{ "template": "T14", "templateName": "HS6 Lane Risk and Access Profile", "source": "api", "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks", "logo": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/yugalinks-logo-v3-dark-mode.webp" }, "branding": { "brandName": "Yugalinks", "logo": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/yugalinks-logo-v3-dark-mode.webp", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "seo": { "title": "HS 200520 Vehicle Parts Trade Risk | Germany-UK | Yugalinks", "description": "HS 200520 vehicle parts and accessories between Germany and MKD: lane risk, import demand, tariffs, market access, suppliers, and history.", "keywords": [ "HS 200520", "HS code 200520", "vehicle parts and accessories", "motor vehicle parts", "Germany to MKD trade", "vehicle parts tariff", "automotive parts trade", "trade lane risk", "market access", "supplier competition" ], "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/lane-risk/deu-mkd-200520", "robots": "index, follow" }, "breadcrumbs": [ { "name": "Home", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com/" }, { "name": "Trade data", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/" }, { "name": "Germany to MKD HS 200520 lane risk", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/lane-risk/deu-mkd-200520" } ], "sections": [ "overview", "market-context", "trade-evidence", "risk-signals", "faq", "related-analysis", "data-source" ], "faq": [ { "question": "What does Germany to MKD lane risk mean?", "answer": "It summarizes country-level reported trade recovery, volatility, drawdown, access conditions, competition, import demand, and macro context for the exporter-to-importer lane." }, { "question": "Is this a guaranteed risk forecast?", "answer": "No. The page combines reported observations with calculated indicators for research. 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The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-31" } ] }, "row": { "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "MKD", "hs_code": "200520", "hs_description": "Vegetable preparations: potatoes, prepared or preserved otherwise than by vinegar or acetic acid, not frozen", "hs_chapter": "20", "hs_heading": "2005", "price_range_label": "Low price range", "trade_type_label": "Two-way horizontal trade", "substitution_elasticity": -10.828943, "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 13259966.725625856, "buyer_imports_avg_usd": 4991690.419984321, "buyer_imports_peak_usd": 13259966.725625856, "buyer_cagr_full_pct": 11.631, "buyer_yoy_avg_pct": 18.8356, "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": 11.8959, 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"200520", "summary": "A research view of trade recovery, volatility, drawdown, access conditions, competition, import demand, and macro context for this exporter-to-importer lane.", "primaryRiskReason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "attention": "Watch" }, "kpis": { "laneVolatility": "0.8", "maximumDrawdown": "90.4%", "importerMarketImports": "$13.3M", "exporterMarketShare": "2.1%" }, "marketContext": { "importerMarketImports": "$13.3M", "importerMarketCagr": "+11.6%", "importerGdp": "$13.9K", "importerGdpPerCapita": "$6.7K", "importerPopulation": "2,065", "macroResilience": "Buyer macro trend resilient" }, "routeContext": { "distanceKm": "1,522", "businessEntryDays": "15", "reportedFta": "Yes", "appliedTariff": "7%", "preferentialTariff": "0.7%", "tradeType": "Two-way horizontal trade" }, "evidence": [ { "measure": "Importer-market imports", "value": "$13.3M", "meaning": "MKD latest reported imports", "kind": "Reported" }, { "measure": "Exporter exports", "value": "$274.2K", "meaning": "Germany latest reported exports to MKD", "kind": "Reported" }, { "measure": "Historical peak exports", "value": "$309.9K", "meaning": "Highest reported lane exports", "kind": "Reported" }, { "measure": "Current below peak", "value": "11.5%", "meaning": "Difference from historical peak", "kind": "Calculated" }, { "measure": "Historical-average comparison", "value": "+164.2%", "meaning": "Current value compared with historical average", "kind": "Calculated" }, { "measure": "Import-demand change", "value": "+11.9%", "meaning": "Latest annual change in importer-market imports", "kind": "Calculated" }, { "measure": "Importer-market five-year projection", "value": "$23.0M", "meaning": "Calculated import-market projection", "kind": "Calculated" }, { "measure": "Exporter market share", "value": "2.1%", "meaning": "Exporter share of reported importer-market imports", "kind": "Calculated" }, { "measure": "Addressable three-year value", "value": "$15.8M", "meaning": "Calculated addressable trade projection", "kind": "Calculated" }, { "measure": "Reported source countries", "value": "19", "meaning": "Latest observed exporter-country count", "kind": "Reported" }, { "measure": "Applied tariff", "value": "7%", "meaning": "Average applied tariff indicator", "kind": "Reported" }, { "measure": "Preferential tariff", "value": "0.7%", "meaning": "Average preferential tariff indicator", "kind": "Reported" }, { "measure": "Tariff advantage", "value": "+9.8 pp", "meaning": "Difference between relevant tariff indicators", "kind": "Calculated" }, { "measure": "Lane volatility", "value": "0.8", "meaning": "Variation across observed values", "kind": "Calculated" }, { "measure": "Maximum drawdown", "value": "90.4%", "meaning": "Largest fall from a prior peak", "kind": "Calculated" }, { "measure": "Risk drivers", "value": "concentrated_buyer_market, dominant_supplier", "meaning": "Recorded calculated driver categories", "kind": "Calculated" }, { "measure": "Macro resilience", "value": "importer macro trend resilient", "meaning": "Importer-country macro classification", "kind": "Calculated" }, { "measure": "Observed history", "value": "29 years", "meaning": "Coverage through 2024", "kind": "Reported" } ], "faq": [ { "question": "What does Germany to MKD lane risk mean?", "answer": "It summarizes country-level reported trade recovery, volatility, drawdown, access conditions, competition, import demand, and macro context for the exporter-to-importer lane." }, { "question": "Is this a guaranteed risk forecast?", "answer": "No. The page combines reported observations with calculated indicators for research. 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