{
  "template": "new-corridor-signal",
  "templateName": "New Corridor Signal",
  "source": "api",
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/ken-ltu-300490",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Kenya to Lithuania new corridor | HS 300490 | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Reported new-corridor signal for Kenya to Lithuania in medicaments (HS 300490), with market demand, growth, share, competition, access, and evidence.",
    "robots": "index, follow"
  },
  "breadcrumbs": [
    {
      "name": "Home",
      "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com/"
    },
    {
      "name": "Trade data",
      "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/"
    },
    {
      "name": "New corridor signals",
      "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/"
    },
    {
      "name": "KEN-LTU-HS 300490",
      "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/ken-ltu-300490"
    }
  ],
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "KEN",
    "country_name": "Kenya"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "LTU",
    "country_name": "Lithuania"
  },
  "hsCode": "300490",
  "product": "Medicaments: consisting of mixed or unmixed products n.e.s. in heading no. 3004, for therapeutic or prophylactic uses, packaged for retail sale",
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "signal": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "KEN",
    "importer_iso3": "LTU",
    "hs_code": "300490",
    "your_market_share_pct": 0.00028677335819580547,
    "your_share_change_pp": 0.00028677335819580547,
    "market_imports_usd": 1211577080.5744069,
    "market_yoy_growth_pct": 11.361606629431176,
    "market_cagr_3y_pct": 9.475431,
    "top_supplier_iso3": "DEU",
    "top_supplier_share_pct": 18.831230147266602,
    "your_share_gap_pp": 18.830943373908408,
    "num_suppliers": 65,
    "market_hhi": 886.1115667059959,
    "volatility_mean_usd": 3474.4802810939264,
    "volatility_stddev_usd": 0,
    "volatility_cv": 0,
    "max_drawdown_pct": 0,
    "momentum_yoy_pct": null,
    "momentum_acceleration_pct": null,
    "anomaly_type": "",
    "anomaly_severity": "0",
    "anomaly_z_score": 0,
    "new_corridor_signal_type": "new",
    "new_corridor_signal_strength": 70.82029657573696
  },
  "market": {
    "exporter_iso3": "KEN",
    "importer_iso3": "LTU",
    "hs_code": "300490",
    "hs_description": "Medicaments: consisting of mixed or unmixed products n.e.s. in heading no. 3004, for therapeutic or prophylactic uses, packaged for retail sale",
    "hs_chapter": "30",
    "hs_heading": "3004",
    "price_range_label": "High price range",
    "trade_type_label": "Two-way vertical trade",
    "substitution_elasticity": -21.420544,
    "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 1211577080.5744069,
    "buyer_imports_avg_usd": 498737350.04009795,
    "buyer_imports_peak_usd": 1211577080.5744069,
    "buyer_cagr_full_pct": 12.1576,
    "buyer_yoy_avg_pct": 13.1768,
    "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": 11.3616,
    "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 82.7586,
    "buyer_imports_proj_3y_usd": 1709374873.82,
    "buyer_imports_proj_5y_usd": 2150279067.3,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 65503.849705,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 23433,
    "buyer_population_latest": 2795.321,
    "buyer_investment_rate": 23.05,
    "buyer_savings_rate": 21.64,
    "buyer_edu_secondary": 97.98,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2030_proj": 71263.82,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2030_proj": 26816.67,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_growth_pct": 14.44,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_growth_pct": 8.79,
    "buyer_pop_growth_pct": -4.93,
    "exports_latest_usd": 3474.4802810939264,
    "exports_avg_usd": 3474.4802810939264,
    "exports_peak_usd": 3474.4802810939264,
    "share_latest_pct": 0.00028677335819580547,
    "share_avg_pct": 0.00028677335819580547,
    "share_peak_pct": 0.00028677335819580547,
    "share_change_1y_pp": 0.00028677335819580547,
    "share_trend_pp_per_yr": null,
    "cagr_full_pct": null,
    "yoy_avg_pct": null,
    "yoy_latest_pct": null,
    "trend_consistency_pct": null,
    "exports_proj_3y_usd": null,
    "exports_proj_5y_usd": null,
    "your_share_gap_pp": 18.8309,
    "addressable_proj_3y_usd": 321891414.54,
    "addressable_proj_5y_usd": 404917833.54,
    "peer_best_share_pct": 18.831230147266602,
    "peer_top_exporter": "DEU",
    "num_suppliers_latest": 65,
    "buyer_herfindahl_index": 886.11,
    "distance_km": 6318.1669921875,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0.02239999920129776,
    "has_wto_reported_fta": 0,
    "buyer_is_eu_member": 1,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 5.5,
