{ "template": "T3", "templateName": "Product Exporter Position Profile", "source": "api", "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com" }, "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/exporter/deu/480100", "links": { "product": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/product/480100", "exporter": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/exporter/deu/480100", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology" }, "methodology": { "summary": "Reported exporter totals are combined with destination, price, history, and country-context observations. Growth, concentration, weighted share, volatility, drawdown, and price-position values are calculated indicators rather than additional reported trade.", "reportedValues": "Merchandise trade observations for an exporter, HS6 product, destination market, and available year.", "destinations": "Destination rows are ranked by latest observed exporter-lane value.", "prices": "Unit values are reported trade value divided by reported quantity where quantity is positive.", "missingData": "Missing values are shown as Not reported and are not imputed." }, "exporter": { "hs_code": "480100", "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "first_data_year": 1995, "latest_data_year": 2024, "observed_lane_count": 175, "current_lane_count": 80, "active_market_count": 80, "exports_latest_observed_lanes_usd": 281702028.61804396, "exports_current_2024_usd": 277412196.1803703, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 335012681.6729031, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 293390980.3789847, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 306404751.99886113, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": 2.8682006127078274, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": 0.11895150592085013, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": -4.30301393478123, "exports_all_year_lane_avg_usd": 457170219.51910543, "exports_historical_lane_peak_usd": 1087922188.5845096, "historical_peak_year": 2008, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 41.37931034482759, "trend_acceleration_pct": 7.171214547489058, "trend_label": "Stable", "top_market_iso3": "ITA", "top_market_exports_usd": 71941095.6272357, "top_market_share_pct": 25.53801120288689, "destination_hhi": 1044.9135528524896, "weighted_share_latest_pct": 33.17152827149691, "weighted_share_change_1y_pp": 0.33273800075668947, "weighted_volatility_cv": 0.5449819618254572, "weighted_max_drawdown_pct": 83.56192116980145, "limited_history_lane_share_pct": 24.571428571428573, "data_freshness_years": 0, "coverage_score": 100, "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:28:35", "source": "api", "product": { "hs_code": 480100, "hs_description": "Newsprint: made of fibres obtained essentially by a chemi-mechanical process or of a weight, per m2, of more than 57g but not more than 65g, in rolls or sheets", "hs_chapter": 48, "hs_heading": 4801, "substitution_elasticity": -7.6556292, "price_range_label": "Medium price range", "trade_type_label": "One-way trade" }, "hs_description": "Newsprint: made of fibres obtained essentially by a chemi-mechanical process or of a weight, per m2, of more than 57g but not more than 65g, in rolls or sheets", "hs_chapter": 48, "hs_heading": 4801, "destinations": [ { "hs_code": 480100, "corridor_rank": 9, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 71941095.6272357, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 87566214.31137362, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 76115666.61614867, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 65978601.88183161, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 70823400.01522562, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": 14.961587974145418, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": -0.8638868970347158, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": -2.767995238232357, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 163382005.86528724, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 212298982.635418, "historical_peak_year": 2008, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 51.724137931034484, "trend_acceleration_pct": 17.729583212377776, "trend_label": "Rapid growth", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": -12.9474, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 0.24, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 48.2759, "market_share_latest_pct": 33.88668882638052, "market_share_change_1y_pp": 3.024359590058431, "peer_best_share_pct": 33.886688826380514, "peer_top_exporter": "DEU", "supplier_count_latest": 30, "buyer_market_hhi": 2025.89, "distance_km": 1146.023193359375, "has_reported_fta": 1, "applied_tariff_pct": 0, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0, "volatility_cv": 0.3319615232273579, "max_drawdown_pct": 71.0189202732772, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": "['unrecovered_drawdown']", "signal_flag": "Stable", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 480100, "corridor_rank": 20, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "AUT", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 27363442.754987154, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 38471515.20419864, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 34262041.97239219, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 29559901.0920552, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 28789073.976404976, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": 2.7502263989511055, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": 1.9002449187150994, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": -4.0179733678561425, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 73819910.95294993, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 66000358.54587802, "historical_peak_year": 2007, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 51.724137931034484, "trend_acceleration_pct": 6.768199766807248, "trend_label": "Stable", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": -2.7608, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 2.1871, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 48.2759, "market_share_latest_pct": 41.45953652049684, "market_share_change_1y_pp": -15.47858778981788, "peer_best_share_pct": 41.45953652049684, "peer_top_exporter": "DEU", "supplier_count_latest": 23, "buyer_market_hhi": 2251.55, "distance_km": 763.7313842773438, "has_reported_fta": 1, "applied_tariff_pct": 0.04880302040329218, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0.04880302040329218, "volatility_cv": 0.29402588199521823, "max_drawdown_pct": 73.19301744894192, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": "['unrecovered_drawdown']", "signal_flag": "Stable", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 480100, "corridor_rank": 22, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "POL", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 24085073.340391546, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 18066488.803870965, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 24602302.880589727, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 23353131.53307328, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 21827037.521544002, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": -3.4159771102806213, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": -1.2275357036857781, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": -3.1910585913183964, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 