{ "template": "corridor-anomaly-watch", "templateName": "Trade anomaly page", "source": "api", "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks", "logo": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/yugalinks-logo-v3-dark-mode.webp" }, "seo": { "title": "Serbia to Germany trade anomaly | HS 841191 | Yugalinks", "description": "Reported trade anomaly for Serbia to Germany in turbines (HS 841191), with anomaly severity, market value, history, and context.", "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/anomaly/srb-deu-841191", "robots": "index, follow" }, "breadcrumbs": [ { "name": "Home", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com/" }, { "name": "Trade data", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/" }, { "name": "Trade anomalies", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/anomaly/" }, { "name": "SRB-DEU HS 841191", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/anomaly/srb-deu-841191" } ], "sections": [ "overview", "history", "context", "related-movements", "faq", "data-source" ], "anomaly": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "SRB", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "hs_code": "841191", "market_imports_usd": 7317651997.964564, "momentum_yoy_pct": 848.0261000865456, "anomaly_z_score": 2.903371529485637, "anomaly_type": "spike", "anomaly_severity": "72.58428823714092", "new_corridor_signal_type": "", "new_corridor_signal_strength": 0 }, "opportunity": { "exporter_iso3": "SRB", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "hs_code": "841191", "hs_description": "Turbines: parts of turbo-jets and turbo-propellers", "hs_chapter": "84", "hs_heading": "8411", "price_range_label": "Low price range", "trade_type_label": "One-way trade", "substitution_elasticity": -31.853516, "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 7317651997.964561, "buyer_imports_avg_usd": 3220948086.030334, "buyer_imports_peak_usd": 7317651997.964561, "buyer_cagr_full_pct": 8.7404, "buyer_yoy_avg_pct": 12.2892, "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": 8.7734, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 75.8621, "buyer_imports_proj_3y_usd": 9409022694.87, "buyer_imports_proj_5y_usd": 11125674728.43, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": null, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": null, "buyer_population_latest": null, "buyer_investment_rate": null, "buyer_savings_rate": null, "buyer_edu_secondary": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_2030_proj": null, "buyer_gdp_pc_2030_proj": null, "buyer_gdp_pc_growth_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_growth_pct": null, "buyer_pop_growth_pct": null, "exports_latest_usd": 75927454.60856405, "exports_avg_usd": 5155762.661029715, "exports_peak_usd": 75927454.60856405, "share_latest_pct": 1.0375931327382555, "share_avg_pct": 0.0789707873911027, "share_peak_pct": 1.0375931327382555, "share_change_1y_pp": 0.918543102204584, "share_trend_pp_per_yr": 0.057636, "cagr_full_pct": 70.9951, "yoy_avg_pct": 159.6028, "yoy_latest_pct": 848.0261, "trend_consistency_pct": 77.7778, "exports_proj_3y_usd": 148295809.78, "exports_proj_5y_usd": 231712202.78, "your_share_gap_pp": 42.4536, "addressable_proj_3y_usd": 3994470429.39, "addressable_proj_5y_usd": 4723251303.67, "peer_best_share_pct": 43.491209825277195, "peer_top_exporter": "USA", "num_suppliers_latest": 78, "buyer_herfindahl_index": 2513.4, "distance_km": null, "shares_official_language": null, "common_spoken_language_score": null, "has_wto_reported_fta": null, "buyer_is_eu_member": null, "buyer_biz_entry_days": null, "shared_legal_system": null, "shared_religion": null, "shares_land_border": null, "buyer_is_wto_member": null, "lane_volatility_cv": 3.257537730511299, "lane_max_drawdown_pct": 84.12772857963785, "signal_flag": "Accelerating", "lane_data_years": 19, "lane_last_year": 2024 }, "lane": { "exporter_iso3": "SRB", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "hs_code": "841191", "hs_description": "Turbines: parts of turbo-jets and turbo-propellers", "hs_chapter": "84", "hs_heading": "8411", "price_range_label": "Low price range", "trade_type_label": "One-way trade", "substitution_elasticity": -31.853516, "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 7317651997.964561, "buyer_imports_avg_usd": 3220948086.030334, "buyer_imports_peak_usd": 7317651997.964561, "buyer_cagr_full_pct": 8.7404, "buyer_yoy_avg_pct": 12.2892, "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": 8.7734, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 75.8621, "buyer_imports_proj_3y_usd": 9409022694.87, "buyer_imports_proj_5y_usd": 11125674728.43, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": null, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": null, "buyer_population_latest": null, "buyer_investment_rate": null, "buyer_savings_rate": null, "buyer_edu_secondary": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_2030_proj": null, "buyer_gdp_pc_2030_proj": null, "buyer_gdp_pc_growth_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_growth_pct": null, "buyer_pop_growth_pct": null, "exports_latest_usd": 75927454.60856405, "exports_avg_usd": 5155762.661029715, "exports_peak_usd": 75927454.60856405, "share_latest_pct": 1.0375931327382555, "share_avg_pct": 0.0789707873911027, "share_peak_pct": 1.0375931327382555, "share_change_1y_pp": 0.918543102204584, "share_trend_pp_per_yr": 0.057636, "cagr_full_pct": 70.9951, "yoy_avg_pct": 159.6028, "yoy_latest_pct": 848.0261, "trend_consistency_pct": 77.7778, "exports_proj_3y_usd": 148295809.78, "exports_proj_5y_usd": 231712202.78, "your_share_gap_pp": 42.4536, "addressable_proj_3y_usd": 3994470429.39, "addressable_proj_5y_usd": 4723251303.67, "peer_best_share_pct": 