{ "template": "T3", "templateName": "Product Exporter Position Profile", "source": "api", "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com" }, "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/exporter/deu/410712", "links": { "product": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/product/410712", "exporter": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/exporter/deu/410712", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology" }, "methodology": { "summary": "Reported exporter totals are combined with destination, price, history, and country-context observations. Growth, concentration, weighted share, volatility, drawdown, and price-position values are calculated indicators rather than additional reported trade.", "reportedValues": "Merchandise trade observations for an exporter, HS6 product, destination market, and available year.", "destinations": "Destination rows are ranked by latest observed exporter-lane value.", "prices": "Unit values are reported trade value divided by reported quantity where quantity is positive.", "missingData": "Missing values are shown as Not reported and are not imputed." }, "exporter": { "hs_code": "410712", "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "first_data_year": 1995, "latest_data_year": 2024, "observed_lane_count": 130, "current_lane_count": 83, "active_market_count": 83, "exports_latest_observed_lanes_usd": 132857876.3157611, "exports_current_2024_usd": 132520620.49595416, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 161474862.17148963, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 171779834.96963394, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 218098631.72457448, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": -12.61676976875792, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": -10.315799200627218, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": -9.234167561083117, "exports_all_year_lane_avg_usd": 167406032.70491213, "exports_historical_lane_peak_usd": 471810085.7111814, "historical_peak_year": 2014, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 51.724137931034484, "trend_acceleration_pct": -3.382602207674802, "trend_label": "Rapid decline", "top_market_iso3": "HUN", "top_market_exports_usd": 41429259.75662045, "top_market_share_pct": 31.183141643899393, "destination_hhi": 1312.2462318660305, "weighted_share_latest_pct": 22.270671633806682, "weighted_share_change_1y_pp": 3.5762234956948564, "weighted_volatility_cv": 0.751608184889405, "weighted_max_drawdown_pct": 83.31071621231945, "limited_history_lane_share_pct": 28.46153846153846, "data_freshness_years": 0, "coverage_score": 100, "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:28:35", "source": "api", "product": { "hs_code": 410712, "hs_description": "Leather: further prepared after tanning or crusting, including parchment-dressed leather, of bovine (including buffalo) or equine animals, without hair on, other than leather of heading 41.14, whole hides and skins, grain splits", "hs_chapter": 41, "hs_heading": 4107, "substitution_elasticity": -7.1337252, "price_range_label": null, "trade_type_label": null }, "hs_description": "Leather: further prepared after tanning or crusting, including parchment-dressed leather, of bovine (including buffalo) or equine animals, without hair on, other than leather of heading 41.14, whole hides and skins, grain splits", "hs_chapter": 41, "hs_heading": 4107, "destinations": [ { "hs_code": 410712, "corridor_rank": 17, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "HUN", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 41429259.75662045, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 50608671.46234559, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 37885071.80714602, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 37982231.70141427, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 62071557.34792737, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": 2.2352335874336937, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": -8.834661226058572, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": -9.645348175893576, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 114235741.86094035, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 81224137.75498556, "historical_peak_year": 2014, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 48.275862068965516, "trend_acceleration_pct": 11.88058176332727, "trend_label": "Stable", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": 1.4806, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 90.6725, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 55.1724, "market_share_latest_pct": 51.00609363388104, "market_share_change_1y_pp": 13.636468848228475, "peer_best_share_pct": 51.00609363388104, "peer_top_exporter": "DEU", "supplier_count_latest": 29, "buyer_market_hhi": 3244.93, "distance_km": 976.2567138671875, "has_reported_fta": 1, "applied_tariff_pct": 0.08276851853292182, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0.08276851853292182, "volatility_cv": 0.6603306585483111, "max_drawdown_pct": 94.4627187665818, "attention_level": "Critical attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": "['unrecovered_drawdown','concentrated_buyer_market','dominant_supplier']", "signal_flag": "Growing", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 410712, "corridor_rank": 39, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "FRA", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 12500209.975188402, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 9366716.953456668, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 14682822.434045343, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 15326405.91937102, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 13920920.630336052, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": -5.453476939728752, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": 