41651135.59435358, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 70981742.77653031, "historical_peak_year": 2006, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 58.62068965517241, "trend_acceleration_pct": -0.22491851896222492, "trend_label": "Declining", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": 0.9699, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 8.9111, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 62.069, "market_share_latest_pct": 33.93136375394143, "market_share_change_1y_pp": 6.380820509126682, "peer_best_share_pct": 34.169527856891065, "peer_top_exporter": "SWE", "supplier_count_latest": 20, "buyer_market_hhi": 2493.81, "distance_km": 965.921142578125, "has_reported_fta": 1, "applied_tariff_pct": 0.08091394394890945, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0.04595302958827163, "volatility_cv": 0.6133254278030269, "max_drawdown_pct": 97.34136319675589, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": "[]", "signal_flag": "Growing", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 480100, "corridor_rank": 28, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "CZE", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 19107636.985823017, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 20086132.162093423, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 20367934.21673244, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 14656471.741857756, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 18388182.9621254, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": 59.889020099915214, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": 8.862954559724834, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": -6.8591994397052325, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 38887257.6324456, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 40100962.733039856, "historical_peak_year": 2014, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 44.827586206896555, "trend_acceleration_pct": 66.74821953962045, "trend_label": "Rapid growth", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": -12.4126, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 6.9735, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 51.7241, "market_share_latest_pct": 47.64882357819283, "market_share_change_1y_pp": -6.989086209415873, "peer_best_share_pct": 47.64882357819283, "peer_top_exporter": "DEU", "supplier_count_latest": 21, "buyer_market_hhi": 2810.58, "distance_km": 545.6255493164062, "has_reported_fta": 1, "applied_tariff_pct": 0.0260380708015873, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0.0260380708015873, "volatility_cv": 0.5517329758947959, "max_drawdown_pct": 87.9789129590512, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": "['unrecovered_drawdown','concentrated_buyer_market']", "signal_flag": "Growing", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 480100, "corridor_rank": 31, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "FRA", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 16845948.761282537, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 46669650.39136612, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 33380603.730204184, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 33697367.92679115, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 31291095.956020456, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": -23.211781290884748, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": -8.70245549298967, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": -8.36139050470025, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 91238173.01436439, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 155485467.93332848, "historical_peak_year": 2004, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 51.724137931034484, "trend_acceleration_pct": -14.850390786184498, "trend_label": "Rapid decline", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": -13.2197, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": -0.3475, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 55.1724, "market_share_latest_pct": 10.834420081306897, "market_share_change_1y_pp": -7.976282690605368, "peer_best_share_pct": 50.385922093962876, "peer_top_exporter": "GBR", "supplier_count_latest": 49, "buyer_market_hhi": 2961.46, "distance_km": 439.8984375, "has_reported_fta": 1, "applied_tariff_pct": 0, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0, "volatility_cv": 0.39218205737189915, "max_drawdown_pct": 81.53629319316781, "attention_level": "Critical attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": "['unrecovered_drawdown','declining_buyer_demand','concentrated_buyer_market','dominant_supplier']", "signal_flag": "Slowing", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 480100, "corridor_rank": 32, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "ESP", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 16597869.593903838, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 14177767.523080079, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 13637381.436445318, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 11266817.741395986, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 8717358.134396464, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": 22.71006375750291, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": 22.04096452881581, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": 11.740973435454482, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 29655344.309766985, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 61844824.3034978, "historical_peak_year": 1996, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 48.275862068965516, "trend_acceleration_pct": 10.969090322048427, "trend_label": "Rapid growth", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": 5.4774, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": -2.6421, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 41.3793, "market_share_latest_pct": 26.83792828394389, "market_share_change_1y_pp": 7.819543117415556, "peer_best_share_pct": 26.837928283943885, "peer_top_exporter": "DEU", "supplier_count_latest": 27, "buyer_market_hhi": 1469.68, "distance_km": 1479.33154296875, "has_reported_fta": 1, "applied_tariff_pct": 0, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0, "volatility_cv": 0.5570404865687562, "max_drawdown_pct": 82.69658599744123, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": "[]", "signal_flag": "Stable", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 480100, "corridor_rank": 34, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "HUN", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 16284057.661585184, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 9604474.698677849, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 15168138.290922174, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 10179350.071282726, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 8659140.570586374, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": 68.21883025521214, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": 38.085506531047386, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": 1.562378664525843, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 19232034.024177127, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 