{
  "template": "T14",
  "templateName": "HS6 Lane Risk and Access Profile",
  "source": "api",
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks",
    "logo": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/yugalinks-logo-v3-dark-mode.webp"
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    "brandName": "Yugalinks",
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    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "seo": {
    "title": "HS 441233 Vehicle Parts Trade Risk | Germany-UK | Yugalinks",
    "description": "HS 441233 vehicle parts and accessories between Germany and KOR: lane risk, import demand, tariffs, market access, suppliers, and history.",
    "keywords": [
      "HS 441233",
      "HS code 441233",
      "vehicle parts and accessories",
      "motor vehicle parts",
      "Germany to KOR trade",
      "vehicle parts tariff",
      "automotive parts trade",
      "trade lane risk",
      "market access",
      "supplier competition"
    ],
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/lane-risk/deu-kor-441233",
    "robots": "index, follow"
  },
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    {
      "name": "Home",
      "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com/"
    },
    {
      "name": "Trade data",
      "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/"
    },
    {
      "name": "Germany to KOR HS 441233 lane risk",
      "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/lane-risk/deu-kor-441233"
    }
  ],
  "sections": [
    "overview",
    "market-context",
    "trade-evidence",
    "risk-signals",
    "faq",
    "related-analysis",
    "data-source"
  ],
  "faq": [
    {
      "question": "What does Germany to KOR lane risk mean?",
      "answer": "It summarizes country-level reported trade recovery, volatility, drawdown, access conditions, competition, import demand, and macro context for the exporter-to-importer lane."
    },
    {
      "question": "Is this a guaranteed risk forecast?",
      "answer": "No. The page combines reported observations with calculated indicators for research. Validate counterparties, tariffs, standards, logistics, pricing, and commercial conditions before acting."
    },
    {
      "question": "How should this lane-risk page be used?",
      "answer": "Use it to identify questions for deeper product and importer-market research, then compare the lane with current trade, access conditions, source countries, and alternative markets."
    }
  ],
  "relatedLinks": {
    "exporter": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/exporter/deu/opportunities",
    "importer": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/importer/kor/opportunities",
    "product": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/product/441233",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology"
  },
  "methodology": {
    "summary": "Country-level reported trade observations and calculated indicators are shown separately. Validate counterparties, tariffs, standards, logistics, pricing, and competition before acting.",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology"
  },
  "links": {
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/lane-risk/deu-kor-441233",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/lane-risk/deu-kor-441233/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/lane-risk/deu-kor-441233/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/lane-risk/deu-kor-441233/index.ld.json",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-31)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
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    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-31",
    "supportingSources": [
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        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
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  },
  "row": {
    "exporter_iso3": "DEU",
    "importer_iso3": "KOR",
    "hs_code": "441233",
    "hs_description": "Plywood: with sheets of wood only: not bamboo: each ply 6mm or less, with at least one outer ply of alder, ash, beech, birch, cherry, chestnut, elm, eucalyptus, hickory, horse chestnut, lime, maple, oak, plane, poplar, aspen, robinia, tulipwood or walnut",
    "hs_chapter": "44",
    "hs_heading": "4412",
    "price_range_label": null,
    "trade_type_label": null,
    "substitution_elasticity": null,
    "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 189487268.10915577,
    "buyer_imports_avg_usd": 73965453.19599481,
    "buyer_imports_peak_usd": 236610728.0111781,
    "buyer_cagr_full_pct": 14.8837,
    "buyer_yoy_avg_pct": 29.4031,
    "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": 35.5085,
    "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 62.069,
    "buyer_imports_proj_3y_usd": 287312764.08,
    "buyer_imports_proj_5y_usd": 379202778.45,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 1798533.915091,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 34758,
    "buyer_population_latest": 51744.877,
    "buyer_investment_rate": 32.11,
    "buyer_savings_rate": 33.94,
