{
  "template": "T14",
  "templateName": "HS6 Lane Risk and Access Profile",
  "source": "api",
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks",
    "logo": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/yugalinks-logo-v3-dark-mode.webp"
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    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "seo": {
    "title": "HS 410150 Vehicle Parts Trade Risk | Germany-UK | Yugalinks",
    "description": "HS 410150 vehicle parts and accessories between Germany and PRT: lane risk, import demand, tariffs, market access, suppliers, and history.",
    "keywords": [
      "HS 410150",
      "HS code 410150",
      "vehicle parts and accessories",
      "motor vehicle parts",
      "Germany to PRT trade",
      "vehicle parts tariff",
      "automotive parts trade",
      "trade lane risk",
      "market access",
      "supplier competition"
    ],
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/lane-risk/deu-prt-410150",
    "robots": "index, follow"
  },
  "breadcrumbs": [
    {
      "name": "Home",
      "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com/"
    },
    {
      "name": "Trade data",
      "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/"
    },
    {
      "name": "Germany to PRT HS 410150 lane risk",
      "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/lane-risk/deu-prt-410150"
    }
  ],
  "sections": [
    "overview",
    "market-context",
    "trade-evidence",
    "risk-signals",
    "faq",
    "related-analysis",
    "data-source"
  ],
  "faq": [
    {
      "question": "What does Germany to PRT lane risk mean?",
      "answer": "It summarizes country-level reported trade recovery, volatility, drawdown, access conditions, competition, import demand, and macro context for the exporter-to-importer lane."
    },
    {
      "question": "Is this a guaranteed risk forecast?",
      "answer": "No. The page combines reported observations with calculated indicators for research. Validate counterparties, tariffs, standards, logistics, pricing, and commercial conditions before acting."
    },
    {
      "question": "How should this lane-risk page be used?",
      "answer": "Use it to identify questions for deeper product and importer-market research, then compare the lane with current trade, access conditions, source countries, and alternative markets."
    }
  ],
  "relatedLinks": {
    "exporter": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/exporter/deu/opportunities",
    "importer": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/importer/prt/opportunities",
    "product": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/product/410150",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology"
  },
  "methodology": {
    "summary": "Country-level reported trade observations and calculated indicators are shown separately. Validate counterparties, tariffs, standards, logistics, pricing, and competition before acting.",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology"
  },
  "links": {
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/lane-risk/deu-prt-410150",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/lane-risk/deu-prt-410150/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/lane-risk/deu-prt-410150/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/lane-risk/deu-prt-410150/index.ld.json",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-31)",
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    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-31",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
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        "accessed": "2026-08-31"
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    ]
  },
  "row": {
    "exporter_iso3": "DEU",
    "importer_iso3": "PRT",
    "hs_code": "410150",
    "hs_description": "Hides and skins: raw, whole, of bovine or equine animals, of a weight per skin exceeding 16 kg",
    "hs_chapter": "41",
    "hs_heading": "4101",
    "price_range_label": null,
    "trade_type_label": null,
    "substitution_elasticity": null,
    "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 16691982.353175022,
    "buyer_imports_avg_usd": 26466691.91836233,
    "buyer_imports_peak_usd": 46432547.149878085,
    "buyer_cagr_full_pct": -3.2982,
    "buyer_yoy_avg_pct": 1.2861,
    "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": -46.8143,
    "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 55.1724,
    "buyer_imports_proj_3y_usd": 15094262.77,
    "buyer_imports_proj_5y_usd": 14115011.37,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 249886.464355,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 24262,
    "buyer_population_latest": 10299.423,
    "buyer_investment_rate": 22.99,
    "buyer_savings_rate": 19.26,
    "buyer_edu_secondary": 69.12,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2030_proj": 254408.44,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2030_proj": 25136.66,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_growth_pct": 3.61,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_growth_pct": 1.81,
