{ "template": "T3", "templateName": "Product Exporter Position Profile", "source": "api", "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com" }, "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/exporter/deu/847810", "links": { "product": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/product/847810", "exporter": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/exporter/deu/847810", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology" }, "methodology": { "summary": "Reported exporter totals are combined with destination, price, history, and country-context observations. Growth, concentration, weighted share, volatility, drawdown, and price-position values are calculated indicators rather than additional reported trade.", "reportedValues": "Merchandise trade observations for an exporter, HS6 product, destination market, and available year.", "destinations": "Destination rows are ranked by latest observed exporter-lane value.", "prices": "Unit values are reported trade value divided by reported quantity where quantity is positive.", "missingData": "Missing values are shown as Not reported and are not imputed." }, "exporter": { "hs_code": "847810", "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "first_data_year": 1995, "latest_data_year": 2024, "observed_lane_count": 151, "current_lane_count": 76, "active_market_count": 76, "exports_latest_observed_lanes_usd": 162998300.98908594, "exports_current_2024_usd": 113633232.4598046, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 108829318.78882034, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 125838899.25869843, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 157339426.84990636, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": -4.192978782673618, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": -7.870144497551513, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": -10.639549439213813, "exports_all_year_lane_avg_usd": 275234046.3380716, "exports_historical_lane_peak_usd": 1225562987.4552498, "historical_peak_year": 1995, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 48.275862068965516, "trend_acceleration_pct": 6.446570656540195, "trend_label": "Declining", "top_market_iso3": "KOR", "top_market_exports_usd": 15083461.326233566, "top_market_share_pct": 9.253753710747896, "destination_hhi": 482.21500503428547, "weighted_share_latest_pct": 33.91145237142057, "weighted_share_change_1y_pp": 8.0035089981993, "weighted_volatility_cv": 1.0502985530907565, "weighted_max_drawdown_pct": 98.0553066004901, "limited_history_lane_share_pct": 23.841059602649008, "data_freshness_years": 0, "coverage_score": 100, "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:28:35", "source": "api", "product": { "hs_code": 847810, "hs_description": "Machinery: for preparing or making up tobacco, n.e.c. in this chapter", "hs_chapter": 84, "hs_heading": 8478, "substitution_elasticity": -8.5974331, "price_range_label": "Unclassified", "trade_type_label": "One-way trade" }, "hs_description": "Machinery: for preparing or making up tobacco, n.e.c. in this chapter", "hs_chapter": 84, "hs_heading": 8478, "destinations": [ { "hs_code": 847810, "corridor_rank": 8, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "KOR", "latest_data_year": 2023, "lane_data_years": 28, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 15083461.326233566, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 11191981.901599595, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 5212172.829187254, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 9444369.006635424, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 7861140.49078654, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": 13.749200951070062, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": 4.127039179268932, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": 1.588861419753096, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 47626202.76856691, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 35927404.99427561, "historical_peak_year": 2007, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 51.851851851851855, "trend_acceleration_pct": 12.160339531316966, "trend_label": "Rapid growth", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": -28.4472, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 111.2641, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 48.2759, "market_share_latest_pct": 30.040127615960692, "market_share_change_1y_pp": 30.005077703971093, "peer_best_share_pct": 37.66341892401533, "peer_top_exporter": "ITA", "supplier_count_latest": 16, "buyer_market_hhi": 2723.05, "distance_km": 8543.7841796875, "has_reported_fta": 1, "applied_tariff_pct": 0.13700167517901238, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0.11091181424331689, "volatility_cv": 1.0308031428983244, "max_drawdown_pct": 99.99813405254064, "attention_level": "Critical attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": "['high_volatility','unrecovered_drawdown','concentrated_buyer_market']", "signal_flag": "Growing", "confidence_label": "Medium", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 847810, "corridor_rank": 13, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "TUR", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 26, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 12585601.98123326, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 8142804.789698481, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 5157330.807122758, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 6084093.991103455, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 6160808.706355152, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": 2.744907601708668, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": 2.010291347594695, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": 12.193400108415275, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 36765274.59338067, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 26491335.581087586, "historical_peak_year": 1998, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 64, "trend_acceleration_pct": -9.448492506706607, "trend_label": "Stable", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": 92.8502, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 46.2844, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 55.1724, "market_share_latest_pct": 47.508370964196466, "market_share_change_1y_pp": 28.868252947968752, "peer_best_share_pct": 47.50837096419646, "peer_top_exporter": "DEU", "supplier_count_latest": 19, "buyer_market_hhi": 2621.94, "distance_km": 2038.332275390625, "has_reported_fta": 1, "applied_tariff_pct": 0.07906258743100822, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0.07065210535228808, "volatility_cv": 0.9780191325413925, "max_drawdown_pct": 99.11371330371824, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": "['unrecovered_drawdown','concentrated_buyer_market']", "signal_flag": "Growing", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 847810, "corridor_rank": 15, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "IDN", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 12441505.12062803, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 25453976.167447668, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 20961472.620521348, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 19579644.55212315, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 20863799.726854984, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": 39.16527817706954, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": -2.7103593198494647, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": -20.623209781660044, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 125296110.68217283, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 70690506.36475635, "historical_peak_year": 2014, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 58.62068965517241, "trend_acceleration_pct": 59.78848795872958, "trend_label": "Rapid