{ "template": "T3", "templateName": "Product Exporter Position Profile", "source": "api", "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com" }, "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/exporter/deu/481032", "links": { "product": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/product/481032", "exporter": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/exporter/deu/481032", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology" }, "methodology": { "summary": "Reported exporter totals are combined with destination, price, history, and country-context observations. Growth, concentration, weighted share, volatility, drawdown, and price-position values are calculated indicators rather than additional reported trade.", "reportedValues": "Merchandise trade observations for an exporter, HS6 product, destination market, and available year.", "destinations": "Destination rows are ranked by latest observed exporter-lane value.", "prices": "Unit values are reported trade value divided by reported quantity where quantity is positive.", "missingData": "Missing values are shown as Not reported and are not imputed." }, "exporter": { "hs_code": "481032", "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "first_data_year": 1995, "latest_data_year": 2024, "observed_lane_count": 126, "current_lane_count": 37, "active_market_count": 37, "exports_latest_observed_lanes_usd": 17637804.138769515, "exports_current_2024_usd": 15395795.818544244, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 15858046.341753758, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 14789598.066176927, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 12229832.40307122, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": 6.121211495426104, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": 9.57280720441882, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": 4.011745113650966, "exports_all_year_lane_avg_usd": 15061753.342276717, "exports_historical_lane_peak_usd": 72460971.89298005, "historical_peak_year": 2004, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 55.172413793103445, "trend_acceleration_pct": 2.109466381775138, "trend_label": "Growing", "top_market_iso3": "NLD", "top_market_exports_usd": 4688604.840705555, "top_market_share_pct": 26.582701586982534, "destination_hhi": 1027.2418532314975, "weighted_share_latest_pct": 31.90632579967573, "weighted_share_change_1y_pp": 6.6952007857528955, "weighted_volatility_cv": 1.3506896397990598, "weighted_max_drawdown_pct": 93.654509858156, "limited_history_lane_share_pct": 36.507936507936506, "data_freshness_years": 0, "coverage_score": 98.5, "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:28:35", "source": "api", "product": { "hs_code": 481032, "hs_description": "Kraft paper and paperboard: uniformly bleached throughout, coated with inorganic substances, more than 95% of chemically processed wood fibres, weight more than 150g/m2, for non-graphic purposes, in rolls or sheets", "hs_chapter": 48, "hs_heading": 4810, "substitution_elasticity": -9.2060995, "price_range_label": "Medium price range", "trade_type_label": "One-way trade" }, "hs_description": "Kraft paper and paperboard: uniformly bleached throughout, coated with inorganic substances, more than 95% of chemically processed wood fibres, weight more than 150g/m2, for non-graphic purposes, in rolls or sheets", "hs_chapter": 48, "hs_heading": 4810, "destinations": [ { "hs_code": 481032, "corridor_rank": 21, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "NLD", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 28, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 4688604.840705555, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 1236029.7315591439, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 4251078.469506372, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 3073747.747924674, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 2550236.867078246, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": 89.84639295874832, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": 18.38054169784091, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": 29.364991920096294, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 4771013.082531872, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 16600627.389950331, "historical_peak_year": 2023, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 48.148148148148145, "trend_acceleration_pct": 60.48140103865203, "trend_label": "Rapid growth", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": -53.2281, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 8.2264, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 55.1724, "market_share_latest_pct": 28.243540021529167, "market_share_change_1y_pp": 14.801302670486834, "peer_best_share_pct": 67.6309158662078, "peer_top_exporter": "USA", "supplier_count_latest": 16, "buyer_market_hhi": 5379.18, "distance_km": 173.52386474609375, "has_reported_fta": 1, "applied_tariff_pct": 0, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0, "volatility_cv": 1.1335260768829245, "max_drawdown_pct": 96.47874993745785, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": "['high_volatility','concentrated_buyer_market','dominant_supplier']", "signal_flag": "Growing", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 