{ "template": "T3", "templateName": "Product Exporter Position Profile", "source": "api", "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com" }, "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/exporter/deu/381129", "links": { "product": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/product/381129", "exporter": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/exporter/deu/381129", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology" }, "methodology": { "summary": "Reported exporter totals are combined with destination, price, history, and country-context observations. Growth, concentration, weighted share, volatility, drawdown, and price-position values are calculated indicators rather than additional reported trade.", "reportedValues": "Merchandise trade observations for an exporter, HS6 product, destination market, and available year.", "destinations": "Destination rows are ranked by latest observed exporter-lane value.", "prices": "Unit values are reported trade value divided by reported quantity where quantity is positive.", "missingData": "Missing values are shown as Not reported and are not imputed." }, "exporter": { "hs_code": "381129", "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "first_data_year": 1995, "latest_data_year": 2024, "observed_lane_count": 172, "current_lane_count": 109, "active_market_count": 109, "exports_latest_observed_lanes_usd": 78817825.7999305, "exports_current_2024_usd": 77984970.45638548, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 86680305.4080754, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 81123989.32074268, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 77632395.76826921, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": -1.692509414369614, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": 1.9793915328010003, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": -2.116196829474093, "exports_all_year_lane_avg_usd": 54454154.37310111, "exports_historical_lane_peak_usd": 144671166.87938935, "historical_peak_year": 2022, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 58.62068965517241, "trend_acceleration_pct": 0.42368741510447894, "trend_label": "Stable", "top_market_iso3": "CHN", "top_market_exports_usd": 11452019.774390867, "top_market_share_pct": 14.52973316399317, "destination_hhi": 624.034806235604, "weighted_share_latest_pct": 19.168958566796373, "weighted_share_change_1y_pp": 0.24947026815374476, "weighted_volatility_cv": 0.7379183457451992, "weighted_max_drawdown_pct": 62.04146644686962, "limited_history_lane_share_pct": 20.930232558139537, "data_freshness_years": 0, "coverage_score": 100, "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:28:35", "source": "api", "product": { "hs_code": 381129, "hs_description": "Lubricating oil additives: not containing petroleum oils or oils obtained from bituminous minerals", "hs_chapter": 38, "hs_heading": 3811, "substitution_elasticity": -10.945247, "price_range_label": "Medium price range", "trade_type_label": "Two-way vertical trade" }, "hs_description": "Lubricating oil additives: not containing petroleum oils or oils obtained from bituminous minerals", "hs_chapter": 38, "hs_heading": 3811, "destinations": [ { "hs_code": 381129, "corridor_rank": 16, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 11452019.774390867, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 5424301.5374478, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 11921786.084139207, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 11921051.86269177, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 10794010.036379578, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": -5.337813788214641, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": 3.902473128240569, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": 1.4005990005378166, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 13500582.235165449, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 100837091.18711062, "historical_peak_year": 2021, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 65.51724137931035, "trend_acceleration_pct": -6.738412788752457, "trend_label": "Declining", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": 5.1476, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 10.3036, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 65.5172, "market_share_latest_pct": 11.35695173231525, "market_share_change_1y_pp": -0.7980347330117681, "peer_best_share_pct": 39.75500933264456, "peer_top_exporter": "USA", "supplier_count_latest": 32, "buyer_market_hhi": 2062.19, "distance_km": 7785.341796875, "has_reported_fta": 0, "applied_tariff_pct": 0.29912295578395065, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "volatility_cv": 0.8559788140185405, "max_drawdown_pct": 19.043678599141835, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": "['long_distance_without_fta']", "signal_flag": "Growing", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 381129, "corridor_rank": 24, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "FRA", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 7352816.288920379, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 5854717.197033649, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 7538555.264389448, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 6868645.643745626, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 7809306.092267623, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": 4.15620114945261, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": -3.572878888858011, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": -2.4784140016631206, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 12218449.035018532, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 134774003.15350878, "historical_peak_year": 2011, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 62.06896551724138, "trend_acceleration_pct": 6.63461515111573, "trend_label": "Growing", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": 7.8968, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 9.3331, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 68.9655, "market_share_latest_pct": 5.455663642004799, "market_share_change_1y_pp": -1.2251155132497438, "peer_best_share_pct": 65.07503972734567, "peer_top_exporter": "USA", "supplier_count_latest": 32, "buyer_market_hhi": 4464.4, "distance_km": 439.8984375, "has_reported_fta": 1, "applied_tariff_pct": 0, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0, "volatility_cv": 0.5202171307317233, "max_drawdown_pct": 64.61801682258537, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": "['concentrated_buyer_market','dominant_supplier']", "signal_flag": "Growing", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 381129, "corridor_rank": 31, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "USA", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 5936548.250020219, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 4137382.0110460473, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 7580311.298663287, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 6542374.335310195, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 6169844.75771326, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": 3.592574490782763, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": 