# ARG to Indonesia + Timor-Leste HS 290511 new corridor signal

This page reviews a reported new-corridor signal for alcohols: saturated monohydric, methanol (methyl alcohol). It separates reported trade observations from calculated indicators and access context.

## Signal summary

- Signal type: New corridor
- Signal strength: 80/100
- Reported period: 2024
- Buyer market imports: $339.5M
- Buyer market growth: +18.6%
- Current exporter share: 0.0%
- Share gap: 46.3%

## What the signal means

The signal points to a newly observed exporter-to-buyer relationship in the available reporting. It is a prompt for market research, not a forecast, order, or guarantee of commercial access. Compare demand, suppliers, access, and route history together before acting.

## Market opportunity

- Latest buyer imports: $339.5M
- Three-year buyer-import projection: $411.1M
- Supplier countries observed: 21
- Average buyer imports: $108.1M
- Historical buyer-import peak: $374.6M
- Full-history buyer-import CAGR: +6.6%
- Latest buyer-import annual change: +18.6%

## Competition landscape

- Top supplier: Malaysia
- Top supplier share: 46.3%
- Market concentration: 2,917
- Exporter share: 0.0%
- Share gap to peer benchmark: 46.3%

## Access profile

- Applied tariff: Not reported
- MFN tariff: Not reported
- Preferential tariff: Not reported
- Approximate distance: 15,236 km
- Trade agreement: Not reported
- Business entry time: 12.6 days
- Shared spoken language score: 0

## Buyer economy

- GDP per person: $4.3K
- GDP per-person growth: +20.1%
- Population: 276,362k
- GDP: $1.2T
- GDP five-year CAGR: Not reported
- Investment rate: 30.1%
- Savings rate: 32.6%

## Product-level history

| Year | Product exports | Year-on-year |
| ---: | ---: | ---: |
| 2024 | $9.8K | +0.0% |

## Broader route context

Broader ARG to Indonesia + Timor-Leste route exports provide route context only; they are not presented as HS 290511 product-level trade.

| Year | Route exports | Year-on-year |
| ---: | ---: | ---: |
| 1995 | $189.9M | +0.0% |
| 1996 | $209.7M | +10.5% |
| 1997 | $191.4M | -8.7% |
| 1998 | $59.7M | -68.8% |
| 1999 | $69.2M | +16.0% |
| 2000 | $76.7M | +10.8% |
| 2001 | $36.2M | -52.8% |
| 2002 | $72.6M | +100.8% |
| 2003 | $69.5M | -4.3% |
| 2004 | $274.6M | +295.2% |
| 2005 | $358.8M | +30.7% |
| 2006 | $325.1M | -9.4% |
| 2007 | $411.8M | +26.7% |
| 2008 | $489.1M | +18.8% |
| 2009 | $597.0M | +22.1% |
| 2010 | $844.7M | +41.5% |
| 2011 | $1.4B | +65.5% |
| 2012 | $1.6B | +11.3% |
| 2013 | $1.5B | -4.4% |
| 2014 | $1.3B | -13.8% |
| 2015 | $1.1B | -12.7% |
| 2016 | $1.2B | +10.2% |
| 2017 | $1.1B | -14.7% |
| 2018 | $1.3B | +21.9% |
| 2019 | $1.6B | +26.2% |
| 2020 | $1.4B | -10.6% |
| 2021 | $1.8B | +26.5% |
| 2022 | $2.1B | +15.4% |
| 2023 | $1.1B | -46.5% |
| 2024 | $1.3B | +14.4% |

## Related new-corridor signals

| Exporter to buyer | Product | Signal type | Buyer imports | Page |
| --- | --- | --- | ---: | --- |
| ARG to PAN | HS 270900 | New corridor | $13.1B | [Review this signal](https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/arg-pan-270900) |
| ARG to India | HS 271112 | New corridor | $5.7B | [Review this signal](https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/arg-ind-271112) |
| ARG to India | HS 271113 | New corridor | $5.4B | [Review this signal](https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/arg-ind-271113) |
| ARG to Russian Federation | HS 841191 | New corridor | $2.5B | [Review this signal](https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/arg-rus-841191) |
| ARG to Germany | HS 870423 | New corridor | $2.4B | [Review this signal](https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/arg-deu-870423) |
| ARG to Saudi Arabia | HS 711319 | New corridor | $1.8B | [Review this signal](https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/arg-sau-711319) |
| ARG to KOR | HS 260700 | New corridor | $1.7B | [Review this signal](https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/arg-kor-260700) |
| ARG to Japan | HS 950450 | New corridor | $1.6B | [Review this signal](https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/arg-jpn-950450) |

## Frequently asked questions

### What does a new corridor signal mean?

It identifies an exporter, buyer market, and HS6 combination included in the available new-corridor signal set for 2024. It is a research prompt, not a guarantee of demand or sales.

### Is the market opportunity reported trade?

Reported buyer imports and exporter share are observations. Any projection or share-gap measure is calculated from the available data and should not be treated as an order or forecast.

### What should exporters check next?

Validate product fit, buyers, tariffs, standards, logistics, pricing, competition, and the depth of product-level history before pursuing the route.

## Method

The signal is a calculated research indicator based on available reported trade observations. It is not a confirmed order, sales forecast, or guarantee of market entry. Validate buyers, tariffs, standards, logistics, pricing, and competition before acting.

## Data sources

- Primary trade series: OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-09-02). [OECD Data Explorer](https://data-explorer.oecd.org/) - [OECD Terms & Conditions](https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/)
- CEPII BACI bilateral trade flows (202601): [dataset page](https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37) - [BACI documentation](https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html) - [Etalab 2.0 Open Licence](https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf)

This page presents derived Yugalinks views of reported observations and calculated indicators.