{ "template": "T14", "templateName": "HS6 Lane Risk and Access Profile", "source": "api", "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks", "logo": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/yugalinks-logo-v3-dark-mode.webp" }, "branding": { "brandName": "Yugalinks", "logo": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/yugalinks-logo-v3-dark-mode.webp", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "seo": { "title": "HS 848640 Vehicle Parts Trade Risk | Germany-UK | Yugalinks", "description": "HS 848640 vehicle parts and accessories between Germany and KOR: lane risk, import demand, tariffs, market access, suppliers, and history.", "keywords": [ "HS 848640", "HS code 848640", "vehicle parts and accessories", "motor vehicle parts", "Germany to KOR trade", "vehicle parts tariff", "automotive parts trade", "trade lane risk", "market access", "supplier competition" ], "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/lane-risk/deu-kor-848640", "robots": "index, follow" }, "breadcrumbs": [ { "name": "Home", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com/" }, { "name": "Trade data", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/" }, { "name": "Germany to KOR HS 848640 lane risk", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/lane-risk/deu-kor-848640" } ], "sections": [ "overview", "market-context", "trade-evidence", "risk-signals", "faq", "related-analysis", "data-source" ], "faq": [ { "question": "What does Germany to KOR lane risk mean?", "answer": "It summarizes country-level reported trade recovery, volatility, drawdown, access conditions, competition, import demand, and macro context for the exporter-to-importer lane." }, { "question": "Is this a guaranteed risk forecast?", "answer": "No. The page combines reported observations with calculated indicators for research. 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(2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-31" } ] }, "row": { "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "KOR", "hs_code": "848640", "hs_description": "Machines and apparatus of a kind used solely or principally for the manufacture or repair of masks and reticles, assembling semiconductor devices or electronic integrated circuits, or for lifting, handling, loading or unloading items of heading 8486", "hs_chapter": "84", "hs_heading": "8486", "price_range_label": null, "trade_type_label": null, "substitution_elasticity": -4.7443595, "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 1551597247.3234575, "buyer_imports_avg_usd": 842876522.2215607, "buyer_imports_peak_usd": 1577415968.3267672, 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apparatus of a kind used solely or principally for the manufacture or repair of masks and reticles, assembling semiconductor devices or electronic integrated circuits, or for lifting, handling, loading or unloading items of heading 8486", "hsCode": "848640", "summary": "A research view of trade recovery, volatility, drawdown, access conditions, competition, import demand, and macro context for this exporter-to-importer lane.", "primaryRiskReason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "attention": "Watch" }, "kpis": { "laneVolatility": "0.6", "maximumDrawdown": "74.9%", "importerMarketImports": "$1.6B", "exporterMarketShare": "4.4%" }, "marketContext": { "importerMarketImports": "$1.6B", "importerMarketCagr": "+2.5%", "importerGdp": "$1.8M", "importerGdpPerCapita": "$34.8K", "importerPopulation": "51,745", "macroResilience": "Buyer macro trend resilient" }, "routeContext": { "distanceKm": "8,544", "businessEntryDays": "8", "reportedFta": "Yes", "appliedTariff": "13.7%", "preferentialTariff": "3.5%", "tradeType": null }, "evidence": [ { "measure": "Importer-market imports", "value": "$1.6B", "meaning": "KOR latest reported imports", "kind": "Reported" }, { "measure": "Exporter exports", "value": "$68.0M", "meaning": "Germany latest reported exports to KOR", "kind": "Reported" }, { "measure": "Historical peak exports", "value": "$68.0M", "meaning": "Highest reported lane exports", "kind": "Reported" }, { "measure": "Current below peak", "value": "0%", "meaning": "Difference from historical peak", "kind": "Calculated" }, { "measure": "Historical-average comparison", "value": "+136.6%", "meaning": "Current value compared with historical average", "kind": "Calculated" }, { "measure": "Import-demand change", "value": "+25.2%", "meaning": "Latest annual change in importer-market imports", "kind": "Calculated" }, { "measure": "Importer-market five-year projection", "value": "$1.8B", "meaning": "Calculated import-market projection", "kind": "Calculated" }, { "measure": "Exporter market share", "value": "4.4%", "meaning": "Exporter share of reported importer-market imports", "kind": "Calculated" }, { "measure": "Addressable three-year value", "value": "$730.9M", "meaning": "Calculated addressable trade projection", "kind": "Calculated" }, { "measure": "Reported source countries", "value": "31", "meaning": "Latest observed exporter-country count", "kind": "Reported" }, { "measure": "Applied tariff", "value": "13.7%", "meaning": "Average applied tariff indicator", "kind": "Reported" }, { "measure": "Preferential tariff", "value": "3.5%", "meaning": "Average preferential tariff indicator", "kind": "Reported" }, { "measure": "Tariff advantage", "value": "+11.1 pp", "meaning": "Difference between relevant tariff indicators", "kind": "Calculated" }, { "measure": "Lane volatility", "value": "0.6", "meaning": "Variation across observed values", "kind": "Calculated" }, { "measure": "Maximum drawdown", "value": "74.9%", "meaning": "Largest fall from a prior peak", "kind": "Calculated" }, { "measure": "Risk drivers", "value": "concentrated_buyer_market", "meaning": "Recorded calculated driver categories", "kind": "Calculated" }, { "measure": "Macro resilience", "value": "importer macro trend resilient", "meaning": "Importer-country macro classification", "kind": "Calculated" }, { "measure": "Observed history", "value": "30 years", "meaning": "Coverage through 2024", "kind": "Reported" } ], "faq": [ { "question": "What does Germany to KOR lane risk mean?", "answer": "It summarizes country-level reported trade recovery, volatility, drawdown, access conditions, competition, import demand, and macro context for the exporter-to-importer lane." }, { "question": "Is this a guaranteed risk forecast?", "answer": "No. The page combines reported observations with calculated indicators for research. 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