{ "template": "T3", "templateName": "Product Exporter Position Profile", "source": "api", "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com" }, "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/exporter/deu/440139", "links": { "product": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/product/440139", "exporter": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/exporter/deu/440139", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology" }, "methodology": { "summary": "Reported exporter totals are combined with destination, price, history, and country-context observations. Growth, concentration, weighted share, volatility, drawdown, and price-position values are calculated indicators rather than additional reported trade.", "reportedValues": "Merchandise trade observations for an exporter, HS6 product, destination market, and available year.", "destinations": "Destination rows are ranked by latest observed exporter-lane value.", "prices": "Unit values are reported trade value divided by reported quantity where quantity is positive.", "missingData": "Missing values are shown as Not reported and are not imputed." }, "exporter": { "hs_code": "440139", "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "first_data_year": 1995, "latest_data_year": 2024, "observed_lane_count": 139, "current_lane_count": 73, "active_market_count": 73, "exports_latest_observed_lanes_usd": 45337779.99614114, "exports_current_2024_usd": 45137553.14536851, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 47068314.30052903, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 41381751.617973045, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 31112782.727418207, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": 7.081703664986105, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": 11.441145641035689, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": 7.360252072888063, "exports_all_year_lane_avg_usd": 18503943.658036105, "exports_historical_lane_peak_usd": 81153950.7643762, "historical_peak_year": 2023, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 68.96551724137932, "trend_acceleration_pct": -0.27854840790195734, "trend_label": "Growing", "top_market_iso3": "AUT", "top_market_exports_usd": 9649773.606776446, "top_market_share_pct": 21.28417758345859, "destination_hhi": 947.1655476400146, "weighted_share_latest_pct": 36.30771625647686, "weighted_share_change_1y_pp": 5.00189534392197, "weighted_volatility_cv": 1.2542204767321834, "weighted_max_drawdown_pct": 81.29105230859001, "limited_history_lane_share_pct": 26.618705035971225, "data_freshness_years": 0, "coverage_score": 100, "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:28:35", "source": "api", "product": { "hs_code": 440139, "hs_description": "Wood: for fuel, sawdust and wood waste and scrap, whether or not agglomerated in logs, briquettes, pellets or similar forms: other than wood pellets", "hs_chapter": 44, "hs_heading": 4401, "substitution_elasticity": null, "price_range_label": null, "trade_type_label": null }, "hs_description": "Wood: for fuel, sawdust and wood waste and scrap, whether or not agglomerated in logs, briquettes, pellets or similar forms: other than wood pellets", "hs_chapter": 44, "hs_heading": 4401, "destinations": [ { "hs_code": 440139, "corridor_rank": 6, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "AUT", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 9649773.606776446, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 3236077.3813928845, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 8690384.396736322, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 7481144.407939556, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 5732975.6103452165, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": 14.674983255134123, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": 13.3823656629378, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": 8.381114860795602, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 9649773.606776446, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 20457518.682768792, "historical_peak_year": 2024, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 62.06896551724138, "trend_acceleration_pct": 6.293868394338521, "trend_label": "Rapid growth", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": -13.4138, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 16.2939, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 58.6207, "market_share_latest_pct": 47.16981446486163, "market_share_change_1y_pp": 13.169626857727991, "peer_best_share_pct": 47.169814464861645, "peer_top_exporter": "DEU", "supplier_count_latest": 34, "buyer_market_hhi": 2583.12, "distance_km": 763.7313842773438, "has_reported_fta": 1, "applied_tariff_pct": 0.04880302040329218, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0.04880302040329218, "volatility_cv": 0.7994790690401564, "max_drawdown_pct": 70.8805644869634, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": "['concentrated_buyer_market']", "signal_flag": "Growing", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 440139, "corridor_rank": 11, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "BEL", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 26, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 6101611.143704088, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 1211454.8856146974, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 5278095.1426330125, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 3591404.7536378196, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 2256401.2060046336, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": 66.71112394823189, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": 46.856173215008546, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": 16.83295438170498, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 