6.560053244677366, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": -4.031166303730293, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 10319626.283517877, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 167240250.68577698, "historical_peak_year": 2022, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 65.51724137931035, "trend_acceleration_pct": 7.623740794513056, "trend_label": "Growing", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": 20.832, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 10.7771, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 68.9655, "market_share_latest_pct": 3.549712599495103, "market_share_change_1y_pp": -1.1355621103772595, "peer_best_share_pct": 42.68521820462531, "peer_top_exporter": "CAN", "supplier_count_latest": 37, "buyer_market_hhi": 2885.4, "distance_km": 6035.33447265625, "has_reported_fta": 0, "applied_tariff_pct": 0.04660416541625514, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "volatility_cv": 0.7034539505510476, "max_drawdown_pct": 51.76858263104983, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": "['concentrated_buyer_market']", "signal_flag": "Growing", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 381129, "corridor_rank": 35, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "BEL", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 26, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 5154996.525744502, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 3774842.377385055, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 5812250.023218576, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 5201735.201968594, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 4990095.33713647, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": 2.7066422907576992, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": 8.206372829702824, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": -2.172380218901815, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 7481880.190726456, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 71736746.97735521, "historical_peak_year": 2007, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 56, "trend_acceleration_pct": 4.879022509659514, "trend_label": "Stable", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": -8.9291, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 7.6346, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 56, "market_share_latest_pct": 7.185991479892105, "market_share_change_1y_pp": -1.2702419871312207, "peer_best_share_pct": 34.15299195164228, "peer_top_exporter": "USA", "supplier_count_latest": 32, "buyer_market_hhi": 2089.15, "distance_km": 196.8760986328125, "has_reported_fta": 1, "applied_tariff_pct": 0, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0, "volatility_cv": 0.5089007953063474, "max_drawdown_pct": 69.42378241356053, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": "[]", "signal_flag": "Growing", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 381129, "corridor_rank": 38, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "NLD", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 4904996.263621236, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 2799072.4894092293, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 5417277.939177065, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 5001674.963981634, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 4591559.356362717, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": -3.256151959809206, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": 6.275047431781222, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": -0.20891518504597695, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 6308780.191676868, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 17832002.52719695, "historical_peak_year": 2022, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 58.62068965517241, "trend_acceleration_pct": -3.047236774763229, "trend_label": "Declining", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": 10.5919, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 6.6154, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 62.069, "market_share_latest_pct": 27.506704623556725, "market_share_change_1y_pp": -3.738704660415948, "peer_best_share_pct": 27.506704623556725, "peer_top_exporter": "DEU", "supplier_count_latest": 37, "buyer_market_hhi": 1639.75, "distance_km": 173.52386474609375, "has_reported_fta": 1, "applied_tariff_pct": 0, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0, "volatility_cv": 0.6714165300537578, "max_drawdown_pct": 76.8643341240156, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": "[]", "signal_flag": "Growing", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 381129, "corridor_rank": 39, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 4863912.36670744, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 1823816.6126695322, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 3296261.5601724014, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 3268226.8131108517, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 2790910.3313971804, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": 18.076030815146325, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": 12.328967079611264, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": 8.607993341702036, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 4863912.36670744, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 12446389.236267399, "historical_peak_year": 2024, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 51.724137931034484, "trend_acceleration_pct": 9.468037473444289, "trend_label": "Rapid growth", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": 57.2108, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 2.8759, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 51.7241, "market_share_latest_pct": 39.07890292017013, "market_share_change_1y_pp": 8.16991834327758, "peer_best_share_pct": 39.078902920170115, "peer_top_exporter": "DEU", "supplier_count_latest": 31, "buyer_market_hhi": 2839.69, "distance_km": 495.36328125, "has_reported_fta": 1, "applied_tariff_pct": 0, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0, "volatility_cv": 0.4922048472621204, "max_drawdown_pct": 64.4744836816832, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": "['concentrated_buyer_market']", "signal_flag": "Growing", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 381129, "corridor_rank": 44, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "ESP", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 4211169.667670333, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 2108511.128134824, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 4021262.405604204, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 3870073.134845222, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 4197748.975539265, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": 2.190962257503548, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": 0.8787602687213347, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": -2.4340909576041625, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 5407601.9737660345, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 12888019.135296525, "historical_peak_year": 