{ "template": "T3", "templateName": "Product Exporter Position Profile", "source": "api", "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com" }, "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/exporter/deu/190420", "links": { "product": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/product/190420", "exporter": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/exporter/deu/190420", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology" }, "methodology": { "summary": "Reported exporter totals are combined with destination, price, history, and country-context observations. Growth, concentration, weighted share, volatility, drawdown, and price-position values are calculated indicators rather than additional reported trade.", "reportedValues": "Merchandise trade observations for an exporter, HS6 product, destination market, and available year.", "destinations": "Destination rows are ranked by latest observed exporter-lane value.", "prices": "Unit values are reported trade value divided by reported quantity where quantity is positive.", "missingData": "Missing values are shown as Not reported and are not imputed." }, "exporter": { "hs_code": "190420", "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "first_data_year": 1995, "latest_data_year": 2024, "observed_lane_count": 176, "current_lane_count": 118, "active_market_count": 118, "exports_latest_observed_lanes_usd": 243762235.60023686, "exports_current_2024_usd": 243588661.17079782, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 243535916.35302547, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 228146951.73251247, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 203886844.63012257, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": 5.855450283331853, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": 4.465696045982437, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": 4.731213669113465, "exports_all_year_lane_avg_usd": 115903502.22851263, "exports_historical_lane_peak_usd": 316915623.4264916, "historical_peak_year": 2023, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 82.75862068965517, "trend_acceleration_pct": 1.124236614218388, "trend_label": "Growing", "top_market_iso3": "FRA", "top_market_exports_usd": 39465730.24841445, "top_market_share_pct": 16.19025611216379, "destination_hhi": 772.4202479787007, "weighted_share_latest_pct": 51.72518649712435, "weighted_share_change_1y_pp": -0.06305621801717766, "weighted_volatility_cv": 0.7739350322265545, "weighted_max_drawdown_pct": 75.71116907240673, "limited_history_lane_share_pct": 9.659090909090908, "data_freshness_years": 0, "coverage_score": 100, "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:28:35", "source": "api", "product": { "hs_code": 190420, "hs_description": "Food preparations: obtained from unroasted cereal flakes or from mixtures of unroasted cereal flakes and roasted cereal flakes or swelled cereals", "hs_chapter": 19, "hs_heading": 1904, "substitution_elasticity": -8.0828743, "price_range_label": "Medium price range", "trade_type_label": "One-way trade" }, "hs_description": "Food preparations: obtained from unroasted cereal flakes or from mixtures of unroasted cereal flakes and roasted cereal flakes or swelled cereals", "hs_chapter": 19, "hs_heading": 1904, "destinations": [ { "hs_code": 190420, "corridor_rank": 2, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "FRA", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 39465730.24841445, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 15768606.72895631, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 38238853.94007641, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 32787385.158275, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 26129232.57581153, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": 16.60755146888022, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": 12.065615357449634, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": 9.012546967956169, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 41933839.0181674, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 80530215.8721612, "historical_peak_year": 2023, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 68.96551724137932, "trend_acceleration_pct": 7.595004500924052, "trend_label": "Rapid growth", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": -7.5626, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 3.6839, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 65.5172, "market_share_latest_pct": 49.00735682996909, "market_share_change_1y_pp": 0.8732006373668142, "peer_best_share_pct": 49.0073568299691, "peer_top_exporter": "DEU", "supplier_count_latest": 70, "buyer_market_hhi": 2987.02, "distance_km": 439.8984375, "has_reported_fta": 1, "applied_tariff_pct": 0, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0, "volatility_cv": 0.6607050652194786, "max_drawdown_pct": 94.90606482447913, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": "['concentrated_buyer_market']", "signal_flag": "Stable", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 190420, "corridor_rank": 7, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "AUT", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 28172969.685006436, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 13421081.383000152, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 24785112.58346797, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 24134864.45137496, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 22835413.930971514, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": 8.404473773486654, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": 3.1660574884015524, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": 4.2292521936404315, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 28172969.685006436, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 33817261.31114966, "historical_peak_year": 2024, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 75.86206896551724, "trend_acceleration_pct": 4.175221579846222, "trend_label": "Growing", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": 15.1818, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 7.4005, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 68.9655, "market_share_latest_pct": 83.3094360474357, "market_share_change_1y_pp": 1.1633665334375678, "peer_best_share_pct": 83.3094360474357, "peer_top_exporter": "DEU", "supplier_count_latest": 50, "buyer_market_hhi": 6988.48, "distance_km": 763.7313842773438, "has_reported_fta": 1, "applied_tariff_pct": 0.04880302040329218, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0.04880302040329218, "volatility_cv": 0.5995737722475389, "max_drawdown_pct": 79.46201305628297, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": "['concentrated_buyer_market','dominant_supplier']", "signal_flag": "Growing", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 190420, "corridor_rank": 8, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "SWE", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 27810371.103294723, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 8124486.168402809, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 24933445.416917335, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 21718143.112573963, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 17353835.25887796, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": 16.46597410600816, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": 14.712845879440417, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": 12.355300957529614, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 28332589.245579705, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 32945857.00919574, "historical_peak_year": 2023, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 72.41379310344827, "trend_acceleration_pct": 4.110673148478547, "trend_label": "Rapid growth", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": -5.6226, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 8.6765, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 68.9655, "market_share_latest_pct": 84.4123468863851, "market_share_change_1y_pp": 3.2502499746679376, "peer_best_share_pct": 84.41234688638508, "peer_top_exporter": "DEU", "supplier_count_latest": 