{ "template": "T3", "templateName": "Product Exporter Position Profile", "source": "api", "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com" }, "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/exporter/deu/283510", "links": { "product": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/product/283510", "exporter": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/exporter/deu/283510", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology" }, "methodology": { "summary": "Reported exporter totals are combined with destination, price, history, and country-context observations. Growth, concentration, weighted share, volatility, drawdown, and price-position values are calculated indicators rather than additional reported trade.", "reportedValues": "Merchandise trade observations for an exporter, HS6 product, destination market, and available year.", "destinations": "Destination rows are ranked by latest observed exporter-lane value.", "prices": "Unit values are reported trade value divided by reported quantity where quantity is positive.", "missingData": "Missing values are shown as Not reported and are not imputed." }, "exporter": { "hs_code": "283510", "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "first_data_year": 1995, "latest_data_year": 2024, "observed_lane_count": 142, "current_lane_count": 71, "active_market_count": 71, "exports_latest_observed_lanes_usd": 6792668.05015079, "exports_current_2024_usd": 6633929.692885239, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 7085701.503474374, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 7768717.808314455, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 8009595.762688232, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": -14.581070956624975, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": -1.992764583294282, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": -4.271659064558264, "exports_all_year_lane_avg_usd": 9883682.028286109, "exports_historical_lane_peak_usd": 36101037.23473774, "historical_peak_year": 2011, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 48.275862068965516, "trend_acceleration_pct": -10.309411892066711, "trend_label": "Rapid decline", "top_market_iso3": "CHN", "top_market_exports_usd": 1499223.458921739, "top_market_share_pct": 22.07120159343658, "destination_hhi": 977.0254272078907, "weighted_share_latest_pct": 36.73910359778593, "weighted_share_change_1y_pp": 4.066146803516626, "weighted_volatility_cv": 0.8982259691546352, "weighted_max_drawdown_pct": 87.6906154511564, "limited_history_lane_share_pct": 28.169014084507044, "data_freshness_years": 0, "coverage_score": 100, "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:28:35", "source": "api", "product": { "hs_code": 283510, "hs_description": "Phosphinates (hypophosphites) and phosphonates (phosphites)", "hs_chapter": 28, "hs_heading": 2835, "substitution_elasticity": -6.5711374, "price_range_label": "Medium price range", "trade_type_label": "Two-way trade" }, "hs_description": "Phosphinates (hypophosphites) and phosphonates (phosphites)", "hs_chapter": 28, "hs_heading": 2835, "destinations": [ { "hs_code": 283510, "corridor_rank": 17, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 416379.3164877845, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 542044.8076032249, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 787624.3872964265, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 811138.2634266235, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 887998.5899577851, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": -25.424691318618574, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": -18.26127817722639, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": -0.8387021505371184, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 1415012.4024631698, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 10946386.241004637, "historical_peak_year": 2022, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 51.724137931034484, "trend_acceleration_pct": -24.585989168081454, "trend_label": "Rapid decline", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": 12.9589, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 11.9437, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 62.069, "market_share_latest_pct": 3.803806181514477, "market_share_change_1y_pp": -1.6807044910061162, "peer_best_share_pct": 75.35306002998728, "peer_top_exporter": "CHN", "supplier_count_latest": 18, "buyer_market_hhi": 5830.98, "distance_km": 1146.023193359375, "has_reported_fta": 1, "applied_tariff_pct": 0, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0, "volatility_cv": 0.5976295647576729, "max_drawdown_pct": 70.57415781211698, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": "['unrecovered_drawdown','concentrated_buyer_market','dominant_supplier']", "signal_flag": "Stable", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 283510, "corridor_rank": 27, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "IND", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 29, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 