{ "template": "T3", "templateName": "Product Exporter Position Profile", "source": "api", "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com" }, "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/exporter/deu/848291", "links": { "product": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/product/848291", "exporter": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/exporter/deu/848291", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology" }, "methodology": { "summary": "Reported exporter totals are combined with destination, price, history, and country-context observations. Growth, concentration, weighted share, volatility, drawdown, and price-position values are calculated indicators rather than additional reported trade.", "reportedValues": "Merchandise trade observations for an exporter, HS6 product, destination market, and available year.", "destinations": "Destination rows are ranked by latest observed exporter-lane value.", "prices": "Unit values are reported trade value divided by reported quantity where quantity is positive.", "missingData": "Missing values are shown as Not reported and are not imputed." }, "exporter": { "hs_code": "848291", "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "first_data_year": 1995, "latest_data_year": 2024, "observed_lane_count": 185, "current_lane_count": 138, "active_market_count": 138, "exports_latest_observed_lanes_usd": 189540540.68893334, "exports_current_2024_usd": 187434986.93603384, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 205835535.0153133, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 226165162.84668484, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 243263860.7607293, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": -11.131260347771788, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": -7.35705380124545, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": -3.47008826569436, "exports_all_year_lane_avg_usd": 185175300.3049482, "exports_historical_lane_peak_usd": 438111111.9267358, "historical_peak_year": 2018, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 51.724137931034484, "trend_acceleration_pct": -7.661172082077428, "trend_label": "Rapid decline", "top_market_iso3": "SVK", "top_market_exports_usd": 32022312.270603906, "top_market_share_pct": 16.894703451942608, "destination_hhi": 873.894519818043, "weighted_share_latest_pct": 28.339112183858845, "weighted_share_change_1y_pp": 1.4116895861299372, "weighted_volatility_cv": 0.6572296912672093, "weighted_max_drawdown_pct": 67.19207793917603, "limited_history_lane_share_pct": 7.5675675675675675, "data_freshness_years": 0, "coverage_score": 100, "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:28:35", "source": "api", "product": { "hs_code": 848291, "hs_description": "Bearings: parts, balls, needles and rollers", "hs_chapter": 84, "hs_heading": 8482, "substitution_elasticity": -6.8735909, "price_range_label": "Medium price range", "trade_type_label": "Two-way vertical trade" }, "hs_description": "Bearings: parts, balls, needles and rollers", "hs_chapter": 84, "hs_heading": 8482, "destinations": [ { "hs_code": 848291, "corridor_rank": 7, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "SVK", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 32022312.270603906, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 32154539.74477041, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 35168735.44760145, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 41391941.61437832, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 54319685.86139552, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": -15.234014140789021, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": -14.395241762651823, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": -6.187197258554244, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 77574999.27980784, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 65919182.76803317, "historical_peak_year": 2018, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 62.06896551724138, "trend_acceleration_pct": -9.046816882234777, "trend_label": "Rapid decline", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": -11.4531, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 14.5824, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 65.5172, "market_share_latest_pct": 48.57813905747144, "market_share_change_1y_pp": 2.5248983284285558, "peer_best_share_pct": 48.57813905747144, "peer_top_exporter": "DEU", "supplier_count_latest": 34, "buyer_market_hhi": 3166.78, "distance_km": 817.4212036132812, "has_reported_fta": 1, "applied_tariff_pct": 0.022876280297619046, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0.022876280297619046, "volatility_cv": 0.7378019511192945, "max_drawdown_pct": 58.720834588600425, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": "['unrecovered_drawdown','concentrated_buyer_market']", "signal_flag": "Growing", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 848291, "corridor_rank": 12, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 25304789.77547066, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 14581526.194078894, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 19935887.6203028, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 16993950.64376346, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 15220245.222267145, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": 19.91687163133802, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": 17.413625348514607, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": 3.2461271324279783, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 25304789.77547066, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 113997012.0129776, "historical_peak_year": 2024, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 55.172413793103445, "trend_acceleration_pct": 16.67074449891004, "trend_label": "Rapid growth", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": 0.506, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 7.7511, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 72.4138, "market_share_latest_pct": 22.197765826169125, "market_share_change_1y_pp": 6.842049896302877, "peer_best_share_pct": 40.94771475439629, "peer_top_exporter": "FRA", "supplier_count_latest": 42, "buyer_market_hhi": 2529.39, "distance_km": 1146.023193359375, "has_reported_fta": 1, "applied_tariff_pct": 0, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0, "volatility_cv": 0.2876941993337697, "max_drawdown_pct": 53.93671873338241, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": "['concentrated_buyer_market']", "signal_flag": "Growing", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 848291, "corridor_rank": 15, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "ROU", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 21941851.735505402, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 11136657.783648668, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 28440589.061312806, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 25923696.670373093, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 21235558.551981993, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": -8.329328704557126, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": 3.511443878227394, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": 