{ "template": "T3", "templateName": "Product Exporter Position Profile", "source": "api", "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com" }, "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/exporter/jpn/848210", "links": { "product": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/product/848210", "exporter": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/exporter/jpn/848210", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology" }, "methodology": { "summary": "Reported exporter totals are combined with destination, price, history, and country-context observations. Growth, concentration, weighted share, volatility, drawdown, and price-position values are calculated indicators rather than additional reported trade.", "reportedValues": "Merchandise trade observations for an exporter, HS6 product, destination market, and available year.", "destinations": "Destination rows are ranked by latest observed exporter-lane value.", "prices": "Unit values are reported trade value divided by reported quantity where quantity is positive.", "missingData": "Missing values are shown as Not reported and are not imputed." }, "exporter": { "hs_code": "848210", "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "first_data_year": 1995, "latest_data_year": 2024, "observed_lane_count": 198, "current_lane_count": 169, "active_market_count": 169, "exports_latest_observed_lanes_usd": 1602664391.5043714, "exports_current_2024_usd": 1602438084.9534922, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 1804396528.180928, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 1818808450.2450798, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 1856176557.2920094, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": -9.038351546576372, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": -3.8446599622139366, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": -2.338965344397337, "exports_all_year_lane_avg_usd": 1647561246.0534506, "exports_historical_lane_peak_usd": 3007856520.7990427, "historical_peak_year": 2011, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 48.275862068965516, "trend_acceleration_pct": -6.699386202179035, "trend_label": "Declining", "top_market_iso3": "CHN", "top_market_exports_usd": 398870695.63707495, "top_market_share_pct": 24.887973910911406, "destination_hhi": 1029.9259528579873, "weighted_share_latest_pct": 21.522844740407578, "weighted_share_change_1y_pp": -0.9591096711780356, "weighted_volatility_cv": 0.40577554273233274, "weighted_max_drawdown_pct": 53.016672901011525, "limited_history_lane_share_pct": 2.525252525252525, "data_freshness_years": 0, "coverage_score": 100, "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:29:06", "source": "api", "product": { "hs_code": 848210, "hs_description": "Ball bearings", "hs_chapter": 84, "hs_heading": 8482, "substitution_elasticity": -6.9276614, "price_range_label": "Medium price range", "trade_type_label": "Two-way horizontal trade" }, "hs_description": "Ball bearings", "hs_chapter": 84, "hs_heading": 8482, "destinations": [ { "hs_code": 848210, "corridor_rank": 1, "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 398870695.63707495, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 297842454.2082011, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 465138559.0522049, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 486702552.4017252, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 439433077.3131792, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": -14.160572616913647, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": 0.08177860493812084, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": -0.8151160338955576, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 630625742.5481114, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 1330729544.0193987, "historical_peak_year": 2021, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 62.06896551724138, "trend_acceleration_pct": -13.34545658301809, "trend_label": "Rapid decline", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": -4.2268, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 11.0027, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 72.4138, "market_share_latest_pct": 29.97383633884815, "market_share_change_1y_pp": -0.6160815995746596, "peer_best_share_pct": 29.97383633884816, "peer_top_exporter": "JPN", "supplier_count_latest": 92, "buyer_market_hhi": 1407.88, "distance_km": 2098.11083984375, "has_reported_fta": 0, "applied_tariff_pct": 0.3018987556787879, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "volatility_cv": 0.550336058628956, "max_drawdown_pct": 36.750013720436655, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": "[]", "signal_flag": "Growing", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 848210, "corridor_rank": 5, "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "USA", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 242771001.2508004, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 245092365.13690433, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 268478613.0015301, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 263429759.5384665, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 258880303.32334703, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": -6.231035571421062, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": -2.417573140701579, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": -1.5140284040884966, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 309394017.0656709, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 1210301260.3115778, "historical_peak_year": 2022, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 51.724137931034484, "trend_acceleration_pct": -4.717007167332565, "trend_label": "Declining", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": 2.3767, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 2.5841, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 55.1724, "market_share_latest_pct": 20.058724981274647, "market_share_change_1y_pp": -1.36489137576147, "peer_best_share_pct": 20.05872498127465, "peer_top_exporter": "JPN", "supplier_count_latest": 94, "buyer_market_hhi": 1150.68, "distance_km": 10855.5869140625, "has_reported_fta": 0, "applied_tariff_pct": 0.04673181352585858, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0.02445433962268399, "volatility_cv": 0.15797679128729614, "max_drawdown_pct": 49.79577663590099, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": "['long_distance_without_fta']", "signal_flag": "Stable", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 848210, "corridor_rank": 24, "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "KOR", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 91673116.14046466, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 97630810.91092081, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 103482257.77364473, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 102604893.59592538, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 105331549.31971903, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": -7.62855679064014, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": -2.677055368123582, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": -0.5998108879793351, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 160067129.0379999, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 366018320.3830507, "historical_peak_year": 2011, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 48.275862068965516, "trend_acceleration_pct": -7.028745902660805, "trend_label": "Declining", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": -2.2397, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 4.3067, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 