2018, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 62.06896551724138, "trend_acceleration_pct": 4.625053215107711, "trend_label": "Stable", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": -4.1687, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 7.4092, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 58.6207, "market_share_latest_pct": 32.67507305398985, "market_share_change_1y_pp": 3.622421657333234, "peer_best_share_pct": 32.67507305398987, "peer_top_exporter": "DEU", "supplier_count_latest": 27, "buyer_market_hhi": 1858.14, "distance_km": 1479.33154296875, "has_reported_fta": 1, "applied_tariff_pct": 0, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0, "volatility_cv": 0.8598399007665365, "max_drawdown_pct": 50.61470235001676, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": "[]", "signal_flag": "Growing", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 381129, "corridor_rank": 48, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 3822766.91998346, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 3917789.442294172, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 5271403.90399574, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 4899301.792159358, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 4623787.032954188, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": -9.282119954315771, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": -3.7558222846670986, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": -11.751665869714556, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 13344818.14630212, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 43906250.93458707, "historical_peak_year": 2014, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 68.96551724137932, "trend_acceleration_pct": 2.4695459153987844, "trend_label": "Declining", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": 1.2413, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 12.0102, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 55.1724, "market_share_latest_pct": 8.70665756836934, "market_share_change_1y_pp": -0.07010095186671528, "peer_best_share_pct": 68.72852450206668, "peer_top_exporter": "KOR", "supplier_count_latest": 23, "buyer_market_hhi": 4942.49, "distance_km": 1146.023193359375, "has_reported_fta": 1, "applied_tariff_pct": 0, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0, "volatility_cv": 0.9040839224541248, "max_drawdown_pct": 79.54931369744422, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": "['unrecovered_drawdown','concentrated_buyer_market','dominant_supplier']", "signal_flag": "Growing", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 381129, "corridor_rank": 53, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "IND", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 3522063.2558390615, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 1238250.0419067373, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 3231647.723888779, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 2540659.7422115365, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 2472913.670133809, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": 29.218615129741956, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": 11.6406917298439, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": 4.662431106934606, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 3522063.2558390615, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 30821285.894719005, "historical_peak_year": 2024, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 58.62068965517241, "trend_acceleration_pct": 24.55618402280735, "trend_label": "Rapid growth", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": 20.8973, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 12.2618, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 58.6207, "market_share_latest_pct": 11.42737284832928, "market_share_change_1y_pp": 0.34885053655452225, "peer_best_share_pct": 42.74075823380027, "peer_top_exporter": "USA", "supplier_count_latest": 35, "buyer_market_hhi": 2240.83, "distance_km": 6229.63671875, "has_reported_fta": 0, "applied_tariff_pct": 0.5267321838847735, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "volatility_cv": 0.8570004345886805, "max_drawdown_pct": 75.2389129049667, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": "[]", "signal_flag": "Accelerating", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 381129, "corridor_rank": 62, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 2816236.0984386867, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 616185.8018996101, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 3176785.723468716, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 2789875.0021390365, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 1602889.9725541451, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": 2.2421593258801886, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": 20.13225182885845, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": 29.887926016325082, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 3555319.1776066977, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 11598310.414514773, "historical_peak_year": 2023, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 65.51724137931035, "trend_acceleration_pct": -27.645766690444894, "trend_label": "Stable", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": 3.0397, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 33.1903, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 55.1724, "market_share_latest_pct": 24.281434086419107, "market_share_change_1y_pp": -7.304118068846936, "peer_best_share_pct": 42.90872824772002, "peer_top_exporter": "ARE", "supplier_count_latest": 25, "buyer_market_hhi": 2666.7, "distance_km": 4498.25732421875, "has_reported_fta": 0, "applied_tariff_pct": 0.09878522089917695, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "volatility_cv": 1.66434006719178, "max_drawdown_pct": 97.9603821386538, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": "['high_volatility','concentrated_buyer_market']", "signal_flag": "Growing", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 381129, "corridor_rank": 82, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "KOR", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 1603302.9243251458, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 2004478.3854879925, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 2368733.7768216096, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 2319679.0803400637, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 2318753.105186143, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": -14.670640511694344, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": -2.0074466069613495, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": -3.8311286757783836, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 4238232.605903382, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 17345857.15916241, "historical_peak_year": 2005, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 48.275862068965516, "trend_acceleration_pct": -10.83951183591596, "trend_label": "Rapid decline", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": -22.5563, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 