164592.38626172658, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 112897.39013500503, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 242489.31258053725, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 221270.70325188263, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 196371.23738814774, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": -7.763841721117926, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": 19.51218967031989, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": 1.0799071978961239, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 396168.75544588815, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 10327327.706486285, "historical_peak_year": 2022, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 57.142857142857146, "trend_acceleration_pct": -8.84374891901405, "trend_label": "Declining", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": 7.5496, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 26.8779, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 55.1724, "market_share_latest_pct": 1.5937558189264296, "market_share_change_1y_pp": -0.14234146258145897, "peer_best_share_pct": 79.77611418540162, "peer_top_exporter": "CHN", "supplier_count_latest": 22, "buyer_market_hhi": 6560.14, "distance_km": 6229.63671875, "has_reported_fta": 0, "applied_tariff_pct": 0.5267321838847735, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "volatility_cv": 0.9541643166942892, "max_drawdown_pct": 99.7485163430357, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": "['unrecovered_drawdown','concentrated_buyer_market','dominant_supplier']", "signal_flag": "Stable", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 283510, "corridor_rank": 30, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "USA", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 28, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 148054.86680839868, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 586963.2994552433, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 174909.20554125137, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 123489.0531013152, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 95752.76015858735, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": 16.89254483948952, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": 28.851978956518785, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": 13.127295283957041, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 3204546.5721097244, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 18464245.143942777, "historical_peak_year": 1996, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 44.44444444444444, "trend_acceleration_pct": 3.7652495555324794, "trend_label": "Rapid growth", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": -15.6767, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 12.5781, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 48.2759, "market_share_latest_pct": 0.8018463016180669, "market_share_change_1y_pp": -0.7019600923531936, "peer_best_share_pct": 84.98544939497961, "peer_top_exporter": "CHN", "supplier_count_latest": 18, "buyer_market_hhi": 7290.17, "distance_km": 6035.33447265625, "has_reported_fta": 0, "applied_tariff_pct": 0.04660416541625514, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "volatility_cv": 1.3925295577910939, "max_drawdown_pct": 99.99996074250124, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": "['high_volatility','unrecovered_drawdown','concentrated_buyer_market','dominant_supplier']", "signal_flag": "Slowing", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 283510, "corridor_rank": 73, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "MYS", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 31740.79683097312, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 229239.42573160274, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 50703.56021369158, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 55722.68297929144, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 61664.99305571874, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": -0.10374738216962776, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": -0.5030105677857, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": -15.509872645638257, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 1118549.3204758414, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 14880452.921629746, "historical_peak_year": 2008, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 51.724137931034484, "trend_acceleration_pct": 15.40612526346863, "trend_label": "Stable", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": 58.7572, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 11.0977, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 62.069, "market_share_latest_pct": 0.21330531401255753, "market_share_change_1y_pp": -0.5051682359062013, "peer_best_share_pct": 60.70146138149577, "peer_top_exporter": "CHN", "supplier_count_latest": 16, "buyer_market_hhi": 4388.77, "distance_km": 10070.4619140625, "has_reported_fta": 0, "applied_tariff_pct": 