{
  "template": "T3",
  "templateName": "Product Exporter Position Profile",
  "source": "api",
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com"
  },
  "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/exporter/deu/390140",
  "links": {
    "product": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/product/390140",
    "exporter": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/exporter/deu/390140",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology"
  },
  "methodology": {
    "summary": "Reported exporter totals are combined with destination, price, history, and country-context observations. Growth, concentration, weighted share, volatility, drawdown, and price-position values are calculated indicators rather than additional reported trade.",
    "reportedValues": "Merchandise trade observations for an exporter, HS6 product, destination market, and available year.",
    "destinations": "Destination rows are ranked by latest observed exporter-lane value.",
    "prices": "Unit values are reported trade value divided by reported quantity where quantity is positive.",
    "missingData": "Missing values are shown as Not reported and are not imputed."
  },
  "exporter": {
    "hs_code": "390140",
    "exporter_iso3": "DEU",
    "first_data_year": 1995,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "observed_lane_count": 137,
    "current_lane_count": 73,
    "active_market_count": 73,
    "exports_latest_observed_lanes_usd": 377957870.4697508,
    "exports_current_2024_usd": 376688226.2146413,
    "exports_avg_3y_usd": 393891087.97960585,
    "exports_avg_5y_usd": 388266361.34995645,
    "exports_avg_10y_usd": 284677189.73497653,
    "exports_cagr_3y_pct": -8.42784493114065,
    "exports_cagr_5y_pct": 18.54688940426612,
    "exports_cagr_10y_pct": 4.6132601633387615,
    "exports_all_year_lane_avg_usd": 190508132.1794316,
    "exports_historical_lane_peak_usd": 645596010.7192905,
    "historical_peak_year": 2021,
    "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 65.51724137931035,
    "trend_acceleration_pct": -13.041105094479411,
    "trend_label": "Declining",
    "top_market_iso3": "FRA",
    "top_market_exports_usd": 47378662.11518052,
    "top_market_share_pct": 12.535434718238628,
    "destination_hhi": 713.0545014448362,
    "weighted_share_latest_pct": 9.432115890284278,
    "weighted_share_change_1y_pp": -0.18763989616784577,
    "weighted_volatility_cv": 0.8412182164484918,
    "weighted_max_drawdown_pct": 70.31898950544097,
    "limited_history_lane_share_pct": 25.547445255474454,
    "data_freshness_years": 0,
    "coverage_score": 100,
    "confidence_label": "High",
    "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:28:35",
    "source": "api",
    "product": {
      "hs_code": 390140,
      "hs_description": "Ethylene polymers: in primary forms, ethylene-alpha-olefin copolymers, having a specific gravity of less than 0.94",
      "hs_chapter": 39,
      "hs_heading": 3901,
      "substitution_elasticity": null,
      "price_range_label": null,
      "trade_type_label": null
    },
    "hs_description": "Ethylene polymers: in primary forms, ethylene-alpha-olefin copolymers, having a specific gravity of less than 0.94",
    "hs_chapter": 39,
    "hs_heading": 3901,
    "destinations": [
      {
        "hs_code": 390140,
        "corridor_rank": 75,
        "exporter_iso3": "DEU",
        "importer_iso3": "FRA",
        "latest_data_year": 2024,
        "lane_data_years": 30,
        "exports_latest_observed_usd": 47378662.11518052,
        "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 20828320.35730995,
        "exports_avg_3y_usd": 47718253.200777195,
        "exports_avg_5y_usd": 44486437.99396047,
        "exports_avg_10y_usd": 27600257.34773653,
        "exports_cagr_3y_pct": -4.351547213154349,
        "exports_cagr_5y_pct": 42.88149578873679,
        "exports_cagr_10y_pct": 12.554277003269544,
        "exports_historical_peak_usd": 56264328.89474942,
        "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 335832743.54760784,
        "historical_peak_year": 2022,
        "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 48.275862068965516,
        "trend_acceleration_pct": -16.905824216423895,
        "trend_label": "Declining",