0.3134, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 48.2759, "market_share_latest_pct": 9.243146127709526, "market_share_change_1y_pp": -1.6025148361466357, "peer_best_share_pct": 49.69307024325941, "peer_top_exporter": "USA", "supplier_count_latest": 25, "buyer_market_hhi": 2986.53, "distance_km": 8543.7841796875, "has_reported_fta": 1, "applied_tariff_pct": 0.13700167517901238, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0.11091181424331689, "volatility_cv": 0.3809915616704945, "max_drawdown_pct": 77.8619882102891, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": "['unrecovered_drawdown','concentrated_buyer_market']", "signal_flag": "Stable", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 381129, "corridor_rank": 83, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "BRA", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 1588010.1449511622, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 535122.335112228, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 1573090.9671246465, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 1244694.8079025499, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 1039488.3773238793, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": 19.239525487584142, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": 19.65079251312578, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": 8.343499399664811, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 1596741.3501726608, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 27733265.14769948, "historical_peak_year": 2023, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 55.172413793103445, "trend_acceleration_pct": 10.896026087919331, "trend_label": "Rapid growth", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": 20.6431, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 10.0561, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 68.9655, "market_share_latest_pct": 5.726012196882955, "market_share_change_1y_pp": -1.2200090311038432, "peer_best_share_pct": 58.11764928055367, "peer_top_exporter": "USA", "supplier_count_latest": 27, "buyer_market_hhi": 3659.65, "distance_km": 9847.6630859375, "has_reported_fta": 0, "applied_tariff_pct": 0.2870042614485596, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "volatility_cv": 0.829331773673092, "max_drawdown_pct": 71.2342030707507, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": "['concentrated_buyer_market','dominant_supplier','long_distance_without_fta']", "signal_flag": "Growing", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 381129, "corridor_rank": 84, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 1583404.9566673627, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 1550755.7421747746, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 2323555.000691491, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 2433965.453343902, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 2479556.1510453904, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": -22.24949080849249, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": -9.095533985908233, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": -6.254852151630541, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 3368854.6554149464, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 18367574.854442604, "historical_peak_year": 2021, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 48.275862068965516, "trend_acceleration_pct": -15.994638656861948, "trend_label": "Rapid decline", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": 2.5377, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 1, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 58.6207, "market_share_latest_pct": 8.620653348171228, "market_share_change_1y_pp": -5.440976530218329, "peer_best_share_pct": 56.79936652725615, "peer_top_exporter": "USA", "supplier_count_latest": 24, "buyer_market_hhi": 3549.11, "distance_km": 9298.3408203125, "has_reported_fta": 1, "applied_tariff_pct": 0.039911157261893, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0.030370869448953192, "volatility_cv": 0.6664680141603944, "max_drawdown_pct": 77.50185680821342, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": "['unrecovered_drawdown','concentrated_buyer_market','dominant_supplier','buyer_macro_weakness']", "signal_flag": "Growing", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" } ], "priceSummary": { "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "hs_code": 381129, "num_markets": 126, "highest_price_importer_iso3": "PRY", "highest_price_usd_per_ton": 164666.66666666666, "lowest_price_importer_iso3": "GHA", "lowest_price_usd_per_ton": 213.24839019043702, "median_price_across_markets": 6430.851142937878, "price_spread_pct": 2557.257423958147, "avg_quantity_metric_tons": 143.18108080808082, "total_trade_value_usd": 403142977 }, "history": [ { "year": 2010, "export_value_usd": 56968651.733103536, "active_destinations": 101, "yoy_growth_pct": 36.70236176122556 }, { "year": 2011, "export_value_usd": 80408505.59864993, "active_destinations": 100, "yoy_growth_pct": 41.14517923885829 }, { "year": 2012, "export_value_usd": 74652832.5771948, "active_destinations": 108, "yoy_growth_pct": -7.158040033953545 }, { "year": 2013, "export_value_usd": 83993870.90724751, "active_destinations": 102, "yoy_growth_pct": 12.512637508286929 }, { "year": 2014, "export_value_usd": 96583415.95013002, "active_destinations": 110, "yoy_growth_pct": 14.98864727497182 }, { "year": 2015, "export_value_usd": 77893458.32920416, "active_destinations": 106, "yoy_growth_pct": -19.351104366174262 }, { "year": 2016, "export_value_usd": 72730494.35741027, "active_destinations": 115, "yoy_growth_pct": -6.628238214784936 }, { "year": 2017, "export_value_usd": 70664721.16683654, "active_destinations": 108, "yoy_growth_pct": -2.840312318547093 }, { "year": 2018, "export_value_usd": 78710548.31680956, "active_destinations": 109, "yoy_growth_pct": 11.38591791932094 }, { "year": 2019, "export_value_usd": 70704788.90871811, "active_destinations": 110, "yoy_growth_pct": -10.17113916659342 }, { "year": 2020, "export_value_usd": 63496434.8355152, "active_destinations": 104, "yoy_growth_pct": -10.195001193637813 }, { "year": 2021, "export_value_usd": 82082595.54397191, "active_destinations": 112, "yoy_growth_pct": 29.27118783377896 }, { "year": 2022, "export_value_usd": 97905366.9199623, "active_destinations": 103, "yoy_growth_pct": 19.27664600653872 }, { "year": 2023, "export_value_usd": 84150578.8478785, "active_destinations": 105, "yoy_growth_pct": -14.049064422922136 }, { "year": 2024, "export_value_usd": 77984970.45638546, "active_destinations": 109, "yoy_growth_pct": -7.326875793259593 } ], "economy": { "year": 2024, "country_iso3": "DEU", "exports_usd": 1556773836581.939, "imports_usd": 1317565125540.067, "trade_balance_usd": 239208711041.87207, "yoy_exports_growth_pct": -4.920181070331687, "yoy_imports_growth_pct": -5.864236583999549, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": -0.27823928798644815, "imports_cagr_3y_pct": -0.9610037823739925, "export_partner_hhi": 438.209471440054, "export_product_hhi": 54.022047395285114, "momentum_score": -3.527598535628115, "risk_score": 2.4611575941766954, "gdp_million_usd": 4685592.5778046865, "gdp_per_capita_usd": 56103.73231825545, "population": 