{ "template": "T3", "templateName": "Product Exporter Position Profile", "source": "api", "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com" }, "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/exporter/deu/844180", "links": { "product": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/product/844180", "exporter": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/exporter/deu/844180", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology" }, "methodology": { "summary": "Reported exporter totals are combined with destination, price, history, and country-context observations. Growth, concentration, weighted share, volatility, drawdown, and price-position values are calculated indicators rather than additional reported trade.", "reportedValues": "Merchandise trade observations for an exporter, HS6 product, destination market, and available year.", "destinations": "Destination rows are ranked by latest observed exporter-lane value.", "prices": "Unit values are reported trade value divided by reported quantity where quantity is positive.", "missingData": "Missing values are shown as Not reported and are not imputed." }, "exporter": { "hs_code": "844180", "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "first_data_year": 1995, "latest_data_year": 2024, "observed_lane_count": 182, "current_lane_count": 122, "active_market_count": 122, "exports_latest_observed_lanes_usd": 191055848.36685306, "exports_current_2024_usd": 184215431.01639622, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 209629688.29254425, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 205134876.30152753, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 202037306.9769823, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": -5.037902120411786, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": -5.824354154258938, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": 0.08019937454883941, "exports_all_year_lane_avg_usd": 200558190.40679723, "exports_historical_lane_peak_usd": 735187572.9666443, "historical_peak_year": 2008, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 58.62068965517241, "trend_acceleration_pct": -5.118101494960626, "trend_label": "Declining", "top_market_iso3": "USA", "top_market_exports_usd": 55288593.78003903, "top_market_share_pct": 28.93844614161062, "destination_hhi": 1022.1802433666116, "weighted_share_latest_pct": 22.5007283565305, "weighted_share_change_1y_pp": 0.09247102561471732, "weighted_volatility_cv": 0.6999071585038082, "weighted_max_drawdown_pct": 81.84140298042912, "limited_history_lane_share_pct": 14.285714285714286, "data_freshness_years": 0, "coverage_score": 100, "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:28:35", "source": "api", "product": { "hs_code": 844180, "hs_description": "Machinery: n.e.c. in heading no. 8441, for making up paper pulp, paper or paperboard", "hs_chapter": 84, "hs_heading": 8441, "substitution_elasticity": null, "price_range_label": "Medium price range", "trade_type_label": "One-way trade" }, "hs_description": "Machinery: n.e.c. in heading no. 8441, for making up paper pulp, paper or paperboard", "hs_chapter": 84, "hs_heading": 8441, "destinations": [ { "hs_code": 844180, "corridor_rank": 3, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "USA", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 55288593.78003903, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 32271434.665595427, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 50135393.91090574, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 51433826.635914505, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 40696451.89953843, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": -4.840937511066235, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": 4.344680381099231, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": 10.852346609246833, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 64163061.825245775, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 289519453.8894509, "historical_peak_year": 2021, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 48.275862068965516, "trend_acceleration_pct": -15.693284120313068, "trend_label": "Declining", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": 4.2051, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 7.1377, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 65.5172, "market_share_latest_pct": 19.096676591946814, "market_share_change_1y_pp": -2.0143695850737835, "peer_best_share_pct": 47.28826420277509, "peer_top_exporter": "ITA", "supplier_count_latest": 43, "buyer_market_hhi": 2705.73, "distance_km": 6035.33447265625, "has_reported_fta": 0, "applied_tariff_pct": 0.04660416541625514, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "volatility_cv": 0.39589992781436845, "max_drawdown_pct": 69.01163426509808, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": "['concentrated_buyer_market']", "signal_flag": "Growing", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 844180, "corridor_rank": 31, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "POL", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 11270044.096726544, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 8702523.469600068, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 15359830.662757257, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 12768298.06614357, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 14566005.486270696, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": 2.9878737621815477, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": -15.334058248697369, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": 3.540567943067252, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 25904898.682228725, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 52803570.45766927, "historical_peak_year": 2019, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 48.275862068965516, "trend_acceleration_pct": -0.5526941808857044, "trend_label": "Stable", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": 28.4646, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 16.3235, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 55.1724, "market_share_latest_pct": 21.34333720058066, "market_share_change_1y_pp": -14.313421182138594, "peer_best_share_pct": 51.68679428609065, "peer_top_exporter": "ITA", "supplier_count_latest": 38, "buyer_market_hhi": 3242.81, "distance_km": 965.921142578125, "has_reported_fta": 1, "applied_tariff_pct": 0.08091394394890945, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0.04595302958827163, "volatility_cv": 0.6347572778390562, "max_drawdown_pct": 71.26154394657647, "attention_level": "Critical attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": "['unrecovered_drawdown','concentrated_buyer_market','dominant_supplier']", "signal_flag": "Growing", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 844180, "corridor_rank": 44, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "ESP", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 8497828.79320931, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 6568248.002686188, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 5379959.462894139, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 6317626.9056277145, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 8794643.787824038, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": -1.4128912103048452, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": -16.753919800877746, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": 15.887336393370187, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 21256365.627022568, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 59736223.14228791, "historical_peak_year": 2019, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 65.51724137931035, "trend_acceleration_pct": -17.300227603675033, "trend_label": "Stable", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": 25.1158, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 16.9818, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 48.2759, "market_share_latest_pct": 14.225587668922458, "market_share_change_1y_pp": 5.750740721351194, "peer_best_share_pct": 52.04118393767144, "peer_top_exporter": "ITA", "supplier_count_latest": 39, "buyer_market_hhi": 