{ "template": "T3", "templateName": "Product Exporter Position Profile", "source": "api", "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com" }, "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/exporter/deu/870220", "links": { "product": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/product/870220", "exporter": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/exporter/deu/870220", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology" }, "methodology": { "summary": "Reported exporter totals are combined with destination, price, history, and country-context observations. Growth, concentration, weighted share, volatility, drawdown, and price-position values are calculated indicators rather than additional reported trade.", "reportedValues": "Merchandise trade observations for an exporter, HS6 product, destination market, and available year.", "destinations": "Destination rows are ranked by latest observed exporter-lane value.", "prices": "Unit values are reported trade value divided by reported quantity where quantity is positive.", "missingData": "Missing values are shown as Not reported and are not imputed." }, "exporter": { "hs_code": "870220", "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "first_data_year": 1995, "latest_data_year": 2024, "observed_lane_count": 107, "current_lane_count": 41, "active_market_count": 41, "exports_latest_observed_lanes_usd": 21552816.701515935, "exports_current_2024_usd": 17836124.361368112, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 18620308.388301507, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 24699914.980111524, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 20758109.707110487, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": -7.48924567874244, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": 19.016178569442754, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": -4.360805827303038, "exports_all_year_lane_avg_usd": 26509802.386553943, "exports_historical_lane_peak_usd": 109354397.43835233, "historical_peak_year": 2008, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 55.172413793103445, "trend_acceleration_pct": -3.1284398514394027, "trend_label": "Declining", "top_market_iso3": "SWE", "top_market_exports_usd": 8922804.131512977, "top_market_share_pct": 41.399712413855326, "destination_hhi": 1998.974733518965, "weighted_share_latest_pct": 57.403949991089874, "weighted_share_change_1y_pp": 40.86774354109558, "weighted_volatility_cv": 0.9716938275363896, "weighted_max_drawdown_pct": 88.98641866351612, "limited_history_lane_share_pct": 25.233644859813083, "data_freshness_years": 0, "coverage_score": 100, "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:28:35", "source": "api", "product": { "hs_code": 870220, "hs_description": "Vehicles: public transport type (carries 10 or more persons, including driver), with both compression-ignition internal combustion piston engine (diesel or semi-diesel) and electric motor for propulsion, new or used", "hs_chapter": 87, "hs_heading": 8702, "substitution_elasticity": null, "price_range_label": null, "trade_type_label": null }, "hs_description": "Vehicles: public transport type (carries 10 or more persons, including driver), with both compression-ignition internal combustion piston engine (diesel or semi-diesel) and electric motor for propulsion, new or used", "hs_chapter": 87, "hs_heading": 8702, "destinations": [ { "hs_code": 870220, "corridor_rank": 15, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "SWE", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 8922804.131512977, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 3919808.352258122, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 6706843.967257105, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 6865054.407515986, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 4465532.542351017, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": 51.77080861798014, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": 74.63808166739187, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": 7.1513049212490465, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 11652411.367100084, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 12075835.961476041, "historical_peak_year": 2020, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 58.62068965517241, "trend_acceleration_pct": 44.61950369673109, "trend_label": "Rapid growth", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": 146.2847, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 47.9673, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 68.9655, "market_share_latest_pct": 73.88974278864198, "market_share_change_1y_pp": 66.54181100364744, "peer_best_share_pct": 73.88974278864198, "peer_top_exporter": "DEU", "supplier_count_latest": 13, "buyer_market_hhi": 5599.87, "distance_km": 1118.92919921875, "has_reported_fta": 1, "applied_tariff_pct": 0.020404016485596706, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0.020404016485596706, "volatility_cv": 0.6813770709226238, "max_drawdown_pct": 96.90807409450541, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": "['concentrated_buyer_market','dominant_supplier']", "signal_flag": "Growing", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 870220, "corridor_rank": 35, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 645211.1987485491, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 176622.98799273113, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 580592.8356534551, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 385643.3977926866, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 229285.30305163673, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": 55.82430768726911, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": 88.6018264984782, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": 