{
  "template": "T14",
  "templateName": "HS6 Lane Risk and Access Profile",
  "source": "api",
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks",
    "logo": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/yugalinks-logo-v3-dark-mode.webp"
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    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "seo": {
    "title": "HS 020890 Vehicle Parts Trade Risk | Germany-UK | Yugalinks",
    "description": "HS 020890 vehicle parts and accessories between Germany and SVN: lane risk, import demand, tariffs, market access, suppliers, and history.",
    "keywords": [
      "HS 020890",
      "HS code 020890",
      "vehicle parts and accessories",
      "motor vehicle parts",
      "Germany to SVN trade",
      "vehicle parts tariff",
      "automotive parts trade",
      "trade lane risk",
      "market access",
      "supplier competition"
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    "robots": "index, follow"
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      "name": "Home",
      "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com/"
    },
    {
      "name": "Trade data",
      "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/"
    },
    {
      "name": "Germany to SVN HS 020890 lane risk",
      "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/lane-risk/deu-svn-020890"
    }
  ],
  "sections": [
    "overview",
    "market-context",
    "trade-evidence",
    "risk-signals",
    "faq",
    "related-analysis",
    "data-source"
  ],
  "faq": [
    {
      "question": "What does Germany to SVN lane risk mean?",
      "answer": "It summarizes country-level reported trade recovery, volatility, drawdown, access conditions, competition, import demand, and macro context for the exporter-to-importer lane."
    },
    {
      "question": "Is this a guaranteed risk forecast?",
      "answer": "No. The page combines reported observations with calculated indicators for research. Validate counterparties, tariffs, standards, logistics, pricing, and commercial conditions before acting."
    },
    {
      "question": "How should this lane-risk page be used?",
      "answer": "Use it to identify questions for deeper product and importer-market research, then compare the lane with current trade, access conditions, source countries, and alternative markets."
    }
  ],
  "relatedLinks": {
    "exporter": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/exporter/deu/opportunities",
    "importer": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/importer/svn/opportunities",
    "product": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/product/020890",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology"
  },
  "methodology": {
    "summary": "Country-level reported trade observations and calculated indicators are shown separately. Validate counterparties, tariffs, standards, logistics, pricing, and competition before acting.",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology"
  },
  "links": {
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/lane-risk/deu-svn-020890",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/lane-risk/deu-svn-020890/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/lane-risk/deu-svn-020890/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/lane-risk/deu-svn-020890/index.ld.json",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-31)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
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    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
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    "accessed": "2026-08-31",
    "supportingSources": [
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        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
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        "accessed": "2026-08-31"
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    ]
  },
  "row": {
    "exporter_iso3": "DEU",
    "importer_iso3": "SVN",
    "hs_code": "020890",
    "hs_description": "Meat and edible meat offal: n.e.s. in chapter 2, fresh, chilled or frozen",
    "hs_chapter": "02",
    "hs_heading": "0208",
    "price_range_label": "Medium price range",
    "trade_type_label": "One-way trade",
    "substitution_elasticity": null,
    "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 14737650.83595949,
    "buyer_imports_avg_usd": 5745838.150745437,
    "buyer_imports_peak_usd": 14737650.83595949,
    "buyer_cagr_full_pct": 13.2498,
    "buyer_yoy_avg_pct": 24.912,
    "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": 23.8835,
    "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 58.6207,
    "buyer_imports_proj_3y_usd": 21406272.77,
    "buyer_imports_proj_5y_usd": 27454671.39,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 61526.331889,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 29201,
    "buyer_population_latest": 2107.007,
    "buyer_investment_rate": 25.41,
    "buyer_savings_rate": 26.98,
