{ "template": "new-corridor-signal", "templateName": "New Corridor Signal", "source": "api", "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/cog-pak-271111", "seo": { "title": "Congo to Pakistan new corridor | HS 271111 | Yugalinks", "description": "Reported new-corridor signal for Congo to Pakistan in petroleum gases and other gaseous hydrocarbons (HS 271111), with market demand, growth, share,...", "robots": "index, follow" }, "breadcrumbs": [ { "name": "Home", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com/" }, { "name": "Trade data", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/" }, { "name": "New corridor signals", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/" }, { "name": "COG-PAK-HS 271111", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/cog-pak-271111" } ], "exporter": { "iso3": "COG", "country_name": "Congo" }, "importer": { "iso3": "PAK", "country_name": "Pakistan" }, "hsCode": "271111", "product": "Petroleum gases and other gaseous hydrocarbons: liquefied, natural gas", "latestYear": 2024, "signal": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "COG", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "hs_code": "271111", "your_market_share_pct": 0.673043514863087, "your_share_change_pp": 0.673043514863087, "market_imports_usd": 3716811969.495485, "market_yoy_growth_pct": 5.924957725473878, "market_cagr_3y_pct": 1.180027, "top_supplier_iso3": "QAT", "top_supplier_share_pct": 88.79988692019407, "your_share_gap_pp": 88.12684340533099, "num_suppliers": 9, "market_hhi": 7966.597434546425, "volatility_mean_usd": 25015761.920344338, "volatility_stddev_usd": 0, "volatility_cv": 0, "max_drawdown_pct": 0, "momentum_yoy_pct": null, "momentum_acceleration_pct": null, "anomaly_type": "", "anomaly_severity": "0", "anomaly_z_score": 0, "new_corridor_signal_type": "new", "new_corridor_signal_strength": 100 }, "market": { "exporter_iso3": "COG", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "hs_code": "271111", "hs_description": "Petroleum gases and other gaseous hydrocarbons: liquefied, natural gas", "hs_chapter": "27", "hs_heading": "2711", "price_range_label": "Medium price range", "trade_type_label": "One-way trade", "substitution_elasticity": -66.328537, "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 3716811969.495484, "buyer_imports_avg_usd": 859092855.6397662, "buyer_imports_peak_usd": 4092023971.8573723, "buyer_cagr_full_pct": 46.6456, "buyer_yoy_avg_pct": 181083.515, "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": 5.925, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 55.1724, "buyer_imports_proj_3y_usd": 7259398377.92, "buyer_imports_proj_5y_usd": 11342809965.5, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 346343.170486, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 1538, "buyer_population_latest": 225199.936, "buyer_investment_rate": 16.65, "buyer_savings_rate": 7.46, "buyer_edu_secondary": 49.04, "buyer_gdp_mn_2030_proj": 418434.35, "buyer_gdp_pc_2030_proj": 1681.81, "buyer_gdp_pc_growth_pct": 9.35, "buyer_gdp_mn_growth_pct": 20.81, "buyer_pop_growth_pct": 10.48, "exports_latest_usd": 25015761.920344338, "exports_avg_usd": 25015761.920344338, "exports_peak_usd": 25015761.920344338, "share_latest_pct": 0.6730435148630871, "share_avg_pct": 0.6730435148630871, "share_peak_pct": 0.6730435148630871, "share_change_1y_pp": 0.6730435148630871, "share_trend_pp_per_yr": null, "cagr_full_pct": null, "yoy_avg_pct": null, "yoy_latest_pct": null, "trend_consistency_pct": null, "exports_proj_3y_usd": null, "exports_proj_5y_usd": null, "your_share_gap_pp": 88.1268, "addressable_proj_3y_usd": 6397478640.68, "addressable_proj_5y_usd": 9996060376.06, "peer_best_share_pct": 88.79988692019408, "peer_top_exporter": "QAT", "num_suppliers_latest": 9, "buyer_herfindahl_index": 7966.6, "distance_km": 7391.7060546875, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0, "has_wto_reported_fta": 0, "buyer_is_eu_member": 0, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 16.5, "shared_legal_system": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shares_land_border": 0, "buyer_is_wto_member": 1, "lane_volatility_cv": 0, "lane_max_drawdown_pct": 