    "shared_legal_system": 0,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "buyer_is_wto_member": 1,
    "lane_volatility_cv": 0,
    "lane_max_drawdown_pct": 0,
    "signal_flag": "Declining",
    "lane_data_years": 1,
    "lane_last_year": 2024
  },
  "access": {
    "lane_access_data_available": false,
    "exporter_iso3": "KEN",
    "importer_iso3": "LTU",
    "hs_code": "300490"
  },
  "productHistory": [
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "export_value_usd": 3474.4802810939264,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    }
  ],
  "routeHistory": [
    {
      "year": 1998,
      "export_value_usd": 12310.145424408001,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "export_value_usd": 150032.0320236784,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 1118.7673406863387,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "export_value_usd": 8177.977674489762,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -94.54917888921274,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "export_value_usd": 79381.429862063,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 870.6731055244138,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 86.13094315146034
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "export_value_usd": 109652.55728483525,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 38.1337643771003,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -9.923481719575932
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "export_value_usd": 8474.724631228008,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -92.27129321825672,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 1.195195011946848
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "export_value_usd": 5903.107326615161,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -30.344552967973115,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -57.94794207255478
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "export_value_usd": 1504.0263732569886,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -74.52144624787982,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -76.06249424635979
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "export_value_usd": 1764.0793604378168,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 17.290453931182093,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -40.73510657803635
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "export_value_usd": 1956.7796802272271,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 10.923562970635569,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -30.792406174975508
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "export_value_usd": 21305.354340986167,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 988.7967897598019,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 141.96047957329543
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "export_value_usd": 110411.00304987583,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 418.2312449855514,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 297.03739447687246
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "export_value_usd": 80237.70291418406,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -27.32816413420465,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 244.83567203012674
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "export_value_usd": 208416.90379357937,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 159.7493400533733,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 113.86910864715753
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "export_value_usd": 188012.13113271288,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -9.790363588298877,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 19.41471293482726
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "export_value_usd": 374685.9971219335,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 99.2882027689226,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 67.14612985415684
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "export_value_usd": 80066.07709607456,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -78.63115309590319,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -27.304889081264903
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "export_value_usd": 228597.77604736862,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 185.51139800825362,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 6.732179088578838
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "export_value_usd": 517149.5973160624,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 126.22687160740438,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 11.339579308744252
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "export_value_usd": 711682.2514350304,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 37.616321298240685,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 107.14726085061872
