# United Kingdom HS 280430 exports | Yugalinks

Explore reported HS 280430 exports from United Kingdom: destinations, growth, concentration, prices, and history.

## Exporter position

| Measure | Value |
| --- | --- |
| Exporter | United Kingdom |
| HS6 | 280430 |
| Latest exports | $5.0M |
| Active destinations | 99 |
| Three-year growth | +1.7% |
| Destination HHI | 1,722 |
| Weighted share | 44.9% |

## Destination markets

- France: $482.6K; share 4%; growth +5%
- Netherlands: $156.1K; share 0.3%; growth +31.8%
- Germany: $146.2K; share 0.4%; growth -25.1%
- Belgium: $111.5K; share 0.8%; growth +11.7%
- Saudi Arabia: $30.8K; share 0.3%; growth +18.9%

## Price intelligence

- Highest reported market price: Azerbaijan at $1.7M / ton.
- Lowest reported market price: Viet Nam at $38.6 / ton.
- Median reported price: $5.9K / ton.
- Price spread: 28,274.2%.

## Export history

- 2010: $7.5M
- 2011: $8.7M
- 2012: $7.6M
- 2013: $7.3M
- 2014: $6.9M
- 2015: $4.7M
- 2016: $4.6M
- 2017: $3.7M
- 2018: $2.9M
- 2019: $3.6M
- 2020: $3.4M
- 2021: $4.6M
- 2022: $4.3M
- 2023: $3.4M
- 2024: $4.8M

## Methods

Reported exporter totals are combined with destination, price, history, and country-context observations. Growth, concentration, weighted share, volatility, drawdown, and price-position values are calculated indicators rather than additional reported trade.

Missing values are shown as Not reported and are not imputed.

## Complete structured values

```json
{
  "template": "T3",
  "templateName": "Product Exporter Position Profile",
  "source": "api",
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com"
  },
  "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/exporter/gbr/280430",
  "links": {
    "product": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/product/280430",
    "exporter": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/exporter/gbr/280430",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology"
  },
  "methodology": {
    "summary": "Reported exporter totals are combined with destination, price, history, and country-context observations. Growth, concentration, weighted share, volatility, drawdown, and price-position values are calculated indicators rather than additional reported trade.",
    "reportedValues": "Merchandise trade observations for an exporter, HS6 product, destination market, and available year.",
    "destinations": "Destination rows are ranked by latest observed exporter-lane value.",
    "prices": "Unit values are reported trade value divided by reported quantity where quantity is positive.",
    "missingData": "Missing values are shown as Not reported and are not imputed."
  },
  "exporter": {
    "hs_code": "280430",
    "exporter_iso3": "GBR",
    "first_data_year": 1995,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "observed_lane_count": 178,
    "current_lane_count": 99,
    "active_market_count": 99,
    "exports_latest_observed_lanes_usd": 4993809.869976337,
    "exports_current_2024_usd": 4815495.945612344,
    "exports_avg_3y_usd": 4195929.48735528,
    "exports_avg_5y_usd": 4119494.2103846185,
    "exports_avg_10y_usd": 4009657.7382156784,
    "exports_cagr_3y_pct": 1.6554180047389178,
    "exports_cagr_5y_pct": 6.27635694719173,
    "exports_cagr_10y_pct": -3.4655972042963,
    "exports_all_year_lane_avg_usd": 4990855.191155246,
    "exports_historical_lane_peak_usd": 27697131.476347655,
    "historical_peak_year": 2011,
    "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 44.827586206896555,
    "trend_acceleration_pct": 5.1210152090352175,
    "trend_label": "Stable",
    "top_market_iso3": "IRL",
    "top_market_exports_usd": 1797554.2015610663,
    "top_market_share_pct": 35.99564757898129,
    "destination_hhi": 1721.9114022855472,
    "weighted_share_latest_pct": 44.8568315294633,
    "weighted_share_change_1y_pp": 7.404216739805228,
    "weighted_volatility_cv": 0.9997411977628847,
    "weighted_max_drawdown_pct": 92.79999043988857,
    "limited_history_lane_share_pct": 26.96629213483146,
    "data_freshness_years": 0,
    "coverage_score": 100,
    "confidence_label": "High",
    "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:28:47",
    "source": "api",
    "product": {
      "hs_code": 280430,
      "hs_description": "Nitrogen",
      "hs_chapter": 28,
      "hs_heading": 2804,
      "substitution_elasticity": -14.341238,
      "price_range_label": "Unclassified",
      "trade_type_label": "Two-way trade"
