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It is a prompt for market research, not a forecast, order, or guarantee of commercial access.", "reportedMarket": { "buyerMarket": "Iraq", "imports": "$135.4M", "year": 2024, "annualChange": "+87.7%" }, "exporterPosition": { "exporter": "Indonesia + Timor-Leste", "routeExports": "$249.0K", "currentShare": "0.2%" } }, "signal": { "title": "A new relationship in the reported trade view", "type": "New corridor", "strength": "100/100", "reportedPeriod": 2024, "marketMomentum": "+0.0%", "availableProductHistoryYears": "1" }, "market": { "latestImports": "$135.4M", "projectionThreeYears": "$264.4M", "supplierCount": "11", "averageImports": "$14.8M", "historicalPeak": "$135.4M", "fullHistoryGrowth": "+39.7%", "latestAnnualChange": "+87.7%" }, "competition": { "topSupplier": { "country": "ARE", "iso3": "ARE", "share": "98.2%" }, "marketConcentrationHhi": "9,641", "exporterShare": "0.2%", "shareGap": "98.0%" }, "access": { "appliedTariff": "0.0%", "mfnTariff": "0.0%", "preferentialTariff": "0.0%", "distance": "7,891 km", "tradeAgreement": "Not reported", "businessEntryTime": "26.5 days", "sharedSpokenLanguageScore": "0" }, "economy": { "gdpPerPerson": "$5.0K", "gdpPerPersonGrowth": "+8.0%", "populationThousands": "41,179", "gdp": "$207.9B", "gdpFiveYearCagr": "+3.7%", "investmentRate": "19.2%", "savingsRate": "27.6%" }, "evidence": { "productHistory": [ { "year": 2024, "export_value_usd": 249000, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null } ], "routeHistory": [ { "year": 1995, "export_value_usd": 1062624, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "export_value_usd": 512765, "yoy_growth_pct": -51.74539630198451, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "export_value_usd": 11612366.999999998, "yoy_growth_pct": 2164.6567140893, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "export_value_usd": 45296632, "yoy_growth_pct": 290.07234270153543, "cagr_3y_pct": 249.32427283589988 }, { "year": 1999, "export_value_usd": 64886174.99999999, "yoy_growth_pct": 43.24723966232189, "cagr_3y_pct": 402.04725854844617 }, { "year": 2000, "export_value_usd": 85203968, "yoy_growth_pct": 31.312976916885617, "cagr_3y_pct": 94.31799582652425 }, { "year": 2001, "export_value_usd": 82967497.99999999, "yoy_growth_pct": -2.6248425425445143, "cagr_3y_pct": 22.35283235790726 }, { "year": 2002, "export_value_usd": 62792932.99999999, "yoy_growth_pct": -24.316226819326282, "cagr_3y_pct": -1.0871159066544345 }, { "year": 2003, "export_value_usd": 12372434, "yoy_growth_pct": -80.29645469817439, "cagr_3y_pct": -47.438819781152716 }, { "year": 2004, "export_value_usd": 43113699, "yoy_growth_pct": 248.46578288475817, "cagr_3y_pct": -19.603755195252447 }, { "year": 2005, "export_value_usd": 85485524.99999999, "yoy_growth_pct": 98.27926385996244, "cagr_3y_pct": 10.830834873390781 }, { "year": 2006, "export_value_usd": 65810043.999999985, "yoy_growth_pct": -23.016155074207013, "cagr_3y_pct": 74.5603799215552 }, { "year": 2007, "export_value_usd": 11886779.999999998, "yoy_growth_pct": -81.93774190456399, "cagr_3y_pct": -34.91468968294193 }, { "year": 2008, "export_value_usd": 264409561.99999994, "yoy_growth_pct": 2124.4002328637357, "cagr_3y_pct": 45.70066183022845 }, { "year": 2009, "export_value_usd": 40568548.99999999, "yoy_growth_pct": -84.65692817871692, "cagr_3y_pct": -14.892905444852955 }, { "year": 2010, "export_value_usd": 51867451, "yoy_growth_pct": 27.851383099750528, "cagr_3y_pct": 63.40934661345599 }, { "year": 2011, "export_value_usd": 154226916, "yoy_growth_pct": 197.34816927864838, "cagr_3y_pct": -16.447200497816304 }, { "year": 2012, "export_value_usd": 44887393, "yoy_growth_pct": -70.89522752306088, "cagr_3y_pct": 3.4296295961979917 }, { "year": 2013, "export_value_usd": 43463174.85358622, "yoy_growth_pct": -3.172868930957473, "cagr_3y_pct": -5.722328587770786 }, { "year": 2014, "export_value_usd": 79009328.16952638, "yoy_growth_pct": 81.78453008940095, "cagr_3y_pct": -19.984756438339613 }, { "year": 2015, "export_value_usd": 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"year": 2023, "export_value_usd": 292985302.69200003, "yoy_growth_pct": -15.731249721152762, "cagr_3y_pct": 15.8961564895292 }, { "year": 2024, "export_value_usd": 350676788.1510001, "yoy_growth_pct": 19.6909145028507, "cagr_3y_pct": 17.1086197861722 } ], "routeHistoryScope": "Broader Indonesia + Timor-Leste to Iraq route exports, not only HS 870410." }, "relatedSignals": [ { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "IDN", "importer_iso3": "USA", "hs_code": "870380", "your_market_share_pct": 0.0002481180705192617, "your_share_change_pp": 0.0002481180705192617, "market_imports_usd": 22358645539.27754, "market_yoy_growth_pct": 15.250152574625409, "market_cagr_3y_pct": 59.459934, "top_supplier_iso3": "MEX", "top_supplier_share_pct": 36.622914565568884, "your_share_gap_pp": 36.62266644749837, "num_suppliers": 51, "market_hhi": 2446.4290377478083, "volatility_mean_usd": 55475.8399062964, "volatility_stddev_usd": 0, "volatility_cv": 0, "max_drawdown_pct": 0, "momentum_yoy_pct": null, 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"https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/idn-nld-870340" } ], "faq": [ { "question": "What does a new corridor signal mean?", "answer": "It identifies an exporter, buyer market, and HS6 combination included in the available new-corridor signal set for 2024. It is a research prompt, not a guarantee of demand or sales." }, { "question": "Is the market opportunity reported trade?", "answer": "Reported buyer imports and exporter share are observations. Any projection or share-gap measure is calculated from the available data and should not be treated as an order or forecast." }, { "question": "What should exporters check next?", "answer": "Validate product fit, buyers, tariffs, standards, logistics, pricing, competition, and the depth of product-level history before pursuing the route." } ], "dataSources": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-09-02)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-09-02", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. 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Validate buyers, tariffs, standards, logistics, pricing, and competition before acting.", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology" }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-09-02)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-09-02", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. 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