33435090.331192907, "historical_peak_year": 2023, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 58.62068965517241, "trend_acceleration_pct": 66.6564515906863, "trend_label": "Rapid growth", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": 3.3794, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": -0.5076, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 48.2759, "market_share_latest_pct": 48.70349534062168, "market_share_change_1y_pp": -10.76085398882691, "peer_best_share_pct": 48.70349534062167, "peer_top_exporter": "DEU", "supplier_count_latest": 20, "buyer_market_hhi": 3143.6, "distance_km": 976.2567138671875, "has_reported_fta": 1, "applied_tariff_pct": 0.08276851853292182, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0.08276851853292182, "volatility_cv": 0.4901335554167588, "max_drawdown_pct": 88.93918115370276, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": "['concentrated_buyer_market']", "signal_flag": "Growing", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 480100, "corridor_rank": 43, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "NLD", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 12892659.0665274, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 44208894.80692863, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 22115601.317863703, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 24239446.719482772, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 30858937.719405986, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": -24.300577041069037, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": -15.640912952982966, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": -11.767068167516259, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 68237247.7848275, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 121740416.33369832, "historical_peak_year": 2011, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 41.37931034482759, "trend_acceleration_pct": -12.533508873552778, "trend_label": "Rapid decline", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": -27.9257, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": -0.669, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 41.3793, "market_share_latest_pct": 10.590286656477165, "market_share_change_1y_pp": 0.0783268780114863, "peer_best_share_pct": 34.34987859343072, "peer_top_exporter": "BEL", "supplier_count_latest": 43, "buyer_market_hhi": 2095.91, "distance_km": 173.52386474609375, "has_reported_fta": 1, "applied_tariff_pct": 0, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0, "volatility_cv": 0.2900005800368875, "max_drawdown_pct": 81.10612680748524, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": "['unrecovered_drawdown','declining_buyer_demand']", "signal_flag": "Slowing", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 480100, "corridor_rank": 45, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "CHE", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 12376519.301, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 28766027.194636095, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 14369158.125197569, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 10580827.732918207, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 10997583.64796398, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": 18.838570448612323, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": 19.88951806759136, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": -8.407809820112721, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 70718540.77630593, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 38618002.29147121, "historical_peak_year": 2009, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 48.275862068965516, "trend_acceleration_pct": 27.246380268725044, "trend_label": "Rapid growth", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": -23.933, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 0.7361, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 37.931, "market_share_latest_pct": 32.04857467143855, "market_share_change_1y_pp": 5.35487443734452, "peer_best_share_pct": 44.67271583279048, "peer_top_exporter": "FRA", "supplier_count_latest": 20, "buyer_market_hhi": 3200.24, "distance_km": 503.80072021484375, "has_reported_fta": 1, "applied_tariff_pct": 0.012842625485358024, "tariff_advantage_pp": -0.021083829923006173, "volatility_cv": 0.6264685954603927, "max_drawdown_pct": 96.57477167717411, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": "['unrecovered_drawdown','concentrated_buyer_market']", "signal_flag": "Stable", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 480100, "corridor_rank": 56, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "SVN", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 9738474.790448556, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 2883302.0266811103, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 9262412.75803983, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 6759921.668439612, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 4550839.294655124, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": 25.34800193103781, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": 29.637094503897686, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": 6.954158165392088, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 10034610.809719408, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 14090287.564336836, "historical_peak_year": 2023, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 55.172413793103445, "trend_acceleration_pct": 18.393843765645723, "trend_label": "Rapid growth", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": -4.109, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 9.3018, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 55.1724, "market_share_latest_pct": 69.11480511651928, "market_share_change_1y_pp": 0.8246104525918412, "peer_best_share_pct": 69.11480511651928, "peer_top_exporter": "DEU", "supplier_count_latest": 16, "buyer_market_hhi": 4993.94, "distance_km": 814.8665161132812, "has_reported_fta": 1, "applied_tariff_pct": 0.03794091419026821, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0.03742028529909578, "volatility_cv": 0.8376606305300515, "max_drawdown_pct": 86.18776416944954, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": "['concentrated_buyer_market','dominant_supplier']", "signal_flag": "Growing", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 480100, "corridor_rank": 69, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "BEL", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 26, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 7646275.988469766, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 29679965.843416855, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 16827894.511412613, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 16858950.039355967, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 21629331.86604005, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": -26.004439217879504, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": -19.302983169872313, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": -15.527842280217774, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 56050590.76420641, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 24066541.823780186, "historical_peak_year": 2008, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 