{ "template": "T3", "templateName": "Product Exporter Position Profile", "source": "api", "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com" }, "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/exporter/deu/390530", "links": { "product": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/product/390530", "exporter": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/exporter/deu/390530", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology" }, "methodology": { "summary": "Reported exporter totals are combined with destination, price, history, and country-context observations. Growth, concentration, weighted share, volatility, drawdown, and price-position values are calculated indicators rather than additional reported trade.", "reportedValues": "Merchandise trade observations for an exporter, HS6 product, destination market, and available year.", "destinations": "Destination rows are ranked by latest observed exporter-lane value.", "prices": "Unit values are reported trade value divided by reported quantity where quantity is positive.", "missingData": "Missing values are shown as Not reported and are not imputed." }, "exporter": { "hs_code": "390530", "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "first_data_year": 1995, "latest_data_year": 2024, "observed_lane_count": 142, "current_lane_count": 86, "active_market_count": 86, "exports_latest_observed_lanes_usd": 111022309.63360985, "exports_current_2024_usd": 110408660.84737839, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 132506669.06821091, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 122395014.95242481, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 111725837.7702384, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": -4.24367977105613, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": 4.30317358937522, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": 0.42351720810043236, "exports_all_year_lane_avg_usd": 113037929.02442165, "exports_historical_lane_peak_usd": 404558834.31161606, "historical_peak_year": 2007, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 58.62068965517241, "trend_acceleration_pct": -4.667196979156563, "trend_label": "Declining", "top_market_iso3": "BEL", "top_market_exports_usd": 14235535.946821703, "top_market_share_pct": 12.822230048898362, "destination_hhi": 728.7393992792629, "weighted_share_latest_pct": 23.099845484237136, "weighted_share_change_1y_pp": -1.0910695501918726, "weighted_volatility_cv": 0.7341235309374533, "weighted_max_drawdown_pct": 79.95429883321424, "limited_history_lane_share_pct": 16.197183098591548, "data_freshness_years": 0, "coverage_score": 100, "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:28:35", "source": "api", "product": { "hs_code": 390530, "hs_description": "Poly(vinyl alcohol): whether or not containing unhydrolysed acetate groups", "hs_chapter": 39, "hs_heading": 3905, "substitution_elasticity": -4.7144465, "price_range_label": "Medium price range", "trade_type_label": "One-way trade" }, "hs_description": "Poly(vinyl alcohol): whether or not containing unhydrolysed acetate groups", "hs_chapter": 39, "hs_heading": 3905, "destinations": [ { "hs_code": 390530, "corridor_rank": 23, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "BEL", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 26, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 14235535.946821703, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 15781270.448838044, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 20143185.7666622, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 17818493.141502827, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 17928732.194627956, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": -5.409765437858849, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": 4.683821095809404, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": -3.528532405527429, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 25571889.71758782, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 160786945.98567948, "historical_peak_year": 2007, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 60, "trend_acceleration_pct": -1.8812330323314197, "trend_label": "Declining", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": 12.7147, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 9.0204, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 72, "market_share_latest_pct": 8.853663995887823, "market_share_change_1y_pp": -8.419559940613643, "peer_best_share_pct": 46.85243853296442, "peer_top_exporter": "USA", "supplier_count_latest": 20, "buyer_market_hhi": 3049.8, "distance_km": 196.8760986328125, "has_reported_fta": 1, "applied_tariff_pct": 0, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0, "volatility_cv": 0.3563155470873361, "max_drawdown_pct": 64.82619083891635, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": "['concentrated_buyer_market']", "signal_flag": "Growing", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 390530, "corridor_rank": 30, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "NLD", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 29, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 12340638.333372463, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 8607047.033113552, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 18337080.16296659, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 16460719.620738378, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 12811596.393192446, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": -11.24989467649261, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": 3.7815907034151053, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": 3.640394121524526, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 24802547.369563513, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 153432510.17465356, "historical_peak_year": 2022, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 57.142857142857146, "trend_acceleration_pct": -14.890288798017137, "trend_label": "Rapid decline", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": 28.2295, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 8.9382, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 62.069, "market_share_latest_pct": 8.043040108856333, "market_share_change_1y_pp": -6.889987595790748, "peer_best_share_pct": 28.87624288367583, "peer_top_exporter": "ESP", "supplier_count_latest": 37, "buyer_market_hhi": 2045.1, "distance_km": 173.52386474609375, "has_reported_fta": 1, "applied_tariff_pct": 0, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0, "volatility_cv": 0.6500201079803968, "max_drawdown_pct": 57.82546756806354, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": "['unrecovered_drawdown']", "signal_flag": "Growing", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 390530, "corridor_rank": 37, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 