{ "template": "T3", "templateName": "Product Exporter Position Profile", "source": "api", "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com" }, "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/exporter/deu/853931", "links": { "product": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/product/853931", "exporter": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/exporter/deu/853931", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology" }, "methodology": { "summary": "Reported exporter totals are combined with destination, price, history, and country-context observations. Growth, concentration, weighted share, volatility, drawdown, and price-position values are calculated indicators rather than additional reported trade.", "reportedValues": "Merchandise trade observations for an exporter, HS6 product, destination market, and available year.", "destinations": "Destination rows are ranked by latest observed exporter-lane value.", "prices": "Unit values are reported trade value divided by reported quantity where quantity is positive.", "missingData": "Missing values are shown as Not reported and are not imputed." }, "exporter": { "hs_code": "853931", "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "first_data_year": 1995, "latest_data_year": 2024, "observed_lane_count": 189, "current_lane_count": 135, "active_market_count": 135, "exports_latest_observed_lanes_usd": 18457276.87495567, "exports_current_2024_usd": 18380547.83009469, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 22006287.12886534, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 24551478.141848125, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 75174970.30543819, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": -12.858640748297567, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": -18.33768395368628, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": -23.766448868998648, "exports_all_year_lane_avg_usd": 216512588.6321488, "exports_historical_lane_peak_usd": 583080861.944547, "historical_peak_year": 2008, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 37.93103448275862, "trend_acceleration_pct": 10.90780812070108, "trend_label": "Rapid decline", "top_market_iso3": "USA", "top_market_exports_usd": 2644678.3618552587, "top_market_share_pct": 14.328648693804736, "destination_hhi": 692.7315884965411, "weighted_share_latest_pct": 21.301731929873135, "weighted_share_change_1y_pp": 7.1311125082954, "weighted_volatility_cv": 0.7364639047060488, "weighted_max_drawdown_pct": 92.85389464642894, "limited_history_lane_share_pct": 7.407407407407407, "data_freshness_years": 0, "coverage_score": 100, "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:28:35", "source": "api", "product": { "hs_code": 853931, "hs_description": "Lamps: discharge, (excluding ultra-violet), fluorescent, hot cathode", "hs_chapter": 85, "hs_heading": 8539, "substitution_elasticity": -6.5212851, "price_range_label": "Medium price range", "trade_type_label": "One-way trade" }, "hs_description": "Lamps: discharge, (excluding ultra-violet), fluorescent, hot cathode", "hs_chapter": 85, "hs_heading": 8539, "destinations": [ { "hs_code": 853931, "corridor_rank": 14, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "USA", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 2644678.3618552587, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 12355356.16545776, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 2737357.2287559346, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 2246635.8823722787, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 5701548.007696966, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": 20.187977361856312, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": -3.888144331253651, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": -18.282058846167224, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 26002578.579802755, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 96314371.78459066, "historical_peak_year": 2013, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 44.827586206896555, "trend_acceleration_pct": 38.47003620802354, "trend_label": "Rapid growth", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": -17.4993, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 1.628, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 55.1724, "market_share_latest_pct": 2.745881339256559, "market_share_change_1y_pp": -0.06329525978458461, "peer_best_share_pct": 57.718584241894064, "peer_top_exporter": "CHN", "supplier_count_latest": 50, "buyer_market_hhi": 3982.58, "distance_km": 6035.33447265625, "has_reported_fta": 0, "applied_tariff_pct": 0.04660416541625514, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "volatility_cv": 0.5446496608915836, "max_drawdown_pct": 94.23983088006214, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": "['unrecovered_drawdown','concentrated_buyer_market','dominant_supplier']", "signal_flag": "Slowing", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 853931, "corridor_rank": 32, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 378076.2688842553, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 11766175.757350616, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 726248.5488954186, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 698098.9144341648, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 1908324.059224195, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": 1.0140384142140135, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": -25.948993559430676, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": -28.13519602098057, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 