48, "trend_acceleration_pct": -10.47659693766173, "trend_label": "Rapid decline", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": -34.2552, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": -4.3009, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 48, "market_share_latest_pct": 31.771394679207592, "market_share_change_1y_pp": -4.394658496904828, "peer_best_share_pct": 31.77139467920759, "peer_top_exporter": "DEU", "supplier_count_latest": 28, "buyer_market_hhi": 2191.64, "distance_km": 196.8760986328125, "has_reported_fta": 1, "applied_tariff_pct": 0, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0, "volatility_cv": 0.4341742247936084, "max_drawdown_pct": 86.35825977171925, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": "['unrecovered_drawdown','declining_buyer_demand']", "signal_flag": "Slowing", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 480100, "corridor_rank": 89, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "AUS", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 25, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 5195447.9503450915, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 1393229.983686723, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 1845474.7569827095, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 1149075.6676098115, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 1769399.9693757351, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": 268.74204656598914, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": 80.31906295703838, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": -0.08351759869572595, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 5239039.067488839, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 15161366.076092407, "historical_peak_year": 2014, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 50, "trend_acceleration_pct": 268.82556416468486, "trend_label": "Rapid growth", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": -47.0166, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": -4.4775, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 37.931, "market_share_latest_pct": 34.26767696439749, "market_share_change_1y_pp": 33.75802011842171, "peer_best_share_pct": 34.267676964397474, "peer_top_exporter": "DEU", "supplier_count_latest": 16, "buyer_market_hhi": 1963.21, "distance_km": 16562.724609375, "has_reported_fta": 0, "applied_tariff_pct": 0.07801678194032918, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "volatility_cv": 1.161226254493332, "max_drawdown_pct": 98.02210434666898, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": "['high_volatility','declining_buyer_demand','long_distance_without_fta']", "signal_flag": "Accelerating", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 480100, "corridor_rank": 95, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "ROU", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 4804693.383220828, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 3349138.812385912, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 4326738.341777713, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 3155977.3263660287, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 2220844.36022832, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": 46.330324325462094, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": 23.794032501242945, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": 12.292103960077938, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 13253168.475834655, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 12949700.30866404, "historical_peak_year": 2009, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 55.172413793103445, "trend_acceleration_pct": 34.038220365384156, "trend_label": "Rapid growth", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": -21.6708, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 10.9048, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 48.2759, "market_share_latest_pct": 37.10273804565371, "market_share_change_1y_pp": 7.017084344857221, "peer_best_share_pct": 37.1027380456537, "peer_top_exporter": "DEU", "supplier_count_latest": 25, "buyer_market_hhi": 1961.59, "distance_km": null, "has_reported_fta": null, "applied_tariff_pct": 0.13242878806584357, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0.13242878806584357, "volatility_cv": 0.9646828732297936, "max_drawdown_pct": 94.35483965576138, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": "['unrecovered_drawdown']", "signal_flag": "Growing", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" } ], "priceSummary": { "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "hs_code": 480100, "num_markets": 112, "highest_price_importer_iso3": "LKA", "highest_price_usd_per_ton": 50000, "lowest_price_importer_iso3": "ARE", "lowest_price_usd_per_ton": 12.466522498544457, "median_price_across_markets": 687.4941261238683, "price_spread_pct": 7270.976082273468, "avg_quantity_metric_tons": 6102.349072538859, "total_trade_value_usd": 1559572592 }, "history": [ { "year": 2010, "export_value_usd": 538518100.4886491, "active_destinations": 93, "yoy_growth_pct": -7.782719770897593 }, { "year": 2011, "export_value_usd": 570492879.2815825, "active_destinations": 87, "yoy_growth_pct": 5.937549501849531 }, { "year": 2012, "export_value_usd": 437055532.5181626, "active_destinations": 100, "yoy_growth_pct": -23.389835633260937 }, { "year": 2013, "export_value_usd": 428858859.0921211, "active_destinations": 97, "yoy_growth_pct": -1.8754306526713185 }, { "year": 2014, "export_value_usd": 430668343.36204404, "active_destinations": 83, "yoy_growth_pct": 0.42193001999621177 }, { "year": 2015, "export_value_usd": 361064049.09081477, "active_destinations": 86, "yoy_growth_pct": -16.161924911373386 }, { "year": 2016, "export_value_usd": 339292458.68544513, "active_destinations": 93, "yoy_growth_pct": -6.029841647262326 }, { "year": 2017, "export_value_usd": 329327840.2420192, "active_destinations": 94, "yoy_growth_pct": -2.936881792785161 }, { "year": 2018, "export_value_usd": 291640132.2735235, "active_destinations": 90, "yoy_growth_pct": -11.443826899298708 }, { "year": 2019, "export_value_usd": 275768137.80188525, "active_destinations": 83, "yoy_growth_pct": -5.4423217915537885 }, { "year": 2020, "export_value_usd": 207068333.79504797, "active_destinations": 76, "yoy_growth_pct": -24.91216155515107 }, { "year": 2021, "export_value_usd": 254848523.0811659, "active_destinations": 86, "yoy_growth_pct": 23.074599776038088 }, { "year": 2022, "export_value_usd": 412517045.97551453, "active_destinations": 81, "yoy_growth_pct": 61.867544291843224 }, { "year": 2023, "export_value_usd": 315108802.86282486, "active_destinations": 81, "yoy_growth_pct": -23.613143762905608 }, { "year": 2024, "export_value_usd": 277412196.1803703, "active_destinations": 80, "yoy_growth_pct": -11.963044618231407 } ], "economy": { "year": 2024, "country_iso3": "DEU", "exports_usd": 1556773836581.939, "imports_usd": 1317565125540.067, "trade_balance_usd": 239208711041.87207, "yoy_exports_growth_pct": -4.920181070331687, "yoy_imports_growth_pct": -5.864236583999549, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": -0.27823928798644815, "imports_cagr_3y_pct": -0.9610037823739925, "export_partner_hhi": 438.209471440054, "export_product_hhi": 54.022047395285114, "momentum_score": -3.527598535628115, "risk_score": 2.4611575941766954, "gdp_million_usd": 4685592.5778046865, "gdp_per_capita_usd": 