        "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": 13.6959,
        "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 7.8336,
        "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 68.9655,
        "market_share_latest_pct": 14.107814983938308,
        "market_share_change_1y_pp": 0.7311354463813409,
        "peer_best_share_pct": 25.005773671957023,
        "peer_top_exporter": "BEL",
        "supplier_count_latest": 30,
        "buyer_market_hhi": 1527.32,
        "distance_km": 439.8984375,
        "has_reported_fta": 1,
        "applied_tariff_pct": 0,
        "tariff_advantage_pp": 0,
        "volatility_cv": 0.6481510470974851,
        "max_drawdown_pct": 78.20148615280112,
        "attention_level": "Stable",
        "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
        "risk_driver_labels": "[]",
        "signal_flag": "Growing",
        "confidence_label": "High",
        "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25"
      },
      {
        "hs_code": 390140,
        "corridor_rank": 86,
        "exporter_iso3": "DEU",
        "importer_iso3": "CHN",
        "latest_data_year": 2024,
        "lane_data_years": 30,
        "exports_latest_observed_usd": 42581161.91887175,
        "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 11938557.111795504,
        "exports_avg_3y_usd": 38233629.320466645,
        "exports_avg_5y_usd": 35383172.982023865,
        "exports_avg_10y_usd": 26767715.289793972,
        "exports_cagr_3y_pct": 8.609066995342696,
        "exports_cagr_5y_pct": 23.48734368059464,
        "exports_cagr_10y_pct": 8.435520665630737,
        "exports_historical_peak_usd": 42581161.91887175,
        "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 6042064785.526371,
        "historical_peak_year": 2024,
        "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 62.06896551724138,
        "trend_acceleration_pct": 0.17354632971195905,
        "trend_label": "Growing",
        "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": -5.7282,
        "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 30.5256,
        "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 75.8621,
        "market_share_latest_pct": 0.7047452059910705,
        "market_share_change_1y_pp": 0.1364937276021635,
        "peer_best_share_pct": 21.235420911888493,
        "peer_top_exporter": "SGP",
        "supplier_count_latest": 54,
        "buyer_market_hhi": 1190.56,
        "distance_km": 7785.341796875,
        "has_reported_fta": 0,
        "applied_tariff_pct": 0.29912295578395065,
        "tariff_advantage_pp": null,
        "volatility_cv": 1.0443620906704163,
        "max_drawdown_pct": 92.23773109835767,
        "attention_level": "High attention",
        "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
        "risk_driver_labels": "['high_volatility','long_distance_without_fta']",
        "signal_flag": "Accelerating",
        "confidence_label": "High",
        "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25"
      },
      {
        "hs_code": 390140,
        "corridor_rank": 88,
        "exporter_iso3": "DEU",
        "importer_iso3": "ITA",
        "latest_data_year": 2024,
        "lane_data_years": 30,
        "exports_latest_observed_usd": 40773628.52171301,
        "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 22609813.297929637,
        "exports_avg_3y_usd": 43001641.23078253,
        "exports_avg_5y_usd": 44051621.41027371,
        "exports_avg_10y_usd": 28735574.53601681,
        "exports_cagr_3y_pct": -12.115960332337073,
        "exports_cagr_5y_pct": 27.442318435888424,
        "exports_cagr_10y_pct": 8.33868750630855,
        "exports_historical_peak_usd": 60068851.37623924,
        "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 504542890.7647611,
        "historical_peak_year": 2021,
        "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 48.275862068965516,
        "trend_acceleration_pct": -20.454647838645624,
        "trend_label": "Rapid decline",
        "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": 10.5812,
        "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 6.2454,
        "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 65.5172,
        "market_share_latest_pct": 8.081300771062368,
        "market_share_change_1y_pp": 0.21835724374250276,