    "buyer_edu_secondary": 99.08,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2030_proj": 62634.09,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2030_proj": 30001.65,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_growth_pct": 2.74,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_growth_pct": 1.8,
    "buyer_pop_growth_pct": -0.92,
    "exports_latest_usd": 243382.9004760231,
    "exports_avg_usd": 134991.2843688066,
    "exports_peak_usd": 395659.40460630454,
    "share_latest_pct": 1.6514361968881435,
    "share_avg_pct": 3.2718454501831293,
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    "share_change_1y_pp": 0.0862428825200614,
    "share_trend_pp_per_yr": -0.047348,
    "cagr_full_pct": 9.7991,
    "yoy_avg_pct": 649.2695,
    "yoy_latest_pct": 30.7096,
    "trend_consistency_pct": 54.1667,
    "exports_proj_3y_usd": 322170.64,
    "exports_proj_5y_usd": 388403.57,
    "your_share_gap_pp": 27.1041,
    "addressable_proj_3y_usd": 5801987.54,
    "addressable_proj_5y_usd": 7441354.37,
    "peer_best_share_pct": 28.755582750050436,
    "peer_top_exporter": "POL",
    "num_suppliers_latest": 24,
    "buyer_herfindahl_index": 1760.87,
    "distance_km": 814.8665161132812,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0.6631144881248474,
    "has_wto_reported_fta": 1,
    "buyer_is_eu_member": 1,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 8,
    "shared_legal_system": 0,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "buyer_is_wto_member": 1,
    "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8431626574436063,
    "lane_max_drawdown_pct": 99.74048260683249,
    "signal_flag": "Growing",
    "lane_data_years": 25,
    "lane_last_year": 2024,
    "access_data_year": 2024,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 3.794091419026821,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 4.4236926302681985,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0.6816641003586207,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": 3.742028529909578,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": 2,
    "buyer_macro_latest_year": 2024,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 6.242315191123926,
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    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0.3708767889949005,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 25.509999999999998,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 27.077999999999996,
    "current_below_peak_usd": 152276.50413028145,
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    "latest_vs_historical_avg_pct": 80.29526988652262,
    "share_change_all_pp": -1.1837,
    "volatility_label": "Variable",
    "drawdown_label": "Still 25-50% below historical peak",
    "competition_label": "Moderately concentrated buyer market",
    "demand_label": "Buyer demand stable or growing",
    "access_label": "Reported FTA available",
    "macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
    "risk_driver_labels": [],
    "risk_driver_count": 0,
    "attention_level": "Stable",
    "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified"
  },
  "content": {
    "hero": {
      "exporter": "Germany",
      "importer": "SVN",
      "product": "Meat and edible meat offal",
      "hsCode": "020890",
      "summary": "A research view of trade recovery, volatility, drawdown, access conditions, competition, import demand, and macro context for this exporter-to-importer lane.",
      "primaryRiskReason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "attention": "Stable"
    },
    "kpis": {
      "laneVolatility": "0.8",
      "maximumDrawdown": "99.7%",
      "importerMarketImports": "$14.7M",
      "exporterMarketShare": "1.7%"
    },
    "marketContext": {
      "importerMarketImports": "$14.7M",
      "importerMarketCagr": "+13.2%",
      "importerGdp": "$61.5K",
      "importerGdpPerCapita": "$29.2K",
      "importerPopulation": "2,107",
      "macroResilience": "Buyer macro trend resilient"
    },
    "routeContext": {
      "distanceKm": "815",
      "businessEntryDays": "8",
      "reportedFta": "Yes",
      "appliedTariff": "3.8%",
      "preferentialTariff": "0.7%",
      "tradeType": "One-way trade"
    },
    "evidence": [
      {
        "measure": "Importer-market imports",
        "value": "$14.7M",
        "meaning": "SVN latest reported imports",
        "kind": "Reported"
      },
      {
        "measure": "Exporter exports",
        "value": "$243.4K",
        "meaning": "Germany latest reported exports to SVN",
        "kind": "Reported"
      },
      {
        "measure": "Historical peak exports",
        "value": "$395.7K",
        "meaning": "Highest reported lane exports",
        "kind": "Reported"
      },
      {
        "measure": "Current below peak",
        "value": "38.5%",
        "meaning": "Difference from historical peak",
        "kind": "Calculated"
      },
      {
        "measure": "Historical-average comparison",
        "value": "+80.3%",
        "meaning": "Current value compared with historical average",
        "kind": "Calculated"
      },
      {
        "measure": "Import-demand change",