    "buyer_pop_growth_pct": -1.73,
    "exports_latest_usd": 1517952.3808667297,
    "exports_avg_usd": 2334710.617619963,
    "exports_peak_usd": 9015413.415058035,
    "share_latest_pct": 9.093901184109486,
    "share_avg_pct": 7.4247792907733565,
    "share_peak_pct": 22.2487115157413,
    "share_change_1y_pp": -3.1762635511272954,
    "share_trend_pp_per_yr": -0.207341,
    "cagr_full_pct": -4.9759,
    "yoy_avg_pct": 33.1412,
    "yoy_latest_pct": -60.582,
    "trend_consistency_pct": 41.3793,
    "exports_proj_3y_usd": 1302446.53,
    "exports_proj_5y_usd": 1176055.29,
    "your_share_gap_pp": 27.3884,
    "addressable_proj_3y_usd": 4134074.25,
    "addressable_proj_5y_usd": 3865873.14,
    "peer_best_share_pct": 36.48228251967801,
    "peer_top_exporter": "ESP",
    "num_suppliers_latest": 22,
    "buyer_herfindahl_index": 1713.7,
    "distance_km": 1892.0323486328125,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0.23632767796516418,
    "has_wto_reported_fta": 1,
    "buyer_is_eu_member": 1,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 6.5,
    "shared_legal_system": 0,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "buyer_is_wto_member": 1,
    "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9943454745788657,
    "lane_max_drawdown_pct": 99.32561519753159,
    "signal_flag": "Slowing",
    "lane_data_years": 30,
    "lane_last_year": 2024,
    "access_data_year": 2024,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 0,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 0,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": 0,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": 2,
    "buyer_macro_latest_year": 2024,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 5.462941650481978,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 4.644844908749368,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0.7817840835313117,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 23.083999999999996,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 19.34,
    "current_below_peak_usd": 7497461.034191306,
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    "latest_vs_historical_avg_pct": -34.9832750401353,
    "share_change_all_pp": -6.22023,
    "volatility_label": "Variable",
    "drawdown_label": "Still more than 50% below historical peak",
    "competition_label": "Moderately concentrated buyer market",
    "demand_label": "Buyer demand softened recently",
    "access_label": "Reported FTA available",
    "macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "unrecovered_drawdown"
    ],
    "risk_driver_count": 1,
    "attention_level": "Watch",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak"
  },
  "content": {
    "hero": {
      "exporter": "Germany",
      "importer": "PRT",
      "product": "Hides and skins",
      "hsCode": "410150",
      "summary": "A research view of trade recovery, volatility, drawdown, access conditions, competition, import demand, and macro context for this exporter-to-importer lane.",
      "primaryRiskReason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "attention": "Watch"
    },
    "kpis": {
      "laneVolatility": "1",
      "maximumDrawdown": "99.3%",
      "importerMarketImports": "$16.7M",
      "exporterMarketShare": "9.1%"
    },
    "marketContext": {
      "importerMarketImports": "$16.7M",
      "importerMarketCagr": "-3.3%",
      "importerGdp": "$249.9K",
      "importerGdpPerCapita": "$24.3K",
      "importerPopulation": "10,299",
      "macroResilience": "Buyer macro trend resilient"
    },
    "routeContext": {
      "distanceKm": "1,892",
      "businessEntryDays": "6.5",
      "reportedFta": "Yes",
      "appliedTariff": "0%",
      "preferentialTariff": "0%",
      "tradeType": null
    },
    "evidence": [
      {
        "measure": "Importer-market imports",
        "value": "$16.7M",
        "meaning": "PRT latest reported imports",
        "kind": "Reported"
      },
      {
        "measure": "Exporter exports",
        "value": "$1.5M",
        "meaning": "Germany latest reported exports to PRT",
        "kind": "Reported"
      },
      {
        "measure": "Historical peak exports",
        "value": "$9.0M",
        "meaning": "Highest reported lane exports",
        "kind": "Reported"
      },
      {
        "measure": "Current below peak",
        "value": "83.2%",
        "meaning": "Difference from historical peak",
        "kind": "Calculated"
      },
      {
        "measure": "Historical-average comparison",
        "value": "-35%",
        "meaning": "Current value compared with historical average",
        "kind": "Calculated"
      },
      {
        "measure": "Import-demand change",
        "value": "-46.8%",
        "meaning": "Latest annual change in importer-market imports",
        "kind": "Calculated"
      },
      {
        "measure": "Importer-market five-year projection",