481032, "corridor_rank": 33, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "POL", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 1278899.734844999, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 564455.290756264, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 1014729.7789813075, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 883360.1936804776, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 500145.4023610201, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": 22.15174927205108, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": 56.29855543031752, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": 21.179208000195704, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 3211447.993106649, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 11408078.676756507, "historical_peak_year": 2004, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 55.172413793103445, "trend_acceleration_pct": 0.972541271855377, "trend_label": "Rapid growth", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": -17.0047, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 48.7643, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 51.7241, "market_share_latest_pct": 11.210474358409755, "market_share_change_1y_pp": 4.960313096339431, "peer_best_share_pct": 73.31245846784242, "peer_top_exporter": "CHN", "supplier_count_latest": 9, "buyer_market_hhi": 5583.72, "distance_km": 965.921142578125, "has_reported_fta": 1, "applied_tariff_pct": 0.08091394394890945, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0.04595302958827163, "volatility_cv": 1.4205833784317252, "max_drawdown_pct": 99.25563254877952, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": "['high_volatility','unrecovered_drawdown','concentrated_buyer_market','dominant_supplier']", "signal_flag": "Growing", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 481032, "corridor_rank": 52, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 475916.07141566346, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 1458036.8572548153, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 593024.2000604302, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 1241832.8198539526, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 1471907.0552743608, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": -32.325540674054686, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": -27.094744627586998, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": -11.288630188678184, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 6562479.997813616, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 72209863.17760645, "historical_peak_year": 2002, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 51.724137931034484, "trend_acceleration_pct": -21.036910485376502, "trend_label": "Rapid decline", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": 3.3388, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 13.0404, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 55.1724, "market_share_latest_pct": 0.6590734983739083, "market_share_change_1y_pp": 0.00872053393756278, "peer_best_share_pct": 52.008962953401316, "peer_top_exporter": "SWE", "supplier_count_latest": 23, "buyer_market_hhi": 3193.7, "distance_km": 7785.341796875, "has_reported_fta": 0, "applied_tariff_pct": 0.29912295578395065, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "volatility_cv": 0.9234160538305161, "max_drawdown_pct": 97.81378283323362, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": "['unrecovered_drawdown','concentrated_buyer_market','dominant_supplier','long_distance_without_fta']", "signal_flag": "Accelerating", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 481032, "corridor_rank": 53, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "latest_data_year": 2018, "lane_data_years": 8, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 457120.2229053376, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 298289.29816305323, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 571041.9256988951, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 571041.9256988951, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 338409.22987481795, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": 39.489580211268624, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": 22.102641792234714, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": 38.61941362269074, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 644039.9336048005, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 147056120.21417335, "historical_peak_year": 2017, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 71.42857142857143, "trend_acceleration_pct": 0.8701665885778809, "trend_label": "Rapid growth", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": -30.0782, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 11.5373, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 65.5172, "market_share_latest_pct": 0.2034956192546952, "market_share_change_1y_pp": -0.12225066725638892, "peer_best_share_pct": 80.93933527585108, "peer_top_exporter": "USA", "supplier_count_latest": 