43.491209825277195, "peer_top_exporter": "USA", "num_suppliers_latest": 78, "buyer_herfindahl_index": 2513.4, "distance_km": null, "shares_official_language": null, "common_spoken_language_score": null, "has_wto_reported_fta": null, "buyer_is_eu_member": null, "buyer_biz_entry_days": null, "shared_legal_system": null, "shared_religion": null, "shares_land_border": null, "buyer_is_wto_member": null, "lane_volatility_cv": 3.257537730511299, "lane_max_drawdown_pct": 84.12772857963785, "signal_flag": "Accelerating", "lane_data_years": 19, "lane_last_year": 2024, "access_data_year": 2024, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 0.09984533697407406, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 4.235452101481482, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0.17433836514562961, "tariff_advantage_pp": 4.061113736335853, "rta_coverage_ratio": 2, "buyer_macro_latest_year": 2024, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 3.422772294996279, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 3.3176380750794765, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0.10175824948728263, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 22.237999999999996, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 27.802, "current_below_peak_usd": 0, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "latest_vs_historical_avg_pct": 1372.6716414327677, "share_change_all_pp": 1.095084, "volatility_label": "Highly volatile", "drawdown_label": "Recovered after a severe historical decline", "competition_label": "Concentrated buyer market", "demand_label": "Buyer demand stable or growing", "access_label": "Standard market access", "macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market" ], "risk_driver_count": 2, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years" }, "routeHistory": [ { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "SRB", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "hs_code": "841191", "export_value_usd": 4860.614049371603, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "SRB", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "hs_code": "841191", "export_value_usd": 9709.362712744436, "yoy_growth_pct": 99.75588709825041, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "SRB", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "hs_code": "841191", "export_value_usd": 16824.31985064729, "yoy_growth_pct": 73.27934230496732, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "SRB", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "hs_code": "841191", "export_value_usd": 96350.68066271098, "yoy_growth_pct": 472.6869289102586, "cagr_3y_pct": 170.6374439367534 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "SRB", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "hs_code": "841191", "export_value_usd": 106444.92421834341, "yoy_growth_pct": 10.476566938814624, "cagr_3y_pct": 122.14919504976413 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "SRB", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "hs_code": "841191", "export_value_usd": 154968.83998517218, "yoy_growth_pct": 45.58593669275848, "cagr_3y_pct": 109.6214023139066 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "SRB", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "hs_code": "841191", "export_value_usd": 1044382.8915268347, "yoy_growth_pct": 573.9308958025136, "cagr_3y_pct": 121.31031378061769 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "SRB", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "hs_code": "841191", "export_value_usd": 261387.27517539074, "yoy_growth_pct": -74.97208377348504, "cagr_3y_pct": 34.912801759464514 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "SRB", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "hs_code": "841191", "export_value_usd": 312106.7739338738, "yoy_growth_pct": 19.403966288890807, "cagr_3y_pct": 26.285339902699477 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "SRB", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "hs_code": "841191", "export_value_usd": 243831.25115127224, "yoy_growth_pct": -21.875693988323086, "cagr_3y_pct": -38.42422696631221 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "SRB", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "hs_code": "841191", "export_value_usd": 165767.2872109657, "yoy_growth_pct": -32.01556960878483, "cagr_3y_pct": -14.084511663430044 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "SRB", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "hs_code": "841191", "export_value_usd": 448407.70204664936, "yoy_growth_pct": 170.50433749089348, "cagr_3y_pct": 12.838322981908235 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "SRB", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "hs_code": "841191", "export_value_usd": 1231696.6447627563, "yoy_growth_pct": 174.68231235569158, "cagr_3y_pct": 71.58189648500395 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "SRB", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "hs_code": "841191", "export_value_usd": 2044019.1504180834, "yoy_growth_pct": 65.95150754931163, "cagr_3y_pct": 131.02663015546824 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "SRB", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "hs_code": "841191", "export_value_usd": 4713808.641662007, "yoy_growth_pct": 130.6147004883905, "cagr_3y_pct": 119.0616199214106 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "SRB", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "hs_code": "841191", "export_value_usd": 937702.7970861397, "yoy_growth_pct": -80.10732152343965, "cagr_3y_pct": -8.68954973256082 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "SRB", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "hs_code": "841191", "export_value_usd": 2230762.126676867, "yoy_growth_pct": 