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-3.9159944590212103, "market_cagr_3y_pct": 73.349602, "top_supplier_iso3": "FRA", "top_supplier_share_pct": 41.584831144888604, "your_share_gap_pp": 41.58407104694738, "num_suppliers": 48, "market_hhi": 2721.2336243571744, "volatility_mean_usd": 11951.256327833646, "volatility_stddev_usd": 0, "volatility_cv": 0, "max_drawdown_pct": 0, "momentum_yoy_pct": null, "momentum_acceleration_pct": null, "anomaly_type": "", "anomaly_severity": "0", "anomaly_z_score": 0, "new_corridor_signal_type": "new", "new_corridor_signal_strength": 81.54899796882742, "exporter_name": "China, Hong Kong SAR", "importer_name": "Italy", "published": true } ], "sections": { "overview": { "title": "What does this new corridor signal mean?", "summary": "The signal points to a newly observed exporter-to-buyer relationship in the available reporting. It is a prompt for market research, not a forecast, order, or guarantee of commercial access.", "reportedMarket": { "buyerMarket": "Morocco", "imports": "$336.3M", "year": 2024, "annualChange": "+60.4%" }, "exporterPosition": { "exporter": "China, Hong Kong SAR", "routeExports": "$4.0M", "currentShare": "1.2%" } }, "signal": { "title": "A new relationship in the reported trade view", "type": "New corridor", "strength": "100/100", "reportedPeriod": 2024, "marketMomentum": "+0.0%", "availableProductHistoryYears": "1" }, "market": { "latestImports": "$336.3M", "projectionThreeYears": "$528.5M", "supplierCount": "26", "averageImports": "$47.3M", "historicalPeak": "$336.3M", "fullHistoryGrowth": "+16.3%", "latestAnnualChange": "+60.4%" }, "competition": { "topSupplier": { "country": "France", "iso3": "FRA", "share": "44.9%" }, "marketConcentrationHhi": "3,499", "exporterShare": "1.2%", "shareGap": "43.7%" }, "access": { "appliedTariff": "48.1%", "mfnTariff": "48.1%", "preferentialTariff": "0.0%", "distance": "11,190 km", "tradeAgreement": "Not reported", "businessEntryTime": "9 days", "sharedSpokenLanguageScore": "0" }, "economy": { "gdpPerPerson": "$3.6K", "gdpPerPersonGrowth": "+15.8%", "populationThousands": "37,345", "gdp": "$132.7B", "gdpFiveYearCagr": "+4.5%", "investmentRate": "32.8%", "savingsRate": "20.6%" }, "evidence": { "productHistory": [ { "year": 2024, "export_value_usd": 4014832.0094130766, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null } ], "routeHistory": [ { "year": 1995, "export_value_usd": 29487128.146286067, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "export_value_usd": 28056433.288445767, "yoy_growth_pct": -4.851930139627713, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "export_value_usd": 26992055.191342495, "yoy_growth_pct": -3.7937042323252346, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "export_value_usd": 32488360.812822077, "yoy_growth_pct": 20.362679249568515, "cagr_3y_pct": 3.2836968224532193 }, { "year": 1999, "export_value_usd": 27349678.861873474, "yoy_growth_pct": -15.816993601353179, "cagr_3y_pct": -0.8468329777513439 }, { "year": 2000, "export_value_usd": 31393031.3093953, "yoy_growth_pct": 14.783911971845543, "cagr_3y_pct": 5.163677976067871 }, { "year": 2001, "export_value_usd": 24479813.406025454, "yoy_growth_pct": -22.02150482136097, "cagr_3y_pct": -9.003064301518283 }, { "year": 2002, "export_value_usd": 22387270.55048143, "yoy_growth_pct": -8.548034336850641, "cagr_3y_pct": -6.455920556779315 }, { "year": 2003, "export_value_usd": 30308416.21671971, "yoy_growth_pct": 35.38236449314691, "cagr_3y_pct": -1.1651752581744335 }, { "year": 2004, "export_value_usd": 26547621.03454041, "yoy_growth_pct": -12.408418689013011, "cagr_3y_pct": 2.739907122713414 }, { "year": 2005, "export_value_usd": 28446322.746058185, "yoy_growth_pct": 7.1520597233455385, "cagr_3y_pct": 8.311605927622878 }, { "year": 2006, "export_value_usd": 38530118.156760156, "yoy_growth_pct": 35.44850243288224, "cagr_3y_pct": 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It is a research prompt, not a guarantee of demand or sales." }, { "question": "Is the market opportunity reported trade?", "answer": "Reported buyer imports and exporter share are observations. Any projection or share-gap measure is calculated from the available data and should not be treated as an order or forecast." }, { "question": "What should exporters check next?", "answer": "Validate product fit, buyers, tariffs, standards, logistics, pricing, competition, and the depth of product-level history before pursuing the route." } ], "dataSources": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-09-02)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-09-02", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. 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Validate buyers, tariffs, standards, logistics, pricing, and competition before acting.", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology" }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-09-02)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-09-02", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. 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