6101611.143704088, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 26061801.835852087, "historical_peak_year": 2024, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 56, "trend_acceleration_pct": 49.87816956652691, "trend_label": "Rapid growth", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": -13.4178, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 16.2729, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 52, "market_share_latest_pct": 23.412084790355394, "market_share_change_1y_pp": 5.519506571239571, "peer_best_share_pct": 35.45913565339025, "peer_top_exporter": "NLD", "supplier_count_latest": 31, "buyer_market_hhi": 2201.52, "distance_km": 196.8760986328125, "has_reported_fta": 1, "applied_tariff_pct": 0, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0, "volatility_cv": 1.2656106275064167, "max_drawdown_pct": 65.53034727090231, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": "['high_volatility']", "signal_flag": "Accelerating", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 440139, "corridor_rank": 19, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 3769440.2382314107, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 842540.1130945281, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 2719238.6720758253, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 2265117.586747368, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 1673148.9226873242, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": 18.476138927654983, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": 18.707860814813394, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": 10.621088975636361, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 3769440.2382314107, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 14441814.122807581, "historical_peak_year": 2024, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 55.172413793103445, "trend_acceleration_pct": 7.855049952018621, "trend_label": "Rapid growth", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": -25.0623, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 16.4715, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 58.6207, "market_share_latest_pct": 26.100877674906737, "market_share_change_1y_pp": 13.648498312687606, "peer_best_share_pct": 26.100877674906727, "peer_top_exporter": "DEU", "supplier_count_latest": 34, "buyer_market_hhi": 1376.58, "distance_km": 1146.023193359375, "has_reported_fta": 1, "applied_tariff_pct": 0, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0, "volatility_cv": 1.0656248269499877, "max_drawdown_pct": 64.07518738333951, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": "['high_volatility']", "signal_flag": "Accelerating", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 440139, "corridor_rank": 38, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "NLD", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 1844460.9635469248, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 3860380.5656905365, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 2199798.2601096244, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 4967200.448491676, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 4602048.706496429, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": -41.04784011059799, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": -26.456930752436257, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": -11.369566427734101, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 10860856.053098766, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 12007169.671011973, "historical_peak_year": 2007, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 48.275862068965516, "trend_acceleration_pct": -29.67827368286389, "trend_label": "Rapid decline", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": -16.3847, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 12.7366, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 55.1724, "market_share_latest_pct": 15.361330055990392, "market_share_change_1y_pp": -7.440570184392312, "peer_best_share_pct": 33.24610782852315, "peer_top_exporter": "BEL", "supplier_count_latest": 44, "buyer_market_hhi": 1673.84, "distance_km": 173.52386474609375, "has_reported_fta": 1, "applied_tariff_pct": 0, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0, "volatility_cv": 0.6929307323921883, "max_drawdown_pct": 86.36774675404874, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": "['unrecovered_drawdown']", "signal_flag": "Stable", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 440139, "corridor_rank": 44, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "FRA", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 1531817.9092496242, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 1300406.673466458, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 3284579.003394118, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 2854799.7322184723, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 2347168.315626756, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": -17.770736008036348, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": -6.14005125017335, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": -3.6259669816517293, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 4334526.974602304, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 16569273.842340223, "historical_peak_year": 2022, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 58.62068965517241, "trend_acceleration_pct": -14.144769026384619, "trend_label": "Rapid decline", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": -38.3984, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 12.0624, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 72.4138, "market_share_latest_pct": 9.244930851075077, "market_share_change_1y_pp": -5.579483919975937, "peer_best_share_pct": 