137.8964991475805, "cagr_3y_pct": 2.957052456662468 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "SRB", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "hs_code": "841191", "export_value_usd": 8009004.667870707, "yoy_growth_pct": 259.02549053052115, "cagr_3y_pct": 19.326123704358245 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "SRB", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "hs_code": "841191", "export_value_usd": 75927454.60856405, "yoy_growth_pct": 848.0261000865456, "cagr_3y_pct": 332.6245990333705 } ], "corridorHistory": [ { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "SRB", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "export_value_usd": 626814933.0452676, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null, "distance_km": 1001, "capital_distance_km": 1001, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": null, "shared_legal_system": 0, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": 2, "exporter_is_wto": 0, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 1, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 4223116.205968999, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 50801.7848771783, "importer_population": 83129.288, "importer_biz_entry_days": 8, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 6.5, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 63068.134601000005, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 9214.993546391494, "diplomatic_disagreement": 0.03957842304814896, "scientific_collaboration": 0.044744790636976346, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 0.09984533697407406, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 4.235452101481482, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0.17433836514562961, "tariff_advantage_pp": 4.061113736335853 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "SRB", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "export_value_usd": 916625144.7578045, "yoy_growth_pct": 46.23537130880819, "cagr_3y_pct": null, "distance_km": 1001, "capital_distance_km": 1001, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": null, "shared_legal_system": 0, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": 2, "exporter_is_wto": 0, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 1, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 4223116.205968999, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 50801.7848771783, "importer_population": 83129.288, "importer_biz_entry_days": 8, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 6.5, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 63068.134601000005, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 9214.993546391494, "diplomatic_disagreement": 0.03957842304814896, "scientific_collaboration": 0.044744790636976346, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 0.09984533697407406, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 4.235452101481482, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0.17433836514562961, "tariff_advantage_pp": 4.061113736335853 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "SRB", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "export_value_usd": 1176477038.786417, "yoy_growth_pct": 28.348763451963997, "cagr_3y_pct": null, "distance_km": 1001, "capital_distance_km": 1001, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": null, "shared_legal_system": 0, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": 2, "exporter_is_wto": 0, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 1, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 4223116.205968999, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 50801.7848771783, "importer_population": 83129.288, "importer_biz_entry_days": 8, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 6.5, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 63068.134601000005, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 9214.993546391494, "diplomatic_disagreement": 0.03957842304814896, "scientific_collaboration": 0.044744790636976346, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 0.09984533697407406, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 4.235452101481482, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0.17433836514562961, "tariff_advantage_pp": 4.061113736335853 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "SRB", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "export_value_usd": 884000843.4390345, "yoy_growth_pct": -24.860340296065907, "cagr_3y_pct": 12.142727583545089, "distance_km": 1001, "capital_distance_km": 1001, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": null, "shared_legal_system": 0, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": 2, "exporter_is_wto": 0, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 1, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 4223116.205968999, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 50801.7848771783, "importer_population": 83129.288, "importer_biz_entry_days": 8, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 6.5, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 63068.134601000005, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 9214.993546391494, "diplomatic_disagreement": 0.03957842304814896, "scientific_collaboration": 0.044744790636976346, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 0.09984533697407406, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 4.235452101481482, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0.17433836514562961, "tariff_advantage_pp": 4.061113736335853 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "SRB", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "export_value_usd": 993992351.7864631, "yoy_growth_pct": 