    },
    "hs_description": "Nitrogen",
    "hs_chapter": 28,
    "hs_heading": 2804,
    "destinations": [
      {
        "hs_code": 280430,
        "corridor_rank": 32,
        "exporter_iso3": "GBR",
        "importer_iso3": "FRA",
        "latest_data_year": 2024,
        "lane_data_years": 30,
        "exports_latest_observed_usd": 482586.36410793336,
        "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 83594.86500931297,
        "exports_avg_3y_usd": 288319.0571115505,
        "exports_avg_5y_usd": 260903.98212690704,
        "exports_avg_10y_usd": 150227.99340264703,
        "exports_cagr_3y_pct": 5.00283949189555,
        "exports_cagr_5y_pct": 52.08467605343816,
        "exports_cagr_10y_pct": 19.68082841111174,
        "exports_historical_peak_usd": 482586.36410793336,
        "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 12087901.842455536,
        "historical_peak_year": 2024,
        "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 41.37931034482759,
        "trend_acceleration_pct": -14.67798891921619,
        "trend_label": "Growing",
        "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": -24.4848,
        "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 11.1127,
        "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 58.6207,
        "market_share_latest_pct": 3.9923087595977758,
        "market_share_change_1y_pp": 2.916523996590378,
        "peer_best_share_pct": 30.786181492373423,
        "peer_top_exporter": "BEL",
        "supplier_count_latest": 36,
        "buyer_market_hhi": 2136.04,
        "distance_km": 342.9474792480469,
        "has_reported_fta": 1,
        "applied_tariff_pct": 0,
        "tariff_advantage_pp": 0.0007673828181818182,
        "volatility_cv": 1.3155716161133817,
        "max_drawdown_pct": 99.63190668112055,
        "attention_level": "Watch",
        "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
        "risk_driver_labels": "['high_volatility']",
        "signal_flag": "Growing",
        "confidence_label": "High",
        "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25"
      },
      {
        "hs_code": 280430,
        "corridor_rank": 50,
        "exporter_iso3": "GBR",
        "importer_iso3": "NLD",
        "latest_data_year": 2024,
        "lane_data_years": 30,
        "exports_latest_observed_usd": 156074.21849486732,
        "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 150698.99708995476,
        "exports_avg_3y_usd": 168996.22240190706,
        "exports_avg_5y_usd": 167617.06400779478,
        "exports_avg_10y_usd": 168928.9035109784,
        "exports_cagr_3y_pct": 31.80879947630162,
        "exports_cagr_5y_pct": -14.468197283259743,
        "exports_cagr_10y_pct": 0.9408295530793254,
        "exports_historical_peak_usd": 340951.8420762912,
        "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 54942623.27161832,
        "historical_peak_year": 2019,
        "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 55.172413793103445,
        "trend_acceleration_pct": 30.867969923222294,
        "trend_label": "Rapid growth",
        "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": -16.7381,
        "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 37.0526,
        "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 62.069,
        "market_share_latest_pct": 0.2840676494882445,
        "market_share_change_1y_pp": 0.10020883043234055,
        "peer_best_share_pct": 79.4111277206396,
        "peer_top_exporter": "BEL",
        "supplier_count_latest": 58,
        "buyer_market_hhi": 6457.28,
        "distance_km": 360.3150329589844,
        "has_reported_fta": 1,
        "applied_tariff_pct": 0,
        "tariff_advantage_pp": 0.0007673828181818182,
        "volatility_cv": 0.6527675543684023,
        "max_drawdown_pct": 94.87365913040358,
        "attention_level": "Watch",
        "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
        "risk_driver_labels": "['unrecovered_drawdown','concentrated_buyer_market','dominant_supplier']",
        "signal_flag": "Accelerating",
        "confidence_label": "High",
        "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25"
      },
      {
        "hs_code": 280430,
        "corridor_rank": 54,
        "exporter_iso3": "GBR",
        "importer_iso3": "DEU",
        "latest_data_year": 2024,
        "lane_data_years": 30,
        "exports_latest_observed_usd": 146202.66929091315,