83516593, "labor_force": 43123.3, "investment_rate_pct": 22.08, "savings_rate_pct": 27.68, "secondary_education_pct": 95.9, "tertiary_education_pct": 20.06, "total_factor_productivity": 2376, "trade_openness_pct": 64.10501996682734, "exports_gdp_pct": 34.71998925424008, "num_active_partners": 1080, "num_fta_partners": 214, "num_wto_partners": 676, "num_eu_partners": 112, "num_shared_border_partners": 18, "num_shared_language_partners": 8, "avg_partner_distance_km": 6605.880658436214, "avg_partner_gdp_million_usd": 533678518.3258193, "avg_partner_gdp_per_capita_usd": 15.774186170212737, "avg_buyer_biz_entry_days": null, "avg_buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "pct_partners_with_fta": 19.814814814814817, "pct_partners_shared_language": 0.7407407407407408, "pct_partners_shared_border": 1.6666666666666667, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 0.12742739700531733, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 0.12991419306435142, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0.024712068784908343, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0.10520212427944309, "avg_distance_all_partners_km": 6614.911529962142, "num_border_partners": 360, "num_colonial_partners": 384, "avg_substitution_elasticity": -10.91665015154679, "pct_products_high_elasticity": 76.04527604527604, "pct_products_low_elasticity": 2.6565026565026564, "real_market_potential": 2800764.90471021, "foreign_market_potential": 32561.235292050776 }, "countryMap": {} }, "product": { "hs_code": "381129", "hs_description": "Lubricating oil additives: not containing petroleum oils or oils obtained from bituminous minerals", "hs_chapter": 38, "hs_heading": 3811 }, "destinations": [ { "hs_code": 381129, "corridor_rank": 16, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 11452019.774390867, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 5424301.5374478, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 11921786.084139207, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 11921051.86269177, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 10794010.036379578, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": -5.337813788214641, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": 3.902473128240569, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": 1.4005990005378166, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 13500582.235165449, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 100837091.18711062, "historical_peak_year": 2021, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 65.51724137931035, "trend_acceleration_pct": -6.738412788752457, "trend_label": "Declining", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": 5.1476, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 10.3036, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 65.5172, "market_share_latest_pct": 11.35695173231525, "market_share_change_1y_pp": -0.7980347330117681, "peer_best_share_pct": 39.75500933264456, "peer_top_exporter": "USA", "supplier_count_latest": 32, "buyer_market_hhi": 2062.19, "distance_km": 7785.341796875, "has_reported_fta": 0, "applied_tariff_pct": 0.29912295578395065, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "volatility_cv": 0.8559788140185405, "max_drawdown_pct": 19.043678599141835, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": "['long_distance_without_fta']", "signal_flag": "Growing", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 381129, "corridor_rank": 24, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "FRA", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 7352816.288920379, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 5854717.197033649, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 7538555.264389448, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 6868645.643745626, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 7809306.092267623, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": 4.15620114945261, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": -3.572878888858011, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": -2.4784140016631206, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 12218449.035018532, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 134774003.15350878, "historical_peak_year": 2011, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 62.06896551724138, "trend_acceleration_pct": 6.63461515111573, "trend_label": "Growing", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": 7.8968, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 9.3331, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 68.9655, "market_share_latest_pct": 5.455663642004799, "market_share_change_1y_pp": -1.2251155132497438, "peer_best_share_pct": 65.07503972734567, "peer_top_exporter": "USA", "supplier_count_latest": 32, "buyer_market_hhi": 4464.4, "distance_km": 439.8984375, "has_reported_fta": 1, "applied_tariff_pct": 0, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0, "volatility_cv": 0.5202171307317233, "max_drawdown_pct": 64.61801682258537, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": "['concentrated_buyer_market','dominant_supplier']", "signal_flag": "Growing", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 381129, "corridor_rank": 31, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "USA", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 5936548.250020219, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 4137382.0110460473, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 7580311.298663287, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 6542374.335310195, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 6169844.75771326, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": 3.592574490782763, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": 6.560053244677366, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": -4.031166303730293, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 10319626.283517877, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 167240250.68577698, "historical_peak_year": 2022, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 65.51724137931035, "trend_acceleration_pct": 7.623740794513056, "trend_label": "Growing", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": 20.832, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 10.7771, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 68.9655, "market_share_latest_pct": 3.549712599495103, "market_share_change_1y_pp": -1.1355621103772595, "peer_best_share_pct": 42.68521820462531, "peer_top_exporter": "CAN", "supplier_count_latest": 37, "buyer_market_hhi": 2885.4, "distance_km": 6035.33447265625, "has_reported_fta": 0, "applied_tariff_pct": 0.04660416541625514, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "volatility_cv": 0.7034539505510476, "max_drawdown_pct": 51.76858263104983, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": "['concentrated_buyer_market']", "signal_flag": "Growing", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 381129, "corridor_rank": 35, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "BEL", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 26, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 5154996.525744502, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 