{ "template": "T3", "templateName": "Product Exporter Position Profile", "source": "api", "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com" }, "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/exporter/deu/170211", "links": { "product": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/product/170211", "exporter": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/exporter/deu/170211", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology" }, "methodology": { "summary": "Reported exporter totals are combined with destination, price, history, and country-context observations. Growth, concentration, weighted share, volatility, drawdown, and price-position values are calculated indicators rather than additional reported trade.", "reportedValues": "Merchandise trade observations for an exporter, HS6 product, destination market, and available year.", "destinations": "Destination rows are ranked by latest observed exporter-lane value.", "prices": "Unit values are reported trade value divided by reported quantity where quantity is positive.", "missingData": "Missing values are shown as Not reported and are not imputed." }, "exporter": { "hs_code": "170211", "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "first_data_year": 1995, "latest_data_year": 2024, "observed_lane_count": 153, "current_lane_count": 111, "active_market_count": 111, "exports_latest_observed_lanes_usd": 386330074.42716813, "exports_current_2024_usd": 385063387.87332875, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 425314078.0736801, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 409868828.2354245, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 348048540.52305204, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": -2.6273416642337732, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": 2.002807479844715, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": 1.0071959947059117, "exports_all_year_lane_avg_usd": 201142158.16930678, "exports_historical_lane_peak_usd": 622367267.2854927, "historical_peak_year": 2022, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 62.06896551724138, "trend_acceleration_pct": -3.634537658939685, "trend_label": "Stable", "top_market_iso3": "NLD", "top_market_exports_usd": 72983859.51347396, "top_market_share_pct": 18.891581149019, "destination_hhi": 704.7497807891797, "weighted_share_latest_pct": 42.97957340280517, "weighted_share_change_1y_pp": 3.220227168960267, "weighted_volatility_cv": 0.8993786993401184, "weighted_max_drawdown_pct": 68.10380538105277, "limited_history_lane_share_pct": 17.647058823529413, "data_freshness_years": 0, "coverage_score": 100, "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:28:35", "source": "api", "product": { "hs_code": 170211, "hs_description": "Sugars: lactose and lactose syrup, containing by weight 99% or more lactose, expressed as anhydrous lactose, calculated on the dry matter", "hs_chapter": 17, "hs_heading": 1702, "substitution_elasticity": -6.4450226, "price_range_label": "Unclassified", "trade_type_label": "One-way trade" }, "hs_description": "Sugars: lactose and lactose syrup, containing by weight 99% or more lactose, expressed as anhydrous lactose, calculated on the dry matter", "hs_chapter": 17, "hs_heading": 1702, "destinations": [ { "hs_code": 170211, "corridor_rank": 2, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "NLD", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 72983859.51347396, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 38720583.76163048, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 71080287.85419306, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 73093865.7344257, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 68760980.82196838, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": -6.4768663709067535, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": 0.9167323567284447, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": 0.1746420033521323, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 93255287.43204607, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 96346991.91660443, "historical_peak_year": 2022, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 68.96551724137932, "trend_acceleration_pct": -6.651508374258886, "trend_label": "Declining", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": 11.3265, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 17.5535, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 65.5172, "market_share_latest_pct": 75.75105154984703, "market_share_change_1y_pp": 21.44178377356583, "peer_best_share_pct": 75.75105154984702, "peer_top_exporter": "DEU", "supplier_count_latest": 37, "buyer_market_hhi": 5849.34, "distance_km": 173.52386474609375, "has_reported_fta": 1, "applied_tariff_pct": 0, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0, "volatility_cv": 0.7898079849509906, "max_drawdown_pct": 53.62626162837998, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": "['concentrated_buyer_market','dominant_supplier']", "signal_flag": "Accelerating", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 170211, "corridor_rank": 8, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 28, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 30291465.324066818, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 7217910.29164005, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 30258339.497518484, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 26334221.052683488, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 16616834.24955517, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": 7.37100122738672, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": 23.047361306918447, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": 15.916208247401475, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 39035277.10718319, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 145272265.05574122, "historical_peak_year": 2023, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 55.55555555555556, "trend_acceleration_pct": -8.545207020014754, "trend_label": "Growing", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": -20.9469, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 29.33, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 62.069, "market_share_latest_pct": 20.851513062348083, "market_share_change_1y_pp": -0.39038975260938713, "peer_best_share_pct": 59.02312168567067, "peer_top_exporter": "USA", "supplier_count_latest": 28, "buyer_market_hhi": 3988.44, "distance_km": 7785.341796875, "has_reported_fta": 0, "applied_tariff_pct": 0.29912295578395065, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "volatility_cv": 1.3908639415229476, "max_drawdown_pct": 87.99543330121125, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": "['high_volatility','concentrated_buyer_market','dominant_supplier','long_distance_without_fta']", "signal_flag": "Growing", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 170211, "corridor_rank": 9, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "IND", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 29347418.291531134, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 7363847.313862319, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 26141134.245599568, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 22265467.053394757, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 16712179.999706846, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": 18.595381045955463, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": 19.755573231413237, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": 11.134562691346716, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 33114616.761680216, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 91477744.75445381, "historical_peak_year": 2023, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 65.51724137931035, "trend_acceleration_pct": 7.460818354608747, "trend_label": "Rapid growth", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": -11.5721, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 16.8849, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 62.069, "market_share_latest_pct": 32.08148426735487, "market_share_change_1y_pp": 0.07090786320893727, "peer_best_share_pct": 33.407677267993435, "peer_top_exporter": "NLD", "supplier_count_latest": 27, "buyer_market_hhi": 2382.84, "distance_km": 