{ "template": "T3", "templateName": "Product Exporter Position Profile", "source": "api", "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com" }, "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/exporter/chn/848210", "links": { "product": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/product/848210", "exporter": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/exporter/chn/848210", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology" }, "methodology": { "summary": "Reported exporter totals are combined with destination, price, history, and country-context observations. Growth, concentration, weighted share, volatility, drawdown, and price-position values are calculated indicators rather than additional reported trade.", "reportedValues": "Merchandise trade observations for an exporter, HS6 product, destination market, and available year.", "destinations": "Destination rows are ranked by latest observed exporter-lane value.", "prices": "Unit values are reported trade value divided by reported quantity where quantity is positive.", "missingData": "Missing values are shown as Not reported and are not imputed." }, "exporter": { "hs_code": "848210", "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "first_data_year": 1995, "latest_data_year": 2024, "observed_lane_count": 200, "current_lane_count": 196, "active_market_count": 196, "exports_latest_observed_lanes_usd": 3209342555.9089246, "exports_current_2024_usd": 3209328339.081891, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 3282358473.7075768, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 3125604059.491845, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 2795459638.359536, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": -1.5579905934092753, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": 4.4425085242754125, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": 3.1567007904421462, "exports_all_year_lane_avg_usd": 1612408563.1944036, "exports_historical_lane_peak_usd": 4136526496.2408094, "historical_peak_year": 2022, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 79.3103448275862, "trend_acceleration_pct": -4.714691383851422, "trend_label": "Stable", "top_market_iso3": "IND", "top_market_exports_usd": 338225111.84928644, "top_market_share_pct": 10.538766303601923, "destination_hhi": 433.23187248414615, "weighted_share_latest_pct": 36.40340411969687, "weighted_share_change_1y_pp": 1.116250744111743, "weighted_volatility_cv": 0.8321839341082529, "weighted_max_drawdown_pct": 48.98553763581039, "limited_history_lane_share_pct": 1, "data_freshness_years": 0, "coverage_score": 100, "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:28:28", "source": "api", "product": { "hs_code": 848210, "hs_description": "Ball bearings", "hs_chapter": 84, "hs_heading": 8482, "substitution_elasticity": -6.9276614, "price_range_label": "Medium price range", "trade_type_label": "Two-way horizontal trade" }, "hs_description": "Ball bearings", "hs_chapter": 84, "hs_heading": 8482, "destinations": [ { "hs_code": 848210, "corridor_rank": 2, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "IND", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 338225111.84928644, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 120906443.9200595, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 316107860.31413084, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 294892460.75465125, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 258012536.49105436, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": 2.394759433644511, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": 7.487471126029255, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": 5.466008685987811, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 338225111.84928644, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 608515084.3365915, "historical_peak_year": 2024, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 79.3103448275862, "trend_acceleration_pct": -3.0712492523433, "trend_label": "Stable", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": 11.2665, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 10.1207, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 62.069, "market_share_latest_pct": 55.58204234460719, "market_share_change_1y_pp": -2.209914534448508, "peer_best_share_pct": 55.58204234460719, "peer_top_exporter": "CHN", "supplier_count_latest": 70, "buyer_market_hhi": 3318.77, "distance_km": 3785.01318359375, "has_reported_fta": 0, "applied_tariff_pct": 0.5307908369111112, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0.45301342082222223, "volatility_cv": 0.9434558744389554, "max_drawdown_pct": 43.336462302731995, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": "['concentrated_buyer_market','dominant_supplier']", "signal_flag": "Accelerating", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 848210, "corridor_rank": 3, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 282002827.76577723, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 140549648.44568333, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 303679185.4239135, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 302936838.0100913, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 272410944.7595489, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": -7.131570553504963, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": 1.626073806001882, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": 4.074074679005202, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 364162603.9340323, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 1565054240.4174087, "historical_peak_year": 2022, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 68.96551724137932, "trend_acceleration_pct": -11.205645232510165, "trend_label": "Declining", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": -10.337, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 3.6017, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 62.069, "market_share_latest_pct": 18.018725516539636, "market_share_change_1y_pp": 2.84402700593418, "peer_best_share_pct": 18.01872551653964, "peer_top_exporter": "CHN", "supplier_count_latest": 89, "buyer_market_hhi": 888.8, "distance_km": 7785.341796875, "has_reported_fta": 0, "applied_tariff_pct": 0.019524322693477366, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0.04211767652037909, "volatility_cv": 0.7616208855666083, "max_drawdown_pct": 37.0522742163375, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": "['long_distance_without_fta']", "signal_flag": "Growing", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 848210, "corridor_rank": 6, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "USA", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 234638095.2749118, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 195801368.47992355, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 273876044.2457125, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 292512515.8309695, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 300652204.3000954, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": -13.781956994525679, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": -4.83519555163594, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": -2.7874299075013265, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 366103635.64762056, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 1210301260.3115778, "historical_peak_year": 2021, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 58.62068965517241, "trend_acceleration_pct": -10.994527087024352, "trend_label": "Rapid decline", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": 2.3767, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 2.5841, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 55.1724, "market_share_latest_pct": 19.38675129649182, "market_share_change_1y_pp": -1.0689410352435296, "peer_best_share_pct": 20.05872498127465, "peer_top_exporter": "JPN", "supplier_count_latest": 94, "buyer_market_hhi": 1150.68, "distance_km": 10993.6845703125, "has_reported_fta": 0, "applied_tariff_pct": 0.04674475463696969, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "volatility_cv": 0.503384910400256, "max_drawdown_pct": 