12.442466448281642, "cagr_3y_pct": 2.7378387414668692, "distance_km": 1001, "capital_distance_km": 1001, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": null, "shared_legal_system": 0, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": 2, "exporter_is_wto": 0, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 1, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 4223116.205968999, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 50801.7848771783, "importer_population": 83129.288, "importer_biz_entry_days": 8, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 6.5, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 63068.134601000005, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 9214.993546391494, "diplomatic_disagreement": 0.03957842304814896, "scientific_collaboration": 0.044744790636976346, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 0.09984533697407406, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 4.235452101481482, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0.17433836514562961, "tariff_advantage_pp": 4.061113736335853 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "SRB", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "export_value_usd": 1299426861.4614892, "yoy_growth_pct": 30.72805430807195, "cagr_3y_pct": 3.368796891366377, "distance_km": 1001, "capital_distance_km": 1001, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": null, "shared_legal_system": 0, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": 2, "exporter_is_wto": 0, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 1, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 4223116.205968999, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 50801.7848771783, "importer_population": 83129.288, "importer_biz_entry_days": 8, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 6.5, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 63068.134601000005, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 9214.993546391494, "diplomatic_disagreement": 0.03957842304814896, "scientific_collaboration": 0.044744790636976346, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 0.09984533697407406, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 4.235452101481482, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0.17433836514562961, "tariff_advantage_pp": 4.061113736335853 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "SRB", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "export_value_usd": 1327604197.9122214, "yoy_growth_pct": 2.168443433518119, "cagr_3y_pct": 14.517531830194397, "distance_km": 1001, "capital_distance_km": 1001, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": null, "shared_legal_system": 0, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": 2, "exporter_is_wto": 0, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 1, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 4223116.205968999, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 50801.7848771783, "importer_population": 83129.288, "importer_biz_entry_days": 8, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 6.5, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 63068.134601000005, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 9214.993546391494, "diplomatic_disagreement": 0.03957842304814896, "scientific_collaboration": 0.044744790636976346, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 0.09984533697407406, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 4.235452101481482, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0.17433836514562961, "tariff_advantage_pp": 4.061113736335853 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "SRB", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "export_value_usd": 1694075790.0131788, "yoy_growth_pct": 27.603979610584783, "cagr_3y_pct": 19.44920521739735, "distance_km": 1001, "capital_distance_km": 1001, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": null, "shared_legal_system": 0, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": 2, "exporter_is_wto": 0, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 1, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 4223116.205968999, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 50801.7848771783, "importer_population": 83129.288, "importer_biz_entry_days": 8, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 6.5, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 63068.134601000005, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 9214.993546391494, "diplomatic_disagreement": 0.03957842304814896, "scientific_collaboration": 0.044744790636976346, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 0.09984533697407406, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 4.235452101481482, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0.17433836514562961, "tariff_advantage_pp": 4.061113736335853 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "SRB", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "export_value_usd": 1744843583.2478704, "yoy_growth_pct": 2.996784059720059, "cagr_3y_pct": 10.3235479697386, "distance_km": 1001, "capital_distance_km": 1001, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": null, "shared_legal_system": 0, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": 2, "exporter_is_wto": 0, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 1, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 4223116.205968999, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 50801.7848771783, "importer_population": 83129.288, "importer_biz_entry_days": 8, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 6.5, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 63068.134601000005, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 