0, "signal_flag": "Declining", "lane_data_years": 1, "lane_last_year": 2024 }, "access": { "exporter_iso3": "COG", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "hs_code": "271111", "hs_description": "Petroleum gases and other gaseous hydrocarbons: liquefied, natural gas", "hs_chapter": "27", "hs_heading": "2711", "price_range_label": "Medium price range", "trade_type_label": "One-way trade", "substitution_elasticity": -66.328537, "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 3716811969.495484, "buyer_imports_avg_usd": 859092855.6397662, "buyer_imports_peak_usd": 4092023971.8573723, "buyer_cagr_full_pct": 46.6456, "buyer_yoy_avg_pct": 181083.515, "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": 5.925, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 55.1724, "buyer_imports_proj_3y_usd": 7259398377.92, "buyer_imports_proj_5y_usd": 11342809965.5, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 346343.170486, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 1538, "buyer_population_latest": 225199.936, "buyer_investment_rate": 16.65, "buyer_savings_rate": 7.46, "buyer_edu_secondary": 49.04, "buyer_gdp_mn_2030_proj": 418434.35, "buyer_gdp_pc_2030_proj": 1681.81, "buyer_gdp_pc_growth_pct": 9.35, "buyer_gdp_mn_growth_pct": 20.81, "buyer_pop_growth_pct": 10.48, "exports_latest_usd": 25015761.920344338, "exports_avg_usd": 25015761.920344338, "exports_peak_usd": 25015761.920344338, "share_latest_pct": 0.6730435148630871, "share_avg_pct": 0.6730435148630871, "share_peak_pct": 0.6730435148630871, "share_change_1y_pp": 0.6730435148630871, "share_trend_pp_per_yr": null, "cagr_full_pct": null, "yoy_avg_pct": null, "yoy_latest_pct": null, "trend_consistency_pct": null, "exports_proj_3y_usd": null, "exports_proj_5y_usd": null, "your_share_gap_pp": 88.1268, "addressable_proj_3y_usd": 6397478640.68, "addressable_proj_5y_usd": 9996060376.06, "peer_best_share_pct": 88.79988692019408, "peer_top_exporter": "QAT", "num_suppliers_latest": 9, "buyer_herfindahl_index": 7966.6, "distance_km": 7391.7060546875, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0, "has_wto_reported_fta": 0, "buyer_is_eu_member": 0, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 16.5, "shared_legal_system": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shares_land_border": 0, "buyer_is_wto_member": 1, "lane_volatility_cv": 0, "lane_max_drawdown_pct": 0, "signal_flag": "Declining", "lane_data_years": 1, "lane_last_year": 2024, "access_data_year": 2024, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 40.086055102424254, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 40.086055102424254, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "buyer_macro_latest_year": 2024, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 2.97495743635785, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 1.2398006628906222, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 1.713907734019493, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 16.71, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 7.442, "current_below_peak_usd": 0, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "latest_vs_historical_avg_pct": 0, "share_change_all_pp": 0, "volatility_label": "Stable", "drawdown_label": "Near historical peak", "competition_label": "Concentrated buyer market", "demand_label": "Buyer demand stable or growing", "access_label": "Standard market access", "macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "limited_history" ], "risk_driver_count": 3, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "lane_access_data_available": true }, "productHistory": [ { "year": 2024, "export_value_usd": 25015761.920344338, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null } ], "routeHistory": [ { "year": 1998, "export_value_usd": 102713.34442583706, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1999, "export_value_usd": 112035.04739529373, "yoy_growth_pct": 9.075454627209911, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 2000, "export_value_usd": 75135.68563189059, "yoy_growth_pct": -32.93555241978072, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 2001, "export_value_usd": 52878.857855592396, "yoy_growth_pct": -29.6221796462206, "cagr_3y_pct": -19.853407028475235 }, { "year": 2002, "export_value_usd": 104446.66661205329, "yoy_growth_pct": 97.52065541447233, "cagr_3y_pct": -2.310723319255148 }, { "year": 2003, "export_value_usd": 143696.7670724018, "yoy_growth_pct": 37.579083884156226, "cagr_3y_pct": 24.12718731587713 }, { "year": 2004, "export_value_usd": 185485.475281584, "yoy_growth_pct": 29.081174935638533, "cagr_3y_pct": 51.94133818398219 }, { "year": 2005, "export_value_usd": 111145.91792461081, "yoy_growth_pct": -40.078371227784224, "cagr_3y_pct": 2.0938647431357316 }, { "year": 2006, "export_value_usd": 108188.10669528422, "yoy_growth_pct": -2.661196456475212, "cagr_3y_pct": -9.027350972016846 }, { "year": 2007, "export_value_usd": 630830.3316932358, "yoy_growth_pct": 483.08658036690906, "cagr_3y_pct": 50.38374179768186 }, { "year": 2008, "export_value_usd": 316542.50104866433, "yoy_growth_pct": -49.82129343733036, "cagr_3y_pct": 41.74666103832612 }, { "year": 2009, "export_value_usd": 382992.7373643473, "yoy_growth_pct": 20.992516358954006, "cagr_3y_pct": 52.4065642114699 }, { "year": 2010, "export_value_usd": 374940.89590463974, "yoy_growth_pct": -2.102348340889748, "cagr_3y_pct": -15.921798102544493 }, { "year": 2011, "export_value_usd": 792594.3423391157, "yoy_growth_pct": 111.39180894812273, "cagr_3y_pct": 35.79162312461861 }, { "year": 2012, "export_value_usd": 330983.39749467507, "yoy_growth_pct": -58.24050465489419, "cagr_3y_pct": -4.748485356401877 }, { "year": 2013, "export_value_usd": 384724.4568128344, "yoy_growth_pct": 16.23678399730728, "cagr_3y_pct": 0.8623294509874979 }, { "year": 2014, "export_value_usd": 829948.7564636954, "yoy_growth_pct": 115.7254995794196, "cagr_3y_pct": 1.5469234519954966 }, { "year": 2015, "export_value_usd": 755306.9047660419, "yoy_growth_pct": -8.993549434990767, "cagr_3y_pct": 31.65552273131722 }, { "year": 2016, "export_value_usd": 3831075.202086481, "yoy_growth_pct": 407.2209955863127, "cagr_3y_pct": 115.14122012552441 }, { "year": 2017, "export_value_usd": 1306139.7178802728, "yoy_growth_pct": -65.90670636877806, "cagr_3y_pct": 16.317783837032707 }, { "year": 2018, "export_value_usd": 2731963.599322672, "yoy_growth_pct": 109.16319762148885, "cagr_3y_pct": 53.50310025205091 }, { "year": 2019, "export_value_usd": 3334025.238351761, "yoy_growth_pct": 22.037688905458186, "cagr_3y_pct": -4.526523848053454 }, { "year": 2020, "export_value_usd": 4419797.206143981, "yoy_growth_pct": 32.56639917725974, "cagr_3y_pct": 50.13118148281257 }, { "year": 2021, "export_value_usd": 7002606.13295442, "yoy_growth_pct": 58.43727226262925, "cagr_3y_pct": 36.85529246496766 }, { "year": 2022, "export_value_usd": 7722565.450851944, "yoy_growth_pct": 10.281305334443713, "cagr_3y_pct": 32.31149346326703 }, { "year": 2023, "export_value_usd": 3929513.0449192002, "yoy_growth_pct": -49.116481175492, "cagr_3y_pct": -3.843466743078827 }, { "year": 2024, "export_value_usd": 43764603.79176915, "yoy_growth_pct": 1013.7411504042748, "cagr_3y_pct": 84.19921163090429 } ], "relatedSignals": [ { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "COG", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "hs_code": "300490", "your_market_share_pct": 6.359125412346884e-7, "your_share_change_pp": 6.359125412346884e-7, "market_imports_usd": 26433358483.570988, "market_yoy_growth_pct": 3.2719958374163083, "market_cagr_3y_pct": -1.338358, "top_supplier_iso3": "IRL", "top_supplier_share_pct": 14.23266175454363, "your_share_gap_pp": 14.23266111863109, "num_suppliers": 105, "market_hhi": 794.3174963139877, "volatility_mean_usd": 168.09304166655136, "volatility_stddev_usd": 0, "volatility_cv": 0, "max_drawdown_pct": 0, "momentum_yoy_pct": null, "momentum_acceleration_pct": null, "anomaly_type": "", "anomaly_severity": "0", "anomaly_z_score": 0, "new_corridor_signal_type": "new", "new_corridor_signal_strength": 44.56251472699948, "exporter_name": "Congo", "importer_name": "Germany", "published": true }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "COG", "importer_iso3": "ESP", "hs_code": "271111", "your_market_share_pct": 1.7169789940491977, "your_share_change_pp": 1.7169789940491977, "market_imports_usd": 