0.9397090254823048, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 32534775.464845885, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 49416872.46173526, "historical_peak_year": 2022, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 62.06896551724138, "trend_acceleration_pct": -9.26903773003943, "trend_label": "Declining", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": -19.3076, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 34.4497, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 62.069, "market_share_latest_pct": 44.401538669804594, "market_share_change_1y_pp": -5.965211964020959, "peer_best_share_pct": 44.401538669804594, "peer_top_exporter": "DEU", "supplier_count_latest": 38, "buyer_market_hhi": 2393.3, "distance_km": null, "has_reported_fta": null, "applied_tariff_pct": 0.13242878806584357, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0.13242878806584357, "volatility_cv": 0.9272588910791452, "max_drawdown_pct": 92.91987167349373, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": "[]", "signal_flag": "Growing", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 848291, "corridor_rank": 19, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 19310830.11302203, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 21060117.556613192, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 22072659.116514202, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 31779415.92369032, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 35877512.10857178, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": -21.119115954525746, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": -16.52767538430251, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": -8.033644949797413, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 53334456.87815713, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 83097697.47521669, "historical_peak_year": 2020, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 72.41379310344827, "trend_acceleration_pct": -13.085471004728333, "trend_label": "Rapid decline", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": -8.5285, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 12.4034, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 58.6207, "market_share_latest_pct": 23.238706606499356, "market_share_change_1y_pp": 3.204079339985306, "peer_best_share_pct": 33.906397620809585, "peer_top_exporter": "JPN", "supplier_count_latest": 45, "buyer_market_hhi": 1930.58, "distance_km": 7785.341796875, "has_reported_fta": 0, "applied_tariff_pct": 0.29912295578395065, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "volatility_cv": 0.8793456924415506, "max_drawdown_pct": 65.87468778946668, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": "['unrecovered_drawdown','long_distance_without_fta']", "signal_flag": "Accelerating", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 848291, "corridor_rank": 22, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "USA", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 15649923.710533448, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 15218074.859434757, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 17307713.428437624, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 18552949.401607774, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 20228256.799621757, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": -7.344371124426219, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": -9.606087799486051, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": -3.331097513667758, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 27160042.669144694, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 115968070.77759604, "historical_peak_year": 2018, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 48.275862068965516, "trend_acceleration_pct": -4.0132736107584615, "trend_label": "Declining", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": 7.2988, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 5.8113, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 62.069, "market_share_latest_pct": 13.4950280759149, "market_share_change_1y_pp": -2.6682299583890323, "peer_best_share_pct": 23.15375485600163, "peer_top_exporter": "CHN", "supplier_count_latest": 58, "buyer_market_hhi": 1332.1, "distance_km": 6035.33447265625, "has_reported_fta": 0, "applied_tariff_pct": 0.04660416541625514, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "volatility_cv": 0.4017436183343739, "max_drawdown_pct": 42.378869204382276, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": "[]", "signal_flag": "Stable", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 848291, "corridor_rank": 35, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "POL", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 9495793.727632876, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 7664546.9974352885, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 10657474.831478335, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 10999537.331595313, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 10536360.221824372, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": -9.671788532183701, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": -0.26648162032738565, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": 1.7045593623178146, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 15574053.247756466, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 30870282.44895761, "historical_peak_year": 2011, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 68.96551724137932, "trend_acceleration_pct": -11.376347894501516, "trend_label": "Declining", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": -7.8386, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 11.7904, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 68.9655, "market_share_latest_pct": 30.76030724154751, "market_share_change_1y_pp": -3.901701639824587, "peer_best_share_pct": 30.76030724154751, "peer_top_exporter": "DEU", "supplier_count_latest": 48, "buyer_market_hhi": 1607.01, "distance_km": 965.921142578125, "has_reported_fta": 1, "applied_tariff_pct": 0.08091394394890945, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0.04595302958827163, "volatility_cv": 0.6322579707638735, "max_drawdown_pct": 52.4517660741608, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": "[]", "signal_flag": "Growing", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 848291, "corridor_rank": 41, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "IND", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 7870572.512316492, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 6222305.407928345, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 11251173.796224318, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 12462710.61272293, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 12207967.593680616, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": -22.598098254618847, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": -11.896869769181507, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": -1.572488330062094, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 17246179.702930328, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 73201879.53829274, "historical_peak_year": 2022, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 