{
  "template": "new-corridor-signal",
  "templateName": "New Corridor Signal",
  "source": "api",
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/ken-fra-381121",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Kenya to France new corridor | HS 381121 | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Reported new-corridor signal for Kenya to France in lubricating oil additives (HS 381121), with market demand, growth, share, competition, access, and...",
    "robots": "index, follow"
  },
  "breadcrumbs": [
    {
      "name": "Home",
      "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com/"
    },
    {
      "name": "Trade data",
      "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/"
    },
    {
      "name": "New corridor signals",
      "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/"
    },
    {
      "name": "KEN-FRA-HS 381121",
      "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/ken-fra-381121"
    }
  ],
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "KEN",
    "country_name": "Kenya"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "FRA",
    "country_name": "France"
  },
  "hsCode": "381121",
  "product": "Lubricating oil additives: containing petroleum oils or oils obtained from bituminous minerals",
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "signal": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "KEN",
    "importer_iso3": "FRA",
    "hs_code": "381121",
    "your_market_share_pct": 0.00001918847426011792,
    "your_share_change_pp": 0.00001918847426011792,
    "market_imports_usd": 542141364.434509,
    "market_yoy_growth_pct": 12.689931940550391,
    "market_cagr_3y_pct": 4.227338,
    "top_supplier_iso3": "USA",
    "top_supplier_share_pct": 39.73488648138495,
    "your_share_gap_pp": 39.734867292910685,
    "num_suppliers": 46,
    "market_hhi": 2798.54825364959,
    "volatility_mean_usd": 104.02865616796785,
    "volatility_stddev_usd": 0,
    "volatility_cv": 0,
    "max_drawdown_pct": 0,
    "momentum_yoy_pct": null,
    "momentum_acceleration_pct": null,
    "anomaly_type": "",
    "anomaly_severity": "0",
    "anomaly_z_score": 0,
    "new_corridor_signal_type": "new",
    "new_corridor_signal_strength": 40.42615617524283
  },
  "market": {
    "exporter_iso3": "KEN",
    "importer_iso3": "FRA",
    "hs_code": "381121",
    "hs_description": "Lubricating oil additives: containing petroleum oils or oils obtained from bituminous minerals",
    "hs_chapter": "38",
    "hs_heading": "3811",
    "price_range_label": "Medium price range",
    "trade_type_label": "One-way trade",
    "substitution_elasticity": -12.819467,
    "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 542141364.434509,
    "buyer_imports_avg_usd": 313119945.4490166,
    "buyer_imports_peak_usd": 567275019.6009421,
    "buyer_cagr_full_pct": 4.2468,
    "buyer_yoy_avg_pct": 5.5499,
    "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": 12.6899,
    "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 62.069,
    "buyer_imports_proj_3y_usd": 614187899.09,
    "buyer_imports_proj_5y_usd": 667462795.44,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 2937472.7579530003,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 43519,
    "buyer_population_latest": 67499.344,
    "buyer_investment_rate": 23.51,
    "buyer_savings_rate": 22.88,
    "buyer_edu_secondary": 95.39,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2030_proj": 3077177.5,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2030_proj": 45046.24,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_growth_pct": 3.51,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_growth_pct": 4.76,
    "buyer_pop_growth_pct": 1.2,
    "exports_latest_usd": 104.02865616796785,
    "exports_avg_usd": 104.02865616796785,
    "exports_peak_usd": 104.02865616796785,
    "share_latest_pct": 0.00001918847426011792,
    "share_avg_pct": 0.00001918847426011792,
    "share_peak_pct": 0.00001918847426011792,
    "share_change_1y_pp": 0.00001918847426011792,
    "share_trend_pp_per_yr": null,
    "cagr_full_pct": null,
    "yoy_avg_pct": null,
    "yoy_latest_pct": null,
    "trend_consistency_pct": null,
    "exports_proj_3y_usd": null,
    "exports_proj_5y_usd": null,
    "your_share_gap_pp": 39.7349,
    "addressable_proj_3y_usd": 244046746.63,
    "addressable_proj_5y_usd": 265215456,
    "peer_best_share_pct": 39.73488648138495,
    "peer_top_exporter": "USA",
    "num_suppliers_latest": 46,
    "buyer_herfindahl_index": 2798.55,
    "distance_km": 6491.40234375,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0.025200001895427704,
    "has_wto_reported_fta": 0,
    "buyer_is_eu_member": 1,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 4,
    "shared_legal_system": 0,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "buyer_is_wto_member": 1,
    "lane_volatility_cv": 0,
    "lane_max_drawdown_pct": 0,
    "signal_flag": "Declining",
    "lane_data_years": 1,
    "lane_last_year": 2024
  },
  "access": {
    "lane_access_data_available": false,
    "exporter_iso3": "KEN",
