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"summary": "The signal points to a newly observed exporter-to-buyer relationship in the available reporting. It is a prompt for market research, not a forecast, order, or guarantee of commercial access.", "reportedMarket": { "buyerMarket": "QAT", "imports": "$2.2B", "year": 2024, "annualChange": "-2.9%" }, "exporterPosition": { "exporter": "Armenia", "routeExports": "$10.6K", "currentShare": "0.0%" } }, "signal": { "title": "A new relationship in the reported trade view", "type": "New corridor", "strength": "80/100", "reportedPeriod": 2024, "marketMomentum": "+0.0%", "availableProductHistoryYears": "1" }, "market": { "latestImports": "$2.2B", "projectionThreeYears": "$3.1B", "supplierCount": "47", "averageImports": "$721.1M", "historicalPeak": "$2.3B", "fullHistoryGrowth": "+11.7%", "latestAnnualChange": "-2.9%" }, "competition": { "topSupplier": { "country": "ARE", "iso3": "ARE", "share": "27.4%" }, "marketConcentrationHhi": "1,623", "exporterShare": "0.0%", "shareGap": "27.4%" }, "access": { "appliedTariff": "Not reported", "mfnTariff": "Not reported", "preferentialTariff": "Not reported", "distance": "1,786 km", "tradeAgreement": "Not reported", "businessEntryTime": "8.7 days", "sharedSpokenLanguageScore": "0" }, "economy": { "gdpPerPerson": "$61.3K", "gdpPerPersonGrowth": "+5.9%", "populationThousands": "2,931", "gdp": "$179.6B", "gdpFiveYearCagr": "Not reported", "investmentRate": "35.7%", "savingsRate": "64.8%" }, "evidence": { "productHistory": [ { "year": 2024, "export_value_usd": 10578.830135795119, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null } ], "routeHistory": [ { "year": 1995, "export_value_usd": 9406.110201973792, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "export_value_usd": 20031.09110182792, "yoy_growth_pct": 112.95828638733751, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "export_value_usd": 21067.976843620738, "yoy_growth_pct": 5.176381738377689, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "export_value_usd": 21109.1857719077, "yoy_growth_pct": 0.19559983662806868, "cagr_3y_pct": 30.92436406673238 }, { "year": 1999, "export_value_usd": 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It is a research prompt, not a guarantee of demand or sales." }, { "question": "Is the market opportunity reported trade?", "answer": "Reported buyer imports and exporter share are observations. Any projection or share-gap measure is calculated from the available data and should not be treated as an order or forecast." }, { "question": "What should exporters check next?", "answer": "Validate product fit, buyers, tariffs, standards, logistics, pricing, competition, and the depth of product-level history before pursuing the route." } ], "dataSources": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-09-02)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-09-02", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. 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Validate buyers, tariffs, standards, logistics, pricing, and competition before acting.", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology" }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-09-02)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-09-02", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. 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