# Greece to Ukraine HS 240391 new corridor signal

This page reviews a reported new-corridor signal for tobacco: homogenised or reconstituted. It separates reported trade observations from calculated indicators and access context.

## Signal summary

- Signal type: New corridor
- Signal strength: 100/100
- Reported period: 2024
- Buyer market imports: $204.3M
- Buyer market growth: +31.9%
- Current exporter share: 3.3%
- Share gap: 83.5%

## What the signal means

The signal points to a newly observed exporter-to-buyer relationship in the available reporting. It is a prompt for market research, not a forecast, order, or guarantee of commercial access. Compare demand, suppliers, access, and route history together before acting.

## Market opportunity

- Latest buyer imports: $204.3M
- Three-year buyer-import projection: $348.3M
- Supplier countries observed: 22
- Average buyer imports: $19.9M
- Historical buyer-import peak: $204.3M
- Full-history buyer-import CAGR: +19.5%
- Latest buyer-import annual change: +31.9%

## Competition landscape

- Top supplier: Italy
- Top supplier share: 86.8%
- Market concentration: 7,571
- Exporter share: 3.3%
- Share gap to peer benchmark: 83.5%

## Access profile

- Applied tariff: 6.2%
- MFN tariff: 6.7%
- Preferential tariff: 2.2%
- Approximate distance: 1,482 km
- Trade agreement: Reported yes
- Business entry time: 6.5 days
- Shared spoken language score: 0

## Buyer economy

- GDP per person: $4.6K
- GDP per-person growth: -20.2%
- Population: 43,815k
- GDP: $200.1B
- GDP five-year CAGR: +4.4%
- Investment rate: 22.6%
- Savings rate: 11.1%

## Product-level history

| Year | Product exports | Year-on-year |
| ---: | ---: | ---: |
| 2024 | $6.7M | +0.0% |

## Broader route context

Broader Greece to Ukraine route exports provide route context only; they are not presented as HS 240391 product-level trade.

| Year | Route exports | Year-on-year |
| ---: | ---: | ---: |
| 1995 | $77.4M | +0.0% |
| 1996 | $95.4M | +23.2% |
| 1997 | $93.4M | -2.1% |
| 1998 | $58.5M | -37.4% |
| 1999 | $48.0M | -17.9% |
| 2000 | $37.6M | -21.6% |
| 2001 | $40.3M | +7.0% |
| 2002 | $58.3M | +45.0% |
| 2003 | $52.0M | -10.9% |
| 2004 | $47.5M | -8.5% |
| 2005 | $64.9M | +36.4% |
| 2006 | $79.6M | +22.7% |
| 2007 | $126.4M | +58.8% |
| 2008 | $178.0M | +40.9% |
| 2009 | $87.6M | -50.8% |
| 2010 | $109.5M | +25.1% |
| 2011 | $143.3M | +30.8% |
| 2012 | $184.9M | +29.1% |
| 2013 | $260.7M | +41.0% |
| 2014 | $275.1M | +5.5% |
| 2015 | $223.5M | -18.7% |
| 2016 | $221.9M | -0.7% |
| 2017 | $196.1M | -11.6% |
| 2018 | $246.0M | +25.5% |
| 2019 | $277.1M | +12.6% |
| 2020 | $273.5M | -1.3% |
| 2021 | $419.5M | +53.4% |
| 2022 | $573.7M | +36.8% |
| 2023 | $1.3B | +119.9% |
| 2024 | $1.8B | +42.2% |

## Related new-corridor signals

| Exporter to buyer | Product | Signal type | Buyer imports | Page |
| --- | --- | --- | ---: | --- |
| Greece to USA, Puerto Rico and US Virgin Islands | HS 300214 | New corridor | $15.4B | [Review this signal](https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/grc-usa-300214) |
| Greece to GBR | HS 271121 | New corridor | $12.4B | [Review this signal](https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/grc-gbr-271121) |
| Greece to KOR | HS 270112 | New corridor | $12.4B | [Review this signal](https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/grc-kor-270112) |
| Greece to Germany | HS 300214 | New corridor | $6.9B | [Review this signal](https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/grc-deu-300214) |
| Greece to NLD | HS 271111 | New corridor | $6.9B | [Review this signal](https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/grc-nld-271111) |
| Greece to India | HS 151110 | New corridor | $5.7B | [Review this signal](https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/grc-ind-151110) |
| Greece to South Africa | HS 270900 | New corridor | $4.9B | [Review this signal](https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/grc-zaf-270900) |
| Greece to France | HS 710812 | New corridor | $4.7B | [Review this signal](https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/grc-fra-710812) |

## Frequently asked questions

### What does a new corridor signal mean?

It identifies an exporter, buyer market, and HS6 combination included in the available new-corridor signal set for 2024. It is a research prompt, not a guarantee of demand or sales.

### Is the market opportunity reported trade?

Reported buyer imports and exporter share are observations. Any projection or share-gap measure is calculated from the available data and should not be treated as an order or forecast.

### What should exporters check next?

Validate product fit, buyers, tariffs, standards, logistics, pricing, competition, and the depth of product-level history before pursuing the route.

## Method

The signal is a calculated research indicator based on available reported trade observations. It is not a confirmed order, sales forecast, or guarantee of market entry. Validate buyers, tariffs, standards, logistics, pricing, and competition before acting.

## Data sources

- Primary trade series: OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-09-02). [OECD Data Explorer](https://data-explorer.oecd.org/) - [OECD Terms & Conditions](https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/)
- CEPII BACI bilateral trade flows (202601): [dataset page](https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37) - [BACI documentation](https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html) - [Etalab 2.0 Open Licence](https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf)

This page presents derived Yugalinks views of reported observations and calculated indicators.