58.62068965517241, "trend_acceleration_pct": -21.025609924556754, "trend_label": "Rapid decline", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": 4.3538, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 13.4551, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 68.9655, "market_share_latest_pct": 10.751872167707534, "market_share_change_1y_pp": -1.5603704347674654, "peer_best_share_pct": 58.27163244746226, "peer_top_exporter": "CHN", "supplier_count_latest": 47, "buyer_market_hhi": 3626.88, "distance_km": 6229.63671875, "has_reported_fta": 0, "applied_tariff_pct": 0.5267321838847735, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "volatility_cv": 0.8549839382076523, "max_drawdown_pct": 71.77984590600711, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": "['unrecovered_drawdown','concentrated_buyer_market','dominant_supplier']", "signal_flag": "Growing", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 848291, "corridor_rank": 46, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "CZE", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 6851188.886716526, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 5151889.746866922, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 8126926.173979781, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 8452076.742714241, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 8266595.680566864, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": -12.405911801471737, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": -4.64592815043503, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": 1.4832870239046114, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 10193927.779076174, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 14124629.615515152, "historical_peak_year": 2021, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 55.172413793103445, "trend_acceleration_pct": -13.889198825376347, "trend_label": "Rapid decline", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": -11.0856, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 11.5711, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 58.6207, "market_share_latest_pct": 48.50526401903566, "market_share_change_1y_pp": -5.014502029023944, "peer_best_share_pct": 48.50526401903566, "peer_top_exporter": "DEU", "supplier_count_latest": 40, "buyer_market_hhi": 2737.17, "distance_km": 545.6255493164062, "has_reported_fta": 1, "applied_tariff_pct": 0.0260380708015873, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0.0260380708015873, "volatility_cv": 0.5501006717010912, "max_drawdown_pct": 63.30565892594113, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": "['concentrated_buyer_market']", "signal_flag": "Growing", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 848291, "corridor_rank": 51, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "FRA", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 6162334.735496234, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 16513794.66635574, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 9563368.628568916, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 11206690.352358202, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 13751083.062620824, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": -25.090974308492832, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": -13.24454216184624, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": -9.421635646631632, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 33128388.718561433, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 72218129.43911883, "historical_peak_year": 2004, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 41.37931034482759, "trend_acceleration_pct": -15.6693386618612, "trend_label": "Rapid decline", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": -12.383, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 1.4782, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 58.6207, "market_share_latest_pct": 8.532947036091803, "market_share_change_1y_pp": -4.447798414982598, "peer_best_share_pct": 20.749303702705742, "peer_top_exporter": "ITA", "supplier_count_latest": 57, "buyer_market_hhi": 1376.22, "distance_km": 439.8984375, "has_reported_fta": 1, "applied_tariff_pct": 0, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0, "volatility_cv": 0.32912097424825415, "max_drawdown_pct": 81.39862826457494, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": "['unrecovered_drawdown']", "signal_flag": "Slowing", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 848291, "corridor_rank": 54, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "AUT", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 5953623.341652117, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 9845200.808231883, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 5752066.4293559985, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 5635861.54336263, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 5442093.38047998, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": 0.10254258735180599, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": 0.4526711085942159, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": -1.4517523516436093, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 22249498.356039297, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 38798320.7872905, "historical_peak_year": 2005, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 51.724137931034484, "trend_acceleration_pct": 1.5542949389954153, "trend_label": "Stable", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": -15.6873, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 4.9432, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 62.069, "market_share_latest_pct": 15.345054169463948, "market_share_change_1y_pp": 2.538963355033344, "peer_best_share_pct": 52.98035144555791, "peer_top_exporter": "HUN", "supplier_count_latest": 40, "buyer_market_hhi": 3324.96, "distance_km": 763.7313842773438, "has_reported_fta": 1, "applied_tariff_pct": 0.04880302040329218, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0.04880302040329218, "volatility_cv": 0.5101029211510528, "max_drawdown_pct": 81.08982021964357, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": "['unrecovered_drawdown','concentrated_buyer_market','dominant_supplier']", "signal_flag": "Stable", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 848291, "corridor_rank": 62, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "KOR", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 5145313.290291974, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 4800285.808071499, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 5662964.276133791, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 5973937.963765233, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 5971415.495423718, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": -10.239961087088979, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": -4.5689640854037155, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": -3.178682547400802, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 7494241.244887966, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 105855392.33346818, "historical_peak_year": 2011, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 44.827586206896555, "trend_acceleration_pct": -7.0612785396881765, "trend_label": "Rapid