11834532.619665537, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 11886330.778723227, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 15480471.410058433, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 13913895.47274817, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 11871511.781154964, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": -7.618686509098948, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": 4.773733083589038, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": -2.2377175931318716, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 37184641.247497685, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 47357008.57915398, "historical_peak_year": 2007, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 44.827586206896555, "trend_acceleration_pct": -5.380968915967077, "trend_label": "Declining", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": -14.4744, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 3.9984, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 51.7241, "market_share_latest_pct": 24.99003415700325, "market_share_change_1y_pp": 1.0008243359377467, "peer_best_share_pct": 32.483769789074834, "peer_top_exporter": "CHN", "supplier_count_latest": 21, "buyer_market_hhi": 2381.84, "distance_km": 1146.023193359375, "has_reported_fta": 1, "applied_tariff_pct": 0, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0, "volatility_cv": 0.5899725428974898, "max_drawdown_pct": 78.16991092962911, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": "['unrecovered_drawdown']", "signal_flag": "Stable", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 390530, "corridor_rank": 46, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "USA", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 9496993.416595481, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 7425742.032502506, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 10867711.496976737, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 9163404.080876108, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 12552817.687674746, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": 11.588162569376381, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": -2.9818576378438655, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": -3.0272055409330756, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 20058602.99580245, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 108556432.43624526, "historical_peak_year": 2018, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 55.172413793103445, "trend_acceleration_pct": 14.615368110309458, "trend_label": "Rapid growth", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": -3.0602, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 4.143, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 55.1724, "market_share_latest_pct": 8.748439132957897, "market_share_change_1y_pp": 0.42292963623770063, "peer_best_share_pct": 35.82972843198592, "peer_top_exporter": "TWN", "supplier_count_latest": 27, "buyer_market_hhi": 2151.14, "distance_km": 6035.33447265625, "has_reported_fta": 0, "applied_tariff_pct": 0.04660416541625514, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "volatility_cv": 0.7783171219806443, "max_drawdown_pct": 98.99046423379482, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": "['unrecovered_drawdown']", "signal_flag": "Growing", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 390530, "corridor_rank": 50, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "FRA", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 8749066.331855312, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 10020137.696596146, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 15247415.956527194, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 14225591.180175712, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 11204737.884135058, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": -16.45747331241911, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": 3.6274760905544934, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": 1.0829903454827594, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 20920673.58767141, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 29605694.68476874, "historical_peak_year": 2022, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 51.724137931034484, "trend_acceleration_pct": -17.54046365790187, "trend_label": "Rapid decline", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": -12.0824, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 1.9409, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 44.8276, "market_share_latest_pct": 29.551971081956914, "market_share_change_1y_pp": -18.1772304629445, "peer_best_share_pct": 29.551971081956914, "peer_top_exporter": "DEU", "supplier_count_latest": 22, "buyer_market_hhi": 1535.98, "distance_km": 439.8984375, "has_reported_fta": 1, "applied_tariff_pct": 0, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0, "volatility_cv": 0.36315259687745577, "max_drawdown_pct": 71.98743798762234, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": "['unrecovered_drawdown']", "signal_flag": "Stable", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 390530, "corridor_rank": 54, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "FIN", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 7815934.458728903, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 5658823.849722597, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 7597295.1855820045, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 6315617.667661516, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 4893390.440994946, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": 13.42832623804866, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": 19.66816303507317, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": 12.58149981086758, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 21241398.759346288, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 22559637.61554758, "historical_peak_year": 2007, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 62.06896551724138, "trend_acceleration_pct": 0.8468264271810799, "trend_label": "Rapid growth", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": 34.9345, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 8.055, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 58.6207, "market_share_latest_pct": 34.645656069148664, "market_share_change_1y_pp": 0.562791566705684, "peer_best_share_pct": 34.64565606914866, "peer_top_exporter": "DEU", "supplier_count_latest": 19, "buyer_market_hhi": 2552.18, "distance_km": 1474.955810546875, "has_reported_fta": 1, "applied_tariff_pct": 0.03723152567901234, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0.03723152567901234, "volatility_cv": 0.8052542572686839, "max_drawdown_pct": 88.75064825160102, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": "['unrecovered_drawdown','concentrated_buyer_market']", "signal_flag": "Growing", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 