0.13349686077366255, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "volatility_cv": 1.0393942792046205, "max_drawdown_pct": 99.43018741876645, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": "['high_volatility','unrecovered_drawdown','concentrated_buyer_market','dominant_supplier','long_distance_without_fta']", "signal_flag": "Stable", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 283510, "corridor_rank": 85, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 20973.9667001881, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 28607.86223214897, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 13392.892193091684, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 11317.24438436166, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 8285.7158282516, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": 18.76701879353948, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": 15.475787943081421, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": 18.579732768715207, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 155384.53858587862, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 14691462.601247333, "historical_peak_year": 1996, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 44.827586206896555, "trend_acceleration_pct": 0.18728602482427448, "trend_label": "Rapid growth", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": -12.695, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 12.6932, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 62.069, "market_share_latest_pct": 0.14276295879763104, "market_share_change_1y_pp": 0.12576705233283972, "peer_best_share_pct": 99.39939508518815, "peer_top_exporter": "CHN", "supplier_count_latest": 8, "buyer_market_hhi": 9880.34, "distance_km": 9298.3408203125, "has_reported_fta": 1, "applied_tariff_pct": 0.039911157261893, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0.030370869448953192, "volatility_cv": 1.3726475038264356, "max_drawdown_pct": 99.87871879711976, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": "['high_volatility','unrecovered_drawdown','concentrated_buyer_market','dominant_supplier','buyer_macro_weakness']", "signal_flag": "Slowing", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" } ], "priceSummary": { "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "hs_code": 283510, "num_markets": 100, "highest_price_importer_iso3": "ETH", "highest_price_usd_per_ton": 756500, "lowest_price_importer_iso3": "FRA", "lowest_price_usd_per_ton": 708.5018947971761, "median_price_across_markets": 5953.73665480427, "price_spread_pct": 12694.405915574536, "avg_quantity_metric_tons": 30.359122857142843, "total_trade_value_usd": 31414681 }, "history": [ { "year": 2010, "export_value_usd": 12002261.331792757, "active_destinations": 75, "yoy_growth_pct": 14.705657053445764 }, { "year": 2011, "export_value_usd": 14820899.145048322, "active_destinations": 73, "yoy_growth_pct": 23.484222975459492 }, { "year": 2012, "export_value_usd": 13376108.882210845, "active_destinations": 82, "yoy_growth_pct": -9.748330709882627 }, { "year": 2013, "export_value_usd": 12040990.962726507, "active_destinations": 75, "yoy_growth_pct": -9.981362526586022 }, { "year": 2014, "export_value_usd": 10265155.72585301, "active_destinations": 84, "yoy_growth_pct": -14.748248232813108 }, { "year": 2015, "export_value_usd": 9607498.88819144, "active_destinations": 78, "yoy_growth_pct": -6.406691288718081 }, { "year": 2016, "export_value_usd": 7619119.70835633, "active_destinations": 75, "yoy_growth_pct": -20.696116679014377 }, { "year": 2017, "export_value_usd": 8281410.875025801, "active_destinations": 74, "yoy_growth_pct": 8.69248931662142 }, { "year": 2018, "export_value_usd": 8407986.949275313, "active_destinations": 75, "yoy_growth_pct": 1.5284361102191688 }, { "year": 2019, "export_value_usd": 7336352.164461159, "active_destinations": 75, "yoy_growth_pct": -12.745438251501074 }, { "year": 2020, "export_value_usd": 6942395.505058153, "active_destinations": 75, "yoy_growth_pct": -5.3699256874747086 }, { "year": 2021, "export_value_usd": 10644089.026090996, "active_destinations": 74, "yoy_growth_pct": 53.32011865840589 }, { "year": 2022, "export_value_usd": 8480950.323867267, "active_destinations": 71, "yoy_growth_pct": -20.322440905195382 }, { "year": 2023, "export_value_usd": 6142224.49367061, "active_destinations": 71, "yoy_growth_pct": -27.57622366464011 }, { "year": 2024, "export_value_usd": 6633929.692885239, "active_destinations": 71, "yoy_growth_pct": 8.005327706945868 } ], "economy": { "year": 2024, "country_iso3": "DEU", "exports_usd": 1556773836581.939, "imports_usd": 1317565125540.067, "trade_balance_usd": 239208711041.87207, "yoy_exports_growth_pct": -4.920181070331687, "yoy_imports_growth_pct": -5.864236583999549, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": -0.27823928798644815, "imports_cagr_3y_pct": -0.9610037823739925, "export_partner_hhi": 438.209471440054, "export_product_hhi": 54.022047395285114, "momentum_score": -3.527598535628115, "risk_score": 2.4611575941766954, "gdp_million_usd": 4685592.5778046865, "gdp_per_capita_usd": 56103.73231825545, "population": 83516593, "labor_force": 