26, "buyer_market_hhi": 6823.32, "distance_km": 9399.78125, "has_reported_fta": 1, "applied_tariff_pct": 0.10907427334660494, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0.13089683355074896, "volatility_cv": 0.7490155230849012, "max_drawdown_pct": 29.023000119455585, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": "['concentrated_buyer_market','dominant_supplier']", "signal_flag": "Growing", "confidence_label": "Medium", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 481032, "corridor_rank": 99, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "VNM", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 15, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 126882.51475438234, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 41591.50153012016, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 108478.08894569807, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 68325.98287416251, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 35810.89573291361, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": 147.01900520902146, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": 96.22550696873601, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": 8.610305080850566, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 174464.3603265107, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 40487218.205341175, "historical_peak_year": 2023, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 71.42857142857143, "trend_acceleration_pct": 138.4087001281709, "trend_label": "Rapid growth", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": -40.1697, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 20.0981, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 65.5172, "market_share_latest_pct": 0.3133890654350851, "market_share_change_1y_pp": 0.05557280009400428, "peer_best_share_pct": 98.10006638283905, "peer_top_exporter": "CHN", "supplier_count_latest": 11, "buyer_market_hhi": 9624.48, "distance_km": 8793.07421875, "has_reported_fta": 1, "applied_tariff_pct": 0.15900909027407406, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "volatility_cv": 1.3087981438082295, "max_drawdown_pct": 99.34001474038322, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": "['high_volatility','concentrated_buyer_market','dominant_supplier']", "signal_flag": "Growing", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" } ], "priceSummary": { "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "hs_code": 481032, "num_markets": 65, "highest_price_importer_iso3": "GBR", "highest_price_usd_per_ton": 131000, "lowest_price_importer_iso3": "TUR", "lowest_price_usd_per_ton": 177.53020134228188, "median_price_across_markets": 1915.5014708491317, "price_spread_pct": 6829.672114042534, "avg_quantity_metric_tons": 224.31714634146337, "total_trade_value_usd": 75813975 }, "history": [ { "year": 2010, "export_value_usd": 9933620.159158017, "active_destinations": 55, "yoy_growth_pct": 98.8131786492463 }, { "year": 2011, "export_value_usd": 9770929.264186667, "active_destinations": 53, "yoy_growth_pct": -1.6377805106767847 }, { "year": 2012, "export_value_usd": 7386061.545185814, "active_destinations": 53, "yoy_growth_pct": -24.40778819003527 }, { "year": 2013, "export_value_usd": 8678345.300700914, "active_destinations": 48, "yoy_growth_pct": 17.496249491143253 }, { "year": 2014, "export_value_usd": 10389109.22684182, "active_destinations": 55, "yoy_growth_pct": 19.71301978503592 }, { "year": 2015, "export_value_usd": 7820178.088057735, "active_destinations": 50, "yoy_growth_pct": -24.72715497250589 }, { "year": 2016, "export_value_usd": 14348051.76652108, "active_destinations": 51, "yoy_growth_pct": 83.47474450015557 }, { "year": 2017, "export_value_usd": 8176405.635486076, "active_destinations": 51, "yoy_growth_pct": -43.013826765216784 }, { "year": 2018, "export_value_usd": 8258311.377444863, "active_destinations": 48, "yoy_growth_pct": 1.001732859281247 }, { "year": 2019, "export_value_usd": 9747386.83231782, "active_destinations": 50, "yoy_growth_pct": 18.031234072136417 }, { "year": 2020, "export_value_usd": 13491487.94120807, "active_destinations": 36, "yoy_growth_pct": 38.41133191181605 }, { "year": 2021, "export_value_usd": 12882363.364415282, "active_destinations": 42, "yoy_growth_pct": -4.514880637681872 }, { "year": 2022, "export_value_usd": 15206407.589114364, "active_destinations": 45, "yoy_growth_pct": 18.04051134839704 }, { "year": 2023, "export_value_usd": 16971935.61760267, "active_destinations": 35, "yoy_growth_pct": 11.610421581440265 }, { "year": 2024, "export_value_usd": 15395795.818544243, "active_destinations": 37, "yoy_growth_pct": -9.286741563076117 } ], "economy": { "year": 2024, "country_iso3": "DEU", "exports_usd": 1556773836581.939, "imports_usd": 1317565125540.067, "trade_balance_usd": 239208711041.87207, "yoy_exports_growth_pct": -4.920181070331687, "yoy_imports_growth_pct": -5.864236583999549, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": -0.27823928798644815, "imports_cagr_3y_pct": -0.9610037823739925, "export_partner_hhi": 438.209471440054, "export_product_hhi": 54.022047395285114, "momentum_score": -3.527598535628115, "risk_score": 2.4611575941766954, "gdp_million_usd": 