growth", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": -46.932, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 16.7624, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 55.1724, "market_share_latest_pct": 17.599966049798873, "market_share_change_1y_pp": -6.072839210042819, "peer_best_share_pct": 17.599966049798873, "peer_top_exporter": "DEU", "supplier_count_latest": 24, "buyer_market_hhi": 1101.9, "distance_km": 11227.21875, "has_reported_fta": 0, "applied_tariff_pct": 0.17860428161522635, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "volatility_cv": 0.9419140214393341, "max_drawdown_pct": 96.31580459775982, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": "['unrecovered_drawdown','long_distance_without_fta']", "signal_flag": "Stable", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 847810, "corridor_rank": 17, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "PHL", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 28, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 10945667.851896938, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 2715024.5202475204, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 5436845.144943419, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 3894062.021071454, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 3475073.718820172, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": 51.320477943874465, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": 17.694913430592084, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": 8.744660276648887, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 10945667.851896938, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 22360455.06952055, "historical_peak_year": 2024, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 51.851851851851855, "trend_acceleration_pct": 42.57581766722558, "trend_label": "Rapid growth", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": 121.603, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 43.9037, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 51.7241, "market_share_latest_pct": 48.95100666719854, "market_share_change_1y_pp": 13.18805940226094, "peer_best_share_pct": 48.951006667198534, "peer_top_exporter": "DEU", "supplier_count_latest": 21, "buyer_market_hhi": 2980.48, "distance_km": 10320.73828125, "has_reported_fta": 0, "applied_tariff_pct": 0.19360498124279837, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "volatility_cv": 0.8751387226944738, "max_drawdown_pct": 99.98584673649817, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": "['concentrated_buyer_market','long_distance_without_fta']", "signal_flag": "Growing", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 847810, "corridor_rank": 18, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "USA", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 10706118.341355305, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 14597277.775748402, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 6722442.361587326, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 5455658.926191771, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 6851633.209072518, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": 14.61564933282915, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": 17.33689755090706, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": 6.912522070607907, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 64415460.033157304, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 71076307.60889441, "historical_peak_year": 1997, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 51.724137931034484, "trend_acceleration_pct": 7.703127262221243, "trend_label": "Rapid growth", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": 151.094, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 15.2532, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 58.6207, "market_share_latest_pct": 15.062851042103876, "market_share_change_1y_pp": 13.658198903490693, "peer_best_share_pct": 50.29792772648651, "peer_top_exporter": "ITA", "supplier_count_latest": 31, "buyer_market_hhi": 2906.28, "distance_km": 6035.33447265625, "has_reported_fta": 0, "applied_tariff_pct": 0.04660416541625514, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "volatility_cv": 0.9488168389778303, "max_drawdown_pct": 99.9992777640129, "attention_level": "Critical attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": "['unrecovered_drawdown','concentrated_buyer_market','dominant_supplier']", "signal_flag": "Stable", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 847810, "corridor_rank": 21, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 9482089.559181642, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 52281888.53206356, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 16036708.175933352, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 18757126.844289295, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 21352778.18503863, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": -5.189665482562489, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": -19.06770401779592, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": -20.760023401690365, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 219414851.34179693, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 28362496.750579294, "historical_peak_year": 1995, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 41.37931034482759, "trend_acceleration_pct": 15.570357919127876, "trend_label": "Declining", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": -27.0804, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 22.2581, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 44.8276, "market_share_latest_pct": 33.431787203247445, "market_share_change_1y_pp": -14.142055568650669, "peer_best_share_pct": 33.431787203247445, "peer_top_exporter": "DEU", "supplier_count_latest": 17, "buyer_market_hhi": 1870.24, "distance_km": 7785.341796875, "has_reported_fta": 0, "applied_tariff_pct": 0.29912295578395065, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "volatility_cv": 0.9673654442216734, "max_drawdown_pct": 99.72289504222131, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": "['unrecovered_drawdown','long_distance_without_fta']", "signal_flag": "Declining", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 847810, "corridor_rank": 22, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "ROU", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 28, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 9455734.910428483, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 4766212.93989856, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 6274922.979713545, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 4005442.3239342486, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 6823852.393898347, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": 246.9456498667057, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": 12.67147664715862, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": 4.966476221972749, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 22703871.019087262, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 37970534.61025569, "historical_peak_year": 2017, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 51.851851851851855, "trend_acceleration_pct": 241.97917364473295, "trend_label": "Rapid growth", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": 1.9709, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 238.1693, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 65.5172, "market_share_latest_pct": 24.902822695244662, "market_share_change_1y_pp": 21.003139274255425, "peer_best_share_pct": 63.11180929800177, "peer_top_exporter": "ITA", "supplier_count_latest": 16, "buyer_market_hhi": 4656.72, "distance_km": null, "has_reported_fta": null, "applied_tariff_pct": 0.13242878806584357, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0.13242878806584357, "volatility_cv": 0.9837009845760621, "max_drawdown_pct": 