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "export_value_usd": 430512.625080817,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -39.50774742341336,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 23.491755292278338
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "export_value_usd": 1835114.0087265607,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 326.26253025264197,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 52.5277813869518
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "export_value_usd": 1397076.2891651196,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -23.869782339322242,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 25.211628001084986
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "export_value_usd": 3870790.36923356,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 177.0636363420576,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 107.93994269676843
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "export_value_usd": 1329427.7849047882,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -65.65487515233166,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -10.188096666903746
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "export_value_usd": 1418650.0847534926,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 6.711331060008985,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 0.5121097174635825
    }
  ],
  "relatedSignals": [
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "KEN",
      "importer_iso3": "CHN",
      "hs_code": "740311",
      "your_market_share_pct": 0.0000477852750068271,
      "your_share_change_pp": 0.0000477852750068271,
      "market_imports_usd": 30258390892.6778,
      "market_yoy_growth_pct": 4.544653406861343,
      "market_cagr_3y_pct": 0.549485,
      "top_supplier_iso3": "COD",
      "top_supplier_share_pct": 35.772539299755266,
      "your_share_gap_pp": 35.77249151448026,
      "num_suppliers": 47,
      "market_hhi": 1747.708994757037,
      "volatility_mean_usd": 14459.055300706812,
      "volatility_stddev_usd": 0,
      "volatility_cv": 0,
      "max_drawdown_pct": 0,
      "momentum_yoy_pct": null,
      "momentum_acceleration_pct": null,
      "anomaly_type": "",
      "anomaly_severity": "0",
      "anomaly_z_score": 0,
      "new_corridor_signal_type": "new",
      "new_corridor_signal_strength": 83.20339907735266,
      "exporter_name": "Kenya",
      "importer_name": "CHN",
      "published": true
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "KEN",
      "importer_iso3": "ARE",
      "hs_code": "841191",
      "your_market_share_pct": 0.00007222670169269578,
      "your_share_change_pp": 0.00007222670169269578,
      "market_imports_usd": 12304237477.479103,
      "market_yoy_growth_pct": 529.494855139982,
      "market_cagr_3y_pct": 113.0038,
      "top_supplier_iso3": "BHR",
      "top_supplier_share_pct": 36.99041824085648,
      "your_share_gap_pp": 36.99034601415479,
      "num_suppliers": 71,
      "market_hhi": 1975.6955273468484,
      "volatility_mean_usd": 8886.944898419708,
      "volatility_stddev_usd": 0,
      "volatility_cv": 0,
      "max_drawdown_pct": 0,
      "momentum_yoy_pct": null,
      "momentum_acceleration_pct": null,
      "anomaly_type": "",
      "anomaly_severity": "0",
      "anomaly_z_score": 0,
      "new_corridor_signal_type": "new",
      "new_corridor_signal_strength": 78.97602706990185,
      "exporter_name": "Kenya",
      "importer_name": "ARE",
      "published": true
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "KEN",
      "importer_iso3": "CHN",
      "hs_code": "260600",
      "your_market_share_pct": 1.0979129783401782e-7,
      "your_share_change_pp": 1.0979129783401782e-7,
      "market_imports_usd": 8801719409.936241,
      "market_yoy_growth_pct": 22.234259298941804,
      "market_cagr_3y_pct": 35.230287,
      "top_supplier_iso3": "GIN",
      "top_supplier_share_pct": 75.22531216113623,
      "your_share_gap_pp": 75.22531205134493,
      "num_suppliers": 40,
      "market_hhi": 6076.660305286489,
      "volatility_mean_usd": 9.663521971877653,
      "volatility_stddev_usd": 0,
      "volatility_cv": 0,
      "max_drawdown_pct": 0,
      "momentum_yoy_pct": null,
      "momentum_acceleration_pct": null,
      "anomaly_type": "",
      "anomaly_severity": "0",
      "anomaly_z_score": 0,
      "new_corridor_signal_type": "new",
      "new_corridor_signal_strength": 20.558013362720416,
      "exporter_name": "Kenya",
      "importer_name": "CHN",
      "published": true
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "KEN",
      "importer_iso3": "USA",
      "hs_code": "020230",
      "your_market_share_pct": 1.848043241985349e-7,
      "your_share_change_pp": 1.848043241985349e-7,