51.7241, "market_share_latest_pct": 25.046045794791254, "market_share_change_1y_pp": -3.8284169941046677, "peer_best_share_pct": 39.556089327806035, "peer_top_exporter": "CHN", "supplier_count_latest": 65, "buyer_market_hhi": 2388.33, "distance_km": 1156.6695556640625, "has_reported_fta": 0, "applied_tariff_pct": 0.14600262464040406, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "volatility_cv": 0.24472932082070256, "max_drawdown_pct": 60.66921185037788, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": "[]", "signal_flag": "Stable", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 848210, "corridor_rank": 29, "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "THA", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 79817841.27764566, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 96935736.28327085, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 92060867.32558529, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 97549764.10595796, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 101822801.77415237, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": -13.290875706105476, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": -7.252686205814795, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": -3.1094629730267664, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 147309950.72821763, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 233151010.723686, "historical_peak_year": 2012, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 41.37931034482759, "trend_acceleration_pct": -10.181412733078709, "trend_label": "Rapid decline", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": -7.918, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 2.6125, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 48.2759, "market_share_latest_pct": 34.23439642397265, "market_share_change_1y_pp": -1.9596964120752318, "peer_best_share_pct": 34.234396423972655, "peer_top_exporter": "JPN", "supplier_count_latest": 68, "buyer_market_hhi": 2209.36, "distance_km": 4612.99658203125, "has_reported_fta": 1, "applied_tariff_pct": 0.29424774500464645, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0.2901245154679192, "volatility_cv": 0.18994790379974996, "max_drawdown_pct": 45.81639537378765, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer macroeconomic trend has weakened", "risk_driver_labels": "['buyer_macro_weakness']", "signal_flag": "Stable", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 848210, "corridor_rank": 34, "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 74140806.6330367, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 122599771.89110307, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 101847549.96561594, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 107142727.94958898, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 120817340.2177253, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": -18.22262528982852, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": -10.008937935598027, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": -8.02339332080213, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 219466607.17766422, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 1565054240.4174087, "historical_peak_year": 2011, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 51.724137931034484, "trend_acceleration_pct": -10.19923196902639, "trend_label": "Rapid decline", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": -10.337, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 3.6017, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 62.069, "market_share_latest_pct": 4.737267547561989, "market_share_change_1y_pp": -0.7245695534344536, "peer_best_share_pct": 18.01872551653964, "peer_top_exporter": "CHN", "supplier_count_latest": 89, "buyer_market_hhi": 888.8, "distance_km": 9298.3408203125, "has_reported_fta": 1, "applied_tariff_pct": 0.05810896250308642, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0.055780251220493834, "volatility_cv": 0.2978523220550074, "max_drawdown_pct": 66.21772779627577, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": "['unrecovered_drawdown']", "signal_flag": "Stable", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 848210, "corridor_rank": 41, "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "SGP", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 64524842.20309646, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 126848296.03865449, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 79175329.33410777, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 80833832.65752766, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 90964906.55085623, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": -11.848577359472333, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": -7.911188849802708, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": -5.285866468764555, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 220163186.9452217, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 274626066.5339793, "historical_peak_year": 2011, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 41.37931034482759, "trend_acceleration_pct": -6.562710890707779, "trend_label": "Rapid decline", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": -7.2602, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 0.9822, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 51.7241, "market_share_latest_pct": 23.495527215408313, "market_share_change_1y_pp": -3.556061488856237, "peer_best_share_pct": 23.495527215408316, "peer_top_exporter": "JPN", "supplier_count_latest": 79, "buyer_market_hhi": 1284.6, "distance_km": 5326.3876953125, "has_reported_fta": 1, "applied_tariff_pct": 0.0035649841120444442, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0.0035649841120444442, "volatility_cv": 0.29267607275980534, "max_drawdown_pct": 70.6922655424902, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": "['unrecovered_drawdown']", "signal_flag": "Stable", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 848210, "corridor_rank": 43, "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "ARE", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 62418310.42204951, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 32232897.771275308, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 58225420.41489468, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 49942254.16061184, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 41907215.69287972, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": 15.732094775361794, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": 10.829313851245082, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": 4.7562412635706375, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 67151395.47492823, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 156372329.7051104, "historical_peak_year": 2023, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 55.172413793103445, "trend_acceleration_pct": 10.975853511791158, "trend_label": "Rapid growth", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": -14.4717, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 5.5031, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 58.6207, "market_share_latest_pct": 39.916467663914105, "market_share_change_1y_pp": 3.187831448407735, "peer_best_share_pct": 39.91646766391408, "peer_top_exporter": "JPN", "supplier_count_latest": 94, "buyer_market_hhi": 2390.48, "distance_km": 8062.88916015625, "has_reported_fta": 0, "applied_tariff_pct": 0.05214629114545451, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "volatility_cv": 0.3670268514684362, "max_drawdown_pct": 50.22401109413025, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": "['long_distance_without_fta']", "signal_flag": "Stable", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 