decline", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": -10.1236, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 8.7529, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 51.7241, "market_share_latest_pct": 4.860700222132366, "market_share_change_1y_pp": 0.2738176966335715, "peer_best_share_pct": 67.79650796970557, "peer_top_exporter": "CHN", "supplier_count_latest": 39, "buyer_market_hhi": 4892.44, "distance_km": 8543.7841796875, "has_reported_fta": 1, "applied_tariff_pct": 0.13700167517901238, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0.11091181424331689, "volatility_cv": 0.3783831311643001, "max_drawdown_pct": 74.38867246614413, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": "['concentrated_buyer_market','dominant_supplier']", "signal_flag": "Stable", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 848291, "corridor_rank": 71, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 4430057.109999362, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 1501999.9063748703, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 4390629.943493535, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 4253000.369196119, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 3387462.006702181, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": -4.903549651663908, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": 12.886297186495966, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": 6.307921002790429, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 5151294.814751374, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 106318808.69981132, "historical_peak_year": 2021, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 58.62068965517241, "trend_acceleration_pct": -11.211470654454336, "trend_label": "Declining", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": 9.4937, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 9.2888, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 65.5172, "market_share_latest_pct": 4.166767069886501, "market_share_change_1y_pp": -0.554839487484184, "peer_best_share_pct": 41.26611215467443, "peer_top_exporter": "USA", "supplier_count_latest": 86, "buyer_market_hhi": 2496.17, "distance_km": 9399.78125, "has_reported_fta": 1, "applied_tariff_pct": 0.10907427334660494, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0.13089683355074896, "volatility_cv": 1.0169385584919175, "max_drawdown_pct": 60.08184843933297, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": "['high_volatility']", "signal_flag": "Growing", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 848291, "corridor_rank": 81, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "HUN", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 3885475.1799939703, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 3954848.7091639554, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 3459302.7182822064, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 3763087.5596240847, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 4033975.9513637917, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": -2.210109518543091, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": -7.164031225640866, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": 5.472891707363536, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 12239963.187240442, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 12434467.92442086, "historical_peak_year": 2007, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 55.172413793103445, "trend_acceleration_pct": -7.683001225906628, "trend_label": "Stable", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": 1.7301, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 14.2077, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 68.9655, "market_share_latest_pct": 31.247619147121153, "market_share_change_1y_pp": -0.2949695196859281, "peer_best_share_pct": 31.247619147121146, "peer_top_exporter": "DEU", "supplier_count_latest": 39, "buyer_market_hhi": 1890.76, "distance_km": 976.2567138671875, "has_reported_fta": 1, "applied_tariff_pct": 0.08276851853292182, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0.08276851853292182, "volatility_cv": 0.8026356913152981, "max_drawdown_pct": 91.8587820698374, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": "['unrecovered_drawdown']", "signal_flag": "Growing", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" } ], "priceSummary": { "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "hs_code": 848291, "num_markets": 157, "highest_price_importer_iso3": "TGO", "highest_price_usd_per_ton": 3858000, "lowest_price_importer_iso3": "GMB", "lowest_price_usd_per_ton": 300, "median_price_across_markets": 19947.49661705007, "price_spread_pct": 19339.268851925215, "avg_quantity_metric_tons": 224.81450974512748, "total_trade_value_usd": 1222690160 }, "history": [ { "year": 2010, "export_value_usd": 237920356.26024726, "active_destinations": 149, "yoy_growth_pct": 49.48045566344382 }, { "year": 2011, "export_value_usd": 263344994.9868043, "active_destinations": 139, "yoy_growth_pct": 10.686197316696395 }, { "year": 2012, "export_value_usd": 225194496.00510696, "active_destinations": 159, "yoy_growth_pct": -14.486889710438202 }, { "year": 2013, "export_value_usd": 242478941.87486586, "active_destinations": 154, "yoy_growth_pct": 7.675341172355708 }, { "year": 2014, "export_value_usd": 266828103.53530207, "active_destinations": 152, "yoy_growth_pct": 10.0417634092951 }, { "year": 2015, "export_value_usd": 244432667.35973093, "active_destinations": 153, "yoy_growth_pct": -8.393207416627375 }, { "year": 2016, "export_value_usd": 226381017.1766334, "active_destinations": 144, "yoy_growth_pct": -7.385121791651103 }, { "year": 2017, "export_value_usd": 264112267.40357804, "active_destinations": 145, "yoy_growth_pct": 16.667144046580955 }, { "year": 2018, "export_value_usd": 292230980.5652456, "active_destinations": 143, "yoy_growth_pct": 10.64650023192624 }, { "year": 2019, "export_value_usd": 274655860.86868083, "active_destinations": 149, "yoy_growth_pct": -6.014119263662685 }, { "year": 2020, "export_value_usd": 246262435.92587745, "active_destinations": 144, "yoy_growth_pct": -10.33781869900782 }, { "year": 2021, "export_value_usd": 267056773.26160696, "active_destinations": 141, "yoy_growth_pct": 8.443974517489302 }, { "year": 2022, "export_value_usd": 230186753.09346122, "active_destinations": 138, "yoy_growth_pct": -13.806060680598478 }, { "year": 2023, "export_value_usd": 199884865.01644465, "active_destinations": 142, "yoy_growth_pct": -13.164045137173158 }, { "year": 2024, "export_value_usd": 187434986.93603396, "active_destinations": 138, "yoy_growth_pct": -6.228524645618581 } ], "economy": { "year": 2024, "country_iso3": "DEU", "exports_usd": 1556773836581.939, "imports_usd": 1317565125540.067, "trade_balance_usd": 239208711041.87207, "yoy_exports_growth_pct": -4.920181070331687, "yoy_imports_growth_pct": -5.864236583999549, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": -0.27823928798644815, "imports_cagr_3y_pct": -0.9610037823739925, "export_partner_hhi": 438.209471440054, "export_product_hhi": 54.022047395285114, "momentum_score": -3.527598535628115, "risk_score": 2.4611575941766954, "gdp_million_usd": 4685592.5778046865, "gdp_per_capita_usd": 56103.73231825545, "population": 83516593, "labor_force": 