35.90937853980943, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": "['long_distance_without_fta']", "signal_flag": "Growing", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 848210, "corridor_rank": 7, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 195780699.03286344, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 72546482.84329942, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 193187493.99920186, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 180390463.22357255, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 166093861.15077233, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": 0.5385633409736634, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": 4.449468057886508, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": 5.427863712500947, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 195780699.03286344, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 538700676.7693547, "historical_peak_year": 2024, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 86.20689655172414, "trend_acceleration_pct": -4.889300371527283, "trend_label": "Stable", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": -0.9209, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 8.3322, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 82.7586, "market_share_latest_pct": 36.34313218371677, "market_share_change_1y_pp": 1.4061248517638276, "peer_best_share_pct": 36.343132183716776, "peer_top_exporter": "CHN", "supplier_count_latest": 99, "buyer_market_hhi": 1835.8, "distance_km": 12467.1669921875, "has_reported_fta": 0, "applied_tariff_pct": 0.13600296420404037, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "volatility_cv": 0.993756902153387, "max_drawdown_pct": 20.47105365277064, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": "['long_distance_without_fta']", "signal_flag": "Accelerating", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 848210, "corridor_rank": 11, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "MYS", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 169211700.65897256, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 34343060.57594771, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 126612895.27571724, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 102369673.0668593, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 71304323.66212752, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": 29.644354795145823, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": 31.438304566148823, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": 13.022153004280579, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 169211700.65897256, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 308739231.2856791, "historical_peak_year": 2024, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 72.41379310344827, "trend_acceleration_pct": 16.622201790865244, "trend_label": "Rapid growth", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": 25.5804, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 7.6339, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 65.5172, "market_share_latest_pct": 54.80732071344684, "market_share_change_1y_pp": 12.60648981984265, "peer_best_share_pct": 54.80732071344684, "peer_top_exporter": "CHN", "supplier_count_latest": 68, "buyer_market_hhi": 3231.25, "distance_km": 4355.04736328125, "has_reported_fta": 1, "applied_tariff_pct": 0.1265993152040404, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0.05617092602828282, "volatility_cv": 1.1495094742592857, "max_drawdown_pct": 44.89040087131255, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": "['high_volatility','concentrated_buyer_market','dominant_supplier']", "signal_flag": "Accelerating", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 848210, "corridor_rank": 13, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "KOR", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 144782533.76685482, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 66508297.31106977, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 145133884.45758554, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 136648503.8742116, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 118015777.08778639, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": -0.9165516886359693, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": 7.803457369793154, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": 4.135779422134367, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 148837660.55812785, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 366018320.3830507, "historical_peak_year": 2021, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 68.96551724137932, "trend_acceleration_pct": -5.052331110770336, "trend_label": "Stable", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": -2.2397, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 4.3067, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 51.7241, "market_share_latest_pct": 39.55608932780603, "market_share_change_1y_pp": 0.8922064820864719, "peer_best_share_pct": 39.556089327806035, "peer_top_exporter": "CHN", "supplier_count_latest": 65, "buyer_market_hhi": 2388.33, "distance_km": 955.6510620117188, "has_reported_fta": 1, "applied_tariff_pct": 0.14177167863838386, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0.01621420555959599, "volatility_cv": 0.6962127276280294, "max_drawdown_pct": 62.52995175460497, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": "[]", "signal_flag": "Accelerating", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 848210, "corridor_rank": 14, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "BRA", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 138201971.9842011, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 57472931.738915816, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 147312190.02231312, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 135965384.64220303, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 110411553.37230082, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": -2.265928417030927, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": 7.0228531869329425, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": 5.567788781548377, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 167447616.43269494, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 306269233.0596872, "historical_peak_year": 2022, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 72.41379310344827, "trend_acceleration_pct": -7.833717198579304, "trend_label": "Stable", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": 5.5139, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 6.406, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 58.6207, "market_share_latest_pct": 45.1243406343946, "market_share_change_1y_pp": -1.828356191324069, "peer_best_share_pct": 45.12434063439459, "peer_top_exporter": "CHN", "supplier_count_latest": 76, "buyer_market_hhi": 2340.08, "distance_km": 17614.3046875, "has_reported_fta": 0, "applied_tariff_pct": 0.2883659997252525, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "volatility_cv": 0.8364881733934548, "max_drawdown_pct": 29.33681980028478, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": "['long_distance_without_fta']", "signal_flag": "Accelerating", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 848210, "corridor_rank": 15, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "VNM", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 124921654.58767523, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 46223444.10242579, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 115535744.02621363, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 114941372.08128993, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 92090346.77536924, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": 0.3513430802216666, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": 9.013293321987614, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": 6.602134609559385, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 124921654.58767523, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 258044199.2482522, "historical_peak_year": 2024, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 