35639834.77923084, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 11291957.965930387, "historical_peak_year": 1996, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 44.827586206896555, "trend_acceleration_pct": 29.149234435194582, "trend_label": "Stable", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": -45.3747, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": -3.6859, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 41.3793, "market_share_latest_pct": 3.3481905443234092, "market_share_change_1y_pp": -0.4108347941288262, "peer_best_share_pct": 32.11534935087505, "peer_top_exporter": "CHN", "supplier_count_latest": 43, "buyer_market_hhi": 1839.89, "distance_km": 495.36328125, "has_reported_fta": 1, "applied_tariff_pct": 0, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0, "volatility_cv": 0.7886237719451293, "max_drawdown_pct": 98.97080294615171, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": "['unrecovered_drawdown','declining_buyer_demand']", "signal_flag": "Declining", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 853931, "corridor_rank": 46, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "CAN", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 164151.77616163687, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 1442354.8183078414, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 182288.03334978837, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 186223.65364666432, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 495560.8300343233, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": -4.494905808336691, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": -11.35743042118904, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": -23.403810369352584, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 3647655.050621789, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 18039520.834584318, "historical_peak_year": 2008, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 41.37931034482759, "trend_acceleration_pct": 18.908904561015895, "trend_label": "Declining", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": -8.8254, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": -0.8763, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 48.2759, "market_share_latest_pct": 0.9099564099670246, "market_share_change_1y_pp": 0.08735030782773656, "peer_best_share_pct": 40.65740074018056, "peer_top_exporter": "CHN", "supplier_count_latest": 43, "buyer_market_hhi": 2897.78, "distance_km": 6160.55908203125, "has_reported_fta": 1, "applied_tariff_pct": 0.07289390468415641, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0.07106969503703707, "volatility_cv": 0.6359124185643739, "max_drawdown_pct": 95.53800380595085, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": "['unrecovered_drawdown','concentrated_buyer_market']", "signal_flag": "Slowing", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 853931, "corridor_rank": 64, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 68108.04829949043, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 685145.4296168679, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 67057.87159913174, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 64454.773389761685, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 268451.2924491531, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": 2.8431789906875338, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": -11.504261896872514, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": -24.442885227349542, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 2909117.0021579084, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 16814435.444651354, "historical_peak_year": 2008, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 55.172413793103445, "trend_acceleration_pct": 27.286064218037076, "trend_label": "Stable", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": -14.5656, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 4.9727, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 51.7241, "market_share_latest_pct": 0.4050570030952512, "market_share_change_1y_pp": 0.1102195815971101, "peer_best_share_pct": 85.75176040832105, "peer_top_exporter": "CHN", "supplier_count_latest": 82, "buyer_market_hhi": 7440.13, "distance_km": 9399.78125, "has_reported_fta": 1, "applied_tariff_pct": 0.10907427334660494, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0.13089683355074896, "volatility_cv": 1.1952307360152403, "max_drawdown_pct": 98.00533026479903, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": "['high_volatility','unrecovered_drawdown','concentrated_buyer_market','dominant_supplier']", "signal_flag": "Stable", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 853931, "corridor_rank": 68, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "KOR", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 59431.04273739903, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 1632901.8464027685, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 53200.23276609959, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 99693.5850009331, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 1481505.5131287153, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": -23.417924689011237, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": -41.2399972488524, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": -30.274143025988533, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 4493245.095036892, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 15855892.080433834, "historical_peak_year": 2015, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 41.37931034482759, "trend_acceleration_pct": 