{
  "template": "corridor-anomaly-watch",
  "templateName": "Trade anomaly page",
  "source": "api",
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks",
    "logo": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/yugalinks-logo-v3-dark-mode.webp"
  },
  "seo": {
    "title": "Serbia to TUR trade anomaly | HS 100590 | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Reported trade anomaly for Serbia to TUR in cereals (HS 100590), with anomaly severity, market value, history, and context.",
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/anomaly/srb-tur-100590",
    "robots": "index, follow"
  },
  "breadcrumbs": [
    {
      "name": "Home",
      "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com/"
    },
    {
      "name": "Trade data",
      "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/"
    },
    {
      "name": "Trade anomalies",
      "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/anomaly/"
    },
    {
      "name": "SRB-TUR HS 100590",
      "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/anomaly/srb-tur-100590"
    }
  ],
  "sections": [
    "overview",
    "history",
    "context",
    "related-movements",
    "faq",
    "data-source"
  ],
  "anomaly": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "SRB",
    "importer_iso3": "TUR",
    "hs_code": "100590",
    "market_imports_usd": 996457210.3430585,
    "momentum_yoy_pct": 23105363.36274225,
    "anomaly_z_score": 3.8729825787629824,
    "anomaly_type": "spike",
    "anomaly_severity": "96.82456446907456",
    "new_corridor_signal_type": "",
    "new_corridor_signal_strength": 0
  },
  "opportunity": {
    "exporter_iso3": "SRB",
    "importer_iso3": "TUR",
    "hs_code": "100590",
    "hs_description": "Cereals: maize (corn), other than seed",
    "hs_chapter": "10",
    "hs_heading": "1005",
    "price_range_label": "Medium price range",
    "trade_type_label": "One-way trade",
    "substitution_elasticity": -5.3350382,
    "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 996457210.3430586,
    "buyer_imports_avg_usd": 301637348.7053636,
    "buyer_imports_peak_usd": 996457210.3430586,
    "buyer_cagr_full_pct": 9.2921,
    "buyer_yoy_avg_pct": 121.1948,
    "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": 88.6816,
    "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 62.069,
    "buyer_imports_proj_3y_usd": 1300844217.62,
    "buyer_imports_proj_5y_usd": 1553828377.38,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": null,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": null,
    "buyer_population_latest": null,
    "buyer_investment_rate": null,
    "buyer_savings_rate": null,
    "buyer_edu_secondary": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2030_proj": null,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2030_proj": null,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_growth_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_growth_pct": null,
    "buyer_pop_growth_pct": null,
    "exports_latest_usd": 4535602.458106304,
    "exports_avg_usd": 10100209.568846682,
    "exports_peak_usd": 60060856.861342244,
    "share_latest_pct": 0.45517282739564846,
    "share_avg_pct": 2.6777893903220003,
    "share_peak_pct": 12.488876198717739,
    "share_change_1y_pp": 0.4551691104077218,
    "share_trend_pp_per_yr": 0.013188,
    "cagr_full_pct": 36.2442,
    "yoy_avg_pct": 1445175.1135,
    "yoy_latest_pct": 23105363.3627,
    "trend_consistency_pct": 56.25,
    "exports_proj_3y_usd": 8858598.55,
    "exports_proj_5y_usd": 13841560.24,
    "your_share_gap_pp": 57.1203,
    "addressable_proj_3y_usd": 743046506.52,
    "addressable_proj_5y_usd": 887551892.77,
    "peer_best_share_pct": 57.57550256847418,
    "peer_top_exporter": "UKR",
    "num_suppliers_latest": 25,
    "buyer_herfindahl_index": 4192.97,
    "distance_km": null,
    "shares_official_language": null,
    "common_spoken_language_score": null,
    "has_wto_reported_fta": null,
    "buyer_is_eu_member": null,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": null,
    "shared_legal_system": null,
    "shared_religion": null,
    "shares_land_border": null,
    "buyer_is_wto_member": null,
    "lane_volatility_cv": 1.384083897305491,
    "lane_max_drawdown_pct": 99.99996731648359,
    "signal_flag": "Accelerating",
    "lane_data_years": 17,
    "lane_last_year": 2024
  },
  "lane": {
    "exporter_iso3": "SRB",
    "importer_iso3": "TUR",
    "hs_code": "100590",
    "hs_description": "Cereals: maize (corn), other than seed",
    "hs_chapter": "10",
    "hs_heading": "1005",
    "price_range_label": "Medium price range",
    "trade_type_label": "One-way trade",
    "substitution_elasticity": -5.3350382,
    "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 996457210.3430586,
    "buyer_imports_avg_usd": 301637348.7053636,
    "buyer_imports_peak_usd": 996457210.3430586,
    "buyer_cagr_full_pct": 9.2921,
    "buyer_yoy_avg_pct": 121.1948,
    "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": 88.6816,
    "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 62.069,
    "buyer_imports_proj_3y_usd": 1300844217.62,
    "buyer_imports_proj_5y_usd": 1553828377.38,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": null,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": null,
    "buyer_population_latest": null,
    "buyer_investment_rate": null,
    "buyer_savings_rate": null,
    "buyer_edu_secondary": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2030_proj": null,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2030_proj": null,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_growth_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_growth_pct": null,
    "buyer_pop_growth_pct": null,
    "exports_latest_usd": 4535602.458106304,
    "exports_avg_usd": 10100209.568846682,
    "exports_peak_usd": 60060856.861342244,
    "share_latest_pct": 0.45517282739564846,
    "share_avg_pct": 2.6777893903220003,