3129.58, "distance_km": 1479.33154296875, "has_reported_fta": 1, "applied_tariff_pct": 0, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0, "volatility_cv": 0.6572717162088823, "max_drawdown_pct": 88.7818183727524, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": "['unrecovered_drawdown','concentrated_buyer_market','dominant_supplier']", "signal_flag": "Stable", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 844180, "corridor_rank": 45, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "FRA", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 8245914.331192141, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 9703083.372263344, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 11277567.73645015, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 10536944.67543423, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 9060811.082766542, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": 4.596762079921746, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": -3.1767609314716783, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": 0.7168710957529356, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 20405236.681747045, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 41352361.52508381, "historical_peak_year": 2023, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 55.172413793103445, "trend_acceleration_pct": 3.87989098416881, "trend_label": "Growing", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": -10.8691, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 3.5494, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 48.2759, "market_share_latest_pct": 19.940612886619004, "market_share_change_1y_pp": -24.040851103923334, "peer_best_share_pct": 42.03764418107211, "peer_top_exporter": "ITA", "supplier_count_latest": 38, "buyer_market_hhi": 2424.64, "distance_km": 439.8984375, "has_reported_fta": 1, "applied_tariff_pct": 0, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0, "volatility_cv": 0.3687891229864072, "max_drawdown_pct": 70.63124976370412, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": "['unrecovered_drawdown']", "signal_flag": "Stable", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 844180, "corridor_rank": 46, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "CAN", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 8207574.843818207, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 3473090.448719346, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 9404104.568922028, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 6275074.174895797, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 4551338.288144915, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": 99.53776813901133, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": 40.39028573655921, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": 2.681999924364331, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 18074468.417533096, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 30549174.00135442, "historical_peak_year": 2023, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 51.724137931034484, "trend_acceleration_pct": 96.855768214647, "trend_label": "Rapid growth", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": -50.1283, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 10.7832, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 48.2759, "market_share_latest_pct": 26.866765181455705, "market_share_change_1y_pp": -2.6399275316600566, "peer_best_share_pct": 37.706636207162205, "peer_top_exporter": "USA", "supplier_count_latest": 27, "buyer_market_hhi": 2330.02, "distance_km": 6160.55908203125, "has_reported_fta": 1, "applied_tariff_pct": 0.07289390468415641, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0.07106969503703707, "volatility_cv": 1.0115946248470857, "max_drawdown_pct": 89.1101211098396, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": "['high_volatility','unrecovered_drawdown']", "signal_flag": "Growing", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 844180, "corridor_rank": 51, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "IND", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 7132456.191126536, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 3462808.907277519, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 3727887.173108516, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 3319145.1831640494, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 3069491.9631538796, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": 23.06780603947263, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": 33.557471630945734, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": 10.691827337646242, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 13755232.766488789, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 82741009.30720094, "historical_peak_year": 1996, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 44.827586206896555, "trend_acceleration_pct": 12.375978701826387, "trend_label": "Rapid growth", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": 23.0419, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 18.3144, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 65.5172, "market_share_latest_pct": 8.620218983122557, "market_share_change_1y_pp": 6.613219732403332, "peer_best_share_pct": 77.94321802296064, "peer_top_exporter": "CHN", "supplier_count_latest": 40, "buyer_market_hhi": 6186.57, "distance_km": 6229.63671875, "has_reported_fta": 0, "applied_tariff_pct": 0.5267321838847735, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "volatility_cv": 0.7470877719613379, "max_drawdown_pct": 96.45828405805672, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": "['concentrated_buyer_market','dominant_supplier']", "signal_flag": "Growing", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 844180, "corridor_rank": 56, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "BEL", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 26, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 6353891.922686653, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 5558993.779397444, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 3217253.559872297, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 3196412.5017629084, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 3627568.7244711095, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": 34.482433044496695, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": -1.373907060374413, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": -1.0987967050169134, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 19478231.66881411, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 22255825.42925418, "historical_peak_year": 2004, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 44, "trend_acceleration_pct": 35.58122974951361, "trend_label": "Rapid growth", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": 187.5212, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 14.2858, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 48, "market_share_latest_pct": 28.54934292544718, "market_share_change_1y_pp": 9.312853188521895, "peer_best_share_pct": 40.97347083099353, "peer_top_exporter": "ITA", "supplier_count_latest": 23, "buyer_market_hhi": 2667.79, "distance_km": 196.8760986328125, "has_reported_fta": 1, "applied_tariff_pct": 0, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0, "volatility_cv": 0.6509219699830252, "max_drawdown_pct": 92.35548220263527, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": "['unrecovered_drawdown','concentrated_buyer_market']", "signal_flag": "Stable", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 844180, "corridor_rank": 60, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 5689800.321925527, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 3798189.0658303453, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 6402789.43535155, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 4971892.479290054, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 5050122.771819617, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": 11.490425414827921, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": 