        "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 164197.40006742455,
        "exports_avg_3y_usd": 158444.25376073096,
        "exports_avg_5y_usd": 192430.12369309872,
        "exports_avg_10y_usd": 173888.34380887868,
        "exports_cagr_3y_pct": -25.074589332063912,
        "exports_cagr_5y_pct": -1.1957912892020417,
        "exports_cagr_10y_pct": -0.16671978097064777,
        "exports_historical_peak_usd": 1162160.1619298488,
        "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 34126971.170492224,
        "historical_peak_year": 2012,
        "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 55.172413793103445,
        "trend_acceleration_pct": -24.907869551093263,
        "trend_label": "Rapid decline",
        "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": -12.3864,
        "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 7.9646,
        "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 58.6207,
        "market_share_latest_pct": 0.4284079842905215,
        "market_share_change_1y_pp": 0.12071805585508766,
        "peer_best_share_pct": 31.911483864770823,
        "peer_top_exporter": "FRA",
        "supplier_count_latest": 40,
        "buyer_market_hhi": 2178.14,
        "distance_km": 495.36328125,
        "has_reported_fta": 1,
        "applied_tariff_pct": 0,
        "tariff_advantage_pp": 0.0007815936111111112,
        "volatility_cv": 1.2593247675614416,
        "max_drawdown_pct": 97.95738902820995,
        "attention_level": "Watch",
        "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
        "risk_driver_labels": "['high_volatility','unrecovered_drawdown']",
        "signal_flag": "Stable",
        "confidence_label": "High",
        "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25"
      },
      {
        "hs_code": 280430,
        "corridor_rank": 63,
        "exporter_iso3": "GBR",
        "importer_iso3": "BEL",
        "latest_data_year": 2024,
        "lane_data_years": 26,
        "exports_latest_observed_usd": 111493.16108737775,
        "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 81261.35232408064,
        "exports_avg_3y_usd": 91817.92680256965,
        "exports_avg_5y_usd": 84335.52337395094,
        "exports_avg_10y_usd": 85104.35738787413,
        "exports_cagr_3y_pct": 11.742107171925875,
        "exports_cagr_5y_pct": 13.416832320255345,
        "exports_cagr_10y_pct": 5.3997798260315255,
        "exports_historical_peak_usd": 167858.60479903998,
        "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 14693810.845152434,
        "historical_peak_year": 2000,
        "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 56,
        "trend_acceleration_pct": 6.34232734589435,
        "trend_label": "Rapid growth",
        "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": -29.3507,
        "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 9.6154,
        "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 68,
        "market_share_latest_pct": 0.7587763464653551,
        "market_share_change_1y_pp": 0.44297182999201884,
        "peer_best_share_pct": 78.32848224227182,
        "peer_top_exporter": "NLD",
        "supplier_count_latest": 26,
        "buyer_market_hhi": 6278.32,
        "distance_km": 323.77960205078125,
        "has_reported_fta": 1,
        "applied_tariff_pct": 0,
        "tariff_advantage_pp": 0.0007673828181818182,
        "volatility_cv": 0.45799851143731735,
        "max_drawdown_pct": 96.18763760332425,
        "attention_level": "Watch",
        "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
        "risk_driver_labels": "['concentrated_buyer_market','dominant_supplier']",
        "signal_flag": "Growing",
        "confidence_label": "High",
        "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25"
      },
      {
        "hs_code": 280430,
        "corridor_rank": 98,
        "exporter_iso3": "GBR",
        "importer_iso3": "SAU",
        "latest_data_year": 2024,
        "lane_data_years": 29,
        "exports_latest_observed_usd": 30819.51888245002,
        "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 304807.40309166926,
        "exports_avg_3y_usd": 29118.247028425783,
        "exports_avg_5y_usd": 32155.45976136039,
        "exports_avg_10y_usd": 80276.96081055273,
        "exports_cagr_3y_pct": 18.932156645951025,
        "exports_cagr_5y_pct": 3.0156925800620016,