390530, "corridor_rank": 58, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 6689651.572383982, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 5032747.454474295, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 5796769.179311472, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 6399746.756993553, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 5611953.206988351, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": -2.7017888853905214, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": 9.81775804694145, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": 4.2665672823810175, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 12513866.10559488, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 20343399.500615202, "historical_peak_year": 2007, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 55.172413793103445, "trend_acceleration_pct": -6.968356167771539, "trend_label": "Stable", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": 7.8144, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 1.3785, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 55.1724, "market_share_latest_pct": 32.883646473057176, "market_share_change_1y_pp": 3.3666761495395825, "peer_best_share_pct": 32.883646473057176, "peer_top_exporter": "DEU", "supplier_count_latest": 25, "buyer_market_hhi": 1904.74, "distance_km": 495.36328125, "has_reported_fta": 1, "applied_tariff_pct": 0, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0, "volatility_cv": 0.3817262780876902, "max_drawdown_pct": 68.82610223765305, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": "[]", "signal_flag": "Stable", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 390530, "corridor_rank": 59, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "POL", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 6579721.003045624, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 6084264.66641234, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 6739530.658657458, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 8340416.073407787, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 7233940.393649575, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": -21.169711618204634, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": -3.751571791213526, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": -0.35825581021559083, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 24284535.642886948, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 17698826.261354703, "historical_peak_year": 2007, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 65.51724137931035, "trend_acceleration_pct": -20.81145580798904, "trend_label": "Rapid decline", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": 29.8017, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 17.3317, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 68.9655, "market_share_latest_pct": 37.17603023999626, "market_share_change_1y_pp": 12.782104857648669, "peer_best_share_pct": 37.17603023999626, "peer_top_exporter": "DEU", "supplier_count_latest": 24, "buyer_market_hhi": 2003.49, "distance_km": 965.921142578125, "has_reported_fta": 1, "applied_tariff_pct": 0.08091394394890945, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0.04595302958827163, "volatility_cv": 0.9417917721149593, "max_drawdown_pct": 86.30330122334084, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": "['unrecovered_drawdown']", "signal_flag": "Accelerating", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 390530, "corridor_rank": 64, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "AUT", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 5552364.423252469, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 5710250.85161865, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 3910330.3671848862, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 3178724.8043134226, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 2504980.5174512058, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": 22.73311829695306, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": 27.309390719003336, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": 3.8771785923910507, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 29366567.35626772, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 10010534.863163143, "historical_peak_year": 2007, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 48.275862068965516, "trend_acceleration_pct": 18.855939704562008, "trend_label": "Rapid growth", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": 49.2357, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 10.3062, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 51.7241, "market_share_latest_pct": 55.46521239024011, "market_share_change_1y_pp": 24.051405647305458, "peer_best_share_pct": 55.465212390240104, "peer_top_exporter": "DEU", "supplier_count_latest": 20, "buyer_market_hhi": 3910.83, "distance_km": 763.7313842773438, "has_reported_fta": 1, "applied_tariff_pct": 0.04880302040329218, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0.04880302040329218, "volatility_cv": 1.0907751314439056, "max_drawdown_pct": 96.05205877482976, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": "['high_volatility','unrecovered_drawdown','concentrated_buyer_market','dominant_supplier']", "signal_flag": "Stable", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 390530, "corridor_rank": 68, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "ESP", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 20, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 4647138.812513725, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 4747582.034775752, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 5762072.416805216, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 5275407.318593637, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 4269510.713316382, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": -3.6371318282256593, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": 5.081118664944384, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": 4.285846096973445, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 16169948.990938729, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 14860358.712326556, "historical_peak_year": 2007, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 57.89473684210526, "trend_acceleration_pct": -7.922977925199104, "trend_label": "Declining", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": 10.8926, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 11.098, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 58.6207, "market_share_latest_pct": 31.272050039135046, "market_share_change_1y_pp": -8.029303454150323, "peer_best_share_pct": 31.272050039135046, "peer_top_exporter": "DEU", "supplier_count_latest": 18, "buyer_market_hhi": 1854.41, "distance_km": 1479.33154296875, "has_reported_fta": 