6229.63671875, "has_reported_fta": 0, "applied_tariff_pct": 0.5267321838847735, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "volatility_cv": 1.1379716432311022, "max_drawdown_pct": 70.40868254940676, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": "['high_volatility']", "signal_flag": "Growing", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 170211, "corridor_rank": 10, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "FRA", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 29075776.87832081, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 13503002.869835902, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 32492972.3486215, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 31028481.21860336, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 25080034.523583006, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": -1.2927466744885097, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": 3.8399171081166417, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": 3.9258103129065747, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 34477952.82466111, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 54743909.68576462, "historical_peak_year": 2023, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 72.41379310344827, "trend_acceleration_pct": -5.218556987395084, "trend_label": "Stable", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": -6.6534, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 11.645, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 68.9655, "market_share_latest_pct": 53.11234993119527, "market_share_change_1y_pp": -5.677748088944142, "peer_best_share_pct": 53.11234993119528, "peer_top_exporter": "DEU", "supplier_count_latest": 30, "buyer_market_hhi": 3251.38, "distance_km": 439.8984375, "has_reported_fta": 1, "applied_tariff_pct": 0, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0, "volatility_cv": 0.7997433021872097, "max_drawdown_pct": 62.20970523513819, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": "['concentrated_buyer_market','dominant_supplier']", "signal_flag": "Growing", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 170211, "corridor_rank": 11, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "NZL", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 27, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 27029745.968881365, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 15030230.200573573, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 33871661.17957567, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 35486273.7176769, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 27688156.253930055, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": -11.149994747543012, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": -1.6825310922856995, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": -5.023968415527236, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 50402330.43059678, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 95061417.72465539, "historical_peak_year": 2022, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 50, "trend_acceleration_pct": -6.126026332015776, "trend_label": "Rapid decline", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": -11.031, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 179.7612, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 58.6207, "market_share_latest_pct": 28.43398154146281, "market_share_change_1y_pp": 5.800930659386477, "peer_best_share_pct": 55.80599923626636, "peer_top_exporter": "USA", "supplier_count_latest": 14, "buyer_market_hhi": 4018.02, "distance_km": 18824.75390625, "has_reported_fta": 0, "applied_tariff_pct": 0.062361757011728386, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "volatility_cv": 1.0559511357683375, "max_drawdown_pct": 99.72172609048042, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": "['high_volatility','concentrated_buyer_market','dominant_supplier','long_distance_without_fta']", "signal_flag": "Accelerating", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 170211, "corridor_rank": 12, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 25867447.12129321, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 14956285.349970642, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 29365530.465841606, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 28306060.909294717, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 23430913.20468217, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": -3.526891927840037, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": 3.4570010686854724, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": 2.468807704893883, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 33880281.15658495, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 89693269.7895287, "historical_peak_year": 2022, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 55.172413793103445, "trend_acceleration_pct": -5.99569963273392, "trend_label": "Declining", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": -14.3883, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 5.5131, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 55.1724, "market_share_latest_pct": 28.839897555293625, "market_share_change_1y_pp": 1.7810607818689412, "peer_best_share_pct": 38.86943497864281, "peer_top_exporter": "USA", "supplier_count_latest": 14, "buyer_market_hhi": 2744.75, "distance_km": 9298.3408203125, "has_reported_fta": 1, "applied_tariff_pct": 0.039911157261893, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0.030370869448953192, "volatility_cv": 0.6090123120742981, "max_drawdown_pct": 61.638796287581144, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": "['concentrated_buyer_market','buyer_macro_weakness']", "signal_flag": "Growing", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 170211, "corridor_rank": 16, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "IRL", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 15551729.75815141, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 9521688.901363516, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 21430506.3567908, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 19489440.48954647, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 16673845.529501695, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": 1.630161102373462, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": -2.6566835643509368, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": -1.8050181064541482, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 30025357.16172202, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 45540694.889563754, "historical_peak_year": 2013, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 51.724137931034484, "trend_acceleration_pct": 3.43517920882761, "trend_label": "Stable", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": -19.5861, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 35.002, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 48.2759, "market_share_latest_pct": 34.14908313512645, "market_share_change_1y_pp": -0.8363269057001688, "peer_best_share_pct": 35.48470527114731, "peer_top_exporter": "NLD", "supplier_count_latest": 20, "buyer_market_hhi": 2718.17, "distance_km": 920.8692626953125, "has_reported_fta": 1, "applied_tariff_pct": 0, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0, "volatility_cv": 0.9526359747922489, "max_drawdown_pct": 61.918086733550616, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": "['concentrated_buyer_market']", "signal_flag": "Growing", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 170211, "corridor_rank": 17, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "AUT", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 14145499.236022802, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 9155005.75063049, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 15578624.75286591, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 15413497.721717605, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 13754712.723312717, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": -9.806450871956319, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": -0.9912964291975412, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": -2.1072302214213634, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 