    "share_peak_pct": 12.488876198717739,
    "share_change_1y_pp": 0.4551691104077218,
    "share_trend_pp_per_yr": 0.013188,
    "cagr_full_pct": 36.2442,
    "yoy_avg_pct": 1445175.1135,
    "yoy_latest_pct": 23105363.3627,
    "trend_consistency_pct": 56.25,
    "exports_proj_3y_usd": 8858598.55,
    "exports_proj_5y_usd": 13841560.24,
    "your_share_gap_pp": 57.1203,
    "addressable_proj_3y_usd": 743046506.52,
    "addressable_proj_5y_usd": 887551892.77,
    "peer_best_share_pct": 57.57550256847418,
    "peer_top_exporter": "UKR",
    "num_suppliers_latest": 25,
    "buyer_herfindahl_index": 4192.97,
    "distance_km": null,
    "shares_official_language": null,
    "common_spoken_language_score": null,
    "has_wto_reported_fta": null,
    "buyer_is_eu_member": null,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": null,
    "shared_legal_system": null,
    "shared_religion": null,
    "shares_land_border": null,
    "buyer_is_wto_member": null,
    "lane_volatility_cv": 1.384083897305491,
    "lane_max_drawdown_pct": 99.99996731648359,
    "signal_flag": "Accelerating",
    "lane_data_years": 17,
    "lane_last_year": 2024,
    "access_data_year": 2024,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 6.971825898533332,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 9.256978245925925,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 3.344429201525926,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": 5.912549044399999,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": 2,
    "buyer_macro_latest_year": 2024,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 11.86543006803118,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 11.08568690227736,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0.7019294631897877,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 27.79,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 23.340000000000003,
    "current_below_peak_usd": 55525254.40323594,
    "current_below_peak_pct": 92.44832209341054,
    "latest_vs_historical_avg_pct": -55.0939767418686,
    "share_change_all_pp": 0.224196,
    "volatility_label": "Highly volatile",
    "drawdown_label": "Still more than 50% below historical peak",
    "competition_label": "Concentrated buyer market",
    "demand_label": "Buyer demand stable or growing",
    "access_label": "Standard market access",
    "macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "concentrated_buyer_market",
      "dominant_supplier"
    ],
    "risk_driver_count": 4,
    "attention_level": "High attention",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak"
  },
  "routeHistory": [
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "SRB",
      "importer_iso3": "TUR",
      "hs_code": "100590",
      "export_value_usd": 17334.522234808424,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "SRB",
      "importer_iso3": "TUR",
      "hs_code": "100590",
      "export_value_usd": 2556875.2044683504,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 14650.191380146845,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "SRB",
      "importer_iso3": "TUR",
      "hs_code": "100590",
      "export_value_usd": 1867561.7382315118,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -26.959214318798452,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "SRB",
      "importer_iso3": "TUR",
      "hs_code": "100590",
      "export_value_usd": 3439342.405883251,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 84.16217978100889,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 483.2496847033446
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "SRB",
      "importer_iso3": "TUR",
      "hs_code": "100590",
      "export_value_usd": 3828684.2211395344,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 11.32024001420402,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 14.405439095419803
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "SRB",
      "importer_iso3": "TUR",
      "hs_code": "100590",
      "export_value_usd": 1045498.43704088,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -72.69300948695874,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -17.58312562565907
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "SRB",
      "importer_iso3": "TUR",
      "hs_code": "100590",
      "export_value_usd": 18857867.272878125,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 1703.7202739635245,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 76.3352157100368
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "SRB",
      "importer_iso3": "TUR",
      "hs_code": "100590",
      "export_value_usd": 19291854.852203112,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 2.301360875252101,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 71.43841613852699
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "SRB",
      "importer_iso3": "TUR",
      "hs_code": "100590",
      "export_value_usd": 9406586.648910016,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -51.240631235436695,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 107.98701601499499
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "SRB",
      "importer_iso3": "TUR",
      "hs_code": "100590",
      "export_value_usd": 60060856.861342244,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 538.4978856097792,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 47.129462940413426
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "SRB",
      "importer_iso3": "TUR",
      "hs_code": "100590",
      "export_value_usd": 1857759.5381313274,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -96.90687140474837,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -54.16416247146809
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "SRB",
      "importer_iso3": "TUR",
      "hs_code": "100590",
      "export_value_usd": 17854483.84440124,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 861.076149949988,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 23.8145679257187