37, "buyer_market_hhi": 7153.07, "distance_km": 1118.92919921875, "has_reported_fta": 1, "applied_tariff_pct": 0.020404016485596706, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0.020404016485596706, "volatility_cv": 0.9426341129422042, "max_drawdown_pct": 68.79888682176588, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": "['concentrated_buyer_market','dominant_supplier']", "signal_flag": "Growing", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 190420, "corridor_rank": 9, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "NLD", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 24657281.766559467, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 11605150.328320054, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 29205252.281409085, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 26323095.53466653, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 22815109.431441437, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": 1.215820119808031, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": 9.406518888404957, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": 2.901122568524861, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 34036969.49817189, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 74335962.92746475, "historical_peak_year": 2023, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 62.06896551724138, "trend_acceleration_pct": -1.68530244871683, "trend_label": "Stable", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": -19.7246, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 17.0427, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 68.9655, "market_share_latest_pct": 33.17005766188765, "market_share_change_1y_pp": -3.5864802322173333, "peer_best_share_pct": 46.64210093682905, "peer_top_exporter": "BEL", "supplier_count_latest": 55, "buyer_market_hhi": 3336.56, "distance_km": 173.52386474609375, "has_reported_fta": 1, "applied_tariff_pct": 0, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0, "volatility_cv": 0.814752823474943, "max_drawdown_pct": 71.36156666686709, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": "['concentrated_buyer_market']", "signal_flag": "Growing", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 190420, "corridor_rank": 14, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "ESP", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 14354708.246670093, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 7395683.751475397, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 16387515.224130949, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 15309202.321570542, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 11917154.168608842, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": 0.3540206760867637, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": 3.5185098880549104, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": 8.273692106766784, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 17460614.47226838, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 28479300.923016742, "historical_peak_year": 2023, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 68.96551724137932, "trend_acceleration_pct": -7.919671430680021, "trend_label": "Stable", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": -13.4402, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 8.3781, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 62.069, "market_share_latest_pct": 50.40400494897237, "market_share_change_1y_pp": -2.665660419410564, "peer_best_share_pct": 50.40400494897237, "peer_top_exporter": "DEU", "supplier_count_latest": 39, "buyer_market_hhi": 2968.74, "distance_km": 1479.33154296875, "has_reported_fta": 1, "applied_tariff_pct": 0, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0, "volatility_cv": 0.6645357268626098, "max_drawdown_pct": 60.75974539711842, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": "['concentrated_buyer_market','dominant_supplier']", "signal_flag": "Growing", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 190420, "corridor_rank": 15, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 13354978.501399035, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 8515115.161621375, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 12821208.158400798, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 12745320.977456775, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 12107320.249347817, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": 2.5844121517774488, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": 1.9832942325591407, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": -0.39905383030981456, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 13899800.037630733, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 30537210.79700617, "historical_peak_year": 2014, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 58.62068965517241, "trend_acceleration_pct": 2.9834659820872633, "trend_label": "Stable", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": 9.414, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 11.02, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 58.6207, "market_share_latest_pct": 43.73345879613977, "market_share_change_1y_pp": -3.2530804229490258, "peer_best_share_pct": 43.73345879613976, "peer_top_exporter": "DEU", "supplier_count_latest": 42, "buyer_market_hhi": 2451.05, "distance_km": 1146.023193359375, "has_reported_fta": 1, "applied_tariff_pct": 0, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0, "volatility_cv": 0.4836818338157899, "max_drawdown_pct": 40.517895556599704, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": "[]", "signal_flag": "Growing", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 190420, "corridor_rank": 20, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "CHE", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 10742505.573641682, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 4262356.626706179, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 10377998.87391133, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 10711454.576191563, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 9980492.704239752, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": -0.434815832494162, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": -0.35462528026078965, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": 9.029087637915767, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 11539412.833415361, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 14039582.78036904, "historical_peak_year": 2020, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 55.172413793103445, "trend_acceleration_pct": -9.463903470409928, "trend_label": "Stable", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": 5.6885, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 12.8378, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 62.069, "market_share_latest_pct": 76.515846244822, "market_share_change_1y_pp": -0.09424766717836519, "peer_best_share_pct": 76.51584624482201, "peer_top_exporter": "DEU", "supplier_count_latest": 55, "buyer_market_hhi": 5932.54, "distance_km": 503.80072021484375, "has_reported_fta": 1, "applied_tariff_pct": 0.012842625485358024, "tariff_advantage_pp": -0.021083829923006173, "volatility_cv": 1.0064216740287246, "max_drawdown_pct": 95.24743710089844, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": "['high_volatility','concentrated_buyer_market','dominant_supplier']", "signal_flag": "Stable", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 190420, "corridor_rank": 27, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "POL", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 7600842.771986648, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 2917334.0586167863, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 6928197.321495294, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 6162271.29018776, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 5554424.793481557, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": 12.823605415304872, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": 10.711100321222888, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": 3.417913609641232, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 