18.34377998093779, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 779425.089733634, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 118167368.29843003, "historical_peak_year": 2023, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 55.172413793103445, "trend_acceleration_pct": 37.48052770633132, "trend_label": "Rapid growth", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": 1629.0001, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 170.6089, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 58.6207, "market_share_latest_pct": 0.5460146976609289, "market_share_change_1y_pp": -10.858369402886828, "peer_best_share_pct": 64.04702993431447, "peer_top_exporter": "POL", "supplier_count_latest": 15, "buyer_market_hhi": 4631.99, "distance_km": 1146.023193359375, "has_reported_fta": 1, "applied_tariff_pct": 0, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0, "volatility_cv": 0.9021558510182031, "max_drawdown_pct": 94.13914076931155, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": "['concentrated_buyer_market','dominant_supplier']", "signal_flag": "Growing", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 870220, "corridor_rank": 56, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "AUT", "latest_data_year": 2023, "lane_data_years": 25, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 255420.6690093112, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 245569.79252662585, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 255420.6690093112, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 255420.6690093112, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 462595.4297366147, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": -44.568760292376076, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": -29.813634292762114, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": 0.957273363059552, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 1499658.1196626995, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 10158170.272028504, "historical_peak_year": 2018, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 58.333333333333336, "trend_acceleration_pct": -45.526033655435626, "trend_label": "Rapid decline", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": 640.2245, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 550.5992, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 55.1724, "market_share_latest_pct": 18.612470800739864, "market_share_change_1y_pp": -65.31444887045507, "peer_best_share_pct": 89.06393918450681, "peer_top_exporter": "POL", "supplier_count_latest": 7, "buyer_market_hhi": 7980.35, "distance_km": 763.7313842773438, "has_reported_fta": 1, "applied_tariff_pct": 0.04880302040329218, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0.04880302040329218, "volatility_cv": 1.0617199065884073, "max_drawdown_pct": 82.96807347885664, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": "['high_volatility','unrecovered_drawdown','concentrated_buyer_market','dominant_supplier']", "signal_flag": "Stable", "confidence_label": "Medium", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 870220, "corridor_rank": 63, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "FRA", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 29, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 201429.35669021087, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 54098.6904620811, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 294606.14680291415, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 180531.2675639379, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 124217.97169077629, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": 127.36525903657889, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": 4.740363112724033, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": 18.906413536415023, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 346569.64821124886, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 58885373.00151451, "historical_peak_year": 2022, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 53.57142857142857, "trend_acceleration_pct": 108.45884550016387, "trend_label": "Rapid growth", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": 34.5185, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 34.3966, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 62.069, "market_share_latest_pct": 0.34207027386076033, "market_share_change_1y_pp": -0.42508015943242533, "peer_best_share_pct": 77.22497065509395, "peer_top_exporter": "TUR", "supplier_count_latest": 12, "buyer_market_hhi": 6202.09, "distance_km": 439.8984375, "has_reported_fta": 1, "applied_tariff_pct": 0, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0, "volatility_cv": 1.6365537466403974, "max_drawdown_pct": 99.01461241221679, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": "['high_volatility','concentrated_buyer_market','dominant_supplier']", "signal_flag": "Growing", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 870220, "corridor_rank": 64, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "USA", "latest_data_year": 2017, "lane_data_years": 23, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 195708.11409568682, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 32920.44780491409, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 84460.88209543914, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 66131.78225385862, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 50205.05241423267, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": 85.5060312582588, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": 40.15827589163099, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": 17.177289184915125, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 