43123.3, "investment_rate_pct": 22.08, "savings_rate_pct": 27.68, "secondary_education_pct": 95.9, "tertiary_education_pct": 20.06, "total_factor_productivity": 2376, "trade_openness_pct": 64.10501996682734, "exports_gdp_pct": 34.71998925424008, "num_active_partners": 1080, "num_fta_partners": 214, "num_wto_partners": 676, "num_eu_partners": 112, "num_shared_border_partners": 18, "num_shared_language_partners": 8, "avg_partner_distance_km": 6605.880658436214, "avg_partner_gdp_million_usd": 533678518.3258193, "avg_partner_gdp_per_capita_usd": 15.774186170212737, "avg_buyer_biz_entry_days": null, "avg_buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "pct_partners_with_fta": 19.814814814814817, "pct_partners_shared_language": 0.7407407407407408, "pct_partners_shared_border": 1.6666666666666667, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 0.12742739700531733, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 0.12991419306435142, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0.024712068784908343, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0.10520212427944309, "avg_distance_all_partners_km": 6614.911529962142, "num_border_partners": 360, "num_colonial_partners": 384, "avg_substitution_elasticity": -10.91665015154679, "pct_products_high_elasticity": 76.04527604527604, "pct_products_low_elasticity": 2.6565026565026564, "real_market_potential": 2800764.90471021, "foreign_market_potential": 32561.235292050776 }, "countryMap": {} }, "product": { "hs_code": "283510", "hs_description": "Phosphinates (hypophosphites) and phosphonates (phosphites)", "hs_chapter": 28, "hs_heading": 2835 }, "destinations": [ { "hs_code": 283510, "corridor_rank": 17, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 416379.3164877845, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 542044.8076032249, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 787624.3872964265, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 811138.2634266235, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 887998.5899577851, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": -25.424691318618574, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": -18.26127817722639, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": -0.8387021505371184, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 1415012.4024631698, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 10946386.241004637, "historical_peak_year": 2022, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 51.724137931034484, "trend_acceleration_pct": -24.585989168081454, "trend_label": "Rapid decline", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": 12.9589, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 11.9437, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 62.069, "market_share_latest_pct": 3.803806181514477, "market_share_change_1y_pp": -1.6807044910061162, "peer_best_share_pct": 75.35306002998728, "peer_top_exporter": "CHN", "supplier_count_latest": 18, "buyer_market_hhi": 5830.98, "distance_km": 1146.023193359375, "has_reported_fta": 1, "applied_tariff_pct": 0, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0, "volatility_cv": 0.5976295647576729, "max_drawdown_pct": 70.57415781211698, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": "['unrecovered_drawdown','concentrated_buyer_market','dominant_supplier']", "signal_flag": "Stable", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 283510, "corridor_rank": 27, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "IND", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 29, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 164592.38626172658, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 112897.39013500503, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 242489.31258053725, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 221270.70325188263, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 196371.23738814774, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": -7.763841721117926, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": 19.51218967031989, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": 1.0799071978961239, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 396168.75544588815, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 10327327.706486285, "historical_peak_year": 2022, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 57.142857142857146, "trend_acceleration_pct": -8.84374891901405, "trend_label": "Declining", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": 7.5496, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 26.8779, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 55.1724, "market_share_latest_pct": 1.5937558189264296, "market_share_change_1y_pp": -0.14234146258145897, "peer_best_share_pct": 79.77611418540162, "peer_top_exporter": "CHN", "supplier_count_latest": 22, "buyer_market_hhi": 6560.14, "distance_km": 6229.63671875, "has_reported_fta": 0, "applied_tariff_pct": 0.5267321838847735, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "volatility_cv": 0.9541643166942892, "max_drawdown_pct": 