1.8912368031948734, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": -5.5536493953720845, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 22134284.778994646, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 115518939.20087174, "historical_peak_year": 2014, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 62.06896551724138, "trend_acceleration_pct": 0.10017245564333255, "trend_label": "Declining", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": 15.1175, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 26.155, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 58.6207, "market_share_latest_pct": 10.820918250861217, "market_share_change_1y_pp": -5.184646659201222, "peer_best_share_pct": 61.37890777294805, "peer_top_exporter": "ITA", "supplier_count_latest": 38, "buyer_market_hhi": 4132.22, "distance_km": 439.8984375, "has_reported_fta": 1, "applied_tariff_pct": 0, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0, "volatility_cv": 0.609211883567169, "max_drawdown_pct": 53.01144876341216, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": "['concentrated_buyer_market','dominant_supplier']", "signal_flag": "Growing", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 410712, "corridor_rank": 44, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "USA", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 11920707.72779354, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 8324351.665982076, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 10315533.758060971, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 9530127.477021733, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 9887690.23534056, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": 4.237851481603894, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": 12.666362319028647, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": -1.4463045700085386, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 17604431.149854828, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 232938925.41131032, "historical_peak_year": 2002, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 48.275862068965516, "trend_acceleration_pct": 5.684156051612432, "trend_label": "Growing", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": 8.9694, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 44.37, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 55.1724, "market_share_latest_pct": 5.11752499361995, "market_share_change_1y_pp": 1.6323251253820956, "peer_best_share_pct": 41.0945883545561, "peer_top_exporter": "ITA", "supplier_count_latest": 50, "buyer_market_hhi": 3056.69, "distance_km": 6035.33447265625, "has_reported_fta": 0, "applied_tariff_pct": 0.04660416541625514, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "volatility_cv": 0.5763737231269485, "max_drawdown_pct": 70.46759229015063, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": "['concentrated_buyer_market']", "signal_flag": "Growing", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 410712, "corridor_rank": 51, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "SVK", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 10020354.9883691, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 12977219.048819946, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 24010184.79034393, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 25771981.21124501, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 27933836.02402855, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": -32.17504053698765, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": -16.970224301263027, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": -12.839877950920497, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 47009182.736975245, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 41268725.312168606, "historical_peak_year": 2022, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 58.62068965517241, "trend_acceleration_pct": -19.335162586067156, "trend_label": "Rapid decline", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": -19.3286, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 18.8206, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 58.6207, "market_share_latest_pct": 24.2807474972203, "market_share_change_1y_pp": -5.042998346274832, "peer_best_share_pct": 51.72060600867936, "peer_top_exporter": "ITA", "supplier_count_latest": 22, "buyer_market_hhi": 3433.11, "distance_km": 817.4212036132812, "has_reported_fta": 1, "applied_tariff_pct": 0.022876280297619046, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0.022876280297619046, "volatility_cv": 1.1030286433468577, "max_drawdown_pct": 91.09908950550289, "attention_level": "Critical attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": "['high_volatility','unrecovered_drawdown','concentrated_buyer_market','dominant_supplier']", "signal_flag": "Growing", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 410712, "corridor_rank": 65, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 7170442.364555283, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 4718598.28516458, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 7275028.207171456, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 6412999.851642448, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 6987694.167853492, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": 6.609698371126149, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": 5.92138296585909, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": -9.903305654163585, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 20344985.261445325, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 147004961.27587894, "historical_peak_year": 2014, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 55.172413793103445, "trend_acceleration_pct": 16.513004025289735, "trend_label": "Growing", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": -9.1511, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 9.5251, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 