1, "applied_tariff_pct": 0, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0, "volatility_cv": 0.8600983122889443, "max_drawdown_pct": 81.6650840504803, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": "['unrecovered_drawdown']", "signal_flag": "Growing", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 390530, "corridor_rank": 87, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "HUN", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 2792975.399763617, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 2136395.886096011, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 2855055.8114150073, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 2401395.456318003, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 2036458.691877798, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": 12.314281199809486, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": 8.484144590564302, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": 0.09249009174647771, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 12242785.77646846, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 12402190.781858271, "historical_peak_year": 2007, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 58.62068965517241, "trend_acceleration_pct": 12.221791108063009, "trend_label": "Rapid growth", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": 22.008, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 12.7121, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 58.6207, "market_share_latest_pct": 22.520016413947914, "market_share_change_1y_pp": -4.031946843111875, "peer_best_share_pct": 36.194577392569315, "peer_top_exporter": "NLD", "supplier_count_latest": 22, "buyer_market_hhi": 2786.44, "distance_km": 976.2567138671875, "has_reported_fta": 1, "applied_tariff_pct": 0.08276851853292182, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0.08276851853292182, "volatility_cv": 1.071592672823575, "max_drawdown_pct": 87.98911446141591, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": "['high_volatility','unrecovered_drawdown','concentrated_buyer_market']", "signal_flag": "Growing", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 390530, "corridor_rank": 95, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "TUR", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 2512711.8869458865, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 2614842.7191884434, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 2032820.1776940778, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 2245478.5458960244, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 2524984.7265315326, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": -0.19559578538197453, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": -3.851947789447674, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": 0.43758651914782565, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 8937768.978401931, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 22051147.28151664, "historical_peak_year": 2007, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 51.724137931034484, "trend_acceleration_pct": -0.6331823045298002, "trend_label": "Stable", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": -10.8859, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 6.9276, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 55.1724, "market_share_latest_pct": 11.394925873322025, "market_share_change_1y_pp": 6.21716098471126, "peer_best_share_pct": 73.03703496676629, "peer_top_exporter": "CHN", "supplier_count_latest": 23, "buyer_market_hhi": 5500.74, "distance_km": 2038.332275390625, "has_reported_fta": 1, "applied_tariff_pct": 0.07906258743100822, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0.07065210535228808, "volatility_cv": 0.6558350440254722, "max_drawdown_pct": 85.66498722059454, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": "['unrecovered_drawdown','concentrated_buyer_market','dominant_supplier']", "signal_flag": "Growing", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" } ], "priceSummary": { "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "hs_code": 390530, "num_markets": 106, "highest_price_importer_iso3": "DOM", "highest_price_usd_per_ton": 424000, "lowest_price_importer_iso3": "DNK", "lowest_price_usd_per_ton": 727.8699869637492, "median_price_across_markets": 4456.405269761606, "price_spread_pct": 9498.061877026706, "avg_quantity_metric_tons": 613.2752397094431, "total_trade_value_usd": 808523976 }, "history": [ { "year": 2010, "export_value_usd": 75299610.43667708, "active_destinations": 85, "yoy_growth_pct": -10.160868712903357 }, { "year": 2011, "export_value_usd": 83900853.79257022, "active_destinations": 79, "yoy_growth_pct": 11.422693033885372 }, { "year": 2012, "export_value_usd": 91647219.86647595, "active_destinations": 91, "yoy_growth_pct": 9.232761913314057 }, { "year": 2013, "export_value_usd": 107066718.53202483, "active_destinations": 89, "yoy_growth_pct": 16.824840609474116 }, { "year": 2014, "export_value_usd": 105839764.06720316, "active_destinations": 89, "yoy_growth_pct": -1.145971859083989 }, { "year": 2015, "export_value_usd": 99481282.14558558, "active_destinations": 87, "yoy_growth_pct": -6.007649372290977 }, { "year": 2016, "export_value_usd": 102593916.66927125, "active_destinations": 89, "yoy_growth_pct": 3.1288645025005697 }, { "year": 2017, "export_value_usd": 105115959.9865815, "active_destinations": 104, "yoy_growth_pct": 2.458277643732513 }, { "year": 2018, "export_value_usd": 108655493.09153007, "active_destinations": 92, "yoy_growth_pct": 3.3672651663937634 }, { "year": 2019, "export_value_usd": 89436651.04729143, "active_destinations": 94, "yoy_growth_pct": -17.687869703972463 }, { "year": 2020, "export_value_usd": 88707151.34738702, "active_destinations": 93, "yoy_growth_pct": -0.8156607960629858 }, { "year": 2021, "export_value_usd": 125747916.21010436, "active_destinations": 91, "yoy_growth_pct": 41.75623306587945 }, { "year": 2022, "export_value_usd": 162747496.072591, "active_destinations": 89, "yoy_growth_pct": 29.423612714715965 }, { "year": 2023, "export_value_usd": 124363850.28466345, "active_destinations": 83, "yoy_growth_pct": -23.584784229680018 }, { "year": 2024, "export_value_usd": 110408660.84737837, "active_destinations": 86, "yoy_growth_pct": -11.221258754326325 } ], "economy": { "year": 2024, "country_iso3": "DEU", "exports_usd": 1556773836581.939, "imports_usd": 1317565125540.067, "trade_balance_usd": 239208711041.87207, "yoy_exports_growth_pct": -4.920181070331687, "yoy_imports_growth_pct": -5.864236583999549, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": -0.27823928798644815, "imports_cagr_3y_pct": -0.9610037823739925, "export_partner_hhi": 438.209471440054, "export_product_hhi": 54.022047395285114, "momentum_score": -3.527598535628115, "risk_score": 2.4611575941766954, "gdp_million_usd": 4685592.5778046865, "gdp_per_capita_usd": 56103.73231825545, "population": 