7600842.771986648, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 16951338.403081235, "historical_peak_year": 2024, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 62.06896551724138, "trend_acceleration_pct": 9.40569180566364, "trend_label": "Rapid growth", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": 16.9247, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 21.2333, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 75.8621, "market_share_latest_pct": 44.839189633575174, "market_share_change_1y_pp": -2.778749440398393, "peer_best_share_pct": 44.839189633575174, "peer_top_exporter": "DEU", "supplier_count_latest": 36, "buyer_market_hhi": 2742.81, "distance_km": 965.921142578125, "has_reported_fta": 1, "applied_tariff_pct": 0.08091394394890945, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0.04595302958827163, "volatility_cv": 0.8411487790065417, "max_drawdown_pct": 79.36651154198205, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": "['concentrated_buyer_market']", "signal_flag": "Accelerating", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 190420, "corridor_rank": 29, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "CZE", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 6943387.967158644, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 2187554.7322162706, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 6505396.926055595, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 5619135.346172766, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 3937505.573327954, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": 10.521837703275638, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": 24.849561078594775, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": 14.487999702411635, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 7119905.507451022, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 12743190.609085556, "historical_peak_year": 2023, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 72.41379310344827, "trend_acceleration_pct": -3.9661619991359967, "trend_label": "Rapid growth", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": 1.3487, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 10.0639, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 68.9655, "market_share_latest_pct": 54.487044729662856, "market_share_change_1y_pp": -2.138767755231399, "peer_best_share_pct": 54.487044729662856, "peer_top_exporter": "DEU", "supplier_count_latest": 40, "buyer_market_hhi": 3189.75, "distance_km": 545.6255493164062, "has_reported_fta": 1, "applied_tariff_pct": 0.0260380708015873, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0.0260380708015873, "volatility_cv": 0.7813445467306992, "max_drawdown_pct": 82.80312146111089, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": "['concentrated_buyer_market','dominant_supplier']", "signal_flag": "Growing", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 190420, "corridor_rank": 31, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "BEL", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 26, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 6761846.060480519, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 3483653.4730309504, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 6191326.481638846, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 5293301.901403757, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 4439600.763005167, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": 14.691023510166668, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": 12.806842966098086, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": 7.838449508124379, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 6761846.060480519, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 33640901.57230143, "historical_peak_year": 2024, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 68, "trend_acceleration_pct": 6.852574002042289, "trend_label": "Rapid growth", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": 3.4947, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 8.2042, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 84, "market_share_latest_pct": 20.100073851908746, "market_share_change_1y_pp": 1.0401266592999718, "peer_best_share_pct": 45.91144978411737, "peer_top_exporter": "NLD", "supplier_count_latest": 42, "buyer_market_hhi": 2855.98, "distance_km": 196.8760986328125, "has_reported_fta": 1, "applied_tariff_pct": 0, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0, "volatility_cv": 0.4364503922432762, "max_drawdown_pct": 65.03968053779093, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": "['concentrated_buyer_market']", "signal_flag": "Growing", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 190420, "corridor_rank": 32, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "NOR", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 6727615.807964323, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 2808174.5807293663, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 7876733.396868996, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 8531160.897616329, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 6563745.679864695, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": -12.91686202385688, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": -5.861671031860238, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": 12.201161148090979, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 10187297.099286215, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 11431059.043669276, "historical_peak_year": 2021, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 55.172413793103445, "trend_acceleration_pct": -25.118023171947858, "trend_label": "Rapid decline", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": -14.9907, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 5.7814, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 58.6207, "market_share_latest_pct": 58.85382782350509, "market_share_change_1y_pp": -1.0781144413267327, "peer_best_share_pct": 58.85382782350509, "peer_top_exporter": "DEU", "supplier_count_latest": 34, "buyer_market_hhi": 3820.44, "distance_km": 969.2815551757812, "has_reported_fta": 1, "applied_tariff_pct": 0.028095182405699592, "tariff_advantage_pp": -0.0062563252824835505, "volatility_cv": 1.1328442377844037, "max_drawdown_pct": 43.13681546150835, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": "['high_volatility','concentrated_buyer_market','dominant_supplier']", "signal_flag": "Growing", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 190420, "corridor_rank": 36, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "FIN", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 4378348.720050963, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 1720117.2667076273, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 4544682.823274405, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 3860652.0625023423, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 3445135.011533568, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": 14.12185845469287, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": 9.720599327125235, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": 5.016193668610036, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 5726422.325337066, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 13561606.814991951, "historical_peak_year": 2023, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 62.06896551724138, "trend_acceleration_pct": 9.105664786082833, "trend_label": "Rapid growth", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": -6.9101, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 4.8472, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 62.069, "market_share_latest_pct": 32.284881723682105, "market_share_change_1y_pp": -7.02257970069239, "peer_best_share_pct": 32.284881723682105, "peer_top_exporter": "DEU", "supplier_count_latest": 31, "buyer_market_hhi": 2183.76, "distance_km": 1474.955810546875, "has_reported_fta": 1, "applied_tariff_pct": 0.03723152567901234, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0.03723152567901234, "volatility_cv": 0.8424053312569385, "max_drawdown_pct": 