99.7485163430357, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": "['unrecovered_drawdown','concentrated_buyer_market','dominant_supplier']", "signal_flag": "Stable", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 283510, "corridor_rank": 30, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "USA", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 28, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 148054.86680839868, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 586963.2994552433, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 174909.20554125137, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 123489.0531013152, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 95752.76015858735, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": 16.89254483948952, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": 28.851978956518785, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": 13.127295283957041, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 3204546.5721097244, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 18464245.143942777, "historical_peak_year": 1996, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 44.44444444444444, "trend_acceleration_pct": 3.7652495555324794, "trend_label": "Rapid growth", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": -15.6767, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 12.5781, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 48.2759, "market_share_latest_pct": 0.8018463016180669, "market_share_change_1y_pp": -0.7019600923531936, "peer_best_share_pct": 84.98544939497961, "peer_top_exporter": "CHN", "supplier_count_latest": 18, "buyer_market_hhi": 7290.17, "distance_km": 6035.33447265625, "has_reported_fta": 0, "applied_tariff_pct": 0.04660416541625514, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "volatility_cv": 1.3925295577910939, "max_drawdown_pct": 99.99996074250124, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": "['high_volatility','unrecovered_drawdown','concentrated_buyer_market','dominant_supplier']", "signal_flag": "Slowing", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 283510, "corridor_rank": 73, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "MYS", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 31740.79683097312, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 229239.42573160274, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 50703.56021369158, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 55722.68297929144, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 61664.99305571874, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": -0.10374738216962776, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": -0.5030105677857, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": -15.509872645638257, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 1118549.3204758414, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 14880452.921629746, "historical_peak_year": 2008, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 51.724137931034484, "trend_acceleration_pct": 15.40612526346863, "trend_label": "Stable", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": 58.7572, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 11.0977, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 62.069, "market_share_latest_pct": 0.21330531401255753, "market_share_change_1y_pp": -0.5051682359062013, "peer_best_share_pct": 60.70146138149577, "peer_top_exporter": "CHN", "supplier_count_latest": 16, "buyer_market_hhi": 4388.77, "distance_km": 10070.4619140625, "has_reported_fta": 0, "applied_tariff_pct": 0.13349686077366255, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "volatility_cv": 1.0393942792046205, "max_drawdown_pct": 99.43018741876645, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": "['high_volatility','unrecovered_drawdown','concentrated_buyer_market','dominant_supplier','long_distance_without_fta']", "signal_flag": "Stable", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 283510, "corridor_rank": 85, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 20973.9667001881, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 28607.86223214897, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 13392.892193091684, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 11317.24438436166, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 8285.7158282516, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": 18.76701879353948, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": 15.475787943081421, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": 18.579732768715207, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 155384.53858587862, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 14691462.601247333, "historical_peak_year": 1996, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 44.827586206896555, "trend_acceleration_pct": 0.18728602482427448, "trend_label": "Rapid growth", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": -12.695, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 12.6932, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 