3774842.377385055, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 5812250.023218576, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 5201735.201968594, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 4990095.33713647, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": 2.7066422907576992, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": 8.206372829702824, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": -2.172380218901815, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 7481880.190726456, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 71736746.97735521, "historical_peak_year": 2007, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 56, "trend_acceleration_pct": 4.879022509659514, "trend_label": "Stable", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": -8.9291, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 7.6346, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 56, "market_share_latest_pct": 7.185991479892105, "market_share_change_1y_pp": -1.2702419871312207, "peer_best_share_pct": 34.15299195164228, "peer_top_exporter": "USA", "supplier_count_latest": 32, "buyer_market_hhi": 2089.15, "distance_km": 196.8760986328125, "has_reported_fta": 1, "applied_tariff_pct": 0, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0, "volatility_cv": 0.5089007953063474, "max_drawdown_pct": 69.42378241356053, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": "[]", "signal_flag": "Growing", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 381129, "corridor_rank": 38, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "NLD", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 4904996.263621236, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 2799072.4894092293, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 5417277.939177065, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 5001674.963981634, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 4591559.356362717, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": -3.256151959809206, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": 6.275047431781222, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": -0.20891518504597695, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 6308780.191676868, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 17832002.52719695, "historical_peak_year": 2022, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 58.62068965517241, "trend_acceleration_pct": -3.047236774763229, "trend_label": "Declining", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": 10.5919, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 6.6154, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 62.069, "market_share_latest_pct": 27.506704623556725, "market_share_change_1y_pp": -3.738704660415948, "peer_best_share_pct": 27.506704623556725, "peer_top_exporter": "DEU", "supplier_count_latest": 37, "buyer_market_hhi": 1639.75, "distance_km": 173.52386474609375, "has_reported_fta": 1, "applied_tariff_pct": 0, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0, "volatility_cv": 0.6714165300537578, "max_drawdown_pct": 76.8643341240156, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": "[]", "signal_flag": "Growing", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 381129, "corridor_rank": 39, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 4863912.36670744, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 1823816.6126695322, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 3296261.5601724014, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 3268226.8131108517, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 2790910.3313971804, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": 18.076030815146325, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": 12.328967079611264, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": 8.607993341702036, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 4863912.36670744, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 12446389.236267399, "historical_peak_year": 2024, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 51.724137931034484, "trend_acceleration_pct": 9.468037473444289, "trend_label": "Rapid growth", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": 57.2108, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 2.8759, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 51.7241, "market_share_latest_pct": 39.07890292017013, "market_share_change_1y_pp": 8.16991834327758, "peer_best_share_pct": 39.078902920170115, "peer_top_exporter": "DEU", "supplier_count_latest": 31, "buyer_market_hhi": 2839.69, "distance_km": 495.36328125, "has_reported_fta": 1, "applied_tariff_pct": 0, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0, "volatility_cv": 0.4922048472621204, "max_drawdown_pct": 64.4744836816832, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": "['concentrated_buyer_market']", "signal_flag": "Growing", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 381129, "corridor_rank": 44, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "ESP", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 4211169.667670333, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 2108511.128134824, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 4021262.405604204, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 3870073.134845222, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 4197748.975539265, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": 2.190962257503548, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": 0.8787602687213347, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": -2.4340909576041625, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 5407601.9737660345, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 12888019.135296525, "historical_peak_year": 2018, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 62.06896551724138, "trend_acceleration_pct": 4.625053215107711, "trend_label": "Stable", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": -4.1687, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 7.4092, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 58.6207, "market_share_latest_pct": 32.67507305398985, "market_share_change_1y_pp": 3.622421657333234, "peer_best_share_pct": 32.67507305398987, "peer_top_exporter": "DEU", "supplier_count_latest": 27, "buyer_market_hhi": 1858.14, "distance_km": 1479.33154296875, "has_reported_fta": 1, "applied_tariff_pct": 0, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0, "volatility_cv": 0.8598399007665365, "max_drawdown_pct": 50.61470235001676, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": "[]", "signal_flag": "Growing", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 381129, "corridor_rank": 48, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 3822766.91998346, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 3917789.442294172, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 5271403.90399574, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 4899301.792159358, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 4623787.032954188, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": -9.282119954315771, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": -3.7558222846670986, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": -11.751665869714556, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 