5672396703.256272, "market_yoy_growth_pct": -40.32167827534698, "market_cagr_3y_pct": -5.303938, "top_supplier_iso3": "RUS", "top_supplier_share_pct": 34.45836227204624, "your_share_gap_pp": 32.74138327799704, "num_suppliers": 16, "market_hhi": 2262.3278645512582, "volatility_mean_usd": 97393859.8540494, "volatility_stddev_usd": 0, "volatility_cv": 0, "max_drawdown_pct": 0, "momentum_yoy_pct": null, "momentum_acceleration_pct": null, "anomaly_type": "", "anomaly_severity": "0", "anomaly_z_score": 0, "new_corridor_signal_type": "new", "new_corridor_signal_strength": 100, "exporter_name": "Congo", "importer_name": "Spain", "published": true }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "COG", "importer_iso3": "CHE", "hs_code": "300212", "your_market_share_pct": 9.212723025021998e-7, "your_share_change_pp": 9.212723025021998e-7, "market_imports_usd": 5519490698.709835, "market_yoy_growth_pct": 16.056633282393484, "market_cagr_3y_pct": 46.874578, "top_supplier_iso3": "IRL", "top_supplier_share_pct": 37.31288514837107, "your_share_gap_pp": 37.31288422709877, "num_suppliers": 75, "market_hhi": 2668.75323553726, "volatility_mean_usd": 50.849539046398846, "volatility_stddev_usd": 0, "volatility_cv": 0, "max_drawdown_pct": 0, "momentum_yoy_pct": null, "momentum_acceleration_pct": null, "anomaly_type": "", "anomaly_severity": "0", "anomaly_z_score": 0, "new_corridor_signal_type": "new", "new_corridor_signal_strength": 34.294897995409485, "exporter_name": "Congo", "importer_name": "Switzerland", "published": true }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "COG", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "hs_code": "271111", "your_market_share_pct": 0.14246336410303004, "your_share_change_pp": 0.14246336410303004, "market_imports_usd": 4961239217.86505, "market_yoy_growth_pct": -29.210993061853962, "market_cagr_3y_pct": 16.648384, "top_supplier_iso3": "QAT", "top_supplier_share_pct": 46.61748395186056, "your_share_gap_pp": 46.47502058775753, "num_suppliers": 32, "market_hhi": 3286.5738518834814, "volatility_mean_usd": 7067948.290969407, "volatility_stddev_usd": 0, "volatility_cv": 0, "max_drawdown_pct": 0, "momentum_yoy_pct": null, "momentum_acceleration_pct": null, "anomaly_type": "", "anomaly_severity": "0", "anomaly_z_score": 0, "new_corridor_signal_type": "new", "new_corridor_signal_strength": 100, "exporter_name": "Congo", "importer_name": "Italy", "published": true }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "COG", "importer_iso3": "NOR", "hs_code": "271019", "your_market_share_pct": 0.000010798821437462839, "your_share_change_pp": 0.000010798821437462839, "market_imports_usd": 3756371422.0721645, "market_yoy_growth_pct": -6.3021036027812505, "market_cagr_3y_pct": 12.788613, "top_supplier_iso3": "SWE", "top_supplier_share_pct": 31.008300795860794, "your_share_gap_pp": 31.008289997039356, "num_suppliers": 75, "market_hhi": 2069.8434432732415, "volatility_mean_usd": 405.6438423974566, "volatility_stddev_usd": 0, "volatility_cv": 0, "max_drawdown_pct": 0, "momentum_yoy_pct": null, "momentum_acceleration_pct": null, "anomaly_type": "", "anomaly_severity": "0", "anomaly_z_score": 0, "new_corridor_signal_type": "new", "new_corridor_signal_strength": 52.184284007674606, "exporter_name": "Congo", "importer_name": "Norway", "published": true }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "COG", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "hs_code": "300490", "your_market_share_pct": 0.00006670000404384142, "your_share_change_pp": 0.00006670000404384142, "market_imports_usd": 3595027514.5066576, "market_yoy_growth_pct": 3.2333454481088486, "market_cagr_3y_pct": 9.117515, "top_supplier_iso3": "DEU", "top_supplier_share_pct": 13.535953413277554, "your_share_gap_pp": 13.53588671327351, "num_suppliers": 102, "market_hhi": 719.8896898690554, "volatility_mean_usd": 2397.883497553152, "volatility_stddev_usd": 0, "volatility_cv": 0, "max_drawdown_pct": 0, "momentum_yoy_pct": null, "momentum_acceleration_pct": null, "anomaly_type": "", "anomaly_severity": "0", "anomaly_z_score": 0, "new_corridor_signal_type": "new", "new_corridor_signal_strength": 67.60018313694404, "exporter_name": "Congo", "importer_name": "Saudi Arabia", "published": true }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "COG", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "hs_code": "870829", "your_market_share_pct": 0.000022381265052867287, "your_share_change_pp": 0.000022381265052867287, "market_imports_usd": 3366671760.62935, "market_yoy_growth_pct": -6.585076530795253, "market_cagr_3y_pct": -11.475442, "top_supplier_iso3": "DEU", "top_supplier_share_pct": 37.955977654125356, "your_share_gap_pp": 37.9559552728603, "num_suppliers": 93, "market_hhi": 1758.9232445771431, "volatility_mean_usd": 753.5037302064885, "volatility_stddev_usd": 0, "volatility_cv": 0, "max_drawdown_pct": 0, "momentum_yoy_pct": null, "momentum_acceleration_pct": null, "anomaly_type": "", "anomaly_severity": "0", "anomaly_z_score": 0, "new_corridor_signal_type": "new", "new_corridor_signal_strength": 57.5532278246865, "exporter_name": "Congo", "importer_name": "CHN", "published": true }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "COG", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "hs_code": "853890", "your_market_share_pct": 0.00000602558311990868, "your_share_change_pp": 0.00000602558311990868, "market_imports_usd": 3114521902.3774204, "market_yoy_growth_pct": -16.14060775143803, "market_cagr_3y_pct": -11.12763, "top_supplier_iso3": "DEU", "top_supplier_share_pct": 21.48437217396966, "your_share_gap_pp": 21.484366148386542, "num_suppliers": 108, "market_hhi": 1088.9718188654758, "volatility_mean_usd": 187.66810601551254, "volatility_stddev_usd": 0, "volatility_cv": 0, "max_drawdown_pct": 0, "momentum_yoy_pct": null, "momentum_acceleration_pct": null, "anomaly_type": "", "anomaly_severity": "0", "anomaly_z_score": 0, "new_corridor_signal_type": "new", "new_corridor_signal_strength": 45.513969794270785, "exporter_name": "Congo", "importer_name": "CHN", "published": true } ], "sections": { "overview": { "title": "What does this new corridor signal mean?", "summary": "The signal points to a newly observed exporter-to-buyer relationship in the available reporting. It is a prompt for market research, not a forecast, order, or guarantee of commercial access.", "reportedMarket": { "buyerMarket": "Pakistan", "imports": "$3.7B", "year": 2024, "annualChange": "+5.9%" }, "exporterPosition": { "exporter": "Congo", "routeExports": "$25.0M", "currentShare": "0.7%" } }, "signal": { "title": "A new relationship in the reported trade view", "type": "New corridor", "strength": "100/100", "reportedPeriod": 2024, "marketMomentum": "+0.0%", "availableProductHistoryYears": "1" }, "market": { "latestImports": "$3.7B", "projectionThreeYears": "$7.3B", "supplierCount": "9", "averageImports": "$859.1M", "historicalPeak": "$4.1B", "fullHistoryGrowth": "+46.6%", "latestAnnualChange": "+5.9%" }, "competition": { "topSupplier": { "country": "QAT", "iso3": "QAT", "share": "88.8%" }, "marketConcentrationHhi": "7,967", "exporterShare": "0.7%", "shareGap": "88.1%" }, "access": { "appliedTariff": "40.1%", "mfnTariff": "40.1%", "preferentialTariff": "0.0%", "distance": "7,392 km", "tradeAgreement": "Not reported", "businessEntryTime": "16.5 days", "sharedSpokenLanguageScore": "0" }, "economy": { "gdpPerPerson": "$1.5K", "gdpPerPersonGrowth": "+9.3%", "populationThousands": "225,200", "gdp": "$346.3B", "gdpFiveYearCagr": "+3.0%", "investmentRate": "16.6%", "savingsRate": "7.5%" }, "evidence": { "productHistory": [ { "year": 2024, "export_value_usd": 25015761.920344338, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null } ], "routeHistory": [ { "year": 1998, "export_value_usd": 102713.34442583706, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1999, "export_value_usd": 112035.04739529373, "yoy_growth_pct": 9.075454627209911, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 2000, "export_value_usd": 75135.68563189059, "yoy_growth_pct": -32.93555241978072, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 2001, "export_value_usd": 52878.857855592396, "yoy_growth_pct": -29.6221796462206, "cagr_3y_pct": -19.853407028475235 }, { "year": 2002, "export_value_usd": 104446.66661205329, "yoy_growth_pct": 97.52065541447233, "cagr_3y_pct": -2.310723319255148 }, { "year": 2003, "export_value_usd": 143696.7670724018, "yoy_growth_pct": 