      "market_imports_usd": 4753636536.595236,
      "market_yoy_growth_pct": 51.44328989100846,
      "market_cagr_3y_pct": 21.807589,
      "top_supplier_iso3": "AUS",
      "top_supplier_share_pct": 35.41906280073977,
      "your_share_gap_pp": 35.41906261593545,
      "num_suppliers": 32,
      "market_hhi": 2170.7615363805025,
      "volatility_mean_usd": 8.784925876309465,
      "volatility_stddev_usd": 0,
      "volatility_cv": 0,
      "max_drawdown_pct": 0,
      "momentum_yoy_pct": null,
      "momentum_acceleration_pct": null,
      "anomaly_type": "",
      "anomaly_severity": "0",
      "anomaly_z_score": 0,
      "new_corridor_signal_type": "new",
      "new_corridor_signal_strength": 19.811150801961734,
      "exporter_name": "Kenya",
      "importer_name": "USA, Puerto Rico and US Virgin Islands",
      "published": true
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "KEN",
      "importer_iso3": "DEU",
      "hs_code": "300439",
      "your_market_share_pct": 0.0000033938523354888733,
      "your_share_change_pp": 0.0000033938523354888733,
      "market_imports_usd": 2798292965.0086107,
      "market_yoy_growth_pct": 41.89344326280895,
      "market_cagr_3y_pct": 4.877806,
      "top_supplier_iso3": "ITA",
      "top_supplier_share_pct": 47.81183178065739,
      "your_share_gap_pp": 47.811828386805054,
      "num_suppliers": 58,
      "market_hhi": 2643.72594397537,
      "volatility_mean_usd": 94.96993114676557,
      "volatility_stddev_usd": 0,
      "volatility_cv": 0,
      "max_drawdown_pct": 0,
      "momentum_yoy_pct": null,
      "momentum_acceleration_pct": null,
      "anomaly_type": "",
      "anomaly_severity": "0",
      "anomaly_z_score": 0,
      "new_corridor_signal_type": "new",
      "new_corridor_signal_strength": 39.642703664421646,
      "exporter_name": "Kenya",
      "importer_name": "Germany",
      "published": true
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "KEN",
      "importer_iso3": "GBR",
      "hs_code": "230910",
      "your_market_share_pct": 0.00033422592567597647,
      "your_share_change_pp": 0.00033422592567597647,
      "market_imports_usd": 1655928379.0322776,
      "market_yoy_growth_pct": 6.445519491430218,
      "market_cagr_3y_pct": 11.608252,
      "top_supplier_iso3": "DEU",
      "top_supplier_share_pct": 15.899773672086873,
      "your_share_gap_pp": 15.899439446161198,
      "num_suppliers": 52,
      "market_hhi": 1001.668240557144,
      "volatility_mean_usd": 5534.541953351822,
      "volatility_stddev_usd": 0,
      "volatility_cv": 0,
      "max_drawdown_pct": 0,
      "momentum_yoy_pct": null,
      "momentum_acceleration_pct": null,
      "anomaly_type": "",
      "anomaly_severity": "0",
      "anomaly_z_score": 0,
      "new_corridor_signal_type": "new",
      "new_corridor_signal_strength": 74.86320293185773,
      "exporter_name": "Kenya",
      "importer_name": "GBR",
      "published": true
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "KEN",
      "importer_iso3": "USA",
      "hs_code": "871160",
      "your_market_share_pct": 0.0002547603405772197,
      "your_share_change_pp": 0.0002547603405772197,
      "market_imports_usd": 1567705024.7824352,
      "market_yoy_growth_pct": -5.171051303672492,
      "market_cagr_3y_pct": -1.823915,
      "top_supplier_iso3": "CHN",
      "top_supplier_share_pct": 73.8760686263992,
      "your_share_gap_pp": 73.87581386605862,
      "num_suppliers": 68,
      "market_hhi": 5623.690759233156,
      "volatility_mean_usd": 3993.890660381918,
      "volatility_stddev_usd": 0,
      "volatility_cv": 0,
      "max_drawdown_pct": 0,
      "momentum_yoy_pct": null,
      "momentum_acceleration_pct": null,
      "anomaly_type": "",
      "anomaly_severity": "0",
      "anomaly_z_score": 0,
      "new_corridor_signal_type": "new",
      "new_corridor_signal_strength": 72.03009794462665,
      "exporter_name": "Kenya",
      "importer_name": "USA, Puerto Rico and US Virgin Islands",
      "published": true
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "KEN",
      "importer_iso3": "DEU",
      "hs_code": "850980",
      "your_market_share_pct": 1.5070531193279256e-7,
      "your_share_change_pp": 1.5070531193279256e-7,
      "market_imports_usd": 1264009880.14437,
      "market_yoy_growth_pct": 23.131312023775298,
      "market_cagr_3y_pct": 4.019764,
      "top_supplier_iso3": "CHN",
      "top_supplier_share_pct": 46.57611945588195,
      "your_share_gap_pp": 46.57611930517664,
      "num_suppliers": 79,
      "market_hhi": 2771.0830162057455,
      "volatility_mean_usd": 1.9049300327328904,
      "volatility_stddev_usd": 0,
      "volatility_cv": 0,
      "max_drawdown_pct": 0,
      "momentum_yoy_pct": null,
      "momentum_acceleration_pct": null,
      "anomaly_type": "",
      "anomaly_severity": "0",
      "anomaly_z_score": 0,
      "new_corridor_signal_type": "new",