    "buyer_edu_secondary": 97.7,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2030_proj": 1946587.96,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2030_proj": 37762.75,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_growth_pct": 8.64,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_growth_pct": 8.23,
    "buyer_pop_growth_pct": -0.38,
    "exports_latest_usd": 595415.6366857297,
    "exports_avg_usd": 355911.75931134686,
    "exports_peak_usd": 2163486.15940373,
    "share_latest_pct": 0.3142246139422599,
    "share_avg_pct": 0.5776185602892004,
    "share_peak_pct": 1.9115951475221882,
    "share_change_1y_pp": -1.2329550841448533,
    "share_trend_pp_per_yr": -0.017436,
    "cagr_full_pct": 11.1465,
    "yoy_avg_pct": 8031.089,
    "yoy_latest_pct": -72.4789,
    "trend_consistency_pct": 48.2759,
    "exports_proj_3y_usd": 817538.28,
    "exports_proj_5y_usd": 1009950.31,
    "your_share_gap_pp": 44.4408,
    "addressable_proj_3y_usd": 127683964.62,
    "addressable_proj_5y_usd": 168520581.75,
    "peer_best_share_pct": 44.75498067681292,
    "peer_top_exporter": "RUS",
    "num_suppliers_latest": 20,
    "buyer_herfindahl_index": 2656.61,
    "distance_km": 8543.7841796875,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0,
    "has_wto_reported_fta": 1,
    "buyer_is_eu_member": 0,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 8,
    "shared_legal_system": 1,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "buyer_is_wto_member": 1,
    "lane_volatility_cv": 1.2274735683878835,
    "lane_max_drawdown_pct": 99.91170966398143,
    "signal_flag": "Growing",
    "lane_data_years": 30,
    "lane_last_year": 2024,
    "access_data_year": 2024,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 13.700167517901237,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 14.621537884156382,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 3.530356459824693,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": 11.091181424331689,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": 2,
    "buyer_macro_latest_year": 2024,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 1.3815058218118237,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 1.3868953035443221,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": -0.00531575773807802,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 32.412,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 34.20399999999999,
    "current_below_peak_usd": 1568070.5227180005,
    "current_below_peak_pct": 72.4788793264187,
    "latest_vs_historical_avg_pct": 67.29304978228272,
    "share_change_all_pp": -0.52308,
    "volatility_label": "Highly volatile",
    "drawdown_label": "Still more than 50% below historical peak",
    "competition_label": "Concentrated buyer market",
    "demand_label": "Buyer demand stable or growing",
    "access_label": "Reported FTA available",
    "macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "concentrated_buyer_market"
    ],
    "risk_driver_count": 3,
    "attention_level": "Watch",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak"
  },
  "content": {
    "hero": {
      "exporter": "Germany",
      "importer": "KOR",
      "product": "Plywood",
      "hsCode": "441233",
      "summary": "A research view of trade recovery, volatility, drawdown, access conditions, competition, import demand, and macro context for this exporter-to-importer lane.",
      "primaryRiskReason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "attention": "Watch"
    },
    "kpis": {
      "laneVolatility": "1.2",
      "maximumDrawdown": "99.9%",
      "importerMarketImports": "$189.5M",
      "exporterMarketShare": "0.3%"
    },
    "marketContext": {
      "importerMarketImports": "$189.5M",
      "importerMarketCagr": "+14.9%",
      "importerGdp": "$1.8M",
      "importerGdpPerCapita": "$34.8K",
      "importerPopulation": "51,745",
      "macroResilience": "Buyer macro trend resilient"
    },
    "routeContext": {
      "distanceKm": "8,544",
      "businessEntryDays": "8",
      "reportedFta": "Yes",
      "appliedTariff": "13.7%",
      "preferentialTariff": "3.5%",
      "tradeType": null
    },
    "evidence": [
      {
        "measure": "Importer-market imports",
        "value": "$189.5M",
        "meaning": "KOR latest reported imports",
        "kind": "Reported"
      },
      {
        "measure": "Exporter exports",
        "value": "$595.4K",
        "meaning": "Germany latest reported exports to KOR",
        "kind": "Reported"
      },
      {
        "measure": "Historical peak exports",
        "value": "$2.2M",
        "meaning": "Highest reported lane exports",
        "kind": "Reported"
      },
      {
        "measure": "Current below peak",
        "value": "72.5%",
        "meaning": "Difference from historical peak",
        "kind": "Calculated"
      },
      {
        "measure": "Historical-average comparison",
        "value": "+67.3%",
        "meaning": "Current value compared with historical average",
        "kind": "Calculated"
      },
      {
        "measure": "Import-demand change",
        "value": "+35.5%",
        "meaning": "Latest annual change in importer-market imports",