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "SRB",
      "importer_iso3": "TUR",
      "hs_code": "100590",
      "export_value_usd": 9125833.927501664,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -48.88771914645229,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -46.63862492102978
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "SRB",
      "importer_iso3": "TUR",
      "hs_code": "100590",
      "export_value_usd": 10978261.46596385,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 20.29872067778595,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 80.79289403195793
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "SRB",
      "importer_iso3": "TUR",
      "hs_code": "100590",
      "export_value_usd": 6979139.641957386,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -36.427642358537646,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -26.883028255881115
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "SRB",
      "importer_iso3": "TUR",
      "hs_code": "100590",
      "export_value_usd": 19.630000000000003,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -99.99971873323923,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -98.70912978713565
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "SRB",
      "importer_iso3": "TUR",
      "hs_code": "100590",
      "export_value_usd": 4535602.458106304,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 23105363.36274225,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -25.52100564650309
    }
  ],
  "corridorHistory": [
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "SRB",
      "importer_iso3": "TUR",
      "export_value_usd": 44113915.44639782,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null,
      "distance_km": 811,
      "capital_distance_km": 1155,
      "shares_land_border": 0,
      "shares_official_language": 0,
      "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
      "shared_religion": null,
      "shared_legal_system": 1,
      "shared_colonial_history": 0,
      "has_fta": 1,
      "rta_coverage_ratio": 2,
      "exporter_is_wto": 0,
      "importer_is_wto": 1,
      "exporter_is_eu": 0,
      "importer_is_eu": 0,
      "importer_gdp_million_usd": 815271.751724,
      "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 9586.612900959013,
      "importer_population": 85042.732,
      "importer_biz_entry_days": 7,
      "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 6,
      "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 63068.134601000005,
      "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 9214.993546391494,
      "diplomatic_disagreement": 0.049304424420360135,
      "scientific_collaboration": 0.04681041246814627,
      "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 6.971825898533332,
      "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 9.256978245925925,
      "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 3.344429201525926,
      "tariff_advantage_pp": 5.912549044399999
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "SRB",
      "importer_iso3": "TUR",
      "export_value_usd": 66293511.623221405,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 50.27800400935549,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null,
      "distance_km": 811,
      "capital_distance_km": 1155,
      "shares_land_border": 0,
      "shares_official_language": 0,
      "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
      "shared_religion": null,
      "shared_legal_system": 1,
      "shared_colonial_history": 0,
      "has_fta": 1,
      "rta_coverage_ratio": 2,
      "exporter_is_wto": 0,
      "importer_is_wto": 1,
      "exporter_is_eu": 0,
      "importer_is_eu": 0,
      "importer_gdp_million_usd": 815271.751724,
      "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 9586.612900959013,
      "importer_population": 85042.732,
      "importer_biz_entry_days": 7,
      "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 6,
      "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 63068.134601000005,
      "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 9214.993546391494,
      "diplomatic_disagreement": 0.049304424420360135,
      "scientific_collaboration": 0.04681041246814627,
      "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 6.971825898533332,
      "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 9.256978245925925,
      "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 3.344429201525926,
      "tariff_advantage_pp": 5.912549044399999
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "SRB",
      "importer_iso3": "TUR",
      "export_value_usd": 58306261.88045251,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -12.048312945261308,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null,
      "distance_km": 811,
      "capital_distance_km": 1155,
      "shares_land_border": 0,
      "shares_official_language": 0,
      "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
      "shared_religion": null,
      "shared_legal_system": 1,
      "shared_colonial_history": 0,
      "has_fta": 1,
      "rta_coverage_ratio": 2,
      "exporter_is_wto": 0,
      "importer_is_wto": 1,
      "exporter_is_eu": 0,
      "importer_is_eu": 0,
      "importer_gdp_million_usd": 815271.751724,
      "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 9586.612900959013,
      "importer_population": 85042.732,
      "importer_biz_entry_days": 7,
      "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 6,
      "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 63068.134601000005,
      "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 9214.993546391494,
      "diplomatic_disagreement": 0.049304424420360135,
      "scientific_collaboration": 0.04681041246814627,
      "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 6.971825898533332,