13344818.14630212, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 43906250.93458707, "historical_peak_year": 2014, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 68.96551724137932, "trend_acceleration_pct": 2.4695459153987844, "trend_label": "Declining", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": 1.2413, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 12.0102, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 55.1724, "market_share_latest_pct": 8.70665756836934, "market_share_change_1y_pp": -0.07010095186671528, "peer_best_share_pct": 68.72852450206668, "peer_top_exporter": "KOR", "supplier_count_latest": 23, "buyer_market_hhi": 4942.49, "distance_km": 1146.023193359375, "has_reported_fta": 1, "applied_tariff_pct": 0, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0, "volatility_cv": 0.9040839224541248, "max_drawdown_pct": 79.54931369744422, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": "['unrecovered_drawdown','concentrated_buyer_market','dominant_supplier']", "signal_flag": "Growing", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 381129, "corridor_rank": 53, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "IND", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 3522063.2558390615, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 1238250.0419067373, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 3231647.723888779, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 2540659.7422115365, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 2472913.670133809, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": 29.218615129741956, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": 11.6406917298439, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": 4.662431106934606, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 3522063.2558390615, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 30821285.894719005, "historical_peak_year": 2024, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 58.62068965517241, "trend_acceleration_pct": 24.55618402280735, "trend_label": "Rapid growth", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": 20.8973, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 12.2618, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 58.6207, "market_share_latest_pct": 11.42737284832928, "market_share_change_1y_pp": 0.34885053655452225, "peer_best_share_pct": 42.74075823380027, "peer_top_exporter": "USA", "supplier_count_latest": 35, "buyer_market_hhi": 2240.83, "distance_km": 6229.63671875, "has_reported_fta": 0, "applied_tariff_pct": 0.5267321838847735, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "volatility_cv": 0.8570004345886805, "max_drawdown_pct": 75.2389129049667, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": "[]", "signal_flag": "Accelerating", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 381129, "corridor_rank": 62, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 2816236.0984386867, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 616185.8018996101, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 3176785.723468716, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 2789875.0021390365, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 1602889.9725541451, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": 2.2421593258801886, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": 20.13225182885845, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": 29.887926016325082, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 3555319.1776066977, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 11598310.414514773, "historical_peak_year": 2023, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 65.51724137931035, "trend_acceleration_pct": -27.645766690444894, "trend_label": "Stable", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": 3.0397, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 33.1903, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 55.1724, "market_share_latest_pct": 24.281434086419107, "market_share_change_1y_pp": -7.304118068846936, "peer_best_share_pct": 42.90872824772002, "peer_top_exporter": "ARE", "supplier_count_latest": 25, "buyer_market_hhi": 2666.7, "distance_km": 4498.25732421875, "has_reported_fta": 0, "applied_tariff_pct": 0.09878522089917695, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "volatility_cv": 1.66434006719178, "max_drawdown_pct": 97.9603821386538, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": "['high_volatility','concentrated_buyer_market']", "signal_flag": "Growing", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 381129, "corridor_rank": 82, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "KOR", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 1603302.9243251458, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 2004478.3854879925, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 2368733.7768216096, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 2319679.0803400637, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 2318753.105186143, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": -14.670640511694344, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": -2.0074466069613495, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": -3.8311286757783836, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 4238232.605903382, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 17345857.15916241, "historical_peak_year": 2005, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 48.275862068965516, "trend_acceleration_pct": -10.83951183591596, "trend_label": "Rapid decline", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": -22.5563, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 0.3134, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 48.2759, "market_share_latest_pct": 9.243146127709526, "market_share_change_1y_pp": -1.6025148361466357, "peer_best_share_pct": 49.69307024325941, "peer_top_exporter": "USA", "supplier_count_latest": 25, "buyer_market_hhi": 2986.53, "distance_km": 8543.7841796875, "has_reported_fta": 1, "applied_tariff_pct": 0.13700167517901238, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0.11091181424331689, "volatility_cv": 0.3809915616704945, "max_drawdown_pct": 77.8619882102891, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": "['unrecovered_drawdown','concentrated_buyer_market']", "signal_flag": "Stable", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 381129, "corridor_rank": 83, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "BRA", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 1588010.1449511622, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 535122.335112228, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 1573090.9671246465, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 1244694.8079025499, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 1039488.3773238793, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": 19.239525487584142, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": 19.65079251312578, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": 8.343499399664811, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 1596741.3501726608, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 