48.2759, "market_share_latest_pct": 4.877687325871113, "market_share_change_1y_pp": 1.1112391748074653, "peer_best_share_pct": 37.50795145252535, "peer_top_exporter": "BRA", "supplier_count_latest": 59, "buyer_market_hhi": 1917.98, "distance_km": 1146.023193359375, "has_reported_fta": 1, "applied_tariff_pct": 0, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0, "volatility_cv": 0.9073713456527539, "max_drawdown_pct": 79.4437320895142, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": "['unrecovered_drawdown']", "signal_flag": "Growing", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 410712, "corridor_rank": 67, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 6670737.000506776, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 8529616.932775749, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 7068520.539025519, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 7942470.294972239, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 13014162.781064633, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": -9.15514945647552, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": -19.749325106241887, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": -10.156072796892811, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 20041505.923234545, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 76653895.34238917, "historical_peak_year": 2019, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 51.724137931034484, "trend_acceleration_pct": 1.000923340417291, "trend_label": "Declining", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": 2.6999, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 26.2099, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 48.2759, "market_share_latest_pct": 8.702410974302953, "market_share_change_1y_pp": -1.464710035692546, "peer_best_share_pct": 74.59841648976607, "peer_top_exporter": "ITA", "supplier_count_latest": 44, "buyer_market_hhi": 5691.52, "distance_km": 495.36328125, "has_reported_fta": 1, "applied_tariff_pct": 0, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0, "volatility_cv": 0.6936172773926663, "max_drawdown_pct": 66.71539041997214, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": "['unrecovered_drawdown','concentrated_buyer_market','dominant_supplier']", "signal_flag": "Growing", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 410712, "corridor_rank": 75, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "SRB", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 19, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 5852832.158037079, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 3379934.2185804383, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 4367116.762223779, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 4671214.528937116, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 5636245.532648691, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": 28.406560639357604, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": -3.09343580839192, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": 2.2440894804977685, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 8143115.755882602, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 127426169.87368175, "historical_peak_year": 2018, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 61.111111111111114, "trend_acceleration_pct": 26.162471158859837, "trend_label": "Rapid growth", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": 2.8877, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 15.2224, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 77.7778, "market_share_latest_pct": 4.593116283600945, "market_share_change_1y_pp": 0.9268007805602614, "peer_best_share_pct": 85.84623832129645, "peer_top_exporter": "ITA", "supplier_count_latest": 30, "buyer_market_hhi": 7408.21, "distance_km": null, "has_reported_fta": null, "applied_tariff_pct": 0.031489947997777774, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0.061736442826863705, "volatility_cv": 0.8458708993348885, "max_drawdown_pct": 88.69736092832028, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": "['concentrated_buyer_market','dominant_supplier']", "signal_flag": "Accelerating", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 410712, "corridor_rank": 87, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "POL", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 4876887.373196857, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 14831175.691578703, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 8882916.411363317, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 10552514.034802573, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 13279202.021749176, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": -29.93340597039439, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": -20.40466774650809, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": -15.680118298259282, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 40587384.807901606, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 99005737.47619338, "historical_peak_year": 2012, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 55.172413793103445, "trend_acceleration_pct": -14.253287672135107, "trend_label": "Rapid decline", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": -17.5928, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 24.3871, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 62.069, "market_share_latest_pct": 4.925863386825979, "market_share_change_1y_pp": -2.560381340631495, "peer_best_share_pct": 46.628742692112525, "peer_top_exporter": "ITA", "supplier_count_latest": 37, "buyer_market_hhi": 2590.26, "distance_km": 965.921142578125, "has_reported_fta": 1, "applied_tariff_pct": 0.08091394394890945, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0.04595302958827163, "volatility_cv": 0.7830168639054158, "max_drawdown_pct": 