848210, "corridor_rank": 55, "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "FRA", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 52969118.04694652, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 47214412.75495221, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 44779416.5927175, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 41864387.08802915, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 65592906.73788796, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": 7.685451017826361, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": -12.46890125521276, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": -4.3761819374572575, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 103088647.46566138, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 482048544.6427414, "historical_peak_year": 2019, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 62.06896551724138, "trend_acceleration_pct": 12.061632955283619, "trend_label": "Growing", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": 1.2475, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 2.4145, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 51.7241, "market_share_latest_pct": 10.988336887564566, "market_share_change_1y_pp": 3.1656757080814435, "peer_best_share_pct": 18.35124334379625, "peer_top_exporter": "DEU", "supplier_count_latest": 97, "buyer_market_hhi": 970.65, "distance_km": 9725.62890625, "has_reported_fta": 1, "applied_tariff_pct": 0.058542705568686876, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0.05620174566202021, "volatility_cv": 0.5593437343424823, "max_drawdown_pct": 68.41015586351041, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": "[]", "signal_flag": "Stable", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 848210, "corridor_rank": 58, "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "IND", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 51509497.672923945, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 28624418.315924738, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 54969233.31966507, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 50808004.87685586, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 47008049.36513609, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": -3.1613572539150536, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": 1.3220630078586204, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": 4.417933272713204, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 57669469.33482934, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 608515084.3365915, "historical_peak_year": 2022, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 48.275862068965516, "trend_acceleration_pct": -7.579290526628258, "trend_label": "Declining", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": 11.2665, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 10.1207, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 62.069, "market_share_latest_pct": 8.464785672335475, "market_share_change_1y_pp": -1.7251703806779162, "peer_best_share_pct": 55.58204234460719, "peer_top_exporter": "CHN", "supplier_count_latest": 70, "buyer_market_hhi": 3318.77, "distance_km": 5847.71044921875, "has_reported_fta": 1, "applied_tariff_pct": 0.5258509413535353, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0.48472659836101, "volatility_cv": 0.5792914844680649, "max_drawdown_pct": 38.658544410135505, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": "['concentrated_buyer_market','dominant_supplier']", "signal_flag": "Growing", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 848210, "corridor_rank": 67, "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "IDN", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 48285240.05867582, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 44161203.173018135, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 56553294.92742183, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 55955838.57003303, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 58372039.7468013, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": -8.255155310620466, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": -7.0802558427958235, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": -3.579373605085645, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 95311688.88333419, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 225766477.38725924, "historical_peak_year": 2012, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 51.724137931034484, "trend_acceleration_pct": -4.675781705534821, "trend_label": "Declining", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": -8.654, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 14.8156, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 75.8621, "market_share_latest_pct": 21.387249611841945, "market_share_change_1y_pp": -2.559734640211385, "peer_best_share_pct": 31.090382582231722, "peer_top_exporter": "CHN", "supplier_count_latest": 81, "buyer_market_hhi": 1972.29, "distance_km": 5791.626953125, "has_reported_fta": 1, "applied_tariff_pct": 0.17440987586727275, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0.1747649220871192, "volatility_cv": 0.5557483133036197, "max_drawdown_pct": 81.55134077582235, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": "[]", "signal_flag": "Growing", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 848210, "corridor_rank": 68, "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 47450758.47291224, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 30561871.70137692, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 43449663.07133419, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 41414311.03614836, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 49209215.63862367, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": 3.8048779039803637, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": -0.5445102649211275, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": -1.8451160964549906, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 63784903.030442394, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 538700676.7693547, "historical_peak_year": 2017, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 62.06896551724138, "trend_acceleration_pct": 5.649994000435354, "trend_label": "Growing", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": -0.9209, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 8.3322, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 82.7586, "market_share_latest_pct": 8.808371795164522, "market_share_change_1y_pp": 0.9112028315458094, "peer_best_share_pct": 36.343132183716776, "peer_top_exporter": "CHN", "supplier_count_latest": 99, "buyer_market_hhi": 1835.8, "distance_km": 11312.3935546875, "has_reported_fta": 1, "applied_tariff_pct": 0.12300317953717169, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0.06895124615858587, "volatility_cv": 0.579795653739875, "max_drawdown_pct": 46.224438584712594, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": "[]", "signal_flag": "Growing", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 848210, "corridor_rank": 76, "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "TWN", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 44094605.24774047, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 81138836.28200822, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 63048218.21015418, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 68975115.84127185, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 