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It is a prompt for market research, not a forecast, order, or guarantee of commercial access.", "reportedMarket": { "buyerMarket": "GBR", "imports": "$966.0M", "year": 2024, "annualChange": "+35.8%" }, "exporterPosition": { "exporter": "Indonesia + Timor-Leste", "routeExports": "$1.1M", "currentShare": "0.1%" } }, "signal": { "title": "A new relationship in the reported trade view", "type": "New corridor", "strength": "100/100", "reportedPeriod": 2024, "marketMomentum": "+0.0%", "availableProductHistoryYears": "1" }, "market": { "latestImports": "$966.0M", "projectionThreeYears": "$1.5B", "supplierCount": "31", "averageImports": "$360.5M", "historicalPeak": "$3.6B", "fullHistoryGrowth": "+14.8%", "latestAnnualChange": "+35.8%" }, "competition": { "topSupplier": { "country": "NLD", "iso3": "NLD", "share": "39.9%" }, "marketConcentrationHhi": "2,055", "exporterShare": "0.1%", "shareGap": "39.8%" }, "access": { "appliedTariff": "0.0%", "mfnTariff": "0.0%", "preferentialTariff": "0.0%", "distance": "11,719 km", "tradeAgreement": "Not reported", "businessEntryTime": "4.5 days", "sharedSpokenLanguageScore": "0" }, "economy": { "gdpPerPerson": "$47.3K", "gdpPerPersonGrowth": "+7.5%", "populationThousands": "67,327", "gdp": "$3.2T", "gdpFiveYearCagr": "+5.1%", "investmentRate": "17.9%", "savingsRate": "15.6%" }, "evidence": { "productHistory": [ { "year": 2024, "export_value_usd": 1066770.8154455107, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null } ], "routeHistory": [ { "year": 1995, "export_value_usd": 1272470673.4493713, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "export_value_usd": 1333727450.3516467, "yoy_growth_pct": 4.814003039946102, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "export_value_usd": 1436049541.7653022, "yoy_growth_pct": 7.671889139469812, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "export_value_usd": 1362846417.9769933, "yoy_growth_pct": -5.0975347061022696, "cagr_3y_pct": 2.3135243839152553 }, { "year": 1999, "export_value_usd": 1424656524.7645738, "yoy_growth_pct": 4.535368473824897, "cagr_3y_pct": 2.2227814719765426 }, { "year": 2000, "export_value_usd": 1914068888.320803, "yoy_growth_pct": 34.353007552968265, "cagr_3y_pct": 10.051520474898323 }, { "year": 2001, "export_value_usd": 1811845529.164755, "yoy_growth_pct": -5.340631143413422, "cagr_3y_pct": 9.957473012242435 }, { "year": 2002, "export_value_usd": 1657999681.4223077, "yoy_growth_pct": -8.491112805481215, "cagr_3y_pct": 5.186036405518735 }, { "year": 2003, "export_value_usd": 1553114700.349677, "yoy_growth_pct": -6.325995248844407, "cagr_3y_pct": -6.728565674454945 }, { "year": 2004, "export_value_usd": 1713702003.0715969, "yoy_growth_pct": 10.339693693309604, "cagr_3y_pct": -1.8392099358885639 }, { "year": 2005, "export_value_usd": 1590618362.9233174, "yoy_growth_pct": -7.182324577299171, "cagr_3y_pct": -1.3734481554689482 }, { "year": 2006, "export_value_usd": 1760092362.8616884, "yoy_growth_pct": 10.654598481241173, "cagr_3y_pct": 4.258300846953378 }, { "year": 2007, "export_value_usd": 1828929483.8524592, "yoy_growth_pct": 3.9109948115933157, "cagr_3y_pct": 2.192859681835846 }, { "year": 2008, "export_value_usd": 1951327493.1638198, "yoy_growth_pct": 6.692330699024063, "cagr_3y_pct": 7.050341540567184 }, { "year": 2009, "export_value_usd": 1685484016.0249507, "yoy_growth_pct": -13.623724263108649, "cagr_3y_pct": -1.433411225809622 }, { "year": 2010, "export_value_usd": 1923719210.5882533, "yoy_growth_pct": 14.134527073425286, "cagr_3y_pct": 1.6985842023800712 }, { "year": 2011, "export_value_usd": 1999804961.8541484, "yoy_growth_pct": 3.955138091209731, "cagr_3y_pct": 0.8213463608736538 }, { "year": 2012, "export_value_usd": 1816074954.7559497, "yoy_growth_pct": -9.187396301279838, "cagr_3y_pct": 2.518688949369552 }, { "year": 2013, "export_value_usd": 1755829158.55512, "yoy_growth_pct": -3.3173628678187295, "cagr_3y_pct": -2.998111014377036 }, { "year": 2014, "export_value_usd": 1741882171.920159, "yoy_growth_pct": -0.7943248104182232, "cagr_3y_pct": -4.498459401486032 }, { "year": 2015, "export_value_usd": 1605320798.530716, "yoy_growth_pct": -7.839874337705921, "cagr_3y_pct": -4.028410493734624 }, { "year": 2016, "export_value_usd": 1617413862.8347864, "yoy_growth_pct": 0.7533113826930338, "cagr_3y_pct": -2.6999713701377104 }, { "year": 2017, "export_value_usd": 1555874355.9819415, "yoy_growth_pct": -3.8048089154489317, "cagr_3y_pct": -3.6943168687802563 }, { "year": 2018, "export_value_usd": 