99.00273394232151, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": "['unrecovered_drawdown','concentrated_buyer_market','dominant_supplier']", "signal_flag": "Growing", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 847810, "corridor_rank": 25, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "BEL", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 26, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 8533363.111373555, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 1808210.5299377642, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 3599774.000494733, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 2219848.8929301105, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 1375136.5784800085, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": 1007.0668505317012, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": 73.68945732293979, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": 21.2676470655899, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 8533363.111373555, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 27497089.482685182, "historical_peak_year": 2024, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 56, "trend_acceleration_pct": 985.7992034661113, "trend_label": "Rapid growth", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": 111.8612, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 40.6726, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 60, "market_share_latest_pct": 31.033695827141926, "market_share_change_1y_pp": 15.685910268539923, "peer_best_share_pct": 48.92517131026957, "peer_top_exporter": "ITA", "supplier_count_latest": 22, "buyer_market_hhi": 3551.51, "distance_km": 196.8760986328125, "has_reported_fta": 1, "applied_tariff_pct": 0, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0, "volatility_cv": 0.9852995646168144, "max_drawdown_pct": 99.88480382108327, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": "['concentrated_buyer_market']", "signal_flag": "Growing", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 847810, "corridor_rank": 28, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 7191217.256970239, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 11671310.875209963, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 2928083.1830961835, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 4048726.138747312, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 3039097.5685528107, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": 64.33018430901089, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": 33.83277832339211, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": 1.7270463237344824, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 40227192.456663616, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 16582997.394349713, "historical_peak_year": 2004, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 51.724137931034484, "trend_acceleration_pct": 62.603137985276405, "trend_label": "Rapid growth", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": 779.7072, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 73.9758, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 51.7241, "market_share_latest_pct": 43.36500263468947, "market_share_change_1y_pp": -40.9454972197588, "peer_best_share_pct": 43.36500263468947, "peer_top_exporter": "DEU", "supplier_count_latest": 12, "buyer_market_hhi": 3301.58, "distance_km": 9298.3408203125, "has_reported_fta": 1, "applied_tariff_pct": 0.039911157261893, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0.030370869448953192, "volatility_cv": 0.8634006037046232, "max_drawdown_pct": 99.9907279037117, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": "['unrecovered_drawdown','concentrated_buyer_market','buyer_macro_weakness']", "signal_flag": "Stable", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 847810, "corridor_rank": 40, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "IND", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 28, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 4793991.231779735, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 1313378.6264256067, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 2399939.697674878, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 1595577.1527044843, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 885119.9288604843, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": 902.5493008859718, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": 73.8772467455936, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": 10.817582244796252, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 6468394.596289556, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 16827427.17240421, "historical_peak_year": 2013, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 51.851851851851855, "trend_acceleration_pct": 891.7317186411756, "trend_label": "Rapid growth", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": 79.1046, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 22.7967, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 55.1724, "market_share_latest_pct": 28.489151565852804, "market_share_change_1y_pp": 28.35399630192334, "peer_best_share_pct": 29.412290287318005, "peer_top_exporter": "ITA", "supplier_count_latest": 24, "buyer_market_hhi": 1942.53, "distance_km": 6229.63671875, "has_reported_fta": 0, "applied_tariff_pct": 0.5267321838847735, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "volatility_cv": 1.2115339804368028, "max_drawdown_pct": 99.92644985820715, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": "['high_volatility']", "signal_flag": "Accelerating", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 847810, "corridor_rank": 46, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "KAZ", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 21, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 4153813.5830553095, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 1378314.193421163, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 3306408.3977195323, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 3306408.3977195323, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 992339.904580076, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": 313.09560786302575, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": 134.22343535453822, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": 16.333190607408852, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 4153813.5830553095, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 20189192.538721975, "historical_peak_year": 2024, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 50, "trend_acceleration_pct": 296.7624172556169, "trend_label": "Rapid growth", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": 382.5919, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 1205.9101, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 48.2759, "market_share_latest_pct": 20.57444137544619, "market_share_change_1y_pp": -38.20428285478038, "peer_best_share_pct": 62.90068564194037, "peer_top_exporter": "KOR", "supplier_count_latest": 12, "buyer_market_hhi": 4473.29, "distance_km": 5148.3984375, "has_reported_fta": 0, "applied_tariff_pct": 0.08811168753409965, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "volatility_cv": 1.125144792242926, "max_drawdown_pct": 99.95724721885944, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": "['high_volatility','concentrated_buyer_market','dominant_supplier']", "signal_flag": "Accelerating", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 847810, "corridor_rank": 56, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "POL", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 3313322.6948969527, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 9224288.10812328, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 4540655.331078665, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 6683745.699705612, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 