83516593, "labor_force": 43123.3, "investment_rate_pct": 22.08, "savings_rate_pct": 27.68, "secondary_education_pct": 95.9, "tertiary_education_pct": 20.06, "total_factor_productivity": 2376, "trade_openness_pct": 64.10501996682734, "exports_gdp_pct": 34.71998925424008, "num_active_partners": 1080, "num_fta_partners": 214, "num_wto_partners": 676, "num_eu_partners": 112, "num_shared_border_partners": 18, "num_shared_language_partners": 8, "avg_partner_distance_km": 6605.880658436214, "avg_partner_gdp_million_usd": 533678518.3258193, "avg_partner_gdp_per_capita_usd": 15.774186170212737, "avg_buyer_biz_entry_days": null, "avg_buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "pct_partners_with_fta": 19.814814814814817, "pct_partners_shared_language": 0.7407407407407408, "pct_partners_shared_border": 1.6666666666666667, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 0.12742739700531733, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 0.12991419306435142, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0.024712068784908343, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0.10520212427944309, "avg_distance_all_partners_km": 6614.911529962142, "num_border_partners": 360, "num_colonial_partners": 384, "avg_substitution_elasticity": -10.91665015154679, "pct_products_high_elasticity": 76.04527604527604, "pct_products_low_elasticity": 2.6565026565026564, "real_market_potential": 2800764.90471021, "foreign_market_potential": 32561.235292050776 }, "countryMap": {} }, "product": { "hs_code": "390530", "hs_description": "Poly(vinyl alcohol): whether or not containing unhydrolysed acetate groups", "hs_chapter": 39, "hs_heading": 3905 }, "destinations": [ { "hs_code": 390530, "corridor_rank": 23, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "BEL", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 26, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 14235535.946821703, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 15781270.448838044, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 20143185.7666622, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 17818493.141502827, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 17928732.194627956, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": -5.409765437858849, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": 4.683821095809404, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": -3.528532405527429, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 25571889.71758782, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 160786945.98567948, "historical_peak_year": 2007, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 60, "trend_acceleration_pct": -1.8812330323314197, "trend_label": "Declining", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": 12.7147, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 9.0204, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 72, "market_share_latest_pct": 8.853663995887823, "market_share_change_1y_pp": -8.419559940613643, "peer_best_share_pct": 46.85243853296442, "peer_top_exporter": "USA", "supplier_count_latest": 20, "buyer_market_hhi": 3049.8, "distance_km": 196.8760986328125, "has_reported_fta": 1, "applied_tariff_pct": 0, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0, "volatility_cv": 0.3563155470873361, "max_drawdown_pct": 64.82619083891635, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": "['concentrated_buyer_market']", "signal_flag": "Growing", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 390530, "corridor_rank": 30, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "NLD", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 29, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 12340638.333372463, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 8607047.033113552, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 18337080.16296659, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 16460719.620738378, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 12811596.393192446, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": -11.24989467649261, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": 3.7815907034151053, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": 3.640394121524526, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 24802547.369563513, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 153432510.17465356, "historical_peak_year": 2022, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 57.142857142857146, "trend_acceleration_pct": -14.890288798017137, "trend_label": "Rapid decline", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": 28.2295, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 8.9382, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 62.069, "market_share_latest_pct": 8.043040108856333, "market_share_change_1y_pp": -6.889987595790748, "peer_best_share_pct": 28.87624288367583, "peer_top_exporter": "ESP", "supplier_count_latest": 37, "buyer_market_hhi": 2045.1, "distance_km": 173.52386474609375, "has_reported_fta": 1, "applied_tariff_pct": 0, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0, "volatility_cv": 0.6500201079803968, "max_drawdown_pct": 57.82546756806354, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": "['unrecovered_drawdown']", "signal_flag": "Growing", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 390530, "corridor_rank": 37, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 11834532.619665537, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 11886330.778723227, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 15480471.410058433, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 13913895.47274817, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 11871511.781154964, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": -7.618686509098948, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": 4.773733083589038, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": -2.2377175931318716, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 37184641.247497685, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 47357008.57915398, "historical_peak_year": 2007, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 44.827586206896555, "trend_acceleration_pct": -5.380968915967077, "trend_label": "Declining", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": -14.4744, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 3.9984, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 51.7241, "market_share_latest_pct": 24.99003415700325, "market_share_change_1y_pp": 1.0008243359377467, "peer_best_share_pct": 32.483769789074834, "peer_top_exporter": "CHN", "supplier_count_latest": 21, "buyer_market_hhi": 2381.84, "distance_km": 1146.023193359375, "has_reported_fta": 1, "applied_tariff_pct": 0, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0, "volatility_cv": 0.5899725428974898, "max_drawdown_pct": 