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"market_cagr_3y_pct": 73.349602, "top_supplier_iso3": "FRA", "top_supplier_share_pct": 41.584831144888604, "your_share_gap_pp": 41.58407104694738, "num_suppliers": 48, "market_hhi": 2721.2336243571744, "volatility_mean_usd": 11951.256327833646, "volatility_stddev_usd": 0, "volatility_cv": 0, "max_drawdown_pct": 0, "momentum_yoy_pct": null, "momentum_acceleration_pct": null, "anomaly_type": "", "anomaly_severity": "0", "anomaly_z_score": 0, "new_corridor_signal_type": "new", "new_corridor_signal_strength": 81.54899796882742, "exporter_name": "China, Hong Kong SAR", "importer_name": "Italy", "published": true } ], "sections": { "overview": { "title": "What does this new corridor signal mean?", "summary": "The signal points to a newly observed exporter-to-buyer relationship in the available reporting. It is a prompt for market research, not a forecast, order, or guarantee of commercial access.", "reportedMarket": { "buyerMarket": "BRA", "imports": "$1.5B", "year": 2024, "annualChange": "+74.5%" }, "exporterPosition": { "exporter": "China, Hong Kong SAR", "routeExports": "$68.4M", "currentShare": "4.5%" } }, "signal": { "title": "A new relationship in the reported trade view", "type": "New corridor", "strength": "100/100", "reportedPeriod": 2024, "marketMomentum": "+0.0%", "availableProductHistoryYears": "1" }, "market": { "latestImports": "$1.5B", "projectionThreeYears": "$3.0B", "supplierCount": "22", "averageImports": "$96.0M", "historicalPeak": "$1.5B", "fullHistoryGrowth": "+27.9%", "latestAnnualChange": "+74.5%" }, "competition": { "topSupplier": { "country": "CHN", "iso3": "CHN", "share": "85.1%" }, "marketConcentrationHhi": "7,299", "exporterShare": "4.5%", "shareGap": "80.7%" }, "access": { "appliedTariff": "28.8%", "mfnTariff": "28.8%", "preferentialTariff": "0.0%", "distance": "18,060 km", "tradeAgreement": "Not reported", "businessEntryTime": "16.6 days", "sharedSpokenLanguageScore": "0" }, "economy": { "gdpPerPerson": "$7.5K", "gdpPerPersonGrowth": "+1.7%", "populationThousands": "213,993", "gdp": "$1.6T", "gdpFiveYearCagr": "+3.1%", "investmentRate": "19.2%", "savingsRate": "16.5%" }, "evidence": { "productHistory": [ { "year": 2024, "export_value_usd": 68422982.51669097, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null } ], "routeHistory": [ { "year": 1995, "export_value_usd": 993240563.5316396, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "export_value_usd": 702820217.8046178, "yoy_growth_pct": -29.23967832066602, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "export_value_usd": 710075883.5748094, "yoy_growth_pct": 1.0323644064844872, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "export_value_usd": 546116217.8975024, "yoy_growth_pct": -23.090442792095356, "cagr_3y_pct": -18.07617734815562 }, { "year": 1999, "export_value_usd": 373249304.33397794, "yoy_growth_pct": -31.65386924948802, "cagr_3y_pct": -19.01866718360322 }, { "year": 2000, "export_value_usd": 464798283.8664566, "yoy_growth_pct": 24.52756869723782, "cagr_3y_pct": -13.173308840670883 }, { "year": 2001, "export_value_usd": 437520956.8412515, "yoy_growth_pct": -5.868637637449259, "cagr_3y_pct": -7.123766349732586 }, { "year": 2002, "export_value_usd": 392426245.56597304, "yoy_growth_pct": -10.306868864258877, "cagr_3y_pct": 1.6840915123053302 }, { "year": 2003, "export_value_usd": 350915913.474976, "yoy_growth_pct": -10.577868468284823, "cagr_3y_pct": -8.94310245459129 }, { "year": 2004, "export_value_usd": 475694635.67979884, "yoy_growth_pct": 35.55801188073533, "cagr_3y_pct": 2.8276233151518726 }, { "year": 2005, "export_value_usd": 523793644.71340317, "yoy_growth_pct": 10.111320461889939, "cagr_3y_pct": 10.103399043470773 }, { "year": 2006, "export_value_usd": 769023436.3211849, "yoy_growth_pct": 46.81801585087209, "cagr_3y_pct": 29.890933310266732 }, { "year": 2007, "export_value_usd": 735897384.6202757, "yoy_growth_pct": -4.30754774644787, "cagr_3y_pct": 15.654624210550061 }, { "year": 2008, "export_value_usd": 931321721.4932333, "yoy_growth_pct": 26.555922192031822, "cagr_3y_pct": 21.14714090641221 }, { "year": 2009, "export_value_usd": 627684909.6051296, "yoy_growth_pct": -32.60278428825521, "cagr_3y_pct": -6.545395445677949 }, { "year": 2010, "export_value_usd": 867811364.5426677, "yoy_growth_pct": 38.2558910152228, "cagr_3y_pct": 5.649965097712584 }, { "year": 2011, "export_value_usd": 1115986767.0348024, "yoy_growth_pct": 28.597851172751334, "cagr_3y_pct": 6.2151428566956435 }, { "year": 2012, "export_value_usd": 987121065.8860031, "yoy_growth_pct": -11.54724275908735, "cagr_3y_pct": 16.29014467159482 }, { "year": 2013, "export_value_usd": 986671261.2893503, "yoy_growth_pct": -0.04556731815353876, "cagr_3y_pct": 4.371609771203633 }, { "year": 2014, "export_value_usd": 1013139430.0856988, 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It is a research prompt, not a guarantee of demand or sales." }, { "question": "Is the market opportunity reported trade?", "answer": "Reported buyer imports and exporter share are observations. Any projection or share-gap measure is calculated from the available data and should not be treated as an order or forecast." }, { "question": "What should exporters check next?", "answer": "Validate product fit, buyers, tariffs, standards, logistics, pricing, competition, and the depth of product-level history before pursuing the route." } ], "dataSources": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-09-02)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-09-02", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. 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Validate buyers, tariffs, standards, logistics, pricing, and competition before acting.", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology" }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-09-02)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-09-02", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. 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