22.912502406379275, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": -7.293424479800792, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 12133654.806678342, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 87622098.25037229, "historical_peak_year": 2014, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 55.172413793103445, "trend_acceleration_pct": 18.783849894628712, "trend_label": "Rapid growth", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": 8.0021, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 5.7943, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 58.6207, "market_share_latest_pct": 6.493567759205485, "market_share_change_1y_pp": 2.405191715857823, "peer_best_share_pct": 45.819701251344526, "peer_top_exporter": "ITA", "supplier_count_latest": 66, "buyer_market_hhi": 2734.39, "distance_km": 9399.78125, "has_reported_fta": 1, "applied_tariff_pct": 0.10907427334660494, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0.13089683355074896, "volatility_cv": 0.757063312911292, "max_drawdown_pct": 88.65236595999806, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": "['unrecovered_drawdown','concentrated_buyer_market']", "signal_flag": "Growing", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 844180, "corridor_rank": 63, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 5568224.903702905, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 10398223.207434874, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 3233861.3189547113, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 4930583.291918042, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 5599220.631510764, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": -8.799301828779104, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": -5.296508300170821, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": -2.8664245755463003, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 33116051.744723327, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 18014803.386229403, "historical_peak_year": 1995, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 44.827586206896555, "trend_acceleration_pct": -5.932877253232803, "trend_label": "Declining", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": -25.5589, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 0.4647, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 44.8276, "market_share_latest_pct": 30.90916278308805, "market_share_change_1y_pp": 22.669862609124657, "peer_best_share_pct": 30.909162783088057, "peer_top_exporter": "DEU", "supplier_count_latest": 30, "buyer_market_hhi": 1486.28, "distance_km": 7785.341796875, "has_reported_fta": 0, "applied_tariff_pct": 0.29912295578395065, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "volatility_cv": 0.650727573296198, "max_drawdown_pct": 93.97899803542097, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": "['unrecovered_drawdown','long_distance_without_fta']", "signal_flag": "Slowing", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 844180, "corridor_rank": 66, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 5070063.723909345, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 7703743.90955345, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 12666533.189804638, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 10704213.074458662, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 7075181.383927545, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": -17.102381344872843, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": 11.506505563906732, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": 6.127164050847722, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 17265485.92012745, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 48142945.47240869, "historical_peak_year": 2023, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 55.172413793103445, "trend_acceleration_pct": -23.229545395720564, "trend_label": "Rapid decline", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": -9.5386, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 3.7636, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 58.6207, "market_share_latest_pct": 10.531270312106393, "market_share_change_1y_pp": -21.91088049324081, "peer_best_share_pct": 40.689364142813126, "peer_top_exporter": "ITA", "supplier_count_latest": 35, "buyer_market_hhi": 2082.28, "distance_km": 495.36328125, "has_reported_fta": 1, "applied_tariff_pct": 0, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0, "volatility_cv": 0.5216301413980932, "max_drawdown_pct": 82.62582753564665, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": "['unrecovered_drawdown']", "signal_flag": "Stable", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 844180, "corridor_rank": 73, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "TUR", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 4271160.903460572, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 5032867.275639279, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 3805616.3583831117, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 5105848.7720094565, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 6153251.999784649, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": -9.279568797580618, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": 6.4585399653765085, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": -5.6105348607945915, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 13921183.75553614, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 66884771.70841824, "historical_peak_year": 2008, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 51.724137931034484, "trend_acceleration_pct": -3.6690339367860263, "trend_label": "Declining", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": 52.5007, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 18.094, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 51.7241, "market_share_latest_pct": 6.385849565399646, "market_share_change_1y_pp": -2.907474428312968, "peer_best_share_pct": 42.038789716500744, "peer_top_exporter": "ITA", "supplier_count_latest": 24, "buyer_market_hhi": 3527.34, "distance_km": 2038.332275390625, "has_reported_fta": 1, "applied_tariff_pct": 0.07906258743100822, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0.07065210535228808, "volatility_cv": 0.6693998885316512, "max_drawdown_pct": 92.56530847092844, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": "['unrecovered_drawdown','concentrated_buyer_market']", "signal_flag": "Growing", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 844180, "corridor_rank": 76, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "PRT", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 3941024.2081865477, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 1048075.044462096, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 2001350.9452818837, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 1378472.9907858125, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 1580269.8761247264, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": 75.40326141109661, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": 73.14275588331473, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": 25.34228486939485, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 3941024.2081865477, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 17091436.108329985, "historical_peak_year": 2024, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 48.275862068965516, "trend_acceleration_pct": 50.06097654170176, "trend_label": "Rapid growth", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": 160.3652, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 49.4805, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 55.1724, "market_share_latest_pct": 23.0584731628595, "market_share_change_1y_pp": 2.941382660472186, "peer_best_share_pct": 42.459962724859935, "peer_top_exporter": "ITA", "supplier_count_latest": 18, "buyer_market_hhi": 2626.21, "distance_km": 1892.0323486328125, "has_reported_fta": 1, "applied_tariff_pct": 0, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0, "volatility_cv": 0.9558363242143096, "max_drawdown_pct": 96.97385686686223, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": "['concentrated_buyer_market']", "signal_flag": "Growing", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 