14315646.821184877, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": -20.865695914223824, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": -9.570775131758003, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": 7.733045488706458, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 37733622.03619439, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 16407233.850207843, "historical_peak_year": 2016, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 48.275862068965516, "trend_acceleration_pct": -28.598741402930283, "trend_label": "Rapid decline", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": -59.0311, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 17.2878, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 51.7241, "market_share_latest_pct": 20.194279700931915, "market_share_change_1y_pp": 5.65303804758377, "peer_best_share_pct": 42.15308319816699, "peer_top_exporter": "ITA", "supplier_count_latest": 31, "buyer_market_hhi": 2437.32, "distance_km": 965.921142578125, "has_reported_fta": 1, "applied_tariff_pct": 0.08091394394890945, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0.04595302958827163, "volatility_cv": 0.9982842793526939, "max_drawdown_pct": 98.19889858009732, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": "['unrecovered_drawdown']", "signal_flag": "Stable", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 847810, "corridor_rank": 57, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "SGP", "latest_data_year": 2022, "lane_data_years": 27, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 3176182.4235506575, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 2150927.877214137, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 1529937.2739634935, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 1204368.6570568986, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 1558911.9123112233, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": 41.11939543910048, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": 378.1627490390736, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": 19.766934543740433, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 13743232.57015569, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 24516457.502968222, "historical_peak_year": 2009, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 53.84615384615385, "trend_acceleration_pct": 21.352460895360046, "trend_label": "Rapid growth", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": 35.2398, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 35.1231, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 55.1724, "market_share_latest_pct": 16.275260196148, "market_share_change_1y_pp": 7.6113998275373635, "peer_best_share_pct": 79.40190998753329, "peer_top_exporter": "IDN", "supplier_count_latest": 13, "buyer_market_hhi": 6465.71, "distance_km": 10380.26953125, "has_reported_fta": 1, "applied_tariff_pct": 0.0035057953592263374, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "volatility_cv": 1.4265793528510653, "max_drawdown_pct": 99.99075434159202, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": "['high_volatility','unrecovered_drawdown','concentrated_buyer_market','dominant_supplier']", "signal_flag": "Growing", "confidence_label": "Medium", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 847810, "corridor_rank": 65, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "ARE", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 29, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 2732735.9296027822, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 2492927.139290194, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 4684783.803989083, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 9067004.969199331, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 6688498.558347342, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": -35.18656322886591, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": -25.364504463257052, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": 67.49957496809853, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 21243706.01226694, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 74063743.43521711, "historical_peak_year": 2020, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 46.42857142857143, "trend_acceleration_pct": -102.68613819696444, "trend_label": "Rapid decline", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": 82.3119, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 49.8229, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 55.1724, "market_share_latest_pct": 3.6897080850268944, "market_share_change_1y_pp": -5.678598032887661, "peer_best_share_pct": 38.47349943711082, "peer_top_exporter": "ITA", "supplier_count_latest": 34, "buyer_market_hhi": 2173.34, "distance_km": 5004.5615234375, "has_reported_fta": 0, "applied_tariff_pct": 0.052133813497942355, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "volatility_cv": 1.8751335315717577, "max_drawdown_pct": 99.82170954775864, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": "['high_volatility','unrecovered_drawdown']", "signal_flag": "Growing", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" } ], "priceSummary": { "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "hs_code": 847810, "num_markets": 105, "highest_price_importer_iso3": "BOL", "highest_price_usd_per_ton": 31669000, "lowest_price_importer_iso3": "AUS", "lowest_price_usd_per_ton": 3.840022820707049, "median_price_across_markets": 34558.405629855544, "price_spread_pct": 91639.05447251837, "avg_quantity_metric_tons": 195.64883860759488, "total_trade_value_usd": 1062525661 }, "history": [ { "year": 2010, "export_value_usd": 303894131.7538885, "active_destinations": 74, "yoy_growth_pct": -0.6825947159914053 }, { "year": 2011, "export_value_usd": 390673135.4163523, "active_destinations": 78, "yoy_growth_pct": 28.55566942396327 }, { "year": 2012, "export_value_usd": 271388144.30382884, "active_destinations": 87, "yoy_growth_pct": -30.533195220960813 }, { "year": 2013, "export_value_usd": 334663730.553483, "active_destinations": 84, "yoy_growth_pct": 23.315530754657754 }, { "year": 2014, "export_value_usd": 349986959.1805983, "active_destinations": 83, "yoy_growth_pct": 4.578694142258264 }, { "year": 2015, "export_value_usd": 221413502.3366664, "active_destinations": 82, "yoy_growth_pct": -36.73664217231195 }, { "year": 2016, "export_value_usd": 156450063.3772048, "active_destinations": 85, "yoy_growth_pct": -29.340323997351607 }, { "year": 2017, "export_value_usd": 190215223.38721707, "active_destinations": 89, "yoy_growth_pct": 21.582068604602394 }, { "year": 2018, "export_value_usd": 204921120.84406626, "active_destinations": 89, "yoy_growth_pct": 7.731188490057236 }, { "year": 2019, "export_value_usd": 171199862.26041678, "active_destinations": 84, "yoy_growth_pct": -16.455726205650375 }, { "year": 2020, "export_value_usd": 173491416.00096208, "active_destinations": 81, "yoy_growth_pct": 1.3385254580751693 }, { "year": 2021, "export_value_usd": 129215123.926069, "active_destinations": 74, "yoy_growth_pct": -25.52073935153515 }, { "year": 2022, "export_value_usd": 107204783.58345148, "active_destinations": 82, "yoy_growth_pct": -17.033873182841074 }, { "year": 2023, "export_value_usd": 105649940.323205, "active_destinations": 74, "yoy_growth_pct": -1.4503487701517983 }, { "year": 2024, "export_value_usd": 113633232.45980456, "active_destinations": 76, "yoy_growth_pct": 7.556362182673299 } ], "economy": { "year": 2024, "country_iso3": "DEU", "exports_usd": 1556773836581.939, "imports_usd": 1317565125540.067, "trade_balance_usd": 239208711041.87207, "yoy_exports_growth_pct": -4.920181070331687, "yoy_imports_growth_pct": -5.864236583999549, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": -0.27823928798644815, "imports_cagr_3y_pct": -0.9610037823739925, "export_partner_hhi": 438.209471440054, "export_product_hhi": 54.022047395285114, "momentum_score": -3.527598535628115, "risk_score": 2.4611575941766954, "gdp_million_usd": 4685592.5778046865, "gdp_per_capita_usd": 56103.73231825545, "population": 