43123.3, "investment_rate_pct": 22.08, "savings_rate_pct": 27.68, "secondary_education_pct": 95.9, "tertiary_education_pct": 20.06, "total_factor_productivity": 2376, "trade_openness_pct": 64.10501996682734, "exports_gdp_pct": 34.71998925424008, "num_active_partners": 1080, "num_fta_partners": 214, "num_wto_partners": 676, "num_eu_partners": 112, "num_shared_border_partners": 18, "num_shared_language_partners": 8, "avg_partner_distance_km": 6605.880658436214, "avg_partner_gdp_million_usd": 533678518.3258193, "avg_partner_gdp_per_capita_usd": 15.774186170212737, "avg_buyer_biz_entry_days": null, "avg_buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "pct_partners_with_fta": 19.814814814814817, "pct_partners_shared_language": 0.7407407407407408, "pct_partners_shared_border": 1.6666666666666667, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 0.12742739700531733, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 0.12991419306435142, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0.024712068784908343, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0.10520212427944309, "avg_distance_all_partners_km": 6614.911529962142, "num_border_partners": 360, "num_colonial_partners": 384, "avg_substitution_elasticity": -10.91665015154679, "pct_products_high_elasticity": 76.04527604527604, "pct_products_low_elasticity": 2.6565026565026564, "real_market_potential": 2800764.90471021, "foreign_market_potential": 32561.235292050776 }, "countryMap": {} }, "product": { "hs_code": "848291", "hs_description": "Bearings: parts, balls, needles and rollers", "hs_chapter": 84, "hs_heading": 8482 }, "destinations": [ { "hs_code": 848291, "corridor_rank": 7, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "SVK", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 32022312.270603906, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 32154539.74477041, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 35168735.44760145, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 41391941.61437832, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 54319685.86139552, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": -15.234014140789021, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": -14.395241762651823, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": -6.187197258554244, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 77574999.27980784, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 65919182.76803317, "historical_peak_year": 2018, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 62.06896551724138, "trend_acceleration_pct": -9.046816882234777, "trend_label": "Rapid decline", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": -11.4531, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 14.5824, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 65.5172, "market_share_latest_pct": 48.57813905747144, "market_share_change_1y_pp": 2.5248983284285558, "peer_best_share_pct": 48.57813905747144, "peer_top_exporter": "DEU", "supplier_count_latest": 34, "buyer_market_hhi": 3166.78, "distance_km": 817.4212036132812, "has_reported_fta": 1, "applied_tariff_pct": 0.022876280297619046, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0.022876280297619046, "volatility_cv": 0.7378019511192945, "max_drawdown_pct": 58.720834588600425, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": "['unrecovered_drawdown','concentrated_buyer_market']", "signal_flag": "Growing", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 848291, "corridor_rank": 12, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 25304789.77547066, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 14581526.194078894, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 19935887.6203028, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 16993950.64376346, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 15220245.222267145, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": 19.91687163133802, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": 17.413625348514607, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": 3.2461271324279783, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 25304789.77547066, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 113997012.0129776, "historical_peak_year": 2024, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 55.172413793103445, "trend_acceleration_pct": 16.67074449891004, "trend_label": "Rapid growth", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": 0.506, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 7.7511, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 72.4138, "market_share_latest_pct": 22.197765826169125, "market_share_change_1y_pp": 6.842049896302877, "peer_best_share_pct": 40.94771475439629, "peer_top_exporter": "FRA", "supplier_count_latest": 42, "buyer_market_hhi": 2529.39, "distance_km": 1146.023193359375, "has_reported_fta": 1, "applied_tariff_pct": 0, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0, "volatility_cv": 0.2876941993337697, "max_drawdown_pct": 53.93671873338241, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": "['concentrated_buyer_market']", "signal_flag": "Growing", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 848291, "corridor_rank": 15, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "ROU", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 21941851.735505402, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 11136657.783648668, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 28440589.061312806, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 25923696.670373093, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 21235558.551981993, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": -8.329328704557126, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": 3.511443878227394, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": 0.9397090254823048, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 32534775.464845885, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 49416872.46173526, "historical_peak_year": 2022, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 62.06896551724138, "trend_acceleration_pct": -9.26903773003943, "trend_label": "Declining", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": -19.3076, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 34.4497, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 62.069, "market_share_latest_pct": 44.401538669804594, "market_share_change_1y_pp": -5.965211964020959, "peer_best_share_pct": 44.401538669804594, "peer_top_exporter": "DEU", "supplier_count_latest": 38, "buyer_market_hhi": 2393.3, "distance_km": null, "has_reported_fta": null, "applied_tariff_pct": 0.13242878806584357, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0.13242878806584357, "volatility_cv": 0.9272588910791452, "max_drawdown_pct": 92.91987167349373, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": "[]", "signal_flag": "Growing", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 848291, "corridor_rank": 19, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 19310830.11302203, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 21060117.556613192, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 22072659.116514202, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 31779415.92369032, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 