        "exports_cagr_10y_pct": -16.72107854820387,
        "exports_historical_peak_usd": 2080357.983136448,
        "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 11011961.315304624,
        "historical_peak_year": 2012,
        "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 57.142857142857146,
        "trend_acceleration_pct": 35.653235194154895,
        "trend_label": "Rapid growth",
        "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": 18.6775,
        "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 43.07,
        "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 55.1724,
        "market_share_latest_pct": 0.2798731125182622,
        "market_share_change_1y_pp": 0.06236685183884777,
        "peer_best_share_pct": 69.64979257559884,
        "peer_top_exporter": "USA",
        "supplier_count_latest": 15,
        "buyer_market_hhi": 5661.19,
        "distance_km": 4957.34521484375,
        "has_reported_fta": 0,
        "applied_tariff_pct": 0.09920948249898988,
        "tariff_advantage_pp": null,
        "volatility_cv": 1.4226515610269592,
        "max_drawdown_pct": 99.29996286258721,
        "attention_level": "Watch",
        "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
        "risk_driver_labels": "['high_volatility','unrecovered_drawdown','concentrated_buyer_market','dominant_supplier']",
        "signal_flag": "Slowing",
        "confidence_label": "High",
        "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25"
      }
    ],
    "priceSummary": {
      "exporter_iso3": "GBR",
      "hs_code": 280430,
      "num_markets": 115,
      "highest_price_importer_iso3": "AZE",
      "highest_price_usd_per_ton": 1667000,
      "lowest_price_importer_iso3": "VNM",
      "lowest_price_usd_per_ton": 38.57714230971883,
      "median_price_across_markets": 5895.687885010268,
      "price_spread_pct": 28274.248151702952,
      "avg_quantity_metric_tons": 154.2097809798272,
      "total_trade_value_usd": 14520156
    },
    "history": [
      {
        "year": 2010,
        "export_value_usd": 7538224.673484392,
        "active_destinations": 88,
        "yoy_growth_pct": 67.80708727618527
      },
      {
        "year": 2011,
        "export_value_usd": 8711287.94006594,
        "active_destinations": 91,
        "yoy_growth_pct": 15.561532288998803
      },
      {
        "year": 2012,
        "export_value_usd": 7621377.403388423,
        "active_destinations": 88,
        "yoy_growth_pct": -12.511474126170002
      },
      {
        "year": 2013,
        "export_value_usd": 7250134.253350332,
        "active_destinations": 98,
        "yoy_growth_pct": -4.8710768459391325
      },
      {
        "year": 2014,
        "export_value_usd": 6852039.843286881,
        "active_destinations": 99,
        "yoy_growth_pct": -5.490855702147711
      },
      {
        "year": 2015,
        "export_value_usd": 4695166.797468582,
        "active_destinations": 95,
        "yoy_growth_pct": -31.477824051642706
      },
      {
        "year": 2016,
        "export_value_usd": 4593366.859216763,
        "active_destinations": 102,
        "yoy_growth_pct": -2.168185767259755
      },
      {
        "year": 2017,
        "export_value_usd": 3728515.0975716882,
        "active_destinations": 97,
        "yoy_growth_pct": -18.828275383877013
      },
      {
        "year": 2018,
        "export_value_usd": 2930182.1326647233,
        "active_destinations": 95,
        "yoy_growth_pct": -21.411552428120896
      },
      {
        "year": 2019,
        "export_value_usd": 3551875.443311936,
        "active_destinations": 91,
        "yoy_growth_pct": 21.21688285914984
      },
      {
        "year": 2020,
        "export_value_usd": 3425631.7030488267,
        "active_destinations": 98,
        "yoy_growth_pct": -3.5542839910341546
      },
      {
        "year": 2021,
        "export_value_usd": 4584050.886808428,
        "active_destinations": 94,
        "yoy_growth_pct": 33.81622089521776
      },
      {
        "year": 2022,
        "export_value_usd": 4337713.496937387,
        "active_destinations": 97,
        "yoy_growth_pct": -5.373792655311245
      },
      {
        "year": 2023,
        "export_value_usd": 3434579.019516111,
        "active_destinations": 96,
        "yoy_growth_pct": -20.82051933717909
      },
      {
        "year": 2024,
        "export_value_usd": 4815495.945612345,
        "active_destinations": 99,