844180, "corridor_rank": 82, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "NLD", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 3413450.2506556343, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 6192115.05419196, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 4907906.22014444, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 5532056.652928434, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 4567537.531803189, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": -20.795240727475107, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": 0.23282845894245785, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": 4.037371592166505, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 14078894.722227324, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 23377547.617631648, "historical_peak_year": 2003, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 58.62068965517241, "trend_acceleration_pct": -24.832612319641612, "trend_label": "Rapid decline", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": -14.1779, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 5.8624, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 62.069, "market_share_latest_pct": 14.601404332425213, "market_share_change_1y_pp": -6.895022178467363, "peer_best_share_pct": 34.67983039558084, "peer_top_exporter": "CHN", "supplier_count_latest": 41, "buyer_market_hhi": 1908.56, "distance_km": 173.52386474609375, "has_reported_fta": 1, "applied_tariff_pct": 0, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0, "volatility_cv": 0.5094619456475497, "max_drawdown_pct": 87.12292364769512, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": "['unrecovered_drawdown']", "signal_flag": "Stable", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 844180, "corridor_rank": 84, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "EGY", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 3282169.010489073, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 1198373.3975456825, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 1320733.9360270542, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 1034840.6950447768, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 1353363.1065414394, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": 92.51036586781001, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": 3.1555438480105114, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": 31.847798197967702, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 3590048.5628058617, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 13153504.13290468, "historical_peak_year": 2017, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 58.62068965517241, "trend_acceleration_pct": 60.6625676698423, "trend_label": "Rapid growth", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": 39.4335, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 31.8202, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 58.6207, "market_share_latest_pct": 24.952810880854408, "market_share_change_1y_pp": 19.06691746528916, "peer_best_share_pct": 44.75914916614799, "peer_top_exporter": "CHN", "supplier_count_latest": 21, "buyer_market_hhi": 3116.63, "distance_km": 3111.572509765625, "has_reported_fta": 1, "applied_tariff_pct": 0.3179660357207819, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0.269461761729609, "volatility_cv": 0.8272058988513226, "max_drawdown_pct": 97.64038087363433, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": "['concentrated_buyer_market']", "signal_flag": "Growing", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 844180, "corridor_rank": 93, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 2842286.598642626, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 9697764.084058363, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 7554722.038134951, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 8998086.072140992, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 10403012.21266969, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": -40.58480693978586, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": -32.273405157518134, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": -10.794331065898266, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 23191635.537806798, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 18531834.642243914, "historical_peak_year": 2001, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 51.724137931034484, "trend_acceleration_pct": -29.79047587388759, "trend_label": "Rapid decline", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": -43.5178, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 2.9263, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 44.8276, "market_share_latest_pct": 15.33731901623783, "market_share_change_1y_pp": -10.176129670149349, "peer_best_share_pct": 31.147694795426517, "peer_top_exporter": "CHN", "supplier_count_latest": 40, "buyer_market_hhi": 1997.01, "distance_km": 1146.023193359375, "has_reported_fta": 1, "applied_tariff_pct": 0, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0, "volatility_cv": 0.4091712788468253, "max_drawdown_pct": 87.74434604230842, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": "['unrecovered_drawdown']", "signal_flag": "Slowing", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" } ], "priceSummary": { "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "hs_code": 844180, "num_markets": 153, "highest_price_importer_iso3": "CIV", "highest_price_usd_per_ton": 1158750, "lowest_price_importer_iso3": "ZWE", "lowest_price_usd_per_ton": 35.58002148227712, "median_price_across_markets": 28195.00480307397, "price_spread_pct": 4109.644343285192, "avg_quantity_metric_tons": 63.45275680272108, "total_trade_value_usd": 1058657581 }, "history": [ { "year": 2010, "export_value_usd": 162260148.24573088, "active_destinations": 116, "yoy_growth_pct": 2.1148419261577516 }, { "year": 2011, "export_value_usd": 173557930.35739574, "active_destinations": 116, "yoy_growth_pct": 6.962758406059888 }, { "year": 2012, "export_value_usd": 186131849.36205572, "active_destinations": 133, "yoy_growth_pct": 7.244796581042068 }, { "year": 2013, "export_value_usd": 166242529.0809182, "active_destinations": 126, "yoy_growth_pct": -10.685608266025268 }, { "year": 2014, "export_value_usd": 182744530.6742066, "active_destinations": 125, "yoy_growth_pct": 9.926462069917203 }, { "year": 2015, "export_value_usd": 160480804.28804922, "active_destinations": 124, "yoy_growth_pct": -12.182978228688404 }, { "year": 2016, "export_value_usd": 189833540.721605, "active_destinations": 120, "yoy_growth_pct": 18.29049683778388 }, { "year": 2017, "export_value_usd": 184913236.4893538, "active_destinations": 127, "yoy_growth_pct": -2.5919045778464036 }, { "year": 2018, "export_value_usd": 210795623.60123515, "active_destinations": 125, "yoy_growth_pct": 13.997044020897606 }, { "year": 2019, "export_value_usd": 248675483.16194218, "active_destinations": 128, "yoy_growth_pct": 17.969945918974513 }, { "year": 2020, "export_value_usd": 181668131.97939157, "active_destinations": 114, "yoy_growth_pct": -26.94570060970351 }, { "year": 2021, "export_value_usd": 215117184.65061316, "active_destinations": 118, "yoy_growth_pct": 18.412174059793845 }, { "year": 2022, "export_value_usd": 189794069.24183166, "active_destinations": 115, "yoy_growth_pct": -11.771777066490777 }, { "year": 2023, "export_value_usd": 254879564.61940497, "active_destinations": 124, "yoy_growth_pct": 34.292691883139256 }, { "year": 2024, "export_value_usd": 184215431.01639622, "active_destinations": 122, "yoy_growth_pct": -27.72451911102677 } ], "economy": { "year": 2024, "country_iso3": "DEU", "exports_usd": 1556773836581.939, "imports_usd": 1317565125540.067, "trade_balance_usd": 239208711041.87207, "yoy_exports_growth_pct": -4.920181070331687, "yoy_imports_growth_pct": -5.864236583999549, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": -0.27823928798644815, "imports_cagr_3y_pct": -0.9610037823739925, "export_partner_hhi": 438.209471440054, "export_product_hhi": 54.022047395285114, "momentum_score": -3.527598535628115, "risk_score": 2.4611575941766954, "gdp_million_usd": 4685592.5778046865, "gdp_per_capita_usd": 56103.73231825545, "population": 