        "kind": "Calculated"
      },
      {
        "measure": "Importer-market five-year projection",
        "value": "$379.2M",
        "meaning": "Calculated import-market projection",
        "kind": "Calculated"
      },
      {
        "measure": "Exporter market share",
        "value": "0.3%",
        "meaning": "Exporter share of reported importer-market imports",
        "kind": "Calculated"
      },
      {
        "measure": "Addressable three-year value",
        "value": "$127.7M",
        "meaning": "Calculated addressable trade projection",
        "kind": "Calculated"
      },
      {
        "measure": "Reported source countries",
        "value": "20",
        "meaning": "Latest observed exporter-country count",
        "kind": "Reported"
      },
      {
        "measure": "Applied tariff",
        "value": "13.7%",
        "meaning": "Average applied tariff indicator",
        "kind": "Reported"
      },
      {
        "measure": "Preferential tariff",
        "value": "3.5%",
        "meaning": "Average preferential tariff indicator",
        "kind": "Reported"
      },
      {
        "measure": "Tariff advantage",
        "value": "+11.1 pp",
        "meaning": "Difference between relevant tariff indicators",
        "kind": "Calculated"
      },
      {
        "measure": "Lane volatility",
        "value": "1.2",
        "meaning": "Variation across observed values",
        "kind": "Calculated"
      },
      {
        "measure": "Maximum drawdown",
        "value": "99.9%",
        "meaning": "Largest fall from a prior peak",
        "kind": "Calculated"
      },
      {
        "measure": "Risk drivers",
        "value": "high_volatility, unrecovered_drawdown, concentrated_buyer_market",
        "meaning": "Recorded calculated driver categories",
        "kind": "Calculated"
      },
      {
        "measure": "Macro resilience",
        "value": "importer macro trend resilient",
        "meaning": "Importer-country macro classification",
        "kind": "Calculated"
      },
      {
        "measure": "Observed history",
        "value": "30 years",
        "meaning": "Coverage through 2024",
        "kind": "Reported"
      }
    ],
    "faq": [
      {
        "question": "What does Germany to KOR lane risk mean?",
        "answer": "It summarizes country-level reported trade recovery, volatility, drawdown, access conditions, competition, import demand, and macro context for the exporter-to-importer lane."
      },
      {
        "question": "Is this a guaranteed risk forecast?",
        "answer": "No. The page combines reported observations with calculated indicators for research. Validate counterparties, tariffs, standards, logistics, pricing, and commercial conditions before acting."
      },
      {
        "question": "How should this lane-risk page be used?",
        "answer": "Use it to identify questions for deeper product and importer-market research, then compare the lane with current trade, access conditions, source countries, and alternative markets."
      }
    ],
    "relatedLinks": {
      "exporter": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/exporter/deu/opportunities",
      "importer": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/importer/kor/opportunities",
      "product": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/product/441233",
      "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology"
    },
    "methodology": {
      "summary": "Country-level reported trade observations and calculated indicators are shown separately. Validate counterparties, tariffs, standards, logistics, pricing, and competition before acting.",
      "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology"
    },
    "sourceAttribution": {
      "publisher": "OECD",
      "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
      "year": 2025,
      "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-31)",
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      "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
      "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
      "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
      "accessed": "2026-08-31",
      "supportingSources": [
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          "publisher": "CEPII",
          "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
          "release": "202601",
          "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
          "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
          "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
          "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
          "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
          "accessed": "2026-08-31"
        }
      ]
    }
  },
  "artifactContract": {
    "html": "Full visual page",
    "markdown": "Full readable content and evidence table",
    "json": "Complete structured page payload including raw row and rendered values",
    "jsonLd": "Dataset metadata, publisher, FAQ, evidence variables, and provenance"
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}