77915960.92472847, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": -20.964410235957754, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": -12.205294990256654, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": -7.203089690706898, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 145870906.79028046, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 158971560.40096372, "historical_peak_year": 2011, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 44.827586206896555, "trend_acceleration_pct": -13.761320545250856, "trend_label": "Rapid decline", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": -1.5485, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 2.965, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 44.8276, "market_share_latest_pct": 27.7374173949878, "market_share_change_1y_pp": -6.782310390795843, "peer_best_share_pct": 35.18142937899861, "peer_top_exporter": "CHN", "supplier_count_latest": 51, "buyer_market_hhi": 2174.55, "distance_km": 2103.04736328125, "has_reported_fta": 0, "applied_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "volatility_cv": 0.2444048008530501, "max_drawdown_pct": 69.77148753100192, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": "['unrecovered_drawdown']", "signal_flag": "Stable", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 848210, "corridor_rank": 77, "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "NLD", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 43054853.53254595, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 49283558.4092842, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 54599601.06407139, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 55230976.31800868, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 48391554.23519613, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": -14.101991747842124, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": -4.305728539455311, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": 0.06590297388187061, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 103258548.59897208, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 373190801.5427621, "historical_peak_year": 2011, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 51.724137931034484, "trend_acceleration_pct": -14.167894721723995, "trend_label": "Rapid decline", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": 1.4679, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 4.8489, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 72.4138, "market_share_latest_pct": 11.536954650157021, "market_share_change_1y_pp": -3.133292101337851, "peer_best_share_pct": 29.89508490954404, "peer_top_exporter": "POL", "supplier_count_latest": 87, "buyer_market_hhi": 1594.52, "distance_km": 9303.376953125, "has_reported_fta": 1, "applied_tariff_pct": 0.058542705568686876, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0.05620174566202021, "volatility_cv": 0.4065959124032673, "max_drawdown_pct": 69.82660386232929, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": "['unrecovered_drawdown']", "signal_flag": "Stable", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 848210, "corridor_rank": 99, "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "VNM", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 33682147.054513596, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 20393476.235945594, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 33376372.452043127, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 33638501.22984741, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 33483833.624594502, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": -3.1544537840218045, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": -1.211488461968302, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": 2.252964790472478, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 39241583.32361987, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 258044199.2482522, "historical_peak_year": 2022, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 65.51724137931035, "trend_acceleration_pct": -5.407418574494283, "trend_label": "Declining", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": 15.3133, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 11.1083, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 86.2069, "market_share_latest_pct": 13.052859608019936, "market_share_change_1y_pp": 0.8954710174811087, "peer_best_share_pct": 48.410952445977664, "peer_top_exporter": "CHN", "supplier_count_latest": 56, "buyer_market_hhi": 2750.07, "distance_km": 3672.563720703125, "has_reported_fta": 1, "applied_tariff_pct": 0.15377010469806765, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0.10670270104362317, "volatility_cv": 0.5906996466307456, "max_drawdown_pct": 30.67204563680096, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": "['concentrated_buyer_market']", "signal_flag": "Growing", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" } ], "priceSummary": { "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "hs_code": 848210, "num_markets": 186, "highest_price_importer_iso3": "UZB", "highest_price_usd_per_ton": 39811250, "lowest_price_importer_iso3": "LSO", "lowest_price_usd_per_ton": 1105.2631578947369, "median_price_across_markets": 23817.042499680294, "price_spread_pct": 167149.8244896548, "avg_quantity_metric_tons": 707.4293834134616, "total_trade_value_usd": 9904244550 }, "history": [ { "year": 2010, "export_value_usd": 2058632142.4597642, "active_destinations": 177, "yoy_growth_pct": 53.485545042147734 }, { "year": 2011, "export_value_usd": 2539042592.244478, "active_destinations": 177, "yoy_growth_pct": 23.336391183064585 }, { "year": 2012, "export_value_usd": 2294019483.9894357, "active_destinations": 177, "yoy_growth_pct": -9.650216542387561 }, { "year": 2013, "export_value_usd": 1917786029.6928003, "active_destinations": 176, "yoy_growth_pct": -16.400621569366237 }, { "year": 2014, "export_value_usd": 2030336620.0134068, "active_destinations": 179, "yoy_growth_pct": 5.868777255543744 }, { "year": 2015, "export_value_usd": 1771483996.6278589, "active_destinations": 176, "yoy_growth_pct": -12.74924664383183 }, { "year": 2016, "export_value_usd": 1721088426.0603745, "active_destinations": 180, "yoy_growth_pct": -2.844822231722996 }, { "year": 2017, "export_value_usd": 1963608067.7603261, "active_destinations": 181, "yoy_growth_pct": 14.091062261983058 }, { "year": 2018, "export_value_usd": 2062083326.8215866, "active_destinations": 180, "yoy_growth_pct": 5.015016014554292 }, { "year": 2019, "export_value_usd": 1949459504.4245484, "active_destinations": 175, "yoy_growth_pct": -5.461652346058784 }, { "year": 2020, "export_value_usd": 1551702506.7773921, "active_destinations": 178, "yoy_growth_pct": -20.403450122682504 }, { "year": 2021, "export_value_usd": 2129150159.9052217, "active_destinations": 175, "yoy_growth_pct": 37.21381196496774 }, { "year": 2022, "export_value_usd": 2083594550.8493655, "active_destinations": 180, "yoy_growth_pct": -2.139614664748874 }, { "year": 2023, "export_value_usd": 1727156948.7399268, "active_destinations": 179, "yoy_growth_pct": -17.10685996774847 }, { "year": 2024, "export_value_usd": 1602438084.9534922, "active_destinations": 169, "yoy_growth_pct": -7.221049822798395 } ], "economy": { "year": 2024, "country_iso3": "JPN", "exports_usd": 740389741752.2847, "imports_usd": 691789705389.4546, "trade_balance_usd": 48600036362.83008, "yoy_exports_growth_pct": -1.0722413952978127, "yoy_imports_growth_pct": -4.978019335077743, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": -1.7236616069066013, "imports_cagr_3y_pct": -1.7946276917458315, "export_partner_hhi": 897.0853649088637, "export_product_hhi": 96.5751068492112, "momentum_score": -1.2676674587804493, "risk_score": 4.968302358790375, "gdp_million_usd": 4027597.5235505826, "gdp_per_capita_usd": 32487.07780475674, "population": 