37.579083884156226, "cagr_3y_pct": 24.12718731587713 }, { "year": 2004, "export_value_usd": 185485.475281584, "yoy_growth_pct": 29.081174935638533, "cagr_3y_pct": 51.94133818398219 }, { "year": 2005, "export_value_usd": 111145.91792461081, "yoy_growth_pct": -40.078371227784224, "cagr_3y_pct": 2.0938647431357316 }, { "year": 2006, "export_value_usd": 108188.10669528422, "yoy_growth_pct": -2.661196456475212, "cagr_3y_pct": -9.027350972016846 }, { "year": 2007, "export_value_usd": 630830.3316932358, "yoy_growth_pct": 483.08658036690906, "cagr_3y_pct": 50.38374179768186 }, { "year": 2008, "export_value_usd": 316542.50104866433, "yoy_growth_pct": -49.82129343733036, "cagr_3y_pct": 41.74666103832612 }, { "year": 2009, "export_value_usd": 382992.7373643473, "yoy_growth_pct": 20.992516358954006, "cagr_3y_pct": 52.4065642114699 }, { "year": 2010, "export_value_usd": 374940.89590463974, "yoy_growth_pct": -2.102348340889748, "cagr_3y_pct": -15.921798102544493 }, { "year": 2011, "export_value_usd": 792594.3423391157, "yoy_growth_pct": 111.39180894812273, "cagr_3y_pct": 35.79162312461861 }, { "year": 2012, "export_value_usd": 330983.39749467507, "yoy_growth_pct": -58.24050465489419, "cagr_3y_pct": -4.748485356401877 }, { "year": 2013, "export_value_usd": 384724.4568128344, "yoy_growth_pct": 16.23678399730728, "cagr_3y_pct": 0.8623294509874979 }, { "year": 2014, "export_value_usd": 829948.7564636954, "yoy_growth_pct": 115.7254995794196, "cagr_3y_pct": 1.5469234519954966 }, { "year": 2015, "export_value_usd": 755306.9047660419, "yoy_growth_pct": -8.993549434990767, "cagr_3y_pct": 31.65552273131722 }, { "year": 2016, "export_value_usd": 3831075.202086481, "yoy_growth_pct": 407.2209955863127, "cagr_3y_pct": 115.14122012552441 }, { "year": 2017, "export_value_usd": 1306139.7178802728, "yoy_growth_pct": -65.90670636877806, "cagr_3y_pct": 16.317783837032707 }, { "year": 2018, "export_value_usd": 2731963.599322672, "yoy_growth_pct": 109.16319762148885, "cagr_3y_pct": 53.50310025205091 }, { "year": 2019, "export_value_usd": 3334025.238351761, "yoy_growth_pct": 22.037688905458186, "cagr_3y_pct": -4.526523848053454 }, { "year": 2020, "export_value_usd": 4419797.206143981, "yoy_growth_pct": 32.56639917725974, "cagr_3y_pct": 50.13118148281257 }, { "year": 2021, "export_value_usd": 7002606.13295442, "yoy_growth_pct": 58.43727226262925, "cagr_3y_pct": 36.85529246496766 }, { "year": 2022, "export_value_usd": 7722565.450851944, "yoy_growth_pct": 10.281305334443713, "cagr_3y_pct": 32.31149346326703 }, { "year": 2023, "export_value_usd": 3929513.0449192002, "yoy_growth_pct": -49.116481175492, "cagr_3y_pct": -3.843466743078827 }, { "year": 2024, "export_value_usd": 43764603.79176915, "yoy_growth_pct": 1013.7411504042748, "cagr_3y_pct": 84.19921163090429 } ], "routeHistoryScope": "Broader Congo to Pakistan route exports, not only HS 271111." }, "relatedSignals": [ { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "COG", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "hs_code": "300490", "your_market_share_pct": 6.359125412346884e-7, "your_share_change_pp": 6.359125412346884e-7, "market_imports_usd": 26433358483.570988, "market_yoy_growth_pct": 3.2719958374163083, "market_cagr_3y_pct": -1.338358, "top_supplier_iso3": "IRL", "top_supplier_share_pct": 14.23266175454363, "your_share_gap_pp": 14.23266111863109, "num_suppliers": 105, "market_hhi": 794.3174963139877, "volatility_mean_usd": 168.09304166655136, "volatility_stddev_usd": 0, "volatility_cv": 0, "max_drawdown_pct": 0, "momentum_yoy_pct": null, "momentum_acceleration_pct": null, "anomaly_type": "", "anomaly_severity": "0", "anomaly_z_score": 0, "new_corridor_signal_type": "new", "new_corridor_signal_strength": 44.56251472699948, "exporter_name": "Congo", "importer_name": "Germany", "published": true, "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/cog-deu-300490" }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "COG", "importer_iso3": "ESP", "hs_code": "271111", "your_market_share_pct": 1.7169789940491977, "your_share_change_pp": 1.7169789940491977, "market_imports_usd": 5672396703.256272, "market_yoy_growth_pct": -40.32167827534698, "market_cagr_3y_pct": -5.303938, "top_supplier_iso3": "RUS", "top_supplier_share_pct": 