22999716.74812222, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 21582864.36375807, "historical_peak_year": 2012, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 51.724137931034484, "trend_acceleration_pct": -7.699220650534955, "trend_label": "Declining", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": -15.9579, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 12.6448, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 58.6207, "market_share_latest_pct": 65.54041668248594, "market_share_change_1y_pp": 0.4052683235269683, "peer_best_share_pct": 65.54041668248593, "peer_top_exporter": "DEU", "supplier_count_latest": 14, "buyer_market_hhi": 4936.68, "distance_km": 763.7313842773438, "has_reported_fta": 1, "applied_tariff_pct": 0.04880302040329218, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0.04880302040329218, "volatility_cv": 0.6976836851323981, "max_drawdown_pct": 66.3299047392905, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": "['concentrated_buyer_market','dominant_supplier']", "signal_flag": "Growing", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 170211, "corridor_rank": 25, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "POL", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 10475177.15513831, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 3176320.8646644847, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 11368057.487244686, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 8452299.887062771, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 5975359.486415828, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": 34.699320291541525, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": 27.052729324719383, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": 14.193752647356028, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 12474431.918354908, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 20715140.41136202, "historical_peak_year": 2023, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 68.96551724137932, "trend_acceleration_pct": 20.505567644185497, "trend_label": "Rapid growth", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": -17.8024, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 9.8627, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 58.6207, "market_share_latest_pct": 50.56773426161665, "market_share_change_1y_pp": 1.069246917542067, "peer_best_share_pct": 50.56773426161666, "peer_top_exporter": "DEU", "supplier_count_latest": 22, "buyer_market_hhi": 3325.14, "distance_km": 965.921142578125, "has_reported_fta": 1, "applied_tariff_pct": 0.08091394394890945, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0.04595302958827163, "volatility_cv": 0.9470144217133186, "max_drawdown_pct": 67.25171305480805, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": "['concentrated_buyer_market','dominant_supplier']", "signal_flag": "Growing", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 170211, "corridor_rank": 32, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "CHE", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 9150859.815033684, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 6286471.8343494665, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 10999695.43498932, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 9949691.066218654, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 8795054.457238344, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": 2.5010229787455263, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": -0.5699206140108992, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": -3.83132891324629, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 15172901.956383863, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 11920867.750080137, "historical_peak_year": 2013, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 65.51724137931035, "trend_acceleration_pct": 6.3323518919918165, "trend_label": "Stable", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": -25.8423, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 8.0971, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 51.7241, "market_share_latest_pct": 76.76336997339955, "market_share_change_1y_pp": -2.77577836318909, "peer_best_share_pct": 76.76336997339953, "peer_top_exporter": "DEU", "supplier_count_latest": 18, "buyer_market_hhi": 6046.47, "distance_km": 503.80072021484375, "has_reported_fta": 1, "applied_tariff_pct": 0.012842625485358024, "tariff_advantage_pp": -0.021083829923006173, "volatility_cv": 0.68757255606168, "max_drawdown_pct": 60.88427060099413, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": "['concentrated_buyer_market','dominant_supplier']", "signal_flag": "Growing", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 170211, "corridor_rank": 36, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "ESP", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 8046044.4360661805, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 4641604.165784848, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 7186301.179532318, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 6708412.889047797, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 5836525.2223180765, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": 3.8225340282030285, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": 12.077524042339217, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": 0.28504317395030565, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 11289604.641264312, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 24551634.830780916, "historical_peak_year": 2007, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 55.172413793103445, "trend_acceleration_pct": 3.537490854252723, "trend_label": "Growing", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": 26.4294, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 8.3533, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 51.7241, "market_share_latest_pct": 32.771929411310246, "market_share_change_1y_pp": -0.5676107758952611, "peer_best_share_pct": 32.77192941131024, "peer_top_exporter": "DEU", "supplier_count_latest": 21, "buyer_market_hhi": 2296, "distance_km": 1479.33154296875, "has_reported_fta": 1, "applied_tariff_pct": 0, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0, "volatility_cv": 0.5559183078444896, "max_drawdown_pct": 59.699442639694546, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": "[]", "signal_flag": "Growing", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 170211, "corridor_rank": 39, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "THA", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 7165661.712527739, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 2665005.7467373996, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 6516854.064250089, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 5547932.863895263, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 4682439.503572194, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": 12.657811592804414, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": 7.032908633986579, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": 2.73470128829183, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 7165661.712527739, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 29344029.60200468, "historical_peak_year": 2024, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 65.51724137931035, "trend_acceleration_pct": 9.923110304512583, "trend_label": "Rapid growth", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": -18.7146, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 13.1867, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 68.9655, "market_share_latest_pct": 24.419487744921735, "market_share_change_1y_pp": 4.609479079409017, "peer_best_share_pct": 46.14523506129294, "peer_top_exporter": "USA", "supplier_count_latest": 20, "buyer_market_hhi": 2904.37, "distance_km": 9065.87890625, "has_reported_fta": 0, "applied_tariff_pct": 0.30341292300205763, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "volatility_cv": 0.8721543750788437, "max_drawdown_pct": 72.29042631514135, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": "['concentrated_buyer_market','long_distance_without_fta','buyer_macro_weakness']", "signal_flag": "Accelerating", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 170211, "corridor_rank": 43, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "ZAF", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 25, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 6754265.251278809, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 2850450.401665664, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 7160295.078100712, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 6276096.209348427, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 4935740.057545275, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": 4.88084616533544, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": 5.117922870533298, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": 3.4695298460708512, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 7427850.174382006, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 20822650.847126752, "historical_peak_year": 2023, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 66.66666666666667, "trend_acceleration_pct": 1.4113163192645883, "trend_label": "Growing", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": 4.8305, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 18.5151, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 70.8333, "market_share_latest_pct": 32.437105634947564, "market_share_change_1y_pp": -4.957995822733373, "peer_best_share_pct": 32.437105634947564, "peer_top_exporter": "DEU", "supplier_count_latest": 14, "buyer_market_hhi": 1761.03, "distance_km": 9571.15625, "has_reported_fta": 1, "applied_tariff_pct": 0.09765419401179014, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0.02929646476934157, "volatility_cv": 0.8236974152027976, "max_drawdown_pct": 74.8533152480039, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer macroeconomic trend has weakened", "risk_driver_labels": "['buyer_macro_weakness']", "signal_flag": "Growing", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 170211, "corridor_rank": 45, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 6587490.500777929, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 7370734.141785726, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 7441222.160291065, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 8665780.530625967, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 8603607.20639084, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": -12.628477306233565, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": -9.680682953875063, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": -6.12769467697043, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 15278305.832361506, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 25539841.16923006, "historical_peak_year": 2013, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 55.172413793103445, "trend_acceleration_pct": -6.500782629263135, "trend_label": "Rapid decline", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": -0.9142, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 6.2377, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 58.6207, "market_share_latest_pct": 25.79299713388358, "market_share_change_1y_pp": -5.219388003063866, "peer_best_share_pct": 50.37656832187747, "peer_top_exporter": "NLD", "supplier_count_latest": 19, "buyer_market_hhi": 3337.6, "distance_km": 1146.023193359375, "has_reported_fta": 1, "applied_tariff_pct": 0, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0, "volatility_cv": 0.4389444748255132, "max_drawdown_pct": 56.8833706233008, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": "['unrecovered_drawdown','concentrated_buyer_market','dominant_supplier']", "signal_flag": "Stable", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 170211, "corridor_rank": 50, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "BRA", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 5752678.943262837, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 2583728.2521057036, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 7128008.9948322475, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 6274533.020757752, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 4800201.869705455, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": -2.388351482612572, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": 11.399548147444838, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": 8.29142201731421, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 7963787.166620328, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 31926204.35416468, "historical_peak_year": 2022, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 51.724137931034484, "trend_acceleration_pct": -10.679773499926782, "trend_label": "Stable", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": -21.1833, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 13.4226, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 75.8621, "market_share_latest_pct": 18.018674814729167, "market_share_change_1y_pp": -0.9103526651900928, "peer_best_share_pct": 32.14551626176376, "peer_top_exporter": "USA", "supplier_count_latest": 15, "buyer_market_hhi": 2145.55, "distance_km": 9847.6630859375, "has_reported_fta": 0, "applied_tariff_pct": 0.2870042614485596, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "volatility_cv": 0.7902505809372274, "max_drawdown_pct": 43.07381884379066, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": "['long_distance_without_fta']", "signal_flag": "Growing", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" } ], "priceSummary": { "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "hs_code": 170211, "num_markets": 124, "highest_price_importer_iso3": "ECU", "highest_price_usd_per_ton": 113659.25925925926, "lowest_price_importer_iso3": "AZE", "lowest_price_usd_per_ton": 333.3333333333333, "median_price_across_markets": 2110.2645456175596, "price_spread_pct": 5370.223660406596, "avg_quantity_metric_tons": 2182.088970479705, "total_trade_value_usd": 1932607871 }, "history": [ { "year": 2010, "export_value_usd": 151704198.99398014, "active_destinations": 109, "yoy_growth_pct": 37.33662408481278 }, { "year": 2011, "export_value_usd": 241336218.7239307, "active_destinations": 104, "yoy_growth_pct": 59.08341385692778 }, { "year": 2012, "export_value_usd": 331813096.2907103, "active_destinations": 121, "yoy_growth_pct": 37.48997064973405 }, { "year": 2013, "export_value_usd": 353135151.576161, "active_destinations": 110, "yoy_growth_pct": 6.425923365836633 }, { "year": 2014, "export_value_usd": 348344595.4651577, "active_destinations": 118, "yoy_growth_pct": -1.3565786610654518 }, { "year": 2015, "export_value_usd": 244084829.61664486, "active_destinations": 114, "yoy_growth_pct": -29.930065574662017 }, { "year": 2016, "export_value_usd": 229987930.21859914, "active_destinations": 117, "yoy_growth_pct": -5.775409893431743 }, { "year": 2017, "export_value_usd": 315926481.5765999, "active_destinations": 113, "yoy_growth_pct": 37.36654844291951 }, { "year": 2018, "export_value_usd": 292426241.9591817, "active_destinations": 112, "yoy_growth_pct": -7.438515283727577 }, { "year": 2019, "export_value_usd": 348715780.6823721, "active_destinations": 109, "yoy_growth_pct": 19.24914068794398 }, { "year": 2020, "export_value_usd": 356320195.00640523, "active_destinations": 110, "yoy_growth_pct": 2.1806911947468257 }, { "year": 2021, "export_value_usd": 417081711.9496773, "active_destinations": 108, "yoy_growth_pct": 17.052504403288115 }, { "year": 2022, "export_value_usd": 471013261.813271, "active_destinations": 109, "yoy_growth_pct": 12.930691593138175 }, { "year": 2023, "export_value_usd": 419865584.53444046, "active_destinations": 108, "yoy_growth_pct": -10.859073708864607 }, { "year": 2024, "export_value_usd": 385063387.8733288, "active_destinations": 111, "yoy_growth_pct": -8.288890050300592 } ], "economy": { "year": 2024, "country_iso3": "DEU", "exports_usd": 1556773836581.939, "imports_usd": 1317565125540.067, "trade_balance_usd": 239208711041.87207, "yoy_exports_growth_pct": -4.920181070331687, "yoy_imports_growth_pct": -5.864236583999549, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": -0.27823928798644815, "imports_cagr_3y_pct": -0.9610037823739925, "export_partner_hhi": 438.209471440054, "export_product_hhi": 54.022047395285114, "momentum_score": -3.527598535628115, "risk_score": 2.4611575941766954, "gdp_million_usd": 4685592.5778046865, "gdp_per_capita_usd": 