123975371, "labor_force": 67182.93, "investment_rate_pct": 24.79, "savings_rate_pct": 24.61, "secondary_education_pct": 95.24, "tertiary_education_pct": 46.64, "total_factor_productivity": 2283.36, "trade_openness_pct": 19.979395999512008, "exports_gdp_pct": 10.328691613308246, "num_active_partners": 270, "num_fta_partners": 48, "num_wto_partners": 169, "num_eu_partners": 28, "num_shared_border_partners": 0, "num_shared_language_partners": 0, "avg_partner_distance_km": 9989.440329218107, "avg_partner_gdp_million_usd": 533678518.3258193, "avg_partner_gdp_per_capita_usd": 15.774186170212769, "avg_buyer_biz_entry_days": null, "avg_buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "pct_partners_with_fta": 17.77777777777778, "pct_partners_shared_language": 0, "pct_partners_shared_border": 0, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 0.13759291822904723, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 0.13804069222958484, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0.019201928440430494, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0.11883876378915435, "avg_distance_all_partners_km": 10078.773537545436, "num_border_partners": 0, "num_colonial_partners": 135, "avg_substitution_elasticity": -10.859108559552851, "pct_products_high_elasticity": 75.89348283111423, "pct_products_low_elasticity": 2.6862882504087833, "real_market_potential": 1053545.3175285766, "foreign_market_potential": 20680.15785812393 }, "countryMap": {} }, "product": { "hs_code": "848210", "hs_description": "Ball bearings", "hs_chapter": 84, "hs_heading": 8482 }, "destinations": [ { "hs_code": 848210, "corridor_rank": 1, "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 398870695.63707495, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 297842454.2082011, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 465138559.0522049, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 486702552.4017252, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 439433077.3131792, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": -14.160572616913647, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": 0.08177860493812084, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": -0.8151160338955576, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 630625742.5481114, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 1330729544.0193987, "historical_peak_year": 2021, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 62.06896551724138, "trend_acceleration_pct": -13.34545658301809, "trend_label": "Rapid decline", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": -4.2268, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 11.0027, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 72.4138, "market_share_latest_pct": 29.97383633884815, "market_share_change_1y_pp": -0.6160815995746596, "peer_best_share_pct": 29.97383633884816, "peer_top_exporter": "JPN", "supplier_count_latest": 92, "buyer_market_hhi": 1407.88, "distance_km": 2098.11083984375, "has_reported_fta": 0, "applied_tariff_pct": 0.3018987556787879, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "volatility_cv": 0.550336058628956, "max_drawdown_pct": 36.750013720436655, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": "[]", "signal_flag": "Growing", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 848210, "corridor_rank": 5, "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "USA", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 242771001.2508004, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 245092365.13690433, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 268478613.0015301, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 263429759.5384665, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 258880303.32334703, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": -6.231035571421062, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": -2.417573140701579, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": -1.5140284040884966, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 309394017.0656709, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 1210301260.3115778, "historical_peak_year": 2022, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 51.724137931034484, "trend_acceleration_pct": -4.717007167332565, "trend_label": "Declining", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": 2.3767, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 2.5841, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 55.1724, "market_share_latest_pct": 20.058724981274647, "market_share_change_1y_pp": -1.36489137576147, "peer_best_share_pct": 20.05872498127465, "peer_top_exporter": "JPN", "supplier_count_latest": 94, "buyer_market_hhi": 1150.68, "distance_km": 10855.5869140625, "has_reported_fta": 0, "applied_tariff_pct": 0.04673181352585858, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0.02445433962268399, "volatility_cv": 0.15797679128729614, "max_drawdown_pct": 49.79577663590099, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": "['long_distance_without_fta']", "signal_flag": "Stable", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 848210, "corridor_rank": 24, "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "KOR", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 91673116.14046466, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 97630810.91092081, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 103482257.77364473, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 102604893.59592538, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 105331549.31971903, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": -7.62855679064014, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": -2.677055368123582, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": -0.5998108879793351, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 160067129.0379999, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 366018320.3830507, "historical_peak_year": 2011, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 48.275862068965516, "trend_acceleration_pct": -7.028745902660805, "trend_label": "Declining", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": -2.2397, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 4.3067, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 51.7241, "market_share_latest_pct": 25.046045794791254, "market_share_change_1y_pp": -3.8284169941046677, "peer_best_share_pct": 39.556089327806035, "peer_top_exporter": "CHN", "supplier_count_latest": 65, "buyer_market_hhi": 2388.33, "distance_km": 1156.6695556640625, "has_reported_fta": 0, "applied_tariff_pct": 0.14600262464040406, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "volatility_cv": 0.24472932082070256, "max_drawdown_pct": 60.66921185037788, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": "[]", "signal_flag": "Stable", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 848210, "corridor_rank": 29, "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "THA", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 79817841.27764566, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 96935736.28327085, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 92060867.32558529, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 97549764.10595796, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 101822801.77415237, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": -13.290875706105476, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": -7.252686205814795, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": -3.1094629730267664, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 147309950.72821763, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 233151010.723686, "historical_peak_year": 