      "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 9.256978245925925,
      "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 3.344429201525926,
      "tariff_advantage_pp": 5.912549044399999
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "SRB",
      "importer_iso3": "TUR",
      "export_value_usd": 60672637.88696503,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 4.058528072618306,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 11.208783556958224,
      "distance_km": 811,
      "capital_distance_km": 1155,
      "shares_land_border": 0,
      "shares_official_language": 0,
      "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
      "shared_religion": null,
      "shared_legal_system": 1,
      "shared_colonial_history": 0,
      "has_fta": 1,
      "rta_coverage_ratio": 2,
      "exporter_is_wto": 0,
      "importer_is_wto": 1,
      "exporter_is_eu": 0,
      "importer_is_eu": 0,
      "importer_gdp_million_usd": 815271.751724,
      "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 9586.612900959013,
      "importer_population": 85042.732,
      "importer_biz_entry_days": 7,
      "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 6,
      "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 63068.134601000005,
      "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 9214.993546391494,
      "diplomatic_disagreement": 0.049304424420360135,
      "scientific_collaboration": 0.04681041246814627,
      "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 6.971825898533332,
      "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 9.256978245925925,
      "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 3.344429201525926,
      "tariff_advantage_pp": 5.912549044399999
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "SRB",
      "importer_iso3": "TUR",
      "export_value_usd": 109818513.10076325,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 81.00171168650765,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 18.322729145174055,
      "distance_km": 811,
      "capital_distance_km": 1155,
      "shares_land_border": 0,
      "shares_official_language": 0,
      "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
      "shared_religion": null,
      "shared_legal_system": 1,
      "shared_colonial_history": 0,
      "has_fta": 1,
      "rta_coverage_ratio": 2,
      "exporter_is_wto": 0,
      "importer_is_wto": 1,
      "exporter_is_eu": 0,
      "importer_is_eu": 0,
      "importer_gdp_million_usd": 815271.751724,
      "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 9586.612900959013,
      "importer_population": 85042.732,
      "importer_biz_entry_days": 7,
      "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 6,
      "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 63068.134601000005,
      "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 9214.993546391494,
      "diplomatic_disagreement": 0.049304424420360135,
      "scientific_collaboration": 0.04681041246814627,
      "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 6.971825898533332,
      "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 9.256978245925925,
      "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 3.344429201525926,
      "tariff_advantage_pp": 5.912549044399999
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "SRB",
      "importer_iso3": "TUR",
      "export_value_usd": 202479582.51050538,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 84.37654708065622,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 51.433518311307225,
      "distance_km": 811,
      "capital_distance_km": 1155,
      "shares_land_border": 0,
      "shares_official_language": 0,
      "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
      "shared_religion": null,
      "shared_legal_system": 1,
      "shared_colonial_history": 0,
      "has_fta": 1,
      "rta_coverage_ratio": 2,
      "exporter_is_wto": 0,
      "importer_is_wto": 1,
      "exporter_is_eu": 0,
      "importer_is_eu": 0,
      "importer_gdp_million_usd": 815271.751724,
      "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 9586.612900959013,
      "importer_population": 85042.732,
      "importer_biz_entry_days": 7,
      "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 6,
      "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 63068.134601000005,
      "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 9214.993546391494,
      "diplomatic_disagreement": 0.049304424420360135,
      "scientific_collaboration": 0.04681041246814627,
      "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 6.971825898533332,
      "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 9.256978245925925,
      "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 3.344429201525926,
      "tariff_advantage_pp": 5.912549044399999
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "SRB",
      "importer_iso3": "TUR",
      "export_value_usd": 199452731.68928427,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -1.4948918719071669,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 48.69020850971522,
      "distance_km": 811,
      "capital_distance_km": 1155,
      "shares_land_border": 0,
      "shares_official_language": 0,
      "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
      "shared_religion": null,
      "shared_legal_system": 1,
      "shared_colonial_history": 0,
      "has_fta": 1,
      "rta_coverage_ratio": 2,
      "exporter_is_wto": 0,
      "importer_is_wto": 1,
      "exporter_is_eu": 0,
      "importer_is_eu": 0,
      "importer_gdp_million_usd": 815271.751724,
      "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 9586.612900959013,
      "importer_population": 85042.732,
      "importer_biz_entry_days": 7,
      "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 6,
      "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 63068.134601000005,
      "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 9214.993546391494,