195708.11409568682, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 67709226.02436967, "historical_peak_year": 2017, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 50, "trend_acceleration_pct": 68.32874207334368, "trend_label": "Rapid growth", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": -54.3802, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 6.273, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 48.2759, "market_share_latest_pct": 0.24609912144109608, "market_share_change_1y_pp": 0.21439343466748648, "peer_best_share_pct": 99.81382951816104, "peer_top_exporter": "CAN", "supplier_count_latest": 5, "buyer_market_hhi": 9962.83, "distance_km": 6035.33447265625, "has_reported_fta": 0, "applied_tariff_pct": 0.04660416541625514, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "volatility_cv": 1.1517223085594293, "max_drawdown_pct": 95.5860043271878, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": "['high_volatility','concentrated_buyer_market','dominant_supplier']", "signal_flag": "Accelerating", "confidence_label": "Medium", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 870220, "corridor_rank": 74, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "POL", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 132399.7840531051, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 4677226.468868791, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 141605.35004299265, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 136022.84677525892, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 1340851.1798374073, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": -0.5653452522036306, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": 12.779654329764467, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": -31.958330557083848, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 17520116.679604184, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 14597751.458612349, "historical_peak_year": 2008, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 62.06896551724138, "trend_acceleration_pct": 31.392985304880217, "trend_label": "Stable", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": 56.0848, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 27.9105, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 65.5172, "market_share_latest_pct": 0.9069875208417266, "market_share_change_1y_pp": -1.2397000508953382, "peer_best_share_pct": 88.76199649041428, "peer_top_exporter": "SWE", "supplier_count_latest": 11, "buyer_market_hhi": 7906.31, "distance_km": 965.921142578125, "has_reported_fta": 1, "applied_tariff_pct": 0.08091394394890945, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0.04595302958827163, "volatility_cv": 0.850880795483035, "max_drawdown_pct": 99.92513495887619, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": "['unrecovered_drawdown','concentrated_buyer_market','dominant_supplier']", "signal_flag": "Slowing", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" } ], "priceSummary": { "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "hs_code": 870220, "num_markets": 62, "highest_price_importer_iso3": "FIN", "highest_price_usd_per_ton": 1351039.603960396, "lowest_price_importer_iso3": "GHA", "lowest_price_usd_per_ton": 240.00819840131177, "median_price_across_markets": 8369.278625388832, "price_spread_pct": 16139.976409248024, "avg_quantity_metric_tons": 115.34507096774192, "total_trade_value_usd": 165560218 }, "history": [ { "year": 2010, "export_value_usd": 21441756.217098955, "active_destinations": 68, "yoy_growth_pct": -36.05809306114186 }, { "year": 2011, "export_value_usd": 31049766.10760289, "active_destinations": 69, "yoy_growth_pct": 44.809808456090586 }, { "year": 2012, "export_value_usd": 28298615.05147457, "active_destinations": 67, "yoy_growth_pct": -8.860456618559418 }, { "year": 2013, "export_value_usd": 29733706.362146318, "active_destinations": 65, "yoy_growth_pct": 5.0712422076534365 }, { "year": 2014, "export_value_usd": 27857453.19759343, "active_destinations": 65, "yoy_growth_pct": -6.310189324199181 }, { "year": 2015, "export_value_usd": 28355437.25972737, "active_destinations": 65, "yoy_growth_pct": 1.7876151800443911 }, { "year": 2016, "export_value_usd": 27413040.489260882, "active_destinations": 67, "yoy_growth_pct": -3.3235134476482013 }, { "year": 2017, "export_value_usd": 10499891.887159957, "active_destinations": 52, "yoy_growth_pct": -61.69745602909931 }, { "year": 2018, "export_value_usd": 10344014.53124702, "active_destinations": 35, "yoy_growth_pct": -1.4845615325197319 }, { "year": 2019, "export_value_usd": 7469138.003151987, "active_destinations": 41, "yoy_growth_pct": -27.792657477526312 }, { "year": 2020, "export_value_usd": 45110588.11826823, "active_destinations": 33, "yoy_growth_pct": 503.959762147004 }, { "year": 2021, "export_value_usd": 22528061.6173849, "active_destinations": 38, "yoy_growth_pct": -50.06036818158481 }, { "year": 2022, "export_value_usd": 26993258.028954733, "active_destinations": 37, "yoy_growth_pct": 19.820597472638493 }, { "year": 2023, "export_value_usd": 11031542.774581658, "active_destinations": 45, "yoy_growth_pct": -59.132229378356236 }, { "year": 2024, "export_value_usd": 17836124.361368112, "active_destinations": 41, "yoy_growth_pct": 61.68295519340449 } ], "economy": { "year": 2024, "country_iso3": "DEU", "exports_usd": 1556773836581.939, "imports_usd": 1317565125540.067, "trade_balance_usd": 239208711041.87207, "yoy_exports_growth_pct": -4.920181070331687, "yoy_imports_growth_pct": -5.864236583999549, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": -0.27823928798644815, "imports_cagr_3y_pct": -0.9610037823739925, "export_partner_hhi": 438.209471440054, "export_product_hhi": 54.022047395285114, "momentum_score": -3.527598535628115, "risk_score": 2.4611575941766954, "gdp_million_usd": 4685592.5778046865, "gdp_per_capita_usd": 