75.86206896551724, "trend_acceleration_pct": -6.250791529337718, "trend_label": "Stable", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": 15.3133, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 11.1083, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 86.2069, "market_share_latest_pct": 48.41095244597767, "market_share_change_1y_pp": 1.2735672826792594, "peer_best_share_pct": 48.410952445977664, "peer_top_exporter": "CHN", "supplier_count_latest": 56, "buyer_market_hhi": 2750.07, "distance_km": 2330.799072265625, "has_reported_fta": 1, "applied_tariff_pct": 0.1527572807164251, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0.13802313660838164, "volatility_cv": 0.9259490821594257, "max_drawdown_pct": 49.32672896644731, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": "['concentrated_buyer_market']", "signal_flag": "Accelerating", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 848210, "corridor_rank": 18, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 111275821.28404398, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 87687624.77926251, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 115477926.97802131, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 111351182.36286739, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 111405146.11731808, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": -2.5010775016908293, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": 0.06244582378340802, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": -0.4616154264846517, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 123699471.8237729, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 357006943.9956641, "historical_peak_year": 2012, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 58.62068965517241, "trend_acceleration_pct": -2.0394620752061776, "trend_label": "Stable", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": -2.2485, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 2.3901, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 62.069, "market_share_latest_pct": 31.169091569657375, "market_share_change_1y_pp": -0.016459976157584322, "peer_best_share_pct": 31.169091569657375, "peer_top_exporter": "CHN", "supplier_count_latest": 57, "buyer_market_hhi": 1540.79, "distance_km": 2098.11083984375, "has_reported_fta": 0, "applied_tariff_pct": 0.019320016547984244, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0.02411875489129495, "volatility_cv": 0.34137050900529753, "max_drawdown_pct": 41.298449940216805, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer macroeconomic trend has weakened", "risk_driver_labels": "['buyer_macro_weakness']", "signal_flag": "Growing", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 848210, "corridor_rank": 22, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 95208078.8564335, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 72783289.46830556, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 113668763.70037127, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 111386734.80188183, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 103244117.09467456, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": -10.906714667230677, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": 0.5308698769903364, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": 0.3491194928302521, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 140379391.6595769, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 488537493.72986484, "historical_peak_year": 2022, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 65.51724137931035, "trend_acceleration_pct": -11.255834160060928, "trend_label": "Rapid decline", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": -1.3869, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 1.3269, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 55.1724, "market_share_latest_pct": 19.488387294400468, "market_share_change_1y_pp": -1.7907881139188255, "peer_best_share_pct": 25.20231403937181, "peer_top_exporter": "DEU", "supplier_count_latest": 66, "buyer_market_hhi": 1359.77, "distance_km": 8134.69482421875, "has_reported_fta": 0, "applied_tariff_pct": 0.019785718721303032, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0.042646584813513605, "volatility_cv": 0.4173114532578163, "max_drawdown_pct": 53.718055481750405, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": "['long_distance_without_fta']", "signal_flag": "Growing", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 848210, "corridor_rank": 30, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "KGZ", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 26, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 76509783.64207785, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 11344191.663512947, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 80146715.68392764, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 49399423.929375604, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 27103859.518194836, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": 148.11047132387216, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": 79.35082767450965, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": 17.72031420226905, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 103397582.15327455, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 80568919.77868208, "historical_peak_year": 2023, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 64, "trend_acceleration_pct": 130.39015712160312, "trend_label": "Rapid growth", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": -28.8294, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 79.7206, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 62.069, "market_share_latest_pct": 94.96190820510635, "market_share_change_1y_pp": 3.6256172939399534, "peer_best_share_pct": 94.96190820510634, "peer_top_exporter": "CHN", "supplier_count_latest": 49, "buyer_market_hhi": 9019.99, "distance_km": 3471.801513671875, "has_reported_fta": 0, "applied_tariff_pct": 0.04336056162375478, "tariff_advantage_pp": -0.03178758395095785, "volatility_cv": 2.271997506982501, "max_drawdown_pct": 99.44464278182392, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": "['high_volatility','concentrated_buyer_market','dominant_supplier']", "signal_flag": "Growing", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 848210, "corridor_rank": 36, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "IRN", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 72469481.44080773, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 26544324.69338906, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 72619966.1053253, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 69207856.8125382, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 55925850.99898907, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": 7.168314518717556, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": -0.21777689019053525, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": 4.025342283990074, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 77850970.36952099, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 119730707.2305471, "historical_peak_year": 2023, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 62.06896551724138, "trend_acceleration_pct": 3.1429722347274813, "trend_label": "Growing", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": -4.1834, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 13.7051, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 58.6207, "market_share_latest_pct": 60.52706370577461, "market_share_change_1y_pp": -1.7745502626742677, "peer_best_share_pct": 60.52706370577461, "peer_top_exporter": "CHN", "supplier_count_latest": 39, "buyer_market_hhi": 4387.05, "distance_km": 5609.03759765625, "has_reported_fta": 0, "applied_tariff_pct": 0.5704679814121214, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "volatility_cv": 0.9511440791954484, "max_drawdown_pct": 71.89768865846257, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": "['concentrated_buyer_market','dominant_supplier']", "signal_flag": "Growing", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 848210, "corridor_rank": 38, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "THA", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 