      "diplomatic_disagreement": 0.049304424420360135,
      "scientific_collaboration": 0.04681041246814627,
      "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 6.971825898533332,
      "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 9.256978245925925,
      "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 3.344429201525926,
      "tariff_advantage_pp": 5.912549044399999
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "SRB",
      "importer_iso3": "TUR",
      "export_value_usd": 246960546.55961034,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 23.81908458608415,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 31.013889328520072,
      "distance_km": 811,
      "capital_distance_km": 1155,
      "shares_land_border": 0,
      "shares_official_language": 0,
      "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
      "shared_religion": null,
      "shared_legal_system": 1,
      "shared_colonial_history": 0,
      "has_fta": 1,
      "rta_coverage_ratio": 2,
      "exporter_is_wto": 0,
      "importer_is_wto": 1,
      "exporter_is_eu": 0,
      "importer_is_eu": 0,
      "importer_gdp_million_usd": 815271.751724,
      "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 9586.612900959013,
      "importer_population": 85042.732,
      "importer_biz_entry_days": 7,
      "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 6,
      "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 63068.134601000005,
      "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 9214.993546391494,
      "diplomatic_disagreement": 0.049304424420360135,
      "scientific_collaboration": 0.04681041246814627,
      "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 6.971825898533332,
      "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 9.256978245925925,
      "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 3.344429201525926,
      "tariff_advantage_pp": 5.912549044399999
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "SRB",
      "importer_iso3": "TUR",
      "export_value_usd": 306101891.96668637,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 23.947689714397647,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 14.769967609691603,
      "distance_km": 811,
      "capital_distance_km": 1155,
      "shares_land_border": 0,
      "shares_official_language": 0,
      "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
      "shared_religion": null,
      "shared_legal_system": 1,
      "shared_colonial_history": 0,
      "has_fta": 1,
      "rta_coverage_ratio": 2,
      "exporter_is_wto": 0,
      "importer_is_wto": 1,
      "exporter_is_eu": 0,
      "importer_is_eu": 0,
      "importer_gdp_million_usd": 815271.751724,
      "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 9586.612900959013,
      "importer_population": 85042.732,
      "importer_biz_entry_days": 7,
      "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 6,
      "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 63068.134601000005,
      "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 9214.993546391494,
      "diplomatic_disagreement": 0.049304424420360135,
      "scientific_collaboration": 0.04681041246814627,
      "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 6.971825898533332,
      "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 9.256978245925925,
      "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 3.344429201525926,
      "tariff_advantage_pp": 5.912549044399999
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "SRB",
      "importer_iso3": "TUR",
      "export_value_usd": 298987534.56821203,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -2.3241794922484793,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 14.446987201183404,
      "distance_km": 811,
      "capital_distance_km": 1155,
      "shares_land_border": 0,
      "shares_official_language": 0,
      "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
      "shared_religion": null,
      "shared_legal_system": 1,
      "shared_colonial_history": 0,
      "has_fta": 1,
      "rta_coverage_ratio": 2,
      "exporter_is_wto": 0,
      "importer_is_wto": 1,
      "exporter_is_eu": 0,
      "importer_is_eu": 0,
      "importer_gdp_million_usd": 815271.751724,
      "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 9586.612900959013,
      "importer_population": 85042.732,
      "importer_biz_entry_days": 7,
      "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 6,
      "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 63068.134601000005,
      "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 9214.993546391494,
      "diplomatic_disagreement": 0.049304424420360135,
      "scientific_collaboration": 0.04681041246814627,
      "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 6.971825898533332,
      "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 9.256978245925925,
      "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 3.344429201525926,
      "tariff_advantage_pp": 5.912549044399999
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "SRB",
      "importer_iso3": "TUR",
      "export_value_usd": 320526699.8987625,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 7.204034563399664,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 9.08010437497917,
      "distance_km": 811,
      "capital_distance_km": 1155,
      "shares_land_border": 0,
      "shares_official_language": 0,
      "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
      "shared_religion": null,
      "shared_legal_system": 1,
      "shared_colonial_history": 0,
      "has_fta": 1,
      "rta_coverage_ratio": 2,
      "exporter_is_wto": 0,
      "importer_is_wto": 1,
      "exporter_is_eu": 0,
      "importer_is_eu": 0,
      "importer_gdp_million_usd": 815271.751724,
      "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 9586.612900959013,
      "importer_population": 85042.732,