56103.73231825545, "population": 83516593, "labor_force": 43123.3, "investment_rate_pct": 22.08, "savings_rate_pct": 27.68, "secondary_education_pct": 95.9, "tertiary_education_pct": 20.06, "total_factor_productivity": 2376, "trade_openness_pct": 64.10501996682734, "exports_gdp_pct": 34.71998925424008, "num_active_partners": 1080, "num_fta_partners": 214, "num_wto_partners": 676, "num_eu_partners": 112, "num_shared_border_partners": 18, "num_shared_language_partners": 8, "avg_partner_distance_km": 6605.880658436214, "avg_partner_gdp_million_usd": 533678518.3258193, "avg_partner_gdp_per_capita_usd": 15.774186170212737, "avg_buyer_biz_entry_days": null, "avg_buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "pct_partners_with_fta": 19.814814814814817, "pct_partners_shared_language": 0.7407407407407408, "pct_partners_shared_border": 1.6666666666666667, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 0.12742739700531733, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 0.12991419306435142, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0.024712068784908343, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0.10520212427944309, "avg_distance_all_partners_km": 6614.911529962142, "num_border_partners": 360, "num_colonial_partners": 384, "avg_substitution_elasticity": -10.91665015154679, "pct_products_high_elasticity": 76.04527604527604, "pct_products_low_elasticity": 2.6565026565026564, "real_market_potential": 2800764.90471021, "foreign_market_potential": 32561.235292050776 }, "countryMap": {} }, "product": { "hs_code": "870220", "hs_description": "Vehicles: public transport type (carries 10 or more persons, including driver), with both compression-ignition internal combustion piston engine (diesel or semi-diesel) and electric motor for propulsion, new or used", "hs_chapter": 87, "hs_heading": 8702 }, "destinations": [ { "hs_code": 870220, "corridor_rank": 15, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "SWE", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 8922804.131512977, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 3919808.352258122, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 6706843.967257105, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 6865054.407515986, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 4465532.542351017, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": 51.77080861798014, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": 74.63808166739187, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": 7.1513049212490465, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 11652411.367100084, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 12075835.961476041, "historical_peak_year": 2020, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 58.62068965517241, "trend_acceleration_pct": 44.61950369673109, "trend_label": "Rapid growth", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": 146.2847, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 47.9673, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 68.9655, "market_share_latest_pct": 73.88974278864198, "market_share_change_1y_pp": 66.54181100364744, "peer_best_share_pct": 73.88974278864198, "peer_top_exporter": "DEU", "supplier_count_latest": 13, "buyer_market_hhi": 5599.87, "distance_km": 1118.92919921875, "has_reported_fta": 1, "applied_tariff_pct": 0.020404016485596706, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0.020404016485596706, "volatility_cv": 0.6813770709226238, "max_drawdown_pct": 96.90807409450541, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": "['concentrated_buyer_market','dominant_supplier']", "signal_flag": "Growing", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 870220, "corridor_rank": 35, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 645211.1987485491, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 176622.98799273113, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 580592.8356534551, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 385643.3977926866, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 229285.30305163673, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": 55.82430768726911, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": 88.6018264984782, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": 18.34377998093779, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 779425.089733634, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 118167368.29843003, "historical_peak_year": 2023, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 55.172413793103445, "trend_acceleration_pct": 37.48052770633132, "trend_label": "Rapid growth", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": 1629.0001, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 170.6089, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 58.6207, "market_share_latest_pct": 0.5460146976609289, "market_share_change_1y_pp": -10.858369402886828, "peer_best_share_pct": 64.04702993431447, "peer_top_exporter": "POL", "supplier_count_latest": 15, "buyer_market_hhi": 4631.99, "distance_km": 1146.023193359375, "has_reported_fta": 1, "applied_tariff_pct": 0, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0, "volatility_cv": 0.9021558510182031, "max_drawdown_pct": 94.13914076931155, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": "['concentrated_buyer_market','dominant_supplier']", "signal_flag": "Growing", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 870220, "corridor_rank": 56, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "AUT", "latest_data_year": 2023, "lane_data_years": 25, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 255420.6690093112, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 245569.79252662585, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 