6.856218336977296, "trend_label": "Rapid decline", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": -13.4695, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 6.3122, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 55.1724, "market_share_latest_pct": 0.37481992458019386, "market_share_change_1y_pp": 0.1470716580536466, "peer_best_share_pct": 94.96760494818467, "peer_top_exporter": "CHN", "supplier_count_latest": 24, "buyer_market_hhi": 9030.39, "distance_km": 8543.7841796875, "has_reported_fta": 1, "applied_tariff_pct": 0.13700167517901238, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0.11091181424331689, "volatility_cv": 0.8162580838971929, "max_drawdown_pct": 99.0712127416944, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": "['unrecovered_drawdown','concentrated_buyer_market','dominant_supplier']", "signal_flag": "Slowing", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 853931, "corridor_rank": 73, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 42939.32346094738, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 727464.2264339312, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 40214.560332973655, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 40317.78567861444, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 143753.14661487984, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": 5.529172798540505, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": -7.025580567338718, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": -19.573722419335272, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 3191863.931751596, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 23268499.49531042, "historical_peak_year": 1996, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 41.37931034482759, "trend_acceleration_pct": 25.102895217875776, "trend_label": "Growing", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": 11.5913, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 5.7194, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 51.7241, "market_share_latest_pct": 0.18453842917374824, "market_share_change_1y_pp": -0.017148272899714018, "peer_best_share_pct": 97.72098562158415, "peer_top_exporter": "CHN", "supplier_count_latest": 26, "buyer_market_hhi": 9550.97, "distance_km": 9298.3408203125, "has_reported_fta": 1, "applied_tariff_pct": 0.039911157261893, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0.030370869448953192, "volatility_cv": 1.2031601875419013, "max_drawdown_pct": 98.88311089859313, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": "['high_volatility','unrecovered_drawdown','concentrated_buyer_market','dominant_supplier','buyer_macro_weakness']", "signal_flag": "Declining", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" } ], "priceSummary": { "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "hs_code": 853931, "num_markets": 165, "highest_price_importer_iso3": "DZA", "highest_price_usd_per_ton": 4734500, "lowest_price_importer_iso3": "MWI", "lowest_price_usd_per_ton": 300, "median_price_across_markets": 18780.70855960693, "price_spread_pct": 25207.78161790017, "avg_quantity_metric_tons": 34.62122451994091, "total_trade_value_usd": 253243143 }, "history": [ { "year": 2010, "export_value_usd": 396692422.4792618, "active_destinations": 153, "yoy_growth_pct": -4.015379085128119 }, { "year": 2011, "export_value_usd": 414296090.3022125, "active_destinations": 158, "yoy_growth_pct": 4.4376113143101295 }, { "year": 2012, "export_value_usd": 359630293.21715325, "active_destinations": 167, "yoy_growth_pct": -13.194861927174525 }, { "year": 2013, "export_value_usd": 341377140.5882237, "active_destinations": 172, "yoy_growth_pct": -5.075532560297381 }, { "year": 2014, "export_value_usd": 277266209.19285923, "active_destinations": 172, "yoy_growth_pct": -18.780089166162544 }, { "year": 2015, "export_value_usd": 205070731.95484933, "active_destinations": 163, "yoy_growth_pct": -26.038325206730324 }, { "year": 2016, "export_value_usd": 159802129.61298314, "active_destinations": 153, "yoy_growth_pct": -22.074628549057422 }, { "year": 2017, "export_value_usd": 120488647.31798169, "active_destinations": 146, "yoy_growth_pct": -24.601350676748066 }, { "year": 2018, "export_value_usd": 93019212.80283816, "active_destinations": 154, "yoy_growth_pct": -22.79835912063061 }, { "year": 2019, "export_value_usd": 50611590.65648922, "active_destinations": 149, "yoy_growth_pct": -45.59017526436755 }, { "year": 2020, "export_value_usd": 28961521.46348481, "active_destinations": 140, "yoy_growth_pct": -42.77689934692563 }, { "year": 2021, "export_value_usd": 27777007.8591598, "active_destinations": 136, "yoy_growth_pct": -4.089956412747386 }, { "year": 2022, "export_value_usd": 22776154.428936083, "active_destinations": 137, "yoy_growth_pct": -18.003571355057332 }, { "year": 2023, "export_value_usd": 24862159.127565227, "active_destinations": 138, "yoy_growth_pct": 9.158722141341688 }, { "year": 2024, "export_value_usd": 18380547.830094684, "active_destinations": 135, "yoy_growth_pct": -26.070186680947742 } ], "economy": { "year": 2024, "country_iso3": "DEU", "exports_usd": 1556773836581.939, "imports_usd": 1317565125540.067, "trade_balance_usd": 239208711041.87207, "yoy_exports_growth_pct": -4.920181070331687, "yoy_imports_growth_pct": -5.864236583999549, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": -0.27823928798644815, "imports_cagr_3y_pct": -0.9610037823739925, "export_partner_hhi": 438.209471440054, "export_product_hhi": 54.022047395285114, "momentum_score": -3.527598535628115, "risk_score": 2.4611575941766954, "gdp_million_usd": 4685592.5778046865, "gdp_per_capita_usd": 56103.73231825545, "population": 