41.82918630535775, "peer_top_exporter": "ESP", "supplier_count_latest": 48, "buyer_market_hhi": 2408.77, "distance_km": 439.8984375, "has_reported_fta": 1, "applied_tariff_pct": 0, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0, "volatility_cv": 0.7893103879177172, "max_drawdown_pct": 70.57467285924109, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": "['unrecovered_drawdown']", "signal_flag": "Stable", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 440139, "corridor_rank": 58, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "USA", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 28, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 1053217.3592472463, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 100916.69599124473, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 684603.0568649059, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 481249.2272507123, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 267099.57589661644, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": 54.043950310410004, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": 52.65246288493368, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": 73.13081710542531, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 1053217.3592472463, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 44302716.874809824, "historical_peak_year": 2024, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 55.55555555555556, "trend_acceleration_pct": -19.086866795015304, "trend_label": "Rapid growth", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": -1.8349, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 4.466, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 48.2759, "market_share_latest_pct": 2.377320023562928, "market_share_change_1y_pp": 1.2284618318240357, "peer_best_share_pct": 91.02324395700627, "peer_top_exporter": "CAN", "supplier_count_latest": 34, "buyer_market_hhi": 8298.74, "distance_km": 6035.33447265625, "has_reported_fta": 0, "applied_tariff_pct": 0.04660416541625514, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "volatility_cv": 2.2522956954631037, "max_drawdown_pct": 99.61177535670504, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": "['high_volatility','concentrated_buyer_market','dominant_supplier']", "signal_flag": "Accelerating", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 440139, "corridor_rank": 60, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "DNK", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 957802.7318734305, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 190060.0947089243, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 1178104.8850769128, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 760702.8068923091, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 423329.78785705304, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": 63.46477104249253, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": 134.93784948483372, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": 17.88549715683374, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 1962067.9056449626, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 17890348.776846536, "historical_peak_year": 2023, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 65.51724137931035, "trend_acceleration_pct": 45.57927388565879, "trend_label": "Rapid growth", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": -6.1295, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 20.4228, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 72.4138, "market_share_latest_pct": 5.353739850578021, "market_share_change_1y_pp": -4.941207871546334, "peer_best_share_pct": 25.065390730024422, "peer_top_exporter": "SWE", "supplier_count_latest": 31, "buyer_market_hhi": 1651.89, "distance_km": 595.8535766601562, "has_reported_fta": 1, "applied_tariff_pct": 0, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0, "volatility_cv": 2.017038999310552, "max_drawdown_pct": 95.26804325847829, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": "['high_volatility','unrecovered_drawdown']", "signal_flag": "Growing", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 440139, "corridor_rank": 84, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 461975.1594687542, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 206328.28325513838, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 486603.46108592855, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 582452.1126418175, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 307843.9392242755, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": -18.033342773406915, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": 69.9659249648487, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": 23.396802193162603, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 986428.809817, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 30746976.732181333, "historical_peak_year": 2010, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 58.62068965517241, "trend_acceleration_pct": -41.430144966569515, "trend_label": "Rapid decline", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": -13.7497, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 30.0227, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 65.5172, "market_share_latest_pct": 1.5025059650343695, "market_share_change_1y_pp": -0.07875816104719302, "peer_best_share_pct": 41.13423895161274, "peer_top_exporter": "IRL", "supplier_count_latest": 40, "buyer_market_hhi": 2410.6, "distance_km": 495.36328125, "has_reported_fta": 1, "applied_tariff_pct": 0, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0, "volatility_cv": 1.3430161949937243, "max_drawdown_pct": 99.72791560157594, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": "['high_volatility','unrecovered_drawdown']", "signal_flag": "Growing", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" } ], "priceSummary": { "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "hs_code": 