9214.993546391494, "diplomatic_disagreement": 0.03957842304814896, "scientific_collaboration": 0.044744790636976346, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 0.09984533697407406, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 4.235452101481482, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0.17433836514562961, "tariff_advantage_pp": 4.061113736335853 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "SRB", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "export_value_usd": 1628165828.2047682, "yoy_growth_pct": -6.687003704132444, "cagr_3y_pct": 7.0393195276369, "distance_km": 1001, "capital_distance_km": 1001, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": null, "shared_legal_system": 0, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": 2, "exporter_is_wto": 0, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 1, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 4223116.205968999, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 50801.7848771783, "importer_population": 83129.288, "importer_biz_entry_days": 8, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 6.5, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 63068.134601000005, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 9214.993546391494, "diplomatic_disagreement": 0.03957842304814896, "scientific_collaboration": 0.044744790636976346, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 0.09984533697407406, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 4.235452101481482, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0.17433836514562961, "tariff_advantage_pp": 4.061113736335853 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "SRB", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "export_value_usd": 1866736432.6991577, "yoy_growth_pct": 14.652721507946143, "cagr_3y_pct": 3.288044650905819, "distance_km": 1001, "capital_distance_km": 1001, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": null, "shared_legal_system": 0, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": 2, "exporter_is_wto": 0, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 1, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 4223116.205968999, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 50801.7848771783, "importer_population": 83129.288, "importer_biz_entry_days": 8, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 6.5, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 63068.134601000005, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 9214.993546391494, "diplomatic_disagreement": 0.03957842304814896, "scientific_collaboration": 0.044744790636976346, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 0.09984533697407406, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 4.235452101481482, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0.17433836514562961, "tariff_advantage_pp": 4.061113736335853 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "SRB", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "export_value_usd": 2141996609.3073006, "yoy_growth_pct": 14.745529780555987, "cagr_3y_pct": 7.0748380312793735, "distance_km": 1001, "capital_distance_km": 1001, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": null, "shared_legal_system": 0, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": 2, "exporter_is_wto": 0, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 1, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 4223116.205968999, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 50801.7848771783, "importer_population": 83129.288, "importer_biz_entry_days": 8, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 6.5, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 63068.134601000005, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 9214.993546391494, "diplomatic_disagreement": 0.03957842304814896, "scientific_collaboration": 0.044744790636976346, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 0.09984533697407406, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 4.235452101481482, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0.17433836514562961, "tariff_advantage_pp": 4.061113736335853 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "SRB", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "export_value_usd": 2352911451.7140107, "yoy_growth_pct": 9.84664688497887, "cagr_3y_pct": 13.058264870550996, "distance_km": 1001, "capital_distance_km": 1001, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": null, "shared_legal_system": 0, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": 2, "exporter_is_wto": 0, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 1, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 4223116.205968999, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 50801.7848771783, "importer_population": 83129.288, "importer_biz_entry_days": 8, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 6.5, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 63068.134601000005, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 9214.993546391494, "diplomatic_disagreement": 0.03957842304814896, "scientific_collaboration": 0.044744790636976346, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 0.09984533697407406, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 4.235452101481482, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0.17433836514562961, "tariff_advantage_pp": 4.061113736335853 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "SRB", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "export_value_usd": 2466334890.676916, "yoy_growth_pct": 4.820557054124608, "cagr_3y_pct": 9.729402508508533, "distance_km": 1001, "capital_distance_km": 1001, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": null, "shared_legal_system": 0, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": 2, "exporter_is_wto": 0, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 1, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 4223116.205968999, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 50801.7848771783, "importer_population": 83129.288, "importer_biz_entry_days": 8, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 6.5, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 63068.134601000005, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 9214.993546391494, "diplomatic_disagreement": 0.03957842304814896, "scientific_collaboration": 0.044744790636976346, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 0.09984533697407406, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 4.235452101481482, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0.17433836514562961, "tariff_advantage_pp": 4.061113736335853 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "SRB", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "export_value_usd": 2573040791.3997793, "yoy_growth_pct": 4.32649682434556, "cagr_3y_pct": 6.30229254935637, "distance_km": 1001, "capital_distance_km": 1001, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": null, "shared_legal_system": 0, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": 2, "exporter_is_wto": 0, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 1, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 4223116.205968999, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 50801.7848771783, "importer_population": 83129.288, "importer_biz_entry_days": 8, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 6.5, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 63068.134601000005, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 9214.993546391494, "diplomatic_disagreement": 0.03957842304814896, "scientific_collaboration": 0.044744790636976346, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 0.09984533697407406, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 4.235452101481482, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0.17433836514562961, "tariff_advantage_pp": 4.061113736335853 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "SRB", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "export_value_usd": 3262001968.622793, "yoy_growth_pct": 26.77614671037558, "cagr_3y_pct": 11.504624224176862, "distance_km": 1001, "capital_distance_km": 1001, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": null, "shared_legal_system": 0, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": 2, "exporter_is_wto": 0, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 1, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 4223116.205968999, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 50801.7848771783, "importer_population": 83129.288, "importer_biz_entry_days": 8, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 6.5, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 63068.134601000005, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 9214.993546391494, "diplomatic_disagreement": 0.03957842304814896, "scientific_collaboration": 0.044744790636976346, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 0.09984533697407406, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 4.235452101481482, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0.17433836514562961, "tariff_advantage_pp": 4.061113736335853 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "SRB", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "export_value_usd": 4083028382.0655384, "yoy_growth_pct": 25.16940275757651, "cagr_3y_pct": 18.29783157637701, "distance_km": 1001, "capital_distance_km": 1001, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": null, "shared_legal_system": 0, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": 2, "exporter_is_wto": 0, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 1, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 4223116.205968999, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 50801.7848771783, "importer_population": 83129.288, "importer_biz_entry_days": 8, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 6.5, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 63068.134601000005, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 9214.993546391494, "diplomatic_disagreement": 0.03957842304814896, "scientific_collaboration": 0.044744790636976346, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 0.09984533697407406, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 4.235452101481482, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0.17433836514562961, "tariff_advantage_pp": 4.061113736335853 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "SRB", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "export_value_usd": 4742177269.9816475, "yoy_growth_pct": 16.14362738234645, "cagr_3y_pct": 22.605618091927738, "distance_km": 1001, "capital_distance_km": 1001, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": null, "shared_legal_system": 0, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": 2, "exporter_is_wto": 0, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 1, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 4223116.205968999, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 50801.7848771783, "importer_population": 83129.288, "importer_biz_entry_days": 8, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 6.5, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 63068.134601000005, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 9214.993546391494, "diplomatic_disagreement": 0.03957842304814896, "scientific_collaboration": 0.044744790636976346, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 