4685592.5778046865, "gdp_per_capita_usd": 56103.73231825545, "population": 83516593, "labor_force": 43123.3, "investment_rate_pct": 22.08, "savings_rate_pct": 27.68, "secondary_education_pct": 95.9, "tertiary_education_pct": 20.06, "total_factor_productivity": 2376, "trade_openness_pct": 64.10501996682734, "exports_gdp_pct": 34.71998925424008, "num_active_partners": 1080, "num_fta_partners": 214, "num_wto_partners": 676, "num_eu_partners": 112, "num_shared_border_partners": 18, "num_shared_language_partners": 8, "avg_partner_distance_km": 6605.880658436214, "avg_partner_gdp_million_usd": 533678518.3258193, "avg_partner_gdp_per_capita_usd": 15.774186170212737, "avg_buyer_biz_entry_days": null, "avg_buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "pct_partners_with_fta": 19.814814814814817, "pct_partners_shared_language": 0.7407407407407408, "pct_partners_shared_border": 1.6666666666666667, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 0.12742739700531733, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 0.12991419306435142, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0.024712068784908343, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0.10520212427944309, "avg_distance_all_partners_km": 6614.911529962142, "num_border_partners": 360, "num_colonial_partners": 384, "avg_substitution_elasticity": -10.91665015154679, "pct_products_high_elasticity": 76.04527604527604, "pct_products_low_elasticity": 2.6565026565026564, "real_market_potential": 2800764.90471021, "foreign_market_potential": 32561.235292050776 }, "countryMap": {} }, "product": { "hs_code": "481032", "hs_description": "Kraft paper and paperboard: uniformly bleached throughout, coated with inorganic substances, more than 95% of chemically processed wood fibres, weight more than 150g/m2, for non-graphic purposes, in rolls or sheets", "hs_chapter": 48, "hs_heading": 4810 }, "destinations": [ { "hs_code": 481032, "corridor_rank": 21, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "NLD", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 28, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 4688604.840705555, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 1236029.7315591439, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 4251078.469506372, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 3073747.747924674, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 2550236.867078246, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": 89.84639295874832, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": 18.38054169784091, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": 29.364991920096294, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 4771013.082531872, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 16600627.389950331, "historical_peak_year": 2023, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 48.148148148148145, "trend_acceleration_pct": 60.48140103865203, "trend_label": "Rapid growth", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": -53.2281, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 8.2264, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 55.1724, "market_share_latest_pct": 28.243540021529167, "market_share_change_1y_pp": 14.801302670486834, "peer_best_share_pct": 67.6309158662078, "peer_top_exporter": "USA", "supplier_count_latest": 16, "buyer_market_hhi": 5379.18, "distance_km": 173.52386474609375, "has_reported_fta": 1, "applied_tariff_pct": 0, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0, "volatility_cv": 1.1335260768829245, "max_drawdown_pct": 96.47874993745785, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": "['high_volatility','concentrated_buyer_market','dominant_supplier']", "signal_flag": "Growing", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 481032, "corridor_rank": 33, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "POL", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 1278899.734844999, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 564455.290756264, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 1014729.7789813075, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 883360.1936804776, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 500145.4023610201, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": 22.15174927205108, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": 56.29855543031752, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": 21.179208000195704, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 3211447.993106649, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 11408078.676756507, "historical_peak_year": 2004, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 55.172413793103445, "trend_acceleration_pct": 0.972541271855377, "trend_label": "Rapid growth", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": -17.0047, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 48.7643, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 51.7241, "market_share_latest_pct": 11.210474358409755, "market_share_change_1y_pp": 4.960313096339431, "peer_best_share_pct": 73.31245846784242, "peer_top_exporter": "CHN", "supplier_count_latest": 9, "buyer_market_hhi": 5583.72, "distance_km": 965.921142578125, "has_reported_fta": 