83516593, "labor_force": 43123.3, "investment_rate_pct": 22.08, "savings_rate_pct": 27.68, "secondary_education_pct": 95.9, "tertiary_education_pct": 20.06, "total_factor_productivity": 2376, "trade_openness_pct": 64.10501996682734, "exports_gdp_pct": 34.71998925424008, "num_active_partners": 1080, "num_fta_partners": 214, "num_wto_partners": 676, "num_eu_partners": 112, "num_shared_border_partners": 18, "num_shared_language_partners": 8, "avg_partner_distance_km": 6605.880658436214, "avg_partner_gdp_million_usd": 533678518.3258193, "avg_partner_gdp_per_capita_usd": 15.774186170212737, "avg_buyer_biz_entry_days": null, "avg_buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "pct_partners_with_fta": 19.814814814814817, "pct_partners_shared_language": 0.7407407407407408, "pct_partners_shared_border": 1.6666666666666667, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 0.12742739700531733, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 0.12991419306435142, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0.024712068784908343, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0.10520212427944309, "avg_distance_all_partners_km": 6614.911529962142, "num_border_partners": 360, "num_colonial_partners": 384, "avg_substitution_elasticity": -10.91665015154679, "pct_products_high_elasticity": 76.04527604527604, "pct_products_low_elasticity": 2.6565026565026564, "real_market_potential": 2800764.90471021, "foreign_market_potential": 32561.235292050776 }, "countryMap": {} }, "product": { "hs_code": "847810", "hs_description": "Machinery: for preparing or making up tobacco, n.e.c. in this chapter", "hs_chapter": 84, "hs_heading": 8478 }, "destinations": [ { "hs_code": 847810, "corridor_rank": 8, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "KOR", "latest_data_year": 2023, "lane_data_years": 28, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 15083461.326233566, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 11191981.901599595, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 5212172.829187254, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 9444369.006635424, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 7861140.49078654, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": 13.749200951070062, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": 4.127039179268932, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": 1.588861419753096, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 47626202.76856691, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 35927404.99427561, "historical_peak_year": 2007, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 51.851851851851855, "trend_acceleration_pct": 12.160339531316966, "trend_label": "Rapid growth", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": -28.4472, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 111.2641, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 48.2759, "market_share_latest_pct": 30.040127615960692, "market_share_change_1y_pp": 30.005077703971093, "peer_best_share_pct": 37.66341892401533, "peer_top_exporter": "ITA", "supplier_count_latest": 16, "buyer_market_hhi": 2723.05, "distance_km": 8543.7841796875, "has_reported_fta": 1, "applied_tariff_pct": 0.13700167517901238, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0.11091181424331689, "volatility_cv": 1.0308031428983244, "max_drawdown_pct": 99.99813405254064, "attention_level": "Critical attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": "['high_volatility','unrecovered_drawdown','concentrated_buyer_market']", "signal_flag": "Growing", "confidence_label": "Medium", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 847810, "corridor_rank": 13, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "TUR", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 26, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 12585601.98123326, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 8142804.789698481, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 5157330.807122758, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 6084093.991103455, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 6160808.706355152, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": 2.744907601708668, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": 2.010291347594695, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": 12.193400108415275, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 36765274.59338067, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 26491335.581087586, "historical_peak_year": 1998, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 64, "trend_acceleration_pct": -9.448492506706607, "trend_label": "Stable", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": 92.8502, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 46.2844, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 55.1724, "market_share_latest_pct": 47.508370964196466, "market_share_change_1y_pp": 28.868252947968752, "peer_best_share_pct": 47.50837096419646, "peer_top_exporter": "DEU", "supplier_count_latest": 19, "buyer_market_hhi": 2621.94, "distance_km": 2038.332275390625, "has_reported_fta": 1, "applied_tariff_pct": 0.07906258743100822, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0.07065210535228808, "volatility_cv": 0.9780191325413925, "max_drawdown_pct": 99.11371330371824, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": "['unrecovered_drawdown','concentrated_buyer_market']", "signal_flag": "Growing", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 847810, "corridor_rank": 15, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "IDN", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 12441505.12062803, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 25453976.167447668, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 20961472.620521348, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 19579644.55212315, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 20863799.726854984, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": 39.16527817706954, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": -2.7103593198494647, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": -20.623209781660044, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 125296110.68217283, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 70690506.36475635, "historical_peak_year": 2014, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 58.62068965517241, "trend_acceleration_pct": 59.78848795872958, "trend_label": "Rapid growth", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": -46.932, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 16.7624, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 55.1724, "market_share_latest_pct": 17.599966049798873, "market_share_change_1y_pp": -6.072839210042819, "peer_best_share_pct": 17.599966049798873, "peer_top_exporter": "DEU", "supplier_count_latest": 24, "buyer_market_hhi": 1101.9, "distance_km": 11227.21875, "has_reported_fta": 0, "applied_tariff_pct": 0.17860428161522635, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "volatility_cv": 0.9419140214393341, "max_drawdown_pct": 96.31580459775982, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": "['unrecovered_drawdown','long_distance_without_fta']", "signal_flag": "Stable", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 847810, "corridor_rank": 17, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "PHL", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 28, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 10945667.851896938, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 2715024.5202475204, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 5436845.144943419, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 3894062.021071454, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 3475073.718820172, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": 51.320477943874465, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": 17.694913430592084, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": 