47.9089700667835, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": "[]", "signal_flag": "Growing", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 190420, "corridor_rank": 39, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "DNK", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 4271385.958933216, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 2884522.013414581, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 4656578.745944086, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 5014734.292699901, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 5484698.854627101, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": -9.55805633149942, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": -5.775936277091908, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": -2.241085394235054, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 6728401.987672088, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 19796734.24686879, "historical_peak_year": 2018, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 62.06896551724138, "trend_acceleration_pct": -7.316970937264367, "trend_label": "Declining", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": 11.4249, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 6.5722, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 65.5172, "market_share_latest_pct": 21.57621507501326, "market_share_change_1y_pp": -5.481111312247695, "peer_best_share_pct": 40.87623780298733, "peer_top_exporter": "SWE", "supplier_count_latest": 40, "buyer_market_hhi": 2451.01, "distance_km": 595.8535766601562, "has_reported_fta": 1, "applied_tariff_pct": 0, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0, "volatility_cv": 0.7730621389301482, "max_drawdown_pct": 90.2097921931919, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": "[]", "signal_flag": "Stable", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 190420, "corridor_rank": 42, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 3961541.0597050143, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 5317958.880715615, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 4122672.915513703, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 5510952.707758052, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 9886074.221355516, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": 4.286224090053015, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": -23.9863080487967, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": -1.7949157358424395, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 15610076.409665568, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 71816854.68048096, "historical_peak_year": 2019, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 51.724137931034484, "trend_acceleration_pct": 6.081139825895454, "trend_label": "Growing", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": 10.7359, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 12.4851, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 72.4138, "market_share_latest_pct": 5.516171764038167, "market_share_change_1y_pp": -1.508605062999961, "peer_best_share_pct": 39.885484589044545, "peer_top_exporter": "LTU", "supplier_count_latest": 68, "buyer_market_hhi": 2776.57, "distance_km": 495.36328125, "has_reported_fta": 1, "applied_tariff_pct": 0, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0, "volatility_cv": 0.9222199631565335, "max_drawdown_pct": 99.6573847201668, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": "['unrecovered_drawdown','concentrated_buyer_market']", "signal_flag": "Growing", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 190420, "corridor_rank": 50, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "GRC", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 2958050.0625311136, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 1382684.4265053722, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 3018465.8604707457, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 2772615.3113918016, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 2267925.6616895394, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": 4.87075894362663, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": 12.470598953901767, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": 7.193250037166976, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 3251720.128467696, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 10129040.81797669, "historical_peak_year": 2023, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 51.724137931034484, "trend_acceleration_pct": -2.3224910935403464, "trend_label": "Growing", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": -21.4589, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 10.8147, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 62.069, "market_share_latest_pct": 29.20365428166962, "market_share_change_1y_pp": 3.989660531594673, "peer_best_share_pct": 29.20365428166962, "peer_top_exporter": "DEU", "supplier_count_latest": 26, "buyer_market_hhi": 1934.04, "distance_km": 1990.5819091796875, "has_reported_fta": 1, "applied_tariff_pct": 0, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0, "volatility_cv": 0.6682634405306938, "max_drawdown_pct": 85.30545955677324, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": "[]", "signal_flag": "Growing", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" } ], "priceSummary": { "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "hs_code": 190420, "num_markets": 152, "highest_price_importer_iso3": "HND", "highest_price_usd_per_ton": 56000, "lowest_price_importer_iso3": "COG", "lowest_price_usd_per_ton": 207.3941134242642, "median_price_across_markets": 3383.9758354548026, "price_spread_pct": 1648.7294413282143, "avg_quantity_metric_tons": 555.847431177446, "total_trade_value_usd": 1071964192 }, "history": [ { "year": 2010, "export_value_usd": 93854078.48634143, "active_destinations": 121, "yoy_growth_pct": -11.373360031662546 }, { "year": 2011, "export_value_usd": 103974663.85021614, "active_destinations": 116, "yoy_growth_pct": 10.783319731115949 }, { "year": 2012, "export_value_usd": 113111739.94056372, "active_destinations": 134, "yoy_growth_pct": 8.78779094059903 }, { "year": 2013, "export_value_usd": 129777863.25334863, "active_destinations": 134, "yoy_growth_pct": 14.73421178167923 }, { "year": 2014, "export_value_usd": 153424849.14267248, "active_destinations": 136, "yoy_growth_pct": 18.22112438633766 }, { "year": 2015, "export_value_usd": 153713881.52821413, "active_destinations": 139, "yoy_growth_pct": 0.18838694458996752 }, { "year": 2016, "export_value_usd": 174579963.94006866, "active_destinations": 129, "yoy_growth_pct": 13.574624623622281 }, { "year": 2017, "export_value_usd": 180204138.2415549, "active_destinations": 132, "yoy_growth_pct": 3.2215462614123003 }, { "year": 2018, "export_value_usd": 193846582.73964703, "active_destinations": 133, "yoy_growth_pct": 7.570550061289443 }, { "year": 2019, "export_value_usd": 195789121.18917817, "active_destinations": 131, "yoy_growth_pct": 1.0021009512146715 }, { "year": 2020, "export_value_usd": 204766280.8666454, "active_destinations": 127, "yoy_growth_pct": 4.585116692358605 }, { "year": 2021, "export_value_usd": 205360728.73684043, "active_destinations": 130, "yoy_growth_pct": 0.29030554624477795 }, { "year": 2022, "export_value_usd": 224756614.38794965, "active_destinations": 120, "yoy_growth_pct": 9.444788090893503 }, { "year": 2023, "export_value_usd": 262262473.50032908, "active_destinations": 119, "yoy_growth_pct": 16.687321623220853 }, { "year": 2024, "export_value_usd": 243588661.17079777, "active_destinations": 118, "yoy_growth_pct": -7.120276141797268 } ], "economy": { "year": 2024, "country_iso3": "DEU", "exports_usd": 1556773836581.939, "imports_usd": 1317565125540.067, "trade_balance_usd": 239208711041.87207, "yoy_exports_growth_pct": -4.920181070331687, "yoy_imports_growth_pct": -5.864236583999549, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": -0.27823928798644815, "imports_cagr_3y_pct": -0.9610037823739925, "export_partner_hhi": 438.209471440054, "export_product_hhi": 54.022047395285114, "momentum_score": -3.527598535628115, "risk_score": 2.4611575941766954, "gdp_million_usd": 4685592.5778046865, "gdp_per_capita_usd": 56103.73231825545, "population": 