    "importer_iso3": "FRA",
    "hs_code": "381121"
  },
  "productHistory": [
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "export_value_usd": 104.02865616796785,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    }
  ],
  "routeHistory": [
    {
      "year": 1995,
      "export_value_usd": 53696099.931641564,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1996,
      "export_value_usd": 55247641.064565346,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 2.8894857073400004,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1997,
      "export_value_usd": 63598648.77423494,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 15.115591451063338,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1998,
      "export_value_usd": 48179563.264005095,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -24.244360229987183,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -3.5490065446249885
    },
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "export_value_usd": 55355528.9130388,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 14.894210662957285,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 0.06505116147570433
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "export_value_usd": 51332060.06447029,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -7.268413702431076,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -6.893442730441368
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "export_value_usd": 52029355.2250273,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 1.3584008895829225,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 2.5955510232095635
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "export_value_usd": 44274138.75970455,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -14.905463332730895,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -7.1754101310984915
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "export_value_usd": 66066821.8237298,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 49.222150163787106,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 8.77562162778418
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "export_value_usd": 83938201.78587845,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 27.050461137408057,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 17.283541743574293
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "export_value_usd": 93642254.94740035,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 11.560949549856181,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 28.363213369691298
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "export_value_usd": 89791654.30921404,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -4.112033227253253,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 10.768817434160871
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "export_value_usd": 80217764.16571282,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -10.662338518156457,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -1.4998336321139005
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "export_value_usd": 96348513.8582971,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 20.108700186733675,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 0.954198620057034
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "export_value_usd": 72627118.63934039,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -24.62040592950353,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -6.827528910253299
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "export_value_usd": 81872656.68031344,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 12.730145728189424,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 0.6829912921853643
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "export_value_usd": 92554633.87936102,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 13.047063124819914,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -1.3301694583945256
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "export_value_usd": 82357999.23100622,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -11.016881836133086,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 4.280312583313961
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "export_value_usd": 82454374.96128899,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 0.11702048517769903,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 0.2362799268636362
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "export_value_usd": 79845525.0280897,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -3.1639921282819783,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -4.804269410381467
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "export_value_usd": 80152555.84802513,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 0.38453103017033197,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -0.9007131237222854
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "export_value_usd": 80986619.02271955,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 1.0405946084562245,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -0.5969168570267969