255420.6690093112, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 255420.6690093112, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 462595.4297366147, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": -44.568760292376076, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": -29.813634292762114, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": 0.957273363059552, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 1499658.1196626995, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 10158170.272028504, "historical_peak_year": 2018, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 58.333333333333336, "trend_acceleration_pct": -45.526033655435626, "trend_label": "Rapid decline", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": 640.2245, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 550.5992, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 55.1724, "market_share_latest_pct": 18.612470800739864, "market_share_change_1y_pp": -65.31444887045507, "peer_best_share_pct": 89.06393918450681, "peer_top_exporter": "POL", "supplier_count_latest": 7, "buyer_market_hhi": 7980.35, "distance_km": 763.7313842773438, "has_reported_fta": 1, "applied_tariff_pct": 0.04880302040329218, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0.04880302040329218, "volatility_cv": 1.0617199065884073, "max_drawdown_pct": 82.96807347885664, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": "['high_volatility','unrecovered_drawdown','concentrated_buyer_market','dominant_supplier']", "signal_flag": "Stable", "confidence_label": "Medium", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 870220, "corridor_rank": 63, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "FRA", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 29, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 201429.35669021087, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 54098.6904620811, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 294606.14680291415, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 180531.2675639379, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 124217.97169077629, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": 127.36525903657889, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": 4.740363112724033, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": 18.906413536415023, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 346569.64821124886, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 58885373.00151451, "historical_peak_year": 2022, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 53.57142857142857, "trend_acceleration_pct": 108.45884550016387, "trend_label": "Rapid growth", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": 34.5185, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 34.3966, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 62.069, "market_share_latest_pct": 0.34207027386076033, "market_share_change_1y_pp": -0.42508015943242533, "peer_best_share_pct": 77.22497065509395, "peer_top_exporter": "TUR", "supplier_count_latest": 12, "buyer_market_hhi": 6202.09, "distance_km": 439.8984375, "has_reported_fta": 1, "applied_tariff_pct": 0, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0, "volatility_cv": 1.6365537466403974, "max_drawdown_pct": 99.01461241221679, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": "['high_volatility','concentrated_buyer_market','dominant_supplier']", "signal_flag": "Growing", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 870220, "corridor_rank": 64, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "USA", "latest_data_year": 2017, "lane_data_years": 23, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 195708.11409568682, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 32920.44780491409, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 84460.88209543914, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 66131.78225385862, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 50205.05241423267, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": 85.5060312582588, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": 40.15827589163099, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": 17.177289184915125, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 195708.11409568682, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 67709226.02436967, "historical_peak_year": 2017, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 50, "trend_acceleration_pct": 68.32874207334368, "trend_label": "Rapid growth", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": -54.3802, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 6.273, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 48.2759, "market_share_latest_pct": 0.24609912144109608, "market_share_change_1y_pp": 0.21439343466748648, "peer_best_share_pct": 99.81382951816104, "peer_top_exporter": "CAN", "supplier_count_latest": 5, "buyer_market_hhi": 9962.83, "distance_km": 6035.33447265625, "has_reported_fta": 0, "applied_tariff_pct": 0.04660416541625514, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "volatility_cv": 1.1517223085594293, "max_drawdown_pct": 95.5860043271878, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": "['high_volatility','concentrated_buyer_market','dominant_supplier']", "signal_flag": "Accelerating", "confidence_label": "Medium", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 870220, "corridor_rank": 74, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "POL", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 132399.7840531051, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 4677226.468868791, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 141605.35004299265, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 136022.84677525892, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 