87.98422860630475, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": "['unrecovered_drawdown','concentrated_buyer_market']", "signal_flag": "Growing", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" } ], "priceSummary": { "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "hs_code": 410712, "num_markets": 98, "highest_price_importer_iso3": "FIN", "highest_price_usd_per_ton": 421841.0256410256, "lowest_price_importer_iso3": "COL", "lowest_price_usd_per_ton": 3532.095595496741, "median_price_across_markets": 41044.0781743508, "price_spread_pct": 1019.1699963843696, "avg_quantity_metric_tons": 57.328214814814835, "total_trade_value_usd": 997668642 }, "history": [ { "year": 2010, "export_value_usd": 192481703.16658947, "active_destinations": 74, "yoy_growth_pct": 22.873511241071334 }, { "year": 2011, "export_value_usd": 235631311.67751396, "active_destinations": 74, "yoy_growth_pct": 22.417511795175294 }, { "year": 2012, "export_value_usd": 223621770.55731344, "active_destinations": 77, "yoy_growth_pct": -5.09675095160393 }, { "year": 2013, "export_value_usd": 272616316.9957162, "active_destinations": 85, "yoy_growth_pct": 21.909560199035116 }, { "year": 2014, "export_value_usd": 349188160.5633283, "active_destinations": 85, "yoy_growth_pct": 28.087769804628138 }, { "year": 2015, "export_value_usd": 273160189.8154973, "active_destinations": 83, "yoy_growth_pct": -21.772780218315194 }, { "year": 2016, "export_value_usd": 251307349.27186012, "active_destinations": 85, "yoy_growth_pct": -8.000009283343006 }, { "year": 2017, "export_value_usd": 274396499.2700912, "active_destinations": 80, "yoy_growth_pct": 9.187614315749117 }, { "year": 2018, "export_value_usd": 294819081.18743086, "active_destinations": 79, "yoy_growth_pct": 7.442726846612404 }, { "year": 2019, "export_value_usd": 228404022.85269517, "active_destinations": 83, "yoy_growth_pct": -22.52739478979395 }, { "year": 2020, "export_value_usd": 175865473.44612175, "active_destinations": 84, "yoy_growth_pct": -23.002462369262712 }, { "year": 2021, "export_value_usd": 198609114.8875791, "active_destinations": 79, "yoy_growth_pct": 12.9324085028123 }, { "year": 2022, "export_value_usd": 208783668.6744892, "active_destinations": 79, "yoy_growth_pct": 5.122903746219956 }, { "year": 2023, "export_value_usd": 143120297.3440255, "active_destinations": 85, "yoy_growth_pct": -31.45043467592203 }, { "year": 2024, "export_value_usd": 132520620.49595416, "active_destinations": 83, "yoy_growth_pct": -7.406131097249161 } ], "economy": { "year": 2024, "country_iso3": "DEU", "exports_usd": 1556773836581.939, "imports_usd": 1317565125540.067, "trade_balance_usd": 239208711041.87207, "yoy_exports_growth_pct": -4.920181070331687, "yoy_imports_growth_pct": -5.864236583999549, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": -0.27823928798644815, "imports_cagr_3y_pct": -0.9610037823739925, "export_partner_hhi": 438.209471440054, "export_product_hhi": 54.022047395285114, "momentum_score": -3.527598535628115, "risk_score": 2.4611575941766954, "gdp_million_usd": 4685592.5778046865, "gdp_per_capita_usd": 56103.73231825545, "population": 83516593, "labor_force": 43123.3, "investment_rate_pct": 22.08, "savings_rate_pct": 27.68, "secondary_education_pct": 95.9, "tertiary_education_pct": 20.06, "total_factor_productivity": 2376, "trade_openness_pct": 64.10501996682734, "exports_gdp_pct": 34.71998925424008, "num_active_partners": 1080, "num_fta_partners": 214, "num_wto_partners": 676, "num_eu_partners": 112, "num_shared_border_partners": 18, "num_shared_language_partners": 8, "avg_partner_distance_km": 6605.880658436214, "avg_partner_gdp_million_usd": 533678518.3258193, "avg_partner_gdp_per_capita_usd": 15.774186170212737, "avg_buyer_biz_entry_days": null, "avg_buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "pct_partners_with_fta": 19.814814814814817, "pct_partners_shared_language": 0.7407407407407408, "pct_partners_shared_border": 1.6666666666666667, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 0.12742739700531733, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 0.12991419306435142, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0.024712068784908343, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0.10520212427944309, "avg_distance_all_partners_km": 6614.911529962142, "num_border_partners": 360, "num_colonial_partners": 384, "avg_substitution_elasticity": -10.91665015154679, "pct_products_high_elasticity": 76.04527604527604, "pct_products_low_elasticity": 2.6565026565026564, "real_market_potential": 2800764.90471021, "foreign_market_potential": 32561.235292050776 }, "countryMap": {} }, "product": { "hs_code": "410712", "hs_description": "Leather: further prepared after tanning or crusting, including parchment-dressed leather, of bovine (including buffalo) or equine animals, without hair on, other than leather of heading 41.14, whole hides and skins, grain splits", "hs_chapter": 41, "hs_heading": 4107 }, "destinations": [ { "hs_code": 410712, "corridor_rank": 17, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "HUN", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 41429259.75662045, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 50608671.46234559, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 37885071.80714602, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 37982231.70141427, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 62071557.34792737, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": 2.2352335874336937, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": -8.834661226058572, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": -9.645348175893576, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 114235741.86094035, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 81224137.75498556, "historical_peak_year": 2014, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 48.275862068965516, "trend_acceleration_pct": 11.88058176332727, "trend_label": "Stable", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": 1.4806, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 