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "export_value_usd": 94912171.76207848,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 17.194880966017777,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 5.931171856703554
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "export_value_usd": 102555646.6488966,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 8.05320829237628,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 8.562724525712074
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "export_value_usd": 100316840.8507692,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -2.1830156322762417,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 7.395691686414563
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "export_value_usd": 96366752.27855676,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -3.9376126069286532,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 0.5082637179273597
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "export_value_usd": 115786324.7391169,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 20.151734910009345,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 4.127609248247133
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "export_value_usd": 95779726.99313864,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -17.27889523314259,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -1.5309119239776958
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "export_value_usd": 114704502.81549558,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 19.75864456547538,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 5.978495049179178
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "export_value_usd": 118720892.3853511,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 3.501509941868597,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 0.8377843256315964
    }
  ],
  "relatedSignals": [
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "KEN",
      "importer_iso3": "CHN",
      "hs_code": "740311",
      "your_market_share_pct": 0.0000477852750068271,
      "your_share_change_pp": 0.0000477852750068271,
      "market_imports_usd": 30258390892.6778,
      "market_yoy_growth_pct": 4.544653406861343,
      "market_cagr_3y_pct": 0.549485,
      "top_supplier_iso3": "COD",
      "top_supplier_share_pct": 35.772539299755266,
      "your_share_gap_pp": 35.77249151448026,
      "num_suppliers": 47,
      "market_hhi": 1747.708994757037,
      "volatility_mean_usd": 14459.055300706812,
      "volatility_stddev_usd": 0,
      "volatility_cv": 0,
      "max_drawdown_pct": 0,
      "momentum_yoy_pct": null,
      "momentum_acceleration_pct": null,
      "anomaly_type": "",
      "anomaly_severity": "0",
      "anomaly_z_score": 0,
      "new_corridor_signal_type": "new",
      "new_corridor_signal_strength": 83.20339907735266,
      "exporter_name": "Kenya",
      "importer_name": "CHN",
      "published": true
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "KEN",
      "importer_iso3": "ARE",
      "hs_code": "841191",
      "your_market_share_pct": 0.00007222670169269578,
      "your_share_change_pp": 0.00007222670169269578,
      "market_imports_usd": 12304237477.479103,
      "market_yoy_growth_pct": 529.494855139982,
      "market_cagr_3y_pct": 113.0038,
      "top_supplier_iso3": "BHR",
      "top_supplier_share_pct": 36.99041824085648,
      "your_share_gap_pp": 36.99034601415479,
      "num_suppliers": 71,
      "market_hhi": 1975.6955273468484,
      "volatility_mean_usd": 8886.944898419708,
      "volatility_stddev_usd": 0,
      "volatility_cv": 0,
      "max_drawdown_pct": 0,
      "momentum_yoy_pct": null,
      "momentum_acceleration_pct": null,
      "anomaly_type": "",
      "anomaly_severity": "0",
      "anomaly_z_score": 0,
      "new_corridor_signal_type": "new",
      "new_corridor_signal_strength": 78.97602706990185,
      "exporter_name": "Kenya",
      "importer_name": "ARE",
      "published": true
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "KEN",
      "importer_iso3": "CHN",
      "hs_code": "260600",
      "your_market_share_pct": 1.0979129783401782e-7,
      "your_share_change_pp": 1.0979129783401782e-7,
      "market_imports_usd": 8801719409.936241,
      "market_yoy_growth_pct": 22.234259298941804,
      "market_cagr_3y_pct": 35.230287,
      "top_supplier_iso3": "GIN",
      "top_supplier_share_pct": 75.22531216113623,
      "your_share_gap_pp": 75.22531205134493,
      "num_suppliers": 40,
      "market_hhi": 6076.660305286489,
      "volatility_mean_usd": 9.663521971877653,
      "volatility_stddev_usd": 0,
      "volatility_cv": 0,
      "max_drawdown_pct": 0,
      "momentum_yoy_pct": null,
      "momentum_acceleration_pct": null,
      "anomaly_type": "",
      "anomaly_severity": "0",
      "anomaly_z_score": 0,
      "new_corridor_signal_type": "new",
      "new_corridor_signal_strength": 20.558013362720416,
      "exporter_name": "Kenya",
      "importer_name": "CHN",
