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It is a prompt for market research, not a forecast, order, or guarantee of commercial access.", "reportedMarket": { "buyerMarket": "CIV", "imports": "$218.2M", "year": 2024, "annualChange": "+92.9%" }, "exporterPosition": { "exporter": "Indonesia + Timor-Leste", "routeExports": "$1.6M", "currentShare": "0.7%" } }, "signal": { "title": "A new relationship in the reported trade view", "type": "New corridor", "strength": "100/100", "reportedPeriod": 2024, "marketMomentum": "+0.0%", "availableProductHistoryYears": "1" }, "market": { "latestImports": "$218.2M", "projectionThreeYears": "$344.4M", "supplierCount": "12", "averageImports": "$86.0M", "historicalPeak": "$218.2M", "fullHistoryGrowth": "+16.4%", "latestAnnualChange": "+92.9%" }, "competition": { "topSupplier": { "country": "Thailand", "iso3": "THA", "share": "52.3%" }, "marketConcentrationHhi": "3,995", "exporterShare": "0.7%", "shareGap": "51.6%" }, "access": { "appliedTariff": "7.9%", "mfnTariff": "7.9%", "preferentialTariff": "0.0%", "distance": "12,372 km", "tradeAgreement": "Not reported", "businessEntryTime": "6 days", "sharedSpokenLanguageScore": "0" }, "economy": { "gdpPerPerson": "$2.6K", "gdpPerPersonGrowth": "+28.6%", "populationThousands": "27,054", "gdp": "$69.8B", "gdpFiveYearCagr": "+7.6%", "investmentRate": "14.5%", "savingsRate": "22.8%" }, "evidence": { "productHistory": [ { "year": 2024, "export_value_usd": 1607363.0034743333, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null } ], "routeHistory": [ { "year": 1995, "export_value_usd": 5284550.863348608, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "export_value_usd": 5338316.532017449, "yoy_growth_pct": 1.0174122656617213, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "export_value_usd": 6287790.754534778, "yoy_growth_pct": 17.78602330571255, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "export_value_usd": 12022328.219802253, "yoy_growth_pct": 91.20114980180765, "cagr_3y_pct": 31.520514571009063 }, { "year": 1999, "export_value_usd": 14866159.881511906, "yoy_growth_pct": 23.654583452691913, "cagr_3y_pct": 40.69051712084817 }, { "year": 2000, "export_value_usd": 9387497.486443587, "yoy_growth_pct": -36.85324548326554, "cagr_3y_pct": 14.292373292593519 }, { "year": 2001, "export_value_usd": 20515828.889310688, "yoy_growth_pct": 118.54417451442667, "cagr_3y_pct": 19.499703925052515 }, { "year": 2002, "export_value_usd": 16909560.170560237, "yoy_growth_pct": -17.577982045996766, "cagr_3y_pct": 4.386540334946032 }, { "year": 2003, "export_value_usd": 26515123.27257649, "yoy_growth_pct": 56.805517146091475, "cagr_3y_pct": 41.3561166273219 }, { "year": 2004, "export_value_usd": 16572129.903390532, "yoy_growth_pct": -37.49932922042867, "cagr_3y_pct": -6.868538091634624 }, { "year": 2005, "export_value_usd": 20050292.637693863, "yoy_growth_pct": 20.988024801759032, "cagr_3y_pct": 5.843160960011362 }, { "year": 2006, "export_value_usd": 15612341.342805302, "yoy_growth_pct": -22.134097367463678, "cagr_3y_pct": -16.184412058555953 }, { "year": 2007, "export_value_usd": 22152087.184045415, "yoy_growth_pct": 41.88830936785693, "cagr_3y_pct": 10.157001976582336 }, { "year": 2008, "export_value_usd": 51888628.434040785, "yoy_growth_pct": 134.23810137138003, "cagr_3y_pct": 37.293662902179726 }, { "year": 2009, "export_value_usd": 42913781.49795009, "yoy_growth_pct": -17.29636571045473, "cagr_3y_pct": 40.08003745764404 }, { "year": 2010, "export_value_usd": 87593945.68974741, "yoy_growth_pct": 104.11611988547689, "cagr_3y_pct": 58.13201776231831 }, { "year": 2011, "export_value_usd": 30250417.074908394, "yoy_growth_pct": -65.46517360679974, "cagr_3y_pct": -16.461554055336126 }, { "year": 2012, "export_value_usd": 84862353.03943904, "yoy_growth_pct": 180.5328363879956, "cagr_3y_pct": 25.51802429658341 }, { "year": 2013, "export_value_usd": 51306053.55209458, "yoy_growth_pct": -39.542032816070346, "cagr_3y_pct": -16.330949571067176 }, { "year": 2014, "export_value_usd": 95807814.8034038, "yoy_growth_pct": 86.73783729267639, "cagr_3y_pct": 46.85537817851291 }, { "year": 2015, "export_value_usd": 61547213.78967403, "yoy_growth_pct": -35.759714470089946, "cagr_3y_pct": -10.154200851297846 }, { "year": 