56103.73231825545, "population": 83516593, "labor_force": 43123.3, "investment_rate_pct": 22.08, "savings_rate_pct": 27.68, "secondary_education_pct": 95.9, "tertiary_education_pct": 20.06, "total_factor_productivity": 2376, "trade_openness_pct": 64.10501996682734, "exports_gdp_pct": 34.71998925424008, "num_active_partners": 1080, "num_fta_partners": 214, "num_wto_partners": 676, "num_eu_partners": 112, "num_shared_border_partners": 18, "num_shared_language_partners": 8, "avg_partner_distance_km": 6605.880658436214, "avg_partner_gdp_million_usd": 533678518.3258193, "avg_partner_gdp_per_capita_usd": 15.774186170212737, "avg_buyer_biz_entry_days": null, "avg_buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "pct_partners_with_fta": 19.814814814814817, "pct_partners_shared_language": 0.7407407407407408, "pct_partners_shared_border": 1.6666666666666667, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 0.12742739700531733, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 0.12991419306435142, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0.024712068784908343, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0.10520212427944309, "avg_distance_all_partners_km": 6614.911529962142, "num_border_partners": 360, "num_colonial_partners": 384, "avg_substitution_elasticity": -10.91665015154679, "pct_products_high_elasticity": 76.04527604527604, "pct_products_low_elasticity": 2.6565026565026564, "real_market_potential": 2800764.90471021, "foreign_market_potential": 32561.235292050776 }, "countryMap": {} }, "product": { "hs_code": "170211", "hs_description": "Sugars: lactose and lactose syrup, containing by weight 99% or more lactose, expressed as anhydrous lactose, calculated on the dry matter", "hs_chapter": 17, "hs_heading": 1702 }, "destinations": [ { "hs_code": 170211, "corridor_rank": 2, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "NLD", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 72983859.51347396, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 38720583.76163048, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 71080287.85419306, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 73093865.7344257, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 68760980.82196838, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": -6.4768663709067535, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": 0.9167323567284447, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": 0.1746420033521323, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 93255287.43204607, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 96346991.91660443, "historical_peak_year": 2022, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 68.96551724137932, "trend_acceleration_pct": -6.651508374258886, "trend_label": "Declining", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": 11.3265, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 17.5535, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 65.5172, "market_share_latest_pct": 75.75105154984703, "market_share_change_1y_pp": 21.44178377356583, "peer_best_share_pct": 75.75105154984702, "peer_top_exporter": "DEU", "supplier_count_latest": 37, "buyer_market_hhi": 5849.34, "distance_km": 173.52386474609375, "has_reported_fta": 1, "applied_tariff_pct": 0, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0, "volatility_cv": 0.7898079849509906, "max_drawdown_pct": 53.62626162837998, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": "['concentrated_buyer_market','dominant_supplier']", "signal_flag": "Accelerating", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 170211, "corridor_rank": 8, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 28, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 30291465.324066818, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 7217910.29164005, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 30258339.497518484, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 26334221.052683488, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 16616834.24955517, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": 7.37100122738672, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": 23.047361306918447, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": 15.916208247401475, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 39035277.10718319, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 145272265.05574122, "historical_peak_year": 2023, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 55.55555555555556, "trend_acceleration_pct": -8.545207020014754, "trend_label": "Growing", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": -20.9469, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 29.33, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 62.069, "market_share_latest_pct": 20.851513062348083, "market_share_change_1y_pp": -0.39038975260938713, "peer_best_share_pct": 59.02312168567067, "peer_top_exporter": "USA", "supplier_count_latest": 28, "buyer_market_hhi": 3988.44, "distance_km": 7785.341796875, "has_reported_fta": 0, "applied_tariff_pct": 0.29912295578395065, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "volatility_cv": 1.3908639415229476, "max_drawdown_pct": 87.99543330121125, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": "['high_volatility','concentrated_buyer_market','dominant_supplier','long_distance_without_fta']", "signal_flag": "Growing", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 170211, "corridor_rank": 9, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "IND", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 29347418.291531134, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 7363847.313862319, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 26141134.245599568, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 22265467.053394757, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 16712179.999706846, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": 18.595381045955463, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": 19.755573231413237, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": 11.134562691346716, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 33114616.761680216, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 91477744.75445381, "historical_peak_year": 2023, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 65.51724137931035, "trend_acceleration_pct": 7.460818354608747, "trend_label": "Rapid growth", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": -11.5721, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 16.8849, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 62.069, "market_share_latest_pct": 32.08148426735487, "market_share_change_1y_pp": 0.07090786320893727, "peer_best_share_pct": 33.407677267993435, "peer_top_exporter": "NLD", "supplier_count_latest": 27, "buyer_market_hhi": 2382.84, "distance_km": 6229.63671875, "has_reported_fta": 0, "applied_tariff_pct": 0.5267321838847735, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "volatility_cv": 1.1379716432311022, "max_drawdown_pct": 70.40868254940676, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": "['high_volatility']", "signal_flag": "Growing", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 170211, "corridor_rank": 10, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "FRA", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 29075776.87832081, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 13503002.869835902, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 32492972.3486215, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 31028481.21860336, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 25080034.523583006, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": -1.2927466744885097, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": 3.8399171081166417, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": 3.9258103129065747, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 34477952.82466111, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 54743909.68576462, "historical_peak_year": 2023, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 72.41379310344827, "trend_acceleration_pct": -5.218556987395084, "trend_label": "Stable", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": -6.6534, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 