{ "template": "T14", "templateName": "HS6 Lane Risk and Access Profile", "source": "api", "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks", "logo": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/yugalinks-logo-v3-dark-mode.webp" }, "branding": { "brandName": "Yugalinks", "logo": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/yugalinks-logo-v3-dark-mode.webp", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "seo": { "title": "HS 721069 Vehicle Parts Trade Risk | Germany-UK | Yugalinks", "description": "HS 721069 vehicle parts and accessories between Germany and POL: lane risk, import demand, tariffs, market access, suppliers, and history.", "keywords": [ "HS 721069", "HS code 721069", "vehicle parts and accessories", "motor vehicle parts", "Germany to POL trade", "vehicle parts tariff", "automotive parts trade", "trade lane risk", "market access", "supplier competition" ], "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/lane-risk/deu-pol-721069", "robots": "index, follow" }, "breadcrumbs": [ { "name": "Home", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com/" }, { "name": "Trade data", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/" }, { "name": "Germany to POL HS 721069 lane risk", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/lane-risk/deu-pol-721069" } ], "sections": [ "overview", "market-context", "trade-evidence", "risk-signals", "faq", "related-analysis", "data-source" ], "faq": [ { "question": "What does Germany to POL lane risk mean?", "answer": "It summarizes country-level reported trade recovery, volatility, drawdown, access conditions, competition, import demand, and macro context for the exporter-to-importer lane." }, { "question": "Is this a guaranteed risk forecast?", "answer": "No. The page combines reported observations with calculated indicators for research. 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Validate counterparties, tariffs, standards, logistics, pricing, and competition before acting.", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology" }, "links": { "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/lane-risk/deu-pol-721069", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/lane-risk/deu-pol-721069/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/lane-risk/deu-pol-721069/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/lane-risk/deu-pol-721069/index.ld.json", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-31)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-31", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. 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The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-31" } ] }, "row": { "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "POL", "hs_code": "721069", "hs_description": "Iron or non-alloy steel: flat-rolled, width 600mm or more, plated or coated with aluminium, other than plated or coated with aluminium zinc-alloys", "hs_chapter": "72", "hs_heading": "7210", "price_range_label": "Medium price range", "trade_type_label": "One-way trade", "substitution_elasticity": -7.44384, "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 36806479.28426961, "buyer_imports_avg_usd": 19601110.08284253, "buyer_imports_peak_usd": 37436246.97431454, "buyer_cagr_full_pct": 12.1009, "buyer_yoy_avg_pct": 20.4817, 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"exports_proj_5y_usd": 25640151.87, "your_share_gap_pp": 0, "addressable_proj_3y_usd": 0, "addressable_proj_5y_usd": 0, "peer_best_share_pct": 42.23370241843733, "peer_top_exporter": "DEU", "num_suppliers_latest": 19, "buyer_herfindahl_index": 2611.99, "distance_km": 965.921142578125, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0.36330801248550415, "has_wto_reported_fta": 1, "buyer_is_eu_member": 1, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 37, "shared_legal_system": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shares_land_border": 1, "buyer_is_wto_member": 1, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7759995316639466, "lane_max_drawdown_pct": 84.89021056944962, "signal_flag": "Growing", "lane_data_years": 30, "lane_last_year": 2024, "access_data_year": 2024, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 8.091394394890946, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 9.345920419547326, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 4.750617460720163, "tariff_advantage_pp": 4.595302958827164, "rta_coverage_ratio": 2, "buyer_macro_latest_year": 2024, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 