8.744660276648887, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 10945667.851896938, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 22360455.06952055, "historical_peak_year": 2024, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 51.851851851851855, "trend_acceleration_pct": 42.57581766722558, "trend_label": "Rapid growth", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": 121.603, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 43.9037, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 51.7241, "market_share_latest_pct": 48.95100666719854, "market_share_change_1y_pp": 13.18805940226094, "peer_best_share_pct": 48.951006667198534, "peer_top_exporter": "DEU", "supplier_count_latest": 21, "buyer_market_hhi": 2980.48, "distance_km": 10320.73828125, "has_reported_fta": 0, "applied_tariff_pct": 0.19360498124279837, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "volatility_cv": 0.8751387226944738, "max_drawdown_pct": 99.98584673649817, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": "['concentrated_buyer_market','long_distance_without_fta']", "signal_flag": "Growing", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 847810, "corridor_rank": 18, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "USA", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 10706118.341355305, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 14597277.775748402, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 6722442.361587326, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 5455658.926191771, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 6851633.209072518, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": 14.61564933282915, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": 17.33689755090706, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": 6.912522070607907, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 64415460.033157304, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 71076307.60889441, "historical_peak_year": 1997, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 51.724137931034484, "trend_acceleration_pct": 7.703127262221243, "trend_label": "Rapid growth", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": 151.094, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 15.2532, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 58.6207, "market_share_latest_pct": 15.062851042103876, "market_share_change_1y_pp": 13.658198903490693, "peer_best_share_pct": 50.29792772648651, "peer_top_exporter": "ITA", "supplier_count_latest": 31, "buyer_market_hhi": 2906.28, "distance_km": 6035.33447265625, "has_reported_fta": 0, "applied_tariff_pct": 0.04660416541625514, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "volatility_cv": 0.9488168389778303, "max_drawdown_pct": 99.9992777640129, "attention_level": "Critical attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": "['unrecovered_drawdown','concentrated_buyer_market','dominant_supplier']", "signal_flag": "Stable", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 847810, "corridor_rank": 21, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 9482089.559181642, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 52281888.53206356, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 16036708.175933352, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 18757126.844289295, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 21352778.18503863, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": -5.189665482562489, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": -19.06770401779592, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": -20.760023401690365, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 219414851.34179693, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 28362496.750579294, "historical_peak_year": 1995, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 41.37931034482759, "trend_acceleration_pct": 15.570357919127876, "trend_label": "Declining", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": -27.0804, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 22.2581, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 44.8276, "market_share_latest_pct": 33.431787203247445, "market_share_change_1y_pp": -14.142055568650669, "peer_best_share_pct": 33.431787203247445, "peer_top_exporter": "DEU", "supplier_count_latest": 17, "buyer_market_hhi": 1870.24, "distance_km": 7785.341796875, "has_reported_fta": 0, "applied_tariff_pct": 0.29912295578395065, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "volatility_cv": 0.9673654442216734, "max_drawdown_pct": 99.72289504222131, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": "['unrecovered_drawdown','long_distance_without_fta']", "signal_flag": "Declining", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 847810, "corridor_rank": 22, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "ROU", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 28, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 9455734.910428483, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 4766212.93989856, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 6274922.979713545, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 4005442.3239342486, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 6823852.393898347, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": 246.9456498667057, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": 12.67147664715862, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": 4.966476221972749, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 22703871.019087262, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 37970534.61025569, "historical_peak_year": 2017, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 51.851851851851855, "trend_acceleration_pct": 241.97917364473295, "trend_label": "Rapid growth", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": 1.9709, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 238.1693, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 65.5172, "market_share_latest_pct": 24.902822695244662, "market_share_change_1y_pp": 21.003139274255425, "peer_best_share_pct": 63.11180929800177, "peer_top_exporter": "ITA", "supplier_count_latest": 16, "buyer_market_hhi": 4656.72, "distance_km": null, "has_reported_fta": null, "applied_tariff_pct": 0.13242878806584357, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0.13242878806584357, "volatility_cv": 0.9837009845760621, "max_drawdown_pct": 99.00273394232151, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": "['unrecovered_drawdown','concentrated_buyer_market','dominant_supplier']", "signal_flag": "Growing", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 847810, "corridor_rank": 25, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "BEL", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 26, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 8533363.111373555, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 1808210.5299377642, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 3599774.000494733, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 2219848.8929301105, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 1375136.5784800085, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": 1007.0668505317012, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": 73.68945732293979, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": 21.2676470655899, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 8533363.111373555, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 27497089.482685182, "historical_peak_year": 2024, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 56, "trend_acceleration_pct": 985.7992034661113, "trend_label": "Rapid growth", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": 111.8612, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 40.6726, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 60, "market_share_latest_pct": 31.033695827141926, "market_share_change_1y_pp": 