11.645, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 68.9655, "market_share_latest_pct": 53.11234993119527, "market_share_change_1y_pp": -5.677748088944142, "peer_best_share_pct": 53.11234993119528, "peer_top_exporter": "DEU", "supplier_count_latest": 30, "buyer_market_hhi": 3251.38, "distance_km": 439.8984375, "has_reported_fta": 1, "applied_tariff_pct": 0, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0, "volatility_cv": 0.7997433021872097, "max_drawdown_pct": 62.20970523513819, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": "['concentrated_buyer_market','dominant_supplier']", "signal_flag": "Growing", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 170211, "corridor_rank": 11, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "NZL", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 27, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 27029745.968881365, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 15030230.200573573, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 33871661.17957567, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 35486273.7176769, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 27688156.253930055, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": -11.149994747543012, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": -1.6825310922856995, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": -5.023968415527236, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 50402330.43059678, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 95061417.72465539, "historical_peak_year": 2022, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 50, "trend_acceleration_pct": -6.126026332015776, "trend_label": "Rapid decline", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": -11.031, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 179.7612, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 58.6207, "market_share_latest_pct": 28.43398154146281, "market_share_change_1y_pp": 5.800930659386477, "peer_best_share_pct": 55.80599923626636, "peer_top_exporter": "USA", "supplier_count_latest": 14, "buyer_market_hhi": 4018.02, "distance_km": 18824.75390625, "has_reported_fta": 0, "applied_tariff_pct": 0.062361757011728386, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "volatility_cv": 1.0559511357683375, "max_drawdown_pct": 99.72172609048042, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": "['high_volatility','concentrated_buyer_market','dominant_supplier','long_distance_without_fta']", "signal_flag": "Accelerating", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 170211, "corridor_rank": 12, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 25867447.12129321, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 14956285.349970642, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 29365530.465841606, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 28306060.909294717, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 23430913.20468217, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": -3.526891927840037, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": 3.4570010686854724, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": 2.468807704893883, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 33880281.15658495, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 89693269.7895287, "historical_peak_year": 2022, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 55.172413793103445, "trend_acceleration_pct": -5.99569963273392, "trend_label": "Declining", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": -14.3883, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 5.5131, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 55.1724, "market_share_latest_pct": 28.839897555293625, "market_share_change_1y_pp": 1.7810607818689412, "peer_best_share_pct": 38.86943497864281, "peer_top_exporter": "USA", "supplier_count_latest": 14, "buyer_market_hhi": 2744.75, "distance_km": 9298.3408203125, "has_reported_fta": 1, "applied_tariff_pct": 0.039911157261893, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0.030370869448953192, "volatility_cv": 0.6090123120742981, "max_drawdown_pct": 61.638796287581144, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": "['concentrated_buyer_market','buyer_macro_weakness']", "signal_flag": "Growing", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 170211, "corridor_rank": 16, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "IRL", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 15551729.75815141, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 9521688.901363516, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 21430506.3567908, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 19489440.48954647, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 16673845.529501695, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": 1.630161102373462, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": -2.6566835643509368, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": -1.8050181064541482, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 30025357.16172202, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 45540694.889563754, "historical_peak_year": 2013, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 51.724137931034484, "trend_acceleration_pct": 3.43517920882761, "trend_label": "Stable", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": -19.5861, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 35.002, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 48.2759, "market_share_latest_pct": 34.14908313512645, "market_share_change_1y_pp": -0.8363269057001688, "peer_best_share_pct": 35.48470527114731, "peer_top_exporter": "NLD", "supplier_count_latest": 20, "buyer_market_hhi": 2718.17, "distance_km": 920.8692626953125, "has_reported_fta": 1, "applied_tariff_pct": 0, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0, "volatility_cv": 0.9526359747922489, "max_drawdown_pct": 61.918086733550616, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": "['concentrated_buyer_market']", "signal_flag": "Growing", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 170211, "corridor_rank": 17, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "AUT", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 14145499.236022802, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 9155005.75063049, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 15578624.75286591, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 15413497.721717605, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 13754712.723312717, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": -9.806450871956319, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": -0.9912964291975412, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": -2.1072302214213634, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 22999716.74812222, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 21582864.36375807, "historical_peak_year": 2012, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 51.724137931034484, "trend_acceleration_pct": -7.699220650534955, "trend_label": "Declining", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": -15.9579, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 12.6448, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 58.6207, "market_share_latest_pct": 65.54041668248594, "market_share_change_1y_pp": 0.4052683235269683, "peer_best_share_pct": 65.54041668248593, "peer_top_exporter": "DEU", "supplier_count_latest": 14, "buyer_market_hhi": 4936.68, "distance_km": 763.7313842773438, "has_reported_fta": 1, "applied_tariff_pct": 0.04880302040329218, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0.04880302040329218, "volatility_cv": 0.6976836851323981, "max_drawdown_pct": 66.3299047392905, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": "['concentrated_buyer_market','dominant_supplier']", "signal_flag": "Growing", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 170211, "corridor_rank": 25, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "POL", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 10475177.15513831, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 3176320.8646644847, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 11368057.487244686, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 8452299.887062771, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 