27733265.14769948, "historical_peak_year": 2023, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 55.172413793103445, "trend_acceleration_pct": 10.896026087919331, "trend_label": "Rapid growth", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": 20.6431, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 10.0561, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 68.9655, "market_share_latest_pct": 5.726012196882955, "market_share_change_1y_pp": -1.2200090311038432, "peer_best_share_pct": 58.11764928055367, "peer_top_exporter": "USA", "supplier_count_latest": 27, "buyer_market_hhi": 3659.65, "distance_km": 9847.6630859375, "has_reported_fta": 0, "applied_tariff_pct": 0.2870042614485596, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "volatility_cv": 0.829331773673092, "max_drawdown_pct": 71.2342030707507, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": "['concentrated_buyer_market','dominant_supplier','long_distance_without_fta']", "signal_flag": "Growing", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 381129, "corridor_rank": 84, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 1583404.9566673627, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 1550755.7421747746, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 2323555.000691491, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 2433965.453343902, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 2479556.1510453904, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": -22.24949080849249, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": -9.095533985908233, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": -6.254852151630541, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 3368854.6554149464, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 18367574.854442604, "historical_peak_year": 2021, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 48.275862068965516, "trend_acceleration_pct": -15.994638656861948, "trend_label": "Rapid decline", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": 2.5377, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 1, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 58.6207, "market_share_latest_pct": 8.620653348171228, "market_share_change_1y_pp": -5.440976530218329, "peer_best_share_pct": 56.79936652725615, "peer_top_exporter": "USA", "supplier_count_latest": 24, "buyer_market_hhi": 3549.11, "distance_km": 9298.3408203125, "has_reported_fta": 1, "applied_tariff_pct": 0.039911157261893, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0.030370869448953192, "volatility_cv": 0.6664680141603944, "max_drawdown_pct": 77.50185680821342, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": "['unrecovered_drawdown','concentrated_buyer_market','dominant_supplier','buyer_macro_weakness']", "signal_flag": "Growing", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" } ], "prices": [], "priceSummary": { "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "hs_code": 381129, "num_markets": 126, "highest_price_importer_iso3": "PRY", "highest_price_usd_per_ton": 164666.66666666666, "lowest_price_importer_iso3": "GHA", "lowest_price_usd_per_ton": 213.24839019043702, "median_price_across_markets": 6430.851142937878, "price_spread_pct": 2557.257423958147, "avg_quantity_metric_tons": 143.18108080808082, "total_trade_value_usd": 403142977 }, "history": [ { "year": 2010, "export_value_usd": 56968651.733103536, "active_destinations": 101, "yoy_growth_pct": 36.70236176122556 }, { "year": 2011, "export_value_usd": 80408505.59864993, "active_destinations": 100, "yoy_growth_pct": 41.14517923885829 }, { "year": 2012, "export_value_usd": 74652832.5771948, "active_destinations": 108, "yoy_growth_pct": -7.158040033953545 }, { "year": 2013, "export_value_usd": 83993870.90724751, "active_destinations": 102, "yoy_growth_pct": 12.512637508286929 }, { "year": 2014, "export_value_usd": 96583415.95013002, "active_destinations": 110, "yoy_growth_pct": 14.98864727497182 }, { "year": 2015, "export_value_usd": 77893458.32920416, "active_destinations": 106, "yoy_growth_pct": -19.351104366174262 }, { "year": 2016, "export_value_usd": 72730494.35741027, "active_destinations": 115, "yoy_growth_pct": -6.628238214784936 }, { "year": 2017, "export_value_usd": 70664721.16683654, "active_destinations": 108, "yoy_growth_pct": -2.840312318547093 }, { "year": 2018, "export_value_usd": 78710548.31680956, "active_destinations": 109, "yoy_growth_pct": 11.38591791932094 }, { "year": 2019, "export_value_usd": 70704788.90871811, "active_destinations": 110, "yoy_growth_pct": -10.17113916659342 }, { "year": 2020, "export_value_usd": 63496434.8355152, "active_destinations": 104, "yoy_growth_pct": -10.195001193637813 }, { "year": 2021, "export_value_usd": 82082595.54397191, "active_destinations": 112, "yoy_growth_pct": 29.27118783377896 }, { "year": 2022, "export_value_usd": 97905366.9199623, "active_destinations": 103, "yoy_growth_pct": 19.27664600653872 }, { "year": 2023, "export_value_usd": 84150578.8478785, "active_destinations": 105, "yoy_growth_pct": -14.049064422922136 }, { "year": 2024, "export_value_usd": 77984970.45638546, "active_destinations": 109, "yoy_growth_pct": -7.326875793259593 } ], "economy": { "year": 2024, "country_iso3": "DEU", "exports_usd": 1556773836581.939, "imports_usd": 1317565125540.067, "trade_balance_usd": 239208711041.87207, "yoy_exports_growth_pct": -4.920181070331687, "yoy_imports_growth_pct": -5.864236583999549, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": -0.27823928798644815, "imports_cagr_3y_pct": -0.9610037823739925, "export_partner_hhi": 438.209471440054, "export_product_hhi": 54.022047395285114, "momentum_score": -3.527598535628115, "risk_score": 2.4611575941766954, "gdp_million_usd": 4685592.5778046865, "gdp_per_capita_usd": 56103.73231825545, "population": 83516593, "labor_force": 43123.3, "investment_rate_pct": 22.08, "savings_rate_pct": 27.68, "secondary_education_pct": 95.9, "tertiary_education_pct": 20.06, "total_factor_productivity": 2376, "trade_openness_pct": 64.10501996682734, "exports_gdp_pct": 34.71998925424008, "num_active_partners": 1080, "num_fta_partners": 214, "num_wto_partners": 676, "num_eu_partners": 112, "num_shared_border_partners": 18, "num_shared_language_partners": 8, "avg_partner_distance_km": 6605.880658436214, "avg_partner_gdp_million_usd": 533678518.3258193, "avg_partner_gdp_per_capita_usd": 15.774186170212737, "avg_buyer_biz_entry_days": null, "avg_buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "pct_partners_with_fta": 19.814814814814817, "pct_partners_shared_language": 0.7407407407407408, "pct_partners_shared_border": 1.6666666666666667, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 0.12742739700531733, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 0.12991419306435142, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0.024712068784908343, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0.10520212427944309, "avg_distance_all_partners_km": 6614.911529962142, "num_border_partners": 360, "num_colonial_partners": 384, "avg_substitution_elasticity": -10.91665015154679, "pct_products_high_elasticity": 76.04527604527604, "pct_products_low_elasticity": 2.6565026565026564, "real_market_potential": 2800764.90471021, "foreign_market_potential": 32561.235292050776 } }