        "peer_best_share_pct": 24.242116661520544,
        "peer_top_exporter": "USA",
        "supplier_count_latest": 34,
        "buyer_market_hhi": 1398.43,
        "distance_km": 1146.023193359375,
        "has_reported_fta": 1,
        "applied_tariff_pct": 0,
        "tariff_advantage_pp": 0,
        "volatility_cv": 0.53583235148348,
        "max_drawdown_pct": 63.54779736425918,
        "attention_level": "Stable",
        "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
        "risk_driver_labels": "[]",
        "signal_flag": "Growing",
        "confidence_label": "High",
        "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25"
      },
      {
        "hs_code": 390140,
        "corridor_rank": 93,
        "exporter_iso3": "DEU",
        "importer_iso3": "POL",
        "latest_data_year": 2024,
        "lane_data_years": 30,
        "exports_latest_observed_usd": 37190494.19399304,
        "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 12678607.00661898,
        "exports_avg_3y_usd": 38538339.88120687,
        "exports_avg_5y_usd": 38648298.70674704,
        "exports_avg_10y_usd": 25342515.721623786,
        "exports_cagr_3y_pct": -11.038448231564857,
        "exports_cagr_5y_pct": 27.539736280971326,
        "exports_cagr_10y_pct": 10.457365940912489,
        "exports_historical_peak_usd": 52823223.487981565,
        "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 355714100.6090442,
        "historical_peak_year": 2021,
        "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 58.62068965517241,
        "trend_acceleration_pct": -21.495814172477345,
        "trend_label": "Rapid decline",
        "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": 20.73,
        "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 24.6337,
        "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 72.4138,
        "market_share_latest_pct": 10.455164450978037,
        "market_share_change_1y_pp": -0.4734920250504633,
        "peer_best_share_pct": 23.809615580570302,
        "peer_top_exporter": "USA",
        "supplier_count_latest": 34,
        "buyer_market_hhi": 1320.6,
        "distance_km": 965.921142578125,
        "has_reported_fta": 1,
        "applied_tariff_pct": 0.08091394394890945,
        "tariff_advantage_pp": 0.04595302958827163,
        "volatility_cv": 1.0263040663498293,
        "max_drawdown_pct": 46.09078886473897,
        "attention_level": "Watch",
        "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
        "risk_driver_labels": "['high_volatility']",
        "signal_flag": "Accelerating",
        "confidence_label": "High",
        "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25"
      }
    ],
    "priceSummary": {
      "exporter_iso3": "DEU",
      "hs_code": 390140,
      "num_markets": 91,
      "highest_price_importer_iso3": "CHL",
      "highest_price_usd_per_ton": 173000,
      "lowest_price_importer_iso3": "CHN",
      "lowest_price_usd_per_ton": 458.2329714907835,
      "median_price_across_markets": 1730.594388503275,
      "price_spread_pct": 9970.087050711749,
      "avg_quantity_metric_tons": 2471.218692982456,
      "total_trade_value_usd": 1386042700
    },
    "history": [
      {
        "year": 2010,
        "export_value_usd": 190475577.517727,
        "active_destinations": 87,
        "yoy_growth_pct": 18.09821849586977
      },
      {
        "year": 2011,
        "export_value_usd": 211547021.93159118,
        "active_destinations": 84,
        "yoy_growth_pct": 11.06254391689829
      },
      {
        "year": 2012,
        "export_value_usd": 196718414.7217877,
        "active_destinations": 91,
        "yoy_growth_pct": -7.009603384820363
      },
      {
        "year": 2013,
        "export_value_usd": 229856753.28470856,
        "active_destinations": 89,
        "yoy_growth_pct": 16.84557015660548
      },
      {
        "year": 2014,
        "export_value_usd": 239946643.77402332,
        "active_destinations": 95,
        "yoy_growth_pct": 4.389642829774541
      },
      {
        "year": 2015,
        "export_value_usd": 178348645.4704292,
        "active_destinations": 87,
        "yoy_growth_pct": -25.67153986183937
      },
      {
        "year": 2016,
        "export_value_usd": 180509890.12642965,