440139, "num_markets": 94, "highest_price_importer_iso3": "IDN", "highest_price_usd_per_ton": 56000, "lowest_price_importer_iso3": "AUS", "lowest_price_usd_per_ton": 7.717653940043915, "median_price_across_markets": 523.6469667875684, "price_spread_pct": 10692.754068558319, "avg_quantity_metric_tons": 2542.5155432432425, "total_trade_value_usd": 145233822 }, "history": [ { "year": 2010, "export_value_usd": 19618579.430861145, "active_destinations": 80, "yoy_growth_pct": -21.623104083276733 }, { "year": 2011, "export_value_usd": 21466502.24682477, "active_destinations": 84, "yoy_growth_pct": 9.419248842537181 }, { "year": 2012, "export_value_usd": 19623490.483989798, "active_destinations": 87, "yoy_growth_pct": -8.585524281710047 }, { "year": 2013, "export_value_usd": 20397609.52784542, "active_destinations": 87, "yoy_growth_pct": 3.9448590682029905 }, { "year": 2014, "export_value_usd": 22187214.786717385, "active_destinations": 89, "yoy_growth_pct": 8.773602889245028 }, { "year": 2015, "export_value_usd": 18063116.045922484, "active_destinations": 88, "yoy_growth_pct": -18.587726221787136 }, { "year": 2016, "export_value_usd": 19398870.790435504, "active_destinations": 90, "yoy_growth_pct": 7.3949297624899515 }, { "year": 2017, "export_value_usd": 17951491.44321407, "active_destinations": 82, "yoy_growth_pct": -7.461152573556269 }, { "year": 2018, "export_value_usd": 22544656.654800463, "active_destinations": 78, "yoy_growth_pct": 25.586538177710455 }, { "year": 2019, "export_value_usd": 26260934.249944363, "active_destinations": 83, "yoy_growth_pct": 16.484072709763744 }, { "year": 2020, "export_value_usd": 28942402.169511613, "active_destinations": 73, "yoy_growth_pct": 10.210862622196812 }, { "year": 2021, "export_value_usd": 36761413.01876646, "active_destinations": 78, "yoy_growth_pct": 27.015763250956137 }, { "year": 2022, "export_value_usd": 43676048.22226723, "active_destinations": 79, "yoy_growth_pct": 18.80949244244473 }, { "year": 2023, "export_value_usd": 52391341.53395135, "active_destinations": 76, "yoy_growth_pct": 19.95439987457662 }, { "year": 2024, "export_value_usd": 45137553.1453685, "active_destinations": 73, "yoy_growth_pct": -13.845395395882637 } ], "economy": { "year": 2024, "country_iso3": "DEU", "exports_usd": 1556773836581.939, "imports_usd": 1317565125540.067, "trade_balance_usd": 239208711041.87207, "yoy_exports_growth_pct": -4.920181070331687, "yoy_imports_growth_pct": -5.864236583999549, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": -0.27823928798644815, "imports_cagr_3y_pct": -0.9610037823739925, "export_partner_hhi": 438.209471440054, "export_product_hhi": 54.022047395285114, "momentum_score": -3.527598535628115, "risk_score": 2.4611575941766954, "gdp_million_usd": 4685592.5778046865, "gdp_per_capita_usd": 56103.73231825545, "population": 83516593, "labor_force": 43123.3, "investment_rate_pct": 22.08, "savings_rate_pct": 27.68, "secondary_education_pct": 95.9, "tertiary_education_pct": 20.06, "total_factor_productivity": 2376, "trade_openness_pct": 64.10501996682734, "exports_gdp_pct": 34.71998925424008, "num_active_partners": 1080, "num_fta_partners": 214, "num_wto_partners": 676, "num_eu_partners": 112, "num_shared_border_partners": 18, "num_shared_language_partners": 8, "avg_partner_distance_km": 6605.880658436214, "avg_partner_gdp_million_usd": 533678518.3258193, "avg_partner_gdp_per_capita_usd": 15.774186170212737, "avg_buyer_biz_entry_days": null, "avg_buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "pct_partners_with_fta": 19.814814814814817, "pct_partners_shared_language": 0.7407407407407408, "pct_partners_shared_border": 1.6666666666666667, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 0.12742739700531733, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 0.12991419306435142, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0.024712068784908343, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0.10520212427944309, "avg_distance_all_partners_km": 6614.911529962142, "num_border_partners": 360, "num_colonial_partners": 384, "avg_substitution_elasticity": -10.91665015154679, "pct_products_high_elasticity": 76.04527604527604, "pct_products_low_elasticity": 2.6565026565026564, "real_market_potential": 2800764.90471021, "foreign_market_potential": 32561.235292050776 }, "countryMap": {} }, "product": { "hs_code": "440139", "hs_description": "Wood: for fuel, sawdust and wood waste and scrap, whether or not agglomerated in logs, briquettes, pellets or similar forms: other than wood pellets", "hs_chapter": 44, "hs_heading": 4401 }, "destinations": [ { "hs_code": 440139, "corridor_rank": 6, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "AUT", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 9649773.606776446, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 3236077.3813928845, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 8690384.396736322, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 7481144.407939556, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 5732975.6103452165, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": 14.674983255134123, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": 13.3823656629378, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": 8.381114860795602, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 9649773.606776446, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 20457518.682768792, "historical_peak_year": 2024, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 62.06896551724138, "trend_acceleration_pct": 6.293868394338521, "trend_label": "Rapid growth", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": -13.4138, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 16.2939, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 