{ "template": "T14", "templateName": "HS6 Lane Risk and Access Profile", "source": "api", "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks", "logo": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/yugalinks-logo-v3-dark-mode.webp" }, "branding": { "brandName": "Yugalinks", "logo": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/yugalinks-logo-v3-dark-mode.webp", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "seo": { "title": "HS 870899 Vehicle Parts Trade Risk | Bulgaria-UK | Yugalinks", "description": "HS 870899 vehicle parts and accessories between Bulgaria and United Kingdom: lane risk, import demand, tariffs, market access, suppliers, and history.", "keywords": [ "HS 870899", "HS code 870899", "vehicle parts and accessories", "motor vehicle parts", "Bulgaria to United Kingdom trade", "vehicle parts tariff", "automotive parts trade", "trade lane risk", "market access", "supplier competition" ], "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/lane-risk/bgr-gbr-870899", "robots": "index, follow" }, "breadcrumbs": [ { "name": "Home", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com/" }, { "name": "Trade data", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/" }, { "name": "Bulgaria to United Kingdom HS 870899 lane risk", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/lane-risk/bgr-gbr-870899" } ], "sections": [ "overview", "market-context", "trade-evidence", "risk-signals", "faq", "related-analysis", "data-source" ], "faq": [ { "question": "What does Bulgaria to United Kingdom lane risk mean?", "answer": "It summarizes country-level reported trade recovery, volatility, drawdown, access conditions, competition, import demand, and macro context for the exporter-to-importer lane." }, { "question": "Is this a guaranteed risk forecast?", "answer": "No. The page combines reported observations with calculated indicators for research. 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Validate counterparties, tariffs, standards, logistics, pricing, and competition before acting.", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology" }, "links": { "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/lane-risk/bgr-gbr-870899", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/lane-risk/bgr-gbr-870899/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/lane-risk/bgr-gbr-870899/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/lane-risk/bgr-gbr-870899/index.ld.json", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-31)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-31", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-31" } ] }, "row": { "exporter_iso3": "BGR", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "hs_code": "870899", "hs_description": "Vehicle parts and accessories: n.e.c. in heading no. 8708", "hs_chapter": "87", "hs_heading": "8708", "price_range_label": "Low price range", "trade_type_label": "Two-way vertical trade", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 2427002465.1731863, "buyer_imports_avg_usd": 3792802943.0579147, "buyer_imports_peak_usd": 6719814718.136552, "buyer_cagr_full_pct": -1.4079, "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": -10.0464, "buyer_imports_proj_3y_usd": 2325928156.8, "buyer_imports_proj_5y_usd": 2260894766.6, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 3186859.739185, 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softened recently", "access_label": "Reported FTA available", "macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown" ], "risk_driver_count": 2, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak" }, "content": { "hero": { "exporter": "Bulgaria", "importer": "United Kingdom", "product": "Vehicle parts and accessories", "hsCode": "870899", "summary": "A research view of trade recovery, volatility, drawdown, access conditions, competition, import demand, and macro context for this exporter-to-importer lane.", "primaryRiskReason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "attention": "High attention" }, "kpis": { "laneVolatility": "1.8", "maximumDrawdown": "100%", "importerMarketImports": "$2.4B", "exporterMarketShare": "0.2%" }, "marketContext": { "importerMarketImports": "$2.4B", "importerMarketCagr": "-1.4%", "importerGdp": "$3.2M", "importerGdpPerCapita": "$47.3K", "importerPopulation": "67,327", "macroResilience": "Buyer macro trend resilient" }, "routeContext": { "distanceKm": "2,019", "businessEntryDays": "4.5", "reportedFta": "Yes", "appliedTariff": "0%", "preferentialTariff": "0%", "tradeType": "Two-way vertical trade" }, "evidence": [ { "measure": "Importer-market imports", "value": "$2.4B", "meaning": "United Kingdom latest reported imports", "kind": "Reported" }, { "measure": "Exporter exports", "value": "$4.2M", "meaning": "Bulgaria latest reported exports to United Kingdom", "kind": "Reported" }, { "measure": "Historical peak exports", "value": "$9.5M", "meaning": "Highest reported lane exports", "kind": "Reported" }, { "measure": "Current below peak", "value": "55.8%", "meaning": "Difference from historical peak", "kind": "Calculated" }, { "measure": "Historical-average comparison", "value": "+293.7%", "meaning": "Current value compared with historical average", "kind": "Calculated" }, { "measure": "Import-demand change", "value": "-10%", "meaning": "Latest annual change in importer-market imports", "kind": "Calculated" }, { "measure": "Importer-market five-year projection", "value": "$2.3B", "meaning": "Calculated import-market projection", "kind": "Calculated" }, { "measure": "Exporter market share", "value": "0.2%", "meaning": "Exporter share of reported importer-market imports", "kind": "Calculated" }, { "measure": "Addressable three-year value", "value": "$292.4M", "meaning": "Calculated addressable trade projection", "kind": "Calculated" }, { "measure": "Reported source countries", "value": "105", "meaning": "Latest observed exporter-country count", "kind": "Reported" }, { "measure": "Applied tariff", "value": "0%", "meaning": "Average applied tariff indicator", "kind": "Reported" }, { "measure": "Preferential tariff", "value": "0%", "meaning": "Average preferential tariff indicator", "kind": "Reported" }, { "measure": "Tariff advantage", "value": "+0 pp", "meaning": "Difference between relevant tariff indicators", "kind": "Calculated" }, { "measure": "Lane volatility", "value": "1.8", "meaning": "Variation across observed values", "kind": "Calculated" }, { "measure": "Maximum drawdown", "value": "100%", "meaning": "Largest fall from a prior peak", "kind": "Calculated" }, { "measure": "Risk drivers", "value": "high_volatility, unrecovered_drawdown", "meaning": "Recorded calculated driver categories", "kind": "Calculated" }, { "measure": "Macro resilience", "value": "importer macro trend resilient", "meaning": "Importer-country macro classification", "kind": "Calculated" }, { "measure": "Observed history", "value": "30 years", "meaning": "Coverage through 2024", "kind": "Reported" } ], "faq": [ { "question": "What does Bulgaria to United Kingdom lane risk mean?", "answer": "It summarizes country-level reported trade recovery, volatility, drawdown, access conditions, competition, import demand, and macro context for the exporter-to-importer lane." }, { "question": "Is this a guaranteed risk forecast?", "answer": "No. The page combines reported observations with calculated indicators for research. Validate counterparties, tariffs, standards, logistics, pricing, and commercial conditions before acting." }, { "question": "How should this lane-risk page be used?", "answer": "Use it to identify questions for deeper product and importer-market research, then compare the lane with current trade, access conditions, source countries, and alternative markets." } ], "relatedLinks": { "exporter": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/exporter/bgr/opportunities", "importer": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/importer/gbr/opportunities", "product": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/product/870899", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology" }, "methodology": { "summary": "Country-level reported trade observations and calculated indicators are shown separately. 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