83516593, "labor_force": 43123.3, "investment_rate_pct": 22.08, "savings_rate_pct": 27.68, "secondary_education_pct": 95.9, "tertiary_education_pct": 20.06, "total_factor_productivity": 2376, "trade_openness_pct": 64.10501996682734, "exports_gdp_pct": 34.71998925424008, "num_active_partners": 1080, "num_fta_partners": 214, "num_wto_partners": 676, "num_eu_partners": 112, "num_shared_border_partners": 18, "num_shared_language_partners": 8, "avg_partner_distance_km": 6605.880658436214, "avg_partner_gdp_million_usd": 533678518.3258193, "avg_partner_gdp_per_capita_usd": 15.774186170212737, "avg_buyer_biz_entry_days": null, "avg_buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "pct_partners_with_fta": 19.814814814814817, "pct_partners_shared_language": 0.7407407407407408, "pct_partners_shared_border": 1.6666666666666667, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 0.12742739700531733, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 0.12991419306435142, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0.024712068784908343, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0.10520212427944309, "avg_distance_all_partners_km": 6614.911529962142, "num_border_partners": 360, "num_colonial_partners": 384, "avg_substitution_elasticity": -10.91665015154679, "pct_products_high_elasticity": 76.04527604527604, "pct_products_low_elasticity": 2.6565026565026564, "real_market_potential": 2800764.90471021, "foreign_market_potential": 32561.235292050776 }, "countryMap": {} }, "product": { "hs_code": "190420", "hs_description": "Food preparations: obtained from unroasted cereal flakes or from mixtures of unroasted cereal flakes and roasted cereal flakes or swelled cereals", "hs_chapter": 19, "hs_heading": 1904 }, "destinations": [ { "hs_code": 190420, "corridor_rank": 2, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "FRA", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 39465730.24841445, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 15768606.72895631, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 38238853.94007641, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 32787385.158275, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 26129232.57581153, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": 16.60755146888022, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": 12.065615357449634, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": 9.012546967956169, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 41933839.0181674, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 80530215.8721612, "historical_peak_year": 2023, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 68.96551724137932, "trend_acceleration_pct": 7.595004500924052, "trend_label": "Rapid growth", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": -7.5626, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 3.6839, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 65.5172, "market_share_latest_pct": 49.00735682996909, "market_share_change_1y_pp": 0.8732006373668142, "peer_best_share_pct": 49.0073568299691, "peer_top_exporter": "DEU", "supplier_count_latest": 70, "buyer_market_hhi": 2987.02, "distance_km": 439.8984375, "has_reported_fta": 1, "applied_tariff_pct": 0, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0, "volatility_cv": 0.6607050652194786, "max_drawdown_pct": 94.90606482447913, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": "['concentrated_buyer_market']", "signal_flag": "Stable", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 190420, "corridor_rank": 7, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "AUT", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 28172969.685006436, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 13421081.383000152, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 24785112.58346797, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 24134864.45137496, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 22835413.930971514, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": 8.404473773486654, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": 3.1660574884015524, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": 4.2292521936404315, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 28172969.685006436, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 33817261.31114966, "historical_peak_year": 2024, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 75.86206896551724, "trend_acceleration_pct": 4.175221579846222, "trend_label": "Growing", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": 15.1818, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 7.4005, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 68.9655, "market_share_latest_pct": 83.3094360474357, "market_share_change_1y_pp": 1.1633665334375678, "peer_best_share_pct": 83.3094360474357, "peer_top_exporter": "DEU", "supplier_count_latest": 50, "buyer_market_hhi": 6988.48, "distance_km": 763.7313842773438, "has_reported_fta": 1, "applied_tariff_pct": 0.04880302040329218, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0.04880302040329218, "volatility_cv": 0.5995737722475389, "max_drawdown_pct": 79.46201305628297, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": "['concentrated_buyer_market','dominant_supplier']", "signal_flag": "Growing", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 190420, "corridor_rank": 8, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "SWE", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 27810371.103294723, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 8124486.168402809, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 24933445.416917335, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 21718143.112573963, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 17353835.25887796, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": 16.46597410600816, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": 14.712845879440417, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": 12.355300957529614, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 28332589.245579705, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 32945857.00919574, "historical_peak_year": 2023, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 72.41379310344827, "trend_acceleration_pct": 4.110673148478547, "trend_label": "Rapid growth", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": -5.6226, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 8.6765, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 68.9655, "market_share_latest_pct": 84.4123468863851, "market_share_change_1y_pp": 3.2502499746679376, "peer_best_share_pct": 84.41234688638508, "peer_top_exporter": "DEU", "supplier_count_latest": 37, "buyer_market_hhi": 7153.07, "distance_km": 1118.92919921875, "has_reported_fta": 1, "applied_tariff_pct": 0.020404016485596706, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0.020404016485596706, "volatility_cv": 0.9426341129422042, "max_drawdown_pct": 68.79888682176588, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": "['concentrated_buyer_market','dominant_supplier']", "signal_flag": "Growing", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 190420, "corridor_rank": 9, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "NLD", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 24657281.766559467, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 11605150.328320054, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 29205252.281409085, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 26323095.53466653, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 22815109.431441437, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": 1.215820119808031, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": 9.406518888404957, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": 2.901122568524861, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 34036969.49817189, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 74335962.92746475, "historical_peak_year": 2023, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 62.06896551724138, "trend_acceleration_pct": -1.68530244871683, "trend_label": "Stable", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": -19.7246, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 