        "value": "+23.9%",
        "meaning": "Latest annual change in importer-market imports",
        "kind": "Calculated"
      },
      {
        "measure": "Importer-market five-year projection",
        "value": "$27.5M",
        "meaning": "Calculated import-market projection",
        "kind": "Calculated"
      },
      {
        "measure": "Exporter market share",
        "value": "1.7%",
        "meaning": "Exporter share of reported importer-market imports",
        "kind": "Calculated"
      },
      {
        "measure": "Addressable three-year value",
        "value": "$5.8M",
        "meaning": "Calculated addressable trade projection",
        "kind": "Calculated"
      },
      {
        "measure": "Reported source countries",
        "value": "24",
        "meaning": "Latest observed exporter-country count",
        "kind": "Reported"
      },
      {
        "measure": "Applied tariff",
        "value": "3.8%",
        "meaning": "Average applied tariff indicator",
        "kind": "Reported"
      },
      {
        "measure": "Preferential tariff",
        "value": "0.7%",
        "meaning": "Average preferential tariff indicator",
        "kind": "Reported"
      },
      {
        "measure": "Tariff advantage",
        "value": "+3.7 pp",
        "meaning": "Difference between relevant tariff indicators",
        "kind": "Calculated"
      },
      {
        "measure": "Lane volatility",
        "value": "0.8",
        "meaning": "Variation across observed values",
        "kind": "Calculated"
      },
      {
        "measure": "Maximum drawdown",
        "value": "99.7%",
        "meaning": "Largest fall from a prior peak",
        "kind": "Calculated"
      },
      {
        "measure": "Risk drivers",
        "value": "",
        "meaning": "Recorded calculated driver categories",
        "kind": "Calculated"
      },
      {
        "measure": "Macro resilience",
        "value": "importer macro trend resilient",
        "meaning": "Importer-country macro classification",
        "kind": "Calculated"
      },
      {
        "measure": "Observed history",
        "value": "25 years",
        "meaning": "Coverage through 2024",
        "kind": "Reported"
      }
    ],
    "faq": [
      {
        "question": "What does Germany to SVN lane risk mean?",
        "answer": "It summarizes country-level reported trade recovery, volatility, drawdown, access conditions, competition, import demand, and macro context for the exporter-to-importer lane."
      },
      {
        "question": "Is this a guaranteed risk forecast?",
        "answer": "No. The page combines reported observations with calculated indicators for research. Validate counterparties, tariffs, standards, logistics, pricing, and commercial conditions before acting."
      },
      {
        "question": "How should this lane-risk page be used?",
        "answer": "Use it to identify questions for deeper product and importer-market research, then compare the lane with current trade, access conditions, source countries, and alternative markets."
      }
    ],
    "relatedLinks": {
      "exporter": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/exporter/deu/opportunities",
      "importer": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/importer/svn/opportunities",
      "product": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/product/020890",
      "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology"
    },
    "methodology": {
      "summary": "Country-level reported trade observations and calculated indicators are shown separately. Validate counterparties, tariffs, standards, logistics, pricing, and competition before acting.",
      "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology"
    },
    "sourceAttribution": {
      "publisher": "OECD",
      "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
      "year": 2025,
      "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-31)",
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      "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
      "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
      "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
      "accessed": "2026-08-31",
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          "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
          "release": "202601",
          "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
          "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
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          "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
          "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
          "accessed": "2026-08-31"
        }
      ]
    }
  },
  "artifactContract": {
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    "markdown": "Full readable content and evidence table",
    "json": "Complete structured page payload including raw row and rendered values",
    "jsonLd": "Dataset metadata, publisher, FAQ, evidence variables, and provenance"
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}