56103.73231825545, "population": 83516593, "labor_force": 43123.3, "investment_rate_pct": 22.08, "savings_rate_pct": 27.68, "secondary_education_pct": 95.9, "tertiary_education_pct": 20.06, "total_factor_productivity": 2376, "trade_openness_pct": 64.10501996682734, "exports_gdp_pct": 34.71998925424008, "num_active_partners": 1080, "num_fta_partners": 214, "num_wto_partners": 676, "num_eu_partners": 112, "num_shared_border_partners": 18, "num_shared_language_partners": 8, "avg_partner_distance_km": 6605.880658436214, "avg_partner_gdp_million_usd": 533678518.3258193, "avg_partner_gdp_per_capita_usd": 15.774186170212737, "avg_buyer_biz_entry_days": null, "avg_buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "pct_partners_with_fta": 19.814814814814817, "pct_partners_shared_language": 0.7407407407407408, "pct_partners_shared_border": 1.6666666666666667, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 0.12742739700531733, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 0.12991419306435142, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0.024712068784908343, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0.10520212427944309, "avg_distance_all_partners_km": 6614.911529962142, "num_border_partners": 360, "num_colonial_partners": 384, "avg_substitution_elasticity": -10.91665015154679, "pct_products_high_elasticity": 76.04527604527604, "pct_products_low_elasticity": 2.6565026565026564, "real_market_potential": 2800764.90471021, "foreign_market_potential": 32561.235292050776 }, "countryMap": {} }, "product": { "hs_code": "480100", "hs_description": "Newsprint: made of fibres obtained essentially by a chemi-mechanical process or of a weight, per m2, of more than 57g but not more than 65g, in rolls or sheets", "hs_chapter": 48, "hs_heading": 4801 }, "destinations": [ { "hs_code": 480100, "corridor_rank": 9, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 71941095.6272357, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 87566214.31137362, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 76115666.61614867, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 65978601.88183161, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 70823400.01522562, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": 14.961587974145418, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": -0.8638868970347158, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": -2.767995238232357, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 163382005.86528724, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 212298982.635418, "historical_peak_year": 2008, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 51.724137931034484, "trend_acceleration_pct": 17.729583212377776, "trend_label": "Rapid growth", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": -12.9474, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 0.24, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 48.2759, "market_share_latest_pct": 33.88668882638052, "market_share_change_1y_pp": 3.024359590058431, "peer_best_share_pct": 33.886688826380514, "peer_top_exporter": "DEU", "supplier_count_latest": 30, "buyer_market_hhi": 2025.89, "distance_km": 1146.023193359375, "has_reported_fta": 1, "applied_tariff_pct": 0, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0, "volatility_cv": 0.3319615232273579, "max_drawdown_pct": 71.0189202732772, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": "['unrecovered_drawdown']", "signal_flag": "Stable", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 480100, "corridor_rank": 20, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "AUT", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 27363442.754987154, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 38471515.20419864, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 34262041.97239219, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 29559901.0920552, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 28789073.976404976, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": 2.7502263989511055, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": 1.9002449187150994, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": -4.0179733678561425, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 73819910.95294993, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 66000358.54587802, "historical_peak_year": 2007, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 51.724137931034484, "trend_acceleration_pct": 6.768199766807248, "trend_label": "Stable", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": -2.7608, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 2.1871, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 48.2759, "market_share_latest_pct": 41.45953652049684, "market_share_change_1y_pp": -15.47858778981788, "peer_best_share_pct": 41.45953652049684, "peer_top_exporter": "DEU", "supplier_count_latest": 23, "buyer_market_hhi": 2251.55, "distance_km": 763.7313842773438, "has_reported_fta": 1, "applied_tariff_pct": 0.04880302040329218, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0.04880302040329218, "volatility_cv": 0.29402588199521823, "max_drawdown_pct": 73.19301744894192, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": "['unrecovered_drawdown']", "signal_flag": "Stable", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 480100, "corridor_rank": 22, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "POL", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 24085073.340391546, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 18066488.803870965, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 24602302.880589727, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 23353131.53307328, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 21827037.521544002, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": -3.4159771102806213, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": -1.2275357036857781, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": -3.1910585913183964, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 41651135.59435358, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 70981742.77653031, "historical_peak_year": 2006, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 58.62068965517241, "trend_acceleration_pct": -0.22491851896222492, "trend_label": "Declining", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": 0.9699, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 8.9111, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 62.069, "market_share_latest_pct": 33.93136375394143, "market_share_change_1y_pp": 6.380820509126682, "peer_best_share_pct": 34.169527856891065, "peer_top_exporter": "SWE", "supplier_count_latest": 20, "buyer_market_hhi": 2493.81, "distance_km": 965.921142578125, "has_reported_fta": 1, "applied_tariff_pct": 0.08091394394890945, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0.04595302958827163, "volatility_cv": 0.6133254278030269, "max_drawdown_pct": 97.34136319675589, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": "[]", "signal_flag": "Growing", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 480100, "corridor_rank": 28, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "CZE", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 19107636.985823017, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 20086132.162093423, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 20367934.21673244, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 