34.45836227204624, "your_share_gap_pp": 32.74138327799704, "num_suppliers": 16, "market_hhi": 2262.3278645512582, "volatility_mean_usd": 97393859.8540494, "volatility_stddev_usd": 0, "volatility_cv": 0, "max_drawdown_pct": 0, "momentum_yoy_pct": null, "momentum_acceleration_pct": null, "anomaly_type": "", "anomaly_severity": "0", "anomaly_z_score": 0, "new_corridor_signal_type": "new", "new_corridor_signal_strength": 100, "exporter_name": "Congo", "importer_name": "Spain", "published": true, "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/cog-esp-271111" }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "COG", "importer_iso3": "CHE", "hs_code": "300212", "your_market_share_pct": 9.212723025021998e-7, "your_share_change_pp": 9.212723025021998e-7, "market_imports_usd": 5519490698.709835, "market_yoy_growth_pct": 16.056633282393484, "market_cagr_3y_pct": 46.874578, "top_supplier_iso3": "IRL", "top_supplier_share_pct": 37.31288514837107, "your_share_gap_pp": 37.31288422709877, "num_suppliers": 75, "market_hhi": 2668.75323553726, "volatility_mean_usd": 50.849539046398846, "volatility_stddev_usd": 0, "volatility_cv": 0, "max_drawdown_pct": 0, "momentum_yoy_pct": null, "momentum_acceleration_pct": null, "anomaly_type": "", "anomaly_severity": "0", "anomaly_z_score": 0, "new_corridor_signal_type": "new", "new_corridor_signal_strength": 34.294897995409485, "exporter_name": "Congo", "importer_name": "Switzerland", "published": true, "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/cog-che-300212" }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "COG", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "hs_code": "271111", "your_market_share_pct": 0.14246336410303004, "your_share_change_pp": 0.14246336410303004, "market_imports_usd": 4961239217.86505, "market_yoy_growth_pct": -29.210993061853962, "market_cagr_3y_pct": 16.648384, "top_supplier_iso3": "QAT", "top_supplier_share_pct": 46.61748395186056, "your_share_gap_pp": 46.47502058775753, "num_suppliers": 32, "market_hhi": 3286.5738518834814, "volatility_mean_usd": 7067948.290969407, "volatility_stddev_usd": 0, "volatility_cv": 0, "max_drawdown_pct": 0, "momentum_yoy_pct": null, "momentum_acceleration_pct": null, "anomaly_type": "", "anomaly_severity": "0", "anomaly_z_score": 0, "new_corridor_signal_type": "new", "new_corridor_signal_strength": 100, "exporter_name": "Congo", "importer_name": "Italy", "published": true, "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/cog-ita-271111" }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "COG", "importer_iso3": "NOR", "hs_code": "271019", "your_market_share_pct": 0.000010798821437462839, "your_share_change_pp": 0.000010798821437462839, "market_imports_usd": 3756371422.0721645, "market_yoy_growth_pct": -6.3021036027812505, "market_cagr_3y_pct": 12.788613, "top_supplier_iso3": "SWE", "top_supplier_share_pct": 31.008300795860794, "your_share_gap_pp": 31.008289997039356, "num_suppliers": 75, "market_hhi": 2069.8434432732415, "volatility_mean_usd": 405.6438423974566, "volatility_stddev_usd": 0, "volatility_cv": 0, "max_drawdown_pct": 0, "momentum_yoy_pct": null, "momentum_acceleration_pct": null, "anomaly_type": "", "anomaly_severity": "0", "anomaly_z_score": 0, "new_corridor_signal_type": "new", "new_corridor_signal_strength": 52.184284007674606, "exporter_name": "Congo", "importer_name": "Norway", "published": true, "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/cog-nor-271019" }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "COG", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "hs_code": "300490", "your_market_share_pct": 0.00006670000404384142, "your_share_change_pp": 0.00006670000404384142, "market_imports_usd": 3595027514.5066576, "market_yoy_growth_pct": 3.2333454481088486, "market_cagr_3y_pct": 9.117515, "top_supplier_iso3": "DEU", "top_supplier_share_pct": 13.535953413277554, "your_share_gap_pp": 13.53588671327351, "num_suppliers": 102, "market_hhi": 719.8896898690554, "volatility_mean_usd": 2397.883497553152, "volatility_stddev_usd": 0, "volatility_cv": 0, "max_drawdown_pct": 0, "momentum_yoy_pct": null, "momentum_acceleration_pct": null, "anomaly_type": "", "anomaly_severity": "0", "anomaly_z_score": 