# CHN to Italy HS 262011 new corridor signal

This page reviews a reported new-corridor signal for ash and residues: (not from the manufacture of iron or steel), containing mainly zinc, hard zinc spelter. It separates reported trade observations from calculated indicators and access context.

## Signal summary

- Signal type: New corridor
- Signal strength: 93/100
- Reported period: 2024
- Buyer market imports: $37.2M
- Buyer market growth: +26.2%
- Current exporter share: 0.1%
- Share gap: 24.7%

## What the signal means

The signal points to a newly observed exporter-to-buyer relationship in the available reporting. It is a prompt for market research, not a forecast, order, or guarantee of commercial access. Compare demand, suppliers, access, and route history together before acting.

## Market opportunity

- Latest buyer imports: $37.2M
- Three-year buyer-import projection: $44.6M
- Supplier countries observed: 44
- Average buyer imports: $15.6M
- Historical buyer-import peak: $43.4M
- Full-history buyer-import CAGR: +6.2%
- Latest buyer-import annual change: +26.2%

## Competition landscape

- Top supplier: Germany
- Top supplier share: 24.8%
- Market concentration: 1,321
- Exporter share: 0.1%
- Share gap to peer benchmark: 24.7%

## Access profile

- Applied tariff: 2.0%
- MFN tariff: 5.9%
- Preferential tariff: 1.7%
- Approximate distance: 8,135 km
- Trade agreement: Not reported
- Business entry time: 11 days
- Shared spoken language score: 0

## Buyer economy

- GDP per person: $35.6K
- GDP per-person growth: -5.4%
- Population: 59,066k
- GDP: $2.1T
- GDP five-year CAGR: +3.3%
- Investment rate: 21.3%
- Savings rate: 22.5%

## Product-level history

| Year | Product exports | Year-on-year |
| ---: | ---: | ---: |
| 2024 | $44.7K | +0.0% |

## Broader route context

Broader CHN to Italy route exports provide route context only; they are not presented as HS 262011 product-level trade.

| Year | Route exports | Year-on-year |
| ---: | ---: | ---: |
| 1995 | $3.3B | +0.0% |
| 1996 | $3.2B | -0.4% |
| 1997 | $3.7B | +12.9% |
| 1998 | $4.0B | +10.3% |
| 1999 | $4.4B | +9.7% |
| 2000 | $5.5B | +23.1% |
| 2001 | $5.6B | +2.5% |
| 2002 | $6.5B | +16.9% |
| 2003 | $8.9B | +36.0% |
| 2004 | $12.1B | +35.8% |
| 2005 | $14.7B | +21.9% |
| 2006 | $19.2B | +30.5% |
| 2007 | $25.2B | +31.2% |
| 2008 | $30.2B | +19.7% |
| 2009 | $23.4B | -22.4% |
| 2010 | $34.0B | +45.2% |
| 2011 | $36.6B | +7.5% |
| 2012 | $28.2B | -22.9% |
| 2013 | $27.3B | -3.0% |
| 2014 | $30.0B | +9.9% |
| 2015 | $28.7B | -4.5% |
| 2016 | $27.3B | -4.9% |
| 2017 | $29.3B | +7.5% |
| 2018 | $33.3B | +13.5% |
| 2019 | $32.8B | -1.3% |
| 2020 | $33.2B | +1.3% |
| 2021 | $42.2B | +26.9% |
| 2022 | $53.1B | +25.8% |
| 2023 | $45.1B | -15.0% |
| 2024 | $46.7B | +3.6% |

## Related new-corridor signals

| Exporter to buyer | Product | Signal type | Buyer imports | Page |
| --- | --- | --- | ---: | --- |
| CHN to CHN | HS 270210 | New corridor | $9.3B | [Review this signal](https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/chn-chn-270210) |
| CHN to CHN | HS 261610 | New corridor | $4.2B | [Review this signal](https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/chn-chn-261610) |
| CHN to Malaysia | HS 271111 | New corridor | $2.0B | [Review this signal](https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/chn-mys-271111) |
| CHN to GBR | HS 999999 | New corridor | $1.9B | [Review this signal](https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/chn-gbr-999999) |
| CHN to USA, Puerto Rico and US Virgin Islands | HS 030214 | New corridor | $1.3B | [Review this signal](https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/chn-usa-030214) |
| CHN to GBR | HS 020130 | New corridor | $1.2B | [Review this signal](https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/chn-gbr-020130) |
| CHN to Spain | HS 284420 | New corridor | $875.0M | [Review this signal](https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/chn-esp-284420) |
| CHN to Russian Federation | HS 999999 | New corridor | $874.0M | [Review this signal](https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/chn-rus-999999) |

## Frequently asked questions

### What does a new corridor signal mean?

It identifies an exporter, buyer market, and HS6 combination included in the available new-corridor signal set for 2024. It is a research prompt, not a guarantee of demand or sales.

### Is the market opportunity reported trade?

Reported buyer imports and exporter share are observations. Any projection or share-gap measure is calculated from the available data and should not be treated as an order or forecast.

### What should exporters check next?

Validate product fit, buyers, tariffs, standards, logistics, pricing, competition, and the depth of product-level history before pursuing the route.

## Method

The signal is a calculated research indicator based on available reported trade observations. It is not a confirmed order, sales forecast, or guarantee of market entry. Validate buyers, tariffs, standards, logistics, pricing, and competition before acting.

## Data sources

- Primary trade series: OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-09-02). [OECD Data Explorer](https://data-explorer.oecd.org/) - [OECD Terms & Conditions](https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/)
- CEPII BACI bilateral trade flows (202601): [dataset page](https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37) - [BACI documentation](https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html) - [Etalab 2.0 Open Licence](https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf)

This page presents derived Yugalinks views of reported observations and calculated indicators.