        "active_destinations": 89,
        "yoy_growth_pct": 1.2118088423378448
      },
      {
        "year": 2017,
        "export_value_usd": 188287261.13994816,
        "active_destinations": 82,
        "yoy_growth_pct": 4.308556726765065
      },
      {
        "year": 2018,
        "export_value_usd": 197403486.19509244,
        "active_destinations": 65,
        "yoy_growth_pct": 4.841657900779846
      },
      {
        "year": 2019,
        "export_value_usd": 160890807.66808328,
        "active_destinations": 65,
        "yoy_growth_pct": -18.496470974643245
      },
      {
        "year": 2020,
        "export_value_usd": 269098985.8308201,
        "active_destinations": 66,
        "yoy_growth_pct": 67.25566222898799
      },
      {
        "year": 2021,
        "export_value_usd": 490559556.98014444,
        "active_destinations": 68,
        "yoy_growth_pct": 82.29706643656935
      },
      {
        "year": 2022,
        "export_value_usd": 468016644.3339719,
        "active_destinations": 72,
        "yoy_growth_pct": -4.59534674748676
      },
      {
        "year": 2023,
        "export_value_usd": 336968393.39020467,
        "active_destinations": 72,
        "yoy_growth_pct": -28.000767180034853
      },
      {
        "year": 2024,
        "export_value_usd": 376688226.2146411,
        "active_destinations": 73,
        "yoy_growth_pct": 11.78740606049702
      }
    ],
    "economy": {
      "year": 2024,
      "country_iso3": "DEU",
      "exports_usd": 1556773836581.939,
      "imports_usd": 1317565125540.067,
      "trade_balance_usd": 239208711041.87207,
      "yoy_exports_growth_pct": -4.920181070331687,
      "yoy_imports_growth_pct": -5.864236583999549,
      "exports_cagr_3y_pct": -0.27823928798644815,
      "imports_cagr_3y_pct": -0.9610037823739925,
      "export_partner_hhi": 438.209471440054,
      "export_product_hhi": 54.022047395285114,
      "momentum_score": -3.527598535628115,
      "risk_score": 2.4611575941766954,
      "gdp_million_usd": 4685592.5778046865,
      "gdp_per_capita_usd": 56103.73231825545,
      "population": 83516593,
      "labor_force": 43123.3,
      "investment_rate_pct": 22.08,
      "savings_rate_pct": 27.68,
      "secondary_education_pct": 95.9,
      "tertiary_education_pct": 20.06,
      "total_factor_productivity": 2376,
      "trade_openness_pct": 64.10501996682734,
      "exports_gdp_pct": 34.71998925424008,
      "num_active_partners": 1080,
      "num_fta_partners": 214,
      "num_wto_partners": 676,
      "num_eu_partners": 112,
      "num_shared_border_partners": 18,
      "num_shared_language_partners": 8,
      "avg_partner_distance_km": 6605.880658436214,
      "avg_partner_gdp_million_usd": 533678518.3258193,
      "avg_partner_gdp_per_capita_usd": 15.774186170212737,
      "avg_buyer_biz_entry_days": null,
      "avg_buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
      "pct_partners_with_fta": 19.814814814814817,
      "pct_partners_shared_language": 0.7407407407407408,
      "pct_partners_shared_border": 1.6666666666666667,
      "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 0.12742739700531733,
      "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 0.12991419306435142,
      "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0.024712068784908343,
      "tariff_advantage_pp": 0.10520212427944309,
      "avg_distance_all_partners_km": 6614.911529962142,
      "num_border_partners": 360,
      "num_colonial_partners": 384,
      "avg_substitution_elasticity": -10.91665015154679,
      "pct_products_high_elasticity": 76.04527604527604,
      "pct_products_low_elasticity": 2.6565026565026564,
      "real_market_potential": 2800764.90471021,
      "foreign_market_potential": 32561.235292050776
    },
    "countryMap": {}
  },
  "product": {
    "hs_code": "390140",
    "hs_description": "Ethylene polymers: in primary forms, ethylene-alpha-olefin copolymers, having a specific gravity of less than 0.94",
    "hs_chapter": 39,
    "hs_heading": 3901
  },
  "destinations": [
    {
      "hs_code": 390140,
      "corridor_rank": 75,
      "exporter_iso3": "DEU",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "latest_data_year": 2024,
      "lane_data_years": 30,
      "exports_latest_observed_usd": 47378662.11518052,