71231750.68089435, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 35594142.93275024, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 71559443.64915965, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 68563798.1980538, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 61881626.2157809, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": -0.7919150919207474, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": 2.8111344009989603, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": 4.203038277736648, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 72951196.56232338, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 233151010.723686, "historical_peak_year": 2021, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 55.172413793103445, "trend_acceleration_pct": -4.994953369657395, "trend_label": "Stable", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": -7.918, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 2.6125, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 48.2759, "market_share_latest_pct": 30.551765767515004, "market_share_change_1y_pp": 2.2896298619440074, "peer_best_share_pct": 34.234396423972655, "peer_top_exporter": "JPN", "supplier_count_latest": 68, "buyer_market_hhi": 2209.36, "distance_km": 3303.890869140625, "has_reported_fta": 1, "applied_tariff_pct": 0.29405095701191925, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0.2988774639608283, "volatility_cv": 0.6364719532462487, "max_drawdown_pct": 57.833912238037286, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer macroeconomic trend has weakened", "risk_driver_labels": "['buyer_macro_weakness']", "signal_flag": "Growing", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 848210, "corridor_rank": 39, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "IDN", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 70191661.56212658, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 27710888.523354046, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 71660800.06422116, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 66185403.23361701, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 55993640.49943371, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": -0.19804811119685795, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": 5.46244417256434, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": 4.713251909365912, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 75138854.6762992, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 225766477.38725924, "historical_peak_year": 2022, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 65.51724137931035, "trend_acceleration_pct": -4.91130002056277, "trend_label": "Stable", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": -8.654, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 14.8156, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 75.8621, "market_share_latest_pct": 31.09038258223173, "market_share_change_1y_pp": 2.908955537277823, "peer_best_share_pct": 31.090382582231722, "peer_top_exporter": "CHN", "supplier_count_latest": 81, "buyer_market_hhi": 1972.29, "distance_km": 5220.87939453125, "has_reported_fta": 1, "applied_tariff_pct": 0.16605990710525254, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0.12010865914781818, "volatility_cv": 0.8963356124993226, "max_drawdown_pct": 82.8568526302041, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": "[]", "signal_flag": "Accelerating", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 848210, "corridor_rank": 47, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "TUR", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 57475110.69056396, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 23855244.958776183, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 59357673.73748373, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 53353162.33774801, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 47491755.89273902, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": 5.466461592388061, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": 8.772336853035046, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": 4.42899081000232, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 60894528.32149949, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 245274825.15035933, "historical_peak_year": 2022, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 72.41379310344827, "trend_acceleration_pct": 1.037470782385741, "trend_label": "Growing", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": -4.6969, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 8.9989, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 65.5172, "market_share_latest_pct": 23.43294329343843, "market_share_change_1y_pp": 0.23481021771029376, "peer_best_share_pct": 23.43294329343843, "peer_top_exporter": "CHN", "supplier_count_latest": 70, "buyer_market_hhi": 1136.85, "distance_km": 7064.19677734375, "has_reported_fta": 0, "applied_tariff_pct": 0.09186697906323232, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0.06806308525272728, "volatility_cv": 0.8409091130919124, "max_drawdown_pct": 54.79462023213488, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": "[]", "signal_flag": "Growing", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" } ], "priceSummary": { "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "hs_code": 848210, "num_markets": 204, "highest_price_importer_iso3": "ECU", "highest_price_usd_per_ton": 841884.9190938511, "lowest_price_importer_iso3": "DMA", "lowest_price_usd_per_ton": 164.10823468193053, "median_price_across_markets": 7879.8140422732495, "price_spread_pct": 10681.988259412541, "avg_quantity_metric_tons": 1839.8042089249498, "total_trade_value_usd": 14131871078 }, "history": [ { "year": 2010, "export_value_usd": 1507082349.4656587, "active_destinations": 183, "yoy_growth_pct": 57.30271145528876 }, { "year": 2011, "export_value_usd": 2040315292.084293, "active_destinations": 187, "yoy_growth_pct": 35.38180530132901 }, { "year": 2012, "export_value_usd": 2021328641.1044734, "active_destinations": 189, "yoy_growth_pct": -0.9305743604177784 }, { "year": 2013, "export_value_usd": 2167521766.800299, "active_destinations": 184, "yoy_growth_pct": 7.232526305863082 }, { "year": 2014, "export_value_usd": 2352012970.661622, "active_destinations": 191, "yoy_growth_pct": 8.511619430409192 }, { "year": 2015, "export_value_usd": 2233748845.304775, "active_destinations": 192, "yoy_growth_pct": -5.028208893064866 }, { "year": 2016, "export_value_usd": 2269630788.3776956, "active_destinations": 192, "yoy_growth_pct": 1.6063553048205181 }, { "year": 2017, "export_value_usd": 2488569459.609564, "active_destinations": 196, "yoy_growth_pct": 9.646444362360935 }, { "year": 2018, "export_value_usd": 2752202216.707481, "active_destinations": 198, "yoy_growth_pct": 10.593747185954733 }, { "year": 2019, "export_value_usd": 2582424776.1366186, "active_destinations": 197, "yoy_growth_pct": -6.168785111072642 }, { "year": 2020, "export_value_usd": 2416815099.1435137, "active_destinations": 195, "yoy_growth_pct": -6.4129526065367815 }, { "year": 2021, "export_value_usd": 3364129777.1929803, "active_destinations": 196, "yoy_growth_pct": 39.196820575358956 }, { "year": 2022, "export_value_usd": 3500431649.945772, "active_destinations": 197, "yoy_growth_pct": 4.051623503850728 }, { "year": 2023, "export_value_usd": 3137315432.0950685, "active_destinations": 195, "yoy_growth_pct": -10.373469736406053 }, { "year": 2024, "export_value_usd": 3209328339.081892, "active_destinations": 196, "yoy_growth_pct": 2.2953671234369333 } ], "economy": { "year": 2024, "country_iso3": "CHN", "exports_usd": 3513875096250.6953, "imports_usd": 2326530665852.976, "trade_balance_usd": 1187344430397.7192, "yoy_exports_growth_pct": 6.028060505229971, "yoy_imports_growth_pct": -0.25624212571435656, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": 2.7568732857454537, "imports_cagr_3y_pct": -1.2881082462082083, "export_partner_hhi": 370.2915098431424, "export_product_hhi": 74.18977427830445, "momentum_score": 5.046704339384615, "risk_score": 2.2224064206072343, "gdp_million_usd": 18743803.170827165, "gdp_per_capita_usd": 13303.148154386816, "population": 