83516593, "labor_force": 43123.3, "investment_rate_pct": 22.08, "savings_rate_pct": 27.68, "secondary_education_pct": 95.9, "tertiary_education_pct": 20.06, "total_factor_productivity": 2376, "trade_openness_pct": 64.10501996682734, "exports_gdp_pct": 34.71998925424008, "num_active_partners": 1080, "num_fta_partners": 214, "num_wto_partners": 676, "num_eu_partners": 112, "num_shared_border_partners": 18, "num_shared_language_partners": 8, "avg_partner_distance_km": 6605.880658436214, "avg_partner_gdp_million_usd": 533678518.3258193, "avg_partner_gdp_per_capita_usd": 15.774186170212737, "avg_buyer_biz_entry_days": null, "avg_buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "pct_partners_with_fta": 19.814814814814817, "pct_partners_shared_language": 0.7407407407407408, "pct_partners_shared_border": 1.6666666666666667, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 0.12742739700531733, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 0.12991419306435142, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0.024712068784908343, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0.10520212427944309, "avg_distance_all_partners_km": 6614.911529962142, "num_border_partners": 360, "num_colonial_partners": 384, "avg_substitution_elasticity": -10.91665015154679, "pct_products_high_elasticity": 76.04527604527604, "pct_products_low_elasticity": 2.6565026565026564, "real_market_potential": 2800764.90471021, "foreign_market_potential": 32561.235292050776 }, "countryMap": {} }, "product": { "hs_code": "844180", "hs_description": "Machinery: n.e.c. in heading no. 8441, for making up paper pulp, paper or paperboard", "hs_chapter": 84, "hs_heading": 8441 }, "destinations": [ { "hs_code": 844180, "corridor_rank": 3, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "USA", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 55288593.78003903, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 32271434.665595427, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 50135393.91090574, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 51433826.635914505, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 40696451.89953843, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": -4.840937511066235, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": 4.344680381099231, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": 10.852346609246833, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 64163061.825245775, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 289519453.8894509, "historical_peak_year": 2021, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 48.275862068965516, "trend_acceleration_pct": -15.693284120313068, "trend_label": "Declining", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": 4.2051, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 7.1377, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 65.5172, "market_share_latest_pct": 19.096676591946814, "market_share_change_1y_pp": -2.0143695850737835, "peer_best_share_pct": 47.28826420277509, "peer_top_exporter": "ITA", "supplier_count_latest": 43, "buyer_market_hhi": 2705.73, "distance_km": 6035.33447265625, "has_reported_fta": 0, "applied_tariff_pct": 0.04660416541625514, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "volatility_cv": 0.39589992781436845, "max_drawdown_pct": 69.01163426509808, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": "['concentrated_buyer_market']", "signal_flag": "Growing", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 844180, "corridor_rank": 31, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "POL", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 11270044.096726544, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 8702523.469600068, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 15359830.662757257, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 12768298.06614357, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 14566005.486270696, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": 2.9878737621815477, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": -15.334058248697369, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": 3.540567943067252, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 25904898.682228725, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 52803570.45766927, "historical_peak_year": 2019, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 48.275862068965516, "trend_acceleration_pct": -0.5526941808857044, "trend_label": "Stable", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": 28.4646, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 16.3235, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 55.1724, "market_share_latest_pct": 21.34333720058066, "market_share_change_1y_pp": -14.313421182138594, "peer_best_share_pct": 51.68679428609065, "peer_top_exporter": "ITA", "supplier_count_latest": 38, "buyer_market_hhi": 3242.81, "distance_km": 965.921142578125, "has_reported_fta": 1, "applied_tariff_pct": 0.08091394394890945, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0.04595302958827163, "volatility_cv": 0.6347572778390562, "max_drawdown_pct": 71.26154394657647, "attention_level": "Critical attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": "['unrecovered_drawdown','concentrated_buyer_market','dominant_supplier']", "signal_flag": "Growing", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 844180, "corridor_rank": 44, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "ESP", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 8497828.79320931, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 6568248.002686188, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 5379959.462894139, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 6317626.9056277145, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 8794643.787824038, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": -1.4128912103048452, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": -16.753919800877746, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": 15.887336393370187, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 21256365.627022568, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 59736223.14228791, "historical_peak_year": 2019, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 65.51724137931035, "trend_acceleration_pct": -17.300227603675033, "trend_label": "Stable", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": 25.1158, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 16.9818, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 48.2759, "market_share_latest_pct": 14.225587668922458, "market_share_change_1y_pp": 5.750740721351194, "peer_best_share_pct": 52.04118393767144, "peer_top_exporter": "ITA", "supplier_count_latest": 39, "buyer_market_hhi": 3129.58, "distance_km": 1479.33154296875, "has_reported_fta": 1, "applied_tariff_pct": 0, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0, "volatility_cv": 0.6572717162088823, "max_drawdown_pct": 88.7818183727524, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": "['unrecovered_drawdown','concentrated_buyer_market','dominant_supplier']", "signal_flag": "Stable", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 844180, "corridor_rank": 45, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "FRA", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 8245914.331192141, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 9703083.372263344, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 11277567.73645015, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 10536944.67543423, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 9060811.082766542, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": 4.596762079921746, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": -3.1767609314716783, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": 0.7168710957529356, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 20405236.681747045, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 41352361.52508381, "historical_peak_year": 2023, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 55.172413793103445, "trend_acceleration_pct": 3.87989098416881, "trend_label": "Growing", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": -10.8691, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 