83516593, "labor_force": 43123.3, "investment_rate_pct": 22.08, "savings_rate_pct": 27.68, "secondary_education_pct": 95.9, "tertiary_education_pct": 20.06, "total_factor_productivity": 2376, "trade_openness_pct": 64.10501996682734, "exports_gdp_pct": 34.71998925424008, "num_active_partners": 1080, "num_fta_partners": 214, "num_wto_partners": 676, "num_eu_partners": 112, "num_shared_border_partners": 18, "num_shared_language_partners": 8, "avg_partner_distance_km": 6605.880658436214, "avg_partner_gdp_million_usd": 533678518.3258193, "avg_partner_gdp_per_capita_usd": 15.774186170212737, "avg_buyer_biz_entry_days": null, "avg_buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "pct_partners_with_fta": 19.814814814814817, "pct_partners_shared_language": 0.7407407407407408, "pct_partners_shared_border": 1.6666666666666667, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 0.12742739700531733, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 0.12991419306435142, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0.024712068784908343, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0.10520212427944309, "avg_distance_all_partners_km": 6614.911529962142, "num_border_partners": 360, "num_colonial_partners": 384, "avg_substitution_elasticity": -10.91665015154679, "pct_products_high_elasticity": 76.04527604527604, "pct_products_low_elasticity": 2.6565026565026564, "real_market_potential": 2800764.90471021, "foreign_market_potential": 32561.235292050776 }, "countryMap": {} }, "product": { "hs_code": "853931", "hs_description": "Lamps: discharge, (excluding ultra-violet), fluorescent, hot cathode", "hs_chapter": 85, "hs_heading": 8539 }, "destinations": [ { "hs_code": 853931, "corridor_rank": 14, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "USA", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 2644678.3618552587, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 12355356.16545776, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 2737357.2287559346, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 2246635.8823722787, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 5701548.007696966, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": 20.187977361856312, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": -3.888144331253651, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": -18.282058846167224, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 26002578.579802755, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 96314371.78459066, "historical_peak_year": 2013, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 44.827586206896555, "trend_acceleration_pct": 38.47003620802354, "trend_label": "Rapid growth", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": -17.4993, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 1.628, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 55.1724, "market_share_latest_pct": 2.745881339256559, "market_share_change_1y_pp": -0.06329525978458461, "peer_best_share_pct": 57.718584241894064, "peer_top_exporter": "CHN", "supplier_count_latest": 50, "buyer_market_hhi": 3982.58, "distance_km": 6035.33447265625, "has_reported_fta": 0, "applied_tariff_pct": 0.04660416541625514, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "volatility_cv": 0.5446496608915836, "max_drawdown_pct": 94.23983088006214, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": "['unrecovered_drawdown','concentrated_buyer_market','dominant_supplier']", "signal_flag": "Slowing", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 853931, "corridor_rank": 32, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 378076.2688842553, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 11766175.757350616, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 726248.5488954186, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 698098.9144341648, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 1908324.059224195, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": 1.0140384142140135, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": -25.948993559430676, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": -28.13519602098057, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 35639834.77923084, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 11291957.965930387, "historical_peak_year": 1996, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 44.827586206896555, "trend_acceleration_pct": 29.149234435194582, "trend_label": "Stable", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": -45.3747, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": -3.6859, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 41.3793, "market_share_latest_pct": 3.3481905443234092, "market_share_change_1y_pp": -0.4108347941288262, "peer_best_share_pct": 32.11534935087505, "peer_top_exporter": "CHN", "supplier_count_latest": 43, "buyer_market_hhi": 1839.89, "distance_km": 495.36328125, "has_reported_fta": 1, "applied_tariff_pct": 0, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0, "volatility_cv": 0.7886237719451293, "max_drawdown_pct": 98.97080294615171, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": "['unrecovered_drawdown','declining_buyer_demand']", "signal_flag": "Declining", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 853931, "corridor_rank": 46, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "CAN", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 164151.77616163687, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 1442354.8183078414, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 182288.03334978837, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 186223.65364666432, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 