0, "new_corridor_signal_type": "new", "new_corridor_signal_strength": 67.60018313694404, "exporter_name": "Congo", "importer_name": "Saudi Arabia", "published": true, "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/cog-sau-300490" }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "COG", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "hs_code": "870829", "your_market_share_pct": 0.000022381265052867287, "your_share_change_pp": 0.000022381265052867287, "market_imports_usd": 3366671760.62935, "market_yoy_growth_pct": -6.585076530795253, "market_cagr_3y_pct": -11.475442, "top_supplier_iso3": "DEU", "top_supplier_share_pct": 37.955977654125356, "your_share_gap_pp": 37.9559552728603, "num_suppliers": 93, "market_hhi": 1758.9232445771431, "volatility_mean_usd": 753.5037302064885, "volatility_stddev_usd": 0, "volatility_cv": 0, "max_drawdown_pct": 0, "momentum_yoy_pct": null, "momentum_acceleration_pct": null, "anomaly_type": "", "anomaly_severity": "0", "anomaly_z_score": 0, "new_corridor_signal_type": "new", "new_corridor_signal_strength": 57.5532278246865, "exporter_name": "Congo", "importer_name": "CHN", "published": true, "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/cog-chn-870829" }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "COG", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "hs_code": "853890", "your_market_share_pct": 0.00000602558311990868, "your_share_change_pp": 0.00000602558311990868, "market_imports_usd": 3114521902.3774204, "market_yoy_growth_pct": -16.14060775143803, "market_cagr_3y_pct": -11.12763, "top_supplier_iso3": "DEU", "top_supplier_share_pct": 21.48437217396966, "your_share_gap_pp": 21.484366148386542, "num_suppliers": 108, "market_hhi": 1088.9718188654758, "volatility_mean_usd": 187.66810601551254, "volatility_stddev_usd": 0, "volatility_cv": 0, "max_drawdown_pct": 0, "momentum_yoy_pct": null, "momentum_acceleration_pct": null, "anomaly_type": "", "anomaly_severity": "0", "anomaly_z_score": 0, "new_corridor_signal_type": "new", "new_corridor_signal_strength": 45.513969794270785, "exporter_name": "Congo", "importer_name": "CHN", "published": true, "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/cog-chn-853890" } ], "faq": [ { "question": "What does a new corridor signal mean?", "answer": "It identifies an exporter, buyer market, and HS6 combination included in the available new-corridor signal set for 2024. It is a research prompt, not a guarantee of demand or sales." }, { "question": "Is the market opportunity reported trade?", "answer": "Reported buyer imports and exporter share are observations. Any projection or share-gap measure is calculated from the available data and should not be treated as an order or forecast." }, { "question": "What should exporters check next?", "answer": "Validate product fit, buyers, tariffs, standards, logistics, pricing, competition, and the depth of product-level history before pursuing the route." } ], "dataSources": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-09-02)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-09-02", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-09-02" } ] } }, "links": { "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "trade": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/", "product": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/product/271111", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app?hs=271111", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/cog-pak-271111/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/cog-pak-271111/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/cog-pak-271111/index.ld.json" }, "methodology": { "summary": "Reported trade observations and calculated signal indicators are shown separately. Validate buyers, tariffs, standards, logistics, pricing, and competition before acting.", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology" }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-09-02)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-09-02", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-09-02" } ] }, "generatedAt": "2026-09-02T11:38:30.652Z" }