3.5494, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 48.2759, "market_share_latest_pct": 19.940612886619004, "market_share_change_1y_pp": -24.040851103923334, "peer_best_share_pct": 42.03764418107211, "peer_top_exporter": "ITA", "supplier_count_latest": 38, "buyer_market_hhi": 2424.64, "distance_km": 439.8984375, "has_reported_fta": 1, "applied_tariff_pct": 0, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0, "volatility_cv": 0.3687891229864072, "max_drawdown_pct": 70.63124976370412, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": "['unrecovered_drawdown']", "signal_flag": "Stable", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 844180, "corridor_rank": 46, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "CAN", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 8207574.843818207, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 3473090.448719346, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 9404104.568922028, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 6275074.174895797, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 4551338.288144915, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": 99.53776813901133, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": 40.39028573655921, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": 2.681999924364331, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 18074468.417533096, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 30549174.00135442, "historical_peak_year": 2023, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 51.724137931034484, "trend_acceleration_pct": 96.855768214647, "trend_label": "Rapid growth", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": -50.1283, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 10.7832, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 48.2759, "market_share_latest_pct": 26.866765181455705, "market_share_change_1y_pp": -2.6399275316600566, "peer_best_share_pct": 37.706636207162205, "peer_top_exporter": "USA", "supplier_count_latest": 27, "buyer_market_hhi": 2330.02, "distance_km": 6160.55908203125, "has_reported_fta": 1, "applied_tariff_pct": 0.07289390468415641, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0.07106969503703707, "volatility_cv": 1.0115946248470857, "max_drawdown_pct": 89.1101211098396, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": "['high_volatility','unrecovered_drawdown']", "signal_flag": "Growing", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 844180, "corridor_rank": 51, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "IND", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 7132456.191126536, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 3462808.907277519, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 3727887.173108516, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 3319145.1831640494, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 3069491.9631538796, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": 23.06780603947263, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": 33.557471630945734, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": 10.691827337646242, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 13755232.766488789, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 82741009.30720094, "historical_peak_year": 1996, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 44.827586206896555, "trend_acceleration_pct": 12.375978701826387, "trend_label": "Rapid growth", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": 23.0419, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 18.3144, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 65.5172, "market_share_latest_pct": 8.620218983122557, "market_share_change_1y_pp": 6.613219732403332, "peer_best_share_pct": 77.94321802296064, "peer_top_exporter": "CHN", "supplier_count_latest": 40, "buyer_market_hhi": 6186.57, "distance_km": 6229.63671875, "has_reported_fta": 0, "applied_tariff_pct": 0.5267321838847735, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "volatility_cv": 0.7470877719613379, "max_drawdown_pct": 96.45828405805672, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": "['concentrated_buyer_market','dominant_supplier']", "signal_flag": "Growing", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 844180, "corridor_rank": 56, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "BEL", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 26, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 6353891.922686653, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 5558993.779397444, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 3217253.559872297, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 3196412.5017629084, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 3627568.7244711095, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": 34.482433044496695, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": -1.373907060374413, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": -1.0987967050169134, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 19478231.66881411, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 22255825.42925418, "historical_peak_year": 2004, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 44, "trend_acceleration_pct": 35.58122974951361, "trend_label": "Rapid growth", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": 187.5212, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 14.2858, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 48, "market_share_latest_pct": 28.54934292544718, "market_share_change_1y_pp": 9.312853188521895, "peer_best_share_pct": 40.97347083099353, "peer_top_exporter": "ITA", "supplier_count_latest": 23, "buyer_market_hhi": 2667.79, "distance_km": 196.8760986328125, "has_reported_fta": 1, "applied_tariff_pct": 0, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0, "volatility_cv": 0.6509219699830252, "max_drawdown_pct": 92.35548220263527, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": "['unrecovered_drawdown','concentrated_buyer_market']", "signal_flag": "Stable", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 844180, "corridor_rank": 60, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 5689800.321925527, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 3798189.0658303453, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 6402789.43535155, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 4971892.479290054, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 5050122.771819617, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": 11.490425414827921, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": 22.912502406379275, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": -7.293424479800792, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 12133654.806678342, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 87622098.25037229, "historical_peak_year": 2014, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 55.172413793103445, "trend_acceleration_pct": 18.783849894628712, "trend_label": "Rapid growth", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": 8.0021, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 5.7943, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 58.6207, "market_share_latest_pct": 6.493567759205485, "market_share_change_1y_pp": 2.405191715857823, "peer_best_share_pct": 45.819701251344526, "peer_top_exporter": "ITA", "supplier_count_latest": 66, "buyer_market_hhi": 2734.39, "distance_km": 9399.78125, "has_reported_fta": 1, "applied_tariff_pct": 0.10907427334660494, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0.13089683355074896, "volatility_cv": 0.757063312911292, "max_drawdown_pct": 88.65236595999806, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": "['unrecovered_drawdown','concentrated_buyer_market']", "signal_flag": "Growing", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 844180, "corridor_rank": 63, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 5568224.903702905, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 10398223.207434874, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 3233861.3189547113, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 