62.069, "market_share_latest_pct": 0.14276295879763104, "market_share_change_1y_pp": 0.12576705233283972, "peer_best_share_pct": 99.39939508518815, "peer_top_exporter": "CHN", "supplier_count_latest": 8, "buyer_market_hhi": 9880.34, "distance_km": 9298.3408203125, "has_reported_fta": 1, "applied_tariff_pct": 0.039911157261893, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0.030370869448953192, "volatility_cv": 1.3726475038264356, "max_drawdown_pct": 99.87871879711976, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": "['high_volatility','unrecovered_drawdown','concentrated_buyer_market','dominant_supplier','buyer_macro_weakness']", "signal_flag": "Slowing", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" } ], "prices": [], "priceSummary": { "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "hs_code": 283510, "num_markets": 100, "highest_price_importer_iso3": "ETH", "highest_price_usd_per_ton": 756500, "lowest_price_importer_iso3": "FRA", "lowest_price_usd_per_ton": 708.5018947971761, "median_price_across_markets": 5953.73665480427, "price_spread_pct": 12694.405915574536, "avg_quantity_metric_tons": 30.359122857142843, "total_trade_value_usd": 31414681 }, "history": [ { "year": 2010, "export_value_usd": 12002261.331792757, "active_destinations": 75, "yoy_growth_pct": 14.705657053445764 }, { "year": 2011, "export_value_usd": 14820899.145048322, "active_destinations": 73, "yoy_growth_pct": 23.484222975459492 }, { "year": 2012, "export_value_usd": 13376108.882210845, "active_destinations": 82, "yoy_growth_pct": -9.748330709882627 }, { "year": 2013, "export_value_usd": 12040990.962726507, "active_destinations": 75, "yoy_growth_pct": -9.981362526586022 }, { "year": 2014, "export_value_usd": 10265155.72585301, "active_destinations": 84, "yoy_growth_pct": -14.748248232813108 }, { "year": 2015, "export_value_usd": 9607498.88819144, "active_destinations": 78, "yoy_growth_pct": -6.406691288718081 }, { "year": 2016, "export_value_usd": 7619119.70835633, "active_destinations": 75, "yoy_growth_pct": -20.696116679014377 }, { "year": 2017, "export_value_usd": 8281410.875025801, "active_destinations": 74, "yoy_growth_pct": 8.69248931662142 }, { "year": 2018, "export_value_usd": 8407986.949275313, "active_destinations": 75, "yoy_growth_pct": 1.5284361102191688 }, { "year": 2019, "export_value_usd": 7336352.164461159, "active_destinations": 75, "yoy_growth_pct": -12.745438251501074 }, { "year": 2020, "export_value_usd": 6942395.505058153, "active_destinations": 75, "yoy_growth_pct": -5.3699256874747086 }, { "year": 2021, "export_value_usd": 10644089.026090996, "active_destinations": 74, "yoy_growth_pct": 53.32011865840589 }, { "year": 2022, "export_value_usd": 8480950.323867267, "active_destinations": 71, "yoy_growth_pct": -20.322440905195382 }, { "year": 2023, "export_value_usd": 6142224.49367061, "active_destinations": 71, "yoy_growth_pct": -27.57622366464011 }, { "year": 2024, "export_value_usd": 6633929.692885239, "active_destinations": 71, "yoy_growth_pct": 8.005327706945868 } ], "economy": { "year": 2024, "country_iso3": "DEU", "exports_usd": 1556773836581.939, "imports_usd": 1317565125540.067, "trade_balance_usd": 239208711041.87207, "yoy_exports_growth_pct": -4.920181070331687, "yoy_imports_growth_pct": -5.864236583999549, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": -0.27823928798644815, "imports_cagr_3y_pct": -0.9610037823739925, "export_partner_hhi": 438.209471440054, "export_product_hhi": 54.022047395285114, "momentum_score": -3.527598535628115, "risk_score": 2.4611575941766954, "gdp_million_usd": 4685592.5778046865, "gdp_per_capita_usd": 56103.73231825545, "population": 83516593, "labor_force": 43123.3, "investment_rate_pct": 22.08, "savings_rate_pct": 27.68, "secondary_education_pct": 95.9, "tertiary_education_pct": 20.06, "total_factor_productivity": 2376, "trade_openness_pct": 64.10501996682734, "exports_gdp_pct": 34.71998925424008, "num_active_partners": 1080, "num_fta_partners": 214, "num_wto_partners": 676, "num_eu_partners": 112, "num_shared_border_partners": 18, "num_shared_language_partners": 8, "avg_partner_distance_km": 6605.880658436214, "avg_partner_gdp_million_usd": 533678518.3258193, "avg_partner_gdp_per_capita_usd": 15.774186170212737, "avg_buyer_biz_entry_days": null, "avg_buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "pct_partners_with_fta": 19.814814814814817, "pct_partners_shared_language": 0.7407407407407408, "pct_partners_shared_border": 1.6666666666666667, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 0.12742739700531733, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 0.12991419306435142, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0.024712068784908343, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0.10520212427944309, "avg_distance_all_partners_km": 6614.911529962142, "num_border_partners": 360, "num_colonial_partners": 384, "avg_substitution_elasticity": -10.91665015154679, "pct_products_high_elasticity": 76.04527604527604, "pct_products_low_elasticity": 2.6565026565026564, "real_market_potential": 2800764.90471021, "foreign_market_potential": 32561.235292050776 } }