# Kazakhstan to BRA HS 290511 new corridor signal

This page reviews a reported new-corridor signal for alcohols: saturated monohydric, methanol (methyl alcohol). It separates reported trade observations from calculated indicators and access context.

## Signal summary

- Signal type: New corridor
- Signal strength: 65/100
- Reported period: 2024
- Buyer market imports: $614.4M
- Buyer market growth: +14.8%
- Current exporter share: 0.0%
- Share gap: 30.4%

## What the signal means

The signal points to a newly observed exporter-to-buyer relationship in the available reporting. It is a prompt for market research, not a forecast, order, or guarantee of commercial access. Compare demand, suppliers, access, and route history together before acting.

## Market opportunity

- Latest buyer imports: $614.4M
- Three-year buyer-import projection: $720.1M
- Supplier countries observed: 21
- Average buyer imports: $214.8M
- Historical buyer-import peak: $614.4M
- Full-history buyer-import CAGR: +5.4%
- Latest buyer-import annual change: +14.8%

## Competition landscape

- Top supplier: Chile
- Top supplier share: 30.4%
- Market concentration: 2,342
- Exporter share: 0.0%
- Share gap to peer benchmark: 30.4%

## Access profile

- Applied tariff: Not reported
- MFN tariff: Not reported
- Preferential tariff: Not reported
- Approximate distance: 14,470 km
- Trade agreement: Not reported
- Business entry time: 16.6 days
- Shared spoken language score: 0

## Buyer economy

- GDP per person: $7.5K
- GDP per-person growth: +1.7%
- Population: 213,993k
- GDP: $1.6T
- GDP five-year CAGR: Not reported
- Investment rate: 19.2%
- Savings rate: 16.5%

## Product-level history

| Year | Product exports | Year-on-year |
| ---: | ---: | ---: |
| 2024 | $1.7K | +0.0% |

## Broader route context

Broader Kazakhstan to BRA route exports provide route context only; they are not presented as HS 290511 product-level trade.

| Year | Route exports | Year-on-year |
| ---: | ---: | ---: |
| 1995 | $61.5K | +0.0% |
| 1996 | $54.5K | -11.3% |
| 1998 | $1.6M | +2922.1% |
| 1999 | $658.2K | -60.1% |
| 2000 | $189.7K | -71.2% |
| 2001 | $859.3K | +353.1% |
| 2002 | $25.4M | +2856.0% |
| 2003 | $1.8M | -93.0% |
| 2004 | $3.6M | +102.1% |
| 2005 | $7.2M | +100.2% |
| 2006 | $25.4M | +252.0% |
| 2007 | $6.7M | -73.7% |
| 2008 | $20.0M | +199.1% |
| 2009 | $7.3M | -63.6% |
| 2010 | $30.9M | +325.9% |
| 2011 | $66.7M | +115.6% |
| 2012 | $77.5M | +16.2% |
| 2013 | $55.3M | -28.6% |
| 2014 | $85.7M | +55.0% |
| 2015 | $106.0M | +23.6% |
| 2016 | $39.0M | -63.2% |
| 2017 | $41.0M | +5.1% |
| 2018 | $61.9M | +51.0% |
| 2019 | $57.4M | -7.2% |
| 2020 | $73.7M | +28.4% |
| 2021 | $118.0M | +60.1% |
| 2022 | $138.9M | +17.7% |
| 2023 | $54.9M | -60.5% |
| 2024 | $98.7M | +79.6% |

## Related new-corridor signals

| Exporter to buyer | Product | Signal type | Buyer imports | Page |
| --- | --- | --- | ---: | --- |
| Kazakhstan to CHN | HS 854129 | New corridor | $8.3B | [Review this signal](https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/kaz-chn-854129) |
| Kazakhstan to China, Hong Kong SAR | HS 841112 | New corridor | $7.9B | [Review this signal](https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/kaz-hkg-841112) |
| Kazakhstan to Former Republic of Vietnam | HS 271019 | New corridor | $7.4B | [Review this signal](https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/kaz-vnm-271019) |
| Kazakhstan to Thailand | HS 854231 | New corridor | $7.3B | [Review this signal](https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/kaz-tha-854231) |
| Kazakhstan to Italy | HS 293399 | New corridor | $6.9B | [Review this signal](https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/kaz-ita-293399) |
| Kazakhstan to Germany | HS 271600 | New corridor | $6.9B | [Review this signal](https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/kaz-deu-271600) |
| Kazakhstan to France | HS 841112 | New corridor | $5.5B | [Review this signal](https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/kaz-fra-841112) |
| Kazakhstan to USA, Puerto Rico and US Virgin Islands | HS 902131 | New corridor | $3.3B | [Review this signal](https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/kaz-usa-902131) |

## Frequently asked questions

### What does a new corridor signal mean?

It identifies an exporter, buyer market, and HS6 combination included in the available new-corridor signal set for 2024. It is a research prompt, not a guarantee of demand or sales.

### Is the market opportunity reported trade?

Reported buyer imports and exporter share are observations. Any projection or share-gap measure is calculated from the available data and should not be treated as an order or forecast.

### What should exporters check next?

Validate product fit, buyers, tariffs, standards, logistics, pricing, competition, and the depth of product-level history before pursuing the route.

## Method

The signal is a calculated research indicator based on available reported trade observations. It is not a confirmed order, sales forecast, or guarantee of market entry. Validate buyers, tariffs, standards, logistics, pricing, and competition before acting.

## Data sources

- Primary trade series: OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-09-02). [OECD Data Explorer](https://data-explorer.oecd.org/) - [OECD Terms & Conditions](https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/)
- CEPII BACI bilateral trade flows (202601): [dataset page](https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37) - [BACI documentation](https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html) - [Etalab 2.0 Open Licence](https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf)

This page presents derived Yugalinks views of reported observations and calculated indicators.