1340851.1798374073, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": -0.5653452522036306, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": 12.779654329764467, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": -31.958330557083848, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 17520116.679604184, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 14597751.458612349, "historical_peak_year": 2008, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 62.06896551724138, "trend_acceleration_pct": 31.392985304880217, "trend_label": "Stable", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": 56.0848, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 27.9105, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 65.5172, "market_share_latest_pct": 0.9069875208417266, "market_share_change_1y_pp": -1.2397000508953382, "peer_best_share_pct": 88.76199649041428, "peer_top_exporter": "SWE", "supplier_count_latest": 11, "buyer_market_hhi": 7906.31, "distance_km": 965.921142578125, "has_reported_fta": 1, "applied_tariff_pct": 0.08091394394890945, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0.04595302958827163, "volatility_cv": 0.850880795483035, "max_drawdown_pct": 99.92513495887619, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": "['unrecovered_drawdown','concentrated_buyer_market','dominant_supplier']", "signal_flag": "Slowing", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" } ], "prices": [], "priceSummary": { "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "hs_code": 870220, "num_markets": 62, "highest_price_importer_iso3": "FIN", "highest_price_usd_per_ton": 1351039.603960396, "lowest_price_importer_iso3": "GHA", "lowest_price_usd_per_ton": 240.00819840131177, "median_price_across_markets": 8369.278625388832, "price_spread_pct": 16139.976409248024, "avg_quantity_metric_tons": 115.34507096774192, "total_trade_value_usd": 165560218 }, "history": [ { "year": 2010, "export_value_usd": 21441756.217098955, "active_destinations": 68, "yoy_growth_pct": -36.05809306114186 }, { "year": 2011, "export_value_usd": 31049766.10760289, "active_destinations": 69, "yoy_growth_pct": 44.809808456090586 }, { "year": 2012, "export_value_usd": 28298615.05147457, "active_destinations": 67, "yoy_growth_pct": -8.860456618559418 }, { "year": 2013, "export_value_usd": 29733706.362146318, "active_destinations": 65, "yoy_growth_pct": 5.0712422076534365 }, { "year": 2014, "export_value_usd": 27857453.19759343, "active_destinations": 65, "yoy_growth_pct": -6.310189324199181 }, { "year": 2015, "export_value_usd": 28355437.25972737, "active_destinations": 65, "yoy_growth_pct": 1.7876151800443911 }, { "year": 2016, "export_value_usd": 27413040.489260882, "active_destinations": 67, "yoy_growth_pct": -3.3235134476482013 }, { "year": 2017, "export_value_usd": 10499891.887159957, "active_destinations": 52, "yoy_growth_pct": -61.69745602909931 }, { "year": 2018, "export_value_usd": 10344014.53124702, "active_destinations": 35, "yoy_growth_pct": -1.4845615325197319 }, { "year": 2019, "export_value_usd": 7469138.003151987, "active_destinations": 41, "yoy_growth_pct": -27.792657477526312 }, { "year": 2020, "export_value_usd": 45110588.11826823, "active_destinations": 33, "yoy_growth_pct": 503.959762147004 }, { "year": 2021, "export_value_usd": 22528061.6173849, "active_destinations": 38, "yoy_growth_pct": -50.06036818158481 }, { "year": 2022, "export_value_usd": 26993258.028954733, "active_destinations": 37, "yoy_growth_pct": 19.820597472638493 }, { "year": 2023, "export_value_usd": 11031542.774581658, "active_destinations": 45, "yoy_growth_pct": -59.132229378356236 }, { "year": 2024, "export_value_usd": 17836124.361368112, "active_destinations": 41, "yoy_growth_pct": 61.68295519340449 } ], "economy": { "year": 2024, "country_iso3": "DEU", "exports_usd": 1556773836581.939, "imports_usd": 1317565125540.067, "trade_balance_usd": 239208711041.87207, "yoy_exports_growth_pct": -4.920181070331687, "yoy_imports_growth_pct": -5.864236583999549, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": -0.27823928798644815, "imports_cagr_3y_pct": -0.9610037823739925, "export_partner_hhi": 438.209471440054, "export_product_hhi": 54.022047395285114, "momentum_score": -3.527598535628115, "risk_score": 2.4611575941766954, "gdp_million_usd": 4685592.5778046865, "gdp_per_capita_usd": 56103.73231825545, "population": 83516593, "labor_force": 43123.3, "investment_rate_pct": 22.08, "savings_rate_pct": 27.68, "secondary_education_pct": 95.9, "tertiary_education_pct": 20.06, "total_factor_productivity": 2376, "trade_openness_pct": 64.10501996682734, "exports_gdp_pct": 34.71998925424008, "num_active_partners": 1080, "num_fta_partners": 214, "num_wto_partners": 676, "num_eu_partners": 112, "num_shared_border_partners": 18, "num_shared_language_partners": 8, "avg_partner_distance_km": 6605.880658436214, "avg_partner_gdp_million_usd": 533678518.3258193, "avg_partner_gdp_per_capita_usd": 15.774186170212737, "avg_buyer_biz_entry_days": null, "avg_buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "pct_partners_with_fta": 19.814814814814817, "pct_partners_shared_language": 0.7407407407407408, "pct_partners_shared_border": 1.6666666666666667, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 0.12742739700531733, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 0.12991419306435142, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0.024712068784908343, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0.10520212427944309, "avg_distance_all_partners_km": 6614.911529962142, "num_border_partners": 360, "num_colonial_partners": 384, "avg_substitution_elasticity": -10.91665015154679, "pct_products_high_elasticity": 76.04527604527604, "pct_products_low_elasticity": 2.6565026565026564, "real_market_potential": 2800764.90471021, "foreign_market_potential": 32561.235292050776 } }