      "new_corridor_signal_strength": 9.262713531332805,
      "exporter_name": "Kenya",
      "importer_name": "Germany",
      "published": true
    }
  ],
  "sections": {
    "overview": {
      "title": "What does this new corridor signal mean?",
      "summary": "The signal points to a newly observed exporter-to-buyer relationship in the available reporting. It is a prompt for market research, not a forecast, order, or guarantee of commercial access.",
      "reportedMarket": {
        "buyerMarket": "Lithuania",
        "imports": "$1.2B",
        "year": 2024,
        "annualChange": "+11.4%"
      },
      "exporterPosition": {
        "exporter": "Kenya",
        "routeExports": "$3.5K",
        "currentShare": "0.0%"
      }
    },
    "signal": {
      "title": "A new relationship in the reported trade view",
      "type": "New corridor",
      "strength": "71/100",
      "reportedPeriod": 2024,
      "marketMomentum": "+0.0%",
      "availableProductHistoryYears": "1"
    },
    "market": {
      "latestImports": "$1.2B",
      "projectionThreeYears": "$1.7B",
      "supplierCount": "65",
      "averageImports": "$498.7M",
      "historicalPeak": "$1.2B",
      "fullHistoryGrowth": "+12.2%",
      "latestAnnualChange": "+11.4%"
    },
    "competition": {
      "topSupplier": {
        "country": "Germany",
        "iso3": "DEU",
        "share": "18.8%"
      },
      "marketConcentrationHhi": "886",
      "exporterShare": "0.0%",
      "shareGap": "18.8%"
    },
    "access": {
      "appliedTariff": "Not reported",
      "mfnTariff": "Not reported",
      "preferentialTariff": "Not reported",
      "distance": "6,318 km",
      "tradeAgreement": "Not reported",
      "businessEntryTime": "5.5 days",
      "sharedSpokenLanguageScore": "0"
    },
    "economy": {
      "gdpPerPerson": "$23.4K",
      "gdpPerPersonGrowth": "+14.4%",
      "populationThousands": "2,795",
      "gdp": "$65.5B",
      "gdpFiveYearCagr": "Not reported",
      "investmentRate": "23.1%",
      "savingsRate": "21.6%"
    },
    "evidence": {
      "productHistory": [
        {
          "year": 2024,
          "export_value_usd": 3474.4802810939264,
          "yoy_growth_pct": null,
          "cagr_3y_pct": null
        }
      ],
      "routeHistory": [
        {
          "year": 1998,
          "export_value_usd": 12310.145424408001,
          "yoy_growth_pct": null,
          "cagr_3y_pct": null
        },
        {
          "year": 2000,
          "export_value_usd": 150032.0320236784,
          "yoy_growth_pct": 1118.7673406863387,
          "cagr_3y_pct": null
        },
        {
          "year": 2001,
          "export_value_usd": 8177.977674489762,
          "yoy_growth_pct": -94.54917888921274,
          "cagr_3y_pct": null
        },
        {
          "year": 2002,
          "export_value_usd": 79381.429862063,
          "yoy_growth_pct": 870.6731055244138,
          "cagr_3y_pct": 86.13094315146034
        },
        {
          "year": 2003,
          "export_value_usd": 109652.55728483525,
          "yoy_growth_pct": 38.1337643771003,
          "cagr_3y_pct": -9.923481719575932
        },
        {
          "year": 2004,
          "export_value_usd": 8474.724631228008,
          "yoy_growth_pct": -92.27129321825672,
          "cagr_3y_pct": 1.195195011946848
        },
        {
          "year": 2005,
          "export_value_usd": 5903.107326615161,
          "yoy_growth_pct": -30.344552967973115,
          "cagr_3y_pct": -57.94794207255478
        },
        {
          "year": 2006,
          "export_value_usd": 1504.0263732569886,
          "yoy_growth_pct": -74.52144624787982,
          "cagr_3y_pct": -76.06249424635979
        },
        {
          "year": 2007,
          "export_value_usd": 1764.0793604378168,
          "yoy_growth_pct": 17.290453931182093,
          "cagr_3y_pct": -40.73510657803635
        },
        {
          "year": 2008,
          "export_value_usd": 1956.7796802272271,
          "yoy_growth_pct": 10.923562970635569,
          "cagr_3y_pct": -30.792406174975508
        },
        {
          "year": 2009,
          "export_value_usd": 21305.354340986167,
          "yoy_growth_pct": 988.7967897598019,
          "cagr_3y_pct": 141.96047957329543
        },
        {
          "year": 2010,
          "export_value_usd": 110411.00304987583,
          "yoy_growth_pct": 418.2312449855514,
          "cagr_3y_pct": 297.03739447687246
        },
        {
          "year": 2011,
          "export_value_usd": 80237.70291418406,
          "yoy_growth_pct": -27.32816413420465,
          "cagr_3y_pct": 244.83567203012674
        },
        {
          "year": 2012,
          "export_value_usd": 208416.90379357937,
          "yoy_growth_pct": 159.7493400533733,
          "cagr_3y_pct": 113.86910864715753
        },
        {
          "year": 2013,
          "export_value_usd": 188012.13113271288,