        "yoy_growth_pct": 40.20629364616534
      }
    ],
    "economy": {
      "year": 2024,
      "country_iso3": "GBR",
      "exports_usd": 442181920400.69006,
      "imports_usd": 753376053311.657,
      "trade_balance_usd": -311194132910.9669,
      "yoy_exports_growth_pct": -5.298942785484062,
      "yoy_imports_growth_pct": 2.7114834343132888,
      "exports_cagr_3y_pct": 0.5321426807664675,
      "imports_cagr_3y_pct": 3.7727404935998576,
      "export_partner_hhi": 568.0807939645799,
      "export_product_hhi": 121.01636468637346,
      "momentum_score": -3.5496171456089027,
      "risk_score": 3.445485793254767,
      "gdp_million_usd": 3686033.0444821278,
      "gdp_per_capita_usd": 53246.36761451085,
      "population": 69226000,
      "labor_force": 35514.36,
      "investment_rate_pct": 17.85,
      "savings_rate_pct": 15.56,
      "secondary_education_pct": 91.71,
      "tertiary_education_pct": 30.04,
      "total_factor_productivity": 2397.02,
      "trade_openness_pct": 35.344853887670666,
      "exports_gdp_pct": 13.072436228084023,
      "num_active_partners": 270,
      "num_fta_partners": 119,
      "num_wto_partners": 169,
      "num_eu_partners": 28,
      "num_shared_border_partners": 1,
      "num_shared_language_partners": 77,
      "avg_partner_distance_km": 6737.20987654321,
      "avg_partner_gdp_million_usd": 533678518.3258193,
      "avg_partner_gdp_per_capita_usd": 15.774186170212769,
      "avg_buyer_biz_entry_days": null,
      "avg_buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
      "pct_partners_with_fta": 44.074074074074076,
      "pct_partners_shared_language": 28.51851851851852,
      "pct_partners_shared_border": 0.3703703703703704,
      "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 0.12806982251220603,
      "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 0.13073271711760692,
      "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0.02507111166182711,
      "tariff_advantage_pp": 0.10566160545577981,
      "avg_distance_all_partners_km": 6702.485526006816,
      "num_border_partners": 25,
      "num_colonial_partners": 2020,
      "avg_substitution_elasticity": -10.853938978940885,
      "pct_products_high_elasticity": 75.90697674418605,
      "pct_products_low_elasticity": 2.6744186046511627,
      "real_market_potential": 1919336.1730728918,
      "foreign_market_potential": 40595.75475928802
    },
    "countryMap": {}
  },
  "product": {
    "hs_code": "280430",
    "hs_description": "Nitrogen",
    "hs_chapter": 28,
    "hs_heading": 2804
  },
  "destinations": [
    {
      "hs_code": 280430,
      "corridor_rank": 32,
      "exporter_iso3": "GBR",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "latest_data_year": 2024,
      "lane_data_years": 30,
      "exports_latest_observed_usd": 482586.36410793336,
      "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 83594.86500931297,
      "exports_avg_3y_usd": 288319.0571115505,
      "exports_avg_5y_usd": 260903.98212690704,
      "exports_avg_10y_usd": 150227.99340264703,
      "exports_cagr_3y_pct": 5.00283949189555,
      "exports_cagr_5y_pct": 52.08467605343816,
      "exports_cagr_10y_pct": 19.68082841111174,
      "exports_historical_peak_usd": 482586.36410793336,
      "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 12087901.842455536,
      "historical_peak_year": 2024,
      "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 41.37931034482759,
      "trend_acceleration_pct": -14.67798891921619,
      "trend_label": "Growing",
      "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": -24.4848,
      "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 11.1127,
      "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 58.6207,
      "market_share_latest_pct": 3.9923087595977758,
      "market_share_change_1y_pp": 2.916523996590378,
      "peer_best_share_pct": 30.786181492373423,
      "peer_top_exporter": "BEL",
      "supplier_count_latest": 36,
      "buyer_market_hhi": 2136.04,
      "distance_km": 342.9474792480469,
      "has_reported_fta": 1,
      "applied_tariff_pct": 0,
      "tariff_advantage_pp": 0.0007673828181818182,
      "volatility_cv": 1.3155716161133817,
      "max_drawdown_pct": 99.63190668112055,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": "['high_volatility']",
      "signal_flag": "Growing",
      "confidence_label": "High",
      "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25"