1408975000, "labor_force": 787768.5, "investment_rate_pct": 44.52, "savings_rate_pct": 45.77, "secondary_education_pct": 84.78, "tertiary_education_pct": 7.94, "total_factor_productivity": 753.02, "trade_openness_pct": 34.64311858763455, "exports_gdp_pct": 20.843002459079447, "num_active_partners": 270, "num_fta_partners": 27, "num_wto_partners": 169, "num_eu_partners": 28, "num_shared_border_partners": 18, "num_shared_language_partners": 6, "avg_partner_distance_km": 9546.666666666666, "avg_partner_gdp_million_usd": 533678518.3258194, "avg_partner_gdp_per_capita_usd": 15.774186170212769, "avg_buyer_biz_entry_days": null, "avg_buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "pct_partners_with_fta": 10, "pct_partners_shared_language": 2.2222222222222223, "pct_partners_shared_border": 6.666666666666667, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 0.13181075487172894, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 0.13620738337369717, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0.042183361516283865, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0.0940240218574133, "avg_distance_all_partners_km": 9199.832160339074, "num_border_partners": 405, "num_colonial_partners": 20, "avg_substitution_elasticity": -10.928316418263822, "pct_products_high_elasticity": 76.01663585951941, "pct_products_low_elasticity": 2.657116451016636, "real_market_potential": 469092.7812321376, "foreign_market_potential": 10340.371802435242 }, "countryMap": {} }, "product": { "hs_code": "848210", "hs_description": "Ball bearings", "hs_chapter": 84, "hs_heading": 8482 }, "destinations": [ { "hs_code": 848210, "corridor_rank": 2, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "IND", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 338225111.84928644, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 120906443.9200595, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 316107860.31413084, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 294892460.75465125, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 258012536.49105436, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": 2.394759433644511, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": 7.487471126029255, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": 5.466008685987811, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 338225111.84928644, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 608515084.3365915, "historical_peak_year": 2024, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 79.3103448275862, "trend_acceleration_pct": -3.0712492523433, "trend_label": "Stable", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": 11.2665, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 10.1207, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 62.069, "market_share_latest_pct": 55.58204234460719, "market_share_change_1y_pp": -2.209914534448508, "peer_best_share_pct": 55.58204234460719, "peer_top_exporter": "CHN", "supplier_count_latest": 70, "buyer_market_hhi": 3318.77, "distance_km": 3785.01318359375, "has_reported_fta": 0, "applied_tariff_pct": 0.5307908369111112, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0.45301342082222223, "volatility_cv": 0.9434558744389554, "max_drawdown_pct": 43.336462302731995, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": "['concentrated_buyer_market','dominant_supplier']", "signal_flag": "Accelerating", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 848210, "corridor_rank": 3, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "DEU", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 282002827.76577723, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 140549648.44568333, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 303679185.4239135, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 302936838.0100913, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 272410944.7595489, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": -7.131570553504963, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": 1.626073806001882, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": 4.074074679005202, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 364162603.9340323, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 1565054240.4174087, "historical_peak_year": 2022, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 68.96551724137932, "trend_acceleration_pct": -11.205645232510165, "trend_label": "Declining", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": -10.337, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 3.6017, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 62.069, "market_share_latest_pct": 18.018725516539636, "market_share_change_1y_pp": 2.84402700593418, "peer_best_share_pct": 18.01872551653964, "peer_top_exporter": "CHN", "supplier_count_latest": 89, "buyer_market_hhi": 888.8, "distance_km": 7785.341796875, "has_reported_fta": 0, "applied_tariff_pct": 0.019524322693477366, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0.04211767652037909, "volatility_cv": 0.7616208855666083, "max_drawdown_pct": 37.0522742163375, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": "['long_distance_without_fta']", "signal_flag": "Growing", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 848210, "corridor_rank": 6, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "USA", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 234638095.2749118, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 195801368.47992355, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 273876044.2457125, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 292512515.8309695, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 300652204.3000954, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": -13.781956994525679, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": -4.83519555163594, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": -2.7874299075013265, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 366103635.64762056, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 1210301260.3115778, "historical_peak_year": 2021, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 58.62068965517241, "trend_acceleration_pct": -10.994527087024352, "trend_label": "Rapid decline", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": 2.3767, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 2.5841, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 55.1724, "market_share_latest_pct": 19.38675129649182, "market_share_change_1y_pp": -1.0689410352435296, "peer_best_share_pct": 20.05872498127465, "peer_top_exporter": "JPN", "supplier_count_latest": 94, "buyer_market_hhi": 1150.68, "distance_km": 10993.6845703125, "has_reported_fta": 0, "applied_tariff_pct": 0.04674475463696969, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "volatility_cv": 0.503384910400256, "max_drawdown_pct": 35.90937853980943, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": "['long_distance_without_fta']", "signal_flag": "Growing", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 848210, "corridor_rank": 7, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 195780699.03286344, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 72546482.84329942, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 193187493.99920186, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 180390463.22357255, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 166093861.15077233, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": 0.5385633409736634, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": 4.449468057886508, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": 5.427863712500947, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 195780699.03286344, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 538700676.7693547, "historical_peak_year": 2024, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 86.20689655172414, "trend_acceleration_pct": -4.889300371527283, "trend_label": "Stable", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": -0.9209, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 8.3322, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 82.7586, "market_share_latest_pct": 36.34313218371677, "market_share_change_1y_pp": 