4930583.291918042, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 5599220.631510764, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": -8.799301828779104, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": -5.296508300170821, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": -2.8664245755463003, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 33116051.744723327, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 18014803.386229403, "historical_peak_year": 1995, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 44.827586206896555, "trend_acceleration_pct": -5.932877253232803, "trend_label": "Declining", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": -25.5589, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 0.4647, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 44.8276, "market_share_latest_pct": 30.90916278308805, "market_share_change_1y_pp": 22.669862609124657, "peer_best_share_pct": 30.909162783088057, "peer_top_exporter": "DEU", "supplier_count_latest": 30, "buyer_market_hhi": 1486.28, "distance_km": 7785.341796875, "has_reported_fta": 0, "applied_tariff_pct": 0.29912295578395065, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "volatility_cv": 0.650727573296198, "max_drawdown_pct": 93.97899803542097, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": "['unrecovered_drawdown','long_distance_without_fta']", "signal_flag": "Slowing", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 844180, "corridor_rank": 66, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 5070063.723909345, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 7703743.90955345, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 12666533.189804638, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 10704213.074458662, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 7075181.383927545, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": -17.102381344872843, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": 11.506505563906732, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": 6.127164050847722, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 17265485.92012745, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 48142945.47240869, "historical_peak_year": 2023, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 55.172413793103445, "trend_acceleration_pct": -23.229545395720564, "trend_label": "Rapid decline", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": -9.5386, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 3.7636, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 58.6207, "market_share_latest_pct": 10.531270312106393, "market_share_change_1y_pp": -21.91088049324081, "peer_best_share_pct": 40.689364142813126, "peer_top_exporter": "ITA", "supplier_count_latest": 35, "buyer_market_hhi": 2082.28, "distance_km": 495.36328125, "has_reported_fta": 1, "applied_tariff_pct": 0, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0, "volatility_cv": 0.5216301413980932, "max_drawdown_pct": 82.62582753564665, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": "['unrecovered_drawdown']", "signal_flag": "Stable", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 844180, "corridor_rank": 73, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "TUR", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 4271160.903460572, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 5032867.275639279, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 3805616.3583831117, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 5105848.7720094565, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 6153251.999784649, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": -9.279568797580618, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": 6.4585399653765085, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": -5.6105348607945915, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 13921183.75553614, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 66884771.70841824, "historical_peak_year": 2008, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 51.724137931034484, "trend_acceleration_pct": -3.6690339367860263, "trend_label": "Declining", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": 52.5007, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 18.094, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 51.7241, "market_share_latest_pct": 6.385849565399646, "market_share_change_1y_pp": -2.907474428312968, "peer_best_share_pct": 42.038789716500744, "peer_top_exporter": "ITA", "supplier_count_latest": 24, "buyer_market_hhi": 3527.34, "distance_km": 2038.332275390625, "has_reported_fta": 1, "applied_tariff_pct": 0.07906258743100822, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0.07065210535228808, "volatility_cv": 0.6693998885316512, "max_drawdown_pct": 92.56530847092844, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": "['unrecovered_drawdown','concentrated_buyer_market']", "signal_flag": "Growing", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 844180, "corridor_rank": 76, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "PRT", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 3941024.2081865477, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 1048075.044462096, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 2001350.9452818837, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 1378472.9907858125, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 1580269.8761247264, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": 75.40326141109661, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": 73.14275588331473, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": 25.34228486939485, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 3941024.2081865477, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 17091436.108329985, "historical_peak_year": 2024, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 48.275862068965516, "trend_acceleration_pct": 50.06097654170176, "trend_label": "Rapid growth", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": 160.3652, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 49.4805, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 55.1724, "market_share_latest_pct": 23.0584731628595, "market_share_change_1y_pp": 2.941382660472186, "peer_best_share_pct": 42.459962724859935, "peer_top_exporter": "ITA", "supplier_count_latest": 18, "buyer_market_hhi": 2626.21, "distance_km": 1892.0323486328125, "has_reported_fta": 1, "applied_tariff_pct": 0, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0, "volatility_cv": 0.9558363242143096, "max_drawdown_pct": 96.97385686686223, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": "['concentrated_buyer_market']", "signal_flag": "Growing", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 844180, "corridor_rank": 82, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "NLD", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 3413450.2506556343, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 6192115.05419196, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 4907906.22014444, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 5532056.652928434, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 4567537.531803189, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": -20.795240727475107, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": 0.23282845894245785, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": 4.037371592166505, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 14078894.722227324, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 23377547.617631648, "historical_peak_year": 2003, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 58.62068965517241, "trend_acceleration_pct": -24.832612319641612, "trend_label": "Rapid decline", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": -14.1779, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 5.8624, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 62.069, "market_share_latest_pct": 14.601404332425213, "market_share_change_1y_pp": -6.895022178467363, "peer_best_share_pct": 34.67983039558084, "peer_top_exporter": "CHN", "supplier_count_latest": 41, "buyer_market_hhi": 1908.56, "distance_km": 173.52386474609375, "has_reported_fta": 1, "applied_tariff_pct": 0, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0, "volatility_cv": 0.5094619456475497, "max_drawdown_pct": 87.12292364769512, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": "['unrecovered_drawdown']", "signal_flag": "Stable", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 844180, "corridor_rank": 84, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "EGY", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 3282169.010489073, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 1198373.3975456825, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 1320733.9360270542, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 1034840.6950447768, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 1353363.1065414394, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": 92.51036586781001, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": 3.1555438480105114, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": 31.847798197967702, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 3590048.5628058617, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 13153504.13290468, "historical_peak_year": 2017, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 58.62068965517241, "trend_acceleration_pct": 60.6625676698423, "trend_label": "Rapid growth", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": 39.4335, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 31.8202, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 58.6207, "market_share_latest_pct": 24.952810880854408, "market_share_change_1y_pp": 19.06691746528916, "peer_best_share_pct": 44.75914916614799, "peer_top_exporter": "CHN", "supplier_count_latest": 21, "buyer_market_hhi": 3116.63, "distance_km": 3111.572509765625, "has_reported_fta": 1, "applied_tariff_pct": 0.3179660357207819, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0.269461761729609, "volatility_cv": 0.8272058988513226, "max_drawdown_pct": 97.64038087363433, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": "['concentrated_buyer_market']", "signal_flag": "Growing", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 844180, "corridor_rank": 93, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 2842286.598642626, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 9697764.084058363, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 7554722.038134951, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 8998086.072140992, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 10403012.21266969, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": -40.58480693978586, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": -32.273405157518134, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": -10.794331065898266, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 23191635.537806798, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 18531834.642243914, "historical_peak_year": 2001, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 51.724137931034484, "trend_acceleration_pct": -29.79047587388759, "trend_label": "Rapid decline", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": -43.5178, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 2.9263, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 44.8276, "market_share_latest_pct": 15.33731901623783, "market_share_change_1y_pp": -10.176129670149349, "peer_best_share_pct": 31.147694795426517, "peer_top_exporter": "CHN", "supplier_count_latest": 40, "buyer_market_hhi": 1997.01, "distance_km": 1146.023193359375, "has_reported_fta": 1, "applied_tariff_pct": 0, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0, "volatility_cv": 0.4091712788468253, "max_drawdown_pct": 87.74434604230842, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": "['unrecovered_drawdown']", "signal_flag": "Slowing", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" } ], "prices": [], "priceSummary": { "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "hs_code": 844180, "num_markets": 153, "highest_price_importer_iso3": "CIV", "highest_price_usd_per_ton": 1158750, "lowest_price_importer_iso3": "ZWE", "lowest_price_usd_per_ton": 35.58002148227712, "median_price_across_markets": 28195.00480307397, "price_spread_pct": 4109.644343285192, "avg_quantity_metric_tons": 63.45275680272108, "total_trade_value_usd": 1058657581 }, "history": [ { "year": 2010, "export_value_usd": 162260148.24573088, "active_destinations": 116, "yoy_growth_pct": 2.1148419261577516 }, { "year": 2011, "export_value_usd": 173557930.35739574, "active_destinations": 116, "yoy_growth_pct": 6.962758406059888 }, { "year": 2012, "export_value_usd": 186131849.36205572, "active_destinations": 133, "yoy_growth_pct": 7.244796581042068 }, { "year": 2013, "export_value_usd": 166242529.0809182, "active_destinations": 126, "yoy_growth_pct": -10.685608266025268 }, { "year": 2014, "export_value_usd": 182744530.6742066, "active_destinations": 125, "yoy_growth_pct": 9.926462069917203 }, { "year": 2015, "export_value_usd": 160480804.28804922, "active_destinations": 124, "yoy_growth_pct": -12.182978228688404 }, { "year": 2016, "export_value_usd": 189833540.721605, "active_destinations": 120, "yoy_growth_pct": 18.29049683778388 }, { "year": 2017, "export_value_usd": 184913236.4893538, "active_destinations": 127, "yoy_growth_pct": -2.5919045778464036 }, { "year": 2018, "export_value_usd": 210795623.60123515, "active_destinations": 125, "yoy_growth_pct": 13.997044020897606 }, { "year": 2019, "export_value_usd": 248675483.16194218, "active_destinations": 128, "yoy_growth_pct": 17.969945918974513 }, { "year": 2020, "export_value_usd": 181668131.97939157, "active_destinations": 114, "yoy_growth_pct": -26.94570060970351 }, { "year": 2021, "export_value_usd": 215117184.65061316, "active_destinations": 118, "yoy_growth_pct": 18.412174059793845 }, { "year": 2022, "export_value_usd": 189794069.24183166, "active_destinations": 115, "yoy_growth_pct": -11.771777066490777 }, { "year": 2023, "export_value_usd": 254879564.61940497, "active_destinations": 124, "yoy_growth_pct": 34.292691883139256 }, { "year": 2024, "export_value_usd": 184215431.01639622, "active_destinations": 122, "yoy_growth_pct": -27.72451911102677 } ], "economy": { "year": 2024, "country_iso3": "DEU", "exports_usd": 1556773836581.939, "imports_usd": 1317565125540.067, "trade_balance_usd": 239208711041.87207, "yoy_exports_growth_pct": -4.920181070331687, "yoy_imports_growth_pct": -5.864236583999549, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": -0.27823928798644815, "imports_cagr_3y_pct": -0.9610037823739925, "export_partner_hhi": 438.209471440054, "export_product_hhi": 54.022047395285114, "momentum_score": -3.527598535628115, "risk_score": 2.4611575941766954, "gdp_million_usd": 4685592.5778046865, "gdp_per_capita_usd": 56103.73231825545, "population": 83516593, "labor_force": 43123.3, "investment_rate_pct": 22.08, "savings_rate_pct": 27.68, "secondary_education_pct": 95.9, "tertiary_education_pct": 20.06, "total_factor_productivity": 2376, "trade_openness_pct": 64.10501996682734, "exports_gdp_pct": 34.71998925424008, "num_active_partners": 1080, "num_fta_partners": 214, "num_wto_partners": 676, "num_eu_partners": 112, "num_shared_border_partners": 18, "num_shared_language_partners": 8, "avg_partner_distance_km": 6605.880658436214, "avg_partner_gdp_million_usd": 533678518.3258193, "avg_partner_gdp_per_capita_usd": 15.774186170212737, "avg_buyer_biz_entry_days": null, "avg_buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "pct_partners_with_fta": 19.814814814814817, "pct_partners_shared_language": 0.7407407407407408, "pct_partners_shared_border": 1.6666666666666667, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 0.12742739700531733, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 0.12991419306435142, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0.024712068784908343, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0.10520212427944309, "avg_distance_all_partners_km": 6614.911529962142, "num_border_partners": 360, "num_colonial_partners": 384, "avg_substitution_elasticity": -10.91665015154679, "pct_products_high_elasticity": 76.04527604527604, "pct_products_low_elasticity": 2.6565026565026564, "real_market_potential": 2800764.90471021, "foreign_market_potential": 32561.235292050776 } }