    },
    {
      "hs_code": 280430,
      "corridor_rank": 50,
      "exporter_iso3": "GBR",
      "importer_iso3": "NLD",
      "latest_data_year": 2024,
      "lane_data_years": 30,
      "exports_latest_observed_usd": 156074.21849486732,
      "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 150698.99708995476,
      "exports_avg_3y_usd": 168996.22240190706,
      "exports_avg_5y_usd": 167617.06400779478,
      "exports_avg_10y_usd": 168928.9035109784,
      "exports_cagr_3y_pct": 31.80879947630162,
      "exports_cagr_5y_pct": -14.468197283259743,
      "exports_cagr_10y_pct": 0.9408295530793254,
      "exports_historical_peak_usd": 340951.8420762912,
      "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 54942623.27161832,
      "historical_peak_year": 2019,
      "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 55.172413793103445,
      "trend_acceleration_pct": 30.867969923222294,
      "trend_label": "Rapid growth",
      "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": -16.7381,
      "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 37.0526,
      "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 62.069,
      "market_share_latest_pct": 0.2840676494882445,
      "market_share_change_1y_pp": 0.10020883043234055,
      "peer_best_share_pct": 79.4111277206396,
      "peer_top_exporter": "BEL",
      "supplier_count_latest": 58,
      "buyer_market_hhi": 6457.28,
      "distance_km": 360.3150329589844,
      "has_reported_fta": 1,
      "applied_tariff_pct": 0,
      "tariff_advantage_pp": 0.0007673828181818182,
      "volatility_cv": 0.6527675543684023,
      "max_drawdown_pct": 94.87365913040358,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": "['unrecovered_drawdown','concentrated_buyer_market','dominant_supplier']",
      "signal_flag": "Accelerating",
      "confidence_label": "High",
      "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25"
    },
    {
      "hs_code": 280430,
      "corridor_rank": 54,
      "exporter_iso3": "GBR",
      "importer_iso3": "DEU",
      "latest_data_year": 2024,
      "lane_data_years": 30,
      "exports_latest_observed_usd": 146202.66929091315,
      "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 164197.40006742455,
      "exports_avg_3y_usd": 158444.25376073096,
      "exports_avg_5y_usd": 192430.12369309872,
      "exports_avg_10y_usd": 173888.34380887868,
      "exports_cagr_3y_pct": -25.074589332063912,
      "exports_cagr_5y_pct": -1.1957912892020417,
      "exports_cagr_10y_pct": -0.16671978097064777,
      "exports_historical_peak_usd": 1162160.1619298488,
      "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 34126971.170492224,
      "historical_peak_year": 2012,
      "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 55.172413793103445,
      "trend_acceleration_pct": -24.907869551093263,
      "trend_label": "Rapid decline",
      "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": -12.3864,
      "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 7.9646,
      "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 58.6207,
      "market_share_latest_pct": 0.4284079842905215,
      "market_share_change_1y_pp": 0.12071805585508766,
      "peer_best_share_pct": 31.911483864770823,
      "peer_top_exporter": "FRA",
      "supplier_count_latest": 40,
      "buyer_market_hhi": 2178.14,
      "distance_km": 495.36328125,
      "has_reported_fta": 1,
      "applied_tariff_pct": 0,
      "tariff_advantage_pp": 0.0007815936111111112,
      "volatility_cv": 1.2593247675614416,
      "max_drawdown_pct": 97.95738902820995,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": "['high_volatility','unrecovered_drawdown']",
      "signal_flag": "Stable",
      "confidence_label": "High",
      "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25"
    },
    {
      "hs_code": 280430,
      "corridor_rank": 63,
      "exporter_iso3": "GBR",
      "importer_iso3": "BEL",
      "latest_data_year": 2024,
      "lane_data_years": 26,
      "exports_latest_observed_usd": 111493.16108737775,
      "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 81261.35232408064,
      "exports_avg_3y_usd": 91817.92680256965,
      "exports_avg_5y_usd": 84335.52337395094,
      "exports_avg_10y_usd": 85104.35738787413,
      "exports_cagr_3y_pct": 11.742107171925875,
      "exports_cagr_5y_pct": 13.416832320255345,
      "exports_cagr_10y_pct": 5.3997798260315255,
