# MWI to CHN HS 261510 new corridor signal

This page reviews a reported new-corridor signal for zirconium ores and concentrates. It separates reported trade observations from calculated indicators and access context.

## Signal summary

- Signal type: New corridor
- Signal strength: 93/100
- Reported period: 2024
- Buyer market imports: $1.1B
- Buyer market growth: +4.6%
- Current exporter share: 0.0%
- Share gap: 33.6%

## What the signal means

The signal points to a newly observed exporter-to-buyer relationship in the available reporting. It is a prompt for market research, not a forecast, order, or guarantee of commercial access. Compare demand, suppliers, access, and route history together before acting.

## Market opportunity

- Latest buyer imports: $1.1B
- Three-year buyer-import projection: $1.7B
- Supplier countries observed: 38
- Average buyer imports: $430.5M
- Historical buyer-import peak: $1.1B
- Full-history buyer-import CAGR: +14.4%
- Latest buyer-import annual change: +4.6%

## Competition landscape

- Top supplier: South Africa
- Top supplier share: 33.6%
- Market concentration: 2,257
- Exporter share: 0.0%
- Share gap to peer benchmark: 33.6%

## Access profile

- Applied tariff: Not reported
- MFN tariff: Not reported
- Preferential tariff: Not reported
- Approximate distance: 10,395 km
- Trade agreement: Not reported
- Business entry time: 8.5 days
- Shared spoken language score: 0

## Buyer economy

- GDP per person: $12.6K
- GDP per-person growth: +30.3%
- Population: 1,412,360k
- GDP: $17.7T
- GDP five-year CAGR: Not reported
- Investment rate: 44.5%
- Savings rate: 45.8%

## Product-level history

| Year | Product exports | Year-on-year |
| ---: | ---: | ---: |
| 2024 | $45.0K | +0.0% |

## Broader route context

Broader MWI to CHN route exports provide route context only; they are not presented as HS 261510 product-level trade.

| Year | Route exports | Year-on-year |
| ---: | ---: | ---: |
| 1995 | $719.1K | +0.0% |
| 1996 | $103.8K | -85.6% |
| 1997 | $18.5K | -82.2% |
| 1999 | $50.3K | +172.7% |
| 2000 | $197.9K | +293.0% |
| 2001 | $986.0K | +398.4% |
| 2002 | $392.4K | -60.2% |
| 2003 | $51.1K | -87.0% |
| 2004 | $94.0K | +83.9% |
| 2005 | $3.3M | +3449.1% |
| 2006 | $959.7K | -71.2% |
| 2007 | $2.3M | +144.5% |
| 2008 | $10.9M | +366.0% |
| 2009 | $20.3M | +85.5% |
| 2010 | $34.1M | +68.4% |
| 2011 | $51.8M | +51.7% |
| 2012 | $51.3M | -1.0% |
| 2013 | $48.8M | -4.8% |
| 2014 | $45.5M | -6.7% |
| 2015 | $42.9M | -5.8% |
| 2016 | $38.5M | -10.3% |
| 2017 | $32.5M | -15.7% |
| 2018 | $28.2M | -13.1% |
| 2019 | $21.7M | -22.9% |
| 2020 | $20.8M | -4.3% |
| 2021 | $22.6M | +8.7% |
| 2022 | $15.3M | -32.4% |
| 2023 | $27.1M | +77.4% |
| 2024 | $17.2M | -36.5% |

## Related new-corridor signals

| Exporter to buyer | Product | Signal type | Buyer imports | Page |
| --- | --- | --- | ---: | --- |
| MWI to France | HS 300490 | New corridor | $11.9B | [Review this signal](https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/mwi-fra-300490) |
| MWI to USA, Puerto Rico and US Virgin Islands | HS 190590 | New corridor | $7.4B | [Review this signal](https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/mwi-usa-190590) |
| MWI to France | HS 300215 | New corridor | $6.7B | [Review this signal](https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/mwi-fra-300215) |
| MWI to CHN | HS 390120 | New corridor | $4.9B | [Review this signal](https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/mwi-chn-390120) |
| MWI to AUS | HS 300490 | New corridor | $4.5B | [Review this signal](https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/mwi-aus-300490) |
| MWI to China, Hong Kong SAR | HS 852351 | New corridor | $4.2B | [Review this signal](https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/mwi-hkg-852351) |
| MWI to China, Hong Kong SAR | HS 847170 | New corridor | $2.4B | [Review this signal](https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/mwi-hkg-847170) |
| MWI to Japan | HS 854370 | New corridor | $2.0B | [Review this signal](https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/mwi-jpn-854370) |

## Frequently asked questions

### What does a new corridor signal mean?

It identifies an exporter, buyer market, and HS6 combination included in the available new-corridor signal set for 2024. It is a research prompt, not a guarantee of demand or sales.

### Is the market opportunity reported trade?

Reported buyer imports and exporter share are observations. Any projection or share-gap measure is calculated from the available data and should not be treated as an order or forecast.

### What should exporters check next?

Validate product fit, buyers, tariffs, standards, logistics, pricing, competition, and the depth of product-level history before pursuing the route.

## Method

The signal is a calculated research indicator based on available reported trade observations. It is not a confirmed order, sales forecast, or guarantee of market entry. Validate buyers, tariffs, standards, logistics, pricing, and competition before acting.

## Data sources

- Primary trade series: OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-09-02). [OECD Data Explorer](https://data-explorer.oecd.org/) - [OECD Terms & Conditions](https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/)
- CEPII BACI bilateral trade flows (202601): [dataset page](https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37) - [BACI documentation](https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html) - [Etalab 2.0 Open Licence](https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf)

This page presents derived Yugalinks views of reported observations and calculated indicators.