{ "template": "T14", "templateName": "HS6 Lane Risk and Access Profile", "source": "api", "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks", "logo": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/yugalinks-logo-v3-dark-mode.webp" }, "branding": { "brandName": "Yugalinks", "logo": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/yugalinks-logo-v3-dark-mode.webp", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "seo": { "title": "HS 847780 Vehicle Parts Trade Risk | Germany-UK | Yugalinks", "description": "HS 847780 vehicle parts and accessories between Germany and UZB: lane risk, import demand, tariffs, market access, suppliers, and history.", "keywords": [ "HS 847780", "HS code 847780", "vehicle parts and accessories", "motor vehicle parts", "Germany to UZB trade", "vehicle parts tariff", "automotive parts trade", "trade lane risk", "market access", "supplier competition" ], "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/lane-risk/deu-uzb-847780", "robots": "index, follow" }, "breadcrumbs": [ { "name": "Home", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com/" }, { "name": "Trade data", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/" }, { "name": "Germany to UZB HS 847780 lane risk", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/lane-risk/deu-uzb-847780" } ], "sections": [ "overview", "market-context", "trade-evidence", "risk-signals", "faq", "related-analysis", "data-source" ], "faq": [ { "question": "What does Germany to UZB lane risk mean?", "answer": "It summarizes country-level reported trade recovery, volatility, drawdown, access conditions, competition, import demand, and macro context for the exporter-to-importer lane." }, { "question": "Is this a guaranteed risk forecast?", "answer": "No. The page combines reported observations with calculated indicators for research. 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1.98102847598145, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 26.586000000000002, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 26.401999999999997, "current_below_peak_usd": 28818909.17617085, "current_below_peak_pct": 98.87047518766123, "latest_vs_historical_avg_pct": -84.04913781349416, "share_change_all_pp": -6.703321, "volatility_label": "Highly volatile", "drawdown_label": "Still more than 50% below historical peak", "competition_label": "Concentrated buyer market", "demand_label": "Buyer demand softened recently", "access_label": "Standard market access", "macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ], "risk_driver_count": 4, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak" }, "content": { "hero": { "exporter": "Germany", "importer": "UZB", "product": "Machinery", "hsCode": "847780", "summary": "A research view of trade recovery, volatility, drawdown, access conditions, competition, import demand, and macro context for this exporter-to-importer lane.", "primaryRiskReason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "attention": "Watch" }, "kpis": { "laneVolatility": "2.6", "maximumDrawdown": "99.8%", "importerMarketImports": "$20.9M", "exporterMarketShare": "1.6%" }, "marketContext": { "importerMarketImports": "$20.9M", "importerMarketCagr": "+12.8%", "importerGdp": "$69.2K", "importerGdpPerCapita": "$2.0K", "importerPopulation": "34,915", "macroResilience": "Buyer macro trend resilient" }, "routeContext": { "distanceKm": "4,760", "businessEntryDays": "3", "reportedFta": "No", "appliedTariff": "14.1%", "preferentialTariff": "0%", "tradeType": "One-way trade" }, "evidence": [ { "measure": "Importer-market imports", "value": "$20.9M", "meaning": "UZB latest reported imports", "kind": "Reported" }, { "measure": "Exporter exports", "value": "$329.2K", "meaning": "Germany latest reported exports to UZB", "kind": "Reported" }, { "measure": "Historical peak exports", "value": "$29.1M", "meaning": "Highest reported lane exports", "kind": "Reported" }, { "measure": "Current below peak", "value": "98.9%", "meaning": "Difference from historical peak", "kind": "Calculated" }, { "measure": "Historical-average comparison", "value": "-84%", "meaning": "Current value compared with historical average", "kind": "Calculated" }, { "measure": "Import-demand change", "value": "-21.3%", "meaning": "Latest annual change in importer-market imports", "kind": "Calculated" }, { "measure": "Importer-market five-year projection", "value": "$38.0M", "meaning": "Calculated import-market projection", "kind": "Calculated" }, { "measure": "Exporter market share", "value": "1.6%", "meaning": "Exporter share of reported importer-market imports", "kind": "Calculated" }, { "measure": "Addressable three-year value", "value": "$19.7M", "meaning": "Calculated addressable trade projection", "kind": "Calculated" }, { "measure": "Reported source countries", "value": "24", "meaning": "Latest observed exporter-country count", "kind": "Reported" }, { "measure": "Applied tariff", "value": "14.1%", "meaning": "Average applied tariff indicator", "kind": "Reported" }, { "measure": "Preferential tariff", "value": "0%", "meaning": "Average preferential tariff indicator", "kind": "Reported" }, { "measure": "Tariff advantage", "value": "+0 pp", "meaning": "Difference between relevant tariff indicators", "kind": "Calculated" }, { "measure": "Lane volatility", "value": "2.6", "meaning": "Variation across observed values", "kind": "Calculated" }, { "measure": "Maximum drawdown", "value": "99.8%", "meaning": "Largest fall from a prior peak", "kind": "Calculated" }, { "measure": "Risk drivers", "value": "high_volatility, unrecovered_drawdown, concentrated_buyer_market, dominant_supplier", "meaning": "Recorded calculated driver categories", "kind": "Calculated" }, { "measure": "Macro resilience", "value": "importer macro trend resilient", "meaning": "Importer-country macro classification", "kind": "Calculated" }, { "measure": "Observed history", "value": "29 years", "meaning": "Coverage through 2024", "kind": "Reported" } ], "faq": [ { "question": "What does Germany to UZB lane risk mean?", "answer": "It summarizes country-level reported trade recovery, volatility, drawdown, access conditions, competition, import demand, and macro context for the exporter-to-importer lane." }, { "question": "Is this a guaranteed risk forecast?", "answer": "No. The page combines reported observations with calculated indicators for research. 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Validate counterparties, tariffs, standards, logistics, pricing, and competition before acting.", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology" }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-31)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-31", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. 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