90.6725, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 55.1724, "market_share_latest_pct": 51.00609363388104, "market_share_change_1y_pp": 13.636468848228475, "peer_best_share_pct": 51.00609363388104, "peer_top_exporter": "DEU", "supplier_count_latest": 29, "buyer_market_hhi": 3244.93, "distance_km": 976.2567138671875, "has_reported_fta": 1, "applied_tariff_pct": 0.08276851853292182, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0.08276851853292182, "volatility_cv": 0.6603306585483111, "max_drawdown_pct": 94.4627187665818, "attention_level": "Critical attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": "['unrecovered_drawdown','concentrated_buyer_market','dominant_supplier']", "signal_flag": "Growing", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 410712, "corridor_rank": 39, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "FRA", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 12500209.975188402, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 9366716.953456668, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 14682822.434045343, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 15326405.91937102, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 13920920.630336052, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": -5.453476939728752, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": 1.8912368031948734, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": -5.5536493953720845, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 22134284.778994646, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 115518939.20087174, "historical_peak_year": 2014, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 62.06896551724138, "trend_acceleration_pct": 0.10017245564333255, "trend_label": "Declining", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": 15.1175, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 26.155, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 58.6207, "market_share_latest_pct": 10.820918250861217, "market_share_change_1y_pp": -5.184646659201222, "peer_best_share_pct": 61.37890777294805, "peer_top_exporter": "ITA", "supplier_count_latest": 38, "buyer_market_hhi": 4132.22, "distance_km": 439.8984375, "has_reported_fta": 1, "applied_tariff_pct": 0, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0, "volatility_cv": 0.609211883567169, "max_drawdown_pct": 53.01144876341216, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": "['concentrated_buyer_market','dominant_supplier']", "signal_flag": "Growing", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 410712, "corridor_rank": 44, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "USA", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 11920707.72779354, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 8324351.665982076, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 10315533.758060971, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 9530127.477021733, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 9887690.23534056, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": 4.237851481603894, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": 12.666362319028647, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": -1.4463045700085386, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 17604431.149854828, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 232938925.41131032, "historical_peak_year": 2002, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 48.275862068965516, "trend_acceleration_pct": 5.684156051612432, "trend_label": "Growing", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": 8.9694, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 44.37, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 55.1724, "market_share_latest_pct": 5.11752499361995, "market_share_change_1y_pp": 1.6323251253820956, "peer_best_share_pct": 41.0945883545561, "peer_top_exporter": "ITA", "supplier_count_latest": 50, "buyer_market_hhi": 3056.69, "distance_km": 6035.33447265625, "has_reported_fta": 0, "applied_tariff_pct": 0.04660416541625514, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "volatility_cv": 0.5763737231269485, "max_drawdown_pct": 70.46759229015063, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": "['concentrated_buyer_market']", "signal_flag": "Growing", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 410712, "corridor_rank": 51, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "SVK", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 10020354.9883691, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 12977219.048819946, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 24010184.79034393, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 25771981.21124501, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 27933836.02402855, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": -32.17504053698765, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": -16.970224301263027, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": -12.839877950920497, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 47009182.736975245, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 41268725.312168606, "historical_peak_year": 2022, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 58.62068965517241, "trend_acceleration_pct": -19.335162586067156, "trend_label": "Rapid decline", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": -19.3286, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 18.8206, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 58.6207, "market_share_latest_pct": 24.2807474972203, "market_share_change_1y_pp": -5.042998346274832, "peer_best_share_pct": 51.72060600867936, "peer_top_exporter": "ITA", "supplier_count_latest": 22, "buyer_market_hhi": 3433.11, "distance_km": 817.4212036132812, "has_reported_fta": 1, "applied_tariff_pct": 0.022876280297619046, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0.022876280297619046, "volatility_cv": 