5975359.486415828, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": 34.699320291541525, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": 27.052729324719383, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": 14.193752647356028, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 12474431.918354908, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 20715140.41136202, "historical_peak_year": 2023, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 68.96551724137932, "trend_acceleration_pct": 20.505567644185497, "trend_label": "Rapid growth", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": -17.8024, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 9.8627, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 58.6207, "market_share_latest_pct": 50.56773426161665, "market_share_change_1y_pp": 1.069246917542067, "peer_best_share_pct": 50.56773426161666, "peer_top_exporter": "DEU", "supplier_count_latest": 22, "buyer_market_hhi": 3325.14, "distance_km": 965.921142578125, "has_reported_fta": 1, "applied_tariff_pct": 0.08091394394890945, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0.04595302958827163, "volatility_cv": 0.9470144217133186, "max_drawdown_pct": 67.25171305480805, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": "['concentrated_buyer_market','dominant_supplier']", "signal_flag": "Growing", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 170211, "corridor_rank": 32, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "CHE", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 9150859.815033684, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 6286471.8343494665, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 10999695.43498932, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 9949691.066218654, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 8795054.457238344, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": 2.5010229787455263, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": -0.5699206140108992, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": -3.83132891324629, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 15172901.956383863, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 11920867.750080137, "historical_peak_year": 2013, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 65.51724137931035, "trend_acceleration_pct": 6.3323518919918165, "trend_label": "Stable", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": -25.8423, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 8.0971, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 51.7241, "market_share_latest_pct": 76.76336997339955, "market_share_change_1y_pp": -2.77577836318909, "peer_best_share_pct": 76.76336997339953, "peer_top_exporter": "DEU", "supplier_count_latest": 18, "buyer_market_hhi": 6046.47, "distance_km": 503.80072021484375, "has_reported_fta": 1, "applied_tariff_pct": 0.012842625485358024, "tariff_advantage_pp": -0.021083829923006173, "volatility_cv": 0.68757255606168, "max_drawdown_pct": 60.88427060099413, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": "['concentrated_buyer_market','dominant_supplier']", "signal_flag": "Growing", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 170211, "corridor_rank": 36, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "ESP", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 8046044.4360661805, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 4641604.165784848, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 7186301.179532318, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 6708412.889047797, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 5836525.2223180765, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": 3.8225340282030285, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": 12.077524042339217, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": 0.28504317395030565, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 11289604.641264312, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 24551634.830780916, "historical_peak_year": 2007, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 55.172413793103445, "trend_acceleration_pct": 3.537490854252723, "trend_label": "Growing", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": 26.4294, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 8.3533, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 51.7241, "market_share_latest_pct": 32.771929411310246, "market_share_change_1y_pp": -0.5676107758952611, "peer_best_share_pct": 32.77192941131024, "peer_top_exporter": "DEU", "supplier_count_latest": 21, "buyer_market_hhi": 2296, "distance_km": 1479.33154296875, "has_reported_fta": 1, "applied_tariff_pct": 0, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0, "volatility_cv": 0.5559183078444896, "max_drawdown_pct": 59.699442639694546, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": "[]", "signal_flag": "Growing", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 170211, "corridor_rank": 39, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "THA", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 7165661.712527739, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 2665005.7467373996, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 6516854.064250089, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 5547932.863895263, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 4682439.503572194, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": 12.657811592804414, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": 7.032908633986579, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": 2.73470128829183, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 7165661.712527739, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 29344029.60200468, "historical_peak_year": 2024, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 65.51724137931035, "trend_acceleration_pct": 9.923110304512583, "trend_label": "Rapid growth", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": -18.7146, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 13.1867, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 68.9655, "market_share_latest_pct": 24.419487744921735, "market_share_change_1y_pp": 4.609479079409017, "peer_best_share_pct": 46.14523506129294, "peer_top_exporter": "USA", "supplier_count_latest": 20, "buyer_market_hhi": 2904.37, "distance_km": 9065.87890625, "has_reported_fta": 0, "applied_tariff_pct": 0.30341292300205763, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "volatility_cv": 0.8721543750788437, "max_drawdown_pct": 72.29042631514135, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": "['concentrated_buyer_market','long_distance_without_fta','buyer_macro_weakness']", "signal_flag": "Accelerating", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 170211, "corridor_rank": 43, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "ZAF", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 25, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 6754265.251278809, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 2850450.401665664, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 7160295.078100712, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 6276096.209348427, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 4935740.057545275, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": 4.88084616533544, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": 5.117922870533298, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": 3.4695298460708512, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 7427850.174382006, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 20822650.847126752, "historical_peak_year": 2023, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 66.66666666666667, "trend_acceleration_pct": 1.4113163192645883, "trend_label": "Growing", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": 4.8305, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 18.5151, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 70.8333, "market_share_latest_pct": 32.437105634947564, "market_share_change_1y_pp": -4.957995822733373, "peer_best_share_pct": 32.437105634947564, "peer_top_exporter": "DEU", "supplier_count_latest": 14, "buyer_market_hhi": 1761.03, "distance_km": 9571.15625, "has_reported_fta": 1, "applied_tariff_pct": 