15.685910268539923, "peer_best_share_pct": 48.92517131026957, "peer_top_exporter": "ITA", "supplier_count_latest": 22, "buyer_market_hhi": 3551.51, "distance_km": 196.8760986328125, "has_reported_fta": 1, "applied_tariff_pct": 0, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0, "volatility_cv": 0.9852995646168144, "max_drawdown_pct": 99.88480382108327, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": "['concentrated_buyer_market']", "signal_flag": "Growing", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 847810, "corridor_rank": 28, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 7191217.256970239, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 11671310.875209963, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 2928083.1830961835, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 4048726.138747312, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 3039097.5685528107, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": 64.33018430901089, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": 33.83277832339211, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": 1.7270463237344824, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 40227192.456663616, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 16582997.394349713, "historical_peak_year": 2004, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 51.724137931034484, "trend_acceleration_pct": 62.603137985276405, "trend_label": "Rapid growth", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": 779.7072, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 73.9758, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 51.7241, "market_share_latest_pct": 43.36500263468947, "market_share_change_1y_pp": -40.9454972197588, "peer_best_share_pct": 43.36500263468947, "peer_top_exporter": "DEU", "supplier_count_latest": 12, "buyer_market_hhi": 3301.58, "distance_km": 9298.3408203125, "has_reported_fta": 1, "applied_tariff_pct": 0.039911157261893, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0.030370869448953192, "volatility_cv": 0.8634006037046232, "max_drawdown_pct": 99.9907279037117, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": "['unrecovered_drawdown','concentrated_buyer_market','buyer_macro_weakness']", "signal_flag": "Stable", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 847810, "corridor_rank": 40, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "IND", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 28, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 4793991.231779735, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 1313378.6264256067, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 2399939.697674878, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 1595577.1527044843, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 885119.9288604843, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": 902.5493008859718, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": 73.8772467455936, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": 10.817582244796252, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 6468394.596289556, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 16827427.17240421, "historical_peak_year": 2013, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 51.851851851851855, "trend_acceleration_pct": 891.7317186411756, "trend_label": "Rapid growth", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": 79.1046, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 22.7967, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 55.1724, "market_share_latest_pct": 28.489151565852804, "market_share_change_1y_pp": 28.35399630192334, "peer_best_share_pct": 29.412290287318005, "peer_top_exporter": "ITA", "supplier_count_latest": 24, "buyer_market_hhi": 1942.53, "distance_km": 6229.63671875, "has_reported_fta": 0, "applied_tariff_pct": 0.5267321838847735, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "volatility_cv": 1.2115339804368028, "max_drawdown_pct": 99.92644985820715, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": "['high_volatility']", "signal_flag": "Accelerating", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 847810, "corridor_rank": 46, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "KAZ", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 21, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 4153813.5830553095, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 1378314.193421163, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 3306408.3977195323, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 3306408.3977195323, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 992339.904580076, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": 313.09560786302575, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": 134.22343535453822, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": 16.333190607408852, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 4153813.5830553095, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 20189192.538721975, "historical_peak_year": 2024, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 50, "trend_acceleration_pct": 296.7624172556169, "trend_label": "Rapid growth", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": 382.5919, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 1205.9101, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 48.2759, "market_share_latest_pct": 20.57444137544619, "market_share_change_1y_pp": -38.20428285478038, "peer_best_share_pct": 62.90068564194037, "peer_top_exporter": "KOR", "supplier_count_latest": 12, "buyer_market_hhi": 4473.29, "distance_km": 5148.3984375, "has_reported_fta": 0, "applied_tariff_pct": 0.08811168753409965, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "volatility_cv": 1.125144792242926, "max_drawdown_pct": 99.95724721885944, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": "['high_volatility','concentrated_buyer_market','dominant_supplier']", "signal_flag": "Accelerating", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 847810, "corridor_rank": 56, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "POL", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 3313322.6948969527, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 9224288.10812328, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 4540655.331078665, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 6683745.699705612, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 14315646.821184877, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": -20.865695914223824, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": -9.570775131758003, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": 7.733045488706458, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 37733622.03619439, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 16407233.850207843, "historical_peak_year": 2016, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 48.275862068965516, "trend_acceleration_pct": -28.598741402930283, "trend_label": "Rapid decline", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": -59.0311, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 17.2878, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 51.7241, "market_share_latest_pct": 20.194279700931915, "market_share_change_1y_pp": 5.65303804758377, "peer_best_share_pct": 42.15308319816699, "peer_top_exporter": "ITA", "supplier_count_latest": 31, "buyer_market_hhi": 2437.32, "distance_km": 965.921142578125, "has_reported_fta": 1, "applied_tariff_pct": 0.08091394394890945, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0.04595302958827163, "volatility_cv": 0.9982842793526939, "max_drawdown_pct": 98.19889858009732, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": "['unrecovered_drawdown']", "signal_flag": "Stable", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 847810, "corridor_rank": 57, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "SGP", "latest_data_year": 2022, "lane_data_years": 27, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 