17.0427, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 68.9655, "market_share_latest_pct": 33.17005766188765, "market_share_change_1y_pp": -3.5864802322173333, "peer_best_share_pct": 46.64210093682905, "peer_top_exporter": "BEL", "supplier_count_latest": 55, "buyer_market_hhi": 3336.56, "distance_km": 173.52386474609375, "has_reported_fta": 1, "applied_tariff_pct": 0, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0, "volatility_cv": 0.814752823474943, "max_drawdown_pct": 71.36156666686709, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": "['concentrated_buyer_market']", "signal_flag": "Growing", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 190420, "corridor_rank": 14, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "ESP", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 14354708.246670093, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 7395683.751475397, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 16387515.224130949, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 15309202.321570542, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 11917154.168608842, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": 0.3540206760867637, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": 3.5185098880549104, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": 8.273692106766784, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 17460614.47226838, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 28479300.923016742, "historical_peak_year": 2023, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 68.96551724137932, "trend_acceleration_pct": -7.919671430680021, "trend_label": "Stable", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": -13.4402, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 8.3781, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 62.069, "market_share_latest_pct": 50.40400494897237, "market_share_change_1y_pp": -2.665660419410564, "peer_best_share_pct": 50.40400494897237, "peer_top_exporter": "DEU", "supplier_count_latest": 39, "buyer_market_hhi": 2968.74, "distance_km": 1479.33154296875, "has_reported_fta": 1, "applied_tariff_pct": 0, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0, "volatility_cv": 0.6645357268626098, "max_drawdown_pct": 60.75974539711842, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": "['concentrated_buyer_market','dominant_supplier']", "signal_flag": "Growing", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 190420, "corridor_rank": 15, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 13354978.501399035, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 8515115.161621375, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 12821208.158400798, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 12745320.977456775, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 12107320.249347817, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": 2.5844121517774488, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": 1.9832942325591407, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": -0.39905383030981456, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 13899800.037630733, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 30537210.79700617, "historical_peak_year": 2014, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 58.62068965517241, "trend_acceleration_pct": 2.9834659820872633, "trend_label": "Stable", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": 9.414, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 11.02, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 58.6207, "market_share_latest_pct": 43.73345879613977, "market_share_change_1y_pp": -3.2530804229490258, "peer_best_share_pct": 43.73345879613976, "peer_top_exporter": "DEU", "supplier_count_latest": 42, "buyer_market_hhi": 2451.05, "distance_km": 1146.023193359375, "has_reported_fta": 1, "applied_tariff_pct": 0, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0, "volatility_cv": 0.4836818338157899, "max_drawdown_pct": 40.517895556599704, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": "[]", "signal_flag": "Growing", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 190420, "corridor_rank": 20, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "CHE", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 10742505.573641682, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 4262356.626706179, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 10377998.87391133, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 10711454.576191563, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 9980492.704239752, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": -0.434815832494162, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": -0.35462528026078965, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": 9.029087637915767, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 11539412.833415361, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 14039582.78036904, "historical_peak_year": 2020, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 55.172413793103445, "trend_acceleration_pct": -9.463903470409928, "trend_label": "Stable", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": 5.6885, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 12.8378, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 62.069, "market_share_latest_pct": 76.515846244822, "market_share_change_1y_pp": -0.09424766717836519, "peer_best_share_pct": 76.51584624482201, "peer_top_exporter": "DEU", "supplier_count_latest": 55, "buyer_market_hhi": 5932.54, "distance_km": 503.80072021484375, "has_reported_fta": 1, "applied_tariff_pct": 0.012842625485358024, "tariff_advantage_pp": -0.021083829923006173, "volatility_cv": 1.0064216740287246, "max_drawdown_pct": 95.24743710089844, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": "['high_volatility','concentrated_buyer_market','dominant_supplier']", "signal_flag": "Stable", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 190420, "corridor_rank": 27, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "POL", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 7600842.771986648, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 2917334.0586167863, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 6928197.321495294, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 6162271.29018776, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 5554424.793481557, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": 12.823605415304872, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": 10.711100321222888, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": 3.417913609641232, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 7600842.771986648, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 16951338.403081235, "historical_peak_year": 2024, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 62.06896551724138, "trend_acceleration_pct": 9.40569180566364, "trend_label": "Rapid growth", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": 16.9247, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 21.2333, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 75.8621, "market_share_latest_pct": 44.839189633575174, "market_share_change_1y_pp": -2.778749440398393, "peer_best_share_pct": 44.839189633575174, "peer_top_exporter": "DEU", "supplier_count_latest": 36, "buyer_market_hhi": 2742.81, "distance_km": 965.921142578125, "has_reported_fta": 1, "applied_tariff_pct": 0.08091394394890945, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0.04595302958827163, "volatility_cv": 0.8411487790065417, "max_drawdown_pct": 79.36651154198205, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": "['concentrated_buyer_market']", "signal_flag": "Accelerating", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 190420, "corridor_rank": 29, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "CZE", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 6943387.967158644, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 2187554.7322162706, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 6505396.926055595, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 5619135.346172766, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 