | +903.5% |
| 2015 | $12.8K | -83.8% |
| 2016 | $897.8K | +6888.2% |
| 2017 | $54.3K | -94.0% |
| 2018 | $67.1K | +23.7% |
| 2019 | $59.3K | -11.7% |
| 2020 | $21.5K | -63.7% |
| 2021 | $216.6K | +908.3% |
| 2022 | $79.3K | -63.4% |
| 2023 | $358.4K | +351.9% |
| 2024 | $24.7K | -93.1% |

## Related new-corridor signals

| Exporter to buyer | Product | Signal type | Buyer imports | Page |
| --- | --- | --- | ---: | --- |
| New Caledonia to USA, Puerto Rico and US Virgin Islands | HS 300220 | New corridor | $11.3B | [Review this signal](https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/ncl-usa-300220) |
| New Caledonia to Germany | HS 271012 | New corridor | $7.3B | [Review this signal](https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/ncl-deu-271012) |
| New Caledonia to USA, Puerto Rico and US Virgin Islands | HS 848690 | New corridor | $4.5B | [Review this signal](https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/ncl-usa-848690) |
| New Caledonia to Saudi Arabia | HS 851712 | New corridor | $4.4B | [Review this signal](https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/ncl-sau-851712) |
| New Caledonia to Poland | HS 392690 | New corridor | $2.1B | [Review this signal](https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/ncl-pol-392690) |
| New Caledonia to Germany | HS 271020 | New corridor | $1.8B | [Review this signal](https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/ncl-deu-271020) |
| New Caledonia to USA, Puerto Rico and US Virgin Islands | HS 680291 | New corridor | $1.1B | [Review this signal](https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/ncl-usa-680291) |
| New Caledonia to Taiwan | HS 903190 | New corridor | $873.4M | [Review this signal](https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/ncl-twn-903190) |

## Frequently asked questions

### What does a new corridor signal mean?

It identifies an exporter, buyer market, and HS6 combination included in the available new-corridor signal set for 2024. It is a research prompt, not a guarantee of demand or sales.

### Is the market opportunity reported trade?

Reported buyer imports and exporter share are observations. Any projection or share-gap measure is calculated from the available data and should not be treated as an order or forecast.

### What should exporters check next?

Validate product fit, buyers, tariffs, standards, logistics, pricing, competition, and the depth of product-level history before pursuing the route.

## Method

The signal is a calculated research indicator based on available reported trade observations. It is not a confirmed order, sales forecast, or guarantee of market entry. Validate buyers, tariffs, standards, logistics, pricing, and competition before acting.

## Data sources

- Primary trade series: OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-09-02). [OECD Data Explorer](https://data-explorer.oecd.org/) - [OECD Terms & Conditions](https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/)
- CEPII BACI bilateral trade flows (202601): [dataset page](https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37) - [BACI documentation](https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html) - [Etalab 2.0 Open Licence](https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf)

This page presents derived Yugalinks views of reported observations and calculated indicators.