35877512.10857178, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": -21.119115954525746, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": -16.52767538430251, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": -8.033644949797413, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 53334456.87815713, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 83097697.47521669, "historical_peak_year": 2020, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 72.41379310344827, "trend_acceleration_pct": -13.085471004728333, "trend_label": "Rapid decline", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": -8.5285, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 12.4034, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 58.6207, "market_share_latest_pct": 23.238706606499356, "market_share_change_1y_pp": 3.204079339985306, "peer_best_share_pct": 33.906397620809585, "peer_top_exporter": "JPN", "supplier_count_latest": 45, "buyer_market_hhi": 1930.58, "distance_km": 7785.341796875, "has_reported_fta": 0, "applied_tariff_pct": 0.29912295578395065, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "volatility_cv": 0.8793456924415506, "max_drawdown_pct": 65.87468778946668, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": "['unrecovered_drawdown','long_distance_without_fta']", "signal_flag": "Accelerating", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 848291, "corridor_rank": 22, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "USA", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 15649923.710533448, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 15218074.859434757, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 17307713.428437624, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 18552949.401607774, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 20228256.799621757, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": -7.344371124426219, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": -9.606087799486051, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": -3.331097513667758, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 27160042.669144694, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 115968070.77759604, "historical_peak_year": 2018, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 48.275862068965516, "trend_acceleration_pct": -4.0132736107584615, "trend_label": "Declining", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": 7.2988, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 5.8113, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 62.069, "market_share_latest_pct": 13.4950280759149, "market_share_change_1y_pp": -2.6682299583890323, "peer_best_share_pct": 23.15375485600163, "peer_top_exporter": "CHN", "supplier_count_latest": 58, "buyer_market_hhi": 1332.1, "distance_km": 6035.33447265625, "has_reported_fta": 0, "applied_tariff_pct": 0.04660416541625514, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "volatility_cv": 0.4017436183343739, "max_drawdown_pct": 42.378869204382276, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": "[]", "signal_flag": "Stable", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 848291, "corridor_rank": 35, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "POL", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 9495793.727632876, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 7664546.9974352885, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 10657474.831478335, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 10999537.331595313, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 10536360.221824372, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": -9.671788532183701, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": -0.26648162032738565, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": 1.7045593623178146, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 15574053.247756466, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 30870282.44895761, "historical_peak_year": 2011, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 68.96551724137932, "trend_acceleration_pct": -11.376347894501516, "trend_label": "Declining", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": -7.8386, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 11.7904, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 68.9655, "market_share_latest_pct": 30.76030724154751, "market_share_change_1y_pp": -3.901701639824587, "peer_best_share_pct": 30.76030724154751, "peer_top_exporter": "DEU", "supplier_count_latest": 48, "buyer_market_hhi": 1607.01, "distance_km": 965.921142578125, "has_reported_fta": 1, "applied_tariff_pct": 0.08091394394890945, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0.04595302958827163, "volatility_cv": 0.6322579707638735, "max_drawdown_pct": 52.4517660741608, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": "[]", "signal_flag": "Growing", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 848291, "corridor_rank": 41, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "IND", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 7870572.512316492, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 6222305.407928345, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 11251173.796224318, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 12462710.61272293, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 12207967.593680616, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": -22.598098254618847, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": -11.896869769181507, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": -1.572488330062094, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 17246179.702930328, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 73201879.53829274, "historical_peak_year": 2022, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 58.62068965517241, "trend_acceleration_pct": -21.025609924556754, "trend_label": "Rapid decline", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": 4.3538, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 13.4551, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 68.9655, "market_share_latest_pct": 10.751872167707534, "market_share_change_1y_pp": -1.5603704347674654, "peer_best_share_pct": 58.27163244746226, "peer_top_exporter": "CHN", "supplier_count_latest": 47, "buyer_market_hhi": 3626.88, "distance_km": 6229.63671875, "has_reported_fta": 0, "applied_tariff_pct": 0.5267321838847735, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "volatility_cv": 0.8549839382076523, "max_drawdown_pct": 71.77984590600711, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": "['unrecovered_drawdown','concentrated_buyer_market','dominant_supplier']", "signal_flag": "Growing", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 848291, "corridor_rank": 46, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "CZE", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 6851188.886716526, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 5151889.746866922, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 8126926.173979781, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 8452076.742714241, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 