14656471.741857756, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 18388182.9621254, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": 59.889020099915214, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": 8.862954559724834, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": -6.8591994397052325, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 38887257.6324456, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 40100962.733039856, "historical_peak_year": 2014, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 44.827586206896555, "trend_acceleration_pct": 66.74821953962045, "trend_label": "Rapid growth", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": -12.4126, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 6.9735, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 51.7241, "market_share_latest_pct": 47.64882357819283, "market_share_change_1y_pp": -6.989086209415873, "peer_best_share_pct": 47.64882357819283, "peer_top_exporter": "DEU", "supplier_count_latest": 21, "buyer_market_hhi": 2810.58, "distance_km": 545.6255493164062, "has_reported_fta": 1, "applied_tariff_pct": 0.0260380708015873, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0.0260380708015873, "volatility_cv": 0.5517329758947959, "max_drawdown_pct": 87.9789129590512, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": "['unrecovered_drawdown','concentrated_buyer_market']", "signal_flag": "Growing", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 480100, "corridor_rank": 31, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "FRA", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 16845948.761282537, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 46669650.39136612, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 33380603.730204184, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 33697367.92679115, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 31291095.956020456, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": -23.211781290884748, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": -8.70245549298967, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": -8.36139050470025, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 91238173.01436439, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 155485467.93332848, "historical_peak_year": 2004, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 51.724137931034484, "trend_acceleration_pct": -14.850390786184498, "trend_label": "Rapid decline", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": -13.2197, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": -0.3475, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 55.1724, "market_share_latest_pct": 10.834420081306897, "market_share_change_1y_pp": -7.976282690605368, "peer_best_share_pct": 50.385922093962876, "peer_top_exporter": "GBR", "supplier_count_latest": 49, "buyer_market_hhi": 2961.46, "distance_km": 439.8984375, "has_reported_fta": 1, "applied_tariff_pct": 0, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0, "volatility_cv": 0.39218205737189915, "max_drawdown_pct": 81.53629319316781, "attention_level": "Critical attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": "['unrecovered_drawdown','declining_buyer_demand','concentrated_buyer_market','dominant_supplier']", "signal_flag": "Slowing", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 480100, "corridor_rank": 32, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "ESP", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 16597869.593903838, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 14177767.523080079, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 13637381.436445318, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 11266817.741395986, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 8717358.134396464, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": 22.71006375750291, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": 22.04096452881581, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": 11.740973435454482, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 29655344.309766985, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 61844824.3034978, "historical_peak_year": 1996, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 48.275862068965516, "trend_acceleration_pct": 10.969090322048427, "trend_label": "Rapid growth", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": 5.4774, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": -2.6421, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 41.3793, "market_share_latest_pct": 26.83792828394389, "market_share_change_1y_pp": 7.819543117415556, "peer_best_share_pct": 26.837928283943885, "peer_top_exporter": "DEU", "supplier_count_latest": 27, "buyer_market_hhi": 1469.68, "distance_km": 1479.33154296875, "has_reported_fta": 1, "applied_tariff_pct": 0, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0, "volatility_cv": 0.5570404865687562, "max_drawdown_pct": 82.69658599744123, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": "[]", "signal_flag": "Stable", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 480100, "corridor_rank": 34, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "HUN", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 16284057.661585184, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 9604474.698677849, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 15168138.290922174, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 10179350.071282726, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 8659140.570586374, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": 68.21883025521214, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": 38.085506531047386, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": 1.562378664525843, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 19232034.024177127, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 33435090.331192907, "historical_peak_year": 2023, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 58.62068965517241, "trend_acceleration_pct": 66.6564515906863, "trend_label": "Rapid growth", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": 3.3794, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": -0.5076, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 48.2759, "market_share_latest_pct": 48.70349534062168, "market_share_change_1y_pp": -10.76085398882691, "peer_best_share_pct": 48.70349534062167, "peer_top_exporter": "DEU", "supplier_count_latest": 20, "buyer_market_hhi": 3143.6, "distance_km": 976.2567138671875, "has_reported_fta": 1, "applied_tariff_pct": 0.08276851853292182, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0.08276851853292182, "volatility_cv": 0.4901335554167588, "max_drawdown_pct": 88.93918115370276, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": "['concentrated_buyer_market']", "signal_flag": "Growing", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 480100, "corridor_rank": 43, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "NLD", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 12892659.0665274, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 44208894.80692863, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 22115601.317863703, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 24239446.719482772, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 