78.16991092962911, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": "['unrecovered_drawdown']", "signal_flag": "Stable", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 390530, "corridor_rank": 46, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "USA", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 9496993.416595481, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 7425742.032502506, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 10867711.496976737, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 9163404.080876108, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 12552817.687674746, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": 11.588162569376381, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": -2.9818576378438655, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": -3.0272055409330756, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 20058602.99580245, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 108556432.43624526, "historical_peak_year": 2018, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 55.172413793103445, "trend_acceleration_pct": 14.615368110309458, "trend_label": "Rapid growth", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": -3.0602, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 4.143, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 55.1724, "market_share_latest_pct": 8.748439132957897, "market_share_change_1y_pp": 0.42292963623770063, "peer_best_share_pct": 35.82972843198592, "peer_top_exporter": "TWN", "supplier_count_latest": 27, "buyer_market_hhi": 2151.14, "distance_km": 6035.33447265625, "has_reported_fta": 0, "applied_tariff_pct": 0.04660416541625514, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "volatility_cv": 0.7783171219806443, "max_drawdown_pct": 98.99046423379482, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": "['unrecovered_drawdown']", "signal_flag": "Growing", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 390530, "corridor_rank": 50, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "FRA", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 8749066.331855312, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 10020137.696596146, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 15247415.956527194, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 14225591.180175712, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 11204737.884135058, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": -16.45747331241911, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": 3.6274760905544934, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": 1.0829903454827594, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 20920673.58767141, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 29605694.68476874, "historical_peak_year": 2022, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 51.724137931034484, "trend_acceleration_pct": -17.54046365790187, "trend_label": "Rapid decline", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": -12.0824, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 1.9409, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 44.8276, "market_share_latest_pct": 29.551971081956914, "market_share_change_1y_pp": -18.1772304629445, "peer_best_share_pct": 29.551971081956914, "peer_top_exporter": "DEU", "supplier_count_latest": 22, "buyer_market_hhi": 1535.98, "distance_km": 439.8984375, "has_reported_fta": 1, "applied_tariff_pct": 0, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0, "volatility_cv": 0.36315259687745577, "max_drawdown_pct": 71.98743798762234, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": "['unrecovered_drawdown']", "signal_flag": "Stable", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 390530, "corridor_rank": 54, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "FIN", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 7815934.458728903, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 5658823.849722597, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 7597295.1855820045, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 6315617.667661516, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 4893390.440994946, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": 13.42832623804866, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": 19.66816303507317, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": 12.58149981086758, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 21241398.759346288, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 22559637.61554758, "historical_peak_year": 2007, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 62.06896551724138, "trend_acceleration_pct": 0.8468264271810799, "trend_label": "Rapid growth", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": 34.9345, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 8.055, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 58.6207, "market_share_latest_pct": 34.645656069148664, "market_share_change_1y_pp": 0.562791566705684, "peer_best_share_pct": 34.64565606914866, "peer_top_exporter": "DEU", "supplier_count_latest": 19, "buyer_market_hhi": 2552.18, "distance_km": 1474.955810546875, "has_reported_fta": 1, "applied_tariff_pct": 0.03723152567901234, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0.03723152567901234, "volatility_cv": 0.8052542572686839, "max_drawdown_pct": 88.75064825160102, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": "['unrecovered_drawdown','concentrated_buyer_market']", "signal_flag": "Growing", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 390530, "corridor_rank": 58, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 6689651.572383982, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 5032747.454474295, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 5796769.179311472, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 6399746.756993553, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 5611953.206988351, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": -2.7017888853905214, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": 9.81775804694145, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": 4.2665672823810175, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 12513866.10559488, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 20343399.500615202, "historical_peak_year": 2007, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 55.172413793103445, "trend_acceleration_pct": -6.968356167771539, "trend_label": "Stable", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": 7.8144, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 1.3785, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 55.1724, "market_share_latest_pct": 32.883646473057176, "market_share_change_1y_pp": 3.3666761495395825, "peer_best_share_pct": 32.883646473057176, "peer_top_exporter": "DEU", "supplier_count_latest": 25, "buyer_market_hhi": 1904.74, "distance_km": 495.36328125, "has_reported_fta": 1, "applied_tariff_pct": 0, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0, "volatility_cv": 0.3817262780876902, "max_drawdown_pct": 68.82610223765305, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": "[]", "signal_flag": "Stable", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 390530, "corridor_rank": 59, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "POL", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 6579721.003045624, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 6084264.66641234, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 6739530.658657458, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 8340416.073407787, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 7233940.393649575, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": -21.169711618204634, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": -3.751571791213526, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": -0.35825581021559083, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 24284535.642886948, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 17698826.261354703, "historical_peak_year": 2007, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 65.51724137931035, "trend_acceleration_pct": -20.81145580798904, "trend_label": "Rapid decline", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": 29.8017, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 17.3317, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 68.9655, "market_share_latest_pct": 37.17603023999626, "market_share_change_1y_pp": 12.782104857648669, "peer_best_share_pct": 37.17603023999626, "peer_top_exporter": "DEU", "supplier_count_latest": 24, "buyer_market_hhi": 2003.49, "distance_km": 965.921142578125, "has_reported_fta": 1, "applied_tariff_pct": 0.08091394394890945, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0.04595302958827163, "volatility_cv": 0.9417917721149593, "max_drawdown_pct": 86.30330122334084, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": "['unrecovered_drawdown']", "signal_flag": "Accelerating", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 390530, "corridor_rank": 64, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "AUT", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 5552364.423252469, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 5710250.85161865, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 3910330.3671848862, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 3178724.8043134226, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 2504980.5174512058, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": 22.73311829695306, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": 27.309390719003336, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": 3.8771785923910507, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 29366567.35626772, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 10010534.863163143, "historical_peak_year": 2007, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 48.275862068965516, "trend_acceleration_pct": 18.855939704562008, "trend_label": "Rapid growth", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": 49.2357, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 10.3062, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 51.7241, "market_share_latest_pct": 55.46521239024011, "market_share_change_1y_pp": 24.051405647305458, "peer_best_share_pct": 55.465212390240104, "peer_top_exporter": "DEU", "supplier_count_latest": 20, "buyer_market_hhi": 3910.83, "distance_km": 763.7313842773438, "has_reported_fta": 1, "applied_tariff_pct": 0.04880302040329218, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0.04880302040329218, "volatility_cv": 1.0907751314439056, "max_drawdown_pct": 96.05205877482976, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": "['high_volatility','unrecovered_drawdown','concentrated_buyer_market','dominant_supplier']", "signal_flag": "Stable", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 390530, "corridor_rank": 68, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "ESP", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 20, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 4647138.812513725, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 4747582.034775752, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 5762072.416805216, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 5275407.318593637, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 4269510.713316382, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": -3.6371318282256593, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": 5.081118664944384, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": 4.285846096973445, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 16169948.990938729, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 14860358.712326556, "historical_peak_year": 2007, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 57.89473684210526, "trend_acceleration_pct": -7.922977925199104, "trend_label": "Declining", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": 10.8926, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 11.098, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 58.6207, "market_share_latest_pct": 31.272050039135046, "market_share_change_1y_pp": -8.029303454150323, "peer_best_share_pct": 31.272050039135046, "peer_top_exporter": "DEU", "supplier_count_latest": 18, "buyer_market_hhi": 1854.41, "distance_km": 1479.33154296875, "has_reported_fta": 1, "applied_tariff_pct": 0, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0, "volatility_cv": 0.8600983122889443, "max_drawdown_pct": 81.6650840504803, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": "['unrecovered_drawdown']", "signal_flag": "Growing", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 390530, "corridor_rank": 87, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "HUN", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 2792975.399763617, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 2136395.886096011, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 2855055.8114150073, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 2401395.456318003, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 2036458.691877798, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": 12.314281199809486, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": 8.484144590564302, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": 0.09249009174647771, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 12242785.77646846, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 12402190.781858271, "historical_peak_year": 2007, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 58.62068965517241, "trend_acceleration_pct": 12.221791108063009, "trend_label": "Rapid growth", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": 22.008, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 12.7121, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 