      "published": true
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "KEN",
      "importer_iso3": "USA",
      "hs_code": "020230",
      "your_market_share_pct": 1.848043241985349e-7,
      "your_share_change_pp": 1.848043241985349e-7,
      "market_imports_usd": 4753636536.595236,
      "market_yoy_growth_pct": 51.44328989100846,
      "market_cagr_3y_pct": 21.807589,
      "top_supplier_iso3": "AUS",
      "top_supplier_share_pct": 35.41906280073977,
      "your_share_gap_pp": 35.41906261593545,
      "num_suppliers": 32,
      "market_hhi": 2170.7615363805025,
      "volatility_mean_usd": 8.784925876309465,
      "volatility_stddev_usd": 0,
      "volatility_cv": 0,
      "max_drawdown_pct": 0,
      "momentum_yoy_pct": null,
      "momentum_acceleration_pct": null,
      "anomaly_type": "",
      "anomaly_severity": "0",
      "anomaly_z_score": 0,
      "new_corridor_signal_type": "new",
      "new_corridor_signal_strength": 19.811150801961734,
      "exporter_name": "Kenya",
      "importer_name": "USA, Puerto Rico and US Virgin Islands",
      "published": true
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "KEN",
      "importer_iso3": "DEU",
      "hs_code": "300439",
      "your_market_share_pct": 0.0000033938523354888733,
      "your_share_change_pp": 0.0000033938523354888733,
      "market_imports_usd": 2798292965.0086107,
      "market_yoy_growth_pct": 41.89344326280895,
      "market_cagr_3y_pct": 4.877806,
      "top_supplier_iso3": "ITA",
      "top_supplier_share_pct": 47.81183178065739,
      "your_share_gap_pp": 47.811828386805054,
      "num_suppliers": 58,
      "market_hhi": 2643.72594397537,
      "volatility_mean_usd": 94.96993114676557,
      "volatility_stddev_usd": 0,
      "volatility_cv": 0,
      "max_drawdown_pct": 0,
      "momentum_yoy_pct": null,
      "momentum_acceleration_pct": null,
      "anomaly_type": "",
      "anomaly_severity": "0",
      "anomaly_z_score": 0,
      "new_corridor_signal_type": "new",
      "new_corridor_signal_strength": 39.642703664421646,
      "exporter_name": "Kenya",
      "importer_name": "Germany",
      "published": true
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "KEN",
      "importer_iso3": "GBR",
      "hs_code": "230910",
      "your_market_share_pct": 0.00033422592567597647,
      "your_share_change_pp": 0.00033422592567597647,
      "market_imports_usd": 1655928379.0322776,
      "market_yoy_growth_pct": 6.445519491430218,
      "market_cagr_3y_pct": 11.608252,
      "top_supplier_iso3": "DEU",
      "top_supplier_share_pct": 15.899773672086873,
      "your_share_gap_pp": 15.899439446161198,
      "num_suppliers": 52,
      "market_hhi": 1001.668240557144,
      "volatility_mean_usd": 5534.541953351822,
      "volatility_stddev_usd": 0,
      "volatility_cv": 0,
      "max_drawdown_pct": 0,
      "momentum_yoy_pct": null,
      "momentum_acceleration_pct": null,
      "anomaly_type": "",
      "anomaly_severity": "0",
      "anomaly_z_score": 0,
      "new_corridor_signal_type": "new",
      "new_corridor_signal_strength": 74.86320293185773,
      "exporter_name": "Kenya",
      "importer_name": "GBR",
      "published": true
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "KEN",
      "importer_iso3": "USA",
      "hs_code": "871160",
      "your_market_share_pct": 0.0002547603405772197,
      "your_share_change_pp": 0.0002547603405772197,
      "market_imports_usd": 1567705024.7824352,
      "market_yoy_growth_pct": -5.171051303672492,
      "market_cagr_3y_pct": -1.823915,
      "top_supplier_iso3": "CHN",
      "top_supplier_share_pct": 73.8760686263992,
      "your_share_gap_pp": 73.87581386605862,
      "num_suppliers": 68,
      "market_hhi": 5623.690759233156,
      "volatility_mean_usd": 3993.890660381918,
      "volatility_stddev_usd": 0,
      "volatility_cv": 0,
      "max_drawdown_pct": 0,
      "momentum_yoy_pct": null,
      "momentum_acceleration_pct": null,
      "anomaly_type": "",
      "anomaly_severity": "0",
      "anomaly_z_score": 0,
      "new_corridor_signal_type": "new",
      "new_corridor_signal_strength": 72.03009794462665,
      "exporter_name": "Kenya",
      "importer_name": "USA, Puerto Rico and US Virgin Islands",
      "published": true
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "KEN",
      "importer_iso3": "DEU",
      "hs_code": "850980",
      "your_market_share_pct": 1.5070531193279256e-7,
      "your_share_change_pp": 1.5070531193279256e-7,
      "market_imports_usd": 1264009880.14437,
      "market_yoy_growth_pct": 23.131312023775298,
      "market_cagr_3y_pct": 4.019764,
      "top_supplier_iso3": "CHN",
      "top_supplier_share_pct": 46.57611945588195,
      "your_share_gap_pp": 46.57611930517664,
      "num_suppliers": 79,
      "market_hhi": 2771.0830162057455,
      "volatility_mean_usd": 1.9049300327328904,
      "volatility_stddev_usd": 0,
      "volatility_cv": 0,
      "max_drawdown_pct": 0,
      "momentum_yoy_pct": null,
      "momentum_acceleration_pct": null,
      "anomaly_type": "",
      "anomaly_severity": "0",
      "anomaly_z_score": 0,