0.09765419401179014, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0.02929646476934157, "volatility_cv": 0.8236974152027976, "max_drawdown_pct": 74.8533152480039, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer macroeconomic trend has weakened", "risk_driver_labels": "['buyer_macro_weakness']", "signal_flag": "Growing", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 170211, "corridor_rank": 45, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 6587490.500777929, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 7370734.141785726, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 7441222.160291065, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 8665780.530625967, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 8603607.20639084, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": -12.628477306233565, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": -9.680682953875063, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": -6.12769467697043, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 15278305.832361506, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 25539841.16923006, "historical_peak_year": 2013, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 55.172413793103445, "trend_acceleration_pct": -6.500782629263135, "trend_label": "Rapid decline", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": -0.9142, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 6.2377, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 58.6207, "market_share_latest_pct": 25.79299713388358, "market_share_change_1y_pp": -5.219388003063866, "peer_best_share_pct": 50.37656832187747, "peer_top_exporter": "NLD", "supplier_count_latest": 19, "buyer_market_hhi": 3337.6, "distance_km": 1146.023193359375, "has_reported_fta": 1, "applied_tariff_pct": 0, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0, "volatility_cv": 0.4389444748255132, "max_drawdown_pct": 56.8833706233008, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": "['unrecovered_drawdown','concentrated_buyer_market','dominant_supplier']", "signal_flag": "Stable", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 170211, "corridor_rank": 50, "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "importer_iso3": "BRA", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 5752678.943262837, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 2583728.2521057036, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 7128008.9948322475, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 6274533.020757752, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 4800201.869705455, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": -2.388351482612572, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": 11.399548147444838, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": 8.29142201731421, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 7963787.166620328, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 31926204.35416468, "historical_peak_year": 2022, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 51.724137931034484, "trend_acceleration_pct": -10.679773499926782, "trend_label": "Stable", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": -21.1833, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 13.4226, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 75.8621, "market_share_latest_pct": 18.018674814729167, "market_share_change_1y_pp": -0.9103526651900928, "peer_best_share_pct": 32.14551626176376, "peer_top_exporter": "USA", "supplier_count_latest": 15, "buyer_market_hhi": 2145.55, "distance_km": 9847.6630859375, "has_reported_fta": 0, "applied_tariff_pct": 0.2870042614485596, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "volatility_cv": 0.7902505809372274, "max_drawdown_pct": 43.07381884379066, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": "['long_distance_without_fta']", "signal_flag": "Growing", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" } ], "prices": [], "priceSummary": { "exporter_iso3": "DEU", "hs_code": 170211, "num_markets": 124, "highest_price_importer_iso3": "ECU", "highest_price_usd_per_ton": 113659.25925925926, "lowest_price_importer_iso3": "AZE", "lowest_price_usd_per_ton": 333.3333333333333, "median_price_across_markets": 2110.2645456175596, "price_spread_pct": 5370.223660406596, "avg_quantity_metric_tons": 2182.088970479705, "total_trade_value_usd": 1932607871 }, "history": [ { "year": 2010, "export_value_usd": 151704198.99398014, "active_destinations": 109, "yoy_growth_pct": 37.33662408481278 }, { "year": 2011, "export_value_usd": 241336218.7239307, "active_destinations": 104, "yoy_growth_pct": 59.08341385692778 }, { "year": 2012, "export_value_usd": 331813096.2907103, "active_destinations": 121, "yoy_growth_pct": 37.48997064973405 }, { "year": 2013, "export_value_usd": 353135151.576161, "active_destinations": 110, "yoy_growth_pct": 6.425923365836633 }, { "year": 2014, "export_value_usd": 348344595.4651577, "active_destinations": 118, "yoy_growth_pct": -1.3565786610654518 }, { "year": 2015, "export_value_usd": 244084829.61664486, "active_destinations": 114, "yoy_growth_pct": -29.930065574662017 }, { "year": 2016, "export_value_usd": 229987930.21859914, "active_destinations": 117, "yoy_growth_pct": -5.775409893431743 }, { "year": 2017, "export_value_usd": 315926481.5765999, "active_destinations": 113, "yoy_growth_pct": 37.36654844291951 }, { "year": 2018, "export_value_usd": 292426241.9591817, "active_destinations": 112, "yoy_growth_pct": -7.438515283727577 }, { "year": 2019, "export_value_usd": 348715780.6823721, "active_destinations": 109, "yoy_growth_pct": 19.24914068794398 }, { "year": 2020, "export_value_usd": 356320195.00640523, "active_destinations": 110, "yoy_growth_pct": 2.1806911947468257 }, { "year": 2021, "export_value_usd": 417081711.9496773, "active_destinations": 108, "yoy_growth_pct": 17.052504403288115 }, { "year": 2022, "export_value_usd": 471013261.813271, "active_destinations": 109, "yoy_growth_pct": 12.930691593138175 }, { "year": 2023, "export_value_usd": 419865584.53444046, "active_destinations": 108, "yoy_growth_pct": -10.859073708864607 }, { "year": 2024, "export_value_usd": 385063387.8733288, "active_destinations": 111, "yoy_growth_pct": -8.288890050300592 } ], "economy": { "year": 2024, "country_iso3": "DEU", "exports_usd": 1556773836581.939, "imports_usd": 1317565125540.067, "trade_balance_usd": 239208711041.87207, "yoy_exports_growth_pct": -4.920181070331687, "yoy_imports_growth_pct": -5.864236583999549, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": -0.27823928798644815, "imports_cagr_3y_pct": -0.9610037823739925, "export_partner_hhi": 438.209471440054, "export_product_hhi": 54.022047395285114, "momentum_score": -3.527598535628115, "risk_score": 2.4611575941766954, "gdp_million_usd": 4685592.5778046865, "gdp_per_capita_usd": 56103.73231825545, "population": 83516593, "labor_force": 43123.3, "investment_rate_pct": 22.08, "savings_rate_pct": 27.68, "secondary_education_pct": 95.9, "tertiary_education_pct": 20.06, "total_factor_productivity": 2376, "trade_openness_pct": 64.10501996682734, "exports_gdp_pct": 34.71998925424008, "num_active_partners": 1080, "num_fta_partners": 214, "num_wto_partners": 676, "num_eu_partners": 112, "num_shared_border_partners": 18, "num_shared_language_partners": 8, "avg_partner_distance_km": 6605.880658436214, "avg_partner_gdp_million_usd": 533678518.3258193, "avg_partner_gdp_per_capita_usd": 15.774186170212737, "avg_buyer_biz_entry_days": null, "avg_buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "pct_partners_with_fta": 19.814814814814817, "pct_partners_shared_language": 0.7407407407407408, "pct_partners_shared_border": 1.6666666666666667, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 0.12742739700531733, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 0.12991419306435142, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0.024712068784908343, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0.10520212427944309, "avg_distance_all_partners_km": 6614.911529962142, "num_border_partners": 360, "num_colonial_partners": 384, "avg_substitution_elasticity": -10.91665015154679, "pct_products_high_elasticity": 76.04527604527604, "pct_products_low_elasticity": 2.6565026565026564, "real_market_potential": 2800764.90471021, "foreign_market_potential": 32561.235292050776 } }