3176182.4235506575, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 2150927.877214137, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 1529937.2739634935, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 1204368.6570568986, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 1558911.9123112233, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": 41.11939543910048, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": 378.1627490390736, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": 19.766934543740433, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 13743232.57015569, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 24516457.502968222, "historical_peak_year": 2009, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 53.84615384615385, "trend_acceleration_pct": 21.352460895360046, "trend_label": "Rapid growth", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": 35.2398, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 35.1231, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 55.1724, "market_share_latest_pct": 16.275260196148, "market_share_change_1y_pp": 7.6113998275373635, "peer_best_share_pct": 79.40190998753329, "peer_top_exporter": "IDN", "supplier_count_latest": 13, "buyer_market_hhi": 6465.71, "distance_km": 10380.26953125, "has_reported_fta": 1, "applied_tariff_pct": 0.0035057953592263374, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "volatility_cv": 1.4265793528510653, "max_drawdown_pct": 99.99075434159202, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": "['high_volatility','unrecovered_drawdown','concentrated_buyer_market','dominant_supplier']", "signal_flag": "Growing", "confidence_label": "Medium", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 847810, "corridor_rank": 65, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "ARE", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 29, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 2732735.9296027822, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 2492927.139290194, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 4684783.803989083, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 9067004.969199331, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 6688498.558347342, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": -35.18656322886591, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": -25.364504463257052, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": 67.49957496809853, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 21243706.01226694, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 74063743.43521711, "historical_peak_year": 2020, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 46.42857142857143, "trend_acceleration_pct": -102.68613819696444, "trend_label": "Rapid decline", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": 82.3119, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 49.8229, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 55.1724, "market_share_latest_pct": 3.6897080850268944, "market_share_change_1y_pp": -5.678598032887661, "peer_best_share_pct": 38.47349943711082, "peer_top_exporter": "ITA", "supplier_count_latest": 34, "buyer_market_hhi": 2173.34, "distance_km": 5004.5615234375, "has_reported_fta": 0, "applied_tariff_pct": 0.052133813497942355, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "volatility_cv": 1.8751335315717577, "max_drawdown_pct": 99.82170954775864, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": "['high_volatility','unrecovered_drawdown']", "signal_flag": "Growing", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" } ], "prices": [], "priceSummary": { "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "hs_code": 847810, "num_markets": 105, "highest_price_importer_iso3": "BOL", "highest_price_usd_per_ton": 31669000, "lowest_price_importer_iso3": "AUS", "lowest_price_usd_per_ton": 3.840022820707049, "median_price_across_markets": 34558.405629855544, "price_spread_pct": 91639.05447251837, "avg_quantity_metric_tons": 195.64883860759488, "total_trade_value_usd": 1062525661 }, "history": [ { "year": 2010, "export_value_usd": 303894131.7538885, "active_destinations": 74, "yoy_growth_pct": -0.6825947159914053 }, { "year": 2011, "export_value_usd": 390673135.4163523, "active_destinations": 78, "yoy_growth_pct": 28.55566942396327 }, { "year": 2012, "export_value_usd": 271388144.30382884, "active_destinations": 87, "yoy_growth_pct": -30.533195220960813 }, { "year": 2013, "export_value_usd": 334663730.553483, "active_destinations": 84, "yoy_growth_pct": 23.315530754657754 }, { "year": 2014, "export_value_usd": 349986959.1805983, "active_destinations": 83, "yoy_growth_pct": 4.578694142258264 }, { "year": 2015, "export_value_usd": 221413502.3366664, "active_destinations": 82, "yoy_growth_pct": -36.73664217231195 }, { "year": 2016, "export_value_usd": 156450063.3772048, "active_destinations": 85, "yoy_growth_pct": -29.340323997351607 }, { "year": 2017, "export_value_usd": 190215223.38721707, "active_destinations": 89, "yoy_growth_pct": 21.582068604602394 }, { "year": 2018, "export_value_usd": 204921120.84406626, "active_destinations": 89, "yoy_growth_pct": 7.731188490057236 }, { "year": 2019, "export_value_usd": 171199862.26041678, "active_destinations": 84, "yoy_growth_pct": -16.455726205650375 }, { "year": 2020, "export_value_usd": 173491416.00096208, "active_destinations": 81, "yoy_growth_pct": 1.3385254580751693 }, { "year": 2021, "export_value_usd": 129215123.926069, "active_destinations": 74, "yoy_growth_pct": -25.52073935153515 }, { "year": 2022, "export_value_usd": 107204783.58345148, "active_destinations": 82, "yoy_growth_pct": -17.033873182841074 }, { "year": 2023, "export_value_usd": 105649940.323205, "active_destinations": 74, "yoy_growth_pct": -1.4503487701517983 }, { "year": 2024, "export_value_usd": 113633232.45980456, "active_destinations": 76, "yoy_growth_pct": 7.556362182673299 } ], "economy": { "year": 2024, "country_iso3": "DEU", "exports_usd": 1556773836581.939, "imports_usd": 1317565125540.067, "trade_balance_usd": 239208711041.87207, "yoy_exports_growth_pct": -4.920181070331687, "yoy_imports_growth_pct": -5.864236583999549, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": -0.27823928798644815, "imports_cagr_3y_pct": -0.9610037823739925, "export_partner_hhi": 438.209471440054, "export_product_hhi": 54.022047395285114, "momentum_score": -3.527598535628115, "risk_score": 2.4611575941766954, "gdp_million_usd": 4685592.5778046865, "gdp_per_capita_usd": 56103.73231825545, "population": 83516593, "labor_force": 43123.3, "investment_rate_pct": 22.08, "savings_rate_pct": 27.68, "secondary_education_pct": 95.9, "tertiary_education_pct": 20.06, "total_factor_productivity": 2376, "trade_openness_pct": 64.10501996682734, "exports_gdp_pct": 34.71998925424008, "num_active_partners": 1080, "num_fta_partners": 214, "num_wto_partners": 676, "num_eu_partners": 112, "num_shared_border_partners": 18, "num_shared_language_partners": 8, "avg_partner_distance_km": 6605.880658436214, "avg_partner_gdp_million_usd": 533678518.3258193, "avg_partner_gdp_per_capita_usd": 15.774186170212737, "avg_buyer_biz_entry_days": null, "avg_buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "pct_partners_with_fta": 19.814814814814817, "pct_partners_shared_language": 0.7407407407407408, "pct_partners_shared_border": 1.6666666666666667, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 0.12742739700531733, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 0.12991419306435142, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0.024712068784908343, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0.10520212427944309, "avg_distance_all_partners_km": 6614.911529962142, "num_border_partners": 360, "num_colonial_partners": 384, "avg_substitution_elasticity": -10.91665015154679, "pct_products_high_elasticity": 76.04527604527604, "pct_products_low_elasticity": 2.6565026565026564, "real_market_potential": 2800764.90471021, "foreign_market_potential": 32561.235292050776 } }