3937505.573327954, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": 10.521837703275638, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": 24.849561078594775, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": 14.487999702411635, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 7119905.507451022, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 12743190.609085556, "historical_peak_year": 2023, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 72.41379310344827, "trend_acceleration_pct": -3.9661619991359967, "trend_label": "Rapid growth", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": 1.3487, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 10.0639, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 68.9655, "market_share_latest_pct": 54.487044729662856, "market_share_change_1y_pp": -2.138767755231399, "peer_best_share_pct": 54.487044729662856, "peer_top_exporter": "DEU", "supplier_count_latest": 40, "buyer_market_hhi": 3189.75, "distance_km": 545.6255493164062, "has_reported_fta": 1, "applied_tariff_pct": 0.0260380708015873, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0.0260380708015873, "volatility_cv": 0.7813445467306992, "max_drawdown_pct": 82.80312146111089, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": "['concentrated_buyer_market','dominant_supplier']", "signal_flag": "Growing", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 190420, "corridor_rank": 31, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "BEL", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 26, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 6761846.060480519, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 3483653.4730309504, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 6191326.481638846, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 5293301.901403757, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 4439600.763005167, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": 14.691023510166668, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": 12.806842966098086, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": 7.838449508124379, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 6761846.060480519, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 33640901.57230143, "historical_peak_year": 2024, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 68, "trend_acceleration_pct": 6.852574002042289, "trend_label": "Rapid growth", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": 3.4947, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 8.2042, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 84, "market_share_latest_pct": 20.100073851908746, "market_share_change_1y_pp": 1.0401266592999718, "peer_best_share_pct": 45.91144978411737, "peer_top_exporter": "NLD", "supplier_count_latest": 42, "buyer_market_hhi": 2855.98, "distance_km": 196.8760986328125, "has_reported_fta": 1, "applied_tariff_pct": 0, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0, "volatility_cv": 0.4364503922432762, "max_drawdown_pct": 65.03968053779093, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": "['concentrated_buyer_market']", "signal_flag": "Growing", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 190420, "corridor_rank": 32, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "NOR", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 6727615.807964323, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 2808174.5807293663, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 7876733.396868996, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 8531160.897616329, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 6563745.679864695, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": -12.91686202385688, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": -5.861671031860238, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": 12.201161148090979, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 10187297.099286215, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 11431059.043669276, "historical_peak_year": 2021, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 55.172413793103445, "trend_acceleration_pct": -25.118023171947858, "trend_label": "Rapid decline", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": -14.9907, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 5.7814, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 58.6207, "market_share_latest_pct": 58.85382782350509, "market_share_change_1y_pp": -1.0781144413267327, "peer_best_share_pct": 58.85382782350509, "peer_top_exporter": "DEU", "supplier_count_latest": 34, "buyer_market_hhi": 3820.44, "distance_km": 969.2815551757812, "has_reported_fta": 1, "applied_tariff_pct": 0.028095182405699592, "tariff_advantage_pp": -0.0062563252824835505, "volatility_cv": 1.1328442377844037, "max_drawdown_pct": 43.13681546150835, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": "['high_volatility','concentrated_buyer_market','dominant_supplier']", "signal_flag": "Growing", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 190420, "corridor_rank": 36, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "FIN", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 4378348.720050963, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 1720117.2667076273, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 4544682.823274405, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 3860652.0625023423, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 3445135.011533568, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": 14.12185845469287, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": 9.720599327125235, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": 5.016193668610036, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 5726422.325337066, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 13561606.814991951, "historical_peak_year": 2023, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 62.06896551724138, "trend_acceleration_pct": 9.105664786082833, "trend_label": "Rapid growth", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": -6.9101, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 4.8472, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 62.069, "market_share_latest_pct": 32.284881723682105, "market_share_change_1y_pp": -7.02257970069239, "peer_best_share_pct": 32.284881723682105, "peer_top_exporter": "DEU", "supplier_count_latest": 31, "buyer_market_hhi": 2183.76, "distance_km": 1474.955810546875, "has_reported_fta": 1, "applied_tariff_pct": 0.03723152567901234, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0.03723152567901234, "volatility_cv": 0.8424053312569385, "max_drawdown_pct": 47.9089700667835, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": "[]", "signal_flag": "Growing", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 190420, "corridor_rank": 39, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "DNK", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 4271385.958933216, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 2884522.013414581, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 4656578.745944086, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 5014734.292699901, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 5484698.854627101, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": -9.55805633149942, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": -5.775936277091908, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": -2.241085394235054, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 6728401.987672088, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 19796734.24686879, "historical_peak_year": 2018, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 62.06896551724138, "trend_acceleration_pct": -7.316970937264367, "trend_label": "Declining", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": 11.4249, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 6.5722, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 65.5172, "market_share_latest_pct": 21.57621507501326, "market_share_change_1y_pp": -5.481111312247695, "peer_best_share_pct": 40.87623780298733, "peer_top_exporter": "SWE", "supplier_count_latest": 40, "buyer_market_hhi": 2451.01, "distance_km": 595.8535766601562, "has_reported_fta": 