1, "applied_tariff_pct": 0.08091394394890945, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0.04595302958827163, "volatility_cv": 1.4205833784317252, "max_drawdown_pct": 99.25563254877952, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": "['high_volatility','unrecovered_drawdown','concentrated_buyer_market','dominant_supplier']", "signal_flag": "Growing", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 481032, "corridor_rank": 52, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 475916.07141566346, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 1458036.8572548153, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 593024.2000604302, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 1241832.8198539526, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 1471907.0552743608, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": -32.325540674054686, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": -27.094744627586998, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": -11.288630188678184, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 6562479.997813616, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 72209863.17760645, "historical_peak_year": 2002, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 51.724137931034484, "trend_acceleration_pct": -21.036910485376502, "trend_label": "Rapid decline", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": 3.3388, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 13.0404, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 55.1724, "market_share_latest_pct": 0.6590734983739083, "market_share_change_1y_pp": 0.00872053393756278, "peer_best_share_pct": 52.008962953401316, "peer_top_exporter": "SWE", "supplier_count_latest": 23, "buyer_market_hhi": 3193.7, "distance_km": 7785.341796875, "has_reported_fta": 0, "applied_tariff_pct": 0.29912295578395065, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "volatility_cv": 0.9234160538305161, "max_drawdown_pct": 97.81378283323362, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": "['unrecovered_drawdown','concentrated_buyer_market','dominant_supplier','long_distance_without_fta']", "signal_flag": "Accelerating", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 481032, "corridor_rank": 53, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "latest_data_year": 2018, "lane_data_years": 8, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 457120.2229053376, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 298289.29816305323, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 571041.9256988951, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 571041.9256988951, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 338409.22987481795, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": 39.489580211268624, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": 22.102641792234714, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": 38.61941362269074, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 644039.9336048005, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 147056120.21417335, "historical_peak_year": 2017, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 71.42857142857143, "trend_acceleration_pct": 0.8701665885778809, "trend_label": "Rapid growth", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": -30.0782, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 11.5373, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 65.5172, "market_share_latest_pct": 0.2034956192546952, "market_share_change_1y_pp": -0.12225066725638892, "peer_best_share_pct": 80.93933527585108, "peer_top_exporter": "USA", "supplier_count_latest": 26, "buyer_market_hhi": 6823.32, "distance_km": 9399.78125, "has_reported_fta": 1, "applied_tariff_pct": 0.10907427334660494, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0.13089683355074896, "volatility_cv": 0.7490155230849012, "max_drawdown_pct": 29.023000119455585, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": "['concentrated_buyer_market','dominant_supplier']", "signal_flag": "Growing", "confidence_label": "Medium", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 481032, "corridor_rank": 99, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "VNM", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 15, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 126882.51475438234, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 41591.50153012016, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 108478.08894569807, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 68325.98287416251, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 35810.89573291361, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": 147.01900520902146, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": 96.22550696873601, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": 8.610305080850566, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 174464.3603265107, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 40487218.205341175, "historical_peak_year": 2023, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 71.42857142857143, "trend_acceleration_pct": 138.4087001281709, "trend_label": "Rapid