1.1030286433468577, "max_drawdown_pct": 91.09908950550289, "attention_level": "Critical attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": "['high_volatility','unrecovered_drawdown','concentrated_buyer_market','dominant_supplier']", "signal_flag": "Growing", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 410712, "corridor_rank": 65, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 7170442.364555283, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 4718598.28516458, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 7275028.207171456, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 6412999.851642448, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 6987694.167853492, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": 6.609698371126149, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": 5.92138296585909, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": -9.903305654163585, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 20344985.261445325, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 147004961.27587894, "historical_peak_year": 2014, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 55.172413793103445, "trend_acceleration_pct": 16.513004025289735, "trend_label": "Growing", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": -9.1511, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 9.5251, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 48.2759, "market_share_latest_pct": 4.877687325871113, "market_share_change_1y_pp": 1.1112391748074653, "peer_best_share_pct": 37.50795145252535, "peer_top_exporter": "BRA", "supplier_count_latest": 59, "buyer_market_hhi": 1917.98, "distance_km": 1146.023193359375, "has_reported_fta": 1, "applied_tariff_pct": 0, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0, "volatility_cv": 0.9073713456527539, "max_drawdown_pct": 79.4437320895142, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": "['unrecovered_drawdown']", "signal_flag": "Growing", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 410712, "corridor_rank": 67, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 6670737.000506776, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 8529616.932775749, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 7068520.539025519, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 7942470.294972239, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 13014162.781064633, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": -9.15514945647552, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": -19.749325106241887, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": -10.156072796892811, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 20041505.923234545, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 76653895.34238917, "historical_peak_year": 2019, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 51.724137931034484, "trend_acceleration_pct": 1.000923340417291, "trend_label": "Declining", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": 2.6999, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 26.2099, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 48.2759, "market_share_latest_pct": 8.702410974302953, "market_share_change_1y_pp": -1.464710035692546, "peer_best_share_pct": 74.59841648976607, "peer_top_exporter": "ITA", "supplier_count_latest": 44, "buyer_market_hhi": 5691.52, "distance_km": 495.36328125, "has_reported_fta": 1, "applied_tariff_pct": 0, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0, "volatility_cv": 0.6936172773926663, "max_drawdown_pct": 66.71539041997214, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": "['unrecovered_drawdown','concentrated_buyer_market','dominant_supplier']", "signal_flag": "Growing", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 410712, "corridor_rank": 75, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "SRB", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 19, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 5852832.158037079, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 3379934.2185804383, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 4367116.762223779, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 4671214.528937116, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 5636245.532648691, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": 28.406560639357604, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": -3.09343580839192, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": 2.2440894804977685, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 8143115.755882602, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 127426169.87368175, "historical_peak_year": 2018, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 61.111111111111114, "trend_acceleration_pct": 26.162471158859837, "trend_label": "Rapid growth", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": 2.8877, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 15.2224, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 77.7778, "market_share_latest_pct": 4.593116283600945, "market_share_change_1y_pp": 0.9268007805602614, "peer_best_share_pct": 85.84623832129645, "peer_top_exporter": "ITA", "supplier_count_latest": 30, "buyer_market_hhi": 7408.21, "distance_km": null, "has_reported_fta": null, "applied_tariff_pct": 0.031489947997777774, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0.061736442826863705, "volatility_cv": 0.8458708993348885, "max_drawdown_pct": 88.69736092832028, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": "['concentrated_buyer_market','dominant_supplier']", "signal_flag": "Accelerating", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 410712, "corridor_rank": 87, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "POL", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 4876887.373196857, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 14831175.691578703, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 