2016, "export_value_usd": 52523736.6915602, "yoy_growth_pct": -14.66106512790304, "cagr_3y_pct": 0.7849462325916434 }, { "year": 2017, "export_value_usd": 33065141.312148385, "yoy_growth_pct": -37.04724112391366, "cagr_3y_pct": -29.856115003437623 }, { "year": 2018, "export_value_usd": 52155643.24147592, "yoy_growth_pct": 57.736036114606094, "cagr_3y_pct": -5.369536010756559 }, { "year": 2019, "export_value_usd": 70064032.58982873, "yoy_growth_pct": 34.33643654903955, "cagr_3y_pct": 10.081204125280173 }, { "year": 2020, "export_value_usd": 71918938.52134228, "yoy_growth_pct": 2.6474438637761555, "cagr_3y_pct": 29.565973331571115 }, { "year": 2021, "export_value_usd": 108444862.68379386, "yoy_growth_pct": 50.787629675057474, "cagr_3y_pct": 27.634836309174183 }, { "year": 2022, "export_value_usd": 103381414.31456189, "yoy_growth_pct": -4.669145447669654, "cagr_3y_pct": 13.845476664027622 }, { "year": 2023, "export_value_usd": 152619994.70584816, "yoy_growth_pct": 47.62807775241542, "cagr_3y_pct": 28.505797675362032 }, { "year": 2024, "export_value_usd": 151592813.6568325, "yoy_growth_pct": -0.6730317682132059, "cagr_3y_pct": 11.812376154246351 } ], "routeHistoryScope": "Broader Indonesia + Timor-Leste to CIV route exports, not only HS 100640." }, "relatedSignals": [ { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "IDN", "importer_iso3": "USA", "hs_code": "870380", "your_market_share_pct": 0.0002481180705192617, "your_share_change_pp": 0.0002481180705192617, "market_imports_usd": 22358645539.27754, "market_yoy_growth_pct": 15.250152574625409, "market_cagr_3y_pct": 59.459934, "top_supplier_iso3": "MEX", "top_supplier_share_pct": 36.622914565568884, "your_share_gap_pp": 36.62266644749837, "num_suppliers": 51, "market_hhi": 2446.4290377478083, "volatility_mean_usd": 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"https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/idn-ind-711011" }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "IDN", "importer_iso3": "NLD", "hs_code": "870340", "your_market_share_pct": 0.0030473488793199503, "your_share_change_pp": 0.0030473488793199503, "market_imports_usd": 1481162631.2833114, "market_yoy_growth_pct": 14.594321121600306, "market_cagr_3y_pct": 3.61885, "top_supplier_iso3": "BEL", "top_supplier_share_pct": 20.00241001977642, "your_share_gap_pp": 19.9993626708971, "num_suppliers": 43, "market_hhi": 1222.6300296322745, "volatility_mean_usd": 45136.19284531788, "volatility_stddev_usd": 0, "volatility_cv": 0, "max_drawdown_pct": 0, "momentum_yoy_pct": null, "momentum_acceleration_pct": null, "anomaly_type": "", "anomaly_severity": "0", "anomaly_z_score": 0, "new_corridor_signal_type": "new", "new_corridor_signal_strength": 93.0906909221732, "exporter_name": "Indonesia + Timor-Leste", "importer_name": "NLD", "published": true, "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/idn-nld-870340" } ], "faq": [ { "question": "What does a new corridor signal mean?", "answer": "It identifies an exporter, buyer market, and HS6 combination included in the available new-corridor signal set for 2024. It is a research prompt, not a guarantee of demand or sales." }, { "question": "Is the market opportunity reported trade?", "answer": "Reported buyer imports and exporter share are observations. Any projection or share-gap measure is calculated from the available data and should not be treated as an order or forecast." }, { "question": "What should exporters check next?", "answer": "Validate product fit, buyers, tariffs, standards, logistics, pricing, competition, and the depth of product-level history before pursuing the route." } ], "dataSources": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-09-02)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-09-02", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. 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Validate buyers, tariffs, standards, logistics, pricing, and competition before acting.", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology" }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-09-02)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-09-02", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. 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