30858937.719405986, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": -24.300577041069037, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": -15.640912952982966, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": -11.767068167516259, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 68237247.7848275, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 121740416.33369832, "historical_peak_year": 2011, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 41.37931034482759, "trend_acceleration_pct": -12.533508873552778, "trend_label": "Rapid decline", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": -27.9257, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": -0.669, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 41.3793, "market_share_latest_pct": 10.590286656477165, "market_share_change_1y_pp": 0.0783268780114863, "peer_best_share_pct": 34.34987859343072, "peer_top_exporter": "BEL", "supplier_count_latest": 43, "buyer_market_hhi": 2095.91, "distance_km": 173.52386474609375, "has_reported_fta": 1, "applied_tariff_pct": 0, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0, "volatility_cv": 0.2900005800368875, "max_drawdown_pct": 81.10612680748524, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": "['unrecovered_drawdown','declining_buyer_demand']", "signal_flag": "Slowing", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 480100, "corridor_rank": 45, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "CHE", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 12376519.301, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 28766027.194636095, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 14369158.125197569, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 10580827.732918207, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 10997583.64796398, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": 18.838570448612323, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": 19.88951806759136, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": -8.407809820112721, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 70718540.77630593, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 38618002.29147121, "historical_peak_year": 2009, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 48.275862068965516, "trend_acceleration_pct": 27.246380268725044, "trend_label": "Rapid growth", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": -23.933, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 0.7361, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 37.931, "market_share_latest_pct": 32.04857467143855, "market_share_change_1y_pp": 5.35487443734452, "peer_best_share_pct": 44.67271583279048, "peer_top_exporter": "FRA", "supplier_count_latest": 20, "buyer_market_hhi": 3200.24, "distance_km": 503.80072021484375, "has_reported_fta": 1, "applied_tariff_pct": 0.012842625485358024, "tariff_advantage_pp": -0.021083829923006173, "volatility_cv": 0.6264685954603927, "max_drawdown_pct": 96.57477167717411, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": "['unrecovered_drawdown','concentrated_buyer_market']", "signal_flag": "Stable", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 480100, "corridor_rank": 56, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "SVN", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 9738474.790448556, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 2883302.0266811103, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 9262412.75803983, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 6759921.668439612, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 4550839.294655124, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": 25.34800193103781, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": 29.637094503897686, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": 6.954158165392088, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 10034610.809719408, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 14090287.564336836, "historical_peak_year": 2023, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 55.172413793103445, "trend_acceleration_pct": 18.393843765645723, "trend_label": "Rapid growth", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": -4.109, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 9.3018, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 55.1724, "market_share_latest_pct": 69.11480511651928, "market_share_change_1y_pp": 0.8246104525918412, "peer_best_share_pct": 69.11480511651928, "peer_top_exporter": "DEU", "supplier_count_latest": 16, "buyer_market_hhi": 4993.94, "distance_km": 814.8665161132812, "has_reported_fta": 1, "applied_tariff_pct": 0.03794091419026821, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0.03742028529909578, "volatility_cv": 0.8376606305300515, "max_drawdown_pct": 86.18776416944954, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": "['concentrated_buyer_market','dominant_supplier']", "signal_flag": "Growing", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 480100, "corridor_rank": 69, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "BEL", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 26, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 7646275.988469766, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 29679965.843416855, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 16827894.511412613, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 16858950.039355967, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 21629331.86604005, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": -26.004439217879504, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": -19.302983169872313, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": -15.527842280217774, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 56050590.76420641, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 24066541.823780186, "historical_peak_year": 2008, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 48, "trend_acceleration_pct": -10.47659693766173, "trend_label": "Rapid decline", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": -34.2552, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": -4.3009, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 48, "market_share_latest_pct": 31.771394679207592, "market_share_change_1y_pp": -4.394658496904828, "peer_best_share_pct": 31.77139467920759, "peer_top_exporter": "DEU", "supplier_count_latest": 28, "buyer_market_hhi": 2191.64, "distance_km": 196.8760986328125, "has_reported_fta": 1, "applied_tariff_pct": 0, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0, "volatility_cv": 0.4341742247936084, "max_drawdown_pct": 86.35825977171925, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": "['unrecovered_drawdown','declining_buyer_demand']", "signal_flag": "Slowing", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 480100, "corridor_rank": 89, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "AUS", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 25, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 5195447.9503450915, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 1393229.983686723, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 1845474.7569827095, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 1149075.6676098115, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 1769399.9693757351, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": 268.74204656598914, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": 