          "yoy_growth_pct": -9.790363588298877,
          "cagr_3y_pct": 19.41471293482726
        },
        {
          "year": 2014,
          "export_value_usd": 374685.9971219335,
          "yoy_growth_pct": 99.2882027689226,
          "cagr_3y_pct": 67.14612985415684
        },
        {
          "year": 2015,
          "export_value_usd": 80066.07709607456,
          "yoy_growth_pct": -78.63115309590319,
          "cagr_3y_pct": -27.304889081264903
        },
        {
          "year": 2016,
          "export_value_usd": 228597.77604736862,
          "yoy_growth_pct": 185.51139800825362,
          "cagr_3y_pct": 6.732179088578838
        },
        {
          "year": 2017,
          "export_value_usd": 517149.5973160624,
          "yoy_growth_pct": 126.22687160740438,
          "cagr_3y_pct": 11.339579308744252
        },
        {
          "year": 2018,
          "export_value_usd": 711682.2514350304,
          "yoy_growth_pct": 37.616321298240685,
          "cagr_3y_pct": 107.14726085061872
        },
        {
          "year": 2019,
          "export_value_usd": 430512.625080817,
          "yoy_growth_pct": -39.50774742341336,
          "cagr_3y_pct": 23.491755292278338
        },
        {
          "year": 2020,
          "export_value_usd": 1835114.0087265607,
          "yoy_growth_pct": 326.26253025264197,
          "cagr_3y_pct": 52.5277813869518
        },
        {
          "year": 2021,
          "export_value_usd": 1397076.2891651196,
          "yoy_growth_pct": -23.869782339322242,
          "cagr_3y_pct": 25.211628001084986
        },
        {
          "year": 2022,
          "export_value_usd": 3870790.36923356,
          "yoy_growth_pct": 177.0636363420576,
          "cagr_3y_pct": 107.93994269676843
        },
        {
          "year": 2023,
          "export_value_usd": 1329427.7849047882,
          "yoy_growth_pct": -65.65487515233166,
          "cagr_3y_pct": -10.188096666903746
        },
        {
          "year": 2024,
          "export_value_usd": 1418650.0847534926,
          "yoy_growth_pct": 6.711331060008985,
          "cagr_3y_pct": 0.5121097174635825
        }
      ],
      "routeHistoryScope": "Broader Kenya to Lithuania route exports, not only HS 300490."
    },
    "relatedSignals": [
      {
        "year": 2024,
        "exporter_iso3": "KEN",
        "importer_iso3": "CHN",
        "hs_code": "740311",
        "your_market_share_pct": 0.0000477852750068271,
        "your_share_change_pp": 0.0000477852750068271,
        "market_imports_usd": 30258390892.6778,
        "market_yoy_growth_pct": 4.544653406861343,
        "market_cagr_3y_pct": 0.549485,
        "top_supplier_iso3": "COD",
        "top_supplier_share_pct": 35.772539299755266,
        "your_share_gap_pp": 35.77249151448026,
        "num_suppliers": 47,
        "market_hhi": 1747.708994757037,
        "volatility_mean_usd": 14459.055300706812,
        "volatility_stddev_usd": 0,
        "volatility_cv": 0,
        "max_drawdown_pct": 0,
        "momentum_yoy_pct": null,
        "momentum_acceleration_pct": null,
        "anomaly_type": "",
        "anomaly_severity": "0",
        "anomaly_z_score": 0,
        "new_corridor_signal_type": "new",
        "new_corridor_signal_strength": 83.20339907735266,
        "exporter_name": "Kenya",
        "importer_name": "CHN",
        "published": true,
        "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/ken-chn-740311"
      },
      {
        "year": 2024,
        "exporter_iso3": "KEN",
        "importer_iso3": "ARE",
        "hs_code": "841191",
        "your_market_share_pct": 0.00007222670169269578,
        "your_share_change_pp": 0.00007222670169269578,
        "market_imports_usd": 12304237477.479103,
        "market_yoy_growth_pct": 529.494855139982,
        "market_cagr_3y_pct": 113.0038,
        "top_supplier_iso3": "BHR",
        "top_supplier_share_pct": 36.99041824085648,
        "your_share_gap_pp": 36.99034601415479,
        "num_suppliers": 71,
        "market_hhi": 1975.6955273468484,
        "volatility_mean_usd": 8886.944898419708,
        "volatility_stddev_usd": 0,
        "volatility_cv": 0,
        "max_drawdown_pct": 0,
        "momentum_yoy_pct": null,
        "momentum_acceleration_pct": null,
        "anomaly_type": "",
        "anomaly_severity": "0",
        "anomaly_z_score": 0,
        "new_corridor_signal_type": "new",
        "new_corridor_signal_strength": 78.97602706990185,
        "exporter_name": "Kenya",
        "importer_name": "ARE",
        "published": true,
        "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/ken-are-841191"
      },
      {
        "year": 2024,
        "exporter_iso3": "KEN",
        "importer_iso3": "CHN",
        "hs_code": "260600",
        "your_market_share_pct": 1.0979129783401782e-7,
        "your_share_change_pp": 1.0979129783401782e-7,
        "market_imports_usd": 8801719409.936241,