495560.8300343233, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": -4.494905808336691, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": -11.35743042118904, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": -23.403810369352584, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 3647655.050621789, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 18039520.834584318, "historical_peak_year": 2008, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 41.37931034482759, "trend_acceleration_pct": 18.908904561015895, "trend_label": "Declining", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": -8.8254, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": -0.8763, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 48.2759, "market_share_latest_pct": 0.9099564099670246, "market_share_change_1y_pp": 0.08735030782773656, "peer_best_share_pct": 40.65740074018056, "peer_top_exporter": "CHN", "supplier_count_latest": 43, "buyer_market_hhi": 2897.78, "distance_km": 6160.55908203125, "has_reported_fta": 1, "applied_tariff_pct": 0.07289390468415641, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0.07106969503703707, "volatility_cv": 0.6359124185643739, "max_drawdown_pct": 95.53800380595085, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": "['unrecovered_drawdown','concentrated_buyer_market']", "signal_flag": "Slowing", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 853931, "corridor_rank": 64, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 68108.04829949043, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 685145.4296168679, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 67057.87159913174, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 64454.773389761685, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 268451.2924491531, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": 2.8431789906875338, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": -11.504261896872514, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": -24.442885227349542, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 2909117.0021579084, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 16814435.444651354, "historical_peak_year": 2008, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 55.172413793103445, "trend_acceleration_pct": 27.286064218037076, "trend_label": "Stable", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": -14.5656, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 4.9727, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 51.7241, "market_share_latest_pct": 0.4050570030952512, "market_share_change_1y_pp": 0.1102195815971101, "peer_best_share_pct": 85.75176040832105, "peer_top_exporter": "CHN", "supplier_count_latest": 82, "buyer_market_hhi": 7440.13, "distance_km": 9399.78125, "has_reported_fta": 1, "applied_tariff_pct": 0.10907427334660494, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0.13089683355074896, "volatility_cv": 1.1952307360152403, "max_drawdown_pct": 98.00533026479903, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": "['high_volatility','unrecovered_drawdown','concentrated_buyer_market','dominant_supplier']", "signal_flag": "Stable", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 853931, "corridor_rank": 68, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "KOR", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 59431.04273739903, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 1632901.8464027685, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 53200.23276609959, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 99693.5850009331, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 1481505.5131287153, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": -23.417924689011237, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": -41.2399972488524, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": -30.274143025988533, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 4493245.095036892, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 15855892.080433834, "historical_peak_year": 2015, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 41.37931034482759, "trend_acceleration_pct": 6.856218336977296, "trend_label": "Rapid decline", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": -13.4695, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 6.3122, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 55.1724, "market_share_latest_pct": 0.37481992458019386, "market_share_change_1y_pp": 0.1470716580536466, "peer_best_share_pct": 94.96760494818467, "peer_top_exporter": "CHN", "supplier_count_latest": 24, "buyer_market_hhi": 9030.39, "distance_km": 8543.7841796875, "has_reported_fta": 1, "applied_tariff_pct": 0.13700167517901238, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0.11091181424331689, "volatility_cv": 0.8162580838971929, "max_drawdown_pct": 99.0712127416944, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": "['unrecovered_drawdown','concentrated_buyer_market','dominant_supplier']", "signal_flag": "Slowing", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 853931, "corridor_rank": 73, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 42939.32346094738, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 727464.2264339312, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 40214.560332973655, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 40317.78567861444, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 143753.14661487984, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": 5.529172798540505, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": -7.025580567338718, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": -19.573722419335272, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 