      "importer_biz_entry_days": 7,
      "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 6,
      "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 63068.134601000005,
      "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 9214.993546391494,
      "diplomatic_disagreement": 0.049304424420360135,
      "scientific_collaboration": 0.04681041246814627,
      "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 6.971825898533332,
      "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 9.256978245925925,
      "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 3.344429201525926,
      "tariff_advantage_pp": 5.912549044399999
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "SRB",
      "importer_iso3": "TUR",
      "export_value_usd": 417227388.07772297,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 30.16930826963966,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 10.875501806411725,
      "distance_km": 811,
      "capital_distance_km": 1155,
      "shares_land_border": 0,
      "shares_official_language": 0,
      "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
      "shared_religion": null,
      "shared_legal_system": 1,
      "shared_colonial_history": 0,
      "has_fta": 1,
      "rta_coverage_ratio": 2,
      "exporter_is_wto": 0,
      "importer_is_wto": 1,
      "exporter_is_eu": 0,
      "importer_is_eu": 0,
      "importer_gdp_million_usd": 815271.751724,
      "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 9586.612900959013,
      "importer_population": 85042.732,
      "importer_biz_entry_days": 7,
      "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 6,
      "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 63068.134601000005,
      "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 9214.993546391494,
      "diplomatic_disagreement": 0.049304424420360135,
      "scientific_collaboration": 0.04681041246814627,
      "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 6.971825898533332,
      "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 9.256978245925925,
      "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 3.344429201525926,
      "tariff_advantage_pp": 5.912549044399999
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "SRB",
      "importer_iso3": "TUR",
      "export_value_usd": 363490867.2209659,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -12.879432748730956,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 6.728434821941098,
      "distance_km": 811,
      "capital_distance_km": 1155,
      "shares_land_border": 0,
      "shares_official_language": 0,
      "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
      "shared_religion": null,
      "shared_legal_system": 1,
      "shared_colonial_history": 0,
      "has_fta": 1,
      "rta_coverage_ratio": 2,
      "exporter_is_wto": 0,
      "importer_is_wto": 1,
      "exporter_is_eu": 0,
      "importer_is_eu": 0,
      "importer_gdp_million_usd": 815271.751724,
      "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 9586.612900959013,
      "importer_population": 85042.732,
      "importer_biz_entry_days": 7,
      "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 6,
      "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 63068.134601000005,
      "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 9214.993546391494,
      "diplomatic_disagreement": 0.049304424420360135,
      "scientific_collaboration": 0.04681041246814627,
      "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 6.971825898533332,
      "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 9.256978245925925,
      "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 3.344429201525926,
      "tariff_advantage_pp": 5.912549044399999
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "SRB",
      "importer_iso3": "TUR",
      "export_value_usd": 388729062.7634189,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 6.943281886394881,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 6.641832611540632,
      "distance_km": 811,
      "capital_distance_km": 1155,
      "shares_land_border": 0,
      "shares_official_language": 0,
      "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
      "shared_religion": null,
      "shared_legal_system": 1,
      "shared_colonial_history": 0,
      "has_fta": 1,
      "rta_coverage_ratio": 2,
      "exporter_is_wto": 0,
      "importer_is_wto": 1,
      "exporter_is_eu": 0,
      "importer_is_eu": 0,
      "importer_gdp_million_usd": 815271.751724,
      "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 9586.612900959013,
      "importer_population": 85042.732,
      "importer_biz_entry_days": 7,
      "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 6,
      "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 63068.134601000005,
      "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 9214.993546391494,
      "diplomatic_disagreement": 0.049304424420360135,
      "scientific_collaboration": 0.04681041246814627,
      "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 6.971825898533332,
      "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 9.256978245925925,
      "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 3.344429201525926,
      "tariff_advantage_pp": 5.912549044399999
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "SRB",
      "importer_iso3": "TUR",
      "export_value_usd": 410899889.78008693,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 5.7034138016485825,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -0.5080968216778392,
      "distance_km": 811,
      "capital_distance_km": 1155,
      "shares_land_border": 0,
      "shares_official_language": 0,
      "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
      "shared_religion": null,
      "shared_legal_system": 1,
      "shared_colonial_history": 0,
      "has_fta": 1,
      "rta_coverage_ratio": 2,
      "exporter_is_wto": 0,
