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30.74539467199498, "num_suppliers": 73, "market_hhi": 1580.8652899114893, "volatility_mean_usd": 64613.526682314696, "volatility_stddev_usd": 0, "volatility_cv": 0, "max_drawdown_pct": 0, "momentum_yoy_pct": null, "momentum_acceleration_pct": null, "anomaly_type": "", "anomaly_severity": "0", "anomaly_z_score": 0, "new_corridor_signal_type": "new", "new_corridor_signal_strength": 96.20660334712632, "exporter_name": "Kazakhstan", "importer_name": "CHN", "published": true } ], "sections": { "overview": { "title": "What does this new corridor signal mean?", "summary": "The signal points to a newly observed exporter-to-buyer relationship in the available reporting. It is a prompt for market research, not a forecast, order, or guarantee of commercial access.", "reportedMarket": { "buyerMarket": "China, Hong Kong SAR", "imports": "$7.9B", "year": 2024, "annualChange": "+2.1%" }, "exporterPosition": { "exporter": "Kazakhstan", "routeExports": "$20.8M", "currentShare": "0.3%" } }, "signal": { "title": "A new relationship in the reported trade view", "type": "New corridor", "strength": "100/100", "reportedPeriod": 2024, "marketMomentum": "+0.0%", "availableProductHistoryYears": "1" }, "market": { "latestImports": "$7.9B", "projectionThreeYears": "$15.5B", "supplierCount": "34", "averageImports": "$1.9B", "historicalPeak": "$7.9B", "fullHistoryGrowth": "+25.3%", "latestAnnualChange": "+2.1%" }, "competition": { "topSupplier": { "country": "CHN", "iso3": "CHN", "share": "45.9%" }, "marketConcentrationHhi": "2,456", "exporterShare": "0.3%", "shareGap": "45.6%" }, "access": { "appliedTariff": "0.0%", "mfnTariff": "0.0%", "preferentialTariff": "0.0%", "distance": "4,140 km", "tradeAgreement": "Not reported", "businessEntryTime": "1.5 days", "sharedSpokenLanguageScore": "0" }, "economy": { "gdpPerPerson": "$49.7K", "gdpPerPersonGrowth": "+4.8%", "populationThousands": "7,413", "gdp": "$368.1B", "gdpFiveYearCagr": "+2.3%", "investmentRate": "23.0%", "savingsRate": "22.2%" }, "evidence": { "productHistory": [ { "year": 2024, "export_value_usd": 20790548.205272354, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null } ], "routeHistory": [ { "year": 1995, "export_value_usd": 2067458.8177151077, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "export_value_usd": 2049341.3809526789, "yoy_growth_pct": -0.8763142756309739, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "export_value_usd": 4618304.97893593, "yoy_growth_pct": 125.35557139772462, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "export_value_usd": 971305.5923977044, "yoy_growth_pct": -78.9683531765913, "cagr_3y_pct": -22.260870374589004 }, { "year": 1999, "export_value_usd": 1020112.3808642555, "yoy_growth_pct": 5.024864352532932, "cagr_3y_pct": -20.74781651905272 }, { "year": 2000, "export_value_usd": 473139.4412548882, "yoy_growth_pct": -53.618890415383746, "cagr_3y_pct": -53.208297419674345 }, { "year": 2001, "export_value_usd": 1741894.1690138776, "yoy_growth_pct": 268.1566187747789, "cagr_3y_pct": 21.494129042354526 }, { "year": 2002, "export_value_usd": 604871.061357435, "yoy_growth_pct": -65.2750969538026, "cagr_3y_pct": -15.988592095394038 }, { "year": 2003, "export_value_usd": 1046624.4449883198, "yoy_growth_pct": 73.03265304832307, "cagr_3y_pct": 30.29684716711156 }, { "year": 2004, "export_value_usd": 8637.607935115842, "yoy_growth_pct": -99.17471754300443, "cagr_3y_pct": -82.94740121768413 }, { "year": 2005, "export_value_usd": 15994883.60113737, "yoy_growth_pct": 185077.23565700202, "cagr_3y_pct": 197.92441294868416 }, { "year": 2006, "export_value_usd": 83524482.93527074, "yoy_growth_pct": 422.1950032154748, "cagr_3y_pct": 330.5341848926738 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It is a research prompt, not a guarantee of demand or sales." }, { "question": "Is the market opportunity reported trade?", "answer": "Reported buyer imports and exporter share are observations. Any projection or share-gap measure is calculated from the available data and should not be treated as an order or forecast." }, { "question": "What should exporters check next?", "answer": "Validate product fit, buyers, tariffs, standards, logistics, pricing, competition, and the depth of product-level history before pursuing the route." } ], "dataSources": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-09-02)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-09-02", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. 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Validate buyers, tariffs, standards, logistics, pricing, and competition before acting.", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology" }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-09-02)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-09-02", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. 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