        "market_yoy_growth_pct": 22.234259298941804,
        "market_cagr_3y_pct": 35.230287,
        "top_supplier_iso3": "GIN",
        "top_supplier_share_pct": 75.22531216113623,
        "your_share_gap_pp": 75.22531205134493,
        "num_suppliers": 40,
        "market_hhi": 6076.660305286489,
        "volatility_mean_usd": 9.663521971877653,
        "volatility_stddev_usd": 0,
        "volatility_cv": 0,
        "max_drawdown_pct": 0,
        "momentum_yoy_pct": null,
        "momentum_acceleration_pct": null,
        "anomaly_type": "",
        "anomaly_severity": "0",
        "anomaly_z_score": 0,
        "new_corridor_signal_type": "new",
        "new_corridor_signal_strength": 20.558013362720416,
        "exporter_name": "Kenya",
        "importer_name": "CHN",
        "published": true,
        "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/ken-chn-260600"
      },
      {
        "year": 2024,
        "exporter_iso3": "KEN",
        "importer_iso3": "USA",
        "hs_code": "020230",
        "your_market_share_pct": 1.848043241985349e-7,
        "your_share_change_pp": 1.848043241985349e-7,
        "market_imports_usd": 4753636536.595236,
        "market_yoy_growth_pct": 51.44328989100846,
        "market_cagr_3y_pct": 21.807589,
        "top_supplier_iso3": "AUS",
        "top_supplier_share_pct": 35.41906280073977,
        "your_share_gap_pp": 35.41906261593545,
        "num_suppliers": 32,
        "market_hhi": 2170.7615363805025,
        "volatility_mean_usd": 8.784925876309465,
        "volatility_stddev_usd": 0,
        "volatility_cv": 0,
        "max_drawdown_pct": 0,
        "momentum_yoy_pct": null,
        "momentum_acceleration_pct": null,
        "anomaly_type": "",
        "anomaly_severity": "0",
        "anomaly_z_score": 0,
        "new_corridor_signal_type": "new",
        "new_corridor_signal_strength": 19.811150801961734,
        "exporter_name": "Kenya",
        "importer_name": "USA, Puerto Rico and US Virgin Islands",
        "published": true,
        "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/ken-usa-020230"
      },
      {
        "year": 2024,
        "exporter_iso3": "KEN",
        "importer_iso3": "DEU",
        "hs_code": "300439",
        "your_market_share_pct": 0.0000033938523354888733,
        "your_share_change_pp": 0.0000033938523354888733,
        "market_imports_usd": 2798292965.0086107,
        "market_yoy_growth_pct": 41.89344326280895,
        "market_cagr_3y_pct": 4.877806,
        "top_supplier_iso3": "ITA",
        "top_supplier_share_pct": 47.81183178065739,
        "your_share_gap_pp": 47.811828386805054,
        "num_suppliers": 58,
        "market_hhi": 2643.72594397537,
        "volatility_mean_usd": 94.96993114676557,
        "volatility_stddev_usd": 0,
        "volatility_cv": 0,
        "max_drawdown_pct": 0,
        "momentum_yoy_pct": null,
        "momentum_acceleration_pct": null,
        "anomaly_type": "",
        "anomaly_severity": "0",
        "anomaly_z_score": 0,
        "new_corridor_signal_type": "new",
        "new_corridor_signal_strength": 39.642703664421646,
        "exporter_name": "Kenya",
        "importer_name": "Germany",
        "published": true,
        "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/ken-deu-300439"
      },
      {
        "year": 2024,
        "exporter_iso3": "KEN",
        "importer_iso3": "GBR",
        "hs_code": "230910",
        "your_market_share_pct": 0.00033422592567597647,
        "your_share_change_pp": 0.00033422592567597647,
        "market_imports_usd": 1655928379.0322776,
        "market_yoy_growth_pct": 6.445519491430218,
        "market_cagr_3y_pct": 11.608252,
        "top_supplier_iso3": "DEU",
        "top_supplier_share_pct": 15.899773672086873,
        "your_share_gap_pp": 15.899439446161198,
        "num_suppliers": 52,
        "market_hhi": 1001.668240557144,
        "volatility_mean_usd": 5534.541953351822,
        "volatility_stddev_usd": 0,
        "volatility_cv": 0,
        "max_drawdown_pct": 0,
        "momentum_yoy_pct": null,
        "momentum_acceleration_pct": null,
        "anomaly_type": "",
        "anomaly_severity": "0",
        "anomaly_z_score": 0,
        "new_corridor_signal_type": "new",
        "new_corridor_signal_strength": 74.86320293185773,
        "exporter_name": "Kenya",
        "importer_name": "GBR",
        "published": true,
        "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/ken-gbr-230910"
      },
      {
        "year": 2024,
        "exporter_iso3": "KEN",
        "importer_iso3": "USA",
        "hs_code": "871160",
        "your_market_share_pct": 0.0002547603405772197,
        "your_share_change_pp": 0.0002547603405772197,
        "market_imports_usd": 1567705024.7824352,
        "market_yoy_growth_pct": -5.171051303672492,
        "market_cagr_3y_pct": -1.823915,