0.09984533697407406, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 4.235452101481482, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0.17433836514562961, "tariff_advantage_pp": 4.061113736335853 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "SRB", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "export_value_usd": 5004717822.896746, "yoy_growth_pct": 5.5362871940068725, "cagr_3y_pct": 15.336063814321799, "distance_km": 1001, "capital_distance_km": 1001, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": null, "shared_legal_system": 0, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": 2, "exporter_is_wto": 0, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 1, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 4223116.205968999, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 50801.7848771783, "importer_population": 83129.288, "importer_biz_entry_days": 8, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 6.5, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 63068.134601000005, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 9214.993546391494, "diplomatic_disagreement": 0.03957842304814896, "scientific_collaboration": 0.044744790636976346, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 0.09984533697407406, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 4.235452101481482, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0.17433836514562961, "tariff_advantage_pp": 4.061113736335853 } ], "relatedAnomalies": [ { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "SRB", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "hs_code": "271019", "market_imports_usd": 20391042434.286022, "momentum_yoy_pct": 264.5170538467075, "anomaly_z_score": 2.632077541741107, "anomaly_type": "spike", "anomaly_severity": "65.80193854352767", "new_corridor_signal_type": "", "new_corridor_signal_strength": 0, "exporter_name": "Serbia", "importer_name": "GBR" }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "SRB", "importer_iso3": "USA", "hs_code": "853710", "market_imports_usd": 18850585543.378586, "momentum_yoy_pct": 609.8480197046634, "anomaly_z_score": 2.000230155018778, "anomaly_type": "spike", "anomaly_severity": "50.00575387546945", "new_corridor_signal_type": "", "new_corridor_signal_strength": 0, "exporter_name": "Serbia", "importer_name": "USA, Puerto Rico and US Virgin Islands" }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "SRB", "importer_iso3": "USA", "hs_code": "711319", "market_imports_usd": 14682002590.960085, "momentum_yoy_pct": 113904.90774183976, "anomaly_z_score": 2.828381324714596, "anomaly_type": "spike", "anomaly_severity": "70.7095331178649", "new_corridor_signal_type": "", "new_corridor_signal_strength": 0, "exporter_name": "Serbia", "importer_name": "USA, Puerto Rico and US Virgin Islands" }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "SRB", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "hs_code": "300490", "market_imports_usd": 13688188734.293098, "momentum_yoy_pct": 618.036270661149, "anomaly_z_score": 3.284819196656305, "anomaly_type": "spike", "anomaly_severity": "82.12047991640763", "new_corridor_signal_type": "", "new_corridor_signal_strength": 0, "exporter_name": "Serbia", "importer_name": "GBR" }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "SRB", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "hs_code": "880330", "market_imports_usd": 10564543298.762512, "momentum_yoy_pct": 1738.222033434118, "anomaly_z_score": 3.9393707735925014, "anomaly_type": "spike", "anomaly_severity": "98.48426933981254", "new_corridor_signal_type": "", "new_corridor_signal_strength": 0, "exporter_name": "Serbia", "importer_name": "Germany" }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "SRB", "importer_iso3": "FRA", "hs_code": "870322", "market_imports_usd": 8873525293.492188, "momentum_yoy_pct": 8497.533703321305, "anomaly_z_score": 2.948466536272841, "anomaly_type": "spike", "anomaly_severity": "73.71166340682103", "new_corridor_signal_type": "", "new_corridor_signal_strength": 0, "exporter_name": "Serbia", "importer_name": "France" }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "SRB", "importer_iso3": "SGP", "hs_code": "841191", "market_imports_usd": 8540830707.557938, "momentum_yoy_pct": 9529.687746143365, "anomaly_z_score": 3.156177594693957, "anomaly_type": "spike", "anomaly_severity": "78.90443986734893", "new_corridor_signal_type": "", "new_corridor_signal_strength": 0, "exporter_name": "Serbia", "importer_name": "SGP" }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "SRB", "importer_iso3": "ESP", "hs_code": "271019", "market_imports_usd": 8083826798.971084, "momentum_yoy_pct": 6061.300257493543, "anomaly_z_score": 2.3803719115284085, "anomaly_type": "spike", "anomaly_severity": "59.50929778821021", "new_corridor_signal_type": "", "new_corridor_signal_strength": 0, "exporter_name": "Serbia", "importer_name": "Spain" } ], "links": { "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/anomaly/srb-deu-841191", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/anomaly/srb-deu-841191/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/anomaly/srb-deu-841191/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/signal/anomaly/srb-deu-841191/index.ld.json", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology" }, "methodology": { "summary": "Reported trade observations and calculated indicators are shown separately. An unusual movement is a research prompt, not a causal conclusion or commercial forecast.", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology" }, "generatedAt": "2026-09-03T09:16:15.563Z", "artifactContract": { "html": "Full visual page", "markdown": "Readable page content and evidence", "json": "Complete page data", "jsonLd": "Page metadata, FAQ, and provenance" } }