8.774876361756622, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 9.599090635201723, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": -0.7520265621440814, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 22.94, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 22.524, "current_below_peak_usd": 4597248.80227177, "current_below_peak_pct": 22.824206145929374, "latest_vs_historical_avg_pct": 76.71517390640776, "share_change_all_pp": -22.14945, "volatility_label": "Variable", "drawdown_label": "Recovered after a severe historical decline", "competition_label": "Concentrated buyer market", "demand_label": "Buyer demand softened recently", "access_label": "Reported FTA available", "macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market" ], "risk_driver_count": 1, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers" }, "content": { "hero": { "exporter": "Germany", "importer": "POL", "product": "Iron or non-alloy steel", "hsCode": "721069", "summary": "A research view of trade recovery, volatility, drawdown, access conditions, competition, import demand, and macro context for this exporter-to-importer lane.", "primaryRiskReason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "attention": "Watch" }, "kpis": { "laneVolatility": "0.8", "maximumDrawdown": "84.9%", "importerMarketImports": "$36.8M", "exporterMarketShare": "42.2%" }, "marketContext": { "importerMarketImports": "$36.8M", "importerMarketCagr": "+12.1%", "importerGdp": "$674.0K", "importerGdpPerCapita": "$17.8K", "importerPopulation": "37,781", "macroResilience": "Buyer macro trend resilient" }, "routeContext": { "distanceKm": "966", "businessEntryDays": "37", "reportedFta": "Yes", "appliedTariff": "8.1%", "preferentialTariff": "4.8%", "tradeType": "One-way trade" }, "evidence": [ { "measure": "Importer-market imports", "value": "$36.8M", "meaning": "POL latest reported imports", "kind": "Reported" }, { "measure": "Exporter exports", "value": "$15.5M", "meaning": "Germany latest reported exports to POL", "kind": "Reported" }, { "measure": "Historical peak exports", "value": "$20.1M", "meaning": "Highest reported lane exports", "kind": "Reported" }, { "measure": "Current below peak", "value": "22.8%", "meaning": "Difference from historical peak", "kind": "Calculated" }, { "measure": "Historical-average comparison", "value": "+76.7%", "meaning": "Current value compared with historical average", "kind": "Calculated" }, { "measure": "Import-demand change", "value": "-1.7%", "meaning": "Latest annual change in importer-market imports", "kind": "Calculated" }, { "measure": "Importer-market five-year projection", "value": "$65.2M", "meaning": "Calculated import-market projection", "kind": "Calculated" }, { "measure": "Exporter market share", "value": "42.2%", "meaning": "Exporter share of reported importer-market imports", "kind": "Calculated" }, { "measure": "Addressable three-year value", "value": "$0.0", "meaning": "Calculated addressable trade projection", "kind": "Calculated" }, { "measure": "Reported source countries", "value": "19", "meaning": "Latest observed exporter-country count", "kind": "Reported" }, { "measure": "Applied tariff", "value": "8.1%", "meaning": "Average applied tariff indicator", "kind": "Reported" }, { "measure": "Preferential tariff", "value": "4.8%", "meaning": "Average preferential tariff indicator", "kind": "Reported" }, { "measure": "Tariff advantage", "value": "+4.6 pp", "meaning": "Difference between relevant tariff indicators", "kind": "Calculated" }, { "measure": "Lane volatility", "value": "0.8", "meaning": "Variation across observed values", "kind": "Calculated" }, { "measure": "Maximum drawdown", "value": "84.9%", "meaning": "Largest fall from a prior peak", "kind": "Calculated" }, { "measure": "Risk drivers", "value": "concentrated_buyer_market", "meaning": "Recorded calculated driver categories", "kind": "Calculated" }, { "measure": "Macro resilience", "value": "importer macro trend resilient", "meaning": "Importer-country macro classification", "kind": "Calculated" }, { "measure": "Observed history", "value": "30 years", "meaning": "Coverage through 2024", "kind": "Reported" } ], "faq": [ { "question": "What does Germany to POL lane risk mean?", "answer": "It summarizes country-level reported trade recovery, volatility, drawdown, access conditions, competition, import demand, and macro context for the exporter-to-importer lane." }, { "question": "Is this a guaranteed risk forecast?", "answer": "No. The page combines reported observations with calculated indicators for research. 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