1769861530.7835665, "yoy_growth_pct": 13.753499694811389, "cagr_3y_pct": 3.306064949738796 }, { "year": 2019, "export_value_usd": 1665165044.2097292, "yoy_growth_pct": -5.915518516721773, "cagr_3y_pct": 0.9745767501328384 }, { "year": 2020, "export_value_usd": 1452861747.647683, "yoy_growth_pct": -12.749684921641101, "cagr_3y_pct": -2.2575421828194053 }, { "year": 2021, "export_value_usd": 1542304703.325254, "yoy_growth_pct": 6.156329452708587, "cagr_3y_pct": -4.483815788672462 }, { "year": 2022, "export_value_usd": 2224750662.8226547, "yoy_growth_pct": 44.24845220442026, "cagr_3y_pct": 10.139056837626882 }, { "year": 2023, "export_value_usd": 1953244483.9095905, "yoy_growth_pct": -12.203892483330714, "cagr_3y_pct": 10.368237109777233 }, { "year": 2024, "export_value_usd": 2069072561.3154995, "yoy_growth_pct": 5.930034788787375, "cagr_3y_pct": 10.289756905702863 } ], "routeHistoryScope": "Broader Indonesia + Timor-Leste to GBR route exports, not only HS 270799." }, "relatedSignals": [ { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "IDN", "importer_iso3": "USA", "hs_code": "870380", "your_market_share_pct": 0.0002481180705192617, "your_share_change_pp": 0.0002481180705192617, "market_imports_usd": 22358645539.27754, "market_yoy_growth_pct": 15.250152574625409, "market_cagr_3y_pct": 59.459934, "top_supplier_iso3": "MEX", "top_supplier_share_pct": 36.622914565568884, "your_share_gap_pp": 36.62266644749837, "num_suppliers": 51, "market_hhi": 2446.4290377478083, 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"https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/idn-ind-711011" }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "IDN", "importer_iso3": "NLD", "hs_code": "870340", "your_market_share_pct": 0.0030473488793199503, "your_share_change_pp": 0.0030473488793199503, "market_imports_usd": 1481162631.2833114, "market_yoy_growth_pct": 14.594321121600306, "market_cagr_3y_pct": 3.61885, "top_supplier_iso3": "BEL", "top_supplier_share_pct": 20.00241001977642, "your_share_gap_pp": 19.9993626708971, "num_suppliers": 43, "market_hhi": 1222.6300296322745, "volatility_mean_usd": 45136.19284531788, "volatility_stddev_usd": 0, "volatility_cv": 0, "max_drawdown_pct": 0, "momentum_yoy_pct": null, "momentum_acceleration_pct": null, "anomaly_type": "", "anomaly_severity": "0", "anomaly_z_score": 0, "new_corridor_signal_type": "new", "new_corridor_signal_strength": 93.0906909221732, "exporter_name": "Indonesia + Timor-Leste", "importer_name": "NLD", "published": true, "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/idn-nld-870340" } ], "faq": [ { "question": "What does a new corridor signal mean?", "answer": "It identifies an exporter, buyer market, and HS6 combination included in the available new-corridor signal set for 2024. It is a research prompt, not a guarantee of demand or sales." }, { "question": "Is the market opportunity reported trade?", "answer": "Reported buyer imports and exporter share are observations. Any projection or share-gap measure is calculated from the available data and should not be treated as an order or forecast." }, { "question": "What should exporters check next?", "answer": "Validate product fit, buyers, tariffs, standards, logistics, pricing, competition, and the depth of product-level history before pursuing the route." } ], "dataSources": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-09-02)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-09-02", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-09-02" } ] } }, "links": { "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "trade": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/", "product": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/product/270799", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app?hs=270799", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/idn-gbr-270799/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/idn-gbr-270799/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/idn-gbr-270799/index.ld.json" }, "methodology": { "summary": "Reported trade observations and calculated signal indicators are shown separately. Validate buyers, tariffs, standards, logistics, pricing, and competition before acting.", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology" }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-09-02)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-09-02", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-09-02" } ] }, "generatedAt": "2026-09-02T11:42:11.763Z" }