      "new_corridor_signal_type": "new",
      "new_corridor_signal_strength": 9.262713531332805,
      "exporter_name": "Kenya",
      "importer_name": "Germany",
      "published": true
    }
  ],
  "sections": {
    "overview": {
      "title": "What does this new corridor signal mean?",
      "summary": "The signal points to a newly observed exporter-to-buyer relationship in the available reporting. It is a prompt for market research, not a forecast, order, or guarantee of commercial access.",
      "reportedMarket": {
        "buyerMarket": "France",
        "imports": "$542.1M",
        "year": 2024,
        "annualChange": "+12.7%"
      },
      "exporterPosition": {
        "exporter": "Kenya",
        "routeExports": "$104.0",
        "currentShare": "0.0%"
      }
    },
    "signal": {
      "title": "A new relationship in the reported trade view",
      "type": "New corridor",
      "strength": "40/100",
      "reportedPeriod": 2024,
      "marketMomentum": "+0.0%",
      "availableProductHistoryYears": "1"
    },
    "market": {
      "latestImports": "$542.1M",
      "projectionThreeYears": "$614.2M",
      "supplierCount": "46",
      "averageImports": "$313.1M",
      "historicalPeak": "$567.3M",
      "fullHistoryGrowth": "+4.2%",
      "latestAnnualChange": "+12.7%"
    },
    "competition": {
      "topSupplier": {
        "country": "USA, Puerto Rico and US Virgin Islands",
        "iso3": "USA",
        "share": "39.7%"
      },
      "marketConcentrationHhi": "2,799",
      "exporterShare": "0.0%",
      "shareGap": "39.7%"
    },
    "access": {
      "appliedTariff": "Not reported",
      "mfnTariff": "Not reported",
      "preferentialTariff": "Not reported",
      "distance": "6,491 km",
      "tradeAgreement": "Not reported",
      "businessEntryTime": "4 days",
      "sharedSpokenLanguageScore": "0"
    },
    "economy": {
      "gdpPerPerson": "$43.5K",
      "gdpPerPersonGrowth": "+3.5%",
      "populationThousands": "67,499",
      "gdp": "$2.9T",
      "gdpFiveYearCagr": "Not reported",
      "investmentRate": "23.5%",
      "savingsRate": "22.9%"
    },
    "evidence": {
      "productHistory": [
        {
          "year": 2024,
          "export_value_usd": 104.02865616796785,
          "yoy_growth_pct": null,
          "cagr_3y_pct": null
        }
      ],
      "routeHistory": [
        {
          "year": 1995,
          "export_value_usd": 53696099.931641564,
          "yoy_growth_pct": null,
          "cagr_3y_pct": null
        },
        {
          "year": 1996,
          "export_value_usd": 55247641.064565346,
          "yoy_growth_pct": 2.8894857073400004,
          "cagr_3y_pct": null
        },
        {
          "year": 1997,
          "export_value_usd": 63598648.77423494,
          "yoy_growth_pct": 15.115591451063338,
          "cagr_3y_pct": null
        },
        {
          "year": 1998,
          "export_value_usd": 48179563.264005095,
          "yoy_growth_pct": -24.244360229987183,
          "cagr_3y_pct": -3.5490065446249885
        },
        {
          "year": 1999,
          "export_value_usd": 55355528.9130388,
          "yoy_growth_pct": 14.894210662957285,
          "cagr_3y_pct": 0.06505116147570433
        },
        {
          "year": 2000,
          "export_value_usd": 51332060.06447029,
          "yoy_growth_pct": -7.268413702431076,
          "cagr_3y_pct": -6.893442730441368
        },
        {
          "year": 2001,
          "export_value_usd": 52029355.2250273,
          "yoy_growth_pct": 1.3584008895829225,
          "cagr_3y_pct": 2.5955510232095635
        },
        {
          "year": 2002,
          "export_value_usd": 44274138.75970455,
          "yoy_growth_pct": -14.905463332730895,
          "cagr_3y_pct": -7.1754101310984915
        },
        {
          "year": 2003,
          "export_value_usd": 66066821.8237298,
          "yoy_growth_pct": 49.222150163787106,
          "cagr_3y_pct": 8.77562162778418
        },
        {
          "year": 2004,
          "export_value_usd": 83938201.78587845,
          "yoy_growth_pct": 27.050461137408057,
          "cagr_3y_pct": 17.283541743574293
        },
        {
          "year": 2005,
          "export_value_usd": 93642254.94740035,
          "yoy_growth_pct": 11.560949549856181,
          "cagr_3y_pct": 28.363213369691298
        },
        {
          "year": 2006,
          "export_value_usd": 89791654.30921404,
          "yoy_growth_pct": -4.112033227253253,
          "cagr_3y_pct": 10.768817434160871
        },
        {
          "year": 2007,
          "export_value_usd": 80217764.16571282,
          "yoy_growth_pct": -10.662338518156457,
          "cagr_3y_pct": -1.4998336321139005
        },
        {
          "year": 2008,
          "export_value_usd": 96348513.8582971,
          "yoy_growth_pct": 20.108700186733675,
          "cagr_3y_pct": 0.954198620057034
        },
        {
          "year": 2009,
          "export_value_usd": 72627118.63934039,
          "yoy_growth_pct": -24.62040592950353,
          "cagr_3y_pct": -6.827528910253299
        },
        {