      "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 20828320.35730995,
      "exports_avg_3y_usd": 47718253.200777195,
      "exports_avg_5y_usd": 44486437.99396047,
      "exports_avg_10y_usd": 27600257.34773653,
      "exports_cagr_3y_pct": -4.351547213154349,
      "exports_cagr_5y_pct": 42.88149578873679,
      "exports_cagr_10y_pct": 12.554277003269544,
      "exports_historical_peak_usd": 56264328.89474942,
      "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 335832743.54760784,
      "historical_peak_year": 2022,
      "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 48.275862068965516,
      "trend_acceleration_pct": -16.905824216423895,
      "trend_label": "Declining",
      "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": 13.6959,
      "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 7.8336,
      "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 68.9655,
      "market_share_latest_pct": 14.107814983938308,
      "market_share_change_1y_pp": 0.7311354463813409,
      "peer_best_share_pct": 25.005773671957023,
      "peer_top_exporter": "BEL",
      "supplier_count_latest": 30,
      "buyer_market_hhi": 1527.32,
      "distance_km": 439.8984375,
      "has_reported_fta": 1,
      "applied_tariff_pct": 0,
      "tariff_advantage_pp": 0,
      "volatility_cv": 0.6481510470974851,
      "max_drawdown_pct": 78.20148615280112,
      "attention_level": "Stable",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": "[]",
      "signal_flag": "Growing",
      "confidence_label": "High",
      "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25"
    },
    {
      "hs_code": 390140,
      "corridor_rank": 86,
      "exporter_iso3": "DEU",
      "importer_iso3": "CHN",
      "latest_data_year": 2024,
      "lane_data_years": 30,
      "exports_latest_observed_usd": 42581161.91887175,
      "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 11938557.111795504,
      "exports_avg_3y_usd": 38233629.320466645,
      "exports_avg_5y_usd": 35383172.982023865,
      "exports_avg_10y_usd": 26767715.289793972,
      "exports_cagr_3y_pct": 8.609066995342696,
      "exports_cagr_5y_pct": 23.48734368059464,
      "exports_cagr_10y_pct": 8.435520665630737,
      "exports_historical_peak_usd": 42581161.91887175,
      "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 6042064785.526371,
      "historical_peak_year": 2024,
      "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 62.06896551724138,
      "trend_acceleration_pct": 0.17354632971195905,
      "trend_label": "Growing",
      "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": -5.7282,
      "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 30.5256,
      "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 75.8621,
      "market_share_latest_pct": 0.7047452059910705,
      "market_share_change_1y_pp": 0.1364937276021635,
      "peer_best_share_pct": 21.235420911888493,
      "peer_top_exporter": "SGP",
      "supplier_count_latest": 54,
      "buyer_market_hhi": 1190.56,
      "distance_km": 7785.341796875,
      "has_reported_fta": 0,
      "applied_tariff_pct": 0.29912295578395065,
      "tariff_advantage_pp": null,
      "volatility_cv": 1.0443620906704163,
      "max_drawdown_pct": 92.23773109835767,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": "['high_volatility','long_distance_without_fta']",
      "signal_flag": "Accelerating",
      "confidence_label": "High",
      "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25"
    },
    {
      "hs_code": 390140,
      "corridor_rank": 88,
      "exporter_iso3": "DEU",
      "importer_iso3": "ITA",
      "latest_data_year": 2024,
      "lane_data_years": 30,
      "exports_latest_observed_usd": 40773628.52171301,
      "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 22609813.297929637,
      "exports_avg_3y_usd": 43001641.23078253,
      "exports_avg_5y_usd": 44051621.41027371,
      "exports_avg_10y_usd": 28735574.53601681,
      "exports_cagr_3y_pct": -12.115960332337073,
      "exports_cagr_5y_pct": 27.442318435888424,
      "exports_cagr_10y_pct": 8.33868750630855,
      "exports_historical_peak_usd": 60068851.37623924,
      "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 504542890.7647611,
      "historical_peak_year": 2021,
      "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 48.275862068965516,
