{ "template": "T14", "templateName": "HS6 Lane Risk and Access Profile", "source": "api", "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks", "logo": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/yugalinks-logo-v3-dark-mode.webp" }, "branding": { "brandName": "Yugalinks", "logo": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/yugalinks-logo-v3-dark-mode.webp", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "seo": { "title": "HS 401039 Vehicle Parts Trade Risk | DNK-UK | Yugalinks", "description": "HS 401039 vehicle parts and accessories between DNK and AUS: lane risk, import demand, tariffs, market access, suppliers, and history.", "keywords": [ "HS 401039", "HS code 401039", "vehicle parts and accessories", "motor vehicle parts", "DNK to AUS trade", "vehicle parts tariff", "automotive parts trade", "trade lane risk", "market access", "supplier competition" ], "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/lane-risk/dnk-aus-401039", "robots": "index, follow" }, "breadcrumbs": [ { "name": "Home", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com/" }, { "name": "Trade data", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/" }, { "name": "DNK to AUS HS 401039 lane risk", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/lane-risk/dnk-aus-401039" } ], "sections": [ "overview", "market-context", "trade-evidence", "risk-signals", "faq", "related-analysis", "data-source" ], "faq": [ { "question": "What does DNK to AUS lane risk mean?", "answer": "It summarizes country-level reported trade recovery, volatility, drawdown, access conditions, competition, import demand, and macro context for the exporter-to-importer lane." }, { "question": "Is this a guaranteed risk forecast?", "answer": "No. The page combines reported observations with calculated indicators for research. Validate counterparties, tariffs, standards, logistics, pricing, and commercial conditions before acting." }, { "question": "How should this lane-risk page be used?", "answer": "Use it to identify questions for deeper product and importer-market research, then compare the lane with current trade, access conditions, source countries, and alternative markets." } ], "relatedLinks": { "exporter": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/exporter/dnk/opportunities", "importer": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/importer/aus/opportunities", "product": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/product/401039", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology" }, "methodology": { "summary": "Country-level reported trade observations and calculated indicators are shown separately. Validate counterparties, tariffs, standards, logistics, pricing, and competition before acting.", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology" }, "links": { "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/lane-risk/dnk-aus-401039", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/lane-risk/dnk-aus-401039/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/lane-risk/dnk-aus-401039/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/lane-risk/dnk-aus-401039/index.ld.json", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-31)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-31", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-31" } ] }, "row": { "exporter_iso3": "DNK", "importer_iso3": "AUS", "hs_code": "401039", "hs_description": "Rubber: vulcanised, conveyor or transmission belts or belting, n.e.c. in heading no. 4010", "hs_chapter": "40", "hs_heading": "4010", "price_range_label": null, "trade_type_label": null, "substitution_elasticity": -3.1384215, "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 22072658.636505514, "buyer_imports_avg_usd": 17496796.10462412, "buyer_imports_peak_usd": 27926896.295412317, "buyer_cagr_full_pct": 1.9307, "buyer_yoy_avg_pct": 3.1147, "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": -6.434, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 51.7241, "buyer_imports_proj_3y_usd": 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"addressable_proj_5y_usd": 5494970.38, "peer_best_share_pct": 23.30967555847761, "peer_top_exporter": "USA", "num_suppliers_latest": 55, "buyer_herfindahl_index": 1189.44, "distance_km": 16054.0986328125, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0.8343989849090576, "has_wto_reported_fta": 0, "buyer_is_eu_member": 0, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 2, "shared_legal_system": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shares_land_border": 0, "buyer_is_wto_member": 1, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.5548227827722574, "lane_max_drawdown_pct": 81.29571230302801, "signal_flag": "Growing", "lane_data_years": 30, "lane_last_year": 2024, "access_data_year": 2024, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 7.872936858989897, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 7.872936858989897, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "buyer_macro_latest_year": 2024, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 4.672430715538289, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 3.1982410002894257, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 1.4285027544653106, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 