      "exports_historical_peak_usd": 167858.60479903998,
      "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 14693810.845152434,
      "historical_peak_year": 2000,
      "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 56,
      "trend_acceleration_pct": 6.34232734589435,
      "trend_label": "Rapid growth",
      "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": -29.3507,
      "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 9.6154,
      "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 68,
      "market_share_latest_pct": 0.7587763464653551,
      "market_share_change_1y_pp": 0.44297182999201884,
      "peer_best_share_pct": 78.32848224227182,
      "peer_top_exporter": "NLD",
      "supplier_count_latest": 26,
      "buyer_market_hhi": 6278.32,
      "distance_km": 323.77960205078125,
      "has_reported_fta": 1,
      "applied_tariff_pct": 0,
      "tariff_advantage_pp": 0.0007673828181818182,
      "volatility_cv": 0.45799851143731735,
      "max_drawdown_pct": 96.18763760332425,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": "['concentrated_buyer_market','dominant_supplier']",
      "signal_flag": "Growing",
      "confidence_label": "High",
      "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25"
    },
    {
      "hs_code": 280430,
      "corridor_rank": 98,
      "exporter_iso3": "GBR",
      "importer_iso3": "SAU",
      "latest_data_year": 2024,
      "lane_data_years": 29,
      "exports_latest_observed_usd": 30819.51888245002,
      "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 304807.40309166926,
      "exports_avg_3y_usd": 29118.247028425783,
      "exports_avg_5y_usd": 32155.45976136039,
      "exports_avg_10y_usd": 80276.96081055273,
      "exports_cagr_3y_pct": 18.932156645951025,
      "exports_cagr_5y_pct": 3.0156925800620016,
      "exports_cagr_10y_pct": -16.72107854820387,
      "exports_historical_peak_usd": 2080357.983136448,
      "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 11011961.315304624,
      "historical_peak_year": 2012,
      "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 57.142857142857146,
      "trend_acceleration_pct": 35.653235194154895,
      "trend_label": "Rapid growth",
      "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": 18.6775,
      "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 43.07,
      "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 55.1724,
      "market_share_latest_pct": 0.2798731125182622,
      "market_share_change_1y_pp": 0.06236685183884777,
      "peer_best_share_pct": 69.64979257559884,
      "peer_top_exporter": "USA",
      "supplier_count_latest": 15,
      "buyer_market_hhi": 5661.19,
      "distance_km": 4957.34521484375,
      "has_reported_fta": 0,
      "applied_tariff_pct": 0.09920948249898988,
      "tariff_advantage_pp": null,
      "volatility_cv": 1.4226515610269592,
      "max_drawdown_pct": 99.29996286258721,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": "['high_volatility','unrecovered_drawdown','concentrated_buyer_market','dominant_supplier']",
      "signal_flag": "Slowing",
      "confidence_label": "High",
      "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25"
    }
  ],
  "prices": [],
  "priceSummary": {
    "exporter_iso3": "GBR",
    "hs_code": 280430,
    "num_markets": 115,
    "highest_price_importer_iso3": "AZE",
    "highest_price_usd_per_ton": 1667000,
    "lowest_price_importer_iso3": "VNM",
    "lowest_price_usd_per_ton": 38.57714230971883,
    "median_price_across_markets": 5895.687885010268,
    "price_spread_pct": 28274.248151702952,
    "avg_quantity_metric_tons": 154.2097809798272,
    "total_trade_value_usd": 14520156
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "export_value_usd": 7538224.673484392,
      "active_destinations": 88,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 67.80708727618527
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "export_value_usd": 8711287.94006594,
      "active_destinations": 91,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 15.561532288998803
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "export_value_usd": 7621377.403388423,
      "active_destinations": 88,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -12.511474126170002
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "export_value_usd": 7250134.253350332,
      "active_destinations": 98,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -4.8710768459391325
