# Iraq to ARE HS 040221 new corridor signal

This page reviews a reported new-corridor signal for dairy produce: milk and cream, concentrated, not containing added sugar or other sweetening matter, in powder, granules or other solid forms, of a fat content exceeding 1.5% (by weight). It separates reported trade observations from calculated indicators and access context.

## Signal summary

- Signal type: New corridor
- Signal strength: 100/100
- Reported period: 2024
- Buyer market imports: $441.2M
- Buyer market growth: -4.7%
- Current exporter share: 0.3%
- Share gap: 71.9%

## What the signal means

The signal points to a newly observed exporter-to-buyer relationship in the available reporting. It is a prompt for market research, not a forecast, order, or guarantee of commercial access. Compare demand, suppliers, access, and route history together before acting.

## Market opportunity

- Latest buyer imports: $441.2M
- Three-year buyer-import projection: $545.2M
- Supplier countries observed: 50
- Average buyer imports: $264.2M
- Historical buyer-import peak: $620.5M
- Full-history buyer-import CAGR: +7.3%
- Latest buyer-import annual change: -4.7%

## Competition landscape

- Top supplier: NZL
- Top supplier share: 72.2%
- Market concentration: 5,312
- Exporter share: 0.3%
- Share gap to peer benchmark: 71.9%

## Access profile

- Applied tariff: 3.8%
- MFN tariff: 5.2%
- Preferential tariff: 0.0%
- Approximate distance: 1,384 km
- Trade agreement: Reported yes
- Business entry time: 3.8 days
- Shared spoken language score: 0.5

## Buyer economy

- GDP per person: $36.3K
- GDP per-person growth: +11.2%
- Population: 9,991k
- GDP: $358.9B
- GDP five-year CAGR: +4.9%
- Investment rate: 26.4%
- Savings rate: 61.5%

## Product-level history

| Year | Product exports | Year-on-year |
| ---: | ---: | ---: |
| 2024 | $1.2M | +0.0% |

## Broader route context

Broader Iraq to ARE route exports provide route context only; they are not presented as HS 040221 product-level trade.

| Year | Route exports | Year-on-year |
| ---: | ---: | ---: |
| 1999 | $332.7K | +0.0% |
| 2000 | $74.3K | -77.7% |
| 2001 | $31.4K | -57.8% |
| 2002 | $177.9K | +466.8% |
| 2003 | $2.1M | +1053.1% |
| 2004 | $27.6M | +1245.4% |
| 2005 | $53.6M | +94.4% |
| 2006 | $47.3M | -11.8% |
| 2007 | $29.3M | -38.2% |
| 2008 | $67.0M | +128.9% |
| 2009 | $702.0M | +947.8% |
| 2010 | $1.1B | +62.2% |
| 2011 | $1.2B | +8.8% |
| 2012 | $3.4B | +173.1% |
| 2013 | $713.8M | -78.9% |
| 2014 | $956.9M | +34.1% |
| 2015 | $786.6M | -17.8% |
| 2016 | $1.6B | +103.2% |
| 2017 | $610.8M | -61.8% |
| 2018 | $254.1M | -58.4% |
| 2019 | $1.1B | +320.1% |
| 2020 | $1.0B | -5.7% |
| 2021 | $2.4B | +138.2% |
| 2022 | $3.2B | +32.4% |
| 2023 | $5.2B | +63.9% |
| 2024 | $4.9B | -5.6% |

## Related new-corridor signals

| Exporter to buyer | Product | Signal type | Buyer imports | Page |
| --- | --- | --- | ---: | --- |
| Iraq to CHN | HS 260111 | New corridor | $111.0B | [Review this signal](https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/irq-chn-260111) |
| Iraq to CHN | HS 710812 | New corridor | $80.8B | [Review this signal](https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/irq-chn-710812) |
| Iraq to Saudi Arabia | HS 271012 | New corridor | $10.5B | [Review this signal](https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/irq-sau-271012) |
| Iraq to CHN | HS 260600 | New corridor | $8.8B | [Review this signal](https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/irq-chn-260600) |
| Iraq to CHN | HS 841191 | New corridor | $5.6B | [Review this signal](https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/irq-chn-841191) |
| Iraq to USA, Puerto Rico and US Virgin Islands | HS 610910 | New corridor | $5.4B | [Review this signal](https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/irq-usa-610910) |
| Iraq to GBR | HS 870321 | New corridor | $4.4B | [Review this signal](https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/irq-gbr-870321) |
| Iraq to China, Hong Kong SAR | HS 852351 | New corridor | $4.2B | [Review this signal](https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/irq-hkg-852351) |

## Frequently asked questions

### What does a new corridor signal mean?

It identifies an exporter, buyer market, and HS6 combination included in the available new-corridor signal set for 2024. It is a research prompt, not a guarantee of demand or sales.

### Is the market opportunity reported trade?

Reported buyer imports and exporter share are observations. Any projection or share-gap measure is calculated from the available data and should not be treated as an order or forecast.

### What should exporters check next?

Validate product fit, buyers, tariffs, standards, logistics, pricing, competition, and the depth of product-level history before pursuing the route.

## Method

The signal is a calculated research indicator based on available reported trade observations. It is not a confirmed order, sales forecast, or guarantee of market entry. Validate buyers, tariffs, standards, logistics, pricing, and competition before acting.

## Data sources

- Primary trade series: OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-09-02). [OECD Data Explorer](https://data-explorer.oecd.org/) - [OECD Terms & Conditions](https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/)
- CEPII BACI bilateral trade flows (202601): [dataset page](https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37) - [BACI documentation](https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html) - [Etalab 2.0 Open Licence](https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf)

This page presents derived Yugalinks views of reported observations and calculated indicators.