1.4061248517638276, "peer_best_share_pct": 36.343132183716776, "peer_top_exporter": "CHN", "supplier_count_latest": 99, "buyer_market_hhi": 1835.8, "distance_km": 12467.1669921875, "has_reported_fta": 0, "applied_tariff_pct": 0.13600296420404037, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "volatility_cv": 0.993756902153387, "max_drawdown_pct": 20.47105365277064, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": "['long_distance_without_fta']", "signal_flag": "Accelerating", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 848210, "corridor_rank": 11, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "MYS", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 169211700.65897256, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 34343060.57594771, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 126612895.27571724, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 102369673.0668593, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 71304323.66212752, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": 29.644354795145823, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": 31.438304566148823, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": 13.022153004280579, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 169211700.65897256, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 308739231.2856791, "historical_peak_year": 2024, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 72.41379310344827, "trend_acceleration_pct": 16.622201790865244, "trend_label": "Rapid growth", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": 25.5804, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 7.6339, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 65.5172, "market_share_latest_pct": 54.80732071344684, "market_share_change_1y_pp": 12.60648981984265, "peer_best_share_pct": 54.80732071344684, "peer_top_exporter": "CHN", "supplier_count_latest": 68, "buyer_market_hhi": 3231.25, "distance_km": 4355.04736328125, "has_reported_fta": 1, "applied_tariff_pct": 0.1265993152040404, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0.05617092602828282, "volatility_cv": 1.1495094742592857, "max_drawdown_pct": 44.89040087131255, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": "['high_volatility','concentrated_buyer_market','dominant_supplier']", "signal_flag": "Accelerating", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 848210, "corridor_rank": 13, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "KOR", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 144782533.76685482, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 66508297.31106977, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 145133884.45758554, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 136648503.8742116, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 118015777.08778639, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": -0.9165516886359693, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": 7.803457369793154, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": 4.135779422134367, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 148837660.55812785, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 366018320.3830507, "historical_peak_year": 2021, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 68.96551724137932, "trend_acceleration_pct": -5.052331110770336, "trend_label": "Stable", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": -2.2397, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 4.3067, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 51.7241, "market_share_latest_pct": 39.55608932780603, "market_share_change_1y_pp": 0.8922064820864719, "peer_best_share_pct": 39.556089327806035, "peer_top_exporter": "CHN", "supplier_count_latest": 65, "buyer_market_hhi": 2388.33, "distance_km": 955.6510620117188, "has_reported_fta": 1, "applied_tariff_pct": 0.14177167863838386, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0.01621420555959599, "volatility_cv": 0.6962127276280294, "max_drawdown_pct": 62.52995175460497, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": "[]", "signal_flag": "Accelerating", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 848210, "corridor_rank": 14, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "BRA", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 138201971.9842011, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 57472931.738915816, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 147312190.02231312, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 135965384.64220303, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 110411553.37230082, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": -2.265928417030927, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": 7.0228531869329425, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": 5.567788781548377, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 167447616.43269494, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 306269233.0596872, "historical_peak_year": 2022, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 72.41379310344827, "trend_acceleration_pct": -7.833717198579304, "trend_label": "Stable", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": 5.5139, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 6.406, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 58.6207, "market_share_latest_pct": 45.1243406343946, "market_share_change_1y_pp": -1.828356191324069, "peer_best_share_pct": 45.12434063439459, "peer_top_exporter": "CHN", "supplier_count_latest": 76, "buyer_market_hhi": 2340.08, "distance_km": 17614.3046875, "has_reported_fta": 0, "applied_tariff_pct": 0.2883659997252525, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "volatility_cv": 0.8364881733934548, "max_drawdown_pct": 29.33681980028478, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": "['long_distance_without_fta']", "signal_flag": "Accelerating", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 848210, "corridor_rank": 15, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "VNM", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 124921654.58767523, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 46223444.10242579, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 115535744.02621363, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 114941372.08128993, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 92090346.77536924, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": 0.3513430802216666, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": 9.013293321987614, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": 6.602134609559385, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 124921654.58767523, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 258044199.2482522, "historical_peak_year": 2024, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 75.86206896551724, "trend_acceleration_pct": -6.250791529337718, "trend_label": "Stable", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": 15.3133, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 11.1083, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 86.2069, "market_share_latest_pct": 48.41095244597767, "market_share_change_1y_pp": 1.2735672826792594, "peer_best_share_pct": 48.410952445977664, "peer_top_exporter": "CHN", "supplier_count_latest": 56, "buyer_market_hhi": 2750.07, "distance_km": 2330.799072265625, "has_reported_fta": 1, "applied_tariff_pct": 0.1527572807164251, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0.13802313660838164, "volatility_cv": 0.9259490821594257, "max_drawdown_pct": 49.32672896644731, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": "['concentrated_buyer_market']", "signal_flag": "Accelerating", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 848210, "corridor_rank": 18, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "JPN", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 111275821.28404398, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 87687624.77926251, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 115477926.97802131, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 111351182.36286739, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 