80.31906295703838, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": -0.08351759869572595, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 5239039.067488839, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 15161366.076092407, "historical_peak_year": 2014, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 50, "trend_acceleration_pct": 268.82556416468486, "trend_label": "Rapid growth", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": -47.0166, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": -4.4775, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 37.931, "market_share_latest_pct": 34.26767696439749, "market_share_change_1y_pp": 33.75802011842171, "peer_best_share_pct": 34.267676964397474, "peer_top_exporter": "DEU", "supplier_count_latest": 16, "buyer_market_hhi": 1963.21, "distance_km": 16562.724609375, "has_reported_fta": 0, "applied_tariff_pct": 0.07801678194032918, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "volatility_cv": 1.161226254493332, "max_drawdown_pct": 98.02210434666898, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": "['high_volatility','declining_buyer_demand','long_distance_without_fta']", "signal_flag": "Accelerating", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 480100, "corridor_rank": 95, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "ROU", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 4804693.383220828, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 3349138.812385912, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 4326738.341777713, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 3155977.3263660287, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 2220844.36022832, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": 46.330324325462094, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": 23.794032501242945, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": 12.292103960077938, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 13253168.475834655, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 12949700.30866404, "historical_peak_year": 2009, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 55.172413793103445, "trend_acceleration_pct": 34.038220365384156, "trend_label": "Rapid growth", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": -21.6708, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 10.9048, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 48.2759, "market_share_latest_pct": 37.10273804565371, "market_share_change_1y_pp": 7.017084344857221, "peer_best_share_pct": 37.1027380456537, "peer_top_exporter": "DEU", "supplier_count_latest": 25, "buyer_market_hhi": 1961.59, "distance_km": null, "has_reported_fta": null, "applied_tariff_pct": 0.13242878806584357, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0.13242878806584357, "volatility_cv": 0.9646828732297936, "max_drawdown_pct": 94.35483965576138, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": "['unrecovered_drawdown']", "signal_flag": "Growing", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" } ], "prices": [], "priceSummary": { "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "hs_code": 480100, "num_markets": 112, "highest_price_importer_iso3": "LKA", "highest_price_usd_per_ton": 50000, "lowest_price_importer_iso3": "ARE", "lowest_price_usd_per_ton": 12.466522498544457, "median_price_across_markets": 687.4941261238683, "price_spread_pct": 7270.976082273468, "avg_quantity_metric_tons": 6102.349072538859, "total_trade_value_usd": 1559572592 }, "history": [ { "year": 2010, "export_value_usd": 538518100.4886491, "active_destinations": 93, "yoy_growth_pct": -7.782719770897593 }, { "year": 2011, "export_value_usd": 570492879.2815825, "active_destinations": 87, "yoy_growth_pct": 5.937549501849531 }, { "year": 2012, "export_value_usd": 437055532.5181626, "active_destinations": 100, "yoy_growth_pct": -23.389835633260937 }, { "year": 2013, "export_value_usd": 428858859.0921211, "active_destinations": 97, "yoy_growth_pct": -1.8754306526713185 }, { "year": 2014, "export_value_usd": 430668343.36204404, "active_destinations": 83, "yoy_growth_pct": 0.42193001999621177 }, { "year": 2015, "export_value_usd": 361064049.09081477, "active_destinations": 86, "yoy_growth_pct": -16.161924911373386 }, { "year": 2016, "export_value_usd": 339292458.68544513, "active_destinations": 93, "yoy_growth_pct": -6.029841647262326 }, { "year": 2017, "export_value_usd": 329327840.2420192, "active_destinations": 94, "yoy_growth_pct": -2.936881792785161 }, { "year": 2018, "export_value_usd": 291640132.2735235, "active_destinations": 90, "yoy_growth_pct": -11.443826899298708 }, { "year": 2019, "export_value_usd": 275768137.80188525, "active_destinations": 83, "yoy_growth_pct": -5.4423217915537885 }, { "year": 2020, "export_value_usd": 207068333.79504797, "active_destinations": 76, "yoy_growth_pct": -24.91216155515107 }, { "year": 2021, "export_value_usd": 254848523.0811659, "active_destinations": 86, "yoy_growth_pct": 23.074599776038088 }, { "year": 2022, "export_value_usd": 412517045.97551453, "active_destinations": 81, "yoy_growth_pct": 61.867544291843224 }, { "year": 2023, "export_value_usd": 315108802.86282486, "active_destinations": 81, "yoy_growth_pct": -23.613143762905608 }, { "year": 2024, "export_value_usd": 277412196.1803703, "active_destinations": 80, "yoy_growth_pct": -11.963044618231407 } ], "economy": { "year": 2024, "country_iso3": "DEU", "exports_usd": 1556773836581.939, "imports_usd": 1317565125540.067, "trade_balance_usd": 239208711041.87207, "yoy_exports_growth_pct": -4.920181070331687, "yoy_imports_growth_pct": -5.864236583999549, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": -0.27823928798644815, "imports_cagr_3y_pct": -0.9610037823739925, "export_partner_hhi": 438.209471440054, "export_product_hhi": 54.022047395285114, "momentum_score": -3.527598535628115, "risk_score": 2.4611575941766954, "gdp_million_usd": 4685592.5778046865, "gdp_per_capita_usd": 56103.73231825545, "population": 83516593, "labor_force": 43123.3, "investment_rate_pct": 22.08, "savings_rate_pct": 27.68, "secondary_education_pct": 95.9, "tertiary_education_pct": 20.06, "total_factor_productivity": 2376, "trade_openness_pct": 64.10501996682734, "exports_gdp_pct": 34.71998925424008, "num_active_partners": 1080, "num_fta_partners": 214, "num_wto_partners": 676, "num_eu_partners": 112, "num_shared_border_partners": 18, "num_shared_language_partners": 8, "avg_partner_distance_km": 6605.880658436214, "avg_partner_gdp_million_usd": 533678518.3258193, "avg_partner_gdp_per_capita_usd": 15.774186170212737, "avg_buyer_biz_entry_days": null, "avg_buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "pct_partners_with_fta": 19.814814814814817, "pct_partners_shared_language": 0.7407407407407408, "pct_partners_shared_border": 1.6666666666666667, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 0.12742739700531733, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 0.12991419306435142, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0.024712068784908343, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0.10520212427944309, "avg_distance_all_partners_km": 6614.911529962142, "num_border_partners": 360, "num_colonial_partners": 384, "avg_substitution_elasticity": -10.91665015154679, "pct_products_high_elasticity": 76.04527604527604, "pct_products_low_elasticity": 2.6565026565026564, "real_market_potential": 2800764.90471021, "foreign_market_potential": 32561.235292050776 } }