        "top_supplier_iso3": "CHN",
        "top_supplier_share_pct": 73.8760686263992,
        "your_share_gap_pp": 73.87581386605862,
        "num_suppliers": 68,
        "market_hhi": 5623.690759233156,
        "volatility_mean_usd": 3993.890660381918,
        "volatility_stddev_usd": 0,
        "volatility_cv": 0,
        "max_drawdown_pct": 0,
        "momentum_yoy_pct": null,
        "momentum_acceleration_pct": null,
        "anomaly_type": "",
        "anomaly_severity": "0",
        "anomaly_z_score": 0,
        "new_corridor_signal_type": "new",
        "new_corridor_signal_strength": 72.03009794462665,
        "exporter_name": "Kenya",
        "importer_name": "USA, Puerto Rico and US Virgin Islands",
        "published": true,
        "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/ken-usa-871160"
      },
      {
        "year": 2024,
        "exporter_iso3": "KEN",
        "importer_iso3": "DEU",
        "hs_code": "850980",
        "your_market_share_pct": 1.5070531193279256e-7,
        "your_share_change_pp": 1.5070531193279256e-7,
        "market_imports_usd": 1264009880.14437,
        "market_yoy_growth_pct": 23.131312023775298,
        "market_cagr_3y_pct": 4.019764,
        "top_supplier_iso3": "CHN",
        "top_supplier_share_pct": 46.57611945588195,
        "your_share_gap_pp": 46.57611930517664,
        "num_suppliers": 79,
        "market_hhi": 2771.0830162057455,
        "volatility_mean_usd": 1.9049300327328904,
        "volatility_stddev_usd": 0,
        "volatility_cv": 0,
        "max_drawdown_pct": 0,
        "momentum_yoy_pct": null,
        "momentum_acceleration_pct": null,
        "anomaly_type": "",
        "anomaly_severity": "0",
        "anomaly_z_score": 0,
        "new_corridor_signal_type": "new",
        "new_corridor_signal_strength": 9.262713531332805,
        "exporter_name": "Kenya",
        "importer_name": "Germany",
        "published": true,
        "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/ken-deu-850980"
      }
    ],
    "faq": [
      {
        "question": "What does a new corridor signal mean?",
        "answer": "It identifies an exporter, buyer market, and HS6 combination included in the available new-corridor signal set for 2024. It is a research prompt, not a guarantee of demand or sales."
      },
      {
        "question": "Is the market opportunity reported trade?",
        "answer": "Reported buyer imports and exporter share are observations. Any projection or share-gap measure is calculated from the available data and should not be treated as an order or forecast."
      },
      {
        "question": "What should exporters check next?",
        "answer": "Validate product fit, buyers, tariffs, standards, logistics, pricing, competition, and the depth of product-level history before pursuing the route."
      }
    ],
    "dataSources": {
      "publisher": "OECD",
      "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
      "year": 2025,
      "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-09-02)",
      "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
      "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
      "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
      "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
      "accessed": "2026-09-02",
      "supportingSources": [
        {
          "publisher": "CEPII",
          "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
          "release": "202601",
          "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
          "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
          "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
          "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
          "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
          "accessed": "2026-09-02"
        }
      ]
    }
  },
  "links": {
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "trade": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/",
    "product": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/product/300490",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app?hs=300490",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/ken-ltu-300490/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/ken-ltu-300490/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/ken-ltu-300490/index.ld.json"
  },
  "methodology": {
    "summary": "Reported trade observations and calculated signal indicators are shown separately. Validate buyers, tariffs, standards, logistics, pricing, and competition before acting.",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology"
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-09-02)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-09-02",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-09-02"
      }
    ]
  },
  "generatedAt": "2026-09-02T11:43:35.835Z"
}