growth", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": -40.1697, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 20.0981, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 65.5172, "market_share_latest_pct": 0.3133890654350851, "market_share_change_1y_pp": 0.05557280009400428, "peer_best_share_pct": 98.10006638283905, "peer_top_exporter": "CHN", "supplier_count_latest": 11, "buyer_market_hhi": 9624.48, "distance_km": 8793.07421875, "has_reported_fta": 1, "applied_tariff_pct": 0.15900909027407406, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "volatility_cv": 1.3087981438082295, "max_drawdown_pct": 99.34001474038322, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": "['high_volatility','concentrated_buyer_market','dominant_supplier']", "signal_flag": "Growing", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" } ], "prices": [], "priceSummary": { "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "hs_code": 481032, "num_markets": 65, "highest_price_importer_iso3": "GBR", "highest_price_usd_per_ton": 131000, "lowest_price_importer_iso3": "TUR", "lowest_price_usd_per_ton": 177.53020134228188, "median_price_across_markets": 1915.5014708491317, "price_spread_pct": 6829.672114042534, "avg_quantity_metric_tons": 224.31714634146337, "total_trade_value_usd": 75813975 }, "history": [ { "year": 2010, "export_value_usd": 9933620.159158017, "active_destinations": 55, "yoy_growth_pct": 98.8131786492463 }, { "year": 2011, "export_value_usd": 9770929.264186667, "active_destinations": 53, "yoy_growth_pct": -1.6377805106767847 }, { "year": 2012, "export_value_usd": 7386061.545185814, "active_destinations": 53, "yoy_growth_pct": -24.40778819003527 }, { "year": 2013, "export_value_usd": 8678345.300700914, "active_destinations": 48, "yoy_growth_pct": 17.496249491143253 }, { "year": 2014, "export_value_usd": 10389109.22684182, "active_destinations": 55, "yoy_growth_pct": 19.71301978503592 }, { "year": 2015, "export_value_usd": 7820178.088057735, "active_destinations": 50, "yoy_growth_pct": -24.72715497250589 }, { "year": 2016, "export_value_usd": 14348051.76652108, "active_destinations": 51, "yoy_growth_pct": 83.47474450015557 }, { "year": 2017, "export_value_usd": 8176405.635486076, "active_destinations": 51, "yoy_growth_pct": -43.013826765216784 }, { "year": 2018, "export_value_usd": 8258311.377444863, "active_destinations": 48, "yoy_growth_pct": 1.001732859281247 }, { "year": 2019, "export_value_usd": 9747386.83231782, "active_destinations": 50, "yoy_growth_pct": 18.031234072136417 }, { "year": 2020, "export_value_usd": 13491487.94120807, "active_destinations": 36, "yoy_growth_pct": 38.41133191181605 }, { "year": 2021, "export_value_usd": 12882363.364415282, "active_destinations": 42, "yoy_growth_pct": -4.514880637681872 }, { "year": 2022, "export_value_usd": 15206407.589114364, "active_destinations": 45, "yoy_growth_pct": 18.04051134839704 }, { "year": 2023, "export_value_usd": 16971935.61760267, "active_destinations": 35, "yoy_growth_pct": 11.610421581440265 }, { "year": 2024, "export_value_usd": 15395795.818544243, "active_destinations": 37, "yoy_growth_pct": -9.286741563076117 } ], "economy": { "year": 2024, "country_iso3": "DEU", "exports_usd": 1556773836581.939, "imports_usd": 1317565125540.067, "trade_balance_usd": 239208711041.87207, "yoy_exports_growth_pct": -4.920181070331687, "yoy_imports_growth_pct": -5.864236583999549, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": -0.27823928798644815, "imports_cagr_3y_pct": -0.9610037823739925, "export_partner_hhi": 438.209471440054, "export_product_hhi": 54.022047395285114, "momentum_score": -3.527598535628115, "risk_score": 2.4611575941766954, "gdp_million_usd": 4685592.5778046865, "gdp_per_capita_usd": 56103.73231825545, "population": 83516593, "labor_force": 43123.3, "investment_rate_pct": 22.08, "savings_rate_pct": 27.68, "secondary_education_pct": 95.9, "tertiary_education_pct": 20.06, "total_factor_productivity": 2376, "trade_openness_pct": 64.10501996682734, "exports_gdp_pct": 34.71998925424008, "num_active_partners": 1080, "num_fta_partners": 214, "num_wto_partners": 676, "num_eu_partners": 112, "num_shared_border_partners": 18, "num_shared_language_partners": 8, "avg_partner_distance_km": 6605.880658436214, "avg_partner_gdp_million_usd": 533678518.3258193, "avg_partner_gdp_per_capita_usd": 15.774186170212737, "avg_buyer_biz_entry_days": null, "avg_buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "pct_partners_with_fta": 19.814814814814817, "pct_partners_shared_language": 0.7407407407407408, "pct_partners_shared_border": 1.6666666666666667, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 0.12742739700531733, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 0.12991419306435142, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0.024712068784908343, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0.10520212427944309, "avg_distance_all_partners_km": 6614.911529962142, "num_border_partners": 360, "num_colonial_partners": 384, "avg_substitution_elasticity": -10.91665015154679, "pct_products_high_elasticity": 76.04527604527604, "pct_products_low_elasticity": 2.6565026565026564, "real_market_potential": 2800764.90471021, "foreign_market_potential": 32561.235292050776 } }