111405146.11731808, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": -2.5010775016908293, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": 0.06244582378340802, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": -0.4616154264846517, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 123699471.8237729, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 357006943.9956641, "historical_peak_year": 2012, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 58.62068965517241, "trend_acceleration_pct": -2.0394620752061776, "trend_label": "Stable", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": -2.2485, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 2.3901, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 62.069, "market_share_latest_pct": 31.169091569657375, "market_share_change_1y_pp": -0.016459976157584322, "peer_best_share_pct": 31.169091569657375, "peer_top_exporter": "CHN", "supplier_count_latest": 57, "buyer_market_hhi": 1540.79, "distance_km": 2098.11083984375, "has_reported_fta": 0, "applied_tariff_pct": 0.019320016547984244, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0.02411875489129495, "volatility_cv": 0.34137050900529753, "max_drawdown_pct": 41.298449940216805, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer macroeconomic trend has weakened", "risk_driver_labels": "['buyer_macro_weakness']", "signal_flag": "Growing", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 848210, "corridor_rank": 22, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 95208078.8564335, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 72783289.46830556, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 113668763.70037127, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 111386734.80188183, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 103244117.09467456, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": -10.906714667230677, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": 0.5308698769903364, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": 0.3491194928302521, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 140379391.6595769, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 488537493.72986484, "historical_peak_year": 2022, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 65.51724137931035, "trend_acceleration_pct": -11.255834160060928, "trend_label": "Rapid decline", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": -1.3869, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 1.3269, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 55.1724, "market_share_latest_pct": 19.488387294400468, "market_share_change_1y_pp": -1.7907881139188255, "peer_best_share_pct": 25.20231403937181, "peer_top_exporter": "DEU", "supplier_count_latest": 66, "buyer_market_hhi": 1359.77, "distance_km": 8134.69482421875, "has_reported_fta": 0, "applied_tariff_pct": 0.019785718721303032, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0.042646584813513605, "volatility_cv": 0.4173114532578163, "max_drawdown_pct": 53.718055481750405, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": "['long_distance_without_fta']", "signal_flag": "Growing", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 848210, "corridor_rank": 30, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "KGZ", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 26, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 76509783.64207785, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 11344191.663512947, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 80146715.68392764, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 49399423.929375604, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 27103859.518194836, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": 148.11047132387216, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": 79.35082767450965, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": 17.72031420226905, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 103397582.15327455, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 80568919.77868208, "historical_peak_year": 2023, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 64, "trend_acceleration_pct": 130.39015712160312, "trend_label": "Rapid growth", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": -28.8294, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 79.7206, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 62.069, "market_share_latest_pct": 94.96190820510635, "market_share_change_1y_pp": 3.6256172939399534, "peer_best_share_pct": 94.96190820510634, "peer_top_exporter": "CHN", "supplier_count_latest": 49, "buyer_market_hhi": 9019.99, "distance_km": 3471.801513671875, "has_reported_fta": 0, "applied_tariff_pct": 0.04336056162375478, "tariff_advantage_pp": -0.03178758395095785, "volatility_cv": 2.271997506982501, "max_drawdown_pct": 99.44464278182392, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": "['high_volatility','concentrated_buyer_market','dominant_supplier']", "signal_flag": "Growing", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 848210, "corridor_rank": 36, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "IRN", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 72469481.44080773, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 26544324.69338906, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 72619966.1053253, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 69207856.8125382, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 55925850.99898907, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": 7.168314518717556, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": -0.21777689019053525, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": 4.025342283990074, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 77850970.36952099, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 119730707.2305471, "historical_peak_year": 2023, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 62.06896551724138, "trend_acceleration_pct": 3.1429722347274813, "trend_label": "Growing", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": -4.1834, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 13.7051, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 58.6207, "market_share_latest_pct": 60.52706370577461, "market_share_change_1y_pp": -1.7745502626742677, "peer_best_share_pct": 60.52706370577461, "peer_top_exporter": "CHN", "supplier_count_latest": 39, "buyer_market_hhi": 4387.05, "distance_km": 5609.03759765625, "has_reported_fta": 0, "applied_tariff_pct": 0.5704679814121214, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "volatility_cv": 0.9511440791954484, "max_drawdown_pct": 71.89768865846257, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": "['concentrated_buyer_market','dominant_supplier']", "signal_flag": "Growing", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 848210, "corridor_rank": 38, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "THA", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 71231750.68089435, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 35594142.93275024, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 71559443.64915965, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 68563798.1980538, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 61881626.2157809, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": -0.7919150919207474, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": 2.8111344009989603, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": 4.203038277736648, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 72951196.56232338, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 233151010.723686, "historical_peak_year": 2021, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 55.172413793103445, "trend_acceleration_pct": -4.994953369657395, "trend_label": "Stable", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": -7.918, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 2.6125, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 48.2759, "market_share_latest_pct": 30.551765767515004, "market_share_change_1y_pp": 2.2896298619440074, "peer_best_share_pct": 34.234396423972655, "peer_top_exporter": "JPN", "supplier_count_latest": 68, "buyer_market_hhi": 