      "trend_acceleration_pct": -20.454647838645624,
      "trend_label": "Rapid decline",
      "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": 10.5812,
      "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 6.2454,
      "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 65.5172,
      "market_share_latest_pct": 8.081300771062368,
      "market_share_change_1y_pp": 0.21835724374250276,
      "peer_best_share_pct": 24.242116661520544,
      "peer_top_exporter": "USA",
      "supplier_count_latest": 34,
      "buyer_market_hhi": 1398.43,
      "distance_km": 1146.023193359375,
      "has_reported_fta": 1,
      "applied_tariff_pct": 0,
      "tariff_advantage_pp": 0,
      "volatility_cv": 0.53583235148348,
      "max_drawdown_pct": 63.54779736425918,
      "attention_level": "Stable",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": "[]",
      "signal_flag": "Growing",
      "confidence_label": "High",
      "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25"
    },
    {
      "hs_code": 390140,
      "corridor_rank": 93,
      "exporter_iso3": "DEU",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "latest_data_year": 2024,
      "lane_data_years": 30,
      "exports_latest_observed_usd": 37190494.19399304,
      "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 12678607.00661898,
      "exports_avg_3y_usd": 38538339.88120687,
      "exports_avg_5y_usd": 38648298.70674704,
      "exports_avg_10y_usd": 25342515.721623786,
      "exports_cagr_3y_pct": -11.038448231564857,
      "exports_cagr_5y_pct": 27.539736280971326,
      "exports_cagr_10y_pct": 10.457365940912489,
      "exports_historical_peak_usd": 52823223.487981565,
      "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 355714100.6090442,
      "historical_peak_year": 2021,
      "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 58.62068965517241,
      "trend_acceleration_pct": -21.495814172477345,
      "trend_label": "Rapid decline",
      "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": 20.73,
      "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 24.6337,
      "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 72.4138,
      "market_share_latest_pct": 10.455164450978037,
      "market_share_change_1y_pp": -0.4734920250504633,
      "peer_best_share_pct": 23.809615580570302,
      "peer_top_exporter": "USA",
      "supplier_count_latest": 34,
      "buyer_market_hhi": 1320.6,
      "distance_km": 965.921142578125,
      "has_reported_fta": 1,
      "applied_tariff_pct": 0.08091394394890945,
      "tariff_advantage_pp": 0.04595302958827163,
      "volatility_cv": 1.0263040663498293,
      "max_drawdown_pct": 46.09078886473897,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": "['high_volatility']",
      "signal_flag": "Accelerating",
      "confidence_label": "High",
      "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25"
    }
  ],
  "prices": [],
  "priceSummary": {
    "exporter_iso3": "DEU",
    "hs_code": 390140,
    "num_markets": 91,
    "highest_price_importer_iso3": "CHL",
    "highest_price_usd_per_ton": 173000,
    "lowest_price_importer_iso3": "CHN",
    "lowest_price_usd_per_ton": 458.2329714907835,
    "median_price_across_markets": 1730.594388503275,
    "price_spread_pct": 9970.087050711749,
    "avg_quantity_metric_tons": 2471.218692982456,
    "total_trade_value_usd": 1386042700
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "export_value_usd": 190475577.517727,
      "active_destinations": 87,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 18.09821849586977
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "export_value_usd": 211547021.93159118,
      "active_destinations": 84,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 11.06254391689829
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "export_value_usd": 196718414.7217877,
      "active_destinations": 91,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -7.009603384820363
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "export_value_usd": 229856753.28470856,
      "active_destinations": 89,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 16.84557015660548
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "export_value_usd": 239946643.77402332,