          "year": 2010,
          "export_value_usd": 81872656.68031344,
          "yoy_growth_pct": 12.730145728189424,
          "cagr_3y_pct": 0.6829912921853643
        },
        {
          "year": 2011,
          "export_value_usd": 92554633.87936102,
          "yoy_growth_pct": 13.047063124819914,
          "cagr_3y_pct": -1.3301694583945256
        },
        {
          "year": 2012,
          "export_value_usd": 82357999.23100622,
          "yoy_growth_pct": -11.016881836133086,
          "cagr_3y_pct": 4.280312583313961
        },
        {
          "year": 2013,
          "export_value_usd": 82454374.96128899,
          "yoy_growth_pct": 0.11702048517769903,
          "cagr_3y_pct": 0.2362799268636362
        },
        {
          "year": 2014,
          "export_value_usd": 79845525.0280897,
          "yoy_growth_pct": -3.1639921282819783,
          "cagr_3y_pct": -4.804269410381467
        },
        {
          "year": 2015,
          "export_value_usd": 80152555.84802513,
          "yoy_growth_pct": 0.38453103017033197,
          "cagr_3y_pct": -0.9007131237222854
        },
        {
          "year": 2016,
          "export_value_usd": 80986619.02271955,
          "yoy_growth_pct": 1.0405946084562245,
          "cagr_3y_pct": -0.5969168570267969
        },
        {
          "year": 2017,
          "export_value_usd": 94912171.76207848,
          "yoy_growth_pct": 17.194880966017777,
          "cagr_3y_pct": 5.931171856703554
        },
        {
          "year": 2018,
          "export_value_usd": 102555646.6488966,
          "yoy_growth_pct": 8.05320829237628,
          "cagr_3y_pct": 8.562724525712074
        },
        {
          "year": 2019,
          "export_value_usd": 100316840.8507692,
          "yoy_growth_pct": -2.1830156322762417,
          "cagr_3y_pct": 7.395691686414563
        },
        {
          "year": 2020,
          "export_value_usd": 96366752.27855676,
          "yoy_growth_pct": -3.9376126069286532,
          "cagr_3y_pct": 0.5082637179273597
        },
        {
          "year": 2021,
          "export_value_usd": 115786324.7391169,
          "yoy_growth_pct": 20.151734910009345,
          "cagr_3y_pct": 4.127609248247133
        },
        {
          "year": 2022,
          "export_value_usd": 95779726.99313864,
          "yoy_growth_pct": -17.27889523314259,
          "cagr_3y_pct": -1.5309119239776958
        },
        {
          "year": 2023,
          "export_value_usd": 114704502.81549558,
          "yoy_growth_pct": 19.75864456547538,
          "cagr_3y_pct": 5.978495049179178
        },
        {
          "year": 2024,
          "export_value_usd": 118720892.3853511,
          "yoy_growth_pct": 3.501509941868597,
          "cagr_3y_pct": 0.8377843256315964
        }
      ],
      "routeHistoryScope": "Broader Kenya to France route exports, not only HS 381121."
    },
    "relatedSignals": [
      {
        "year": 2024,
        "exporter_iso3": "KEN",
        "importer_iso3": "CHN",
        "hs_code": "740311",
        "your_market_share_pct": 0.0000477852750068271,
        "your_share_change_pp": 0.0000477852750068271,
        "market_imports_usd": 30258390892.6778,
        "market_yoy_growth_pct": 4.544653406861343,
        "market_cagr_3y_pct": 0.549485,
        "top_supplier_iso3": "COD",
        "top_supplier_share_pct": 35.772539299755266,
        "your_share_gap_pp": 35.77249151448026,
        "num_suppliers": 47,
        "market_hhi": 1747.708994757037,
        "volatility_mean_usd": 14459.055300706812,
        "volatility_stddev_usd": 0,
        "volatility_cv": 0,
        "max_drawdown_pct": 0,
        "momentum_yoy_pct": null,
        "momentum_acceleration_pct": null,
        "anomaly_type": "",
        "anomaly_severity": "0",
        "anomaly_z_score": 0,
        "new_corridor_signal_type": "new",
        "new_corridor_signal_strength": 83.20339907735266,
        "exporter_name": "Kenya",
        "importer_name": "CHN",
        "published": true,
        "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/ken-chn-740311"
      },
      {
        "year": 2024,
        "exporter_iso3": "KEN",
        "importer_iso3": "ARE",
        "hs_code": "841191",
        "your_market_share_pct": 0.00007222670169269578,
        "your_share_change_pp": 0.00007222670169269578,
        "market_imports_usd": 12304237477.479103,
        "market_yoy_growth_pct": 529.494855139982,
        "market_cagr_3y_pct": 113.0038,
        "top_supplier_iso3": "BHR",
        "top_supplier_share_pct": 36.99041824085648,
        "your_share_gap_pp": 36.99034601415479,
        "num_suppliers": 71,
        "market_hhi": 1975.6955273468484,
        "volatility_mean_usd": 8886.944898419708,
        "volatility_stddev_usd": 0,
        "volatility_cv": 0,
        "max_drawdown_pct": 0,
        "momentum_yoy_pct": null,
        "momentum_acceleration_pct": null,
        "anomaly_type": "",
        "anomaly_severity": "0",
        "anomaly_z_score": 0,
        "new_corridor_signal_type": "new",
        "new_corridor_signal_strength": 78.97602706990185,
        "exporter_name": "Kenya",