1, "applied_tariff_pct": 0, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0, "volatility_cv": 0.7730621389301482, "max_drawdown_pct": 90.2097921931919, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": "[]", "signal_flag": "Stable", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 190420, "corridor_rank": 42, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "GBR", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 3961541.0597050143, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 5317958.880715615, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 4122672.915513703, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 5510952.707758052, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 9886074.221355516, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": 4.286224090053015, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": -23.9863080487967, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": -1.7949157358424395, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 15610076.409665568, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 71816854.68048096, "historical_peak_year": 2019, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 51.724137931034484, "trend_acceleration_pct": 6.081139825895454, "trend_label": "Growing", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": 10.7359, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 12.4851, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 72.4138, "market_share_latest_pct": 5.516171764038167, "market_share_change_1y_pp": -1.508605062999961, "peer_best_share_pct": 39.885484589044545, "peer_top_exporter": "LTU", "supplier_count_latest": 68, "buyer_market_hhi": 2776.57, "distance_km": 495.36328125, "has_reported_fta": 1, "applied_tariff_pct": 0, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0, "volatility_cv": 0.9222199631565335, "max_drawdown_pct": 99.6573847201668, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": "['unrecovered_drawdown','concentrated_buyer_market']", "signal_flag": "Growing", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 190420, "corridor_rank": 50, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "GRC", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 2958050.0625311136, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 1382684.4265053722, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 3018465.8604707457, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 2772615.3113918016, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 2267925.6616895394, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": 4.87075894362663, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": 12.470598953901767, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": 7.193250037166976, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 3251720.128467696, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 10129040.81797669, "historical_peak_year": 2023, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 51.724137931034484, "trend_acceleration_pct": -2.3224910935403464, "trend_label": "Growing", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": -21.4589, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 10.8147, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 62.069, "market_share_latest_pct": 29.20365428166962, "market_share_change_1y_pp": 3.989660531594673, "peer_best_share_pct": 29.20365428166962, "peer_top_exporter": "DEU", "supplier_count_latest": 26, "buyer_market_hhi": 1934.04, "distance_km": 1990.5819091796875, "has_reported_fta": 1, "applied_tariff_pct": 0, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0, "volatility_cv": 0.6682634405306938, "max_drawdown_pct": 85.30545955677324, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": "[]", "signal_flag": "Growing", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" } ], "prices": [], "priceSummary": { "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "hs_code": 190420, "num_markets": 152, "highest_price_importer_iso3": "HND", "highest_price_usd_per_ton": 56000, "lowest_price_importer_iso3": "COG", "lowest_price_usd_per_ton": 207.3941134242642, "median_price_across_markets": 3383.9758354548026, "price_spread_pct": 1648.7294413282143, "avg_quantity_metric_tons": 555.847431177446, "total_trade_value_usd": 1071964192 }, "history": [ { "year": 2010, "export_value_usd": 93854078.48634143, "active_destinations": 121, "yoy_growth_pct": -11.373360031662546 }, { "year": 2011, "export_value_usd": 103974663.85021614, "active_destinations": 116, "yoy_growth_pct": 10.783319731115949 }, { "year": 2012, "export_value_usd": 113111739.94056372, "active_destinations": 134, "yoy_growth_pct": 8.78779094059903 }, { "year": 2013, "export_value_usd": 129777863.25334863, "active_destinations": 134, "yoy_growth_pct": 14.73421178167923 }, { "year": 2014, "export_value_usd": 153424849.14267248, "active_destinations": 136, "yoy_growth_pct": 18.22112438633766 }, { "year": 2015, "export_value_usd": 153713881.52821413, "active_destinations": 139, "yoy_growth_pct": 0.18838694458996752 }, { "year": 2016, "export_value_usd": 174579963.94006866, "active_destinations": 129, "yoy_growth_pct": 13.574624623622281 }, { "year": 2017, "export_value_usd": 180204138.2415549, "active_destinations": 132, "yoy_growth_pct": 3.2215462614123003 }, { "year": 2018, "export_value_usd": 193846582.73964703, "active_destinations": 133, "yoy_growth_pct": 7.570550061289443 }, { "year": 2019, "export_value_usd": 195789121.18917817, "active_destinations": 131, "yoy_growth_pct": 1.0021009512146715 }, { "year": 2020, "export_value_usd": 204766280.8666454, "active_destinations": 127, "yoy_growth_pct": 4.585116692358605 }, { "year": 2021, "export_value_usd": 205360728.73684043, "active_destinations": 130, "yoy_growth_pct": 0.29030554624477795 }, { "year": 2022, "export_value_usd": 224756614.38794965, "active_destinations": 120, "yoy_growth_pct": 9.444788090893503 }, { "year": 2023, "export_value_usd": 262262473.50032908, "active_destinations": 119, "yoy_growth_pct": 16.687321623220853 }, { "year": 2024, "export_value_usd": 243588661.17079777, "active_destinations": 118, "yoy_growth_pct": -7.120276141797268 } ], "economy": { "year": 2024, "country_iso3": "DEU", "exports_usd": 1556773836581.939, "imports_usd": 1317565125540.067, "trade_balance_usd": 239208711041.87207, "yoy_exports_growth_pct": -4.920181070331687, "yoy_imports_growth_pct": -5.864236583999549, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": -0.27823928798644815, "imports_cagr_3y_pct": -0.9610037823739925, "export_partner_hhi": 438.209471440054, "export_product_hhi": 54.022047395285114, "momentum_score": -3.527598535628115, "risk_score": 2.4611575941766954, "gdp_million_usd": 4685592.5778046865, "gdp_per_capita_usd": 56103.73231825545, "population": 83516593, "labor_force": 43123.3, "investment_rate_pct": 22.08, "savings_rate_pct": 27.68, "secondary_education_pct": 95.9, "tertiary_education_pct": 20.06, "total_factor_productivity": 2376, "trade_openness_pct": 64.10501996682734, "exports_gdp_pct": 34.71998925424008, "num_active_partners": 1080, "num_fta_partners": 214, "num_wto_partners": 676, "num_eu_partners": 112, "num_shared_border_partners": 18, "num_shared_language_partners": 8, "avg_partner_distance_km": 6605.880658436214, "avg_partner_gdp_million_usd": 533678518.3258193, "avg_partner_gdp_per_capita_usd": 15.774186170212737, "avg_buyer_biz_entry_days": null, "avg_buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "pct_partners_with_fta": 19.814814814814817, "pct_partners_shared_language": 0.7407407407407408, "pct_partners_shared_border": 1.6666666666666667, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 0.12742739700531733, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 0.12991419306435142, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0.024712068784908343, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0.10520212427944309, "avg_distance_all_partners_km": 6614.911529962142, "num_border_partners": 360, "num_colonial_partners": 384, "avg_substitution_elasticity": -10.91665015154679, "pct_products_high_elasticity": 76.04527604527604, "pct_products_low_elasticity": 2.6565026565026564, "real_market_potential": 2800764.90471021, "foreign_market_potential": 32561.235292050776 } }