2209.36, "distance_km": 3303.890869140625, "has_reported_fta": 1, "applied_tariff_pct": 0.29405095701191925, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0.2988774639608283, "volatility_cv": 0.6364719532462487, "max_drawdown_pct": 57.833912238037286, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer macroeconomic trend has weakened", "risk_driver_labels": "['buyer_macro_weakness']", "signal_flag": "Growing", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 848210, "corridor_rank": 39, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "IDN", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 70191661.56212658, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 27710888.523354046, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 71660800.06422116, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 66185403.23361701, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 55993640.49943371, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": -0.19804811119685795, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": 5.46244417256434, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": 4.713251909365912, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 75138854.6762992, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 225766477.38725924, "historical_peak_year": 2022, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 65.51724137931035, "trend_acceleration_pct": -4.91130002056277, "trend_label": "Stable", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": -8.654, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 14.8156, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 75.8621, "market_share_latest_pct": 31.09038258223173, "market_share_change_1y_pp": 2.908955537277823, "peer_best_share_pct": 31.090382582231722, "peer_top_exporter": "CHN", "supplier_count_latest": 81, "buyer_market_hhi": 1972.29, "distance_km": 5220.87939453125, "has_reported_fta": 1, "applied_tariff_pct": 0.16605990710525254, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0.12010865914781818, "volatility_cv": 0.8963356124993226, "max_drawdown_pct": 82.8568526302041, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": "[]", "signal_flag": "Accelerating", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" }, { "hs_code": 848210, "corridor_rank": 47, "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "importer_iso3": "TUR", "latest_data_year": 2024, "lane_data_years": 30, "exports_latest_observed_usd": 57475110.69056396, "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 23855244.958776183, "exports_avg_3y_usd": 59357673.73748373, "exports_avg_5y_usd": 53353162.33774801, "exports_avg_10y_usd": 47491755.89273902, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": 5.466461592388061, "exports_cagr_5y_pct": 8.772336853035046, "exports_cagr_10y_pct": 4.42899081000232, "exports_historical_peak_usd": 60894528.32149949, "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 245274825.15035933, "historical_peak_year": 2022, "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 72.41379310344827, "trend_acceleration_pct": 1.037470782385741, "trend_label": "Growing", "buyer_yoy_latest_pct": -4.6969, "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 8.9989, "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 65.5172, "market_share_latest_pct": 23.43294329343843, "market_share_change_1y_pp": 0.23481021771029376, "peer_best_share_pct": 23.43294329343843, "peer_top_exporter": "CHN", "supplier_count_latest": 70, "buyer_market_hhi": 1136.85, "distance_km": 7064.19677734375, "has_reported_fta": 0, "applied_tariff_pct": 0.09186697906323232, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0.06806308525272728, "volatility_cv": 0.8409091130919124, "max_drawdown_pct": 54.79462023213488, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": "[]", "signal_flag": "Growing", "confidence_label": "High", "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25" } ], "prices": [], "priceSummary": { "exporter_iso3": "CHN", "hs_code": 848210, "num_markets": 204, "highest_price_importer_iso3": "ECU", "highest_price_usd_per_ton": 841884.9190938511, "lowest_price_importer_iso3": "DMA", "lowest_price_usd_per_ton": 164.10823468193053, "median_price_across_markets": 7879.8140422732495, "price_spread_pct": 10681.988259412541, "avg_quantity_metric_tons": 1839.8042089249498, "total_trade_value_usd": 14131871078 }, "history": [ { "year": 2010, "export_value_usd": 1507082349.4656587, "active_destinations": 183, "yoy_growth_pct": 57.30271145528876 }, { "year": 2011, "export_value_usd": 2040315292.084293, "active_destinations": 187, "yoy_growth_pct": 35.38180530132901 }, { "year": 2012, "export_value_usd": 2021328641.1044734, "active_destinations": 189, "yoy_growth_pct": -0.9305743604177784 }, { "year": 2013, "export_value_usd": 2167521766.800299, "active_destinations": 184, "yoy_growth_pct": 7.232526305863082 }, { "year": 2014, "export_value_usd": 2352012970.661622, "active_destinations": 191, "yoy_growth_pct": 8.511619430409192 }, { "year": 2015, "export_value_usd": 2233748845.304775, "active_destinations": 192, "yoy_growth_pct": -5.028208893064866 }, { "year": 2016, "export_value_usd": 2269630788.3776956, "active_destinations": 192, "yoy_growth_pct": 1.6063553048205181 }, { "year": 2017, "export_value_usd": 2488569459.609564, "active_destinations": 196, "yoy_growth_pct": 9.646444362360935 }, { "year": 2018, "export_value_usd": 2752202216.707481, "active_destinations": 198, "yoy_growth_pct": 10.593747185954733 }, { "year": 2019, "export_value_usd": 2582424776.1366186, "active_destinations": 197, "yoy_growth_pct": -6.168785111072642 }, { "year": 2020, "export_value_usd": 2416815099.1435137, "active_destinations": 195, "yoy_growth_pct": -6.4129526065367815 }, { "year": 2021, "export_value_usd": 3364129777.1929803, "active_destinations": 196, "yoy_growth_pct": 39.196820575358956 }, { "year": 2022, "export_value_usd": 3500431649.945772, "active_destinations": 197, "yoy_growth_pct": 4.051623503850728 }, { "year": 2023, "export_value_usd": 3137315432.0950685, "active_destinations": 195, "yoy_growth_pct": -10.373469736406053 }, { "year": 2024, "export_value_usd": 3209328339.081892, "active_destinations": 196, "yoy_growth_pct": 2.2953671234369333 } ], "economy": { "year": 2024, "country_iso3": "CHN", "exports_usd": 3513875096250.6953, "imports_usd": 2326530665852.976, "trade_balance_usd": 1187344430397.7192, "yoy_exports_growth_pct": 6.028060505229971, "yoy_imports_growth_pct": -0.25624212571435656, "exports_cagr_3y_pct": 2.7568732857454537, "imports_cagr_3y_pct": -1.2881082462082083, "export_partner_hhi": 370.2915098431424, "export_product_hhi": 74.18977427830445, "momentum_score": 5.046704339384615, "risk_score": 2.2224064206072343, "gdp_million_usd": 18743803.170827165, "gdp_per_capita_usd": 13303.148154386816, "population": 1408975000, "labor_force": 787768.5, "investment_rate_pct": 44.52, "savings_rate_pct": 45.77, "secondary_education_pct": 84.78, "tertiary_education_pct": 7.94, "total_factor_productivity": 753.02, "trade_openness_pct": 34.64311858763455, "exports_gdp_pct": 20.843002459079447, "num_active_partners": 270, "num_fta_partners": 27, "num_wto_partners": 169, "num_eu_partners": 28, "num_shared_border_partners": 18, "num_shared_language_partners": 6, "avg_partner_distance_km": 9546.666666666666, "avg_partner_gdp_million_usd": 533678518.3258194, "avg_partner_gdp_per_capita_usd": 15.774186170212769, "avg_buyer_biz_entry_days": null, "avg_buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "pct_partners_with_fta": 10, "pct_partners_shared_language": 2.2222222222222223, "pct_partners_shared_border": 6.666666666666667, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 0.13181075487172894, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 0.13620738337369717, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0.042183361516283865, "tariff_advantage_pp": 0.0940240218574133, "avg_distance_all_partners_km": 9199.832160339074, "num_border_partners": 405, "num_colonial_partners": 20, "avg_substitution_elasticity": -10.928316418263822, "pct_products_high_elasticity": 76.01663585951941, "pct_products_low_elasticity": 2.657116451016636, "real_market_potential": 469092.7812321376, "foreign_market_potential": 10340.371802435242 } }