        "importer_name": "ARE",
        "published": true,
        "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/ken-are-841191"
      },
      {
        "year": 2024,
        "exporter_iso3": "KEN",
        "importer_iso3": "CHN",
        "hs_code": "260600",
        "your_market_share_pct": 1.0979129783401782e-7,
        "your_share_change_pp": 1.0979129783401782e-7,
        "market_imports_usd": 8801719409.936241,
        "market_yoy_growth_pct": 22.234259298941804,
        "market_cagr_3y_pct": 35.230287,
        "top_supplier_iso3": "GIN",
        "top_supplier_share_pct": 75.22531216113623,
        "your_share_gap_pp": 75.22531205134493,
        "num_suppliers": 40,
        "market_hhi": 6076.660305286489,
        "volatility_mean_usd": 9.663521971877653,
        "volatility_stddev_usd": 0,
        "volatility_cv": 0,
        "max_drawdown_pct": 0,
        "momentum_yoy_pct": null,
        "momentum_acceleration_pct": null,
        "anomaly_type": "",
        "anomaly_severity": "0",
        "anomaly_z_score": 0,
        "new_corridor_signal_type": "new",
        "new_corridor_signal_strength": 20.558013362720416,
        "exporter_name": "Kenya",
        "importer_name": "CHN",
        "published": true,
        "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/ken-chn-260600"
      },
      {
        "year": 2024,
        "exporter_iso3": "KEN",
        "importer_iso3": "USA",
        "hs_code": "020230",
        "your_market_share_pct": 1.848043241985349e-7,
        "your_share_change_pp": 1.848043241985349e-7,
        "market_imports_usd": 4753636536.595236,
        "market_yoy_growth_pct": 51.44328989100846,
        "market_cagr_3y_pct": 21.807589,
        "top_supplier_iso3": "AUS",
        "top_supplier_share_pct": 35.41906280073977,
        "your_share_gap_pp": 35.41906261593545,
        "num_suppliers": 32,
        "market_hhi": 2170.7615363805025,
        "volatility_mean_usd": 8.784925876309465,
        "volatility_stddev_usd": 0,
        "volatility_cv": 0,
        "max_drawdown_pct": 0,
        "momentum_yoy_pct": null,
        "momentum_acceleration_pct": null,
        "anomaly_type": "",
        "anomaly_severity": "0",
        "anomaly_z_score": 0,
        "new_corridor_signal_type": "new",
        "new_corridor_signal_strength": 19.811150801961734,
        "exporter_name": "Kenya",
        "importer_name": "USA, Puerto Rico and US Virgin Islands",
        "published": true,
        "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/ken-usa-020230"
      },
      {
        "year": 2024,
        "exporter_iso3": "KEN",
        "importer_iso3": "DEU",
        "hs_code": "300439",
        "your_market_share_pct": 0.0000033938523354888733,
        "your_share_change_pp": 0.0000033938523354888733,
        "market_imports_usd": 2798292965.0086107,
        "market_yoy_growth_pct": 41.89344326280895,
        "market_cagr_3y_pct": 4.877806,
        "top_supplier_iso3": "ITA",
        "top_supplier_share_pct": 47.81183178065739,
        "your_share_gap_pp": 47.811828386805054,
        "num_suppliers": 58,
        "market_hhi": 2643.72594397537,
        "volatility_mean_usd": 94.96993114676557,
        "volatility_stddev_usd": 0,
        "volatility_cv": 0,
        "max_drawdown_pct": 0,
        "momentum_yoy_pct": null,
        "momentum_acceleration_pct": null,
        "anomaly_type": "",
        "anomaly_severity": "0",
        "anomaly_z_score": 0,
        "new_corridor_signal_type": "new",
        "new_corridor_signal_strength": 39.642703664421646,
        "exporter_name": "Kenya",
        "importer_name": "Germany",
        "published": true,
        "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/ken-deu-300439"
      },
      {
        "year": 2024,
        "exporter_iso3": "KEN",
        "importer_iso3": "GBR",
        "hs_code": "230910",
        "your_market_share_pct": 0.00033422592567597647,
        "your_share_change_pp": 0.00033422592567597647,
        "market_imports_usd": 1655928379.0322776,
        "market_yoy_growth_pct": 6.445519491430218,
        "market_cagr_3y_pct": 11.608252,
        "top_supplier_iso3": "DEU",
        "top_supplier_share_pct": 15.899773672086873,
        "your_share_gap_pp": 15.899439446161198,
        "num_suppliers": 52,
        "market_hhi": 1001.668240557144,
        "volatility_mean_usd": 5534.541953351822,
        "volatility_stddev_usd": 0,
        "volatility_cv": 0,
        "max_drawdown_pct": 0,
        "momentum_yoy_pct": null,
        "momentum_acceleration_pct": null,
        "anomaly_type": "",
        "anomaly_severity": "0",
        "anomaly_z_score": 0,
        "new_corridor_signal_type": "new",
        "new_corridor_signal_strength": 74.86320293185773,
        "exporter_name": "Kenya",
        "importer_name": "GBR",
        "published": true,
        "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/ken-gbr-230910"
      },
      {
        "year": 2024,
        "exporter_iso3": "KEN",
        "importer_iso3": "USA",
        "hs_code": "871160",
        "your_market_share_pct": 0.0002547603405772197,
