# ARE to Russian Federation HS 180310 new corridor signal

This page reviews a reported new-corridor signal for cocoa: paste, not defatted. It separates reported trade observations from calculated indicators and access context.

## Signal summary

- Signal type: New corridor
- Signal strength: 100/100
- Reported period: 2024
- Buyer market imports: $148.2M
- Buyer market growth: +112.6%
- Current exporter share: 0.1%
- Share gap: 39.2%

## What the signal means

The signal points to a newly observed exporter-to-buyer relationship in the available reporting. It is a prompt for market research, not a forecast, order, or guarantee of commercial access. Compare demand, suppliers, access, and route history together before acting.

## Market opportunity

- Latest buyer imports: $148.2M
- Three-year buyer-import projection: $251.6M
- Supplier countries observed: 24
- Average buyer imports: $72.8M
- Historical buyer-import peak: $155.8M
- Full-history buyer-import CAGR: +19.3%
- Latest buyer-import annual change: +112.6%

## Competition landscape

- Top supplier: NLD
- Top supplier share: 39.2%
- Market concentration: 2,317
- Exporter share: 0.1%
- Share gap to peer benchmark: 39.2%

## Access profile

- Applied tariff: Not reported
- MFN tariff: Not reported
- Preferential tariff: Not reported
- Approximate distance: 3,739 km
- Trade agreement: Not reported
- Business entry time: 10.1 days
- Shared spoken language score: 0

## Buyer economy

- GDP per person: $12.4K
- GDP per-person growth: +7.4%
- Population: 143,446k
- GDP: $1.8T
- GDP five-year CAGR: Not reported
- Investment rate: 22.5%
- Savings rate: 28.2%

## Product-level history

| Year | Product exports | Year-on-year |
| ---: | ---: | ---: |
| 2024 | $95.1K | +0.0% |

## Broader route context

Broader ARE to Russian Federation route exports provide route context only; they are not presented as HS 180310 product-level trade.

| Year | Route exports | Year-on-year |
| ---: | ---: | ---: |
| 1996 | $15.3M | +0.0% |
| 1997 | $14.8M | -3.7% |
| 1998 | $17.9M | +21.2% |
| 1999 | $48.5M | +170.8% |
| 2000 | $83.2M | +71.6% |
| 2001 | $72.6M | -12.7% |
| 2002 | $151.4M | +108.5% |
| 2003 | $133.1M | -12.1% |
| 2004 | $138.4M | +4.0% |
| 2005 | $127.3M | -8.1% |
| 2006 | $312.8M | +145.8% |
| 2007 | $152.4M | -51.3% |
| 2008 | $142.2M | -6.7% |
| 2009 | $147.4M | +3.7% |
| 2010 | $137.5M | -6.7% |
| 2011 | $194.4M | +41.3% |
| 2012 | $302.2M | +55.5% |
| 2013 | $321.7M | +6.5% |
| 2014 | $453.3M | +40.9% |
| 2015 | $358.3M | -20.9% |
| 2016 | $279.2M | -22.1% |
| 2017 | $373.5M | +33.8% |
| 2018 | $492.3M | +31.8% |
| 2019 | $439.3M | -10.8% |
| 2020 | $402.8M | -8.3% |
| 2021 | $604.5M | +50.1% |
| 2022 | $1.6B | +157.3% |
| 2023 | $2.5B | +62.5% |
| 2024 | $4.4B | +75.3% |

## Related new-corridor signals

| Exporter to buyer | Product | Signal type | Buyer imports | Page |
| --- | --- | --- | ---: | --- |
| ARE to Philippines | HS 270119 | New corridor | $2.7B | [Review this signal](https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/are-phl-270119) |
| ARE to USA, Puerto Rico and US Virgin Islands | HS 441012 | New corridor | $2.1B | [Review this signal](https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/are-usa-441012) |
| ARE to CHN | HS 440321 | New corridor | $1.8B | [Review this signal](https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/are-chn-440321) |
| ARE to Italy | HS 870360 | New corridor | $1.7B | [Review this signal](https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/are-ita-870360) |
| ARE to Poland | HS 870120 | New corridor | $1.6B | [Review this signal](https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/are-pol-870120) |
| ARE to CHN | HS 440711 | New corridor | $1.3B | [Review this signal](https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/are-chn-440711) |
| ARE to Taiwan | HS 270119 | New corridor | $1.3B | [Review this signal](https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/are-twn-270119) |
| ARE to Italy | HS 120190 | New corridor | $1.2B | [Review this signal](https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/are-ita-120190) |

## Frequently asked questions

### What does a new corridor signal mean?

It identifies an exporter, buyer market, and HS6 combination included in the available new-corridor signal set for 2024. It is a research prompt, not a guarantee of demand or sales.

### Is the market opportunity reported trade?

Reported buyer imports and exporter share are observations. Any projection or share-gap measure is calculated from the available data and should not be treated as an order or forecast.

### What should exporters check next?

Validate product fit, buyers, tariffs, standards, logistics, pricing, competition, and the depth of product-level history before pursuing the route.

## Method

The signal is a calculated research indicator based on available reported trade observations. It is not a confirmed order, sales forecast, or guarantee of market entry. Validate buyers, tariffs, standards, logistics, pricing, and competition before acting.

## Data sources

- Primary trade series: OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-09-02). [OECD Data Explorer](https://data-explorer.oecd.org/) - [OECD Terms & Conditions](https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/)
- CEPII BACI bilateral trade flows (202601): [dataset page](https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37) - [BACI documentation](https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html) - [Etalab 2.0 Open Licence](https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf)

This page presents derived Yugalinks views of reported observations and calculated indicators.