2012, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 41.37931034482759, "trend_acceleration_pct": -10.181412733078709, "trend_label": "Rapid decline", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": -7.918, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 2.6125, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 48.2759, "market_share_latest_pct": 34.23439642397265, "market_share_change_1y_pp": -1.9596964120752318, "peer_best_share_pct": 34.234396423972655, "peer_top_exporter": "JPN", "supplier_count_latest": 68, "buyer_market_hhi": 2209.36, "distance_km": 4612.99658203125, "has_reported_fta": 1, "applied_tariff_pct": 0.29424774500464645, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0.2901245154679192, "volatility_cv": 0.18994790379974996, "max_drawdown_pct": 45.81639537378765, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer macroeconomic trend has weakened", "risk_driver_labels": "['buyer_macro_weakness']", "signal_flag": "Stable", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 848210, "corridor_rank": 34, "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 74140806.6330367, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 122599771.89110307, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 101847549.96561594, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 107142727.94958898, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 120817340.2177253, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": -18.22262528982852, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": -10.008937935598027, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": -8.02339332080213, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 219466607.17766422, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 1565054240.4174087, "historical_peak_year": 2011, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 51.724137931034484, "trend_acceleration_pct": -10.19923196902639, "trend_label": "Rapid decline", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": -10.337, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 3.6017, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 62.069, "market_share_latest_pct": 4.737267547561989, "market_share_change_1y_pp": -0.7245695534344536, "peer_best_share_pct": 18.01872551653964, "peer_top_exporter": "CHN", "supplier_count_latest": 89, "buyer_market_hhi": 888.8, "distance_km": 9298.3408203125, "has_reported_fta": 1, "applied_tariff_pct": 0.05810896250308642, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0.055780251220493834, "volatility_cv": 0.2978523220550074, "max_drawdown_pct": 66.21772779627577, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": "['unrecovered_drawdown']", "signal_flag": "Stable", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 848210, "corridor_rank": 41, "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "SGP", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 64524842.20309646, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 126848296.03865449, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 79175329.33410777, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 80833832.65752766, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 90964906.55085623, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": -11.848577359472333, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": -7.911188849802708, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": -5.285866468764555, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 220163186.9452217, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 274626066.5339793, "historical_peak_year": 2011, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 41.37931034482759, "trend_acceleration_pct": -6.562710890707779, "trend_label": "Rapid decline", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": -7.2602, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 0.9822, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 51.7241, "market_share_latest_pct": 23.495527215408313, "market_share_change_1y_pp": -3.556061488856237, "peer_best_share_pct": 23.495527215408316, "peer_top_exporter": "JPN", "supplier_count_latest": 79, "buyer_market_hhi": 1284.6, "distance_km": 5326.3876953125, "has_reported_fta": 1, "applied_tariff_pct": 0.0035649841120444442, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0.0035649841120444442, "volatility_cv": 0.29267607275980534, "max_drawdown_pct": 70.6922655424902, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": "['unrecovered_drawdown']", "signal_flag": "Stable", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 848210, "corridor_rank": 43, "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "ARE", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 62418310.42204951, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 32232897.771275308, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 58225420.41489468, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 49942254.16061184, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 41907215.69287972, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": 15.732094775361794, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": 10.829313851245082, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": 4.7562412635706375, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 67151395.47492823, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 156372329.7051104, "historical_peak_year": 2023, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 55.172413793103445, "trend_acceleration_pct": 10.975853511791158, "trend_label": "Rapid growth", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": -14.4717, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 5.5031, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 58.6207, "market_share_latest_pct": 39.916467663914105, "market_share_change_1y_pp": 3.187831448407735, "peer_best_share_pct": 39.91646766391408, "peer_top_exporter": "JPN", "supplier_count_latest": 94, "buyer_market_hhi": 2390.48, "distance_km": 8062.88916015625, "has_reported_fta": 0, "applied_tariff_pct": 0.05214629114545451, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "volatility_cv": 0.3670268514684362, "max_drawdown_pct": 50.22401109413025, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": "['long_distance_without_fta']", "signal_flag": "Stable", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 848210, "corridor_rank": 55, "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "FRA", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 52969118.04694652, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 47214412.75495221, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 44779416.5927175, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 41864387.08802915, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 65592906.73788796, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": 7.685451017826361, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": -12.46890125521276, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": -4.3761819374572575, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 103088647.46566138, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 482048544.6427414, "historical_peak_year": 2019, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 62.06896551724138, "trend_acceleration_pct": 12.061632955283619, "trend_label": "Growing", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": 1.2475, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 2.4145, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 51.7241, "market_share_latest_pct": 10.988336887564566, "market_share_change_1y_pp": 3.1656757080814435, "peer_best_share_pct": 18.35124334379625, "peer_top_exporter": "DEU", "supplier_count_latest": 97, "buyer_market_hhi": 