8882916.411363317, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 10552514.034802573, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 13279202.021749176, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": -29.93340597039439, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": -20.40466774650809, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": -15.680118298259282, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 40587384.807901606, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 99005737.47619338, "historical_peak_year": 2012, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 55.172413793103445, "trend_acceleration_pct": -14.253287672135107, "trend_label": "Rapid decline", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": -17.5928, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 24.3871, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 62.069, "market_share_latest_pct": 4.925863386825979, "market_share_change_1y_pp": -2.560381340631495, "peer_best_share_pct": 46.628742692112525, "peer_top_exporter": "ITA", "supplier_count_latest": 37, "buyer_market_hhi": 2590.26, "distance_km": 965.921142578125, "has_reported_fta": 1, "applied_tariff_pct": 0.08091394394890945, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0.04595302958827163, "volatility_cv": 0.7830168639054158, "max_drawdown_pct": 87.98422860630475, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": "['unrecovered_drawdown','concentrated_buyer_market']", "signal_flag": "Growing", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" } ], "prices": [], "priceSummary": { "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "hs_code": 410712, "num_markets": 98, "highest_price_importer_iso3": "FIN", "highest_price_usd_per_ton": 421841.0256410256, "lowest_price_importer_iso3": "COL", "lowest_price_usd_per_ton": 3532.095595496741, "median_price_across_markets": 41044.0781743508, "price_spread_pct": 1019.1699963843696, "avg_quantity_metric_tons": 57.328214814814835, "total_trade_value_usd": 997668642 }, "history": [ { "year": 2010, "export_value_usd": 192481703.16658947, "active_destinations": 74, "yoy_growth_pct": 22.873511241071334 }, { "year": 2011, "export_value_usd": 235631311.67751396, "active_destinations": 74, "yoy_growth_pct": 22.417511795175294 }, { "year": 2012, "export_value_usd": 223621770.55731344, "active_destinations": 77, "yoy_growth_pct": -5.09675095160393 }, { "year": 2013, "export_value_usd": 272616316.9957162, "active_destinations": 85, "yoy_growth_pct": 21.909560199035116 }, { "year": 2014, "export_value_usd": 349188160.5633283, "active_destinations": 85, "yoy_growth_pct": 28.087769804628138 }, { "year": 2015, "export_value_usd": 273160189.8154973, "active_destinations": 83, "yoy_growth_pct": -21.772780218315194 }, { "year": 2016, "export_value_usd": 251307349.27186012, "active_destinations": 85, "yoy_growth_pct": -8.000009283343006 }, { "year": 2017, "export_value_usd": 274396499.2700912, "active_destinations": 80, "yoy_growth_pct": 9.187614315749117 }, { "year": 2018, "export_value_usd": 294819081.18743086, "active_destinations": 79, "yoy_growth_pct": 7.442726846612404 }, { "year": 2019, "export_value_usd": 228404022.85269517, "active_destinations": 83, "yoy_growth_pct": -22.52739478979395 }, { "year": 2020, "export_value_usd": 175865473.44612175, "active_destinations": 84, "yoy_growth_pct": -23.002462369262712 }, { "year": 2021, "export_value_usd": 198609114.8875791, "active_destinations": 79, "yoy_growth_pct": 12.9324085028123 }, { "year": 2022, "export_value_usd": 208783668.6744892, "active_destinations": 79, "yoy_growth_pct": 5.122903746219956 }, { "year": 2023, "export_value_usd": 143120297.3440255, "active_destinations": 85, "yoy_growth_pct": -31.45043467592203 }, { "year": 2024, "export_value_usd": 132520620.49595416, "active_destinations": 83, "yoy_growth_pct": -7.406131097249161 } ], "economy": { "year": 2024, "country_iso3": "DEU", "exports_usd": 1556773836581.939, "imports_usd": 1317565125540.067, "trade_balance_usd": 239208711041.87207, "yoy_exports_growth_pct": -4.920181070331687, "yoy_imports_growth_pct": -5.864236583999549, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": -0.27823928798644815, "imports_cagr_3y_pct": -0.9610037823739925, "export_partner_hhi": 438.209471440054, "export_product_hhi": 54.022047395285114, "momentum_score": -3.527598535628115, "risk_score": 2.4611575941766954, "gdp_million_usd": 4685592.5778046865, "gdp_per_capita_usd": 56103.73231825545, "population": 83516593, "labor_force": 43123.3, "investment_rate_pct": 22.08, "savings_rate_pct": 27.68, "secondary_education_pct": 95.9, "tertiary_education_pct": 20.06, "total_factor_productivity": 2376, "trade_openness_pct": 64.10501996682734, "exports_gdp_pct": 34.71998925424008, "num_active_partners": 1080, "num_fta_partners": 214, "num_wto_partners": 676, "num_eu_partners": 112, "num_shared_border_partners": 18, "num_shared_language_partners": 8, "avg_partner_distance_km": 6605.880658436214, "avg_partner_gdp_million_usd": 533678518.3258193, "avg_partner_gdp_per_capita_usd": 15.774186170212737, "avg_buyer_biz_entry_days": null, "avg_buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "pct_partners_with_fta": 19.814814814814817, "pct_partners_shared_language": 0.7407407407407408, "pct_partners_shared_border": 1.6666666666666667, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 0.12742739700531733, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 0.12991419306435142, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0.024712068784908343, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0.10520212427944309, "avg_distance_all_partners_km": 6614.911529962142, "num_border_partners": 360, "num_colonial_partners": 384, "avg_substitution_elasticity": -10.91665015154679, "pct_products_high_elasticity": 76.04527604527604, "pct_products_low_elasticity": 2.6565026565026564, "real_market_potential": 2800764.90471021, "foreign_market_potential": 32561.235292050776 } }