58.6207, "market_share_latest_pct": 22.520016413947914, "market_share_change_1y_pp": -4.031946843111875, "peer_best_share_pct": 36.194577392569315, "peer_top_exporter": "NLD", "supplier_count_latest": 22, "buyer_market_hhi": 2786.44, "distance_km": 976.2567138671875, "has_reported_fta": 1, "applied_tariff_pct": 0.08276851853292182, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0.08276851853292182, "volatility_cv": 1.071592672823575, "max_drawdown_pct": 87.98911446141591, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": "['high_volatility','unrecovered_drawdown','concentrated_buyer_market']", "signal_flag": "Growing", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 390530, "corridor_rank": 95, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "TUR", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 2512711.8869458865, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 2614842.7191884434, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 2032820.1776940778, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 2245478.5458960244, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 2524984.7265315326, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": -0.19559578538197453, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": -3.851947789447674, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": 0.43758651914782565, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 8937768.978401931, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 22051147.28151664, "historical_peak_year": 2007, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 51.724137931034484, "trend_acceleration_pct": -0.6331823045298002, "trend_label": "Stable", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": -10.8859, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 6.9276, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 55.1724, "market_share_latest_pct": 11.394925873322025, "market_share_change_1y_pp": 6.21716098471126, "peer_best_share_pct": 73.03703496676629, "peer_top_exporter": "CHN", "supplier_count_latest": 23, "buyer_market_hhi": 5500.74, "distance_km": 2038.332275390625, "has_reported_fta": 1, "applied_tariff_pct": 0.07906258743100822, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0.07065210535228808, "volatility_cv": 0.6558350440254722, "max_drawdown_pct": 85.66498722059454, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": "['unrecovered_drawdown','concentrated_buyer_market','dominant_supplier']", "signal_flag": "Growing", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" } ], "prices": [], "priceSummary": { "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "hs_code": 390530, "num_markets": 106, "highest_price_importer_iso3": "DOM", "highest_price_usd_per_ton": 424000, "lowest_price_importer_iso3": "DNK", "lowest_price_usd_per_ton": 727.8699869637492, "median_price_across_markets": 4456.405269761606, "price_spread_pct": 9498.061877026706, "avg_quantity_metric_tons": 613.2752397094431, "total_trade_value_usd": 808523976 }, "history": [ { "year": 2010, "export_value_usd": 75299610.43667708, "active_destinations": 85, "yoy_growth_pct": -10.160868712903357 }, { "year": 2011, "export_value_usd": 83900853.79257022, "active_destinations": 79, "yoy_growth_pct": 11.422693033885372 }, { "year": 2012, "export_value_usd": 91647219.86647595, "active_destinations": 91, "yoy_growth_pct": 9.232761913314057 }, { "year": 2013, "export_value_usd": 107066718.53202483, "active_destinations": 89, "yoy_growth_pct": 16.824840609474116 }, { "year": 2014, "export_value_usd": 105839764.06720316, "active_destinations": 89, "yoy_growth_pct": -1.145971859083989 }, { "year": 2015, "export_value_usd": 99481282.14558558, "active_destinations": 87, "yoy_growth_pct": -6.007649372290977 }, { "year": 2016, "export_value_usd": 102593916.66927125, "active_destinations": 89, "yoy_growth_pct": 3.1288645025005697 }, { "year": 2017, "export_value_usd": 105115959.9865815, "active_destinations": 104, "yoy_growth_pct": 2.458277643732513 }, { "year": 2018, "export_value_usd": 108655493.09153007, "active_destinations": 92, "yoy_growth_pct": 3.3672651663937634 }, { "year": 2019, "export_value_usd": 89436651.04729143, "active_destinations": 94, "yoy_growth_pct": -17.687869703972463 }, { "year": 2020, "export_value_usd": 88707151.34738702, "active_destinations": 93, "yoy_growth_pct": -0.8156607960629858 }, { "year": 2021, "export_value_usd": 125747916.21010436, "active_destinations": 91, "yoy_growth_pct": 41.75623306587945 }, { "year": 2022, "export_value_usd": 162747496.072591, "active_destinations": 89, "yoy_growth_pct": 29.423612714715965 }, { "year": 2023, "export_value_usd": 124363850.28466345, "active_destinations": 83, "yoy_growth_pct": -23.584784229680018 }, { "year": 2024, "export_value_usd": 110408660.84737837, "active_destinations": 86, "yoy_growth_pct": -11.221258754326325 } ], "economy": { "year": 2024, "country_iso3": "DEU", "exports_usd": 1556773836581.939, "imports_usd": 1317565125540.067, "trade_balance_usd": 239208711041.87207, "yoy_exports_growth_pct": -4.920181070331687, "yoy_imports_growth_pct": -5.864236583999549, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": -0.27823928798644815, "imports_cagr_3y_pct": -0.9610037823739925, "export_partner_hhi": 438.209471440054, "export_product_hhi": 54.022047395285114, "momentum_score": -3.527598535628115, "risk_score": 2.4611575941766954, "gdp_million_usd": 4685592.5778046865, "gdp_per_capita_usd": 56103.73231825545, "population": 83516593, "labor_force": 43123.3, "investment_rate_pct": 22.08, "savings_rate_pct": 27.68, "secondary_education_pct": 95.9, "tertiary_education_pct": 20.06, "total_factor_productivity": 2376, "trade_openness_pct": 64.10501996682734, "exports_gdp_pct": 34.71998925424008, "num_active_partners": 1080, "num_fta_partners": 214, "num_wto_partners": 676, "num_eu_partners": 112, "num_shared_border_partners": 18, "num_shared_language_partners": 8, "avg_partner_distance_km": 6605.880658436214, "avg_partner_gdp_million_usd": 533678518.3258193, "avg_partner_gdp_per_capita_usd": 15.774186170212737, "avg_buyer_biz_entry_days": null, "avg_buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "pct_partners_with_fta": 19.814814814814817, "pct_partners_shared_language": 0.7407407407407408, "pct_partners_shared_border": 1.6666666666666667, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 0.12742739700531733, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 0.12991419306435142, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0.024712068784908343, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0.10520212427944309, "avg_distance_all_partners_km": 6614.911529962142, "num_border_partners": 360, "num_colonial_partners": 384, "avg_substitution_elasticity": -10.91665015154679, "pct_products_high_elasticity": 76.04527604527604, "pct_products_low_elasticity": 2.6565026565026564, "real_market_potential": 2800764.90471021, "foreign_market_potential": 32561.235292050776 } }