970.65, "distance_km": 9725.62890625, "has_reported_fta": 1, "applied_tariff_pct": 0.058542705568686876, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0.05620174566202021, "volatility_cv": 0.5593437343424823, "max_drawdown_pct": 68.41015586351041, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": "[]", "signal_flag": "Stable", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 848210, "corridor_rank": 58, "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "IND", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 51509497.672923945, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 28624418.315924738, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 54969233.31966507, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 50808004.87685586, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 47008049.36513609, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": -3.1613572539150536, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": 1.3220630078586204, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": 4.417933272713204, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 57669469.33482934, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 608515084.3365915, "historical_peak_year": 2022, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 48.275862068965516, "trend_acceleration_pct": -7.579290526628258, "trend_label": "Declining", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": 11.2665, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 10.1207, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 62.069, "market_share_latest_pct": 8.464785672335475, "market_share_change_1y_pp": -1.7251703806779162, "peer_best_share_pct": 55.58204234460719, "peer_top_exporter": "CHN", "supplier_count_latest": 70, "buyer_market_hhi": 3318.77, "distance_km": 5847.71044921875, "has_reported_fta": 1, "applied_tariff_pct": 0.5258509413535353, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0.48472659836101, "volatility_cv": 0.5792914844680649, "max_drawdown_pct": 38.658544410135505, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": "['concentrated_buyer_market','dominant_supplier']", "signal_flag": "Growing", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 848210, "corridor_rank": 67, "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "IDN", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 48285240.05867582, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 44161203.173018135, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 56553294.92742183, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 55955838.57003303, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 58372039.7468013, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": -8.255155310620466, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": -7.0802558427958235, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": -3.579373605085645, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 95311688.88333419, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 225766477.38725924, "historical_peak_year": 2012, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 51.724137931034484, "trend_acceleration_pct": -4.675781705534821, "trend_label": "Declining", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": -8.654, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 14.8156, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 75.8621, "market_share_latest_pct": 21.387249611841945, "market_share_change_1y_pp": -2.559734640211385, "peer_best_share_pct": 31.090382582231722, "peer_top_exporter": "CHN", "supplier_count_latest": 81, "buyer_market_hhi": 1972.29, "distance_km": 5791.626953125, "has_reported_fta": 1, "applied_tariff_pct": 0.17440987586727275, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0.1747649220871192, "volatility_cv": 0.5557483133036197, "max_drawdown_pct": 81.55134077582235, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": "[]", "signal_flag": "Growing", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 848210, "corridor_rank": 68, "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 47450758.47291224, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 30561871.70137692, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 43449663.07133419, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 41414311.03614836, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 49209215.63862367, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": 3.8048779039803637, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": -0.5445102649211275, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": -1.8451160964549906, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 63784903.030442394, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 538700676.7693547, "historical_peak_year": 2017, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 62.06896551724138, "trend_acceleration_pct": 5.649994000435354, "trend_label": "Growing", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": -0.9209, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 8.3322, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 82.7586, "market_share_latest_pct": 8.808371795164522, "market_share_change_1y_pp": 0.9112028315458094, "peer_best_share_pct": 36.343132183716776, "peer_top_exporter": "CHN", "supplier_count_latest": 99, "buyer_market_hhi": 1835.8, "distance_km": 11312.3935546875, "has_reported_fta": 1, "applied_tariff_pct": 0.12300317953717169, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0.06895124615858587, "volatility_cv": 0.579795653739875, "max_drawdown_pct": 46.224438584712594, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": "[]", "signal_flag": "Growing", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 848210, "corridor_rank": 76, "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "TWN", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 44094605.24774047, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 81138836.28200822, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 63048218.21015418, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 68975115.84127185, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 77915960.92472847, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": -20.964410235957754, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": -12.205294990256654, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": -7.203089690706898, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 145870906.79028046, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 158971560.40096372, "historical_peak_year": 2011, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 44.827586206896555, "trend_acceleration_pct": -13.761320545250856, "trend_label": "Rapid decline", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": -1.5485, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 2.965, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 44.8276, "market_share_latest_pct": 27.7374173949878, "market_share_change_1y_pp": -6.782310390795843, "peer_best_share_pct": 35.18142937899861, "peer_top_exporter": "CHN", "supplier_count_latest": 51, "buyer_market_hhi": 2174.55, "distance_km": 2103.04736328125, "has_reported_fta": 0, "applied_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "volatility_cv": 0.2444048008530501, "max_drawdown_pct": 69.77148753100192, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": "['unrecovered_drawdown']", "signal_flag": "Stable", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 848210, "corridor_rank": 77, "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "NLD", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 43054853.53254595, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 49283558.4092842, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 