# MDV to Italy HS 640399 new corridor signal

This page reviews a reported new-corridor signal for footwear: n.e.c. in heading no. 6403, (not covering the ankle), outer soles of rubber, plastics or composition leather, uppers of leather. It separates reported trade observations from calculated indicators and access context.

## Signal summary

- Signal type: New corridor
- Signal strength: 69/100
- Reported period: 2024
- Buyer market imports: $1.8B
- Buyer market growth: +5.2%
- Current exporter share: 0.0%
- Share gap: 14.9%

## What the signal means

The signal points to a newly observed exporter-to-buyer relationship in the available reporting. It is a prompt for market research, not a forecast, order, or guarantee of commercial access. Compare demand, suppliers, access, and route history together before acting.

## Market opportunity

- Latest buyer imports: $1.8B
- Three-year buyer-import projection: $2.2B
- Supplier countries observed: 105
- Average buyer imports: $1.2B
- Historical buyer-import peak: $1.9B
- Full-history buyer-import CAGR: +7.5%
- Latest buyer-import annual change: +5.2%

## Competition landscape

- Top supplier: Germany
- Top supplier share: 14.9%
- Market concentration: 787
- Exporter share: 0.0%
- Share gap to peer benchmark: 14.9%

## Access profile

- Applied tariff: Not reported
- MFN tariff: Not reported
- Preferential tariff: Not reported
- Approximate distance: 7,331 km
- Trade agreement: Not reported
- Business entry time: 11 days
- Shared spoken language score: 0

## Buyer economy

- GDP per person: $35.6K
- GDP per-person growth: -5.4%
- Population: 59,066k
- GDP: $2.1T
- GDP five-year CAGR: Not reported
- Investment rate: 21.3%
- Savings rate: 22.5%

## Product-level history

| Year | Product exports | Year-on-year |
| ---: | ---: | ---: |
| 2024 | $2.7K | +0.0% |

## Broader route context

Broader MDV to Italy route exports provide route context only; they are not presented as HS 640399 product-level trade.

| Year | Route exports | Year-on-year |
| ---: | ---: | ---: |
| 1995 | $2.0M | +0.0% |
| 1996 | $4.2M | +106.3% |
| 1997 | $205.1K | -95.1% |
| 1998 | $100.4K | -51.0% |
| 1999 | $198.8K | +98.0% |
| 2000 | $614.5K | +209.1% |
| 2001 | $347.5K | -43.5% |
| 2002 | $259.6K | -25.3% |
| 2003 | $871.4K | +235.7% |
| 2004 | $2.1M | +142.2% |
| 2005 | $2.4M | +16.0% |
| 2006 | $5.0M | +105.8% |
| 2007 | $6.7M | +33.3% |
| 2008 | $16.2M | +141.1% |
| 2009 | $14.2M | -12.4% |
| 2010 | $9.0M | -36.4% |
| 2011 | $14.8M | +64.0% |
| 2012 | $16.4M | +10.9% |
| 2013 | $12.3M | -25.1% |
| 2014 | $8.0M | -34.6% |
| 2015 | $11.3M | +40.8% |
| 2016 | $8.2M | -27.7% |
| 2017 | $7.3M | -10.7% |
| 2018 | $11.2M | +53.5% |
| 2019 | $8.9M | -20.4% |
| 2020 | $8.0M | -10.9% |
| 2021 | $5.7M | -28.0% |
| 2022 | $5.8M | +0.5% |
| 2023 | $4.6M | -20.0% |
| 2024 | $1.5M | -66.5% |

## Related new-corridor signals

| Exporter to buyer | Product | Signal type | Buyer imports | Page |
| --- | --- | --- | ---: | --- |
| MDV to USA, Puerto Rico and US Virgin Islands | HS 847170 | New corridor | $8.4B | [Review this signal](https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/mdv-usa-847170) |
| MDV to NLD | HS 847150 | New corridor | $5.8B | [Review this signal](https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/mdv-nld-847150) |
| MDV to Japan | HS 711319 | New corridor | $3.1B | [Review this signal](https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/mdv-jpn-711319) |
| MDV to NLD | HS 847149 | New corridor | $1.7B | [Review this signal](https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/mdv-nld-847149) |
| MDV to Thailand | HS 760200 | New corridor | $1.5B | [Review this signal](https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/mdv-tha-760200) |
| MDV to Taiwan | HS 847130 | New corridor | $1.2B | [Review this signal](https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/mdv-twn-847130) |
| MDV to Germany | HS 940510 | New corridor | $1.2B | [Review this signal](https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/mdv-deu-940510) |
| MDV to France | HS 640299 | New corridor | $1.1B | [Review this signal](https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/mdv-fra-640299) |

## Frequently asked questions

### What does a new corridor signal mean?

It identifies an exporter, buyer market, and HS6 combination included in the available new-corridor signal set for 2024. It is a research prompt, not a guarantee of demand or sales.

### Is the market opportunity reported trade?

Reported buyer imports and exporter share are observations. Any projection or share-gap measure is calculated from the available data and should not be treated as an order or forecast.

### What should exporters check next?

Validate product fit, buyers, tariffs, standards, logistics, pricing, competition, and the depth of product-level history before pursuing the route.

## Method

The signal is a calculated research indicator based on available reported trade observations. It is not a confirmed order, sales forecast, or guarantee of market entry. Validate buyers, tariffs, standards, logistics, pricing, and competition before acting.

## Data sources

- Primary trade series: OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-09-02). [OECD Data Explorer](https://data-explorer.oecd.org/) - [OECD Terms & Conditions](https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/)
- CEPII BACI bilateral trade flows (202601): [dataset page](https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37) - [BACI documentation](https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html) - [Etalab 2.0 Open Licence](https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf)

This page presents derived Yugalinks views of reported observations and calculated indicators.