      "active_destinations": 95,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 4.389642829774541
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "export_value_usd": 178348645.4704292,
      "active_destinations": 87,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -25.67153986183937
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "export_value_usd": 180509890.12642965,
      "active_destinations": 89,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 1.2118088423378448
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "export_value_usd": 188287261.13994816,
      "active_destinations": 82,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 4.308556726765065
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "export_value_usd": 197403486.19509244,
      "active_destinations": 65,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 4.841657900779846
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "export_value_usd": 160890807.66808328,
      "active_destinations": 65,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -18.496470974643245
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "export_value_usd": 269098985.8308201,
      "active_destinations": 66,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 67.25566222898799
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "export_value_usd": 490559556.98014444,
      "active_destinations": 68,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 82.29706643656935
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "export_value_usd": 468016644.3339719,
      "active_destinations": 72,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -4.59534674748676
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "export_value_usd": 336968393.39020467,
      "active_destinations": 72,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -28.000767180034853
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "export_value_usd": 376688226.2146411,
      "active_destinations": 73,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 11.78740606049702
    }
  ],
  "economy": {
    "year": 2024,
    "country_iso3": "DEU",
    "exports_usd": 1556773836581.939,
    "imports_usd": 1317565125540.067,
    "trade_balance_usd": 239208711041.87207,
    "yoy_exports_growth_pct": -4.920181070331687,
    "yoy_imports_growth_pct": -5.864236583999549,
    "exports_cagr_3y_pct": -0.27823928798644815,
    "imports_cagr_3y_pct": -0.9610037823739925,
    "export_partner_hhi": 438.209471440054,
    "export_product_hhi": 54.022047395285114,
    "momentum_score": -3.527598535628115,
    "risk_score": 2.4611575941766954,
    "gdp_million_usd": 4685592.5778046865,
    "gdp_per_capita_usd": 56103.73231825545,
    "population": 83516593,
    "labor_force": 43123.3,
    "investment_rate_pct": 22.08,
    "savings_rate_pct": 27.68,
    "secondary_education_pct": 95.9,
    "tertiary_education_pct": 20.06,
    "total_factor_productivity": 2376,
    "trade_openness_pct": 64.10501996682734,
    "exports_gdp_pct": 34.71998925424008,
    "num_active_partners": 1080,
    "num_fta_partners": 214,
    "num_wto_partners": 676,
    "num_eu_partners": 112,
    "num_shared_border_partners": 18,
    "num_shared_language_partners": 8,
    "avg_partner_distance_km": 6605.880658436214,
    "avg_partner_gdp_million_usd": 533678518.3258193,
    "avg_partner_gdp_per_capita_usd": 15.774186170212737,
    "avg_buyer_biz_entry_days": null,
    "avg_buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "pct_partners_with_fta": 19.814814814814817,
    "pct_partners_shared_language": 0.7407407407407408,
    "pct_partners_shared_border": 1.6666666666666667,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 0.12742739700531733,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 0.12991419306435142,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0.024712068784908343,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": 0.10520212427944309,
    "avg_distance_all_partners_km": 6614.911529962142,
    "num_border_partners": 360,
    "num_colonial_partners": 384,
    "avg_substitution_elasticity": -10.91665015154679,
    "pct_products_high_elasticity": 76.04527604527604,
    "pct_products_low_elasticity": 2.6565026565026564,
    "real_market_potential": 2800764.90471021,
    "foreign_market_potential": 32561.235292050776
  }
}