8266595.680566864, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": -12.405911801471737, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": -4.64592815043503, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": 1.4832870239046114, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 10193927.779076174, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 14124629.615515152, "historical_peak_year": 2021, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 55.172413793103445, "trend_acceleration_pct": -13.889198825376347, "trend_label": "Rapid decline", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": -11.0856, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 11.5711, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 58.6207, "market_share_latest_pct": 48.50526401903566, "market_share_change_1y_pp": -5.014502029023944, "peer_best_share_pct": 48.50526401903566, "peer_top_exporter": "DEU", "supplier_count_latest": 40, "buyer_market_hhi": 2737.17, "distance_km": 545.6255493164062, "has_reported_fta": 1, "applied_tariff_pct": 0.0260380708015873, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0.0260380708015873, "volatility_cv": 0.5501006717010912, "max_drawdown_pct": 63.30565892594113, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": "['concentrated_buyer_market']", "signal_flag": "Growing", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 848291, "corridor_rank": 51, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "FRA", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 6162334.735496234, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 16513794.66635574, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 9563368.628568916, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 11206690.352358202, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 13751083.062620824, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": -25.090974308492832, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": -13.24454216184624, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": -9.421635646631632, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 33128388.718561433, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 72218129.43911883, "historical_peak_year": 2004, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 41.37931034482759, "trend_acceleration_pct": -15.6693386618612, "trend_label": "Rapid decline", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": -12.383, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 1.4782, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 58.6207, "market_share_latest_pct": 8.532947036091803, "market_share_change_1y_pp": -4.447798414982598, "peer_best_share_pct": 20.749303702705742, "peer_top_exporter": "ITA", "supplier_count_latest": 57, "buyer_market_hhi": 1376.22, "distance_km": 439.8984375, "has_reported_fta": 1, "applied_tariff_pct": 0, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0, "volatility_cv": 0.32912097424825415, "max_drawdown_pct": 81.39862826457494, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": "['unrecovered_drawdown']", "signal_flag": "Slowing", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 848291, "corridor_rank": 54, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "AUT", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 5953623.341652117, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 9845200.808231883, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 5752066.4293559985, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 5635861.54336263, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 5442093.38047998, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": 0.10254258735180599, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": 0.4526711085942159, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": -1.4517523516436093, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 22249498.356039297, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 38798320.7872905, "historical_peak_year": 2005, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 51.724137931034484, "trend_acceleration_pct": 1.5542949389954153, "trend_label": "Stable", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": -15.6873, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 4.9432, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 62.069, "market_share_latest_pct": 15.345054169463948, "market_share_change_1y_pp": 2.538963355033344, "peer_best_share_pct": 52.98035144555791, "peer_top_exporter": "HUN", "supplier_count_latest": 40, "buyer_market_hhi": 3324.96, "distance_km": 763.7313842773438, "has_reported_fta": 1, "applied_tariff_pct": 0.04880302040329218, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0.04880302040329218, "volatility_cv": 0.5101029211510528, "max_drawdown_pct": 81.08982021964357, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": "['unrecovered_drawdown','concentrated_buyer_market','dominant_supplier']", "signal_flag": "Stable", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 848291, "corridor_rank": 62, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "KOR", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 5145313.290291974, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 4800285.808071499, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 5662964.276133791, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 5973937.963765233, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 5971415.495423718, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": -10.239961087088979, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": -4.5689640854037155, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": -3.178682547400802, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 7494241.244887966, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 105855392.33346818, "historical_peak_year": 2011, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 44.827586206896555, "trend_acceleration_pct": -7.0612785396881765, "trend_label": "Rapid decline", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": -10.1236, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 8.7529, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 51.7241, "market_share_latest_pct": 4.860700222132366, "market_share_change_1y_pp": 0.2738176966335715, "peer_best_share_pct": 67.79650796970557, "peer_top_exporter": "CHN", "supplier_count_latest": 39, "buyer_market_hhi": 4892.44, "distance_km": 8543.7841796875, "has_reported_fta": 1, "applied_tariff_pct": 0.13700167517901238, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0.11091181424331689, "volatility_cv": 0.3783831311643001, "max_drawdown_pct": 74.38867246614413, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": "['concentrated_buyer_market','dominant_supplier']", "signal_flag": "Stable", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 848291, "corridor_rank": 71, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 4430057.109999362, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 1501999.9063748703, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 4390629.943493535, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 4253000.369196119, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 3387462.006702181, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": -4.903549651663908, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": 12.886297186495966, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": 