54599601.06407139, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 55230976.31800868, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 48391554.23519613, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": -14.101991747842124, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": -4.305728539455311, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": 0.06590297388187061, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 103258548.59897208, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 373190801.5427621, "historical_peak_year": 2011, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 51.724137931034484, "trend_acceleration_pct": -14.167894721723995, "trend_label": "Rapid decline", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": 1.4679, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 4.8489, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 72.4138, "market_share_latest_pct": 11.536954650157021, "market_share_change_1y_pp": -3.133292101337851, "peer_best_share_pct": 29.89508490954404, "peer_top_exporter": "POL", "supplier_count_latest": 87, "buyer_market_hhi": 1594.52, "distance_km": 9303.376953125, "has_reported_fta": 1, "applied_tariff_pct": 0.058542705568686876, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0.05620174566202021, "volatility_cv": 0.4065959124032673, "max_drawdown_pct": 69.82660386232929, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": "['unrecovered_drawdown']", "signal_flag": "Stable", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 848210, "corridor_rank": 99, "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "VNM", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 33682147.054513596, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 20393476.235945594, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 33376372.452043127, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 33638501.22984741, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 33483833.624594502, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": -3.1544537840218045, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": -1.211488461968302, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": 2.252964790472478, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 39241583.32361987, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 258044199.2482522, "historical_peak_year": 2022, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 65.51724137931035, "trend_acceleration_pct": -5.407418574494283, "trend_label": "Declining", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": 15.3133, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 11.1083, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 86.2069, "market_share_latest_pct": 13.052859608019936, "market_share_change_1y_pp": 0.8954710174811087, "peer_best_share_pct": 48.410952445977664, "peer_top_exporter": "CHN", "supplier_count_latest": 56, "buyer_market_hhi": 2750.07, "distance_km": 3672.563720703125, "has_reported_fta": 1, "applied_tariff_pct": 0.15377010469806765, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0.10670270104362317, "volatility_cv": 0.5906996466307456, "max_drawdown_pct": 30.67204563680096, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": "['concentrated_buyer_market']", "signal_flag": "Growing", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" } ], "prices": [], "priceSummary": { "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "hs_code": 848210, "num_markets": 186, "highest_price_importer_iso3": "UZB", "highest_price_usd_per_ton": 39811250, "lowest_price_importer_iso3": "LSO", "lowest_price_usd_per_ton": 1105.2631578947369, "median_price_across_markets": 23817.042499680294, "price_spread_pct": 167149.8244896548, "avg_quantity_metric_tons": 707.4293834134616, "total_trade_value_usd": 9904244550 }, "history": [ { "year": 2010, "export_value_usd": 2058632142.4597642, "active_destinations": 177, "yoy_growth_pct": 53.485545042147734 }, { "year": 2011, "export_value_usd": 2539042592.244478, "active_destinations": 177, "yoy_growth_pct": 23.336391183064585 }, { "year": 2012, "export_value_usd": 2294019483.9894357, "active_destinations": 177, "yoy_growth_pct": -9.650216542387561 }, { "year": 2013, "export_value_usd": 1917786029.6928003, "active_destinations": 176, "yoy_growth_pct": -16.400621569366237 }, { "year": 2014, "export_value_usd": 2030336620.0134068, "active_destinations": 179, "yoy_growth_pct": 5.868777255543744 }, { "year": 2015, "export_value_usd": 1771483996.6278589, "active_destinations": 176, "yoy_growth_pct": -12.74924664383183 }, { "year": 2016, "export_value_usd": 1721088426.0603745, "active_destinations": 180, "yoy_growth_pct": -2.844822231722996 }, { "year": 2017, "export_value_usd": 1963608067.7603261, "active_destinations": 181, "yoy_growth_pct": 14.091062261983058 }, { "year": 2018, "export_value_usd": 2062083326.8215866, "active_destinations": 180, "yoy_growth_pct": 5.015016014554292 }, { "year": 2019, "export_value_usd": 1949459504.4245484, "active_destinations": 175, "yoy_growth_pct": -5.461652346058784 }, { "year": 2020, "export_value_usd": 1551702506.7773921, "active_destinations": 178, "yoy_growth_pct": -20.403450122682504 }, { "year": 2021, "export_value_usd": 2129150159.9052217, "active_destinations": 175, "yoy_growth_pct": 37.21381196496774 }, { "year": 2022, "export_value_usd": 2083594550.8493655, "active_destinations": 180, "yoy_growth_pct": -2.139614664748874 }, { "year": 2023, "export_value_usd": 1727156948.7399268, "active_destinations": 179, "yoy_growth_pct": -17.10685996774847 }, { "year": 2024, "export_value_usd": 1602438084.9534922, "active_destinations": 169, "yoy_growth_pct": -7.221049822798395 } ], "economy": { "year": 2024, "country_iso3": "JPN", "exports_usd": 740389741752.2847, "imports_usd": 691789705389.4546, "trade_balance_usd": 48600036362.83008, "yoy_exports_growth_pct": -1.0722413952978127, "yoy_imports_growth_pct": -4.978019335077743, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": -1.7236616069066013, "imports_cagr_3y_pct": -1.7946276917458315, "export_partner_hhi": 897.0853649088637, "export_product_hhi": 96.5751068492112, "momentum_score": -1.2676674587804493, "risk_score": 4.968302358790375, "gdp_million_usd": 4027597.5235505826, "gdp_per_capita_usd": 32487.07780475674, "population": 123975371, "labor_force": 67182.93, "investment_rate_pct": 24.79, "savings_rate_pct": 24.61, "secondary_education_pct": 95.24, "tertiary_education_pct": 46.64, "total_factor_productivity": 2283.36, "trade_openness_pct": 19.979395999512008, "exports_gdp_pct": 10.328691613308246, "num_active_partners": 270, "num_fta_partners": 48, "num_wto_partners": 169, "num_eu_partners": 28, "num_shared_border_partners": 0, "num_shared_language_partners": 0, "avg_partner_distance_km": 9989.440329218107, "avg_partner_gdp_million_usd": 533678518.3258193, "avg_partner_gdp_per_capita_usd": 15.774186170212769, "avg_buyer_biz_entry_days": null, "avg_buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "pct_partners_with_fta": 17.77777777777778, "pct_partners_shared_language": 0, "pct_partners_shared_border": 0, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 0.13759291822904723, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 0.13804069222958484, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0.019201928440430494, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0.11883876378915435, "avg_distance_all_partners_km": 10078.773537545436, "num_border_partners": 0, "num_colonial_partners": 135, "avg_substitution_elasticity": -10.859108559552851, "pct_products_high_elasticity": 75.89348283111423, "pct_products_low_elasticity": 2.6862882504087833, "real_market_potential": 1053545.3175285766, "foreign_market_potential": 20680.15785812393 } }