      "importer_is_wto": 1,
      "exporter_is_eu": 0,
      "importer_is_eu": 0,
      "importer_gdp_million_usd": 815271.751724,
      "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 9586.612900959013,
      "importer_population": 85042.732,
      "importer_biz_entry_days": 7,
      "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 6,
      "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 63068.134601000005,
      "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 9214.993546391494,
      "diplomatic_disagreement": 0.049304424420360135,
      "scientific_collaboration": 0.04681041246814627,
      "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 6.971825898533332,
      "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 9.256978245925925,
      "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 3.344429201525926,
      "tariff_advantage_pp": 5.912549044399999
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "SRB",
      "importer_iso3": "TUR",
      "export_value_usd": 400773919.3871665,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -2.464340011952748,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 3.3083240344196296,
      "distance_km": 811,
      "capital_distance_km": 1155,
      "shares_land_border": 0,
      "shares_official_language": 0,
      "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
      "shared_religion": null,
      "shared_legal_system": 1,
      "shared_colonial_history": 0,
      "has_fta": 1,
      "rta_coverage_ratio": 2,
      "exporter_is_wto": 0,
      "importer_is_wto": 1,
      "exporter_is_eu": 0,
      "importer_is_eu": 0,
      "importer_gdp_million_usd": 815271.751724,
      "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 9586.612900959013,
      "importer_population": 85042.732,
      "importer_biz_entry_days": 7,
      "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 6,
      "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 63068.134601000005,
      "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 9214.993546391494,
      "diplomatic_disagreement": 0.049304424420360135,
      "scientific_collaboration": 0.04681041246814627,
      "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 6.971825898533332,
      "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 9.256978245925925,
      "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 3.344429201525926,
      "tariff_advantage_pp": 5.912549044399999
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "SRB",
      "importer_iso3": "TUR",
      "export_value_usd": 522130029.5574676,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 30.280440991736633,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 10.334302405165063,
      "distance_km": 811,
      "capital_distance_km": 1155,
      "shares_land_border": 0,
      "shares_official_language": 0,
      "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
      "shared_religion": null,
      "shared_legal_system": 1,
      "shared_colonial_history": 0,
      "has_fta": 1,
      "rta_coverage_ratio": 2,
      "exporter_is_wto": 0,
      "importer_is_wto": 1,
      "exporter_is_eu": 0,
      "importer_is_eu": 0,
      "importer_gdp_million_usd": 815271.751724,
      "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 9586.612900959013,
      "importer_population": 85042.732,
      "importer_biz_entry_days": 7,
      "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 6,
      "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 63068.134601000005,
      "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 9214.993546391494,
      "diplomatic_disagreement": 0.049304424420360135,
      "scientific_collaboration": 0.04681041246814627,
      "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 6.971825898533332,
      "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 9.256978245925925,
      "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 3.344429201525926,
      "tariff_advantage_pp": 5.912549044399999
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "SRB",
      "importer_iso3": "TUR",
      "export_value_usd": 648188126.7967712,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 24.14304677058019,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 16.409479915560034,
      "distance_km": 811,
      "capital_distance_km": 1155,
      "shares_land_border": 0,
      "shares_official_language": 0,
      "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
      "shared_religion": null,
      "shared_legal_system": 1,
      "shared_colonial_history": 0,
      "has_fta": 1,
      "rta_coverage_ratio": 2,
      "exporter_is_wto": 0,
      "importer_is_wto": 1,
      "exporter_is_eu": 0,
      "importer_is_eu": 0,
      "importer_gdp_million_usd": 815271.751724,
      "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 9586.612900959013,
      "importer_population": 85042.732,
      "importer_biz_entry_days": 7,
      "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 6,
      "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 63068.134601000005,
      "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 9214.993546391494,
      "diplomatic_disagreement": 0.049304424420360135,
      "scientific_collaboration": 0.04681041246814627,
      "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 6.971825898533332,
      "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 9.256978245925925,
      "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 3.344429201525926,
      "tariff_advantage_pp": 5.912549044399999
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "SRB",
      "importer_iso3": "TUR",
      "export_value_usd": 1075906502.8338602,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 65.98676500768319,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 38.98193701068835,
      "distance_km": 811,
      "capital_distance_km": 1155,
      "shares_land_border": 0,
      "shares_official_language": 0,