3191863.931751596, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 23268499.49531042, "historical_peak_year": 1996, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 41.37931034482759, "trend_acceleration_pct": 25.102895217875776, "trend_label": "Growing", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": 11.5913, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 5.7194, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 51.7241, "market_share_latest_pct": 0.18453842917374824, "market_share_change_1y_pp": -0.017148272899714018, "peer_best_share_pct": 97.72098562158415, "peer_top_exporter": "CHN", "supplier_count_latest": 26, "buyer_market_hhi": 9550.97, "distance_km": 9298.3408203125, "has_reported_fta": 1, "applied_tariff_pct": 0.039911157261893, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0.030370869448953192, "volatility_cv": 1.2031601875419013, "max_drawdown_pct": 98.88311089859313, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": "['high_volatility','unrecovered_drawdown','concentrated_buyer_market','dominant_supplier','buyer_macro_weakness']", "signal_flag": "Declining", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" } ], "prices": [], "priceSummary": { "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "hs_code": 853931, "num_markets": 165, "highest_price_importer_iso3": "DZA", "highest_price_usd_per_ton": 4734500, "lowest_price_importer_iso3": "MWI", "lowest_price_usd_per_ton": 300, "median_price_across_markets": 18780.70855960693, "price_spread_pct": 25207.78161790017, "avg_quantity_metric_tons": 34.62122451994091, "total_trade_value_usd": 253243143 }, "history": [ { "year": 2010, "export_value_usd": 396692422.4792618, "active_destinations": 153, "yoy_growth_pct": -4.015379085128119 }, { "year": 2011, "export_value_usd": 414296090.3022125, "active_destinations": 158, "yoy_growth_pct": 4.4376113143101295 }, { "year": 2012, "export_value_usd": 359630293.21715325, "active_destinations": 167, "yoy_growth_pct": -13.194861927174525 }, { "year": 2013, "export_value_usd": 341377140.5882237, "active_destinations": 172, "yoy_growth_pct": -5.075532560297381 }, { "year": 2014, "export_value_usd": 277266209.19285923, "active_destinations": 172, "yoy_growth_pct": -18.780089166162544 }, { "year": 2015, "export_value_usd": 205070731.95484933, "active_destinations": 163, "yoy_growth_pct": -26.038325206730324 }, { "year": 2016, "export_value_usd": 159802129.61298314, "active_destinations": 153, "yoy_growth_pct": -22.074628549057422 }, { "year": 2017, "export_value_usd": 120488647.31798169, "active_destinations": 146, "yoy_growth_pct": -24.601350676748066 }, { "year": 2018, "export_value_usd": 93019212.80283816, "active_destinations": 154, "yoy_growth_pct": -22.79835912063061 }, { "year": 2019, "export_value_usd": 50611590.65648922, "active_destinations": 149, "yoy_growth_pct": -45.59017526436755 }, { "year": 2020, "export_value_usd": 28961521.46348481, "active_destinations": 140, "yoy_growth_pct": -42.77689934692563 }, { "year": 2021, "export_value_usd": 27777007.8591598, "active_destinations": 136, "yoy_growth_pct": -4.089956412747386 }, { "year": 2022, "export_value_usd": 22776154.428936083, "active_destinations": 137, "yoy_growth_pct": -18.003571355057332 }, { "year": 2023, "export_value_usd": 24862159.127565227, "active_destinations": 138, "yoy_growth_pct": 9.158722141341688 }, { "year": 2024, "export_value_usd": 18380547.830094684, "active_destinations": 135, "yoy_growth_pct": -26.070186680947742 } ], "economy": { "year": 2024, "country_iso3": "DEU", "exports_usd": 1556773836581.939, "imports_usd": 1317565125540.067, "trade_balance_usd": 239208711041.87207, "yoy_exports_growth_pct": -4.920181070331687, "yoy_imports_growth_pct": -5.864236583999549, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": -0.27823928798644815, "imports_cagr_3y_pct": -0.9610037823739925, "export_partner_hhi": 438.209471440054, "export_product_hhi": 54.022047395285114, "momentum_score": -3.527598535628115, "risk_score": 2.4611575941766954, "gdp_million_usd": 4685592.5778046865, "gdp_per_capita_usd": 56103.73231825545, "population": 83516593, "labor_force": 43123.3, "investment_rate_pct": 22.08, "savings_rate_pct": 27.68, "secondary_education_pct": 95.9, "tertiary_education_pct": 20.06, "total_factor_productivity": 2376, "trade_openness_pct": 64.10501996682734, "exports_gdp_pct": 34.71998925424008, "num_active_partners": 1080, "num_fta_partners": 214, "num_wto_partners": 676, "num_eu_partners": 112, "num_shared_border_partners": 18, "num_shared_language_partners": 8, "avg_partner_distance_km": 6605.880658436214, "avg_partner_gdp_million_usd": 533678518.3258193, "avg_partner_gdp_per_capita_usd": 15.774186170212737, "avg_buyer_biz_entry_days": null, "avg_buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "pct_partners_with_fta": 19.814814814814817, "pct_partners_shared_language": 0.7407407407407408, "pct_partners_shared_border": 1.6666666666666667, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 0.12742739700531733, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 0.12991419306435142, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0.024712068784908343, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0.10520212427944309, "avg_distance_all_partners_km": 6614.911529962142, "num_border_partners": 360, "num_colonial_partners": 384, "avg_substitution_elasticity": -10.91665015154679, "pct_products_high_elasticity": 76.04527604527604, "pct_products_low_elasticity": 2.6565026565026564, "real_market_potential": 2800764.90471021, "foreign_market_potential": 32561.235292050776 } }