        "your_share_change_pp": 0.0002547603405772197,
        "market_imports_usd": 1567705024.7824352,
        "market_yoy_growth_pct": -5.171051303672492,
        "market_cagr_3y_pct": -1.823915,
        "top_supplier_iso3": "CHN",
        "top_supplier_share_pct": 73.8760686263992,
        "your_share_gap_pp": 73.87581386605862,
        "num_suppliers": 68,
        "market_hhi": 5623.690759233156,
        "volatility_mean_usd": 3993.890660381918,
        "volatility_stddev_usd": 0,
        "volatility_cv": 0,
        "max_drawdown_pct": 0,
        "momentum_yoy_pct": null,
        "momentum_acceleration_pct": null,
        "anomaly_type": "",
        "anomaly_severity": "0",
        "anomaly_z_score": 0,
        "new_corridor_signal_type": "new",
        "new_corridor_signal_strength": 72.03009794462665,
        "exporter_name": "Kenya",
        "importer_name": "USA, Puerto Rico and US Virgin Islands",
        "published": true,
        "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/ken-usa-871160"
      },
      {
        "year": 2024,
        "exporter_iso3": "KEN",
        "importer_iso3": "DEU",
        "hs_code": "850980",
        "your_market_share_pct": 1.5070531193279256e-7,
        "your_share_change_pp": 1.5070531193279256e-7,
        "market_imports_usd": 1264009880.14437,
        "market_yoy_growth_pct": 23.131312023775298,
        "market_cagr_3y_pct": 4.019764,
        "top_supplier_iso3": "CHN",
        "top_supplier_share_pct": 46.57611945588195,
        "your_share_gap_pp": 46.57611930517664,
        "num_suppliers": 79,
        "market_hhi": 2771.0830162057455,
        "volatility_mean_usd": 1.9049300327328904,
        "volatility_stddev_usd": 0,
        "volatility_cv": 0,
        "max_drawdown_pct": 0,
        "momentum_yoy_pct": null,
        "momentum_acceleration_pct": null,
        "anomaly_type": "",
        "anomaly_severity": "0",
        "anomaly_z_score": 0,
        "new_corridor_signal_type": "new",
        "new_corridor_signal_strength": 9.262713531332805,
        "exporter_name": "Kenya",
        "importer_name": "Germany",
        "published": true,
        "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/ken-deu-850980"
      }
    ],
    "faq": [
      {
        "question": "What does a new corridor signal mean?",
        "answer": "It identifies an exporter, buyer market, and HS6 combination included in the available new-corridor signal set for 2024. It is a research prompt, not a guarantee of demand or sales."
      },
      {
        "question": "Is the market opportunity reported trade?",
        "answer": "Reported buyer imports and exporter share are observations. Any projection or share-gap measure is calculated from the available data and should not be treated as an order or forecast."
      },
      {
        "question": "What should exporters check next?",
        "answer": "Validate product fit, buyers, tariffs, standards, logistics, pricing, competition, and the depth of product-level history before pursuing the route."
      }
    ],
    "dataSources": {
      "publisher": "OECD",
      "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
      "year": 2025,
      "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-09-02)",
      "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
      "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
      "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
      "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
      "accessed": "2026-09-02",
      "supportingSources": [
        {
          "publisher": "CEPII",
          "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
          "release": "202601",
          "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
          "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
          "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
          "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
          "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
          "accessed": "2026-09-02"
        }
      ]
    }
  },
  "links": {
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "trade": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/",
    "product": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/product/381121",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app?hs=381121",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/ken-fra-381121/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/ken-fra-381121/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/ken-fra-381121/index.ld.json"
  },
  "methodology": {
    "summary": "Reported trade observations and calculated signal indicators are shown separately. Validate buyers, tariffs, standards, logistics, pricing, and competition before acting.",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology"
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-09-02)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-09-02",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-09-02"
      }
    ]
  },
  "generatedAt": "2026-09-02T11:43:22.124Z"
}