# Afghanistan to Uzbekistan HS 271012 new corridor signal

This page reviews a reported new-corridor signal for hs 271012. It separates reported trade observations from calculated indicators and access context.

## Signal summary

- Signal type: New corridor
- Signal strength: 96/100
- Reported period: 2024
- Buyer market imports: $521.0M
- Buyer market growth: +19.8%
- Current exporter share: 0.0%
- Share gap: 92.7%

## What the signal means

The signal points to a newly observed exporter-to-buyer relationship in the available reporting. It is a prompt for market research, not a forecast, order, or guarantee of commercial access. Compare demand, suppliers, access, and route history together before acting.

## Market opportunity

- Latest buyer imports: $521.0M
- Three-year buyer-import projection: $987.2M
- Supplier countries observed: 24
- Average buyer imports: $67.7M
- Historical buyer-import peak: $521.0M
- Full-history buyer-import CAGR: +23.7%
- Latest buyer-import annual change: +19.8%

## Competition landscape

- Top supplier: Russian Federation
- Top supplier share: 92.7%
- Market concentration: 8,609
- Exporter share: 0.0%
- Share gap to peer benchmark: 92.7%

## Access profile

- Applied tariff: Not reported
- MFN tariff: Not reported
- Preferential tariff: Not reported
- Approximate distance: 751 km
- Trade agreement: Not reported
- Business entry time: 3 days
- Shared spoken language score: 0.1

## Buyer economy

- GDP per person: $2.0K
- GDP per-person growth: +16.1%
- Population: 34,915k
- GDP: $69.2B
- GDP five-year CAGR: Not reported
- Investment rate: 26.5%
- Savings rate: 26.2%

## Product-level history

| Year | Product exports | Year-on-year |
| ---: | ---: | ---: |
| 2024 | $65.8K | +0.0% |

## Broader route context

Broader Afghanistan to Uzbekistan route exports provide route context only; they are not presented as HS 271012 product-level trade.

| Year | Route exports | Year-on-year |
| ---: | ---: | ---: |
| 2003 | $233.2K | +0.0% |
| 2004 | $516.6K | +121.5% |
| 2005 | $578.9K | +12.1% |
| 2006 | $525.4K | -9.2% |
| 2007 | $458.3K | -12.8% |
| 2008 | $874.5K | +90.8% |
| 2009 | $711.7K | -18.6% |
| 2010 | $398.3K | -44.0% |
| 2011 | $147.7K | -62.9% |
| 2012 | $1.1M | +646.8% |
| 2013 | $1.2M | +9.3% |
| 2014 | $1.1M | -5.4% |
| 2015 | $1.3M | +16.3% |
| 2016 | $1.4M | +8.5% |
| 2017 | $1.6M | +7.8% |
| 2018 | $2.0M | +28.5% |
| 2019 | $2.5M | +24.4% |
| 2020 | $1.8M | -27.0% |
| 2021 | $5.4M | +197.9% |
| 2022 | $6.9M | +28.0% |
| 2023 | $8.1M | +17.5% |
| 2024 | $36.3M | +347.2% |

## Related new-corridor signals

| Exporter to buyer | Product | Signal type | Buyer imports | Page |
| --- | --- | --- | ---: | --- |
| Afghanistan to GBR | HS 271019 | New corridor | $20.4B | [Review this signal](https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/afg-gbr-271019) |
| Afghanistan to China, Hong Kong SAR | HS 711319 | New corridor | $17.0B | [Review this signal](https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/afg-hkg-711319) |
| Afghanistan to ARE | HS 841191 | New corridor | $12.3B | [Review this signal](https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/afg-are-841191) |
| Afghanistan to France | HS 870322 | New corridor | $8.9B | [Review this signal](https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/afg-fra-870322) |
| Afghanistan to France | HS 870380 | New corridor | $7.5B | [Review this signal](https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/afg-fra-870380) |
| Afghanistan to USA, Puerto Rico and US Virgin Islands | HS 842139 | New corridor | $6.1B | [Review this signal](https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/afg-usa-842139) |
| Afghanistan to GBR | HS 300215 | New corridor | $5.7B | [Review this signal](https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/afg-gbr-300215) |
| Afghanistan to Poland | HS 271019 | New corridor | $5.6B | [Review this signal](https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/new-corridor/afg-pol-271019) |

## Frequently asked questions

### What does a new corridor signal mean?

It identifies an exporter, buyer market, and HS6 combination included in the available new-corridor signal set for 2024. It is a research prompt, not a guarantee of demand or sales.

### Is the market opportunity reported trade?

Reported buyer imports and exporter share are observations. Any projection or share-gap measure is calculated from the available data and should not be treated as an order or forecast.

### What should exporters check next?

Validate product fit, buyers, tariffs, standards, logistics, pricing, competition, and the depth of product-level history before pursuing the route.

## Method

The signal is a calculated research indicator based on available reported trade observations. It is not a confirmed order, sales forecast, or guarantee of market entry. Validate buyers, tariffs, standards, logistics, pricing, and competition before acting.

## Data sources

- Primary trade series: OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-09-02). [OECD Data Explorer](https://data-explorer.oecd.org/) - [OECD Terms & Conditions](https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/)
- CEPII BACI bilateral trade flows (202601): [dataset page](https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37) - [BACI documentation](https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html) - [Etalab 2.0 Open Licence](https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf)

This page presents derived Yugalinks views of reported observations and calculated indicators.