      "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
      "shared_religion": null,
      "shared_legal_system": 1,
      "shared_colonial_history": 0,
      "has_fta": 1,
      "rta_coverage_ratio": 2,
      "exporter_is_wto": 0,
      "importer_is_wto": 1,
      "exporter_is_eu": 0,
      "importer_is_eu": 0,
      "importer_gdp_million_usd": 815271.751724,
      "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 9586.612900959013,
      "importer_population": 85042.732,
      "importer_biz_entry_days": 7,
      "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 6,
      "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 63068.134601000005,
      "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 9214.993546391494,
      "diplomatic_disagreement": 0.049304424420360135,
      "scientific_collaboration": 0.04681041246814627,
      "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 6.971825898533332,
      "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 9.256978245925925,
      "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 3.344429201525926,
      "tariff_advantage_pp": 5.912549044399999
    }
  ],
  "relatedAnomalies": [
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "SRB",
      "importer_iso3": "GBR",
      "hs_code": "271019",
      "market_imports_usd": 20391042434.286022,
      "momentum_yoy_pct": 264.5170538467075,
      "anomaly_z_score": 2.632077541741107,
      "anomaly_type": "spike",
      "anomaly_severity": "65.80193854352767",
      "new_corridor_signal_type": "",
      "new_corridor_signal_strength": 0,
      "exporter_name": "Serbia",
      "importer_name": "GBR"
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "SRB",
      "importer_iso3": "USA",
      "hs_code": "853710",
      "market_imports_usd": 18850585543.378586,
      "momentum_yoy_pct": 609.8480197046634,
      "anomaly_z_score": 2.000230155018778,
      "anomaly_type": "spike",
      "anomaly_severity": "50.00575387546945",
      "new_corridor_signal_type": "",
      "new_corridor_signal_strength": 0,
      "exporter_name": "Serbia",
      "importer_name": "USA, Puerto Rico and US Virgin Islands"
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "SRB",
      "importer_iso3": "USA",
      "hs_code": "711319",
      "market_imports_usd": 14682002590.960085,
      "momentum_yoy_pct": 113904.90774183976,
      "anomaly_z_score": 2.828381324714596,
      "anomaly_type": "spike",
      "anomaly_severity": "70.7095331178649",
      "new_corridor_signal_type": "",
      "new_corridor_signal_strength": 0,
      "exporter_name": "Serbia",
      "importer_name": "USA, Puerto Rico and US Virgin Islands"
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "SRB",
      "importer_iso3": "GBR",
      "hs_code": "300490",
      "market_imports_usd": 13688188734.293098,
      "momentum_yoy_pct": 618.036270661149,
      "anomaly_z_score": 3.284819196656305,
      "anomaly_type": "spike",
      "anomaly_severity": "82.12047991640763",
      "new_corridor_signal_type": "",
      "new_corridor_signal_strength": 0,
      "exporter_name": "Serbia",
      "importer_name": "GBR"
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "SRB",
      "importer_iso3": "DEU",
      "hs_code": "880330",
      "market_imports_usd": 10564543298.762512,
      "momentum_yoy_pct": 1738.222033434118,
      "anomaly_z_score": 3.9393707735925014,
      "anomaly_type": "spike",
      "anomaly_severity": "98.48426933981254",
      "new_corridor_signal_type": "",
      "new_corridor_signal_strength": 0,
      "exporter_name": "Serbia",
      "importer_name": "Germany"
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "SRB",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "hs_code": "870322",
      "market_imports_usd": 8873525293.492188,
      "momentum_yoy_pct": 8497.533703321305,
      "anomaly_z_score": 2.948466536272841,
      "anomaly_type": "spike",
      "anomaly_severity": "73.71166340682103",
      "new_corridor_signal_type": "",
      "new_corridor_signal_strength": 0,
      "exporter_name": "Serbia",
      "importer_name": "France"
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "SRB",
      "importer_iso3": "SGP",
      "hs_code": "841191",
      "market_imports_usd": 8540830707.557938,
      "momentum_yoy_pct": 9529.687746143365,
      "anomaly_z_score": 3.156177594693957,
      "anomaly_type": "spike",
      "anomaly_severity": "78.90443986734893",
      "new_corridor_signal_type": "",
      "new_corridor_signal_strength": 0,
      "exporter_name": "Serbia",
      "importer_name": "SGP"
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "SRB",
      "importer_iso3": "ESP",
      "hs_code": "271019",
      "market_imports_usd": 8083826798.971084,
      "momentum_yoy_pct": 6061.300257493543,
      "anomaly_z_score": 2.3803719115284085,
      "anomaly_type": "spike",
      "anomaly_severity": "59.50929778821021",
      "new_corridor_signal_type": "",
      "new_corridor_signal_strength": 0,
      "exporter_name": "Serbia",
      "importer_name": "Spain"
    }
  ],
  "links": {
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/anomaly/srb-tur-100590",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/anomaly/srb-tur-100590/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/anomaly/srb-tur-100590/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/anomaly/srb-tur-100590/index.ld.json",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology"
  },
  "methodology": {
    "summary": "Reported trade observations and calculated indicators are shown separately. An unusual movement is a research prompt, not a causal conclusion or commercial forecast.",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology"
  },
  "generatedAt": "2026-09-03T09:16:32.677Z",
  "artifactContract": {
    "html": "Full visual page",
    "markdown": "Readable page content and evidence",
    "json": "Complete page data",
    "jsonLd": "Page metadata, FAQ, and provenance"
  }
}