58.6207, "market_share_latest_pct": 47.16981446486163, "market_share_change_1y_pp": 13.169626857727991, "peer_best_share_pct": 47.169814464861645, "peer_top_exporter": "DEU", "supplier_count_latest": 34, "buyer_market_hhi": 2583.12, "distance_km": 763.7313842773438, "has_reported_fta": 1, "applied_tariff_pct": 0.04880302040329218, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0.04880302040329218, "volatility_cv": 0.7994790690401564, "max_drawdown_pct": 70.8805644869634, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": "['concentrated_buyer_market']", "signal_flag": "Growing", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 440139, "corridor_rank": 11, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "BEL", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 26, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 6101611.143704088, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 1211454.8856146974, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 5278095.1426330125, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 3591404.7536378196, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 2256401.2060046336, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": 66.71112394823189, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": 46.856173215008546, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": 16.83295438170498, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 6101611.143704088, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 26061801.835852087, "historical_peak_year": 2024, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 56, "trend_acceleration_pct": 49.87816956652691, "trend_label": "Rapid growth", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": -13.4178, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 16.2729, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 52, "market_share_latest_pct": 23.412084790355394, "market_share_change_1y_pp": 5.519506571239571, "peer_best_share_pct": 35.45913565339025, "peer_top_exporter": "NLD", "supplier_count_latest": 31, "buyer_market_hhi": 2201.52, "distance_km": 196.8760986328125, "has_reported_fta": 1, "applied_tariff_pct": 0, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0, "volatility_cv": 1.2656106275064167, "max_drawdown_pct": 65.53034727090231, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": "['high_volatility']", "signal_flag": "Accelerating", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 440139, "corridor_rank": 19, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 3769440.2382314107, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 842540.1130945281, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 2719238.6720758253, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 2265117.586747368, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 1673148.9226873242, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": 18.476138927654983, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": 18.707860814813394, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": 10.621088975636361, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 3769440.2382314107, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 14441814.122807581, "historical_peak_year": 2024, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 55.172413793103445, "trend_acceleration_pct": 7.855049952018621, "trend_label": "Rapid growth", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": -25.0623, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 16.4715, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 58.6207, "market_share_latest_pct": 26.100877674906737, "market_share_change_1y_pp": 13.648498312687606, "peer_best_share_pct": 26.100877674906727, "peer_top_exporter": "DEU", "supplier_count_latest": 34, "buyer_market_hhi": 1376.58, "distance_km": 1146.023193359375, "has_reported_fta": 1, "applied_tariff_pct": 0, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0, "volatility_cv": 1.0656248269499877, "max_drawdown_pct": 64.07518738333951, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": "['high_volatility']", "signal_flag": "Accelerating", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 440139, "corridor_rank": 38, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "NLD", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 1844460.9635469248, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 3860380.5656905365, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 2199798.2601096244, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 4967200.448491676, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 4602048.706496429, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": -41.04784011059799, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": -26.456930752436257, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": -11.369566427734101, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 10860856.053098766, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 12007169.671011973, "historical_peak_year": 2007, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 48.275862068965516, "trend_acceleration_pct": -29.67827368286389, "trend_label": "Rapid decline", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": -16.3847, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 12.7366, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 55.1724, "market_share_latest_pct": 15.361330055990392, "market_share_change_1y_pp": -7.440570184392312, "peer_best_share_pct": 33.24610782852315, "peer_top_exporter": "BEL", "supplier_count_latest": 44, "buyer_market_hhi": 1673.84, "distance_km": 173.52386474609375, "has_reported_fta": 1, "applied_tariff_pct": 0, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0, "volatility_cv": 0.6929307323921883, "max_drawdown_pct": 