        "value": "$14.1M",
        "meaning": "Calculated import-market projection",
        "kind": "Calculated"
      },
      {
        "measure": "Exporter market share",
        "value": "9.1%",
        "meaning": "Exporter share of reported importer-market imports",
        "kind": "Calculated"
      },
      {
        "measure": "Addressable three-year value",
        "value": "$4.1M",
        "meaning": "Calculated addressable trade projection",
        "kind": "Calculated"
      },
      {
        "measure": "Reported source countries",
        "value": "22",
        "meaning": "Latest observed exporter-country count",
        "kind": "Reported"
      },
      {
        "measure": "Applied tariff",
        "value": "0%",
        "meaning": "Average applied tariff indicator",
        "kind": "Reported"
      },
      {
        "measure": "Preferential tariff",
        "value": "0%",
        "meaning": "Average preferential tariff indicator",
        "kind": "Reported"
      },
      {
        "measure": "Tariff advantage",
        "value": "+0 pp",
        "meaning": "Difference between relevant tariff indicators",
        "kind": "Calculated"
      },
      {
        "measure": "Lane volatility",
        "value": "1",
        "meaning": "Variation across observed values",
        "kind": "Calculated"
      },
      {
        "measure": "Maximum drawdown",
        "value": "99.3%",
        "meaning": "Largest fall from a prior peak",
        "kind": "Calculated"
      },
      {
        "measure": "Risk drivers",
        "value": "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "meaning": "Recorded calculated driver categories",
        "kind": "Calculated"
      },
      {
        "measure": "Macro resilience",
        "value": "importer macro trend resilient",
        "meaning": "Importer-country macro classification",
        "kind": "Calculated"
      },
      {
        "measure": "Observed history",
        "value": "30 years",
        "meaning": "Coverage through 2024",
        "kind": "Reported"
      }
    ],
    "faq": [
      {
        "question": "What does Germany to PRT lane risk mean?",
        "answer": "It summarizes country-level reported trade recovery, volatility, drawdown, access conditions, competition, import demand, and macro context for the exporter-to-importer lane."
      },
      {
        "question": "Is this a guaranteed risk forecast?",
        "answer": "No. The page combines reported observations with calculated indicators for research. Validate counterparties, tariffs, standards, logistics, pricing, and commercial conditions before acting."
      },
      {
        "question": "How should this lane-risk page be used?",
        "answer": "Use it to identify questions for deeper product and importer-market research, then compare the lane with current trade, access conditions, source countries, and alternative markets."
      }
    ],
    "relatedLinks": {
      "exporter": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/exporter/deu/opportunities",
      "importer": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/importer/prt/opportunities",
      "product": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/product/410150",
      "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology"
    },
    "methodology": {
      "summary": "Country-level reported trade observations and calculated indicators are shown separately. Validate counterparties, tariffs, standards, logistics, pricing, and competition before acting.",
      "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology"
    },
    "sourceAttribution": {
      "publisher": "OECD",
      "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
      "year": 2025,
      "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-31)",
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      "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
      "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
      "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
      "accessed": "2026-08-31",
      "supportingSources": [
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          "publisher": "CEPII",
          "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
          "release": "202601",
          "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
          "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
          "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
          "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
          "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
          "accessed": "2026-08-31"
        }
      ]
    }
  },
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    "markdown": "Full readable content and evidence table",
    "json": "Complete structured page payload including raw row and rendered values",
    "jsonLd": "Dataset metadata, publisher, FAQ, evidence variables, and provenance"
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}