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "export_value_usd": 6852039.843286881,
      "active_destinations": 99,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -5.490855702147711
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "export_value_usd": 4695166.797468582,
      "active_destinations": 95,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -31.477824051642706
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "export_value_usd": 4593366.859216763,
      "active_destinations": 102,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -2.168185767259755
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "export_value_usd": 3728515.0975716882,
      "active_destinations": 97,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -18.828275383877013
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "export_value_usd": 2930182.1326647233,
      "active_destinations": 95,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -21.411552428120896
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "export_value_usd": 3551875.443311936,
      "active_destinations": 91,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 21.21688285914984
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "export_value_usd": 3425631.7030488267,
      "active_destinations": 98,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -3.5542839910341546
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "export_value_usd": 4584050.886808428,
      "active_destinations": 94,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 33.81622089521776
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "export_value_usd": 4337713.496937387,
      "active_destinations": 97,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -5.373792655311245
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "export_value_usd": 3434579.019516111,
      "active_destinations": 96,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -20.82051933717909
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "export_value_usd": 4815495.945612345,
      "active_destinations": 99,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 40.20629364616534
    }
  ],
  "economy": {
    "year": 2024,
    "country_iso3": "GBR",
    "exports_usd": 442181920400.69006,
    "imports_usd": 753376053311.657,
    "trade_balance_usd": -311194132910.9669,
    "yoy_exports_growth_pct": -5.298942785484062,
    "yoy_imports_growth_pct": 2.7114834343132888,
    "exports_cagr_3y_pct": 0.5321426807664675,
    "imports_cagr_3y_pct": 3.7727404935998576,
    "export_partner_hhi": 568.0807939645799,
    "export_product_hhi": 121.01636468637346,
    "momentum_score": -3.5496171456089027,
    "risk_score": 3.445485793254767,
    "gdp_million_usd": 3686033.0444821278,
    "gdp_per_capita_usd": 53246.36761451085,
    "population": 69226000,
    "labor_force": 35514.36,
    "investment_rate_pct": 17.85,
    "savings_rate_pct": 15.56,
    "secondary_education_pct": 91.71,
    "tertiary_education_pct": 30.04,
    "total_factor_productivity": 2397.02,
    "trade_openness_pct": 35.344853887670666,
    "exports_gdp_pct": 13.072436228084023,
    "num_active_partners": 270,
    "num_fta_partners": 119,
    "num_wto_partners": 169,
    "num_eu_partners": 28,
    "num_shared_border_partners": 1,
    "num_shared_language_partners": 77,
    "avg_partner_distance_km": 6737.20987654321,
    "avg_partner_gdp_million_usd": 533678518.3258193,
    "avg_partner_gdp_per_capita_usd": 15.774186170212769,
    "avg_buyer_biz_entry_days": null,
    "avg_buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "pct_partners_with_fta": 44.074074074074076,
    "pct_partners_shared_language": 28.51851851851852,
    "pct_partners_shared_border": 0.3703703703703704,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 0.12806982251220603,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 0.13073271711760692,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0.02507111166182711,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": 0.10566160545577981,
    "avg_distance_all_partners_km": 6702.485526006816,
    "num_border_partners": 25,
    "num_colonial_partners": 2020,
    "avg_substitution_elasticity": -10.853938978940885,
    "pct_products_high_elasticity": 75.90697674418605,
    "pct_products_low_elasticity": 2.6744186046511627,
    "real_market_potential": 1919336.1730728918,
    "foreign_market_potential": 40595.75475928802
  }
}
```