86.36774675404874, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": "['unrecovered_drawdown']", "signal_flag": "Stable", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 440139, "corridor_rank": 44, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "FRA", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 1531817.9092496242, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 1300406.673466458, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 3284579.003394118, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 2854799.7322184723, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 2347168.315626756, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": -17.770736008036348, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": -6.14005125017335, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": -3.6259669816517293, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 4334526.974602304, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 16569273.842340223, "historical_peak_year": 2022, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 58.62068965517241, "trend_acceleration_pct": -14.144769026384619, "trend_label": "Rapid decline", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": -38.3984, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 12.0624, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 72.4138, "market_share_latest_pct": 9.244930851075077, "market_share_change_1y_pp": -5.579483919975937, "peer_best_share_pct": 41.82918630535775, "peer_top_exporter": "ESP", "supplier_count_latest": 48, "buyer_market_hhi": 2408.77, "distance_km": 439.8984375, "has_reported_fta": 1, "applied_tariff_pct": 0, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0, "volatility_cv": 0.7893103879177172, "max_drawdown_pct": 70.57467285924109, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": "['unrecovered_drawdown']", "signal_flag": "Stable", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 440139, "corridor_rank": 58, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "USA", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 28, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 1053217.3592472463, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 100916.69599124473, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 684603.0568649059, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 481249.2272507123, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 267099.57589661644, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": 54.043950310410004, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": 52.65246288493368, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": 73.13081710542531, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 1053217.3592472463, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 44302716.874809824, "historical_peak_year": 2024, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 55.55555555555556, "trend_acceleration_pct": -19.086866795015304, "trend_label": "Rapid growth", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": -1.8349, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 4.466, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 48.2759, "market_share_latest_pct": 2.377320023562928, "market_share_change_1y_pp": 1.2284618318240357, "peer_best_share_pct": 91.02324395700627, "peer_top_exporter": "CAN", "supplier_count_latest": 34, "buyer_market_hhi": 8298.74, "distance_km": 6035.33447265625, "has_reported_fta": 0, "applied_tariff_pct": 0.04660416541625514, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "volatility_cv": 2.2522956954631037, "max_drawdown_pct": 99.61177535670504, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": "['high_volatility','concentrated_buyer_market','dominant_supplier']", "signal_flag": "Accelerating", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 440139, "corridor_rank": 60, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "DNK", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 957802.7318734305, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 190060.0947089243, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 1178104.8850769128, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 760702.8068923091, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 423329.78785705304, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": 63.46477104249253, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": 134.93784948483372, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": 17.88549715683374, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 1962067.9056449626, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 17890348.776846536, "historical_peak_year": 2023, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 65.51724137931035, "trend_acceleration_pct": 45.57927388565879, "trend_label": "Rapid growth", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": -6.1295, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 20.4228, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 72.4138, "market_share_latest_pct": 5.353739850578021, "market_share_change_1y_pp": -4.941207871546334, "peer_best_share_pct": 25.065390730024422, "peer_top_exporter": "SWE", "supplier_count_latest": 31, "buyer_market_hhi": 1651.89, "distance_km": 595.8535766601562, "has_reported_fta": 1, "applied_tariff_pct": 0, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0, "volatility_cv": 2.017038999310552, "max_drawdown_pct": 95.26804325847829, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": "['high_volatility','unrecovered_drawdown']", "signal_flag": "Growing", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 440139, "corridor_rank": 84, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 461975.1594687542, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 206328.28325513838, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 486603.46108592855, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 