27.404000000000003, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 25.023999999999997, "current_below_peak_usd": 5897.132590012159, "current_below_peak_pct": 3.7546846669127008, "latest_vs_historical_avg_pct": 124.79320366674548, "share_change_all_pp": 0.20243999999999998, "volatility_label": "Variable", "drawdown_label": "Recovered after a severe historical decline", "competition_label": "Competitive buyer market", "demand_label": "Buyer demand softened recently", "access_label": "Long-distance market without reported FTA", "macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "risk_driver_labels": [ "long_distance_without_fta" ], "risk_driver_count": 1, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified" }, "content": { "hero": { "exporter": "DNK", "importer": "AUS", "product": "Rubber", "hsCode": "401039", "summary": "A research view of trade recovery, volatility, drawdown, access conditions, competition, import demand, and macro context for this exporter-to-importer lane.", "primaryRiskReason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "attention": "Watch" }, "kpis": { "laneVolatility": "0.6", "maximumDrawdown": "81.3%", "importerMarketImports": "$22.1M", "exporterMarketShare": "0.7%" }, "marketContext": { "importerMarketImports": "$22.1M", "importerMarketCagr": "+1.9%", "importerGdp": "$1.5M", "importerGdpPerCapita": "$59.9K", "importerPopulation": "25,739", "macroResilience": "Buyer macro trend resilient" }, "routeContext": { "distanceKm": "16,054", "businessEntryDays": "2", "reportedFta": "No", "appliedTariff": "7.9%", "preferentialTariff": "0%", "tradeType": null }, "evidence": [ { "measure": "Importer-market imports", "value": "$22.1M", "meaning": "AUS latest reported imports", "kind": "Reported" }, { "measure": "Exporter exports", "value": "$151.2K", "meaning": "DNK latest reported exports to AUS", "kind": "Reported" }, { "measure": "Historical peak exports", "value": "$157.1K", "meaning": "Highest reported lane exports", "kind": "Reported" }, { "measure": "Current below peak", "value": "3.8%", "meaning": "Difference from historical peak", "kind": "Calculated" }, { "measure": "Historical-average comparison", "value": "+124.8%", "meaning": "Current value compared with historical average", "kind": "Calculated" }, { "measure": "Import-demand change", "value": "-6.4%", "meaning": "Latest annual change in importer-market imports", "kind": "Calculated" }, { "measure": "Importer-market five-year projection", "value": "$24.3M", "meaning": "Calculated import-market projection", "kind": "Calculated" }, { "measure": "Exporter market share", "value": "0.7%", "meaning": "Exporter share of reported importer-market imports", "kind": "Calculated" }, { "measure": "Addressable three-year value", "value": "$5.3M", "meaning": "Calculated addressable trade projection", "kind": "Calculated" }, { "measure": "Reported source countries", "value": "55", "meaning": "Latest observed exporter-country count", "kind": "Reported" }, { "measure": "Applied tariff", "value": "7.9%", "meaning": "Average applied tariff indicator", "kind": "Reported" }, { "measure": "Preferential tariff", "value": "0%", "meaning": "Average preferential tariff indicator", "kind": "Reported" }, { "measure": "Tariff advantage", "value": "+0 pp", "meaning": "Difference between relevant tariff indicators", "kind": "Calculated" }, { "measure": "Lane volatility", "value": "0.6", "meaning": "Variation across observed values", "kind": "Calculated" }, { "measure": "Maximum drawdown", "value": "81.3%", "meaning": "Largest fall from a prior peak", "kind": "Calculated" }, { "measure": "Risk drivers", "value": "long_distance_without_fta", "meaning": "Recorded calculated driver categories", "kind": "Calculated" }, { "measure": "Macro resilience", "value": "importer macro trend resilient", "meaning": "Importer-country macro classification", "kind": "Calculated" }, { "measure": "Observed history", "value": "30 years", "meaning": "Coverage through 2024", "kind": "Reported" } ], "faq": [ { "question": "What does DNK to AUS lane risk mean?", "answer": "It summarizes country-level reported trade recovery, volatility, drawdown, access conditions, competition, import demand, and macro context for the exporter-to-importer lane." }, { "question": "Is this a guaranteed risk forecast?", "answer": "No. The page combines reported observations with calculated indicators for research. Validate counterparties, tariffs, standards, logistics, pricing, and commercial conditions before acting." }, { "question": "How should this lane-risk page be used?", "answer": "Use it to identify questions for deeper product and importer-market research, then compare the lane with current trade, access conditions, source countries, and alternative markets." } ], "relatedLinks": { "exporter": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/exporter/dnk/opportunities", "importer": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/importer/aus/opportunities", "product": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/product/401039", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology" }, "methodology": { "summary": "Country-level reported trade observations and calculated indicators are shown separately. 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