6.307921002790429, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 5151294.814751374, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 106318808.69981132, "historical_peak_year": 2021, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 58.62068965517241, "trend_acceleration_pct": -11.211470654454336, "trend_label": "Declining", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": 9.4937, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 9.2888, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 65.5172, "market_share_latest_pct": 4.166767069886501, "market_share_change_1y_pp": -0.554839487484184, "peer_best_share_pct": 41.26611215467443, "peer_top_exporter": "USA", "supplier_count_latest": 86, "buyer_market_hhi": 2496.17, "distance_km": 9399.78125, "has_reported_fta": 1, "applied_tariff_pct": 0.10907427334660494, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0.13089683355074896, "volatility_cv": 1.0169385584919175, "max_drawdown_pct": 60.08184843933297, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": "['high_volatility']", "signal_flag": "Growing", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 848291, "corridor_rank": 81, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "HUN", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 3885475.1799939703, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 3954848.7091639554, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 3459302.7182822064, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 3763087.5596240847, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 4033975.9513637917, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": -2.210109518543091, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": -7.164031225640866, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": 5.472891707363536, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 12239963.187240442, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 12434467.92442086, "historical_peak_year": 2007, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 55.172413793103445, "trend_acceleration_pct": -7.683001225906628, "trend_label": "Stable", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": 1.7301, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 14.2077, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 68.9655, "market_share_latest_pct": 31.247619147121153, "market_share_change_1y_pp": -0.2949695196859281, "peer_best_share_pct": 31.247619147121146, "peer_top_exporter": "DEU", "supplier_count_latest": 39, "buyer_market_hhi": 1890.76, "distance_km": 976.2567138671875, "has_reported_fta": 1, "applied_tariff_pct": 0.08276851853292182, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0.08276851853292182, "volatility_cv": 0.8026356913152981, "max_drawdown_pct": 91.8587820698374, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": "['unrecovered_drawdown']", "signal_flag": "Growing", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" } ], "prices": [], "priceSummary": { "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "hs_code": 848291, "num_markets": 157, "highest_price_importer_iso3": "TGO", "highest_price_usd_per_ton": 3858000, "lowest_price_importer_iso3": "GMB", "lowest_price_usd_per_ton": 300, "median_price_across_markets": 19947.49661705007, "price_spread_pct": 19339.268851925215, "avg_quantity_metric_tons": 224.81450974512748, "total_trade_value_usd": 1222690160 }, "history": [ { "year": 2010, "export_value_usd": 237920356.26024726, "active_destinations": 149, "yoy_growth_pct": 49.48045566344382 }, { "year": 2011, "export_value_usd": 263344994.9868043, "active_destinations": 139, "yoy_growth_pct": 10.686197316696395 }, { "year": 2012, "export_value_usd": 225194496.00510696, "active_destinations": 159, "yoy_growth_pct": -14.486889710438202 }, { "year": 2013, "export_value_usd": 242478941.87486586, "active_destinations": 154, "yoy_growth_pct": 7.675341172355708 }, { "year": 2014, "export_value_usd": 266828103.53530207, "active_destinations": 152, "yoy_growth_pct": 10.0417634092951 }, { "year": 2015, "export_value_usd": 244432667.35973093, "active_destinations": 153, "yoy_growth_pct": -8.393207416627375 }, { "year": 2016, "export_value_usd": 226381017.1766334, "active_destinations": 144, "yoy_growth_pct": -7.385121791651103 }, { "year": 2017, "export_value_usd": 264112267.40357804, "active_destinations": 145, "yoy_growth_pct": 16.667144046580955 }, { "year": 2018, "export_value_usd": 292230980.5652456, "active_destinations": 143, "yoy_growth_pct": 10.64650023192624 }, { "year": 2019, "export_value_usd": 274655860.86868083, "active_destinations": 149, "yoy_growth_pct": -6.014119263662685 }, { "year": 2020, "export_value_usd": 246262435.92587745, "active_destinations": 144, "yoy_growth_pct": -10.33781869900782 }, { "year": 2021, "export_value_usd": 267056773.26160696, "active_destinations": 141, "yoy_growth_pct": 8.443974517489302 }, { "year": 2022, "export_value_usd": 230186753.09346122, "active_destinations": 138, "yoy_growth_pct": -13.806060680598478 }, { "year": 2023, "export_value_usd": 199884865.01644465, "active_destinations": 142, "yoy_growth_pct": -13.164045137173158 }, { "year": 2024, "export_value_usd": 187434986.93603396, "active_destinations": 138, "yoy_growth_pct": -6.228524645618581 } ], "economy": { "year": 2024, "country_iso3": "DEU", "exports_usd": 1556773836581.939, "imports_usd": 1317565125540.067, "trade_balance_usd": 239208711041.87207, "yoy_exports_growth_pct": -4.920181070331687, "yoy_imports_growth_pct": -5.864236583999549, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": -0.27823928798644815, "imports_cagr_3y_pct": -0.9610037823739925, "export_partner_hhi": 438.209471440054, "export_product_hhi": 54.022047395285114, "momentum_score": -3.527598535628115, "risk_score": 2.4611575941766954, "gdp_million_usd": 4685592.5778046865, "gdp_per_capita_usd": 56103.73231825545, "population": 83516593, "labor_force": 43123.3, "investment_rate_pct": 22.08, "savings_rate_pct": 27.68, "secondary_education_pct": 95.9, "tertiary_education_pct": 20.06, "total_factor_productivity": 2376, "trade_openness_pct": 64.10501996682734, "exports_gdp_pct": 34.71998925424008, "num_active_partners": 1080, "num_fta_partners": 214, "num_wto_partners": 676, "num_eu_partners": 112, "num_shared_border_partners": 18, "num_shared_language_partners": 8, "avg_partner_distance_km": 6605.880658436214, "avg_partner_gdp_million_usd": 533678518.3258193, "avg_partner_gdp_per_capita_usd": 15.774186170212737, "avg_buyer_biz_entry_days": null, "avg_buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "pct_partners_with_fta": 19.814814814814817, "pct_partners_shared_language": 0.7407407407407408, "pct_partners_shared_border": 1.6666666666666667, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 0.12742739700531733, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 0.12991419306435142, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0.024712068784908343, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0.10520212427944309, "avg_distance_all_partners_km": 6614.911529962142, "num_border_partners": 360, "num_colonial_partners": 384, "avg_substitution_elasticity": -10.91665015154679, "pct_products_high_elasticity": 76.04527604527604, "pct_products_low_elasticity": 2.6565026565026564, "real_market_potential": 2800764.90471021, "foreign_market_potential": 32561.235292050776 } }