582452.1126418175, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 307843.9392242755, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": -18.033342773406915, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": 69.9659249648487, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": 23.396802193162603, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 986428.809817, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 30746976.732181333, "historical_peak_year": 2010, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 58.62068965517241, "trend_acceleration_pct": -41.430144966569515, "trend_label": "Rapid decline", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": -13.7497, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 30.0227, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 65.5172, "market_share_latest_pct": 1.5025059650343695, "market_share_change_1y_pp": -0.07875816104719302, "peer_best_share_pct": 41.13423895161274, "peer_top_exporter": "IRL", "supplier_count_latest": 40, "buyer_market_hhi": 2410.6, "distance_km": 495.36328125, "has_reported_fta": 1, "applied_tariff_pct": 0, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0, "volatility_cv": 1.3430161949937243, "max_drawdown_pct": 99.72791560157594, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": "['high_volatility','unrecovered_drawdown']", "signal_flag": "Growing", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" } ], "prices": [], "priceSummary": { "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "hs_code": 440139, "num_markets": 94, "highest_price_importer_iso3": "IDN", "highest_price_usd_per_ton": 56000, "lowest_price_importer_iso3": "AUS", "lowest_price_usd_per_ton": 7.717653940043915, "median_price_across_markets": 523.6469667875684, "price_spread_pct": 10692.754068558319, "avg_quantity_metric_tons": 2542.5155432432425, "total_trade_value_usd": 145233822 }, "history": [ { "year": 2010, "export_value_usd": 19618579.430861145, "active_destinations": 80, "yoy_growth_pct": -21.623104083276733 }, { "year": 2011, "export_value_usd": 21466502.24682477, "active_destinations": 84, "yoy_growth_pct": 9.419248842537181 }, { "year": 2012, "export_value_usd": 19623490.483989798, "active_destinations": 87, "yoy_growth_pct": -8.585524281710047 }, { "year": 2013, "export_value_usd": 20397609.52784542, "active_destinations": 87, "yoy_growth_pct": 3.9448590682029905 }, { "year": 2014, "export_value_usd": 22187214.786717385, "active_destinations": 89, "yoy_growth_pct": 8.773602889245028 }, { "year": 2015, "export_value_usd": 18063116.045922484, "active_destinations": 88, "yoy_growth_pct": -18.587726221787136 }, { "year": 2016, "export_value_usd": 19398870.790435504, "active_destinations": 90, "yoy_growth_pct": 7.3949297624899515 }, { "year": 2017, "export_value_usd": 17951491.44321407, "active_destinations": 82, "yoy_growth_pct": -7.461152573556269 }, { "year": 2018, "export_value_usd": 22544656.654800463, "active_destinations": 78, "yoy_growth_pct": 25.586538177710455 }, { "year": 2019, "export_value_usd": 26260934.249944363, "active_destinations": 83, "yoy_growth_pct": 16.484072709763744 }, { "year": 2020, "export_value_usd": 28942402.169511613, "active_destinations": 73, "yoy_growth_pct": 10.210862622196812 }, { "year": 2021, "export_value_usd": 36761413.01876646, "active_destinations": 78, "yoy_growth_pct": 27.015763250956137 }, { "year": 2022, "export_value_usd": 43676048.22226723, "active_destinations": 79, "yoy_growth_pct": 18.80949244244473 }, { "year": 2023, "export_value_usd": 52391341.53395135, "active_destinations": 76, "yoy_growth_pct": 19.95439987457662 }, { "year": 2024, "export_value_usd": 45137553.1453685, "active_destinations": 73, "yoy_growth_pct": -13.845395395882637 } ], "economy": { "year": 2024, "country_iso3": "DEU", "exports_usd": 1556773836581.939, "imports_usd": 1317565125540.067, "trade_balance_usd": 239208711041.87207, "yoy_exports_growth_pct": -4.920181070331687, "yoy_imports_growth_pct": -5.864236583999549, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": -0.27823928798644815, "imports_cagr_3y_pct": -0.9610037823739925, "export_partner_hhi": 438.209471440054, "export_product_hhi": 54.022047395285114, "momentum_score": -3.527598535628115, "risk_score": 2.4611575941766954, "gdp_million_usd": 4685592.5778046865, "gdp_per_capita_usd": 56103.73231825545, "population": 83516593, "labor_force": 43123.3, "investment_rate_pct": 22.08, "savings_rate_pct": 27.68, "secondary_education_pct": 95.9, "tertiary_education_pct": 20.06, "total_factor_productivity": 2376, "trade_openness_pct": 64.10501996682734, "exports_gdp_pct": 34.71998925424008, "num_active_partners": 1080, "num_fta_partners": 214, "num_wto_partners": 676, "num_eu_partners": 112, "num_shared_border_partners": 18, "num_shared_language_partners": 8, "avg_partner_distance_km": 6605.880658436214, "avg_partner_gdp_million_usd": 533678518.3258193, "avg_partner_gdp_per_capita_usd": 15.774186170212737, "avg_buyer_biz_entry_days": null, "avg_buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "pct_partners_with_fta": 19.814814814814817, "pct_partners_shared_language": 0.7407407407407408, "pct_partners_shared_border": 1.6666666666666667, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 0.12742739700531733, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 0.12991419306435142, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0.024712068784908343, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0.10520212427944309, "avg_distance_all_partners_km": 6614.911529962142, "num_border_partners": 360, "num_colonial_partners": 384, "avg_substitution_elasticity": -10.91665015154679, "pct_products_high_elasticity": 76.04527604527604, "pct_products_low_elasticity": 2.6565026565026564, "real_market_potential": 2800764.90471021, "foreign_market_potential": 32561.235292050776 } }